Environmental Science 1: June 9, 2017, Friday, 1-3 PM
Lecture 2
Understanding What Science Is and What It Isnt
Science process of refining continual questioning and active investigation
Observations hypothesis theories and scientific laws If they can be disproved, they are scientific. Scientific understanding is not fixed, it changes over time as new data becomes available SCIENTIFIC METHOD involves 5 steps Recognize problems or unanswered questions. Develop hypothesis to explain problem. Design and perform experiment to test hypothesis. Analyze and interpret data to reach conclusions. If yes, keep testing. If no, reject/revise hypothesis. Share new knowledge with other scientists. Test other hypotheses. New knowledge results in new questions, go back to 1.
Observations, Facts, Inferences, and Hypotheses
Observations, basis of science five senses or instruments
Inferences generalizations Hypothesis testing an inference Fact proven hypothesis Numbers and statistical analysis Visualize relationship Analyze the strength of relationship/discover a new relationship Every measurement involves some degree of approximation, there is always a degree of uncertainty, if there is not, its meaningless
Measurements and Uncertainty
Dealing with UNCERTAINTIES
o TWO SOURCES OF UNCERTAINTY Real variability of nature Experimental errors errors that occur in experiments Systematic errors occurs consistently (incorrectly calibrated instruments) o Reports should include error analysis o Reduction of uncertainties: improving instruments, standardizing procedure, carefully designed experiments and appropriate statistical procedure. o Uncertainties can never be eliminated. Read reports of scientific studies critically. ACCURACY AND PRECISION Accuracy refers to what we know, agreement of measurements with accepted values Precision how well we measure, degree of exactness with which a quantity is measured People in general put more faith in the accuracy of measurements than do scientists It is important not to report measurements with more precision than they warrant. (misleading in the sense of accuracy and precision)
Misunderstanding about Science and Society
Science and Decision making
Formulate a clear statement Gather scientific information (including estimates of uncertainties) List all alternative courses of action Predict the positive and negative consequences of action and the probability of the consequences Weigh the alternatives and choose the best solution Root of many environmental problems Incomplete information Scientific controversies Conflicting interests Emotionalism Decision making involves society, politics, culture, economics, and values, as well as scientific information. Policy decisions negotiated through political process. SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Technology is not science SCIENCE search for understanding of natural phenomena TECHNOLOGY application of scientific knowledge S&T interact stimulation growth in each other Science is limited by technology available Mostly, we come in contact with PRODUCTS OF SCIENCE (technological devices) SCIENCE AND OBJECTIVITY Myth scientists are capable of complete objectivity independent of their personal values and the culture in which they live and that science deals only with objective facts. Need to develop critical thinking questioning and synthesizing information rather than merely acquiring them The great success of science gives science and scientists a societal authority that makes it all difficult to know when a scientist might be exceeding the bounds of his or her scientific knowledge Scientists play three roles in society: o Researchers simply explaining results o Priest like authorities speak in tongues the rest of us cant understand o Expert witnesses discuss broad areas of research that they are familiar with but about which they may not have done research themselves SCIENCE CAN GO ASTRAY Science can become politicized o People begin with belief about something and pick and choose only the scientific evidence that supports that belief o Research is funded only if it is within a political or ethical point of view. Science can be caught up in one way of thinking when the evidence points to another. o Complicated by legitimate scientific uncertainties and differences in scientific theories. o As citizens, it is difficult to know when scientists are having legitimate debates about findings and theories, and when they are disagreeing over personal beliefs and convictions that are outside of science.
GUIDELINES FOR REPORTING: HOW DO WE DECIDE WHAT TO BELIEVE ABOUT ENVIRONMENTAL
ISSUES?
In reading an article about the environmental issue.
o What is the major claim made in the article? Major claim is 1 statement You may add brief background about the article o What evidence does the author present to support the claim? Observation? Based on reputable articles? Authors is popular as authority on subject? Supported by data? Is the evidence based on observations, and is the source of the evidence reputable and unbiased? o Is the evidence based on observations? o Is the argument for the claim, whether based in evidence or not, logical? Not all graphs will be presented, one or two tables may do o Would you accept or reject the claim? o Even if the claim Totally accept, Tentative, not accepted FORMAT:
(TITLE) Author/Source: Presentor: (YOUR NAME) Yr/Course Scheduled Date of Presentation
Note: Should be in ppt, file name: (familyname_keytitle).ppt