B02303041

1.

Solow(1956)

Romer(1989) Lucas(1989)

Solow

2.

11982-2012

(%)

6.09 10.56

7.76 6.68

1.58 1.40
 1GDP




16

14 GDP

12

10

8

0
1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012
-2
-4

1 11 1982 2012

2000
2009

2001 2009

1




 3.

Cobb-Douglas

= 1


ln = + ln + (1 ) ln


= + (1 )

(Constrained Linear
regression 1)

Constrained linear regression Number of obs = 31

Root MSE = 2.4722

( 1) capgr + lbgr = 1

gdpgr Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

capgr .0110429 .1936977 0.06 0.955 -.3851134 .4071992

lbgr .9889571 .1936977 5.11 0.000 .5928008 1.385113
_cons 4.487289 1.28138 3.50 0.002 1.866573 7.108004

gdpgr:
capgr:
lbgr:

0.011 0.988
Coub-Douglas

outliers

Constrained linear regression Number of obs = 28
Root MSE = 2.2749

( 1) capadj + lbadj = 1

gdpadj Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

capadj .6039347 .1747974 3.46 0.002 .2446336 .9632359

lbadj .3960653 .1747974 2.27 0.032 .0367641 .7553664
_cons .9475888 1.131925 0.84 0.410 -1.379116 3.274294

gdpadj adj adjustment

Coub-Douglas

Barro Lee(1993)


Constrained linear regression Number of obs = 28
Root MSE = 1.9059

( 1) capadj + ygradj = 1

gdpadj Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

capadj .2331024 .1790039 1.30 0.204 -.1348454 .6010502

ygradj .7668976 .1790039 4.28 0.000 .3989498 1.134845
_cons 2.382327 .9588979 2.48 0.020 .4112837 4.353369

ygradj:

 Tallman Wang(1994) TW
124

Constrained linear regression Number of obs = 28

Root MSE = 1.8973

( 1) twgradj + capadj = 1

gdpadj Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

twgradj .7528757 .1738288 4.33 0.000 .3955655 1.110186

capadj .2471243 .1738288 1.42 0.167 -.1101858 .6044345
_cons 1.985577 .8652455 2.29 0.030 .2070396 3.764115

twgradj: TW

TW

= 1
0< <1
Romer(1990) Robello(1991)


= + (1 ) +


Barro(1991)

Constrained linear regression Number of obs = 28
Root MSE = 1.8108

( 1) capadj + hgradj = 1

gdpadj Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

capadj .1517266 .1751212 0.87 0.395 -.2089423 .5123954

hgradj .8482734 .1751212 4.84 0.000 .4876046 1.208942
lbadj 1.576756 .4434882 3.56 0.002 .6633744 2.490137
_cons 1.514497 1.011017 1.50 0.147 -.567731 3.596725
 hgradj:

4.

5.
Barro, R. J. (1991), Economic Growth in A Cross Section of Countries. Quarterly
Journal of Economics.
Barro, R. J., Lee, J. W. (1993), International Comparisons of Educational Attainment.
Journal of Monetary Economics.
Durlauf, S. (1995), Multiple Regimes and Cross-Country Growth Behavior. Journal of
Applied Econometrics.
Hak K. Pyo (1995), A Time-Series Test of the Endogenous Growth Model with
Human Capital. Growth Theories in Light of the East Asian Experience, NBER-EASE
Volume 4. University of Chicago Press.
Tallman Ellis W. and Ping Wang (1994), Human capital and endogenous growth:
evidence from Taiwan. Journal of Monetary Economics.
, (2003), : ,
31.1