OCHOA,HARVEY D.

4:30 6:00 PM

MONTHLY SALES
25000

20000

15000

Series 1
10000

5000

0
February March April May June July August

A. Linear Trend Equation

Year Sales ty 2 t 2
February 19000 19000 1 1
March 18000 36000 4 5
April 15000 45000 9 14
May 20000 80000 16 30
June 18000 90000 25 55
July 220000 132000 36 91
August 20000 140000 49 140
TOTAL 132000 542000 140

F = a + bt = =
2 ( )2
7(542000)28(132000) 132000500(28)
= 16857.14 + 500 (8) = =
7(140)28(28) 7
= 20587.14 = 500 = 16857.14
OCHOA,HARVEY D.
4:30 6:00 PM

B. Five Month Moving Average

Month Sales MA
February 19000
March 18000
April 15000
May 20000
June 18000
July 220000 18000
August 20000 18600
September 19000

C. Exponential Smoothing

Month Sales Exponential Smoothing

February 19000 -
March 18000 19,000.00
April 15000 18,800.00
May 20000 18,040.00
June 18000 18,432.00
July 220000 18,345.60
August 20000 19,076.48
September 19,261.18

D. Nave

Month Sales Naive

February 19000 -
March 18000 19,000
April 15000 18,000
May 20000 15,000
June 18000 20,000
July 220000 18,000
August 20000 22,000
September 20,000
OCHOA,HARVEY D.
4:30 6:00 PM

E. Weighted Average

Month Sales Weighted Moving Average

February 19000 -
March 18000 -
April 15000 -
May 20000 -
June 18000 -
July 220000 -
August 20000 -
September 20400