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KrisAssets Holdings

Recommendation: HOLD
Stock Code: 6653 Bloomberg: KRIS MK Price: MYR3.22 12-Month Target Price: MYR3.40 Date: August 26, 2010

Board: Main Pr i ce 30 Day Movi ng Aver age Price (MYR)


3.40

Sector: Property 3.20

GICS: Financials/Real Estate Operating Companies 3.00

Market Value - Total: MYR1,084.7 mln 2.80

2.60

Summary: KrisAssets Holdings (Kris) owns and operates 2.40

the Mid Valley Megamall in Kuala Lumpur. The group’s main 2.20
sources of income are derived from rental collections and car
park fees. Kris is a 75%-owned subsidiary of IGB Vol ume Vol ('000)
1,200
Corporation Bhd.
800

Analyst: Alexander Chia, ACA 400

0
Aug 07 Oct 07 Jan 08 Mar 08 May 08 Jul 08 Oct 08 Dec 08 Feb 09 Apr 09 Jul 09 Sep 09 Nov 09 Jan 10 Mar 10 Jun 10 Aug 10

Results Review & Earnings Outlook Recommendation & Investment Risks

 Kris’ 1H10 net profit jumped 89.9% YoY to MYR92.6 mln, exaggerated  We maintain our Hold recommendation on Kris but raise our DCF-
by a MYR50 mln fair value gain on investment property in relation to based 12-month target price to MYR3.40 (from MYR3.20), after rolling
the Mid Valley Megamall. Stripping out the after-tax impact of the gain, forward our calculations by a year.
the adjusted net profit of MYR55.5 mln is up 2.4% YoY and equivalent
to 54.2% of our 2010 forecast. With 2H10 expense accruals expected  We continue to derive our target price using a discounted cash flow
to be seasonally higher, we consider the core earnings to be in line (DCF) approach, in view of Kris’ steady cash flow generation, but we
with our expectations. have rolled forward our calculations by a year to 2011. Our model
assumes a WACC of between 6.3% and 6.7% as well as a terminal
 2Q10 revenue of MYR60.2 mln was up 2.2% QoQ and 5.6% YoY, growth rate of 1% (all unchanged).
taking 1H10 revenues 4.9% higher to MYR119.1 mln as a result of
higher rental incomes received. Gross margin for the period was  We believe the stock is close to being fully valued, as it trades at 2011
slightly improved at 78.8% from 78.1% in 1H09. PER and P/B of 10.1x and 0.84x, respectively – valuations that remain
within their respective three year trading bands. We understand
 Kris’ balance sheet metrics remained solid with low net gearing of 23% management is actively seeking to acquire foreign shopping
at end-June from 25% at end-March. NAV rose to MYR3.56/share complexes to be injected into Kris to spur its future earnings growth,
from MYR3.36 at end-2009. and we wait for such an acquisition to materialize before imputing any
additional contributions. Parent IGB’s (IGB MK, MYR1.87, 3-STARS)
 We lift our 2010 earnings estimate to MYR139.3 mln (from MYR102.3 potential future plans to inject its assets into a REIT could likely involve
mln) after factoring in the fair value gain and keep our 2011 forecast the Megamall. Nevertheless, it is premature, in our opinion, to assess
broadly unchanged. The Mid Valley Megamall remains a popular the impact at this juncture until further clarity emerges.
shopping destination, attracting strong visitor flows. The Mall
continues to enjoy a 100% occupancy rate.  Risks to our recommendation and target price include an unexpected
curtailment in retail consumer spending that could significantly affect
retail sales and ultimately impact Kris’s rental income.

Key Stock Statistics Per Share Data


FY Dec. 2009 2010E FY Dec. 2007 2008 2009 2010E
Reported EPS (sen) 40.8 41.4 Book Value (MYR) 2.91 3.10 3.36 3.62
PER (x) 7.9 7.8 Cash Flow (sen) 22.3 21.9 29.5 29.6
Dividend/Share (sen) 15.5 15.0 Reported Earnings (sen) 37.2 29.7 40.8 41.4
NTA/Share (MYR) 3.36 3.62 Dividend (sen) 15.0 13.0 15.5 15.0
Book Value/Share (MYR) 3.36 3.62 Payout Ratio (%) 51.7 32.8 53.0 36.3
No. of Outstanding Shares (mln) 336.9 PER (x) 8.7 10.8 7.9 7.8
52-week Share Price Range (MYR) 2.51 - 3.30 P/Cash Flow (x) 14.4 14.7 10.9 10.9
Major Shareholders: % P/Book Value (x) 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9
IGB Corporation Berhad 74.8 Dividend Yield (%) 4.7 4.0 4.8 4.7
*Stock deemed Shariah compliant by the Securities Commission. ROE (%) 7.7 9.9 9.1 11.8
Net Gearing (%) 42.9 34.2 25.4 16.5

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KrisAssets Holdings
Recommendation: HOLD
Stock Code: 6653 Bloomberg: KRIS MK Price: MYR3.22 12-Month Target Price: MYR3.40 Date: August 26, 2010

Quarterly Performance
FY Dec. / MYR mln 2Q10 2Q09 % Change
Reported Revenue 60.2 57.0 5.6
Reported Operating Profit 94.9 39.2 >100
Depreciation & Amortization NA NA NA
Net Interest Income / (Expense) -6.9 -7.1 -3.0
Reported Pre-tax Profit 88.1 32.1 >100
Reported Net Profit 65.6 23.3 >100
Reported Operating Margin (%) >100 68.8 -
Reported Pre-tax Margin (%) >100 56.4 -
Reported Net Margin (%) >100 40.9 -
Source: Company data

Profit & Loss


FY Dec. / MYR mln 2008 2009 2010E 2011E
Reported Revenue 216.6 227.9 239.3 251.6
Reported Operating Profit 145.5 207.9 213.5 169.0
Depreciation & Amortization -1.2 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1
Net Interest Income / (Expense) -30.2 -27.4 -25.3 -23.8
Reported Pre-tax Profit 115.3 180.6 188.2 145.1
Effective Tax Rate (%) 14.9 24.7 26.0 26.0
Reported Net Profit 98.2 136.0 139.3 107.4
Reported Operating Margin (%) 67.2 91.3 89.2 67.2
Reported Pre-tax Margin (%) 53.2 79.2 78.7 57.7
Reported Net Margin (%) 45.3 59.7 58.2 42.7
*2009 net profit included a MYR50 mln revaluation surplus.
Source: Company data, S&P Equity Research

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Recommendation and Target Price History P rice (M YR)


Date Recommendation Target Price 3.4
New Hold 3.40
25-Feb-10 Hold 3.20
3.2
24-Nov-09 Hold 3.10
26-Feb-09 Hold 2.90
30-Jun-08 Hold 3.10 3.0

2.8

2.6

2.4

2.2
Aug 07 Nov 07 Feb 08 May 08 Aug 08 Nov 08 Feb 09 May 09 Aug 09 Nov 09 Feb 10 May 10 Aug 10

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