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SPECIAL FEATURE: PERSPECTIVE

A review of nancial instruments to pay for predator


conservation and encourage humancarnivore coexistence
Amy J. Dickman1, Ewan A. Macdonald, and David W. Macdonald
The Recanati-Kaplan Centre, Wildlife Conservation Research Unit, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX13 5QL,
United Kingdom
Edited by Alexander J. Travis, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, and accepted by the Editorial Board June 6, 2011 (received for review August 31, 2010)

One of the greatest challenges in biodiversity conservation today is how to facilitate protection of species that are highly valued at
a global scale but have little or even negative value at a local scale. Imperiled species such as large predators can impose significant economic
costs at a local level, often in poverty-stricken rural areas where households are least able to tolerate such costs, and impede efforts of local
people, especially traditional pastoralists, to escape from poverty. Furthermore, the costs and benets involved in predator conservation
often include diverse dimensions, which are hard to quantify and nearly impossible to reconcile with one another. The best chance of
effective conservation relies upon translating the global value of carnivores into tangible local benets large enough to drive conservation
on the ground. Although humancarnivore coexistence involves signicant noneconomic values, providing nancial incentives to those
affected negatively by carnivore presence is a common strategy for encouraging such coexistence, and this can also have important
benets in terms of reducing poverty. Here, we provide a critical overview of such nancial instruments, which we term payments
to encourage coexistence; assess the pitfalls and potentials of these methods, particularly compensation and insurance, revenue-
sharing, and conservation payments; and discuss how existing strategies of payment to encourage coexistence could be combined to
facilitate carnivore conservation and alleviate local poverty.

human-carnivore conict | payments for ecosystem services

C
onserving large carnivores is a source of income. Studies in Bhutan and costs. People invest in livestock herding,
pressing issue because of the Tanzania revealed that depredation cost guarding, and predator control, the eco-
striking declines in the geo- villagers, on average, more than two thirds nomic costs of which can be substantial
graphic ranges and population of their annual cash income (7, 8). Al- (6, 12). The time required for livestock
sizes of these species, and also because of though depredation often causes less stock protection limits the amount of time
their arguable capacity as umbrella species loss than factors such as disease (9), it is available for other important activities
for wider biodiversity. Resident pop- particularly problematic because it tends such as attending school, and families af-
ulations of African wild dogs (Lycaon to be highly stochastic: one household may fected severely by depredation are unable
pictus) are thought to remain in only 7% suffer a surplus killing event in which pay for costs such as school fees. This
of their original range, with cheetahs a carnivore kills many stock in one attack, leads to a lack of investment in education
(Acinonyx jubatus) faring slightly worse, whereas their neighbors suffer few or no and an intergenerational transmission of
with resident populations in 6% of their losses. Such unpredictable, localized poverty, whereby children have limited
original range (1). Even the iconic lion events are termed idiosyncratic shocks, alternative opportunities and remain en-
(Panthera leo) is thought to have declined and households may be able to withstand snared within their families poverty traps
by 30% to 50% during the past two decades them thanks to informal community-based (10). Human fatalities caused by pred-
(2), and similar dramatic declines have risk management mechanisms, which cre- ators are another important cost in some
been experienced by many other large car- ate a form of social insurance and enable areas (13), the consequences of which are
nivores, including gray wolves (Canis lupus), assets to be transferred to an affected made worse because the victims are often
tigers (Panthera tigris), and jaguars (Pan- household. However, this situation is adult men, who are the key income gen-
thera onca) (3, 4). Such declines generate complicated further, as wealth is unequally erators for households. Furthermore, in
disproportionate amounts of attention, be- distributed in many of the societies still many rural societies, livestock has cultural
cause these species are often imbued with coexisting with large carnivores. In such value exceeding its economic worththe
high existence value by people in the environments, poverty-stricken house- Maasai, for instance, value their cattle
developed world, who nd predators allur- holds are especially vulnerable to the im- highly for social, political, religious, and
cultural reasons, believing that they facili-
ing because of their power, mystique, pacts of depredation: they will not only
tate a direct link to their God, so cattle
beauty, and link to wild nature (5). This suffer disproportionately from losing
loss cannot easily be compensated through
high existence value has generated a con- stock, but are also less likely to have built
economic means alone (14).
siderable market value associated with large the social networks required to help buffer
In many of the priority areas for large
carnivores at the global scale, manifesting them against the impacts of such losses,
carnivore conservation, the people who
itself predominantly through photographic driving them even further into poverty suffer most from predators are those who
tourism, trophy hunting, and zoos. (10). This interaction is particularly im- can least afford itfor instance, in
However, the high value ascribed to portant for pastoralists whose stock own-
large carnivores by an international audi- ership falls below the threshold of 4.5
ence is rarely reected at the local level, tropical livestock units (equivalent to 1,125 Author contributions: A.J.D., E.A.M., and D.W.M. per-
where local communities suffer substantial, kg of livestock biomass) per capita, the formed research and wrote the paper.
diverse costs from their presence (6). level below which they are unlikely able to The authors declare no conict of interest.
These include direct economic losses from recover and reestablish their pastoralist This article is a PNAS Direct Submission. A.J.T. is a guest
livestock depredation, which can be dev- lifestyles following stock losses (11). editor invited by the Editorial Board.
astating, particularly in impoverished rural Coexistence with large carnivores also 1
To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail:
communities where livestock are a major entails signicant indirect and opportunity amy.dickman@zoo.ox.ac.uk.

www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1012972108 PNAS | August 23, 2011 | vol. 108 | no. 34 | 1393713944


Tanzania, a critically important area for gure increases to more than 90% for carnivore presence (iii) to encourage
carnivores, average per capita income is jaguars and snow leopards (Panthera un- humancarnivore coexistence. Some PEC
approximately $500 annually (15). Allevi- cia) (20). The ideal outcome is to develop schemes take an ex-post approach, cover-
ating such poverty is clearly a moral im- strategies that not only translate the high ing individual costs as they are imposed by
perative, and conservationists are global value of large carnivores into suf- carnivores, whereas others provide pay-
increasingly considering how mechanisms cient, relevant incentives for their conser- ments based on the assumption that car-
to facilitate humancarnivore coexistence vation at a local scale, but also enable local nivores will impose some general level of
can benet people and predators. How- people to escape from existing poverty cost. Some of these approaches, such as
ever, accurately dening poverty (and traps. Our objectives are to review the direct payments, can also be considered
therefore measuring poverty alleviation, main nancial mechanisms currently used forms of payments for ecosystem services
or escape from poverty traps) is complex. to promote humancarnivore coexistence, (PES), but most do not fulll the strict
Communities which score poorly on tra- discuss their pitfalls and potentials in criteria of PES (described later) and
ditional poverty indicators, such as access terms of carnivore conservation and pov- therefore warrant the broader grouping of
to education and markets, or cash income erty alleviation, and suggest how these PEC. Ecological modeling approaches
and expenditure, may nevertheless be mechanisms could potentially be com- have highlighted the theoretical potential
rich in assets such as livestock, which bined and improved in the future, with of nancial mechanisms such as PEC to
represent signicant economic and social benets for both people and predators. incentivize carnivore conservation, as they
worth (10). Moreover, distinctions should provide valuable economic revenue for
be made between transitory poverty, which Using Financial Mechanisms to Realign local people, and could help alleviate
affects various people temporarily, and Global and Local Values poverty by providing payments linked to
chronic poverty, whereby the same people The central problem in carnivore conser- conservation (21, 22).
remain trapped in long-term poverty (16). vation is a classic market failure, Determining the correct level of pay-
In many cases, the people still coexisting whereby a globally valued resource is de- ments involved in PEC is critically impor-
with large carnivores are traditional pas- pleted because of a lack of sufcient eco- tant: payments must be sufcient to
toralists, who are particularly susceptible nomic incentives to maintain it locally outweigh the costs imposed on local peo-
to long-term poverty traps (17). They (18). Various schemes have been de- ple, but also in proportion to the benets
have a strong cultural reliance upon veloped to try to remedy this problemwe produced for the international community.
their stock, and often lack other assets, collectively term these approaches pay- In addition, there will be external costs
making them unlikely to have alterna- ments to encourage coexistence (PEC), associated with providing incentives for
tive means of surviving environmental which we dene as schemes whereby (i) local compliance with the scheme. Fol-
shocks and ensnaring them in a cultur- carnivore presence is ascribed high exter- lowing Pagiola and Platais (23), we have
al poverty trap. Furthermore, pasto- nal value, (ii) which is translated into local developed a schematic model of maximum
ralists are often politically marginalized payments for those negatively affected by and minimum payments as they relate to
and suffer markedly from the failure of
social institutions, both in terms of
market failures, whereby the value of
their land for wildlife is not realized at
a local level, and political failures,
whereby issues such as widespread cor-
ruption mean that externally generated
revenue is often not passed down to poor
households. Livestock assets are the pri-
mary form of wealth acquisition and stor-
age in these traditional communities, and
stock losses, such as from depredation,
can have harsh social consequences in
addition to signicant economic costs.
Overall, humancarnivore coexistence
imposes substantial, diverse costs on local
people, and although carnivore pop-
ulations can generate considerable reve-
nue, many existing revenue streams in
developing countries are diverted exter-
nally rather than being captured locally,
posing signicant obstacles to incentivizing
effective on-the-ground conservation
(18). This poor costbenet ratio at a local
level leads to people extirpating such
species from human-dominated land,
and this has been one of the most signi-
cant drivers of the widespread declines
in carnivore populations described earlier.
Improving this situation is an urgent pri-
ority, as much of the remaining range of
threatened large carnivores is on human- Fig. 1. The costs and benets of carnivore coexistence and extirpation as they relate to local and in-
dominated land: for instance, more ternational communities. This reveals the minimum (A) and maximum (B) payments needed under PEC to
than 80% of remaining habitat occupied encourage local communities to coexist with carnivores rather than extirpate them. This illustration was
by tigers is outside reserves (19), and this developed following the schematic concept used by Pagiola and Platais (23).

13938 | www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1012972108 Dickman et al.


carnivore conservation (Fig. 1). Under over vast areas, often covering a range of by carnivores at a local scale, one approach
a coexistence-with-conict scenario, the different land tenure arrangements and is for the international community to offset
international community retains the exis- resource ownership rights, which compli- costs as they are incurred through direct
tence, economic, and ecosystem value cates payment allocation and distribution. compensation of individuals affected,
provided by carnivores on private land, In some cases, there is good congruency thereby hopefully reducing animosity to-
whereas local communities suffer the di- between the scale of the target species ward, and retaliatory killing of, the species
rect, indirect, opportunity, and cultural range and the scale of the land tenure in question. Numerous such compensation
costs. However, local communities often system and number of payment recipients schemes have been implemented to ad-
recognize some cultural value from carni- (26), but this must be considered for each dress conicts between humans and large
vore presence, and carnivores may also individual PEC scheme. If there is poor carnivores. The costs associated with live-
have some local economic value, for in- congruency between the spatial scales of stock depredation are frequently cited as
stance through any revenue that already the species range and that of payment re- a key reason for peoples animosity toward
reaches local people from carnivore- cipients, Zabel and Engel (26) suggest that carnivores (29), so directly compensating
related tourism. However, the majority of payments may have to be made according for these costs seems an effective strategy
current revenue streams from tourism are to intermediate conservation goals that for minimizing conict and encouraging
largely captured externally (24), and any can be observed locally at a scale relevant more peaceful humancarnivore co-
local economic value is usually outweighed to the recipients. An additional consider- existence. The concept is simple: any sus-
by the costs of coexistence. Under a sce- ation is that the ranges of conict-causing pected livestock depredation incident is
nario in which carnivores are extirpated, species often incorporate areas used by independently investigated, and if the loss
local communities benet from reductions the landless poor, who are often those is attributed to a predator covered by the
in all the costs described, but also lose the worst affected by conict and least em- scheme, a payout is made directly to the
cultural and existing economic value of powered to receive benets from PEC. If affected owner. This approach of directly
carnivores: a net benet (A). The in- a scheme involves only a small number of paying those affected by carnivores is
ternational community, however, gains people and/or a small area, and ignores likely to be particularly effective at re-
nothing under this scenario, and loses all the views and actions of those without ducing individual anger, which is impor-
the value attributed to carnivores in those formal tenure rights, it is unlikely to secure tant because carnivore persecution by
areas. Financial mechanisms can help en- effectively the conservation of wide- even a few hostile individuals can have
courage coexistence if they make pay- ranging, conict-causing animals, and may signicant impacts in terms of decreasing
ments that are at least equal to the also exacerbate social inequities (27). the viability of a target carnivore pop-
carnivore-free local benet (A), and may Moreover, lack of clarity over the owner- ulation (30). The conservation aspect of
be as large as the value of recompensing ship of land and/or wildlife, or signicant such schemes is sometimes emphasized by
these costs and providing incentives to variation in this across a target species forbidding anyone involved to kill any of
maintain compliance, plus the overall range, will substantially hinder the effec- the carnivores concerned, with nes and/
value attributed to the resource by the tive provision of PEC payments. or temporary cessation of compensation
international community (B). In addition Even if it is clear to whom payments payments imposed for any transgressions
to these payments for costs and compli- should go, corruption or weak institutional (31). Insurance schemes are similar to
ance, the international community will mechanisms may result in payments being compensation, but are often more
also bear the costs of monitoring target unfairly captured by local elites, there- community-driven and require partic-
carnivore population metrics, to evaluate fore not achieving the desired conservation ipants to pay a premium for their in-
the success of the PEC scheme. and poverty alleviation benets. Further- volvement, ideally reducing the need for
Here, we discuss the operational issues more, in areas of high human density, it is substantial external funding. Compensa-
inherent to the use of PEC, and then hard to provide economic incentives to tion and insurance initiatives have cer-
specically examine the main approaches all individuals, sufcient to offset the costs tainly achieved some success: a privately
used in the eld of carnivore conservation, incurred at a personal or household lev- funded Defenders of Wildlife compen-
namely (i) compensation and insurance el. Under such circumstances, it is impor- sation scheme for wolf damage opera-
schemes, (ii) revenue-sharing initiatives, tant not to view PEC as a standalone tional from 1987 to the present was
and (iii) conservation payments. We assess solution, but also to focus upon reducing credited as reducing ranchers animosity
their practical success at facilitating car- the costs of carnivore presence as much toward wolf recovery in Yellowstone Na-
nivore conservation, and examine their as possible, so even relatively small pay- tional Park and paving the way for further
likely impacts in terms of reducing poverty ments are sufcient to outweigh the costs wolf reintroductions (28). A compensation
within local communities. imposed. Another issue is that of leak- scheme on Mbirikani Group Ranch in
agefor example, if you pay people in Kenya was also linked to fewer lions being
Operational Issues Associated with PEC. To one area to conserve carnivores, does the killed (31).
ensure that PEC provides benets to level of conict and persecution increase However, the imposition of nancial
people and predators, a number of factors in nearby areas, resulting in no overall penalties to avoid moral hazard (e.g.,
should be considered. First, is there a increase in conservation benets? Per- paying only a proportion of market value if
threat to the carnivore population in verse incentives or moral hazard may the depredation incident was linked to
question, which is likely to be mitigated as also result from poorly designed PEC poor husbandry) means that affected stock
a result of PEC? If this is not the casefor schemes; for example, people may be in- owners are rarely fully compensated for
instance, a carnivore population under centivized to reduce defense of livestock the economic cost of depredation even
consideration for PEC is likely to be con- to obtain economic compensation for when it has been veried, so carnivores still
served for other reasons anywaythe depredation (28). Each PEC approach has impose a substantial net cost. In Botswana,
scheme provider will not gain anything in its own specic set of operational issues, state-funded compensation for lost live-
return for their payments, often referred constraints, and advantages, and these stock was set at 80% of market value, but
to as lack of additionality (25). Second, are examined in more detail in the penalties for grazing in protected areas,
can PEC be enacted at a scale likely to subsequent sections. and lack of verication, meant that cattle
secure conservation of the target pop- Compensation and insurance schemes. Given ranchers recouped only 42% of the value of
ulation of carnivores? These species roam the high economic costs often imposed stock lost, with an average annual loss to

Dickman et al. PNAS | August 23, 2011 | vol. 108 | no. 34 | 13939
lions, after compensation, of $168 (32). were not compensated (36). Furthermore, nearly three quarters of local people be-
This is particularly galling, as livestock compensation schemes can sometimes be lieved this scheme had improved their
predation may cost more than the market detrimental to conservation. Even with attitudes toward the parks (41).
value of the livestock because of the penalties, compensation can create a per- However, distributional inequalities
transaction costs of claiming for com- verse incentive by decreasing peoples mean that the majority of economic ben-
pensation or the lost potential value of a motivation to protect stock from preda- ets from such schemes often accrue to
pregnant or young animal (28). Con- tors, ultimately increasing losses and ex- small groups of people, such as park or
versely, livestock producers may take ad- acerbating conict. Lowered costs of urban gateway residents, rather than
vantage of compensation or insurance depredation may also result in people villagers in more remote locations, who
scheme and fraudulently claim that stock raising their stocking rates and intensifying suffer intense costs of wildlife presence
lost as a result of other factors were dep- grazing around conservation areas, leading (42). There is also a risk of elite capture
redated, increasing the economic burden to a decline of wild prey, an increase in even at the village scale, with marginalized
of such a scheme (28). Despite the intense humancarnivore conict, and inten- groups such as pastoralists beneting least
hostility engendered by depredation, lo- sication of pastoral poverty traps (34). from in-town initiatives such as schools
cal interest and buy-in to insurance pro- Finally, compensation and insurance and clinics, while still suffering most of the
grams can be surprisingly low, especially schemes usually require signicant exter- costs. Critically, payments do not neces-
where it is a novel approach and/or the nal funding, the permanence of which is sarily go to those most impacted by car-
rate of depredation is low (33). Further- often an issue, and consequently many nivore presence, so revenue sharing is
more, payments for veried depredation compensation schemes have ended in unlikely to reduce animosity and hostility
do not cover all of the ancillary costs of bankruptcy (34). Implementing such among those suffering most acutely from
living alongside carnivores, such as the schemes raises expectations among stake- depredation; those people may still kill
direct and opportunity costs incurred by holders, and if they fail, it can intensify carnivores. Linked with this is the funda-
guarding livestock from the risk of pre- negative attitudes toward focal predators mentally important issue that most
dation (6, 12). Therefore, even if in- (37). Overall, compensation and insurance revenue-sharing initiatives are not condi-
surance or compensation schemes reduce schemes may potentially seem to be useful tional upon recipients delivering measur-
the likelihood of retaliatory carnivore kil- tools for reducing the direct economic able conservation benets, such as
ling, incentives still remain for pre- impact of predators on people, but they securing target carnivore populations,
emptive killing. fail to provide any real incentive for local leading to situations in which people may
Ultimately, although compensation and people to actually deliver conservation. feel positive toward the revenue-generat-
insurance schemes can undoubtedly reduce Evidence from the eld suggests they are ing activity but remain negative toward
the nancial impacts of predators, carni- unlikely to produce substantial benets in wildlife. For example, in Nepal, people
vores often still impose more costs than terms of long-term conservation or pov- who received benets from the Makalu
benets on local people. Costs are likely to erty alleviation, and may even have Barun National Park and Conservation
be even higher in poor pastoral areas, negative consequences. Area strongly supported future tourism
where illiteracy hampers the submission of Revenue-sharing initiatives. The major failing development in the area, but viewed pro-
claims for compensation, and where poor of compensation and insurance schemes is tecting wildlife as a low priority and
institutional mechanisms heighten the that the costs of carnivore presence still pressed for more lethal control of wild
chances of fraud and corruption. More- usually outweigh the benets, providing no animals (43). Such schemes can also have
over, these initiatives can intensify poverty incentive for conservation. One alternative unexpected consequences: by improving
traps by encouraging migration of people is to channel some of the revenue gener- the costbenet ratio of living in reserve-
into areas where compensation schemes ated by wildlifewhether through tourism, adjacent areas, a favorability threshold
exist, thereby increasing competition over trophy hunting, or other activitiesback may be crossed, leading to in-migration of
resources such as pastoral grazing land, and to local communities, and provide benets more people. This can increase competi-
reducing herd sizes and productivity (34). to help offset costs not covered by com- tion for grazing land and other resources
There are also limits to the usefulness of pensation. The value of community re- and result in increased settlement and
economic compensation: for instance, it muneration for conservation appeared land conversion in wildlife-rich areas (44),
will never adequately make restitution for evident in Kenya: in areas where most of all of which can reinforce poverty traps,
the loss of human life, although compen- the revenue from ecotourism was retained particularly for pastoralists, and ultimately
sation schemes do exist for such incidents. by the tourism industry and the govern- lead to negative impacts on wildlife.
In Himachal, India, compensation of ap- ment, 29% to 65% of wildlife was lost Another complication is that many
proximately $2,170 is paid for each human between 1977 and 1994; in areas where biodiversity-rich areas are remote, poor,
killed or permanently incapacitated by a revenues were shared among group and lack good infrastructure for tourism,
wild animal, whereas the rate for grievous ranches, wildlife held its own; and on pri- limiting the potential economic returns
human injury is approximately $700. vate land where owners received all of the (45). Even in cases in which local people
In terms of conservation impacts, there is revenue, wildlife increased by 12% (38). obtain wildlife-related revenue, having
mixed evidence for compensation and in- However, recent assessments of wild- wildlife present and gaining from it (gen-
surance schemes signicantly reducing life trends in Kenya are less positive, re- erally via tourist revenues) may still not be
humancarnivore conict: in India, a com- vealing marked declines in wildlife the most protable use of land. Protecting
munal insurance and incentive scheme has numbers regardless of land-use type (39). land for wildlife can result in local com-
been successful in safeguarding snow In Namibia, the establishment of commu- munities incurring signicant opportunity
leopards and their prey, and reducing nal conservancies, whereby local stake- costs in terms of restricted grazing, and
levels of depredation and snow leopard holders retain all revenue from wildlife reduced resource use or hunting, as well as
persecution (35). However, this is not al- use, has been associated with signicant forgoing alternative land use options (46,
ways the case, especially for compensation increases in lion populations (40). A 47). Setting aside land for conservation
rather than insurance schemes: a study in tourism revenue-sharing programmed can limit peoples economic opportunities
Wisconsin found that people who were around three parks in Uganda resulted and restrict their land use options, and
compensated for losses to wolves were no in more than $80,000 being invested in such forced primitivism can cause anger
more tolerant of them than those who schools, clinics, and infrastructure, and and resentment toward conservation

13940 | www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1012972108 Dickman et al.


agencies and wildlife (48, 49). Norton- gifer tarandus) herders, and 2,500 of them vore presencerequire well dened land
Grifths (50) estimated a discrepancy of still rely on the reindeer business for full- tenure and property rights, whereas col-
$26.8 million between the annual returns time employment (54). The Sami often lective payments, such as to a village, re-
from conservation to Maasai landowners suffer substantial reindeer depredation quire functional systems of collective
in Kenya and the potential net returns if and can engage in retaliatory poaching, action. In some cases, elite capture of
their land were fully developed, and sug- which is a major cause of mortality for benets can occur, with poorer, marginal-
gested that conservation is condemning adult lynx and wolverines in Sweden (54). ized people (often pastoralists) and the
these landowners to a poverty trap. Simi- Under the scheme, payments are made to landless poor too powerless to acquire
larly, households adjacent to Madagascars each of the 51 villages contingent on the a fair share of the revenue provided. In
Mantadia National Park were calculated number of carnivore reproductions certi- situations with insecure land tenure, as in
to suffer losses of $419 (more than half the ed on village reindeer grazing land, with many pastoral areas, conservation pay-
annual per capita income), primarily be- the amount calculated to offset all future ments can make land more economically
cause of restricted access to agricultural costs imposed by the young carnivores attractive and vulnerable to external
land (51). It is clear that, under these during their lifetimes (54). In 2007, the takeover by more powerful elites, thereby
scenarios, conservation still produces a net payment for each certied lynx and wol- exacerbating the poverty of the original
negative effect on affected communities, verine reproduction was approximately users (27). These schemes can also entail
and although the provision of wildlife- $29,000, and the villages manage, allocate, high transaction costs for the buyer, for
related revenue may sometimes be useful and disburse the payments as they see t instance by intensively monitoring carni-
in softening the jaws of local poverty traps, (54). The scheme appears to have been vore populations (54), and uncertainties
there is little evidence for them helping successful, as the number of certied exist about how to establish accurately the
people ultimately escape from wolverine reproductions in the reindeer baseline conservation status of a carnivore
chronic poverty. area has now exceeded the 90-per-year population, as well as how to determine
Conservation payments. To strengthen the target, although it is not yet possible to and measure accurately the desired con-
linkage between economic incentives and conrm empirically that this is a result of servation outcome. There is a possibility of
conservation, payments for conservation the payment scheme (26). distortion if changes in the metric being
are becoming increasingly common (18). Conservation payments have several measured does not accurately reect
The dening characteristic of this ap- benets for people and predators: they are changes in the real target, such as the size
proach, in contrast to other forms of PEC, likely to provide additionality, as they of the focal carnivore population (52).
is that payments are linked specically to create a direct incentive for maintaining This is of particular concern in schemes in
the production of the desired environ- carnivores, whereas service providers are which proxy measures are used: for in-
mental output (e.g., maintenance of car- less constrained, and able to act in the stance, in the snow leopard example given
nivores on private land) rather than to manner optimal to their specic conditions earlier, it is conceivable that participants
indirect inputs assumed to affect the pro- to reach the desired endpoint, often could encourage bharal population growth
duction of that service, such as the re- resulting in greater cost effectiveness (54, but still secretly kill snow leopards, so
duction of conict (52). Such payments 55). Payments are usually independent of success as measured by the proxy indicator
have been used to encourage carnivore levels of depredation, thereby avoiding would not accurately reect a positive
conservation in Mexico, where ranchers moral hazard, and entail low transaction change in terms of snow leopard
are paid between $50 and $300 if camera- costs for livestock-keepers, as they do not conservation.
traps record a jaguar, puma (Puma con- have to search for depredated livestock or Despite these caveats, however, there is
color), ocelot (Leopardus pardalis), or submit claims for compensation. Further- increasing evidence from the eld that
bobcat (Lynx rufus) on their land (18, 53). more, unlike schemes linked to protected conservation payments can be a valuable
In areas where large carnivores are par- areas, which can impose substantial op- tool for encouraging humanpredator co-
ticularly rare, proxy species can be used to portunity costs, these payments actually existence, and for providing important
determine paymentsfor instance, in reduce the costs of maintaining traditional revenue to local communities (54). Models
Nepal, accurately monitoring snow leop- lifestyles in areas where humans and car- have shown that PES schemes in particular
ards is difcult, so local people are re- nivores coexist, helping people maintain can successfully attain conservation and
warded for improving the habitat and their cultural integrity and avoid tradi- poverty alleviation objectives (56), and
population of an important prey species, tional pastoral poverty traps. there is clear evidence of them having
the bharal (Pseudois nayaur), and such However, there are issues related to risk a positive impact on poor service providers
rewards are contingent upon villagers not and distortion that should be considered. through increased income and greater
killing snow leopards (18, 35). Many of The service provider may incur production land security (57), but as yet there is little
these conservation payment approaches risks if they invest in certain costly strate- empirical evidence of them signicantly
can be categorized as PES, dened by gies that do not ultimately lead to an in- reducing poverty in the eld of carnivore
Wunder (25) as (i) a voluntary transaction crease in service production (52), or the conservation. Nonetheless, they are un-
(ii) in which a well dened environmental benets of such investments are out- doubtedly an important tool for facilitat-
service or land use likely to secure that weighed by exogenous shocks such as se- ing the ongoing coexistence of people and
service (iii) is bought by at least one buyer vere drought or disease independently carnivores, and for translating global ex-
(iv) from at least one provider, (v) if and reducing the numbers of carnivores. Par- istence value into tangible economic value
only if the service provider secures service ticularly in poor pastoral areas, reliance on at a local level.
provision (i.e., conditionality). such schemes can exacerbate sensitivity
In 1996, the Swedish government opted to environmental uctuations, as such Improving PEC: Developing a Combined Method
for a performance payment scheme to shocks will often not only affect household from the Lessons Learned. Strategies for
obtain and maintain stable populations of livestock assets but also wildlife pop- humancarnivore coexistence have gradu-
wolves, lynx (Lynx lynx), and wolverines ulations, leading to a reduction in external ally evolved from a baseline of ignoring
(Gulo gulo), most of which live in Sami payments at the time they are most local peoples needs, toward offsetting
pastoralist rangelands (54). The 20,000 needed. Payments to individual farmers the direct costs of carnivore presence
Sami pastoralists in Sweden, who live in which specically reduce antagonism and then toward developing methods that
51 villages, are traditional reindeer (Ran- among the people most affected by carni- are actually intended to provide net

Dickman et al. PNAS | August 23, 2011 | vol. 108 | no. 34 | 13941
benets associated with that presence. All bursed as conservation payments, as this The scale of implementation of existing
the schemes outlined have individual approach is the only one that directly in- nancial mechanisms varies widely, from
strengths, and we suggest that a combina- centivizes humancarnivore coexistence. state-led initiatives, such as the Swedish
tion of approaches could be the most To avoid issues such as elite capture and performance payments and the livestock
benecial for successfully achieving hu- payments failing to reach the entire com- compensation schemes in Botswana, to
mancarnivore coexistence. An ideal munity, including those without formal nonstate initiatives such as the Defenders
PEC would: (i) minimize conict by spe- land tenure rights, a subset of the fund for Wildlife program in Yellowstone, a
cically targeting payments to those most could be allocated to community-driven privately funded member organization. To
directly affected by carnivores, (ii) reduce development initiatives, such as the our knowledge, no combined PEC schemes
the direct costs of humancarnivore co- building of cattle dips, which would help currently exist, and developing such a
existence, (iii) provide local people with reduce levels of stock loss to disease and mechanism involves various logistical
additional revenue directly linked to car- help pastoralists secure their livelihoods. challenges, such as dening who owns the
nivores, (iv) avoid moral hazard and per- In areas where pastoral households have resource; how funds are to be generated,
verse incentives, (v) not require signicant relatively few stock, the fund could help maintained, and distributed; and verifying
additional external revenue, (vi) speci- develop alternative initiatives, such as in- payments. However, none of these chal-
cally link payments to desired conservation vestment in child nutrition, health care, lenges are exclusive to a combined PEC
outcomes, and (vii) be likely to have a and education, which would have wide- scheme, so there is scope to learn from and
positive impact on human poverty. None spread benets across the community. adapt methodologies already developed
of the existing schemes, as they stand However, none of these approaches spe- by existing projects. The specics of any
alone, fulll all these criteria: compensa- cically target those most affected by project will be highly dependent on local
tion/insurance achieves only i and ii, depredation, so a portion of the fund circumstances, and a detailed under-
whereas revenue sharing achieves only iii, could be paid out as compensation to standing of the local system is critically
v, and vii, although it does have some link those who directly suffer from losses to important for scheme development: for
to conservation success, as revenues will carnivores, although such payments should instance, the strength and efcacy of local
eventually decrease if wildlife populations be linked to husbandry standards to avoid collective action determines whether pay-
decline. Compensation payments achieve moral hazard. This kind of combined ap- ments should be made at an individual
iii, iv, vi, and vii, but fail to target in- proach would achieve all of the criteria of level, or to a village or other unit. However,
dividuals most affected by wildlife damage, an ideal PEC scheme, apart from v, as it there are some generalizable key priorities,
do not actively reduce that damage, and would need signicant external funding. including the setting of clearly dened
are heavily dependent on external funding. However, as the idea of international goals and objectives, establishment of ac-
For greatest success, a PEC scheme may conservation credits expands, and the curate and repeatable methods for moni-
have to combine several of the existing international community increasingly re- toring the metric for which payments are
approaches. A PEC fund could be estab- alizes the need to internalize the economic made, generation and long-term commit-
lished from all available revenue streams value of wild carnivore populations, funds ment of funds, a locally appropriate
(Fig. 2), and the money primarily dis- for such initiatives are likely to increase. mechanism for distributing payments at the
relevant scale, and genuine engagement
of local stakeholders. Determining which
initiatives would most benet the com-
munity concerned is also highly site-spe-
cic, and would have to be developed in
close collaboration with local people. For
the compensation element of the scheme,
managers would have to decide how to
verify losses, the size of payments, which
livestock husbandry methods were linked
to payments, and how such a scheme ts
into national policies. This combined PEC
approach is by no means a panacea for
all the problems of humancarnivore co-
existence, and should be combined with
efforts to reduce the costs of carnivore
presence, but by incorporating the most
promising aspects of existing PEC
schemes, we can move forward and de-
velop new approaches to effectively tackle
this complex issue.

Conclusion
PEC schemes are not a silver-bullet solu-
tion to the problem of conserving large
carnivores on human-dominated land. In
some areas, the high costs imposed by
carnivore presencesuch as where man-
eating is commonmeans that PEC in-
centives may fail to facilitate coexistence.
In such places, alternative strategies such
Fig. 2. Example of how existing PEC strategies could be incorporated under a single scheme to en- as fencing reserves to separate humans
courage carnivore conservation on human-dominated land. and wildlife, or encouraging people to

13942 | www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1012972108 Dickman et al.


relocate from key wildlife areas, may be centives through valuable training and cultural needs of people bearing the costs
necessary. However, given the burgeoning employment while still maintaining their associated with living with wildlife. More-
human population and demand for land, traditions and receiving cultural recogni- over, there is a pressing need to develop
some level of human-carnivore coex- tion (58). The program appears successful: PEC approaches that can be scaled up to
istence will increasingly be inevitable, and to date, no lions have been speared on a landscape level, involving all of the dis-
in these circumstances, PEC approaches Mbirikani Ranch, where the Lion Guard- parate groups of stakeholdersfrom the
can be valuable in converting the benets ians are working, compared with more landless poor to wealthy farmers
of carnivores from an abstract externality than 30 spearings on neighboring ranches. affected by carnivore presence across the
to a tangible reality for local people. PEC As the program only began in 2006, it is target area. The holy grail for truly in-
recognizes that, if external beneciaries hard to evaluate properly its success and
tegrating carnivore conservation with the
want the long-term conservation of glob- demonstrate any signicant increases in
communities who live with them is a situ-
ally iconic but locally problematic species, lion populations linked to the program,
they will have to develop and fund strate- but in 2010 alone, Lion Guardians actively ation in which local people receive tangi-
gies to outweigh the local costs incurred, prevented 27 hunting parties from killing ble, commensurate, and equitably dis-
which will require signicant investment lions. So far, this scheme has been used tributed benets from predators that out-
from stakeholders such as governments only in a trial population of fewer than 250 weigh all the diverse costs, and carnivore-
and conservation agencies. Promising lions, but extensions to larger lion pop- related revenue can help people escape
headway has been made in this regard, ulations are currently under way. Such existing poverty traps. This remains an
especially with regard to conservation initiatives still require signicant external elusive scenario, but valuable lessons have
payments, but predators pose a particu- funding to sustain them, and although been learned from implementing PEC
larly tricky case, as their persecution re- promising headway has been made with approaches, and combining the best as-
sults not simply from economic loss but ideas such as biodiversity swaps and con- pects of these different methods could
also from deep-rooted cultural values. servation credits (59, 60), effective long- help translate the external values associ-
Schemes must be developed that not only term provision of PEC will rely heavily ated with carnivores down to the local
provide compensatory economic revenue, upon a signicant increase in the de- level, with important potential benets for
but address these noneconomic factors veloped worlds willingness and ability to people and predators.
and cultural norms as well. One innovative pay for such schemes.
model has been developed in Kenya, Ultimately, any scheme needs to be ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. The authors thank Ros
where the cultural aspects of Maasai lion tailored carefully to the individual situation Shaw and Sandra Baker for helping to collate the
killing are incorporated into a Lion to avoid problems of perverse incentives, material needed for this manuscript, and their
input toward and editing of an earlier version.
Guardians program where warriors additionality, and leakage; to ensure that A.J.D. is a Kaplan Senior Research Fellow. E.A.M.
hunt lions to radio-collar and monitor the desired conservation outcomes are was supported by a Kaplan Scholarship from
them, thereby receiving economic in- achieved; and to satisfy the economic and Panthera.

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Correction

PERSPECTIVE
Correction for A review of nancial instruments to pay for
predator conservation and encourage humancarnivore co-
existence, by Amy J. Dickman, Ewan A. Macdonald, and David
W. Macdonald, which appeared in issue 34, August 23, 2011, of
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA (108:1393713944; rst published Au-
gust 23, 2011; 10.1073/pnas.1012972108).
The authors note that reference 21 on page 13943, Zabel A,
Pittel K, Bostedt G, Engel S (2009) Comparing Conventional and
New Policy Approaches for Carnivore Conservation Theoretical
Results and Application to Tiger Conservation (International In-
stitute for Environment and Development, London). should
instead appear as Zabel A., Pittel K., Bostedt G., Engel S.
(2011) Comparing Conventional and New Policy Approaches for
Carnivore Conservation: Theoretical Results and Application to
Tiger Conservation. Environ Resource Econ 48:287301.
The authors note that reference 26 on page 13943, Zabel A,
Engel S (2010) Performance Payments: A New Strategy to Conserve
Large Carnivores in the Tropics? (Institute for Environmental
Decisions, Zurich). should instead appear as Zabel A, Engel S
(2010) Performance Payments: A New Strategy to Conserve
Large Carnivores in the Tropics? Ecol Econ 70:405412.
The authors note that reference 52 on page 13944, Zabel A,
Roe B (2009) Performance Payments for Environmental Services:
Lessons from Economic Theory on the Strength of Incentives in the
Presence of Performance Risk and Performance Measure Distortion
(International Institute for Environment and Development,
London). should instead appear as Zabel A, Roe B (2009)
Optimal design of pro-conservation incentives. Ecol Econ 69:
126134.
www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1118014108

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