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Guide to
Public Disclosure Authorized
January 1990
Public Disclosure Authorized
FILE COpy
Guide to
The Indus Basin Model Revised
January 1990
Table of Contents
Page
No.
A Note on Algorithms 7
A Note on GAMS 7
Livestock Activities . . . . 15
Objective Function 19
Input Prices 21
Commodity Markets . . . 24
International Trade 28
Agronomic Data. . 37
- ii
Crop Calendar (TABLE LAND) . . 38
Livestock Data . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Economic Data . .
42
Resource Inventory 44
Water Inputs . . . . . . . . . . 52
Evaporation of Groundwater. 55
Subirrigation . . 59
Groundwater Balance . . . 59
Rainfall data. . 59
Other data 63
Variables
73
Equations
74
Bounds
86
Model Selection
87
- iii
V. Model Applications . 95
Validation 95
Validation Criteria . 95
Cropping Patterns . 96
Input Use . 98
Constraining Factors '. 98
Applications 103
Bibliography 121
Introduction . 125
Data and Basic Model Specification 131
Water Allocation Base Case, Including Report 231
Water Allocation Models 337
Raised Mangla Models . . 343
Jalalpur Canal Extension Models 369
- iv
Tables
Table 5.1: 1987-88 Cropping Pattern Model Simulation vs. Estimated Actual 97
Table A.1 : List of input and Output Files for the runs made for WSIS 128
Figures
1.2 In its complete version the model, referred to as the Indus Basin
Model (IBM) totaled about 8,000 equations. It proved valuable as a research
tool in investigating water-related projects and agricultural policies where
important externalities with respect to groundwater quality and the depth to
the water table existed. However, its sheer size prevented the researchers
from obtaining more than a handful of solutions.
1.3 In the 1980's it was recognized that components of the model could
be highly useful for the analysis of particular projects in Pakistan. These
components were usually defined on a specific project area and took the
applicable production activities and resource constraints from the large
model. By altering the production technologies and/or resource availabilities
according to the project's objective, the impact of the project on cropping
patterns, resource use, and farmers incomes could be simulated. The Left Bank
Outfall Drain and the On Farm Water Management Projects were two examples of
these project applications.
(GAMS) language, the most up-to-date technology for constructing and operating
such types of models.
1.6 The resulting model, called the Indus Basin Model Revised (IBMR)
contains about 2,500 equations yet retains all of the IBM's detail on the
production side as well as the surface storage and distribution network
(Ahmad, Meeraus, and Kutcher [1986]). It solves readily on many mainframe
computers on which GAMS and a suitable linear programming solver have been
installed (typical cost per solution: $200). An additional feature introduced
for the Kalabagh work and essential to all project work is the ability to
project the model forward in time. By varying those parameters for which
future estimates are available (growth in demand. yields. growth in input use,
effects of projects on the resource base), snapshots of agricultural
performance may be made for future years. In the case of Kalabagh, this
feature was used to simulate the agricultural economy of 2000 with and without
the dam.
1.8 The canals which feed each zone are listed in Table 3.4. Although
it is unfortunate that the zones do not correspond to strict aggregations of
either Districts or canal commands, it must be recognized that homogeneity of
agricultural activity combined with identifiable sources of water control are
critical to keeping aggregation bias to a minimum.
1.10 For all crops except orchard, two technology choices are given:
bullock and semi-mechanized. The bullock technology relies primarily on
manual labor and bullock power; the semi-mechanized one uses a combination of
labor, bullocks, and tractors with the tractors used typically for plowing and
sometimes harvesting. Depending on the relative costs of maintaining bullocks
versus hiring or using tractors, the model will make the technology choice
endogenously. For wheat. additional techniques are given differentiated by
planting and harvesting dates, and water stress levels.
- 3
1.16 The nine zone models are linked together via the surface storage
and distribution model (Kutcher [1976]). This model contains storage nodes
for Tarbela, Mangla, Chasma (and in some versions, Kalabagh) reservoirs.
Surface water enters the system at the rim stations. Flows along river
reaches are simulated with losses and gains from river bank storage. Water
may be stored for later release in the reservoirs or allowed to flow down
river. At each control point (usually a barrage), decisions are simulated to
allow diversions for use within the adjacent production zones or release for
downstream use. The entire system of river reaches and main canals is
contained in the model, using months as the time period of reference.
1.18 After a model has been solved, power generation at Mangla and
Tarbela reservoirs is computed. This is done using the model's determination
of monthly storage levels and outflows, and is tabulated in the solution
report. The value of power generated has no direct bearing on model's
decisions with regard to storage or releases from the reservoirs. (Power
considerations were taken into account by the engineers who set the operating
rule curves for the reservoirs. The rule curves also ensure safe operating
conditions for the reservoirs, and are exogenous to the model.)
1.20 Use of this objective function, called NSP (net social product)
does not preclude tabulation of other aggregates of interest. Value added,
employment, exports and imports of agricultural commodities are just some of
those produced by a solution to the model. For most project analysis, value
added measured in economic prices is required to compute benefits. This
measure is produced automatically in all solutions of the IBMR.
1.21 Given a set of water allocations from the full IBMR or from hand
computation, the zone models may be solved independently. Each zone model
contains less that 200 equations and is solvable on an IBM AT-type personal
computer with the PC version of GAMS (A 386-based machine with extended memory
is preferred). Hence they are cost-effective for localized project analysis,
and are useful for indicative policy analysis as well so long as assumptions
of constant surface water diversions are valid and provided an aggregation to
national totals of production and resource use are not required.
1.23 Thus, if prices are fixed, and the objective function is one
involving some measure of farm income, then the zone model in effect simulates
a representative farm of the zone. Only the scale will differ, and even this
difference can be eliminated either through scaling down the resources given
to the zone model or scaling down the reported outcome of the model's
solution.
1.24 There are two difficulties with this approach. First, when prices
are fixed, the solution usually shows a good deal of specialization in the
cropping pattern, as was speculated above for the individual farmer. If one
observes twelve crops being grown in non-negligible quantities in a zone. the
fixed-price model might produce only four of them. In this case the farm
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model is not representative at all, and the results are not aggregable in any
meaningful sense. Second, farm sizes usually make a substantial difference in
output patterns and input use, so that if farm level results are required. a
disaggregation of farm sizes or types is called for. This would involve
submodels of different farm types and require survey data stratified by farm
size (Kutcher and Scandizzo [1981]).
1.25 One method often used to improve the "fit" of the solution is to
incorporate the fact that farm families typically produce most if not all of
their food consumption needs. The 1988 survey allowed us to estimate the
proportions of the production consumed on the farm, and hence to estimate the
actual on-farm consumption. Current versions of the zone models and the full
IBMR require that the farms embedded in the zone models meet consumption needs
first, and then market any excess. For projects and policies which might
significantly increase farm incomes, a method is given whereby the consumption
may be linked to income levels.
1.27 This is the structure adopted for the zone models: for production
beyond the minimum consumption requirement, downward-sloping demand functions
are derived for each zone model so that changes in production leads to changes
in zone-level prices. Scaling down the solution to a representative farm is
still possible, and indeed, more realistic, because the representative farm
will in fact be an average of the zone in all respects. Hence some results,
such as cropping patterns and production, will be presented at the zone level,
while other information, particularly the components of farm income and costs.
will be given for a representative farm.
1.29 Just as zone models require assumptions about the canal water
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allocated to them in each month, so do the province models (because water is a
scarce national resource which must be shared by the provinces, it would make
no sense to solve a provincial model without an allocation first being
assumed). However, there is some flexibility in how the allocation is made:
one could assume that the allocations by canal continue to hold (in which case
the solution to the province model would simply amount to the sum of the
component models), or one could allow endogenous re-allocation among the
canals but within the overall provincial constraints. Such flexibility, of
course, would be subject to the physical capacities of the surface storage and
distribution system within the province being studied. In the Kalabagh study,
it was found that there was a good deal of room for efficiency gains from
within province re-allocations because the marginal productivity of water
varies greatly from zone to zone.
6. A Rote on Algorithms
1.31 The zone models, however, are sufficiently small that such
approximations are not necessary: they may be solved with a nonlinear
programming algorithm. Such an algorithm (MINOS5) is available with all
versions of GAMS.
7. A Rote on CAMS
1.32 GAMS (Brooke, Kendrick and Meeraus [1988]) has been chosen as the
way to implement the IBMR. We will list the advantages we see in this choice.
1.33 Finally we should mention that the Indus basin models have been
crucial test models for GAMS itself. The standard large and difficult model
for testing each new improvement in GAMS has always been the largest and most
difficult model of the Indus Basin of Pakistan.
1.34 The Indus Basin Irrigation system is divided into nine Agro-climatic
zones. Map IBRD 21611 shows these zones and a brief description follows.
nearly two million canal commanded acres, mostly on the left bank of
the Indus below the Jinnah barrage but also including the Paharpur
and Chasma Right Bank canal command areas in the NWFP Province. The
topography is rough, soils are sandy and seepage is high, resulting
in low cropping intensities and yields. The fresh groundwater and
localized waterlogging in most of the ACZ imply that the potential
for tubewell development is favorable.
wheat, the main crops, have some of the highest yields in Pakistan.
About one fourth of the ACZ suffers from severe waterlogging and
salinity. Groundwater is extensively used in the rest of the zone,
but adequate water remains an overall constraint.
SCWN and SCWS (Sind Cotton-Wheat North and South), each of which
covers over three million acres, are disaggregations of the Sind
Cotton-Wheat zone. Nearly half of the north, and most of the south
is saline and/or waterlogged. Yields on areas remaining in use are
favorable. Groundwater use is minimal, and surface water supplies
are hampered by high losses, particularly at the watercourse level.
SRWN and SRWS (Sind Rice-Wheat North and South) are the right and
left bank delineations of the Sind Rice-Wheat zone. About two
thirds of the 4.4 million acres in the north are saline and all of
the south is similarly classified. Soils are favorable for rice,
the dominant crop. Because of the high water table (at saturation
level in many areas) yields for other crops are poor, and cropping
intensities, particularly in the south, are the lowest in the Basin.
The XAES found that surface water supplies were adequate, although
other inputs, such as fertilizer, are used sparingly.
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2.3 The smallest component of the IBMR is the representative farm, which
we discuss first. The fact the IBMR contains representative farms sets it
apart from most typical irrigation/water resources planning models: in farm
models, cropping patterns and many other variables are endogenous. In most
irrigation models, cropping patterns are given or assumed. and the exercise
boils down to one of operating the irrigation system and/or designing
investment packages which best meet those fixed demands for water. The IBMR
recognizes that water demands are derived demands - derived from the end
product of irrigation activities - the supply of agricultural products.
2.4 After all, it is the value of these products which make irrigation
water valuable. and it is changes in the value of agricultural products which
induce changes in the value of irrigation water. If the value of cotton,
wheat, rice, etc., were to suddenly drop, then the value of the irrigation
water which makes their production possible would also drop.
2.5 On the other hand. the supply of irrigation water can, and strongly
does. affect supplies and prices of agricultural commodities. A major
irrigation product which permits. say. the expansion of area under wheat,
might induce a fall in the price of wheat because farms can grow more of it.
This implies that, in reality, demands for water are not fixed, but that there
is a closely intertwined relation between the supply and demand for water and
the supply and demand of agricultural commodities.
2.6 Ultimately, it is the farmers who choose what to grow. and how much
water to use on each crop. They do so through complex decision-making
involving all of the parameters under which they operate: crop choices,
technology choices, cost and availability of inputs. their own resource
availabilities, and last, but possibly most important: the market
opportunities for their produce.
- 12
2. The Embedded Far.m Models
2.7 From any solution of the IBMR or of any component (any ACZ or
collection of ACZ models) it is possible to deduce the operations of the
embedded farm models and the constraints upon them which prohibit expansion of
agricultural production. It is also possible, by varying the assumption
associated with that solution, to estimate how the embedded "farmer" might
react to say, more or less water, changes in prices of outputs or inputs, or
the availability of an alternative technology.
2.10 The most prevalent and most influential activities in the IBMR are
cropping activities - those which "produce" some crop. They are defined as
the cultivation of one acre of a given crop by a given technology in a given
area at a given time with a given application of irrigation water. A typical
activity appears as in Figure 2.1. Those familiar with input-output analysis
will recognize the similarity: a cropping activity produces one or more
outputs and requires several types of inputs to do so. (The signs on the
entries, positive for outputs and negative for inputs, are only illustrative;
actual model entries may vary.)
2.11 Every cropping activity produces a primary crop output. Since the
activity is defined in terms of acres, the output is the yield in kilograms
per acre. Of course the yield will vary as most of the items in the previous
paragraph vary: farms located in different areas will have different yields
because soils, climate, and water quality vary. Technology may (but does not
in the IBMR) result in different yields. Certainly, timing of the crop and
level of irrigation application affect yields.
2.12 Most crops produce a usable by-product. Only by-products which are
fed to livestock are included in the IBMR. The most notable is straw from
wheat. Others include rice straw, maize leaves, and sugar cane refuse.
2.13 Inputs are included if they are either necessary for crop production
or their cost is sufficient to influence production levels. The former
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Outputs:
crop yield +
by-product yield +
Inputs:
Land
labor
water
traction power
fertilizers
seeds
category includes land, labor, water, and seeds. The latter includes
fertilizer and insecticides and pesticides.
2.15 Labor requirements are also dimensioned by month, and given in units
of man-days per acre in the given month. Time-dimensioning of labor is
necessary because labor demands are highly seasonal, and different crops have
labor demands wpeakingW in different months. This leads to crop
diversification to smooth out labor demands so that they do not exceed the
available supply (discussed below). For example, even though cotton may be
the most profitable crop by far in a given area, farmers probably do not
cultivate their entire area in cotton because experience has taught them that
the labor necessary to pick it is not always available.
2.16 Water requirements are given in acre-feet per month. These numbers
have evolved after analyzing the theoretical consumptive use requirements,
survey data, and model experiments for water balance of the whole basin. In
the cropping activities, only the total requirement needs to be considered;
questions of source of supply (surface, tubewell, subirrigation, etc.) are
dealt with elsewhere in the model.
2.11 Traction power is one of the more complex components of the farm
model. Most cropping activities in the Basin require a combination of tractor
and draft animal (bullock) power for land preparation, planting, weeding, and
harvesting. For most crops, two technology choices are given: semi-mechanized
and bullock (traditional). The two differ in the relative intensity at which
tractors and bullocks are employed for the critical operations of land
preparation and harvesting.
2.18 As was the case with land, labor, and water, traction power
requirements need to be time-dimensioned (again by month) because of the
seasonality of their use. Thus for each cropping activity there is a vector
of tractor requirements (hours per acre in each month) and a vector of bullock
requirements (bullock-pair hours in each month). Of course, many of the
elements of each vector will be zero.
2.20 Seeds and other inputs such as insecticides and pesticides are
registered in the cropping activities only because their costs may affect the
objective function (and hence the relative profitability of the crops). Seed
requirements are given in kilograms for the particular crop, and the cost is
- 15
tallied elsewhere. The other items are totaled under a miscellaneous cost
category.
2.21 This completes the entries in the cropping activities. The reader
may have guessed that the cropping activities are constructed in such a manner
that they "demand" the various inputs, and total input demand for the domain
of the model (farm, ACZ, or whatever) is obtained by summing over all of the
cropping activities. This summing up will be discussed below when we discuss
the equations of the embedded farm model.
Livestock Activities
2.23 Each of the three livestock activities will have different outputs
according to the animal type. All three contribute meat as an output. Cows
and buffaloes contribute milk. Bullocks provide draft power services as an
output of the livestock activity which becomes an input to cropping draft
power requirements.
2.24 The primary inputs required by the livestock activities are fodder.
distinguished by season. Fodder is supplied as by-products of several crops
as described above. as well as the two specialized crops. Rabi-fodder
(berseem) and Kharif-fodder (usually sorghum or maize). Weeds provide an
additional source of nutrient depending on the crops grown. Each source of
fodder supplies nutrients measured in total digestible nutrient (TON) and
digestible protein (OP). The requirements of TON and OP per season appear in
the livestock activities. Animals also require inputs not usually produced on
the farm such as veterinary services. and protein and other supplements.
These are treated as fixed costs per animal. and their total, in monetary
units, also appear in the livestock activities. Finally. livestock
maintenance requires labor in each month, and this need constitutes the
remaining entries in the livestock activities.
2.26 Table 2.1 lists all the crops and livestock possibilities in the
Indus Basin models together with their primary and secondary outputs.
2.28 Note briefly some of the interactions between crops and livestock
which the models contain. In order to produce virtually any crop under
current technology, draft power is needed. But to maintain the bullocks to
supply the power, fodder is needed in both Kharif and Rabi. The fodder crops
may be used to supply the entire needs, or certain crops such as wheat and
sugar cane may substitute for the fodder through their by-products. One task
the model will perform is to optimize the cropping pattern while maintaining a
balance between the fodder supplies and by-products so that the livestock
feeding requirements are met.
Primary Secondary
Output Output Weeds
!tabi crops:
wheat wheat straw yes
!tabi fodder fodder no
gram gram straw yes
mustard & rapeseed oilseed straw yes
potatoes potatoes no
onions onions no
chilli chilli no
Kharif crops:
Basmati rice fine rice straw no
Irri rice coarse rice straw no
cotton seed cotton yes
maize maize grain leaves, yes
stalks
Kharif fodder fodder no
Annual crops:
Sugar cane refined sugar, gur cane tops yes
Orchards fruit yes
Other:
fallow land none none yes
Livestock:
Bullocks draft power meat
Cows milk meat
Buffaloes milk meat
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2.30 As noted above, the cropping activities require land, labor. and
water because. without them, agricultural production would be impossible. On
the other hand, it is the scarcity of these key inputs which constrain the
level of total production. In this section we describe how the constraints
operate to capture this scarcity.
2.31 Although many resources are strictly limited in supply, others have
more than one source of supply. or a primary source which may be augmented.
In general, we will attempt to impose a balance between the demands for each
resource. and the supplies from the various sources. The concept of a balance
is useful because it automatically generates a consistent accounting framework
as well as prohibiting unrealistic solutions (infeasibilities, in linear
programming terms).
2.33 The demand side of the labor balance sums over all crop labor
requirements and livestock maintenance labor in each month. The demand is met
first and foremost by farm family labor, both in the embedded farm model and
in all others versions. The availability of farm family labor is derived from
the number of family workers times the number of days they work in each month
for the embedded farm model. For models of larger domain. the resulting
number is multiplied by the number of farms in the domain.
2.34 In those months for which the demands for labor exceed the supply
from the farm family. the constraint is augmented by hiring from the pool of
labor available for hire. The size of the pool is unlimited for the
individual farm, but is limited to the agricultural labor force in larger
domains.
2.35 The water constraints are the most complex of this section because
of the multitude of sources of supply. In the simplest case, where
groundwater is saline and subirrigation can be ignored. the water constraints
would simply restrict the sum of the demands from crops net of rainfall in
each month to be less-than-or-equal-to the available supplies from the surface
distribution system. Although this treatment would suffice for many farm
models, the emphasis placed on irrigation system issues by the IBMR requires a
more detailed treatment.
- 19
2.37 Second, farms in fresh groundwater areas often own tubewells with
which they supplement surface water supplies. If such is the case, then an
activity which utilizes the tubewell completes the water balance equation for
the embedded farm model. In sum, the equations state that, in each month, the
sum of crop water requirements less the requirements supplied by rainfall and
subirrigation must be less-than-or-equal-to the available surface supplies
plus that which is pumped from tubewells. The tubewell activity will require
an additional constraint or bound to reflect its capacity.
2.38 For domains larger than the farm, the water equations become more
complex, as will be described under the ACZ model section.
Objective Function
2.40 In the ACZ and larger models, it is the overall objective function
which determines which farm-level choices are optimal. Because one model can
have only one objective operating per solution, this implies that the embedded
farm models do not have objective functions of their own. If a representative
farm model or an individual farm model is to be solved in isolation, then an
objective function must be specified. As will become more clear later, the
market-oriented objective functions imply a farm-level objective function
which is essentially profit maximization. In what follows. we will first
assume that we are dealing with a farm model isolation.
2.41 The basic premise in the farm level objective function is profit
maximization. Given prices of his outputs and inputs. the farmer makes the
above-mentioned choices in an attempt to maximize his profits over the
agricultural year. Algebraically, the definition of simple profit is the sum
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over commodities of the output of each times the farm gate price received less
the sum of his inputs times the price he must pay for each.
2.42 There are methodological issues surrounding both the revenue and
cost side of the above profit function. On the revenue side, the main
question is how to value output which is not sold in the market, but is used
or consumed on the farm. Fodder crops, for example. are not usually marketed,
but fed to animals on the farm. In this case. it is proper to ignore the
value of fodder crops because it shows up in the final products of meat and
milk. and/or in the contribution the bullocks make in producing other crops
which are marketed and thus valued.
2.44 The original IBM had linear expenditure system relationships built
in each embedded farm model. These related consumption (which had to be
matched by production or market purchases) to farm income levels. As income
as simulated by the model rose (fell). the consumption of all consumables was
required to rise (fall). This procedure works well for models of individual
small farms. but is not. we feel. appropriate for larger. investment planning
oriented models. The reason has to do with valuing investments at the margin.
As argued earlier. it is the value of the crop output which ultimately
determines the value of a water resources investment. Standard project
analysis procedures require that the incremental output be valued at border
prices. whether or not the commodities are traded. If the incremental output
from a project is say. rice or cotton. then there is no problem. But if we
require part of the incremental to be gram, for example. the valuation of the
project will be distorted downward.
2.46 With this modification. the farm level objective function becomes
the value of crop and livestock production in excess of that consumed on the
farm less the costs of production. Figure 2.2 shows this objective function
graphically for one crop (the entire objective function is summed over all
crops, of course).
- 21
output price
,.------------------5 2
PO~------~------+I--------------------
51~------~------~
o quantity supplied
2.47 Because prices are fixed for an individual farmer, the horizontal
line at Po is the demand function. 51 and 52 are two segments of the farmer's
supply function indicating alternative technologies at different costs. At
the point Qm' he runs out of the input required by 51 (say, bullock power),
and must switch to the higher cost alternative. Qc is his family's
consumption requirement. The objective function, or area to be maximized, is
then the hatched area between Qc and Qm and below Po but above 51' It is easy
to see that the optimality conditions for profit maximization are still met
with this structure since price (Po) equals marginal cost (supply) at the
optimum quantity produced (Qm)'
Input Prices
2.48 Most of the cost items the farmer pays and are charged to the
objective are clear cut: fertilizers, tractor rental costs, seeds, hired
labor wage rates, animal feed supplements etc., are all available in well
functioning markets. He must pay water charges determined by the irrigation
authorities. Methodological issues arise only in the pricing of farm family
labor and land. Consider land first. If land had uses other than for
agricultural production, then it would be appropriate to charge a shadow rent
to the objective function. If so, then the farmer would maximize income over
and above the rental value; otherwise he would give up farming and become a
renter. We assume that there is no alternative use for land other than
farming, so land is priced at zero.
2.49 The same reasoning holds true for farm family labor. If the farmer
had opportunities which paid him more than farming, presumably he would give
up farming and become a worker or merchant. The fact that he does not implies
that farming is his best opportunity. This implies that no shadow wage be
charged to farm family labor. However, there is a difference. Leisure has an
opportunity cost, and we assume that the farmer must make a minimum income
through farming, otherwise it would not be worth his while. The assumed
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shadow or reservation wage is one-half of the hired labor wage. If profit
from farming is less than half the hired labor wage, the farmer would give up
and go join the labor force.
2.51 Figure 2.3 shows the structure of a typical embedded farm model.
2.53 Essentially. an ACZ model is one or two farm level models "blown up"
to the size of the ACZ. By blown up we mean that the vector of resource
availabilities, instead of reflecting one farm, represents all of the farms in
the ACZ (or all of the farms with the particular groundwater type in the ACZ).
However, when we go from the farm level to the level of an ACZ (containing
say, 3,000 farms), there are some important differences to take into
consideration. These differences revolve around the labor market, the supply
of water, and the market for farm commodities. We discuss each in turn.
2.54 The individual farmer, and a model of his farm, does not need to
worry about the labor market from which he draws his employees. No matter how
intensely how farms, he is too small to cause a labor shortage, or to be held
responsible for unemployment. At the level of the ACZ, though, where
thousands of farms may be competing for the available labor, shortages or
surpluses must be addressed. When we sum over all the farms in the ACZ, we
get the total labor demand (by month). This can be compared to, and
constrained by, the number of laborers available in the region. These
additional labor constraints must therefore be added at the ACZ level.
Figure 2.3: Typical Farm Model
+ + + +
Land balances + + + + + + -E= 0
+ + + + + +
+ + +
Labor balances + + + + + -L- 0
+ + + + +
---------
+ + + - canal
Water balances + + + + + =L- water
+ + + + + .upplie. N
W
Tractor power + + + + + + -S- 0
-- ----- ---
Bullock power + + + + + + + -Lx 0
--
Protein supplement + + + -E= 0
-- ----
Fertilizer (N , PI + + + + + + + ::E- 0
Seeda + + + + + + + -8- 0
---
Hiac. cost + + + + + + + + + + =It- 0
2.55 It turns out, in the IBMR and most similar models, that the demand
for labor seldom exceeds the supply. There are a variety of reasons, the main
one being that these models do not account for all of the uses of labor.
Recall from the embedded farm models that labor demands come only from the
cropping and livestock maintenance activities. This needs to be remembered if
the ACZ models show an unrealistic level of unemployment.
2.56 At the farm level, we need only be concerned with the farm's
allocation of surface water reaching him from the watercourse, and his
tubewell capacity, if he has one. At the ACZ level. we need to ensure that
what the farms are using is physically supplied. Whereas one farm cannot hope
to exhaust the ACZ's water supply, all of them taken together can and usually
do exhaust it, at least in Rabi. As with labor, we need ACZ-wide surface
water constraints. The values for the constraints (the monthly water
allocations) are built up from the surface distribution model given an
allocation rule and canal losses, and then mapped to the zones (see next
section). The result is a surface water allocation, by month, for the entire
zone.
Commodity Markets
:~.59 Recall that at the farm level some of the crop output was consumed
on the farm, and any excess was marketed at fixed farm-gate prices. Thus an
individual farmer cannot influence market prices. When we increase the domain
of the models to areas as large as the zones, provinces, and nation, the
assumption of fixed market prices is no longer valid. One can conceive of
many policy and project uses of the model which could have a sufficiently
large impact on production and/or incomes so that market prices would change.
At what point the fixed-price assumption becomes invalid depends on the size
- 25
of the area being modeled, its relative isolation, and its share of the
national market. Clearly, provinces are sufficiently large and transport
costs are sufficiently high that prices do vary between them. The same can be
said of some of the zones.
2.61 Another version assumed that prices are determined at the provincial
level. Each province has its own demand functions, and prices are determined
through the interaction of provincial demand and supply from the ACZ's
belonging to the province. This version would be preferred if it could be
assumed that transport is costless within provinces, which it is not.
2.62 The version prepared for the WSIPS assumes that prices are
determined at the level of the ACZ. That is, each ACZ will have its own
demand functions which interact with its supply functions to determine local
prices. The strong advantage of this approach is that the solutions are
additive: given a surface water allocation to each of the zones, the solution
to the national IBMR can be added up from the solutions of the ACZ models.
The full IBMR would thus only be needed for simulations involving variations
in zonal water allocations. The disadvantage is that prices between zones can
theoretically vary without limit. However, when two or more ACZ models are
solved together, limits in price variation can be included either explicitly
(through constraints, since prices can be variables) or implicitly through
product transportation activities whose costs reflect actual transport
charges.
2.65 The supply function, 55'. is built up from the embedded farm models.
The first segment represents the most efficient production
technology/groundwater type, e.g., semi-mechanized with fresh groundwater.
The next segment dominates when a constraint is hit on the first segment's
producers, e.g., tubewell capacity. Equilibrium is reached when price falls
to the point at which it equals marginal costs (the vertical intercept of the
embedded supply function. Below this price it is advantageous to expand
production. Above it, a loss is incurred.
- 26
market price
D
2.67 It is easy to see that the supply function SSt is indeed a cost
function. and its integral. or area beneath it. is total cost. Consider point
Ql' The marginal cost at Ql is Pl' because the farmers would be breaking
even. If marginal cost were less than Pl' profit maximizing behavior would
dictate that they should supply more than Ql' If it were greater. they would
not supply Ql because they would be incurring a loss. Thus every point on SS'
is indeed the marginal cost at the given Q. and the area under SSt is the
total costs.
2.68 The demand function, DD. slopes downward to reflect the fact that
the more that farmers as a group wish to sell. the lower the price that they
must accept. The demand curve is drawn linear. and this is the form used in
the models. Linear demand functions are not required. although they are
preferred by modelers for their simplicity. They can be specified with
minimal information: the base (observed) equilibrium quantity. price, and an
estimate of the price elasticity (percentage change in price divided by the
percentage in quantity).
- 27
2.69 Algebraically, we desire the demand function
P =a + bQ (b < 0)
e = dQdP*P/Q.
We can solve for the slope
b = dP/dQ = (Po/Qo)/e
and the intercept
and the area under the supply curve is total costs, a function of Q, c(Q).
The objective is thus
Z = aQ + bQ2/2 -c(Q).
a + bQ - c' (Q) .
2.71 The left two terms constitute the definition of price, and the right
term is marginal cost.
2.73 As drawn, the demand curve is limited only the by its intercept, a,
and zero. In reality, prices cannot fluctuate this much because of the
opportunity for trade, both between zones and between countries. For this
reason the zonal demand curves are truncated at 2P o and .5po on the assumption
that outside these limits (if not before) inter-zonal trade will take place to
limit price movements. Of course, simulated price movements of this
magnitude, unless explainable by substantial changes in simulated policies or
investments, probably indicate an error in the model.
- 28
2.74 Note that the truncation of the demand curves implies implicit
inter-zonal trade, but does not actually simulate such trade. If two or more
adjacent ACZ models are to be solved together for a project analysis involving
them both, then such trade ought to be explicit through the inclusion of
transport activities.
International Trade
2.76 From national trade data we know that sugar is currently imported,
and rice (both varieties), cotton and possibly wheat are exported. (Oilseeds
are also imported, but the local varieties of rape and mustard in the model
are assumed to face separate markets). From zonal production patterns we know
which ACZ's have a comparative advantage and excess capacity in the export
crops, and which are likely to require sugar imports. From these data we can
estimate, and place limits on, the exports and imports for each zone in a
given year.
2.77 Exports, bounded by the above limits, are added to the objective
function as additional activities contributing the export price. Imports,
also bounded at the expected levels, and cost" the import price. Both types
of activities have entries in the commodity balance equations with opposite
signs.
2.81 The functions of the SWM can be illustrated with a highly simplified
illustration of the Basin as shown in Figure 2.5. Rim station inflows begin
at points A and B and flow downward toward the sea. The reservoir. C, and the
barrages. 1, 2. and 3. are "nodes" or control points at which the model must
choose to store (reservoir) or release, and in which direction (barrages).
All such decisions are made on a monthly basis and may be restricted by the
physical capacities of the reservoir and canals. Additional inflows to the
system may come from tributaries such as the one pictured above barrage 1, and
rainfall which is measured at all nodes. Artificial nodes may be present at
the intersection of rivers or at the terminus of a link canal to complete the
accounting framework.
2.82 Releases from the reservoir are restricted by an imposed rule curve
to take into account the needs of power generation. Accumulated unreleased
water is constrained by the live storage capacity. Arrows marked D through I
are "sinks" (destinations) representing the water-demanding ACZs. Any water
not diverted to the sinks or lost en route will flow to the sea.
2.83 Losses may occur throughout the system. and the functional form
depends on the type of arc. Losses and gains in river reaches are estimated
using river routing coefficients as a function of flow during current and
previous months.
2.84 Link canals. such as the one from barrage 1 to node J, redirect
water through the system with losses proportional to flow. Irrigation canals,
such as the arc 3H are also subject to losses proportional to flow.
Evaporation losses net of rainfall are specified for each reservoir for each
month.
2.85 The operation of the SWM can be summarized by following the sequence
of endogenous decisions involved. Inflows from A to the reservoir C may
either be stored or released in each month subject to the limitations of
storage capacity and rule curves. Released water arrives at barrage 1 less
losses or plus river bank storage return where it is either a) diverted to D
and E for irrigation, b) allowed to flow downriver to barrage 3, or diverted
to the other river via the link canal 1J. Barrage 2 must take as given the
inflows from B and the link, and either divert it to F and G for irrigation,
or allow it to flow on to barrage 3. Water reaching barrage 3 will be
diverted for irrigation up to the limits of the canals or demands, and any
remainder will flow on to the sea.
- 30
2.86 The resulting model easily lends itself to policy and project
simulation. Inter-regional water allocation policies can be simulated by
placing minimum bounds on the flows to certain nodes or collections of nodes,
or by making flows to different sinks proportional to one another.
Investments in the system such as canal lining or expansion affect the
parameters associated with the arcs so that more water can be delivered. Even
expansion of reservoirs or construction of entirely new ones can be
accommodated, as was illustrated in the Kalabagh study.
2.87 The complete Indus surface network is shown in Figure 2.6. The
component nodes and arcs are described in Part III and IV.
2.88 The current version of the complete IBMR consists of the ACZ models
linked by SWM. The linkages occur at the sinks of the SWM (the points of
irrigation water demand) which, instead of being fixed demands as indicated
above, are surface water diversion variables which enter the water balance
equations of each ACZ. Thus the stand alone SWM must be given estimates of
ACZ water demands, and the stand alone ACZ's must be given water allocations.
Together, water can be allocated to maximize some function of the crop and
livestock production of the ACZ's while maintaining feasibility with respect
to the physical limitations of the surface system and with respect to any
politically-imposed restrictions on water allocations. The function to be
maximized is the above-discussed sum of ACZ objectives: consumers' plus
producers' surpluses net of costs of production plus the value of exports and
less the cost of imports.
2.89 Although handled through the report routine and not an integral part
of the IBMR. several other features of the full model need to be noted.
\] Reservoir
~ Barrage
Canal ConmJ"\d
...... LinkCinal
SEA
Figure 2.6
PAKISTAN
WA'IER SECTOR INVESTMENT PLANNING STI.."DY
l..1NKCANAt..S
o H!:AOWORKS
MAIN CANAU BARRAGE
RESERYOIRS..
RIVERS
PROPOSED
_ ...... 'NTERNATIONAl.. 80UNDARV
EXISTING
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
fj.TARBELA
. .MadhOOtJr
K.bul R.
.,,.,,,.1t(JI\I/_"sallll"",,""
twfol ",.
F....rtc. CaJ:)or.hOtt
--
oII'lV ~ on 1M '-filii .t ..,.
ot.,."t~OI""
MI07""'" 01 ,,"tP'anc. 01
- 33
Technology: acreage of each crop according to semi
mechanized or bullock technique.
2.91 The linkage between the surface water supplies and the endogenous
ACZ demands and the objective function provide the key to the power of the
IBMR to analyze projects. Without this linkage, either water demands must be
assumed (derived from fixed cropping patterns) or water supplies must be
assumed (derived from a given allocation pattern). With the linkage and the
objective function driving the system to optimality, the built-in flexibility
permits optimal use of the project's resources. Consider a water-supplying
project. In the end, the return on the project depends on where the water is
allocated, and how it is used. Given the vast number of choices (canals.
ACZ's, groundwater types, crops, technologies, etc.) it is a formidable, if
not impossible task to select an optimal configuration without such a model.
Furthermore, the configuration assumed for the project analysis is quite
likely to be infeasible without the benefit of a consistency framework such as
that provided by the model.
2.92 The model, however, is not a method for directly analyzing projects;
instead it is a tool to assist in their analysis. In what follows we will
describe how this tool may be used for a hypothetical project.
2.93 First, it must be noted that all prices in the model discussed so
far have been financial prices except for the reservation wage on farm family
labor. Second. the shadow prices produced by the model are measured not only
in financial prices, but are determined by the consumers' plus producers'
surplus objective function. Hence they do not correspond to recognizable
measures of the marginal value of resources, and should only be used relative
to one another. Thus a shadow price on the tubewell stock in ACZ X cannot be
used to derive an investment program for X, but can indicate the relative
shortage of tubewells in X relative to another ACZ, Y. Thus the shadow prices
are useful only for determining directions of resource allocation, and the
need for investment.
2.94 For project analysis, economic prices must be used because of the
distortions found in financial prices in all countries. The models carry, or
the reports generate, a parallel objective function measured in these economic
prices. It is called VAEP, for value added in economic prices. It is similar
to the fixed price objective described for the farm models except that all
output is valued in constant economic prices, and all inputs are priced at
- 34
their economic costs. VAEP may not be used realistically as the objective
function for the simple reason that the prices and costs it contains are not
those on which the farmers make their decisions. But VAEP, when compared from
two different solutions, gives the net change, or benefit, between them.
2.96 We revise the input data to reflect the higher capacity of the canal
as a result of the project, but nothing else (unless there were other
components of the project such as land-leveling which would increase yields,
or lining, which would reduce the losses). The new solution - the with
project case - ought to show a higher VAEP as more water is delivered through
the canal to produce more wheat. cotton. or whatever. The difference between
the two measures of VAEP, say, 80,000, is the net annual (since it is an
annual model) benefit of the project measured in economic prices as desired.
We may then use the net benefit data and the cost data to calculate the
internal rate of return and the net present value. Lotus 1-2-3 or a similar
spreadsheet does this readily, as shown in Table 2.2, which assume a 20-year
project life with full benefits beginning to accrue in the second year.
1 -400000 -400000
2 80000 80000
3 80000 80000
4 80000 80000
18 80000 80000
19 80000 80000
20 80000 80000
3.2 The input data for the original Indus Basin Model was provided by the
1976 Extended Agricultural Economics Survey (XAES) supplemented by the 1972
Pakistan Census of Agriculture (PCA) , the 1976 Livestock Census (LC), and
various studies undertaken for the Revised Action Plan (RAP). WAPDA provided
many published and unpublished data on the irrigation system.
3.3 More recent versions have benefited from the 1980 PCA, a Census of
Agricultural Machinery in 1984 (CAM), the 1986 LC, Crops, Vegetables, and
Fruits in Pakistan (CVF) (a 1986 study by the Food and Agriculture Division of
the Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Co-operatives), and annual versions of
Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan (ASP), the most recent of which is 1987
88. In 1988 WAPDA undertook a re-survey of 500 farms of the XAES. Detailed
work on several projects has provided additional project-level data. In
addition, price information is continually updated by the Agricultural Prices
Commission (APCOM).
3.4 The current data base of the IBMR draws on all these sources, and as
additional information, censuses, and other data become available, they are
incorporated if they are relevant. As will become evident, the data available
are not complete, and some estimation procedures are required to fill in
missing values. The consistency checks imposed by the model's structure
reveal inconsistencies within the data, particularly when they come from
different sources, and adjustments will sometimes become necessary.
3.6 We should emphasize that the judgments and analysis presented here
have been made for evaluating specific projects using data available at the
time. There is nothing sacred about these data or the assumptions that have
been made in collecting it into a consistent whole. In fact the data must be
updated as prices, practices and technology change, and as more records are
accumulated by the Irrigation Departments and WAPDA. It is also likely that
- 36
3.7 It is worth making two other comments before we begin. There are
certainly errors contained in the data set for IBMR. But we believe that
taken as a whole it provides a consistent description of the agriculture and
irrigation in the Indus basin. To run optimizing models of the entire basin,
that produce cropping patterns. animal populations. and gross output levels
that are in good agreement with observation is a demanding test of the model.
The predictions made about the groundwater imbalance are also consistent with
observation. which adds more confidence that the treatment of water delivery
and consumption are consistent.
3.9 We now proceed with the main piece of this section: a discussion of
the input data for the IBMR under the following headings:
1. Agronomic data.
Information about the cropping activities in the basin. This covers
the cropping calendar. required inputs such as labor. draft power,
water. and fertilizer as well as yields of crops and by-products.
There are 15 crops in the model. most of which can be grown in
different ways. called technology variants. Also. the cropping
calendars and yields are different in different parts of the Basin,
called agro-climatic zones. This information is entered in the model
separately for each zone-crop-technology combination.
2. Livestock Data.
This covers labor and feed requirements and output from the livestock
animals. There are three types of animals in the model: buffaloes,
cows and bullock. The outputs produced are draft power (needed for
plowing), meat and milk.
3. Economic Data.
Data needed to estimate the demand for the crop and livestock
outputs. and financial and economic prices of inputs and outputs.
4. aesources Inventory.
Inventory of resources available. except for water which is treated
separately. Resources include the number of: agricultural workers,
tractors, private tubewells, households and animals. and the total
irrigated area.
s. Irrigationsystems data.
reservoirs.
- 37
6. Water Inputs.
7. Other data.
Miscellaneous parameters.
1. Agronomic Data.
3.10 Each of the fifteen crops can be grown with one of several
technologies. Technology means cultural practices, for example variations in
the growing period or type of inputs used to grow the crops. The intent is to
capture the most important different ways of growing the crop. taking into
account both the ~ of scarce resources and the production of outputs. In
the IBMR there are three main technology variants; they are the type of draft
power used, the time of sowing and harvesting and the amount of water provided
to the crop. The table below gives examples of the naming conventions used to
describe different technologies.
3.12 The draft power teChnology that uses tractors is called semi-
mechanized because some of the operations are done using tractors and some
(rice threshing, for example) still require bullocks.
3.13 As with water, the timing variants are described with respect to the
standard growing calendar. The accelerated variants produce smaller yields,
but require land for less of the year.
3.15 The components of the agronomic data are explained in more detail
below in the sequence in which they generally appear in the GAMS model. The
references in parentheses are to the GAMS arrays containing the data.
3.17 A convenient cross-check for these data are given in the calendars of
the Agricultural Development Bank of Pakistan. Note. however. that if any
changes are made to TABLE LAND. corresponding changes must be made in the
following four tables. The sequencing of all application of water. labor. and
the use of tractors and bullocks depends, of course. on the timing of the
growing cycle.
3.18 As explained above the model uses two sources of draft power.
bullocks and tractors. Draft power requirements are entered in terms of hours
required per acre of crop for one bullock or a tractor for each technology by
month when required in each zone. Bullock requirements are given in GAMS
table BULLOCK. Because bullocks always work in teams, these data are then
converted to bullock-pair hours by doubling them in a GAMS assign statement.
These data enter the draft power balances as demands which must be supplied by
the available stock of animals. The source for these data was the XAES and
the 1988 re-survey.
Nutrient: N P N P N P
3.24 Seed input, in units of Kgs of seed per acre of crop. are given in
table SLYDS under the label SEED. The cost of fertilizer and seed is used in
the cost constraint of the model. The source of these data are the XAES.
updated from CVF and the re-survey.
3.26 GAMS table NATYIELD contains the latest national average yields by
crop, in kilograms per acre. These are the only data that must be updated
annually.
3.29 To estimate yields for future years a compound annual growth rate is
applied to these yields. These rates are given in GAHS table GROWTHCY in
percent by crop and zone. The growth in yields are assumed to be in response
to changes in inputs and improved practices. The growth rates have been
calculated based on recent history (five-years). Care must be taken, and the
growth rates revised, for projections of more than a few years.
3.30 Only those crop by-products which are fed to the animals are
specified in the model; others are ignored. By-product yields are specified
as a ratio of the yield of the main product, and are entered in the column
STRAW-YLD in GAHS table SLDS. For those crops with no by-products (cotton
crops and orchard) a blank, meaning zero, is entered.
3.32 Yield data are used in the crop commodity, fodder, and demand
constraints. They are obviously very important in determining the gross level
of production, given known resource inputs. In general there is less
uncertainty about the validity of the numbers used, since yields are routinely
and accurately measured.
2. Livestock Data
bullocks. Cows and buffaloes are for meat and milk production and bullocks
nutrients (TDN) and digestible protein (DP). There is also a green fodder
constraint, which requires that a certain proportion of the TDN be green feed
rather than straw. These data are in metric tons by season for each zone.
They are given in GAHS table IOLIVE under the labels TDN and DP. Labor
requirements for each animal type are given under label LABOR, and are in man
hours per animal per month. Milk and meat yields in liters and kgs are listed
in the same table. The annual fixed cost for maintaining an animal in rupees
per year is under label FIX-COST. Included are veterinary costs and dietary
time.
Estimates obtained from livestock specialists are very generous compared with
- 42
3.36 Draft power available from each bullock is specified in parameter BP.
It is in bullock hours per month and varies over the seasons less draft
power is available from a given animal in the hot months.
3.37 The conversion from output of fodder crops or straw to inputs of TDN
and DP uses factors given in GAMS table SCONV. These factors only depend on
the crop products. but the table is formulated by season to indicate when the
nutrient is available. For example wheat is a Rabi crop and its straw is
available in Kharif. Weeds are converted to nutrients using the factors for
Rabi fodder.
3.38 GROWTHQ is the assumed growth in meat and milk yields used when the
model is projected forward in time.
3. Economic Data
3.39 Economic data include prices and demand parameters and are critical
to the performance of the model as they define the objective function.
3.41 Financial and economic prices (costs) of inputs follow table PRICES.
FINSDWTPR contains seed costs, WAPDA water charges, and miscellaneous costs
(insecticides, herbicides), all per acre. ECNSDWTPR contains economic prices
for the same items. Table PRll contains prices for miscellaneous cost items:
- 43
fertilizers, protein supplements, tubewell operating costs (TWOPC) and tractor
operating costs (TROPC). Table WAGEPS gives wage rates. Note that they vary
by month due to the peaking of labor demand.
3.42 Following the prices are production, consumption, and demand data.
Table TOTPROD contains estimated total production in the base year, 1987-88.
These numbers do not enter the model directly, but are used for comparing the
simulated production with the actual, and for deriving the consumption and
demand data. Expected production is obtained by mUltiplying the standard
yields by zone and crop by the expected crop area. Note the column titled sc
HILL is total expected production of cane.
3.45 For future years. the above procedure (for which a spreadsheet
analysis was employed) may be repeated if desired. but a simpler method is to
apply growth rates to DEMAND. Growth in demand is a function of both
population and income growth. The combined rate of growth is given in table
GROWTHRD.
3.46 Parameter ELAST contains the price elasticities of demand which are
used to define the slope of the demand functions. These data should not be
changed unless updates are available from a consumption study.
3.47 Tables EXPV and EXPZO give proportions to distribute the export
limits defined in parameter NATEXP to the zones. International markets for
cotton, rice, and onions are limited in the short run. and we therefore cannot
allow the model to export much beyond the current levels. The zonal
distributions are somewhat arbitrary but based on zonal comparative advantage.
They are necessary if the zone models are solved in isolation and are expected
to aggregate to the full IBMR.
- 44
4. Resource Inventory
3.48 These data are presented in tables RES88 , CROPAREA and the parameter
SMILLCAP, and are for year 1988. They are used variously in constraints in
the model, for validation runs, or for reporting purposes. The numbers of
tractors and tubewells are used to provide limits on tractor and tubewell
usage in the model. Similarly farm population is used to compute the labor
availability. The capacity of all sugar factories, which is used to limit the
amount of cane grown for milling, is given by zone in SMILLCAP.
3.50 Growth rates for these resources are given in GAMS table GROWTHRES
and are used to compute inventories for future years.
3.52 For modelling agricultural practices, the Indus basin has been
divided into nine Agroclimatic zones (ACZ) , in each of which cropping patterns
and associated technologies are broadly similar. An ACZ may cut across canal
command boundaries and need not be geographically contiguous, and there will
be areas of fresh and saline groundwater that must be treated separately:
tubewell pumping is allowed in fresh but not in saline.
3.53 When modelling the irrigation system, on the other hand, the basic
unit of area is the canal command, which is the area that can be irrigated by
a single canal. All the data on availability of irrigation water from canals
is specified by canal command, and so must be transformed to the aggregation
level of the agricultural model, i.e. the Agroclimatic zone, while still
preserving the separation of fresh and saline areas. In this section we will
explain how this transformation is carried out.
3.54 Each canal command in the system is divided into sub-areas based on
the following principles: Each sub-area
3.55 This division ends up giving 63 sub-areas derived from the 43 canal
commands in the system, with between one and four sub-areas per canal command.
- 45
3.56 With the above disaggregation each sub-area is assigned to one ACZ
and is either fresh or saline. The sub-area is identified with the canal
label and sub-area label, e.g. the second sub-area in Rohri canal will be 39
ROB, S2. In set ZSA(Z,CNL,SA) all the sub-areas for each ACZ are listed and
this set is the main source of mapping information. Resulting canal to ACZ
mapping is provided in Table 3.4. Similarly all the sub-areas which are fresh
are listed in set GWF(CNL,SA), and areas not in this set are saline by
default.
3.57 For quantities which can be summed, such as CCA and diversions, the
value for each sub-area is added to make the ACZ total. Others, for example
rainfall and evaporation, which are specified per unit area, are weighted by
the ratio of CCA of the sub-area to the total CCA of zone. Summation over
fresh and saline sub-areas respectively gives the totals for the fresh and
saline components of the zone. The fresh and saline portion together
constitute the total ACZ.
3.58 Quantities such as public tubewell pumpage which are relevant only
in the fresh sub-areas are mapped to the fresh component of ACZ. If data is
available by canal command then it is allocated to the sub-area based on the
fresh CCA of the canal command. Similarly when aggregating to the ACZ, the
weight for the sub-areas is computed by taking the ratio CCA of the sub-area
to the fresh area of the ACZ.
3.60 This is the total area which can be cropped to which canals can
supply irrigation water. It includes the area served by all downstream branch
canals, distributories, minors and watercourses. In the COMDEF table it is
given in millions of acres. For present conditions it is taken from the RAP
supporting report, Irrigation Drainage and Flood Management (IDFM). Canal
extension and development projects will change these numbers.
3.61 This is the delivery capacity of the canal, i.e. a measure of the
maximum instantaneous flow. Capacities are normally given as rates, for
example, cubic feet per second. In the GAMS table they are entered in the
- 46
Table 3.2: Zone-District Mapping
- 47
Table 3.3: Canal Command to Subarea Mapping
model's units, million acre feet (MAF) per month. In some cases historic
diversions may be greater than the design capacities. This most often occurs
when channels are run slightly over their design capacity: adjustment
(scouring) takes place after about 20 days. A more dramatic increase can
occur if what is referred to as a canal is actually a collection of
distributories (typically taking off from a link canal). Then each channel
has extra head board, and if they are all run over capacity the proportional
increase can be much larger.
3.62 Canal rehabilitation and remodelling projects may also cause changes
in the capacity of the canal.
3.64 These efficiencies are used to compute the water available at the
root zone for a given amount of water at the watercourse head. Again this is
an average number: in practice farms at the head of the watercourse suffer
less loss, and those at the tail, more. Included are the losses from the head
of the watercourse to the root zone, which includes government watercourse,
farm channel and field losses. Watercourse efficiencies are specified by
season (Rabi and Kharif), on the assumption that water use behavior depends on
the relative scarcity of water, which is likely to be more pronounced in Rabi
than in Kharif. Field efficiencies are taken the same for all year as they
depend on how level the fields are. These efficiencies are used for canal and
public tubewell water. Private tubewells are assumed to be closer to the
fields where the water is used, and the watercourse losses are therefore
halved and but the same field losses are used. Seepage from watercourses and
fields contributes to the groundwater recharge. The amount is assumed to be
80% of the total losses.
3.65 Most of these canal characteristics data are provided in the IDFM
report. It is emphasized here that most of the command area development
projects impact on one or more of the above characteristics, and so the
relevant numbers should be updated when projects are evaluated.
3.66 Currently the three main storage reservoirs included in the model
are Mangla, Tarbela and Chasma. However, the model is constructed in such a
way that any node can be converted to a reservoir by specifying a nonzero
capacity at that node. (The concept of nodes and arcs was explained in the
surface water routing section.) For each reservoir in the system, live
capacity, operating rule and evaporation loss (net of rain) has to be
- 50
3.67 The live capacities for all three reservoirs are given in the GAMS
table RRCAP, for a number of different years. These capacities were computed
using the sedimentation rates suggested in the IDFM report. The rule curves
are in GAMS tables RULELO and RULEUP. They were provided by Water Resource
Management Directorate (WRM) of WAPDA and Kalabagh design report. Evaporation
from the reservoir (net of rain) is given in GAMS table REVAP and varies by
month. It is estimated based on the average surface area of the reservoirs
using the operating rules.
3.73 River reaches are treated differently. Flow at the downstream end
of the reach is determined using incoming flows for the current and the
previous month in the following formula:
3.75 Negative flows are set to zero. The coefficients B are given in
GAMS table RIVERB, and C and D are in RIVERCD. They were derived
statistically using the historic flows at barrages. Because of the difficulty
of interpreting a constant term in the regression (especially a negative one),
we forced the constant to be zero. This had a very small effect on the
correlation coefficient.
- 52
6. Vater Inputs
3.77 These data were derived as follows. The Water Resource Management
Directorate (WRMD) of the Planning Division of WAPDA publishes the historic
discharge data in a yearly publication called wIndus Basin Irrigation System,
Historic Rivers and Canals, Discharge Data W This contains all the canal
diversions in thousands of cusec for each 10-day period. A list of discharge
data extracted from this WRM publication is provided in Table 3.5. The lO-day
data are then converted to monthly MAF and rearranged to match with the canal
commands in the model.
3.79 04-UC Upper Chenab Canal. Data for canal No.2 (Upper Chenab Canal
Internal Use) in the data book are computed by subtracting BRBD link at head
and UCC at the tail, therefore the losses in the UCC link canal are included
in the internal use. The model has two Upper Chenab canals, one an Irrigation
canal serving the command area and the other a link canal. The link canal is
used to transfer water whenever needed, and losses are computed based on the
flow in the canal. A separate accounting is made for losses and diversions
for crop use, called 04-UC.
Here 0.9295 is the link canal efficiency used in the model, so that
the term in parenthesis computes the losses in the link canal which
are then subtracted from the Internal use.
- 53
Here 0.9925 and 0.9647 are the efficiencies to route water from
sub-link and MR tail to the head which is then subtracted from the
discharge at head to compute water diverted for irrigation along the
MR link called MR canal in the model.
No. 3 canal is the total discharge of LCC and LCC feeder. The
factor 0.471123 is determined from the discharges tabulated for
these canals in the RAP - IDFM report.
13-UJ The diversions for 13-UJ Upper Jehlum canal are computed by
subtracting Rasul Power channel and UJ link at head from the UJ at
Skya. The link canal efficiency used to determine the discharge at
the head is 0.901.
1S-HAV Losses in the Haveli link are subtracted from the Haveli
internal use. 0.0355 is the loss factor used in the model:
16-MAI=No.26 + No.25
24-VAR Warsak canal in the model is the sum ofWarsak Gravity (right
Bank). Warsak lift canal and Warsak Left Bank:
3.81 The remainder of the canals are directly assigned without mapping as
shown below.
Evaporation of Groundwater
3.83 Because of capillary action in the soil, water rises towards the
root zone or surface from the water table and evaporates. A portion of this
evaporation is absorbed by the root system of crops, and contributes towards
their water requirements. This is often called subirrigation from the
groundwater. If the water table is close to the surface, say within 3 feet,
the evaporation rate is effectively the same as the pan evaporation. At
depths greater than 6 feet, it is less than 10% of pan evaporation. So it is
within the 3 to 6 foot zone that subirrigation is important and sensitive to
water table depth. Several studies have been made to estimate the amount of
evaporation from the groundwater for different levels of water table and for
different soil types. Most of them try to relate the potential evaporation
from a free water surface to the depth to groundwater table. Some of these
studies have been done in Pakistan, and these are summarized in Section V-338
of the IDFM report.
"
III
24
20
18
1.
14
1.
10
..
:a
0
Iv ~ ..kin Jul
"
!2
III
1M
Z2
IIG
1.
1.
14
,.
10
I
.
iii
Iv " ..kin Jul
C c:an.1 Dlvr81D,.
c D.S
~
i
D.a
0.7
!
15
D.!
D.::S
11.4
!
I 0.3
0.2
0.1
0
2 .. 6 II 10
Dlpt.n to water" Tlllble C~..t:J
3.86 GWEVAP is then computed using the formula given above. In the
current version of the IBMR evapotranspiration is used in two ways. A portion
of it is available as water supply to crops. Secondly, in IBMR accounting is
done of all inflows and outflows from the groundwater. Evaporation is an
outflow. Both these effects are discussed briefly below.
Subirrigation
Groundwater Balance
3.88 After the model solution a report on the total inflows and outflows
to the groundwater is prepared using the diversion and pumping decisions made
by the model. In this report evaporation from GW is given as outflow and for
areas with high water tables it is considerable. The entire evaporation given
by GWEVAP is taken and converted to MAF using area.
Rainfall Data
3.89 Most of the rainfall occurs in the monsoon months, June through
August. Rain data is used to estimate the irrigation requirements and
recharge to the groundwater due to the rainfall. Mean monthly rainfall in
inches by canal command is entered in the GAMS table RAIN(CNL,M). It is
assumed that 15% of the rain is lost to direct runoff, that some is lost in
the fields and that the remainder is available for consumptive use. Field
losses are estimated using the field efficiencies given in table COMDEF.
Effective rain fall in feet per acre is therefore calculated (by month for
each canal) using the following equation:
3.93 Surface water inflows to the system are required when running the
complete system model. In the model these inflows are grouped in two
categories, rim station inflows and tributary inflows. Rim stations are
points where rivers enter Pakistan or key locations such as reservoir sites
upstream of the irrigated areas. Tributaries enter into river reaches
laterally below the rim stations. In the model tributary flows are added at
the most convenient node, usually at the lower end of the river reach.
Tributary flows represent onlya part of the lateral flows, and are the only
ones for which numbers are available. The others are inferred as a by-product
of the water routing procedures.
3.94 The model usually uses 50% probability flows. If the system's
response to low flows is of interest, then 80% probability flows have been
computed, and they can be used. By 50% probability. we mean that there is a
50% chance in any given year that the flows will be at least equal to what we
have assumed. More details of exactly what this means and how these flows
have been derived is given below. In a similar way, the 80% probability flows
are such that in four years out of five the flow will be equal to or greater
than the given flow. Both these sets of flows have been calculated using the
available historic record for each rimstation and tributary. They are entered
in the GAHS table INFL5080. The measuring stations, availability of historic
records in the database and the method of calculating these flows is described
in the following sections.
3.95 The river stations and the availability of records are shown in
tables 3.7 and 3.8.
- 61
Table 3.7: Available Rim Station Records
1. Data for stations 1 through 5 are published by WRMD and for others are
given in the IDFM report.
Including Nowshera
To attock
Chasma-Taunsa Tributary It . It
Data for all the tributary inflows are taken from the IDFM report.
- 62
3.96 As explained above certain level (50% or 80%) of flows are computed
from the historic records and entered in the model. Computation of these
flows from historic records is explained using the example of Indus river
above Tarbela. In this case monthly observations covering the years 1936 to
1988 are available.
Step 3. Select a season. We will take Rabi for this example. For each month
in the season, the year with the median flow is selected. Here we
have 52 observations, so in each case the 27th is selected from the
sorted lists. Tabulate the discharge for all these months. In Table
3.9, column 2 we show the years selected. The corresponding flows
are in column 3. The seasonal total for these flows would be 8.157
MAF.
Step 4. Notice that the discharge for each month is from a different year.
In river discharges there is a correlation between flows in adjacent
months, i.e. the discharge in one month is predictable to some extent
from the previous month's discharge. If we use the discharge pattern
computed in step 3 we will ignore any correlation. To correct for
this problem we pick monthly breakdown for the season which has the
median seasonal flow. This turns out to be the Rabi of year 85-86.
The monthly discharge pattern for this season is listed in column 4:
the seasonal total is 8.124 MAF.
3.97 If the sample is large, then the difference in 50% flows by month or
by season is not great, especially for the river Indus which has large and
well observed flows. However, when looking at patterns when the flows are
unusually high or low it is important to use the procedure as outlined above.
- 63
3.98 Flows based on 50% probability are used in the model in most of the
experiments. These flows are presented in Tables 3.10 and 3.11. and shown
graphically in Figure 3.1. Total inflow to the system. river and tributaries
is 147.04 MAF of which 138.690 is main rivers at the rim station. Figure 3.1
also shows the seasonal variations in the flow. 85% of the flow is in Kharif
and 15% is in Rabi. About 90% of the flow is contributed by Indus, Jeh1um.
Chenab and Kabul rivers. The Ravi and Sut1ej currently contribute only 6%.
For runs representing future years. the flows in these two rivers are set to
zero.
7. Other data
3.99 Several factors are used in the model for converting the inputs to
make the equations homogenous in dimensions. Examples are the conversion from
number of tubewe11s to the total discharge capacity in acre feet per month or
from number of tractors to available tractor hours per month.
3.100 Some data are used only in reporting. for example the contribution of
river and link canal seepage to the groundwater of each zone.
- 64
River
Name Apr Hay Jun Jul Aug Sep Kharif
River
Name Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Rabi Annual
River Reach Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Rabi Annual
4.1 In this chapter we will describe the GAMS implementation of the Indus
Basin Model Revised (IBMa). This discussion assumes an understanding of the
fundamentals of GAMS. and of the previous section on the sources and content
of the data.
4.2 For convenience with personal computers. two types of extracts have
been made of the full lBMa. The first is the class of zone models. This
means a model of a particular zone: it only includes the data needed for that
zone. and requires that canal water available be specified as part of the
mode1's data. These models are much smaller than the full lBMa. and can be
solved on properly equipped personal computers. The other type of model
extract is the surface water modu1e-. often called SWM. This contains all
the detail of the water network but none of the agricultural activities. It
is particularly useful for investigating whether a proposed water allocation
schedule is possible under various different water supply regimes. The supply
variations may involve. for example. differences in inflows or link canal
capacities or reservoir siltation. SWM can also be solved on personal
computers.
4.3 In this part we discuss explicitly the full lBMa. and not either of
the above mentioned extracts. Everything in the extracts is contained in the
full model.
4.5 For operating convenience. the lBMa program has been broken into
three pieces. containing respectively the data. the model setup and solve. and
the report. This is convenient because the solve piece needs changes with
almost every run. while the data and report do not. In Appendix A (which
contains a listing of the standard model) the three pieces are referred to as
WSlSD1. WSlSMl and WSlSR1. There is a map at the end of each of the listings.
each one showing only the symbols referenced in that piece. Page numbers
continue sequentially through the three listings.
4.6 The sets provide the basic building blocks of the model. As an
example, the set definitions are where we list all the crops, and zones, and
technologies. Logically the sets must come before the data that depends on
their membership, and therefore we discuss the sets and the organization of
the data together.
- 68
4.7 The general principles listed below were used in laying out the
model.
o All data for all zones in the Basin are specified. Data are entered
in their most elementary fonn, and any transformations needed for the
model's purposes are written explicitly immediately following. For
instance. if fertilizer application growth rates are to be applied to
historic data. this will be done following the tables containing the
historic data.
o Only after all the data needed for the model's equations have been
entered. and transfonned as needed. are the equations and variables
themselves defined and specified. The equation and variable
definitions are general. All the relationships needed for either the
full basin model, or for any combination of the nine zone models. are
specified.
o Then comes the solution part. This is where the model to be solved
is defined. i.e. where choices are made from the general framework
provided by all the equations and variables. This means, for
example, that a choice must be made as to the extent of the model
(whole basin or one or more zones). and which of the objective
function specifications (nonlinear or linearized segmented) will be
used. It is common to solve more than one model within a program:
the models may differ in specification or they may use different
data.
4.8 We will now discuss the components of the model using the "subtitle"
groupings as headings.
- 69
Set Definitions.
4.9 This section contains the basic sets needed to define the structure
of the model. These rarely need to be changed. Two important extensions of
the basic set are also used here.
Subsets are used if there are groupings within a set. The first
example is of consumable commodities, CC(CQ). This is a subset of all
commodities, CQ. The reason for the distinction is that the consumption
relationships deal only with consumables.
This section ends with a specification of which year is being modelled. The
scalar BASEYEAR is a number used in various calculations using growth rates
(crop yields, fertilizer application rates, etc.). The set ISR contains only
one member, and gives a choice of which irrigation scenarios are used.
Crop data.
4.10 This large section contains the technical coefficients for cropping.
Most of it is the monthly tables discussed in the data section. These are
LAND, BULLOCK, LABOR, WATER, and TRACTOR. They are all indexed over the sets
C (crop), Z (zone), T (cultivation technology), S (sequencing variant), W
(water stress), and M (month). Following are tables of straw yield and seed
data, fertilizer application rates, and growth rates. over time, of
fertilizer usage by crop. The section ends with a statement that calculates
fertilizer rates for the year being modelled.
Crop Yields
4.11 The next section contains crop yields. These are based on national
yields (NATYIELD(C, and adjustment factors that follow (YLDPRPV(C.PV) and
YLDPR2S(C.Z are used to convert to provincial and zone yields. For the
timing and water stress technology variants. a further set of adjustment
factors are used (YLDPR20). Estimates of yield growth per year (in percent)
are in GROWTHCY(C,Z). Finally a set of calculations are done, producing the
final yield values in YIELD(C,T,S,W,Z). Notice that, as we would expect, all
the sets involved in the definition of LAND. BULLOCK etc, except time (M), are
needed to the specify yields.
Livestock Data
4.12 This short section contains the livestock input and output
coefficients by zone. and the factors used to convert fodder and crop by
product quantities to animal nutrient.
4.13 This section contains data that define the spatial structure of the
basin and of the irrigation system. The set CNL defines the 43 canal
commands. (Note that the numbers 30 and 40 do not appear in the labels).
Following is the mapping set PVCNL(PV.CNL). which specifies the identity of
these canals by province.
Climatic Data
4.15 Climatic data consist of the monthly evaporation and rainfall data by
canal, in tables EVAP(CNL,M) and RAIN(CNL,M).
4.16 These are in table DIVPOST: the mean diversions by month and by
canal for the post-Tarbela period, 1976-7 to 1987-8.
4.18 This very important section defines the river and link canal network.
This network has been described in some detail in the previous chapter. The
set N consists of a list of all nodes. 37 of them. Ten of them are
ftartificials ft i.e. no recognizable place names correspond to these: they are
named A1 to A10 for convenience. Comments describe the location of these.
- 71
The set Nl is an "alias for N. which means it contains the same members. It
is sometimes necessary to use two names for the same set when specifying maps.
Set I specifies the rivers. and the mapping set NI(N.I) specifies. for each
river. the node at which the flow enters the system. Set NC(N.CNL) describes
node to canal mapping: i.e. a specification of the nodes from which each of
the canals draw their water. The set NN(N.Nl) defines the river and link
canal network. The meaning here is. that if a given pair of nodes are
specified in this set. then an arc. or flow path exists between them. The
sense of the flow is that the first named node receives water from the second.
For example. the lower Indus is represented as shown below. (This is an
incomplete fragment. and presented just to give the idea.)
GUDU-B (PANJNAD-B.TAUNSA-B)
SUKKUR-B.GUDU-B
KOTRI-B .SUKKUR-B
A-SEA .KOTRI-B
So water flows to Gudu from both Panjnad (on the Sutlej) and Taunsa (on the
Indus). and from Suhkur to Kotri. and so on. The flows to canal commands are
not here: they have already been entered in the node to canal map. set
NC(N.CNL). The set NB(N) is a subset that contains all members of N except A
SEA (the Arabian Sea). This is because no equation balancing in- and outflows
is needed at this terminal node.
Capacities for link canal arcs are given in parameter NCAP(N,Nl). and loss
factors in LLOSS(N,Nl).
Reservoir Characteristics
4.21 This section contains rule curves, capacities (for various years) and
evaporation losses for the reservoirs.
Prices
4.22 This section contains various prices for inputs and outputs, all for
the reference period 1987-88. The outputs produced are treated in the
greatest detail. The model's objective function is valued in the prices the
farmers face and react to, financial prices. However. as mentioned earlier.
project analysis often involves valuing output at economic prices, so these
- 72
are provided for later reporting on solutions. Export and import prices are
also given. because they are needed to value trade.
Financial and economic prices are also needed for inputs: labor, fertilizer,
seed, tractor and tubewell operating and investment costs. The water prices
given are actually per acre crop water rates.
RESOURCE(Z.G.SR1) = SUMCNL,SA)$ZSA(Z,CNL.SA)$GWFG(CNL,SA,G),
COMDEF(ISR,SR1,CNL)*SUBDEF(SA,CNL);
ZWT(Z,CNL,SA)$ZSA(Z,CNL,SA) = COMDEF(ISR,"CCA",CNL)*SUBDEF(SA,CNL) I
SUM(G,RESOURCE(Z,G."CCA")
);
Here. the LOOP is used to specify the year of interest (set ISR has only one
member)
The first statement sums various attributes. including area "CCA" over all
canals and subareas provided they are members of the zone of interest (the
- 73
$ZSA ter:m restricts the sum in this way). The $GWFG ter:m then differentiates
between the two groundwater quality types.
The second statement calculates weights that will be used to transfor:m water
table depths, rainfall and efficiencies. This weight is just the proportion
of the area of each zone contributed by each of its component subareas. Note
that there is no G dependence in the weights.
Resource Stocks
4.25 This section contains tables of resources available: people,
tractors. tubewells. animals, by zone. Following are annual percentage growth
rates for those items which are expected to increase.
Model Setup
4.26 As explained earlier, the IBMR is written in a very general way.
Many choices exist as to what area is modelled in a particular run, how
demands are modelled in the objective function, treatment of canal water, and
so on. This last data section is used to make many of those choices. For
example, IiMR can be run for one or more zones, or for all. The set Zl(Z) is
used to specify the zones that will be included in the current run.
Similarly, set CN(CQ) is used to pick the commodities which will have
endogenous prices.
In this same section, selections are made from all the prices entered for
those to be used in the model. Some choices are deferred until later. These
are the ones involving which of the defined equations will be used: the linear
segmented or the nonlinear demand system, for example.
2. Variables
4.27 Variables are the unknown quantities whose values will be deter:mined
when the model is optimized. They are all listed, with an explanation of
their function, in the variable definition section starting around line 3250.
We list them all again in Table 4.1 below for use while reading the equations.
4.29 Later either of the default bounds (upper or lower) will be changed
if necessary. For example, the reservoir capacities in each month must lie
within the rule curves, the canal diversions cannot exceed the canal capacity,
- 74 -
VARIABLES
CPS Con.umer. Plu. Produc.r. Surplu.
(million rupe)
POSITIVE VARIABLES
ACOST(Z,Q)
F.rm co.t
(million rupee.)
PPC(Z,Q,SEA)
Purch of protein conc.ntr.te.
(thound metric ton.)
X(Z,G,C, T,S,W)
Cropped .r by technology (thound .cr)
ANIMAL(Z,G,A)
Production of livtock type (thou.and.)
PRODT(Z,G,Cq)
Production (crop co.. 000 metric ton. livtock co.. mill. kg. or lit.rs)
PRODA(Z,G,CQ )
Artifici.1 .upply
IMPORT (Z , CQ )
Import of co..oditi (crop co... 000 mt. livtock mill. kg. or liter.)
EXPORT (Z , CQ )
Export of commoditi (000 metric tonn.)
CONSUMP(Z,G,Cq)
On f.rm con.umption (000 metric tonn.)
FAMILYL(Z,G,M)
F.mily I.bor u.ed (million m.n hour.)
HIREDL(Z,G,M)
Hired I.bor u.ed (million m.n hour.)
ITWCZ)
Invtment in incred priv.te tubew.11 c.p.city (k.f per month)
TW(Z,)
Priv.te tubew.11 w.ter u.ed by month m (kaf)
ITR(Z,G)
Invtment in incred tr.ctor c.p.city (000 tr-hr. p.r month)
TS(Z,O,M)
Priv.t. tr.ctor rvic u by month (thound hr.)
F(N,N1,M)
Flow to nod. n from nod. n1 (MAF)
RCONT(N,M)
End of the month rrvoir content. (MAF)
CANALDIV(CNL,M)
C.nal div.r.ion .t the c.n.1 hd (MAF)
CNLDIVSEA(CNL,SEA)
C.n.1 div.r.ion by on (MAF)
TCDIVSEA(SEA)
Tot. I c.n.1 div.r.ion in Sind .nd Punj.b by on (WAF)
WDIVRZ(Zl,G,M)
Surf.c. w.ter div.r.ion .t the root zone (k.f)
SU<LAND(Z,O,M)
SI.ck I.nd (thous.nd .cr)
SU<WATER(Z,O,M)
SI.ck w.ter .t the root zone (kaf)
ARTFOD(Zl,O,SEA)
Artiflci.1 fodd.r .upply .qulv.l.nt of r.b-fod (000 tonns)
ARTWATER(Z,Q,M)
Wat.r from imaginary sourc. a~ ~he roo~ zone (kaf)
ARTWATERND (N, 1.1)
Wat.r from imaginary source a~ nodes (MAF)
NAT(CQ,Z,P)
Provincial demand lin rized
NATN(CQ,Z)
Provinci.1 demand non-lin r
3. Equations
4.30 The equations are the heart of the model. This is where the
relationships that must hold in any solution are specified: for example the
crops must use only the available land, the profit from growing crops must be
net of all costs, and so on. The names of the equations are listed as for the
variables, but following are given the definitions. We will concentrate on
these.
- 75
The name part includes the "domain of definition" of the equation. i.e. how
many individual relationships will be actually be produced. Consider as an
example the COST equation. It starts out as
COST(Zl.G)$EX(Zl.G)
The first ter.m means that there is a cost equation for each combination of
zone and groundwater type included in the model. The $ condition then
restricts this domain to only those combinations that actually occur: if. for
example. there are no saline subareas in a particular zone. then only one
constraint will be generated for it.
4.32 We will now go through the equations in order. To make the meaning
clearer. names of EQUATIONS and VARIABLES are in uppercase. while given data
are in lower case. The names and meanings of all variables have been given
earlier. in Table 4.1.
4.33 We start with the objective functions. These are among the most
lengthy and difficult in the model: later equations are much easier to read
and understand. There are four of them, for linearized and nonlinear demand
systems. and for zone models and for models that include the water network.
4.34 OBJZ
CPS =E=
OBJZ (OBjective Zone) is the objective function for the linear demand
-- zone model combination. The model will maximize the value of CPS,
(consumers' and producers' surplus). In OBJZ. CPS is the value of production
of a subset of the crops, minus all production costs, plus the value of
production net of onfarm consumption for the other crops. plus the value of
exports. minus the value of imports. Net production is valued at a price that
- 76
depends on the demand. There are some other terms in the relation above
involving "artificial activities".
4.35 OBJZN
CPS =E=
- sum(m, ARTWATER(Zl,G,M*pawat
+ betaf*beta(cn,zl )*SQR(NATN(CN,Zl )
- 77
4.36 OBJN
CPS =E=
- sum(m, ARTWATER(Zl,G,M*pawat
+ rval(fta-seaft)*F(ftA-SEAft,"KOTRI-Bft,M) ) ;
4.37 OBJNN ..
CPS =E=
- sum(m, ARTWATER(Zl.G.M*pawat
+ betaf*beta(cn.zl )*SQR(NATN(CN,Zl )
+ rval("a-sea")*F("A-SEA","KOTRI-B",M) )
4.38 DEMNAT(CQ.Zl)$techc(zl.cq)
sum(g$ex(zl.g).
sum(p, NAT(CQ.Zl,P)*qs(cq.zl.p$cn(cq);
DEMNATN(CQ.Zl)$techc(zl.cq) .
sum(g$ex(zl.g).
NATN(CQ,Zl)$cn(cq) ;
These are the zonal demand balance equations: the linear segmented
(DEMNAT) and the nonlinear (DEMNATN). Only one of these is used in a model,
- 79
depending on the objective function chosen. They calculate, for each zone,
the net production of each consumption commodity produced in the zone. Net
production is given by total production less on farm consumption, plus imports
minus exports. In the nonlinear case this is accumulated in the single
variable NATN(CQ,Zl). In the segmented case. demand is given by the sum of
the segmented pieces. Notice, that if the price is set by market forces, then
net production and consumer demand are equal.
4.39 COST(Zl,G)$ex(zl.g) .
ACOST(Zl,G) =E=
misc("twinvt")*ITW(Zl)$gf(g) + misc("trinvt")*ITR(Zl.G) +
sum(sea, pp*PPC(Zl,G,SEA +
4.40 CONV(CN,Zl)$techc(zl,cn) .
4.41 CCOMBAL(Zl,G,C)$(cnf(c)$ex(zl,g
sumt,s,w)$tech(zl,c,t,s,w), yie1d(c,t,s,w,zl)*X(Zl,G,C,T,S,W
=E= PRODT(Zl,G,C);
4.42 QCOMBAL(Zl,G,Q)$ex(zl,g) .
4.43 CONSBAL(Zl.G,CC)$(ex(zl.g)$techc(zl.cc) ) .
4.44 LABORC(Zl,G,M)$ex(zl,g)
FAMILYL(Zl,G,M) + HIREDL(Zl,G,M);
labor available, this means that there is no limit (in the model) on the
amount of labor available.
4.45 FOOOER(Zl,G,SEA)$ex(zl,g)
sum(a, iolive(a,zl,"tdn")*ANIMAL(Zl,G,A -L
sumc,t,s,w)$tech(zl,c,t,s,w),
weedyCzl,sea,c)*sconvC"tdn","rabi","rab-fod") ) * X(Zl,G,C,T,S,W) ) +
+ ARTFOO(Zl,G.SEA)*sconv("tdn","rabi","rab-fod");
4.46 PROTEIN(Zl,G,SEA)$ex(zl,g) ..
sum( (c,t,s,w)$tech(zl.c,t,s,w),
(yield(c.t.s.w.zl)*sylds(c.z1.t.s.w."straw-yld")*sconv("dp".sea.c) +
weedy(zl,sea,c)*sconv("dp","rabi","rab-fod") )*X(Zl,G,C,T,S,W) ) +
sum(m$seam(sea,m),SLKLANO(Zl,G,M*graz(zl,sea)*sconv("dp","rabi","rab-fod")
4.47 GRNFDR(Zl,G,SEA)$ex(zl,g)
gr*sum(a, iolive(a,zl,"tdn")*ANIMAL(Zl,G,A) ) -L
sum( (cf,t,s,w)$tech(zl,cf,t,s,w),
yield(cf,t,s,w,zl)*sconv("tdnft,sea,cf)*X(Zl,G,CF,T,S,W) ) +
sum( (c,t,s,w)$tech(zl,c,t,s,w),
ARTFOD(Zl,G,SEA)*sconv(fttdnft,"rabift,ftrab-fod");
This is the seasonal green fodder balance for livestock. Its purpose
is to ensure that the livestock feed contains an adequate proportion of green
fodder. Its structure is the same as that of FODDER, except that straw and
fallow land grazing are not included in supplies, and requirements are scaled
down by the ratio GR.
4.48 BDRAFT(Zl,G,M)$ex(zl,g)
sumc,t,s,w)$tech(zl,c,t,s,w), bullock(c,zl,t,s,w,m)*X(Zl,G,C,T,S,W) )
=L= bp(m)*ANIMAL(Zl,G,"BULLOCK ft ) ;
4.49 BREPCO(Zl,G)$ex(zl,g) .
ANIMAL(Zl,G,WBULLOCK W)
4.50 BULLOCKC(Zl)
4.51 TDRAPT(Zl,G,M)$ex(zl,g) .
sumc.t,s,w)$tech(zl,c,t,s.w), tractor(c,zl,t,s,w,m)*X(Zl,G,C,T,S,W) )
-E- TS(Zl,G,M)
4.52 TRCAPC(Zl,M)
4.53 TWCAPC(Zl,M)$ex(zl,"fresh")
4.54 LANDC(Zl.G,M)$ex(zl,g)
sumc,t.s,w)$tech(zl,c,t,s,w), land(c,zl,t,s,w,m)*X(Zl,G,C,T,S,W +
4.55 ORCHAREAC(Zl)
=L- orcharea(zl);
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4.56 SCMILLC(Zl)
4.57 WATERBALN(Zl,G,M)$ex(zl,g) .
sumc,t,s,w)$tech(zl,c,t,s,w),
WDIVRZ(Zl,G,M) ;
Next comes the water balance at the root zone. The term within max(
is the per acre crop requirement at the root zone, after subtracting out
rainfall and subirrigation. X(Zl,G,C,T,S,W) is the area planted of a crop
technology combination, and so the whole term measures net demand for irrigation
water. Any water supplied in excess of demand will be measured by
SLKWATER(Zl,G,M). The sources of water follow the =E= symbol: private and
public tubewell pumping and canal diversions (The variable WDIVRZ(Zl,G,M) is
canal water available at the root zone, i.e. after allowing for losses.)
Another artificial variable, ARTWATER, is included to measure water shortages
that may occur while doing calibration runs with fixed diversions. In
evaluation runs ARTWATER should never be nonzero.
4.58 WATALCZ(Zl,G,M)$ex(zl,g)
cneff(cnl)*wceff(cnl,m)*CANALDIV(CNL,M)*subdef(sa,cnl)*lO00 ) ;
This equation relates canal water at the root zone to supplies at the
canal head, by applying the canal and watercourse-field efficiency factors.
CANALDIV(CNL,M) is the amount of water to be used by canal CNL in month M. If
the model at hand is a zone model, its value will be fixed. For a full basin
model its value may be set in various ways, as outlined below.
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4.59 DIVCNLSEA(CNL,SEA)
PRSEAW(PV2,SEA)
DIVSEA(SEA)
WATALCSEA(CNL1.SEA)
WATALCPRO(PV2,SEA) .
NWFPALC(M) ..
This group of constraints are only used in basinwide models. They are
used to handle various water distribution scenarios. These may be fixed
allocations by canal by month, or provincial allocations by season, or lower
limits on provincial or canal allocations, with the model allocating any excess.
4.60 SUBIRRC(Zl,G,M)$(ex(zl,g)$gs(g .
wnr(c,zl,t,s,w.m)*X(Zl,G,C,T,S,W;
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4.61 NBAL(N,M)$nb(n)
sum(i$ni(n,i), inflow(i,m +
sum(n1, rivercd(n."d")*trib(n1.n.m)+rivercd(n,c)*trib(n1.n,m--1) ) +
sum(nl$nn(n,n1).
F(N,N1,M)*lceff(n1,n)$lceff(n1,n) +
(riverb(n.n1)*F(N.N1.M)+rivercd(n."c)*F(N.N1.M--1$(lceff(n1,n) eq 0
sum(n1$nn(n1.n), F(Nl,N,M
4. Bounds
4.62 As mentioned previously, the IBMR contains some variables which must be
constrained to narrower ranges than their default, which is zero to infinity.
We use excerpts from the program to show them, and give examples. First we show
the bounds that are required as part of the normal structure. Notice that only
the link arcs are bounded in the network model. The others, the river reaches,
are not.
F.UP(N.N1.M) = INF ;
* Consumption bounds
CONSUMP.FX(Zl,G,CQ) = farmcons(zl,cq)*consratio(zl,g)
EXPORT.UP(Zl,CE) = explimit(zl,ce) ;
CANALDIV.FX(CNL,M) = divpost(cnl.m)
* Reservoir operating rule bounds
*
RCONT.LO(N,M) - rulelo(n.m)*rcap(n)/lOO
RCONT.UP(N.M) = ruleup(n,m)*rcap(n)/lOO
*
*- River flow tests
tolnwfp =1 ;
trib(ftchasma-r","taunsa-bft,m) = 0
trib("tarbela-r","kalabagh-r",m) =0
inflow("haro",m) = 0;
inflow("soan",m) = 0 ;
S. Model Selection.
*
MODEL WSISZ AGROCLIMATIC ZONES MODEL LINEAR OBJECTIVE I
o Pareto optimal allocation means that each canal will get at least the
proportional allocation. All the remaining water is distributed by
the model (within the limits of the canal capacity) so as to maximize
the value of its objective function.
4.66 Solving the model is now simply a matter of specifying which of the
models defined previously should be used. This is done in the SOLVE
statement: we give an example below. The OPTION statements preceding are
used to control the solution process. The first two give the solver a big
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iteration limit, and a big time limit. The second two suppress the listings
of rows and columns that are normally produced (as debugging aids). This
saves paper once the model is behaving as expected.
4.67 The solution of the IBMR contains a great detail of information, but
the solution listings are not well organized for comprehending the details and
relationships contained in them. Therefore detailed reports have been prepared
in which the content and layout of the information have been designed for ease
of understanding the results, and to highlight key relationships. Of course
different or more detailed reports can be produced easily: there are many
different possibilities in arranging and aggregating the available
information.
Data Recap
4.69 The first report is REP45, which is a report on data. The columns of
the table are, first the zones, and then the provinces Sind and Punjab
(obtained by summing the appropriate zones) and lastly the whole Basin
(labelled Pakistan), which is obtained by adding the provinces. Since the
province NWFP is represented by a single zone, there are three aggregation
levels presented: zone, province, and Basin. The rows contain various pieces
of data, broken down into the land classes fresh, saline and total.
Immediately before this table is an explanation of the labels and of the units
used.
Land Use
4.70 The next report is CAT, cropped area by technology. This is a report
on the model solution. The columns are, as before, zones, provinces and basin.
The rows contain area of each crop by mechanization class (bullock or semi
mechanized). Notice that there are actually three separate tables in this
report: one for fresh, one for saline, and one for total.
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4.71 The next table, REP46 , is slack land by month, i.e. irrigated land
not used for the model's cropping activities. In this case the columns are
months, and the rows are zones, provinces and Basin, separately for fresh,
saline and total.
4.72 Following is REP47, land use by month. The layout is the same as the
previous table.
4.73 Next come three tables of cropped area, from the model and actual.
The first is CAG, cropped area by groundwater quality. The columns are
labelled "M-NWFP" etc, meaning model result for NWFP. The acreages are given
for all crops separately for fresh, saline and total.
4.74 The next table is CA, cropped area from the model and actual. Here
the areas from the model are arranged next to the actual, or observed, areas.
The column "M-NWFP" is followed by "A-NWFP" , and so on for all zones,
provinces and the whole basin. The rows are (a) areas of individual crops, (b)
seasonal and total area ("RABI", "KHARIF" "TOTAL") and (c) seasonal and annual
cropping intensities ("R-INT", "K-INT" and "A-INT").
4.75 The next table is CADIFF, the differences between model and actual
areas for each crop. Again the columns are for zones, provinces and the entire
basin. Cropping intensities are not given in this table.
4.76 The next table is REP48 , fertilizer nutrients used. The columns are
zone, province and basin. The rows are crops and total, for each of the
nutrients nitrogen and phosphorous.
4.77 Then follows the table WYC, weighted crop yield. The rows are the
crops, the columns zones, provinces and basin. The yields (metric tonnes per
acre) are the yields of the appropriate technology variants weighted by area.
4.80 REP49C gives on-farm consumption, i.e the amount of total production
that is consumed by farm families.
4.81 REP49D contains the models results on imports and exports. This is a
small table as only a few commodities are traded.
- 91 -
4.82 The next report. REP50. gives a detailed breakdown of the value of
production, income and costs. all in financial prices. The columns are zones,
provinces and whole basin. The rows are done separately for fresh, saline and
total. The first line for each grouping (GPV) is value of production and the
next (FARM-INC) is income. Following are all the components of farm cost.
Note that family labor is not a true cost, and is not used in calculating
income given the value of production.
4.84 REP59 gives details of labor use, both family and hired. in millions
of hours worked. Notice that if a column would be filled with blanks, as for
example hired labor in NWFP, then the entire column and its heading vanish
from the report.
There are two types of water supply balance reports. The first are those at
the field root zone and at the watercourse head. These reports are useful for
all models. The second are reports about balance at various parts of the canal
water supply network (upstream of the barrages). These second types of reports
will be empty or meaningless if zone models are being solved, since the canal
water distribution system is not included as part of the zone models.
4.85 The next report, REP60, contains detail about the components of water
supplied to the crop root zone. The units are million acre-feet (MAF). There
is one sub-table for each zone, province, and the basin, making for a large
report. The columns are months, seasons (obtained by adding the appropriate
months) and total. The rows are, separately for fresh saline and total, the
requirements of the planted crops (WATER-REQ), the components of supply
(rainfall, canal water etc), slack water (SLKWATER) and total supply (TOT
SUPPLY).
4.86 Then follows REP70, a similar (very large) report on water balance at
the watercourse head.
4.87 REP72 contains detail of the canal diversions used by the model,
measured at the canal head (barrage). The columns are again months, seasons
and total. The rows are provinces, the whole basin, then each canal.
4.89 REP73 lists average post-Tarbela diversions at the canal head. This
is data, not model results.
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4.90 REP74 shows the difference between the canal diversions used by the
model and the historical post-Tarbela diversions: i.e. this report contains
(REP72-REP73). If the model has actually used the post-Tarbela diversions,
this report will just contain the words ( ALL ZERO ).
4.91 REP77 contains detail of node to node flows in the surface water
network. If the model at hand is of one or more zones, this table will be
empty.
4.92 LINKLOSS contains detail of link canal losses. It will be empty for
zone models.
4.93 The report in REP77A is of river losses and gains. Gains are from
river bank recharge. It will be empty for zone models.
4.94 The next report. labelled RCONT.L, shows the reservoir levels at the
end of each month. It will also be empty for zone models.
4.95 REP75 contains surface water diversions at the canal head by zone,
i.e. this report takes the numbers in REP70 and maps them from canal to zone,
separately for fresh, saline and total subareas.
Power Generation
Groundwater Balance
4.97 The next report, REPB2, reports on the inflows and outflows from the
subterranean aquifer. Extensive comments before the body of the table explain
the labels used on the headings. The entries are in MAF, and the tabulations
are annual. The balance row (which measures the imbalance between inflows and
outflows is labelled BALANCE. As we might expect, the numbers are positive for
SALINE (meaning net inflows) and most often negative for FRESH (meaning net
outflows due to pumping).
4.99 REP95 gives animal populations, from the model and from the livestock
census. As before, "H-NWFP" means model results for NWFP, while ftA_NWFp means
actual, or census, numbers from NWFP. Census numbers are not available by
fresh and saline areas, so we can only compare the totals.
Prices
Artificial Variables
4.102 The final tables show values of the "artificial variables". These are
in REP100, REP110, and in PRODA, ARTWATER, ARTWATERND and ARTFOD. These should
all be ( ALL ZERO ) unless something has gone wrong.
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1. Validation
Validation Criteria
The Pattern of Input Use should match independent estimates of actual use when
available.
The Constraining Resources should be identified by the model and square with
observed characteristics of the system. In Pakistan, this means that land and
labor are not expected to be highly binding constraints, but irrigation water
is. For items of equipment, such as tractors and tubewell, which have been
observed to be growing rapidly through private investment, the expected
constraint pattern is ambiguous.
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Canal Diversions, combined with the cropping pattern and water requirements
input, should yield a consistent total. The key output of the model in this
test will be the cropping intensity. Disequilibria in groundwater balances
should also be captured by the model. In areas of rising water tables, the
net inflows should be positive; in areas of falling tables. negative.
5.4 For the validation tests, a canal diversion pattern equal to the
post-Tarbela average is used.
Cropping Patterns
5.5 Table 5.1 reports the cropping patterns by province as projected from
the 1980 PCA and the recent Agricultural Statistics of Pakistan, and as
simulated by the model. Some minor definitional problems are worth noting:
actual areas of individual crops refer to areas under all types of irrigation.
whereas the model covers only canal commanded areas. In the Sind, 2.8% of all
irrigated land was irrigated from non-canal sources in 1980: in the Punjab.
the figure was 18.75%. It is indeterminable, however, how much of this area
is irrigated by tubewell and is in fact included in the model's CCA. The
problem is much more serious in NWFP where most of production occurs on
rainfed land or irrigated land outside of the canal system. Recall from the
last chapter that "Sind" includes part of Baluchistan irrigated by the Indus
canals, and "Punjab" includes part of D.I. Khan in NWFP. "Pakistan" includes
both the above and the ACZ called "NWFP". In all definitions, only canal
commanded, irrigated areas are included.
5.7 Overall, the "fit" is surprisingly good for this type of agricultural
model (all crop areas except orchards are endogenous; no artificial bounds are
employed to improve the fit). Table 5.2 reports a simple statistical analysis
on the fit as suggested in Agricultural Modelling for Policy and Project
Analysis. The correlation coefficients between the actual and simulated areas
are .997 for the Sind, and .987 for the Punjab. NWFP is much poorer at .849.
Here the largest differences are in gram, maize, and the fodders. crops which
we suspect have the above-mentioned data mapping problems.
5.9 Of the cash crops, which we expect to largely determine the value of
additional water, rice and wheat are very close, but a bias appears against
sugarcane and in favor of cotton, particularly in the Punjab. For these
crops, the model is picking up the recent rapid increases in cotton
productivity, and the declining comparative advantage of sugarcane. The most
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Table 5.1: 1987-88 Cropping Pattern Model Simulation vs. Estimated Actual
(OOO's acres)
serious biases occur with the fodders. Rabi fodder is close in both NWFP and
Sind provinces, but is only about two-thirds the actual in Punjab. Kharif
fodder is erratically different, but much less than the actual for the country
as a whole, pointing up the problems of identifying and quantifying the
sources of animal nutrients. The areas of irrigated kharif fodder reported by
the census are not separated from total kharif fodder, so this may explain why
the model grows less in Punjab and in total.
5.10 Seasonal and annual cropping intensities are reported at the bottom
of Table 5.1. The model produces a lower intensity in Rabi in the Punjab, and
a much higher Kharif intensity in NWFP. Otherwise, the intensities are
remarkably close. We may be underestimating either tubewell capacities and/or
Rabi surface diversions in the Punjab. The NWFP discrepancy is probably due
to data mapping uncertainties.
5.11 Table 5.3 reports the simulated vs. actual livestock populations.
Recall that the model's structure implies that bullocks will be kept primarily
for draft power, and secondarily for meat. The model chooses to maintain
about 14% fewer bullocks in total than the estimated actual population, the
biggest difference appearing in the Punjab. There are two possible
explanations for this discrepancy. First, the model may be picking up the
trend toward more intensive mechanization under which fewer bullocks are
required. Second, the mapping of the bullocks to the canal-irrigated areas
may be incorrect, i.e. we may be wrong in expecting to find 5.253 million
bullocks in the model's domain as many are kept outside of the canal-irrigated
areas.
5.12 The cow and buffalo populations are completely endogenous, depending
only on the model's desire to produce fodders in lieu of other crops to obtain
revenue from meat and milk sales. The "actual" figures in the table are
adjusted from LS totals to reflect independent evidence that only half the
cows are maintained on irrigated areas, and 70% of the buffaloes. The model
still chooses about 35% fewer cows and about 41% fewer buffaloes. Again, this
may be a mapping problem, or in fact a true bias against livestock. Perhaps
the competition of cash crops for land is squeezing the livestock population,
as evidenced by the low figures on simulated fodder area described above.
Regardless, this topic requires further investigation.
Input Use
5.13 The most important cash input which can be easily validated is
fertilizer. Table 5.4 reports the model's use of Nand P by province compared
with the actual. Except for NWFP, where a large proportion of fertilizer is
probably used on non-canal-irrigated land, the simulations are remarkably
close, justifying the extensive fertilizer data manipulation described in
Chapter 3. The N:P ratios are exactly duplicated except for NWFP.
Constraining Factors
5.14 The pattern of land use is shown in Table 5.5 which highlights the
under-utilization of land in a slightly different manner than did the cropping
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intensity figures. Land is cropped fully (in at least one month of the year)
in only the fresh areas of NWFP, the Punjab, and SCWS in Sind. Over 50% of
land in the Sind is never cropped, as is nearly 30% for all of irrigated
Pakistan. The model clearly confirms that arable land is not a constraint.
5.16 The tractor stock as estimated is adequate in all ACZ's. This result
corresponds with the observed rapid buildup of tractor stocks in the past few
years.
5.17 Although all fresh subareas make use of private tubewells in the
solution, the available capacity is only binding in NWFP and SCWN. Thus the
model indicates that private tubewell investment in new capacity has probably
reached the exhaustion stage in canal-irrigated areas.
5.lB If the model has not revealed any of the above inputs or resources to
be universally binding, it clearly does so with respect to surface irrigation
water. With canal diversions set at post-Tarbela average levels, the supply
of canal water is binding in most months in all canals and thus in all
subareas. This means that more surface water can be usefully absorbed in all
parts of the Basin served by the canal system. Furthermore, the model
produces shadow values of additional water supplied up to nearly Rs 69 per
acre foot measured in financial returns to farmers, 19BB prices.
5.21 To sum up. the model as revised closely approximates the cropping
patterns and intensities except for fodder areas, the pattern of input use,
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Fresh Areas
PunJaS Sind PaRI stan
Seepage Source
Rain 0.077 0.061 0.069
Main Canal., Branch Canals
Di.tributaries and Minors 0.667 0."68 0."96
Watercourses and fields 0.773 0.997 0.927
Link Canals 0.106 0.033
River. -.0"1 0.07" 0.038
Totals
Inflow. 1. ..71 1.690 1.663
Outflow.
Inflow.-Outflows 1...71 1.690 1.663
Potential Evaporation 0.227 0.810 0.629
Estimated Evaporation 0.227 0.810 0.629
Groundwater Balance 1.2.... 0.780 0.92"
Averaje
Punjab Ina PaRlstan
Seepage Source
Rain 0.079 0.0"8 0.067
Private Tubewells 0.3"8 0.071 0.237
Government Tubewells 0.117 0.012 0.07"
Main Canals, Branch Canal.
Distributaries and Minors 0.606 0."68 0."90
Watercour.e. and fields 0.678 0.992 0.806
Link Canals 0.108 0.06"
Rivers -.069 0.088 -.007
Pumpage
Private Tubewells 1.618 0.269 1.01"
Govenment Tubewell. 0.32" 0.027 0.20"
Total.
Inflow. 1.767 1.667 1.731
Outflows 1.8"3 0.287 1.217
Inf low.-Outf low. -.076 1.381 0.614
Potential Evaporation 0.212 0.780 0 ... 3..
Estimated Evaporation 0.186 0.780 0.418
Groundwater Balance -.260 0.601 0.096
- 103
and identifies the overriding constraint as surface water. The only problem
area identified is the fodder areas and livestock population which may be
traceable to an external data problem; not a problem within the model.
Applications
5.22 In this section we will demonstrate how the IBMR is used for policy
and project experiments. First. we will address the surface water allocation
issue. and second, show how the model can be used to assist in the analysis of
a major water supply project - raising Mangla Dam. Finally, we consider a
more traditional. localized project: adding the proposed Jalalpur Canal. It
must be emphasized that these experiments are for illustration only; the
model's use in actual policy and project analysis requires far more detailed
work than presented here.
5.23 The problem of how to best allocate Indus waters among canals and
provinces has been unresolved ever since the Indus Waters Treaty. It is a
classic problem of equity vs. efficiency, and as such has been the focal point
for much discussion. In the absence of hard agreements. water allocation
policies have evolved as flexible compromises. Flexibility is required
because of the variability of surface water supplies. Compromise is necessary
because either a truly equitable distribution may be economically inefficient.
or an efficient distribution may be politically unacceptable.
5.24 In the base version of the IBMR, average diversions based on the
post-Tarbela period (1976-88) were taken as the norm. These diversions.
given canal-by-canal. were then mapped to the ACZ's and hence to the
provinces. This pattern of diversions did not exhaust the available supply
because a) the model has perfect foresight over the entire year, and b) there
are no uncertainties in the model. Farmers, policy makers and system
operators do not have these luxuries, so it not surprising that the model
performs somewhat better than reality. Rather than waste the additional water
available from these sources, we chose to allocate it proportional to the
post-Tarbela averages. This base case solution is reported in its entirety in
the Appendix C. and is summarized in Table 5.7 as column (3).
Global Optimality
5.26 This is the pure efficiency case. Surface water is allocated toward
its optimum use as defined by the model's objective function without regard to
past history or previous agreements. written or unwritten. Because it is
unrealistic. this case is not attempted.
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Pareto-Optimality
5.27 This may be defined as "optimality at the margin". Given an
allocation pattern, pareto-optimality requires that it be respected, but
allocates any additional water optimally. This criterion is popular because
it respects tradition and protects rights already in existence.
5.29 The truly interesting cases arise when a new source of water is
"created", usually from a storage project. This case was described in the
Kalabagh report where the additional Rabi supplies were allocated under a
number of schemes, with substantial impact on the project's rate-of-return.
But even without a new source, we can test the model's flexibility to
allocation schemes, and speculate on the possible impact of those schemes.
5.30 Four simulations were undertaken for this purpose, and they are
summarized in Table 5.7. Column (3) is the above-described base case: post
Tarbe1a average diversions in each month with the excess distributed to the
canals in proportion to their historical allocations.
5.31 Column (4) distributes the excess optimally within provinces. Using
value added measured in economic prices (VAEP) as our main criterion of
efficiency, we see that the difference is relatively small, 0.98%. To put
this and the other gains in perspective, we compare it to a hypothetical
project which would produce this benefit, and ask "how much would such a
project cost if it yielded a 12% return and had a life of 50 years?" The
answer is given in the "Project Cost" row, and is approximately 7.15 billion
Rs or $US358 million. In this perspective, water allocation, even involving
small quantities at the margin, is an extremely important decision.
5.32 In the middle part of Table 5.7 we see the behavior of VAEP by
province in absolute and percentage terms. NWFP allocations are held constant
because its canals are not fed by Indus Waters. Both Sind and Punjab gain
from the "optimality" experiment. Punjab's gain is absolutely greater by a
small amount, but Sind, being the smaller province in terms of CCA, has a
larger percentage gain.
5.33 The result of this experiment is simple: both provinces can benefit
if additional water is allocated to its most efficient use.
5.34 The bottom part of the Table reports how canal diversions change by
region, the quantity of "slack water" by province and season, and the amount
"wasted" in that it flows to the sea.
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5.35 Diversions in all regions are greater under the pareto-optimal
scenario than the proportional, which means that both provinces are better
off. The slack water tally is of interest because of the severe waterlogging
and salinity problems in much of the Sind. This variable measures water
applied at the root zone which cannot be consumptively used, and thus
exacerbates the waterlogging problem. The total for Sind is about 1 MAF
greater in (4) than (3), because total diversions are much greater.
5.36 The quantity flowing to the sea is a measure of the efficiency of the
system in using water. Note that in (4), this variable falls by about 3.8 MAF
and diversions to canals increase by 4.4 MAr. Thus this policy change results
in the effective use of water which would otherwise be lost to the system.
5.37 In the next three experiments, columns (5) through (7), we depart
from the base case's average post-Tarbela diversions (GAMS TABLE DIVPOST) and
instead work from the 80% of the average diversion. In other words each canal
must receive at least 80% of average diversions in each month.
5.38 In column (5) the excess over the 80% diversions are allocated
according to the global optimality criterion. Basin-wide VAEP gains amount to
2.14%, equivalent to a project costing nearly $US785 million. Of course,
compared to column (3), some areas served by canals will suffer losses in
water and income as they receive only the minimum under the 80% diversion
rule. But again, the provinces both benefit: Punjab gains 1.50% in VAEP and
Sind, 4.39%. Thus far, the results suggest that efficiency and equity are not
the conflicting goals that some might argue; efficiency gains may well be
distributed in an equitable manner.
5.39 An additional benefit from (5) is that slack water in the Sind drops
by more than half. This result follows from the optimality component: if
water is not needed, it is not supplied (as it sometimes is in the
proportional case), and thus does not seep into groundwater.
5.40 In column (6) we repeat the last experiment but ensure that equity
considerations are met: each province's allocations are held to the average
diversion minimum (pareto-optimality among provinces) but optimality within
provinces is obtained using the excess water from the 80% diversion by canal.
In other words provinces are given allocations proportional to the base case,
and penmitted to optimize over and above the 80% diversion pattern.
5.41 Surprisingly, the results vary only minutely (0.12%) from column (5).
This means that the within province potential gains from efficiency are far
more important than the potential gains from across province allocation gains.
This result arises from the fact that within each province the variability in
returns to water far exceeds the variability between provinces. Viewed in
this manner, the model suggests that perhaps much of the rhetoric surrounding
the water allocation issue is mis-focused. Policy makers can be less
concerned about inter-provincial allocations issues, but ought to be more
concerned with how water is used once it is allocated to a particular
- 106
1987-88 Solutions
(millions of rupees)
VAEP
VAEP by Zone
Gain by zone:
Punjab 539.2 996.2 1069.1 989.7
Sind 321.7 917.2 736.8 1454.1
% change:
Punjab 0.81% 1.50% 1.61% 1.49%
Sind 1.54% 4.39% 3.53% 6.97%
Region:
NWFP 3.05 3.05 2.88 2.88 2.88
Marala 6.20 6.93 6.90 6.98 6.97
Hangla 30.93 31.30 30.86 31.60 30.87
Upper Indus 24.23 25.42 25.32 25.01 25.33
Lower Indus 51.39 53.48 45.37 53.47 47.25
To Sea: (MAP)
5.42 Finally, column (7) looks at potential gains from relaxing the rule
curves on the reservoirs. Analysis of rule curves is common with respect to
hydro-power generation potential, but without a framework such as the IBMR, is
has been difficult to assess the gains or losses to irrigation from changes in
the rule curves. In column (7) we relax the rule curves and operate the
reservoirs solely from an irrigation perspective using the global optimality
allocation rule of column (5). This produces a gain of 2.25% over the base
case, and a gain of .6% over column (5). The absolute difference is 530
million Rs in real terms, a figure which can be compared with the loss of
power generation incurred from this experiment. Total power generation at
Mangla and Tarbela is 5.669 and 10.847 BKWHs in case 5 and 5.679 and 10.363 in
case 7. It shows a slight reduction in total power generation at Tarbela and a
different pattern of monthly generation in both power houses.
5.43 When Mangla dam was built in 1967 it was designed to be raised in the
future if additional storage was needed at relatively low cost. Periodically,
this option has been re-evaluated, and the cost estimates revised. Mainly to
demonstrate the flexibility of the IBMR in evaluating alternative investments,
we simulate this investment option here.
5.44 When last examined in the RAP (1979), the project cost was estimated
at Rupees 3.148 billion including power component (excluding power equipment).
If this figure is inflated at an annual rate of 10%, the 1990 (11 years) cost
would be Rs8.981 billion to raise the normal pool elevation by 48 feet to
accommodate an additional 3.6 MAF live storage. An additional generation unit
of 120 MW capacity would also be added to the power house. In estimating IRR
for the irrigation component we allocated 70% of the cost to irrigation and
30% to power.
5.45 In order to estimate the benefits of this project with the IBMR, we
first need to project the model forward in time to a year in which the project
can be expected to reach full maturity. 2000 is taken for this example as it
is one of the future scenarios for which we have already made assumptions
about the irrigation system (recall the discussions of Chapters 3 and 4 on
future scenarios). The effects captured are many, most notable being
population growth (and hence growth in demand for farmer's products) and yield
increases as a result of improved varieties and practices.
5.47 Because the structures required to use additional Mangla water are
already in place. and the project would not be expected to generate any
fundamental changes other than provide additional Rabi water, it will probably
reach maturity much earlier, but 2000 will suffice.
5.48 The first two columns of Table 5.9 report two solutions for the year
2000 under the proportional (column 11) and Pareto-optimal (global) (column
12) allocation policies discussed above. As an aside, VAEP grows at 3.50%
compounded under the proportional case, and 3.48% under the Pareto-optimal
case. Both the absolute and relative gain from switching allocation
policies falls in the 2000 scenarios. This is due to the lack of flow from
the Ravi and Sutlej and sedimentation in the main reservoirs. These effects
combine to reduce total canal diversions (at the head) by 2 MAF, which also
reduces the amount of extra water available for optimal allocation.
- 110
5.50 Column (13) summarizes the raised Mangla under the proportional
allocation case. Compared to column (11), VAEP rises by 0.78%, Rs 1.044
billion. Despite Mangla being located in the Punjab, the gain in the Sind is
twice as much as the gain in the Punjab. This has to do with the
proportionality requirement, and the fact that some of the Punjab canals are
at or near capacity without the raised Mangla. Under this scenario, Mangla in
effect replaces water which otherwise flows down the Indus to the Sind. Much
of the additional water is wasted.
5.51 Column (14) is the same experiment except performed with the Pareto-
optimal allocation rule. The gain is more than double that of the
proportional case (Rs 2.37 billion, 1.78%) but part of this is a policy gain
(discussed below). Under this scenario, Sind still benefits from raising
Mangla, and even by a larger absolute amount, although the relative benefit is
smaller. This solution is far more efficient in utilizing water.
5.53 In the bottom part of Table 5.10 we reproduce part of the spreadsheet
used to calculate the internal rate of return. We already have the cost
(6.286 - 70% of total cost) and the annual benefits (1.043, 1.476 and 2370
respectively), but need to make some assumptions about the timing of costs and
the accrual of benefits. Arbitrarily we have assumed that the project costs
would be split between the calendar years 1990 and 1991, and full benefits
would begin accruing a year later. Other schedules are a simple matter to
investigate once the data are transferred to a spreadsheet, and such
investigations form a part of sensitivity analysis.
5.55 There is not always sufficient flow in the Jhelum to fill a raised
Mangla. Some estimate that once in four or five years this would be the case.
- 111
(millions of rupees)
VAEP
VAEP by Zone
Gain by Zone:
Punjab 864.8 512.3 1775.7
Sind 59.2 556.1 619.0
% Change:
Punjab 0.86% 0.51% 1. 77%
Sind 0.19% 1. 77% 1.97%
(millions of rupees)
5.56 Power generation at Mangla increased from 5.678 to 6.50 BKWHs in the
pareto-optimal case. This increase is due to an additional power unit and
higher head for existing units. Energy spilled on the other hand also
increased by .061 BKWHs suggesting that additional power capacity could be
installed - especially if the dead storage level is raised.
5.57 The Raised Mangla Project required the full IBMR for its analysis
because the amount of water it supplied led to ramifications for most parts of
the Basin, including induced changes in cropping patterns. Most projects,
however, affect only a small part of the system, supply or demand only a small
part of the total water available, and do not induce production effects large
enough to alter prices. Thus most projects may be analyzed with a smaller
model, e.g., province, ACZ, or a component of an ACZ model.
the Project
5.59 JCP is located on the right side of the river Jhelum below Rasul
Barrage. It includes parts of the Districts Jhelum and Sargoda, and thus lies
within the PSW ACZ. The project will irrigate an area of 159,370 acres by
means of a new gravity-fed, non-perennial canal offtaking from the Rasul
Barrage for a distance of 72 miles. About 72,700 acres are classified as good
(fresh groundwater) and the remainder is saline. Existing agriculture relies
almost entirely on uncertain rainfall, supporting a population of 282,000
(1961 figure, but growing very slowly due to the lack of irrigation). A
relatively small number of tubewells supplement rainfall in the fresh area.
5.60 The pre-project cropping intensity is estimated to be 60%, 30% in
Kharif and 30% in Rabi. Wheat is the dominant crop, followed by other grains
and fodders. All of the above are barani-cultivated and exhibit low yields.
A small area of irrigated rice and sugarcane is cultivated with the
available rainfall and tube-and open wells.
5.63 In modeling the JCP. we took the PSW ACZ model. scaled it down to the
size of the project area, and modified the assumptions according to the
available information about the project. The with- and without project cases
are differentiated by whether or not the area has a canal water allocation.
As with other projects or policies. the net annual benefits will be the
difference in value added, measured in economic prices, between the with- and
without cases. One particular advantage of using a model in this manner is
that all of the assumptions going into the analysis are explicitly contained
in the GAMS statement of the model. We now refer to the GAMS statement,
annexed in Appendix A, to see exactly what was involved.
5.64 In the SETS section, the crops which are not expected to be grown in
the project area are eliminated from set CQ. and the corresponding data
removed from the TABLES and PARAMETERS. This not only prevents crops which do
not pertain to the project area from entering the solution, but reduces the
model's size and solution time as well. All but the STANDARD sequence has
been deleted because these primarily dealt with irrigated wheat, and wheat is
only a barani crop in the JCP.
5.65 W. which refers to the water stress level in the full IBMR, has been
modified to handle the irrigated-barani distinction. We no longer need the
stress levels, which again referred to wheat, but we do need to introduce
barani cultivation. Where possible, it is easier to use an existing set such
as W, because to introduce a new set would require re-coding a substantial
number of GAMS statements referring to crop technologies.
- 115
5.66 TABLE COMDEF gives the project's CCA, the capacity of the new canal,
and the canal, watercourse, and field efficiencies assumed. These latter data
are equal to PSW-wide data from the full IBMR. TABLE CANALWATER gives the
monthly allocations to fresh and saline areas as derived from the PC-I.
5.67 TABLE RES88 has been modified to account for the number of people in
the project, and assumptions about the number of tractors and tubewells they
have available. The latter are guessed at, although the number of tubewells
is set to provide five KAF per month, a figure which meets the irrigation
needs in the absence of canal water.
5.69 The remainder of the GAMS statement is the same as that for the
typical ACZ model except that in lines 652 - 656 the with- and without project
cases are permitted as a simple option: for the without case, we set canal
diversions and canal water charges to zero.
5.70 Table 5.11 reports the cropping pattern for the with- and without
project cases.
5.71 Because of the age and scarcity of the without project data (existing
situation), validation is virtually impossible. However, the crops grown in
the model are roughly the same as those indicated in the PC-I. No rice
appears in the without case, and the available tube- and open wells are used
to produce modest areas of cotton and wheat in the fresh areas. Barani crops
are limited to fodders, maize, and wheat as expected.
5.72 The cropping intensities in the without case are much higher than
expected from the PC-I (60%). This is because intensities are not limited by
water availability in rainfed areas. It is possible that our rainfed yields
are too high or our costs too low. For this demonstration model we will keep
these figures, recognizing that a lower initial intensity will serve to raise
the net gain from the project.
5.73 In the with project case, all production in fresh areas becomes
irrigated, with dramatic increases in cotton and wheat acreage. In the saline
- 116
Table 5.11: Jalalpur Project Cropping Patterns
(000 Acres)
Without Project
Fresh Saline
=----:--- -:---::--:'
Irrigated Rainfed Irrigated Rainfed
Basmati
Cotton 9.55
RAB-FOD 18.66 22.18
Maize 32.88 43.01
KHA-FOD 9.59 28.23
Wheat 8.20 24.53 43.01
With Project
Fresh Saline
Basmati 18.25
Cotton 49.20
RAB-FOD 23.48 17.61
Maize 36.67
KHA-FOD 23.48 24.06
Wheat 37.46 46.58
5.74 It should be pointed out that part of the gain in the fresh area is
due to investment in tubewells, an option available to farmers in all versions
of the IBMR. In fact, at project maturity as simulated by the model,
installed capacity grows by about seven-fold due to this investment. In the
absence of canal water, further investment in tubewells is not profitable to
the farmers. Thus the project is seen to induce private investment. Fresh
area farmers also increase their tractor stock substantially.
5.75 Table 5.12 reports the benefit calculations obtained from a report on
the model's solutions. Value added, the preferred measure of a project's
benefits, is the difference between the gross value of production measured in
economic prices, and the total costs of inputs, priced in economic costs. It
is seen to grow from 184.9 without the project, to 369.2, with the project.
The gain, or annual benefit, is 184.3. Because this exercise is for
demonstration purposes only, we did not bother to solve the model for the
different phases of the project as described above. Thus this gain may be
considered the full benefit at project maturity.
Without Project
With Project
5.76 Table 5.13 is part of the spreadsheet used to estimate the internal
rate of return. The column titled "1973 cost" is the
LR.R.= 14.07%
raw capital cost data from the PC-I. Following standard project analysis
procedure, we do not include as cost items the annual maintenance charges and
the amortization fees - which partly explains why the PC-I reports an I.R.R.
of less than 1%. The RAP report uses a cost figure of Rs 454 million, which
can be arrived at by inflating the PC-I capital cost figures by 11% per annum
from the period 1973-1979. Thus it appears that RAP used only the capital
cost data, and that is how it arrived at a more realistic 8% I.R.R.
5.77 In the second column we inflate the capital cost figures by 10% for
the entire period 1973-1988. The third column is the benefit obtained from
the model, which is assumed to begin in the fifth year and continue to the
fiftieth year. Note that we have phased in the benefits based on information
in the PC-I: the 169.4 figure reflects the fact that only the fresh area is to
be developed in the first phase. After year five, about 56% of the saline
area is to be developed, and after year 10, the entire area. This adjustment
is a short cut to avoid solving three different versions of the model. "B-C"
is the benefit-cost stream, which produces a rate of return of 14%.
- 119
5.78 There are several possible reasons why the model produces a higher
I.R.R. than that of the RAP or the PC-I, apart from the cost definition.
First, the cropping pattern is endogenous, permitting the simulated farmers to
optimize income from production. Second, the model includes investment
options, and the increased tubewell capacity, induced by the availability of
canal water, is a major factor in increasing production in the fresh area.
Both of these features are inherent in the model, but are outside of the
ability of a more traditional project analysis technique.
- 120
Ahmad, M., Kutcher, G. P., and Meeraus, A. 1986. The Agricultural Impact of
Kalabagh Dam (As simulated by the Indus Basin Model Revised) Report No.
6884 PAK. Washington D.C.: The World Bank.
Brooke, A., Kendrick, D., and Meeraus, A. 1988. GAHS: A User's Guide.
Redwood City, CA: The Scientific Press.
Goreux, L.M., and Manne, A.S. 1973. Multi-Level Planning: Case Studies in
Mexico. Amsterdam: North Holland.
Indus Basin Irrigation System, Historic Rivers and Canals Discharge Data,
yearly publications of Water Resource Management Directorate, WAPDA.
GAMS Listing of
- 124
Appendix A
Introduction
A.I The IBMR has been implemented using the General Algebraic Modelling
System (GAMS). This is a computer language that allows mathematical models to
be concisely represented and easily transferred between different types of
computers. GAMS is available on most of the widely used machines, including
DOS based personal computers, IBM mainframes, and the DEC line of mini- and
super-mini computers. The experiments documented in this manual were executed
on an IBM-3090 mainframe under the VM/CMS operating system. They have also
been tested on the MicroVax donated to WAPDA by USAID under the WSIS project.
A.2 As described in Chapter 4, the program defining the IBMR has been
broken into three pieces, containing respectively the data (file WSISD1), the
model setup and solve (file WSISM1), and the report (WSISRI). A separate model
file is usually created for each experiment. It contains the data and model
changes needed to modify the original model and solve statement for the
purposes of the particular experiment. The GAMS "restart" option (see the GAMS
User's Guide for details) is then used to execute the experiment, and the
results are saved using the ~save~ option. The report program is then
executed using these saved results to tabulate the results. Although the
report programs are substantially the same for all experiments, for the sake
of proper documentation a separate report file was created for each. This
makes one model and one report file for each experiment. Table A.I lists the
input, output and work files for each experiment.
A.3 In addition to the full IBMR, a separate model was created for each
agroc1imatic zone. The zonal models are broken into two pieces. The first
contains set definitions, data, model specification and solve statement. The
second reports on the solution. The data for each zone were extracted from the
full IBMR (file WSISD1) by displaying data from using the GAMS DISPLAY
statement. The displayed results were then edited for inclusion into the zonal
model. The sets and model specifications are the same for each zone so these
parts were added to the data to complete the zone model file. Each zonal
model is substantively the same as in the IBMR except (a) it does not include
the surface water network; (b) the data are only for that zone, and (c) the
zone index in the equations is dropped. There are nine files, one for each
agroclimatic zone, and one report program that reports on any of the zone
model solutions. Unlike the full basin-wide IBMR, the zone models are not too
large to be executed on a personal computer. The zone models are not listed in
this manual.
ground water operation in conjunction with the surface water and tries to
supply a specified pattern of water demands at the canal head. This model is
also broken into two pieces. The first contains the data, network, model
specification and solve. The second does a detailed water balance report on
each diversion point. These files are not listed in this document.
Description of Experiments:
A.5 Several IBMR runs were made for model validation and to demonstrate
the use of model. The results of these runs were discussed in detail in
Chapter 5. A brief description of each run is given below for quick reference.
Run 1 is a validation run, runs 3 through 7 simulate water allocation
scenarios. and runs 11 through 14 evaluate the raised Mangla project. To
evaluate the Jalapur canal project. a separate model was prepared using data
from the Punjab Sugar-Wheat zone (PSW) and the PC-I project document. This
model was then executed without project (run JALALI) and with project (run
JALAL2) .
Run 1. This run simulates 1987-88 conditions and is used to validate the
model. The linearized model for all agroclimatic zones (model
WSISZ) was solved for this run. Canal water diversions were fixed to
the historic average for each canal in every month. Because surface
water availability for each canal is fixed. the network equations
were excluded and all nine agroclimatic zones were solved
simultaneously. New investments in tractors, and tubewells were not
allowed. This was a restart from file WSISD1 in which data setup was
for 1987-88.
Run 1a. The surface network system was added to the specifications of Run 1.
Model was configured to use the 50 percent probability inflows.
Run 2. The results of this run are not reported in this manual. This is
nonlinear version of run 1. It was used to check the effects of
linearization of the demand functions on the results.
Run 3. This run is the base case for the water allocation experiments. It
simulates 1987-88 scenario with proportional water allocation. This
means that each canal receives at least the historical average
diversion in each month. Any extra water in the system is allocated
proportional to the historical share determined on a seasonal basis.
Relative shares are strictly maintained in this case, which means
that if one canal is at capacity, extra water is allowed to flow to
the sea. The model is configured to allow investment in new
tubewells and tractors, and export limits for wheat are relaxed.
Model WSISN was solved using a restart from run 1. The report from
this run is listed in xxx.
Run 4. This run modifies the water allocations of run 3, so that water is
allocated optimally while observing the provincial shares. This
scenario is called "pareto-optimal within the provinces", Each canal
is guaranteed the historical average; any extra is allocated
optimally. and provincial shares (on a seasonal basis) are strictly
- 127 -
Run S. In this run only 80% of the historic average diversions are
guaranteed in each month for every canal. and extra water is
allocated optimally over the whole basin. This is called the "global
optimal" case. Model WSISN is solved. restarting from run 3.
Run 6. This runs is same as run 5, except that provincial shares are
observed.
Run 7. This is the same as run 5, except that the rule curves for the
reservoirs are relaxed. This means that power (and safety)
considerations are not taken into account when emptying the
reservoirs, which are thus run to maximize irrigation benefits.
Run 11. This is first of the year 2000 runs and provides the without project
case for the evaluation of the raised Mangla project. Data for year
2000 are established by executing file WSISD2. This is the same as
WSISD1. except the irrigation scenario is specified as year 2000 and
all the data are projected forward using growth rates as described
in Chapter 3. Proportional water allocations were made in this
scenario. Water shares were determined from average historic
allocation on the seasonal basis.
Run 12. This is year 2000 without raised Mangla but with the pareto-optimal
within the provinces" allocation.
JALAL1. This run simulates the base case for Jalalpur project. It is without
the proposed Jalpur canal. Crop coefficients were taken from PSW
zone and modified specially for rainfed technology.
JALAL2. This is a with project case in which the Jalapur canal is added to
the JALAL1 experiment.
- 128
Table A.l List of input and output files for the runs made for WSIS.
- 132
This file contains the basic data and definition of the surface water
system. Data is complete for year 1988. Some parameters could be
computed for future years using growth rates provided in this file.
Others has to be estimated and entered.
Enters the year for which the setup is desired in set ISR. Set ISR
should have only one entry in it.
....
IA
IA
~9 SETS
20 Z AGROCLIMATIC ZONES /
21 NWFP NORTHwEST FROINTIER MIXED CROPPING
22 PMW PUNJAB WHEAT-MIXED CROPPING
23 PCW PUNJAB COTTON-WHEAT
24 PSW PUNJAB SUGARCANE-WHEAT
25 PRW PUNJAB RICE-WHEAT
26 SCWN SIND COTTON-WHEAT NORTH
27 SRWN SIND RICE-WHEAT NORTH
28 SCWS SIND COTTON WHEAT SOUTH
29 SRWS SIND RICE-WHEAT SOUTH /
30 PV PROVINCES AND COUNTRY /NWFP, PUNJAB, SIND, PAKISTAN /
31 PV1(PV) PROVINCES /NWFP, PUNJAB. SIND/
32 PV2(PV) PUNJAB AND SIND /PUNJAB, SIND/
33 PVZ(PV,Z) PROVINCE TO ZONE MAP /NWFP.NWFP
34 PUNJAB. (PMW.PCW.PSW.PRW)
35 SIND. (SCWN,SCWS.SRWN.SRWS) /
36 CQ CROP AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
37 /BASMATI. IRRI, COTTON, RAB-FOD.
38 GRAM. MAIZE, MUS+RAP, KHA-FOD.
39 SC-MILL, SC-GUR, WHEAT, ORCHARD,
40 POTATOES. ONIONS, CHILLI
41 COW-MILK, BUFF-MILK. MEAT /
42 CC(CQ) CONSUMABLE COMODITIES /
43 BASMATI, IRRI, GRAM
44 MAIZE MUS+RAP, SC-GUR ...,
I-'
45
46
WHEAT
CHILLI /
POTATOES, ONIONS "'"
47 C(CQ) CROPS /
48 BASMATI RICE CROP
49 IRRI RICE CROP
50 COTTON
51 RAB-FOD FODDER CROP
52 GRAM
53 MAIZE
54 MUS+RAP
55 KHA FOD FODDER CROP
56 SC-GUR SUGARCANE PROCESSED AT THE FARM
57 SC-MILL SUGARCANE FOR MILL
58 WHEAT
59 ORCHARD
60 POTATOES
61 ONIONS
62 CHILLI /
63 CF(C) FODDER CROPS /RAB-FOD, KHA-FOD /
64 CNF(C) NON-FODDER CROPS
65
66 T TECHNOLOGY /BULLOCK, SEMI-MECH /
67 S SEQUENCE /STANDARD STANDARD SEQUENCE
68 LA PLANT LATE PLANTING
69 EL PLANT EARLY PLANTING
70 QK-HARV QUICK HARVESTING /
71 W WATER STRESS LEVEL /
72 STANDARD NO STRESS
73 LIGHT LIGHT STRESS
74 HEAVY HEAVY STRESS
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 3
SET DEFINITION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
80 R1 RESOURCES /
92 BULLOCKS
93 COWS
94 BUFFALOS /
131 *
132 ISR(IS) IRRIGATION SYSTEM SCENARIO FOR THIS RUN /1988 /
133 ;
134 SCALAR BASEYEAR BASE YEAR FOR CROP YIELDS /1988/;
135
136 CNF(C) = YES; CNF(CF) = NO
137 PVZ("PAKISTAN",Z) YES;
138 SEA1M("ANNUAL",M) YES;
139
140 * PARAMETERS TO EXPORT DATA FOR ZONE MOOEL
141 *&&Z SET SET1 /TDN,DP,LABOR,COW-MILK,BUFF-MILK,MEAT,FIX-COST/
142 *&&Z ;
143 * FOLLOWING PARAMETERS ARE TO STORE DATA FOR EXPORT TO THE ZONE MODELS.
144 *&&Z PARAMETER
145 *&&Z ZONE1XXXXX(Z,C,T,S,W,M) BULLOCK REQUREMENTS (BULLOCK PAIR HRS PER MONTH)
146 *&&Z ZDNE2XXXXX(Z,A,SET1) INPUT OUTPUT COEFFICIENTS FOR LIVESTOCK
147 *&&Z ZONE3XXXXX(Z,CQ, * ) DEMAND DATA
148 *&&Z ZONE4XXXXX(Z,C.CI) CROP INPUT OUTPUT
149 *&&Z
I-'
W
0\
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 5
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
151
152 TABLE LAND(C,Z,T,S.W,M) LAND OCCUPATION BY MONTH
153
154 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
155 (BASMATI,IRRI).(PMW,PCW,PSW.PRW).(BULLOCK,
156 SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD .5
157 IRRI. SCWN.(BULLOCK.SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD 1
158 IRRI SRWN.(BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD .5 .5
159 IRRI. SCWS.(BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD .5 1
160 IRRI. SRWS.(BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD
161
162 MAIZE. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 1
163 MAIZE. (PCW,PSW,PRW).BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD .5 .5
164 MAIZE. (PCW.PSW,PRW).SEMI-MECH. STANDARD. STANDARD 1 .5
165 MAIZE. SCWN. (BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH). STANDARD. STANDARD .5 .5
166 MAIZE. SCWS. (BULLOCK.SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD .5 1 .5
167 MAIZE. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD .5
168
169 MUS+RAP.NWFP.(BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH). STANDARD. STANDARD
170 MUS+RAP.(PMW,PCW).(BULLOCK.SEMI-MECH). STANDARD. STANDARD 1 1
171 MUS+RAP. PSW. (BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH). STANDARD. STANDARD 1 .5 .5
172 MUS+RAP. PRW. (BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH). STANDARD. STANDARD .5 1
173 MUS+RAP.(SCWN,SRWN.SRWS).(BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD 1 .5 1
174 MUS+RAP.SCWS.(BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH). STANDARD. STANDARD 1 1 .5
175 I-'
176 (SC-GUR,SC-MILL).(NWFP,PMW.PCW,PSW.PRW, SCWN,SRWN.SCWS,SRWS). I.<)
....,
177 (BULLOCK.SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD 1 1 1 1 1
178 KHA-FOD.(NWFP,PMW,PCW).(BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.STANDARD .5 .5 .5 1 .5 .5
185
199 RAB-FOD.(SRWN,SRWS).(BULLOCK,SEMI-MECH).STANDARD.HEAVY .5 1
201
229 HEAVY,JANUARY)
.5
230 ....
w
231 WHEAT. (NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW).BULLOCK.STANDARD.(STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,
00
232 JANUARY) 1 .5
233 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. (STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY) 1 .5
234 WHEAT. (SCWN,SRWN).BULLOCK.STANDARD.(STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY) .5 .5
235 WHEAT. (SCWS,SRWS).BULLOCK.STANDARD.(STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY) .25 .5
236
237 WHEAT. (NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW).SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT.(STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY)
238 WHEAT. (NWFP,PMW,PSW).SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT.JANUARY
239 WHEAT. PCW.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT.JANUARY
240 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT.(STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY)
241 WHEAT. (SCWN,SRWN).SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT.
242 (STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY) .5 .5
243 WHEAT. (SCWS,SRWS).SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT.
244 (STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY) .25 .5
245
246 WHEAT (NWFP,PMW,PSW).SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV.
249 (STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY)
.5 .5
250 WHEAT. (SCWN,SRWN,SCWS,SRWS).SEMI-MECH.
251 QK-HARV.(STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY)
252
253 WHEAT. (NWFP,PMW,PSW).SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.
254 (STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY) .5
255
256 WHEAT. (PCW,PRW) SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.(STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY) 1 .5
257 WHEAT. (SCWN,SRWN).SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. (STANDARD,LIGHT,HEAVY,JANUARY) .5 1
258 WHEAT. (SCWS,SRWS).SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. (STANDARD,LIGHT,H EAVY,JANUARY) .25 1
259 (ORCHARD). (NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW, SCWN,SRWN,SCWS,SRWS).
260 (BULLOCK,SEMI-NECH).STANDARD.STANDARD 1
261 POTATOES. (SCWN,SCWS,SRWN,SRWS) .SEMI-NECH.STANDARD.STANDARD .5
262 POTATOES. (NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW).SEMI-NECH.STANDARD.STA NDARD
INDUS
BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 7
CROP
DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
I-'
Ul
\0
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 8
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
272 TABLE BULLOCK(C,Z,T,S,W,M) BULLOCK POWER REQUIREMENTS(BULLOCK PAIR HOURS PER MONTH)
273
274 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
275 BASMATI.PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 22.0 17.2 2.0 15.6
276 BASMATI.PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 22.0 17.2 2.0 15.6
277 BASMATI.PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 22.6 17.3 2.0 17.4
278 BASMATI.PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 32.5 24.6 2.0 23.0
279 BASMATI . PMW . SEMI-MECH. STANDARD. STANDARD 13.6
280 BASMATI. PCW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 13.6
281 BASMATI.PSW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 15.4
282 BASMATI.PRW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 20.0
283
284 RAB-FOD.NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 8.0 17.9 2.0 2.0
285 RAB-FOD.PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 17.9 7.6 2.0
286 RAB-FOD.PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 2.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 10.1 13.0 7.6 2.0
287 RAB-FOD.PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 16.5 9.7 2.0
288 RAB-FOD.PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 12.7 9.4 2.0
289 RAB-FOD.SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 9.6 16.4 2.0 2.0
290 RAB-FOD.SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 8.9 14.8 2.0 2.0
291 RAB-FOD.SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 10.3 18.4 2.0 2.0
292 RAB-FOD.SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 10.7 18.3 2.0 2.0
293 RAB-FOD.SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0
294 RAB-FOD.SRWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0
295 RAB-FOD.SCWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0
296 RAB-FOD.SRWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 ~
297 COTTON. PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 14. 1 6 0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 .I:
0
298 COTTON. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 17 . 1 15.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
299 COTTON. PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 9.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
300 COTTON. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 10.317.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
301 COTTON. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 7.4 19.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 4.0
302 COTTON. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 26.0 5.0 2.0 4.0
303 COTTON. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 9.3 21.4 5.0 2.0 4.0
304 COTTON. (SCWN,SCWS,SRWS).SEMI-MECH.
305 STANDARD. STANDARD 5.0
306 COTTON. PCW. BULLOCK. EL-PLANT. STANDARD 16.0 4.0 12.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
307 GRAM. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 7.0 8.9 14.5
308 GRAM. PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 7.0 10.7 5.6
309 GRAM. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 7.0 10.8 5.6
310 GRAM. PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 7.0 10.2 5.2
311 GRAM. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 7.0 10.3 5.3
312 GRAM. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.0 5.7 6.4 8.1
313 GRAM. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.0 5.7 6.4 8.1
314 GRAM. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.9 6.4 7.1 9.3
315 GRAM. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.9 6.4 7 1 9.3
316
317 IRRI. PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 18.9 1jL2 1.5 18.4
318 IRRI. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 18.9 19.2 1.5 18.4
319 IRRI. PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 16.3 18.4 1.5 20.2
320 IRRI. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 32.6 24.0 1.5 22.0
321 IRRI. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 10.5 18.3 3.5 18.4
322 IRRI. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 10.7 18.6 13.4 10.0
323 IRRI. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 9. 1 10.317.1 3.6 14.7
324 IRRI. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 19.0 17.5 3.7 10.0 10.0
325 IRRI. PMW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 16.4
326 IRRI. PCW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 16.4
327 IRRI. PSW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 18.2
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 9
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
356
357 SC-GUR. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD STANDARD 14.6 11.3 11.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 11.0 14.0 18.0
358 SC-GUR. (PMW.PCW.PSW.PRW).BULLOCK.
359 STANDARD. STANDARD 17.8 11.6 8.2 1.8 1.8 11.5 13.5
360 SC-GUR. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 8.2 6.1 10.9 4.9
361 SC-GUR. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 8.5 6.3 11.2 5.6
362 SC-GUR. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 9.1 7.4 12.1 5.8
363 SC-GUR. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 9.3 7.2 12.5 5.7
364 SC-GUR. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 7.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 10.5 6.0 14.0 11.0
365 SC-GUR. (PMW.PCW,PSW.PRW).SEMI-MECH.
366 STANDARD. STANDARD 11.0 6.5 2.5 1.8 1.8 11.5 11.0
367 SC-GUR. SCWN.SEMI-MECH STANDARD. STANDARD 4.9
368 SC-GUR. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 5.6
369 SC-GUR. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 5.8
370 SC-GUR. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 5.7
371
372 SC-MILL.NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 18.0 18.0 14.0 12.0 15.9 20.0 15.0 16.0
373 SC-MILL.(PMW,PCW,PSW.PRW).BULLOCK.
374 STANDARD. STANDARD 16.8 15.1 15.2 12.0 8.0 1.8 10.0 12.5
375 SC-MILL.SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 8.2 6.0 10.9 4.9
376 SC-MILL.SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 8.5 6.3 11.2 5.6
377 SC-MILL.SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 9.1 7.4 12.1 5.8
378 SC-MILL.SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 9.3 7.2 12.5 5.7
379 SC-MILL.NWFP. SEMI-MECH. STANDARD. STANDARD 2.0 2.0 3.0
380 SC-MILL.(PMW,PCW,PSW.PRW).SEMI-MECH.
381 STANDARD. STANDARD 2.5 1.8 1.8
382 SC-MILL.SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 4.9
383 SC-MILL.SRWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 5.6
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 10
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
w
466 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 4.1 4.0 17.5 13.7
467 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 4.1 4. 1 18.315.1
468 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 8.6 13.4 18.9
469 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 9.1 13.7 17.9
470 WHEAT. NWFP .BUllOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 16.0 22.3 16.0
471 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV STANDARD 14.0 15.9 11.2
472 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 16.8 18.6 20.6
473 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 16.4 18.3 19.6
474 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 15.8 30.1
475 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 4.7 4.8 17.5 13.7
476 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 4.7 4.8 18.3 15.1
477 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 10.3 13.4 18.9
478 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 10.8 13.7 17.9
479 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 5.2 5.2 22.3 16.0
480 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 4.5 4.6 15.9 11.2
481 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 5.5 5.5 18.6 20.6
482 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARO. HEAVY 5.3 5.4 18.3 19.6
483 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 5.1 5.2 30.1
484 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 6.2 17.5 13.7
485 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 6.3 18.3 15.1
486 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 3.3 3.4 13.4 18.9
487 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 3.5 3.5 13.7 17.9
488 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. JANUARY 5.2 5.2 22.3 16.0
489 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. JANUARY 4.5 4.6 15.9 11.2
490 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. JANUARY 5.5 5.5 18.6 20.6
491 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. JANUARY 5.3 5.4 18.3 19.6
492 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. JANUARY 5.1 5.2 30.1
493 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. JANUARY 6.2 17.5 13.7
494 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. JANUARY 6.3 18.3 15.1
495 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. JANUARY 3.3 3.4 13.4 18.9
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 12
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
749 MUS+RAP.SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 1.5 1.5 1.5 15.2 12.7 1.5 1.5
750 MUS+RAP.SCWS.BULLOCK. STANOARD. STANDARD 1.5 1.5 1.5 13.5 7.6 1.5 1.5
751 MUS+RAP.NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 1 87 3.45 6.0 14.6 23.0 23.0
752 MUS+RAP.PMW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 25.7 13.5 18.0 3.8 5.5 23.0
753 MUS+RAP.PCW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 21.75 20.25 6.0 1.62 5.08 13.9
754 MUS+RAP.PSW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 20.5 3.5 2.5 1. 54 4.9 13.2 23.0
755 MUS+RAP.PRW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 4.0 2.0 5.94 15.7 25.5 23.0
756 MUS+RAP.SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.7 2.8 1.0 1.0
757 MUS+RAP.SRWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 1.0 1.0 1.0 3. 1 2.5 1.0 1.0
758 MUS+RAP.SRWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.1 2.5 1.0 1.0
759 MUS+RAP.SCWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.3 2.9 1.0 1.0
760
761 SC-GUR. NWFP.BULLDCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 154.6 147 57.4 23.4 5.4 5.74 3.4 3.4 24.0 54.0 216 208.2
762 SC-GUR.(PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW).
763 BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 159 80.4 54.4 22.5 4.75 5.05 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 150.3 148.5
764 SC-GUR. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 207.6 149.4 53.2 20.8 3.2 8.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 183.4 195.6
765 SC-GUR. SRWN. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 213.7 145.2 54.4 21.7 3.2 9.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 187.3 198
766 SC-GUR. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 207.1 163.5 53.4 31.5 3.2 9.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 187.4 191.5
767 SC-GUR. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 208.2 161.4 49.5 37.2 3.2 9.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 183.2 197.5
768 SC-GUR. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 143.1 144.1 50.15 23.4 5.4 5.74 3.4 3.4 17.5 54.0 216 201.9
769 SC-GUR.(PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW).
770 SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 151.2 80.62 48.92 22.5 4.75 5.05 3 0 3.0 3.0 1.5 148.3 142.3
771 SC-GUR. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 201.2 143.4 48.5 16 4 3.2 8.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 179.2 193.4
772 SC-GUR. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.STANOARD. STANDARD 209.4 139.8 51.4 18.6 3.2 9.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 184.3 193.7
773 SC-GUR. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 201.6 156.5 47.4 28.2 3.2 9.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 181.5 186.4 I-'
774 SC-GUR. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 203.5 153.4 44.5 32.6 3.2 9.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 179.8 191.6 .f'
775 \0
776 SC-MILL.NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 120 115 95.0 65.0 5.4 5.74 3.4 3.4 23.4 54.0 107 125
777 SC-MILL.PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 87.0 85.2 74.0 64.5 44.5 5.05 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 74.0 85.5
778 SC-MILL.PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 90.0 85.0 95.0 72.1 30.0 5.05 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 85.0 95.0
779 SC-MILL.PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 88.0 85.0 95.0 70.0 40.0 5.05 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 85.0 85.0
780 SC-MILL.PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 90.0 95.0 90.9 65.0 38.5 5.05 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 84.0 85.5
781 SC-MILL.SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 87.5 85.0 92.1 47.5 3.2 8.4 35.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 93.1 87.3
782 SC-MILL.SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 89.3 87.1 94.2 43.1 3.2 9.2 37 8 3.2 3.2 3.2 94.2 89.1
783 SC-MILL.SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 98.4 95.3 102.4 46.2 3.2 9.8 39.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 92.8 93.7
784 SC-MILL.SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 94.7 96.5 103.4 41.4 3.2 8.9 41.3 3.2 3.2 3 2 91.7 89.8
785 SC-MILL.NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANOARD 116 116 90.6 58.0 5.4 5.74 3.4 3.4 22.0 51.0 102 120
786 SC-MILL.PMW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 84.0 81.5 20.0 59.0 59.0 38.5 5.05 3.0 3.0 1.5 69.5 80.5
787 SC-MILL.PCW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 86.5 81.5 90.0 64.0 34.5 5.05 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 80.5 90.5
788 SC-MILL.PSW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 86.0 82.0 90.5 64.5 35.0 5.05 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 81.5 84.0
789 SC-MILL.PRW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 87.0 92.5 87.0 62.5 35.0 5.05 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 80.0 81.5
790 SC-MILL.SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 83.5 81.9 89.2 43.4 3.2 8.4 35.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 89.1 83.8
791 SC-MILL.SRWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 84.1 82.3 90.1 44.5 3.2 9.2 35.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 91.2 84.5
792 SC-MILL.SCWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 96.5 92.7 99.4 46.2 3.2 9.8 39.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 89.8 91.1
793 SC-MILL.SRWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 92.8 93.7 101 .8 39. 1 3.2 8.9 40.5 3.2 3.2 3.2 89.5 84.7
794
795 KHA-FOD.SRWS.BULLOCK. LA-PLANT. STANDARD 13.4 3.0 3.0 8.3 3.0 3.0
796 KHA-FOD.NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 18.5 2.5 3.0 17.5 2.0 18.0 3.0 1.5
797 KHA-FOD.PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 16.5 3.0 3.5 17.0 4.5 18.5 2.5 0.5
798 KHA-FOD.PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARO. STANDARD 18.5 2.0 3.0 18.7 4.0 18.0 3.0 1.0
799 KHA-FOD.PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 18.5 1.8 2.5 25.5 4.5 27.5 2.5 1.2
800 KHA-FOD.PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 17.0 1.5 2.5 20.0 4.0 18.5 3.0 1.5
801 KHA-FOD.SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 10.7 3.0 7.3 3.0 3.0 7.3 3.0 3.0
802 KHA-FOD.SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 13.4 3.0 8.2 3.0 3.0 8.3 3.0 3.0
803 KHA-FOD.SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 14.3 3.0 11.4 3.0 3.0 7.5 3.0 3.0
804 KHA-FOD.SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 14.3 3.0 11.4 3.0 3.0 7.5 3.0 3.0
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 18
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
861 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. JANUARY 5.8 3.7 3.7 59.8 22.3 21.2 3.7
862 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. ..JANUARY 3.4 2.9 1.7 55.1 15.9 16.0 2.9
863 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. ..JANUARY 4.3 3.9 3.9 57.3 18.6 23.9 3.9
864 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. ..JANUARY 4.4 2.7 2.4 58.4 18.3 23.1 4.0
865 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. ..JANUARY 4. 1 2.4 2.4 58.6 33.9 2.4
866 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. ..JANUARY 3.2 3.2 19.2 8.3 18.9 15. 1 3.2
867 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. ..JANUARY 3.2 3.2 19.3 9.6 20.2 17 .3 3.2
868 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. ..JANUARY 3.2 3.2 24.2 16.2 20.1 3.2
869 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLDCK. QK-HARV. ..JANUARY 3.2 3.2 22.3 16.5 19.7 3.2
870 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 5.8 3.7 3.7 78.2 22.3 21.2 3.7
871 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.4 2.9 1.7 72.0 15.9 16.0 2.9
872 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 4.3 3.9 3.9 74.9 18.6 23.9 3.9
873 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 4.4 2.7 2.4 76.3 18.3 23. 1 4.0
874 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 4. 1 2.4 2.4 76.6 33.9 2.4
875 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 25.1 10.8 18.9 15. 1 3.2
876 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 25.2 12.6 20.2 17.3 3.2
877 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 31.7 16.2 20.1 3.2
878 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 29 3 16.5 19.7 3.2
879 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 5.8 3.7 3.7 91.9 22.3 21.2 3.7
880 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.4 2.9 1.7 84.8 15.9 16.0 2.9
881 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 4.3 3.9 3.9 88.1 18.6 23.9 3.9
882 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 4.4 2.7 2.4 89.8 18.3 23. 1 4.0
883 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 4.1 2.4 2.4 90.1 33.9 2.4
884 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 29.5 12.7 18.9 15. 1 3.2
~
885 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 29.7 14.8 20.2 17.3 3.2 VI
886 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 37.3 16.2 20.1 3.2 ~
887 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 34.3 16.5 19.7 3.2
888 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 5.8 3.7 3.7 43.6 16.1 22.3 21.2 3.7
889 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 3.4 2.9 1.7 41.3 13.8 15.9 16.0 2.9
890 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 4.3 3.9 3.9 41.9 15.5 18.6 23.9 3.9
891 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 4.4 2.7 2.4 40.9 17.5 18.3 23.1 4.0
892 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 4.1 2.4 2.4 41.0 17.6 33.9 2.4
893 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 27.4 18.9 15. 1 3.2
894 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 28.9 20.2 17.3 3 2
895 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 15.9 8.3 16.2 20.1 3.2
896 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 14.2 8.0 16.5 19.7 3.2
897 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD . ..JANUARY 5.8 3.7 3 7 43.6 16. 1 22.3 21.2 3.7
898 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK STANDARD . ..JANUARY 3.4 2.9 1.7 41.3 13.8 15.9 16.0 2.9
899 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD . ..JANUARY 4.3 3.9 3.9 41.9 15.5 18.6 23.9 3.9
900 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK STANDARD . ..JANUARY 4.4 2.7 2.4 40.9 17.5 18.3 23.1 4.0
901 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD . ..JANUARY 4.1 2.4 2.4 41.0 17.6 33.9 2.4
902 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. ..JANUARY 3.2 3.2 27.4 18.9 15. 1 3.2
903 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD . ..JANUARY 3.2 3.2 18.9 20 2 17.3 3.2
904 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD . ..JANUARY 3.2 3.2 15.9 8.3 16.2 20.1 3.2
905 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD . ..JANUARY 3.2 3.2 14.2 8.0 16.5 19.7 3.2
906 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 5.8 3.7 3.7 57.0 21.1 22.3 21.2 3.7
907 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 3.4 2.9 1.7 54.1 18.0 15.9 16.0 2.9
908 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 4.3 3.9 3.9 54.7 20.2 18.6 23.9 3.9
909 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 4.4 2.7 2.4 53.5 22.9 18.3 23.1 4.0
910 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 4. 1 2.4 2.4 53.6 23.0 33.9 2.4
911 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 35.9 18.9 15. 1 3.2
912 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 37.8 20.2 17.3 3.2
913 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 20.8 10.9 16.2 20.1 3.2
914 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 18.6 10.7 16.5 19.7 3.2
915 WHEAT. NWFP.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 5.8 3.7 3.7 67.1 24.8 22.3 21.2 3.7
916 WHEAT. PMW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 3.4 2.9 1.7 63.6 21.2 15.9 16.0 2.9
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 20
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
917 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.3 3.9 3.9 64.4 23.8 18.6 23.9 3.9
918 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.4 2.7 2.4 62.9 26.9 18.3 23.1 4.0
919 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 4.1 2.4 2.4 63.1 27.0 33.9 2.4
920 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 42.2 18.9 15. 1 3.2
921 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 44.5 20.2 17.3 3.2
922 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 24.5 12.8 16.2 20.1 3.2
923 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. STANDARD. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 21.9 12.4 16.5 19.7 3.2
924 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 5.8 3.7 3.7 37.2 12.4 13.8 3.7
925 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 3.4 2.9 1.7 33.1 11. 1 2.3 10.7
926 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 4.3 3.9 3.9 34.3 11.2 8.0 11.5
927 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 4.4 2.7 2.4 32.4 13.9 3.4 15.6
928 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 4.1 2.4 2.4 32.3 13.8 11.9
929 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 22.4 3.1 9.1
930 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 25.4 2.9 9.6
931 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 14.0 7.3 3.2 11.0
932 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 10.7 7.1 3.2 11.0
933 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 5.8 3.7 3.7 37.2 12.4 13.8 3.7
934 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 3.4 2.9 1.7 33.1 11. 1 2.3 10.7
935 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 4.3 3.9 3.9 34.3 11.2 8.0 11.5
936 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 4.4 2.7 2.4 32.4 13.9 3.4 15.6
937 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 4.1 2.4 2.4 32.3 13.8 11.9
938 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 22.9 3 1 9.1
939 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 25.4 2.9 9.6
940 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 14.0 7.3 3.2 11.0
941 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 10.7 7.1 ......
3.2 11.0 U1
942 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 5.8 3.7 3.7 48.6 16.2 13.8 3.7 N
943 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 3.4 2.9 1.7 43.3 14.4 2.3 10.7
944 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 4.3 3.9 3.9 44.9 14.6 8.0 11.5
945 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 4.4 2.7 2.4 42.4 18.2 3.4 15.6
946 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 4.1 2.4 2.4 42.2 18.1 11.9
947 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 31.4 3.1 9.1
948 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 33.2 2.9 9.6
949 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 18.3 9.6 3.2 11.0
950 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 13.9 9.3 3.2 11.0
951 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANDARD 5.8 3.7 3.7 57.2 19. 1 13.8 3.7
952 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANDARD 3.4 2.9 1.7 51.0 17.0 2.3 10.7
953 WHEAT. pew. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANDARD 4.3 3.9 3.9 52.8 17.2 8.0 11.5
954 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANOARD 4 4 2.7 2.4 49.4 21.4 3.4 15.6
955 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANDARD 4.1 2.4 2.4 49.7 21.3 11.9
956 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 37.0 3.1 9.1
957 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 39.1 2.9 9.6
958 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 21.5 11.3 3.2 11. 0
959 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.LA-PLANT. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 16.4 10.9 3.2 11.0
960 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 5.8 3.7 3.7 56.4 4. 1 9.7 3.7
961 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 3.4 2 9 1.7 50.2 2.3 7.8 2.9
962 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 4.3 3.9 3.9 44.0 15.6 3.9
963 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 4.4 2.7 2.4 58.4 3.4 11.6 4.0
964 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 4. 1 2 4 2.4 52.4 9.5 2.4
965 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 19.2 8.2 9.0 3.2
966 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 19.3 9.6 9.3 3.2
967 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 24.2 11.0 3.2
968 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 22.3 11.0 3.2
969 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 5.8 3.7 3.7 56.4 4.1 9.7 3.7
970 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 3.4 2.9 1.7 50.2 2.3 7.8 2.9
971 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 4.3 3.9 3.9 44.0 15.6 3.9
972 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 4.4 2.7 2.4 58.4 3.4 11.6 4.0
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 21
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
973 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 4.1 2.4 2.4 52.4 9.5 2.4
974 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 3.2 3 2 19.2 8.2 9.0 3.2
975 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 19.3 9.6 9.3 3.2
976 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 24.2 11.0 3.2
977 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 22.3 11.0 3.2
978 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 5.8 3.7 3.7 73.8 4. 1 9.7 3.7
979 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.4 2.9 1.7 65.7 2.3 7.8 2.9
980 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 4.3 3.9 3.9 67.7 15.6 3.9
981 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 4.4 2.7 2.4 68.9 3.4 11.6 4.0
982 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 4.1 2.4 2.4 68.6 9.5 2.4
983 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 25.1 10.8 9.0 3.2
984 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 25.2 12.6 9.3 3.2
985 WHEAT SCWS.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 31.7 11.0 3.2
986 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 29.3 11.0 3.2
987 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 5.8 3.7 3.7 86.8 4.1 9.7 3.7
988 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.4 2.9 1.7 77.3 2.3 7.8 2.9
989 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 4.3 3.9 3.9 79.6 15.6 3.9
990 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 4.4 2.7 2.4 81.1 3.4 11.6 4.0
991 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 4.1 2.4 2.4 80.7 9.5 2.4
992 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 29.5 12.7 9.0 3.2
993 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 29.7 14.8 9.3 3.2
994 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 37.3 11.0 3.2
995 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.QK-HARV. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 34.3 11.0 3.2
996 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. HEAVY 5.8 3.7 3.7 42.3 14. 1 4.1 9.7 3.7 I-'
997 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. HEAVY 3.4 2.9 1.7 37.7 12.5 2.3 7.8 2.9 UI
CJ.)
998 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. HEAVY 4.3 3.9 3.9 39.1 12.7 15.6 3.9
999 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. HEAVY 4.4 2.7 2.4 36.9 15.8 3.4 11.6 4.0
1000 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. HEAVY 4. 1 2.4 2.4 36.7 15.7 9.5 2.4
1001 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 27.4 9.0 3.2
1002 WHEAT. SRWN. SEMI-MECH. STANDARD. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 28.9 9.3 3.2
1003 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 15.9 8.3 11.0 3.2
1004 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. HEAVY 3.2 3.2 14.2 8.0 11.0 3.2
1005 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 5.8 3.7 3.7 42.3 14. 1 4. 1 9.7 3.7
1006 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 3.4 2.9 1.7 37.7 12.5 2.3 7.8 2.9
1007 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 4.3 3.9 3.9 39.1 12.7 15.6 3.9
1008 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 4.4 2.7 2.4 36.9 15.8 3.4 11.6 4.0
1009 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 4.1 2.4 2.4 36.7 15.7 9.5 2.4
1010 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 27.4 9.0 3.2
1011 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 28.9 9.3 3.2
1012 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 15.9 8.3 11.0 3.2
1013 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. JANUARY 3.2 3.2 14.2 8.0 11.0 3.2
1014 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 5.8 3.7 3.7 55.3 18.4 4.1 9.7 3.7
1015 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 3.4 2.9 1.7 49.3 16.4 2.3 7.8 2.9
1016 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 4.3 3.9 3.9 51.1 16.6 15.6 3.9
1017 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 4.4 2.7 2.4 48.3 20.7 3.4 11.6 4.0
1018 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 4.1 2.4 2.4 48.0 20.6 9.5 2.4
1019 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 35.9 9.0 3.2
1020 WHEAT. SRWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 37.8 9.3 3.2
1021 WHEAT. SCWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 20.8 10.9 11.0 3.2
1022 WHEAT. SRWS.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. LIGHT 3.2 3.2 18.6 10.7 11.0 3.2
1023 WHEAT. NWFP.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 5.8 3.7 3.7 65.1 21.7 4.1 9.7 3.7
1024 WHEAT. PMW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 3.4 2.9 1.7 58.0 19.3 2.3 7.8 2.9
1025 WHEAT. PCW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 4.3 3.9 3.9 60.1 19.5 15.6 3.9
1026 WHEAT. PSW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 4.4 2.7 2.4 56.8 24.3 3.4 11.6 4.0
1027 WHEAT. PRW. SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 4.1 2.4 2.4 56.5 24.2 9.5 2.4
1028 WHEAT. SCWN.SEMI-MECH.STANDARD. STANDARD 3.2 3.2 42.2 9.0 3.2
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 22
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
....VI
~
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 23
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
1163 WHEAT. PCW. BULLOCK. LA-PLANT. STANDARD .23 .37 .47 .28 .19
1164 WHEAT. PSW. BULLOCK. LA-PLANT. STANDARD .23 .37 .42 .28 19
1165 WHEAT. PRW. BULLOCK. LA-PLANT. STANDARD .23 .37 .47 .09 .28
1166 WHEAT. SCWN.BULLOCK. LA-PLANT. STANDARD .20 .40 .40 .30 .20
1167 WHEAT. SRWN.BULLOCK. LA-PLANT. STANDARD . 19 .33 .37 .28 .19
1168 WHEAT. SCWS.BULLOCK. LA-PLANT. STANDARD .25 .40 .50 .30 .35
1169 WHEAT. SRWS.BULLOCK. LA-PLANT. STANDARD .20 .35 .40 .30 .20
1170
1171 WHEAT.NWFP.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .28 .19 16 16
1172 WHEAT.PMW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .22 19 16 .16
1173 WHEAT.PCW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .28 .19 .19 .19
1174 WHEAT.PSW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .28 19 19 .19
1175 WHEAT.PRW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .28 .19 .19
1176 WHEAT.SCWN.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .30 .20 .20 .20
1177 WHEAT.SRWN.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .28 19 19 .19
1178 WHEAT.SCWS.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .30 .20 .30 .25
1179 WHEAT.SRWS.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).HEAVY .30 .20 .20 .20
1180 WHEAT.NWFP.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).uANUARY .28 19 16 .16
1181 WHEAT.PMW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).uANUARY .28 19 16 16
1182 WHEAT.PCW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANOARD).uANUARY .28 .19 19 .19
1183 WHEAT.PSW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).uANUARY .28 19 .19 19
1184 WHEAT.PRW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).uANUARY .28 .19 19
1185 WHEAT.SCWN.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).uANUARY .30 .20 .20 .20
1186 WHEAT.SRWN.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).uANUARY .28 19 19 .19
I-'
1187 WHEAT.SCWS.BULLDCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).uANUARY .30 .20 .30 .25 <U1
1188 WHEAT.SRWS.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).uANUARY .30 .20 .20 .20 -...I
1189 WHEAT.NWFP.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .22 .35 19 .16 16
1190 WHEAT.PMW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .22 .28 .19 .16 .16
1191 WHEAT.PCW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .23 .37 .19 .19 .19
1192 WHEAT.PSW. BULLDCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .23 .37 19 .19 19
1193 WHEAT.PRW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .23 .37 .19 .19
1194 WHEAT.SCWN.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .20 .40 .20 .20 .20
1195 WHEAT.SRWN.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .19 .33 19 .19 19
1196 WHEAT.SCWS.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .25 .40 .20 .30 .25
1197 WHEAT.SRWS.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT .20 .35 .20 .20 .20
1198 WHEAT.NWFP.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).STANDARD .22 .35 .41 19 .16 16
1199 WHEAT.PMW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).STANDARD .22 .28 .35 19 .16 16
1200 WHEAT.PCW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).STANOARD .23 .37 .47 .19 .19 19
1201 WHEAT.PSW. BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).STANDARD .23 .37 .42 19 .19 19
1202 WHEAT.PRW. BULLOCK (QK-HARV.STANDARD).STANDARD .23 .37 .47 .19 .19
1203 WHEAT.SCWN.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).STANDARD .20 .40 .40 .20 .20 .20
1204 WHEAT.SRWN.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).STANDARD .19 .33 .37 19 19 .19
1205 WHEAT.SCWS.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).STANDARD .25 .40 .50 .20 .30 .25
1206 WHEAT.SRWS.BULLOCK.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).STANDARD .20 .35 _40 .20 .20 .20
1207
1208 WHEAT.NWFP.SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).HEAVY .28 .19 16 .16
1209 WHEAT.PMW. SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).HEAVY .22 19 .16 .16
1210 WHEAT.PCW. SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .28 .28 19
1211 WHEAT.PSW. SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).HEAVY .28 .19 .19 .19
1212 WHEAT.PRW. SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).HEAVY .28 .19 .19
1213 WHEAT.SRWN.SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).HEAVY .28 .28 .19
1214 WHEAT.SRWS.SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).HEAVY .30 .30 .30
1215 WHEAT.NWFP.SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).uANUARY .28 .19 .16 .16
1216 WHEAT.PMW. SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).uANUARY .28 .19 .16 16
1217 WHEAT.PCW. SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV.STANDARD).uANUARY .28 .28 .19
1218 WHEAT.PSW. SEMI-MECH.(QK-HARV,STANDARD).uANUARY .28 .19 19 .19
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 26
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
I-'
0\
W
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 32
CROP DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
1647 PARAMETER
1648 NATYIELD(C) NATIONAL CROP YIELDS 1988 FOR STANDARD TECHNOLOGIES (KGS)
1649 / BASMATI 457
1650 IRRI 880
1651 COTTON 695
1652 RAB FOD 15000
1653 GRAM 183
1654 MAIZE 534
1655 MUS+RAP 307
1656 KHA-FOD 10000
1657 SC-GUR 1270
1658 SC-MILL 15870
1659 WHEAT 780
1660 ORCHARD 3400
1661 POTATOES 3980
1662 ONIONS 4615
1663 CHILLI 567 /
1664
1665
1666 TABLE YLDPRPV(C,PV) PROVINCE YIELDS PROPORTION OF NATIONAL 1987-88
1667 * NOTE : USED 3-YEAR AVERAGE FROM LATEST ASP
1668
1669 NWFP PUNJAB SIND
1670
1671 WHEAT 0.926 0.978 1.103 .....
1672 BASMA TI 0 1 0 0\
.......
1673 IRRI 0 0.859 1.001
1674 COTTON 0 1.153 0.861
1675 SC-MILL 1.090 0.919 1. 190
1676 SC-GUR 1.090 0.919 1.190
1677 MAIZE 1.006 1.029 0.408
1678 MUS+RAP 0.622 1.192 0.842
1679 GRAM 0.911 0.937 1.465
1680 RAB-FOD .400 1.000 1.000
1681 KHA-FOD .770 1.000 1.300
1682 ORCHARD .936 1.070 1
1683 POTATOES .973 .960 .873
1684 ONIONS 1.172 1.085 0.843
1685 CHI LLI 0.786 1.167 0.952
1686
1687
1688 TABLE YLDPRZS(C,Z) ZONES YIELDS AS PROPORTION OF PROVINCE-STANDARD TECHNOLOGIES
1689
1690 NWFP PCW PMW PRW PSW SCWN SCWS SRWN SRWS
1691 WHEAT 1 0.96 0.84 1.06 1.13 0.96 1.07 0.82 1.30
1692 BASMATI 1 .83 0.00 1.26 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1693 IRRI 1 0.83 0.00 1. 26 0.00 1.06 0.91 1. 10 0.90
1694 COTTON 1 1. 10 0.71 0.70 0.80 1.09 0.96 0.78 0.78
1695 SC-MILL 1 1.04 0.93 0.93 0.98 0.95 1. 10 0.64 0.87
1696 SC-GUR 1 1.04 0.93 0.93 0.98 0.95 1. 10 0.64 0.87
1697 MAIZE 1 1.03 0.76 1.08 0.97 1.07 1.06 0.87 1.00
1698 MUS+RAP 1 1.03 0.76 1.08 0.97 1.07 1.06 0.87 1.00
1699 GRAM 1 1.03 0.76 1.08 0.97 1.07 1.06 0.87 1.00
1700 RAB-FOD 1 1. 23 0.81 1.17 1. 23 1. 1 1. 1.
1701 KHA FOD 1 .83 0.54 0.82 0.82 1. 1 1 1.00
1702 ORCHARD 1 1. 1. 1 1.0 1 1 1. 1.
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 36
CROP YIELDS GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
1703 POTATOES 1.03 0.76 1.08 0.97 1.07 1.06 0.87 1.00
1704 ONIONS 1.03 0.76 1.08 0.97 1.07 1.06 0.87 1.00
1705 CHILLI 1.03 0.76 1.08 0.97 1.07 1.06 0.87 1.00
1706
1707 PARAMETER YLDPRZO(C,S,W) YIELDS AS PROPORTION OF STANDARD TECHNOLOGIES
1708 /
1709 RAB-FOD.STANDARD.HEAVY 0.70
1710 RAB-FOD.STANDARD.LIGHT 0.80
1711 KHA-FOD.LA-PLANT.STANDARD 1.05
1712
1713 WHEAT. QK-HARV .STANDARD 1.00
1714 WHEAT. LA-PLANT. (HEAVY,JANUARY) 0.57
1715 WHEAT. LA-PLANT.LIGHT 0.75
1716 WHEAT. LA-PLANT.STANDARD 0.88
1717 WHEAT. (QK-HARV,STANDARD).(HEAVY,JANUARY) 0.65
1718 WHEAT. (QK-HARV,STANDARD).LIGHT 0.85
1719 /
1720 TABLE GROWTHCY(C,Z) GROWTH RATE OF CROP YIELDS FROM 1988 BASE (PERCENT)
1721
1722 (NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW,SCWN,SCWS,SRWN,SRWS)
1723 COTTON 5.00
1724 MAIZE 0.73
1725 SC-GUR 2.29
1726 SC-MILL 2.29
1727 WHEAT 0.41 .....
01
1728 ONIONS 1.66 <Xl
1729
1730 TABLE WEEDY(Z,SEA,C) WEED YIELDS BY CROP (TONNS PER ACER)
1731 BASMATI IRRI COTTON GRAM MUS+RAP MAIZE SC-GUR SC-MILL WHEAT ORCHARD
1732 (NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW).RABI .3 .3 .3 .3 .4 .3
1733 (SCWN,SCWS,SRWN,SRWS). RABI .3 .3 .3 .3 .4 .3
1734 (NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW).KHARIF
1735 (SCWN,SCWS,SRWN,SRWS). KHARIF
1736
1737 TABLE GRAZ(Z,SEA) GRAZING FROM SLACK LAND (TONNS PER ACRE )
1738 RABI KHARIF
1739 PRW .15 .5
1740 PMW .1 .2
1741 (PSW,PCW) .2 .3
1742 (SCWN,SCWS,SRWN,SRWS) .2 .5
1743
1744 PARAMETER
1745 YIELD(C,T,S,W,Z) YIELD BY ZONE CROP TECHNOLOGY IN METRIC TONNS
1746 GROWTHCYF(C,Z) GROWTH FACTOR FOR CROP YIELDS USING GROWTHCY ;
1747
1748 * GROWTHCY(C,Z)$(GROWTHCY(C,Z) GT 3) = 3.0 ;
1749 YIELD(C,T,"STANDARD","STANDARD",Z) = SUM(PV$PVZ(PV,Z),
1750 NATYIELD(C)/1000 *YLDPRPV(C,PV) *YLDPRZS(C,Z) );
1751
1752 YIELD(C,T,S,W,Z)$YLDPRZO(C,S,W) =
1753 YIELD(C,T,"STANDARD","STANDARD",Z)*YLDPRZO(C,S,W) ;
1754
1755 GROWTHCYF(C,Z) =SUM(IS$ISR(IS),
1756 (1+GROWTHCY(C,Z)/100)**(ORD(IS)+1979-BASEYEAR;
1757 YIELD(C,T,S,W,Z) = YIELD(C,T,S,W,Z) * GROWTHCYF(C,Z) ;
1758 DISPLAY BASEYEAR, GROWTHCYF, FERT ;
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 37
CROP YIELDS GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
I-'
0\
\0
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 o1/23/~O 16:27:23 PAGE 38
CROP YIELDS GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
I-'
......
o
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 39
LIVESTOCK DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
1826 SET CNL IRRIGATION CANALS IN THE INDUS RIVER IRRIGATION SVSTEM/
1827 01-UD UPPER DIPALPUR
1828 02-CBD CENTRAL.BARI DOAB CANAL
1829 03-RAV RAVA CANAL
1830 04-UC UPPER CHENAB CANAL
1831 OS-MR MARA LA RAVI CANAL
1832 06-SAD SADIQIA CANAL
1833 07-FOR FORDWAH CANAL
1834 08-PAK UPPER PAKPATTAN+U-BAHAWAL+QAIM+U-MAILSI CANAL
1835 09-LD LOWER DIPALPUR CANAL
1836 10-LBD LOWER BARI DOAB CANAL
1837 11-JHA JHANG CANAL (LCC)
1838 12-GUG GUGERA BRANCH CANAL (LCC)
1839 13-UJ UPPER JEHLUM CANAL
1840 14-LJ LOWER JEHLUM CANAL
1841 15-BAH BAHAWAL CANAL
1842 16-MAI LOWER MAILSI+ LOWER PAKPATTAN CANAL
1843 17-SID SIDHNAI CANAL
1844 18-HAV HAVELI CANAL
1845 i9-RAN RANGPUR CANAL
1846 20-PAN PANJNAD CANAL
1847 2i-ABB ABBASIA CANAL
1848 22-USW UPPER SWAT CANAL
1849 23-LSW LOWER SWAT CANAL
1850 24-WAR WARSAK CANAL I-'
--..J
1851 2S-KAB KABUL RIVER CANAL N
1852 26-THA THAL CANAL
1853 27-PAH PAHARPUR CANAL
1854 28-MUZ MUZFFGARH CANAL
1855 29-DGK DERA GHAZI KHAN CANAL
1856 3i-P+D PAT PLUS DESERT CANAL
1857 32-BEG BEGARI CANAL
1858 33-GHO GHOTKI CANAL
1859 34-NW NORTH WEST CANAL
1860 3S-RIC RICE CANAL
1861 36-DAD DADU CANAL
1862 37-KW KHAIRPUR WEST CANAL
1863 38-KE KHAIRPUR EAST CANAL
1864 39-ROH ROHRI CANAL
1865 41-NAR NARA CANAL
1866 42-KAL KALRI CANAL
1867 43-LCH LINED CHANNEL
1868 44-FUL FULELI CANAL
1869 45-PIN PINVARI CANAL/
1870 PVCNL(PV,CNL) PROVINCE TO CANALS MAP /
1871 NWFP. (22-USW, 23-LSW. 24-WAR. 25-KAB)
1872 PUNJAB. (Ol-UD, 02-CBD. 03-RAV. 04-UC. OS-MR, 06-SAD, 07-FOR,
1873 08-PAK.09-LD. 10-LBD. l1-JHA. 12-GUG, 13-UJ, i4-LJ.
1874 1S-BAH, 16-MAI, 17-SIO, 18-HAV. 19-RAN, 20-PAN. 21-ABB.
1875 26-THA. 27-PAH. 28-MUZ, 29-DGK)
1876 * SIND CANALS INCLUDING BALUCHISTAN
1877 SIND. (31-P+D, 32-BEG. 33-GHO. 34-NW, 35-RIC. 36-DAD
1878 37-KW, 38-KE. 39-ROH. 41-NAR, 42-KAL. 43-LCH
1879 44-FUL. 45-PIN ) /
1880 GWFG(CNL.SA,G) SUBAREA IDENTIFICATION BV THE GROUNDWATER QUALITY
1881
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 41
CANAL COMMAND DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
1939
1940 1993.CCA 1.866 .544 1.500 .605 .996 .869 .179 .344 1.348 .154 .279
1941 1993.CCAP .433 .345 .464 .346 .362 .268 .068 .176 .773 .08 .132
1942 1993.CEFF .751 .808 .644 .783 .783 .727 .776 .706 .73 .641 .757
1943 1993.WCE-R .565 .52 .52 .58 .58 .58 .58 .48 .59 .59 .53
1944 1993.WCE-K .565 .52 .52 .58 .58 .58 .58 .48 .59 .59 .53
1945 1993.FLDE .90 .90 .90 .90 .90 .90 .85 .80 .90 .90 .90
1946
1947 2ooo.CCA 1.866 .544 1. 573 .605 .996 .869 .179 .344 1.348 .154 .326
1948 2ooo.CCAP .433 .345 .505 .346 .362 .268 .068 .176 .773 .08 .162
1949 2ooo.CEFF .751 .808 .644 .783 .783 .727 .776 .706 .73 .641 .757
1950 2ooo.WCE-R .575 .53 .53 .59 .59 .59 .59 .49 .60 .60 .53
1951 2ooo.WCE-K .575 .53 .53 .59 .59 .59 .59 .49 .60 .60 .53
1952 2ooo.FLDE .90 .90 .90 .90 .90 .90 .85 .80 .90 .90 .90
1953
1954 + 23-LSW 24-WAR 25-KAB 26-THA 27-PAH 28-MUZ 29-DGK 31-P+D 32-BEG 33-GHO 34-NW
1955
1956 1980.CCA .182 .119 .048 1.641 .104 .809 .909 1.075 1.002 .858 1.215
1957 1980.CCAP .06 .049 .047 .577 .037 .495 .529 .799 1. 155 .648 .566
1958 1980.CEFF .75 .80 .72 .65 .73 .70 .70 .83 .82 .76 .80
1959 1980.WCE-R .52 .52 .52 .48 .51 .46 .54 .55 .55 .45 .55
1960 1980.WCE-K 52 .52 .52 .48 .51 .46 .54 .60 .65 .45 .60
1961 1980.FLDE .90 .90 .90 .80 .85 .80 .85 85 .85 .85 .85
1962
1963 1988.CCA .182 .119 .048 1.641 .570 .809 .909 1.075 1.002 .858 1.215 I-'
1964 1988.CCAP .120 .049 .047 .577 330 .495 .529 .799 1. 155 .648 .566 -..J
~
1965 1988.CEFF .750 .800 .720 .663 .730 .720 .703 .830 .820 .763 .800
1966 1988.WCE-R .57 .57 .53 .48 .51 .46 .54 .55 .55 .45 .55
1967 1988.WCE-K .57 .57 .53 .48 .51 .46 .54 .60 .65 .45 .60
1968 1988.FLDE .90 .90 .90 .80 .85 .80 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85
1969
1970 1993.CCA .182 .119 .048 1.641 .570 .809 .909 1.075 1.002 .858 1.215
1971 1993.CCAP .120 .049 .047 .577 .330 .495 .529 .799 1.155 .648 .566
1972 1993.CEFF .751 .80 .723 .671 73 .725 .707 .831 .82 .765 .80
1973 1993.WCE-R .57 .60 .53 .49 .56 .47 .55 .56 .56 .47 .56
1974 1993.WCE-K .57 .60 .53 .49 .56 .47 .55 .61 .66 .47 .61
1975 1993.FLDE .90 .90 .90 .80 .85 .80 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85
1976
1977 2ooo.CCA .182 .119 .048 1.641 .570 .809 1.232 1.215 1.002 .858 1. 215
1978 2ooo.CCAP .120 .049 .047 .577 .330 .495 .731 .900 1. 155 .648 .566
1979 2000. CEFF .751 .80 .723 .671 .73 .725 .707 .831 .82 .765 .80
1980 2ooo.WCE-R .58 .61 .54 .50 .57 .48 .56 .594 .57 .48 .57
1981 2ooo.WCE-K .58 .61 .54 .50 .57 .48 .56 .65 .67 .48 .62
1982 2ooo.FLDE .90 .90 .90 .80 .85 .80 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85
1983
1984 + 35-RIC 36-DAD 37-KW 38-KE 39-ROH 41-NAR 42-KAL 43-LCH 44-FUL 45-PIN
1985
1986 1980.CCA .519 .584 .417 .373 2.561 2.176 .592 .502 .923 .758
1987 1980.CCAP .829 .319 . 157 .207 .981 .873 .546 .205 .894 .831
1988 1980.CEFF .85 .80 .74 .73 .80 .80 .80 .80 .80 .82
1989 1980.WCE-R 55 .55 .45 .45 .45 .45 .55 .55 .55 .55
1990 1980.WCE-K .75 .60 .45 .45 .45 .45 .60 .61 .65 .62
1991 1980.FLDE .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85
1992
1993 1988.eCA .519 .584 .417 .373 2.561 2.176 .592 .502 .923 .758
1994 1988.CCAP .829 .319 .157 .214 .981 .873 .546 .205 .894 .831
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 43
CANAL COMMAND DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
1995 1988.CEFF .850 .800 .748 .736 .807 .811 .800 .800 .800 .820
1996 1988.WCE-R .55 .55 .45 .455 .456 .45 .55 .55 .55 .55
1997 1988.WCE-K .75 .60 .45 .455 .456 .45 .60 .61 .65 .62
1998 1988.FLDE .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85
1999
2000 1993.CCA .519 .584 .411 .373 2.561 2.176 .592 .502 .923 .758
2001 1993.CCAP .829 .319 .157 .214 .981 1.041 .546 .205 .894 .831
2002 1993. CEFF .854 .804 .75 .738 .81 .816 80 .80 .80 .821
2003 1993.WCE-R .56 .56 .46 .465 .47 .469 .56 .56 .56 .56
2004 1993.WCE-K .74 .61 .46 .465 .47 .469 .61 .62 .65 .63
2005 1993.FLDE .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85
2006
2007 2ooo.CCA .519 .584 .417 .373 2.561 2.176 .592 .502 .923 .758
2008 2ooo.CCAP .829 .319 .157 .214 .981 1.041 .546 .205 .894 .831
2009 2ooo.CEFF .854 .804 .75 .738 811 .816 .80 .80 .80 .821
2010 2ooo.WCE-R .57 .57 .47 .475 .49 .479 .57 .57 .51 .57
2011 2ooo.WCE-K .75 .62 .47 .475 .49 .479 .61 .62 .65 .63
2012 2000. FLDE .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85 .85
2013
2014 ** 1988 PARAMETERS ARE DERIVED CONSIDERING THE FOLLOWING PROJECTS;
2015 COMMAND WATER MANAGEMENT PROJECT 50% COMPLETION
2016 * SCARP VI. SCARP MARDAN. KHAIRPUR TILE. FOURTH DRAINAGE, OFWMI AND II
2017 * IRRIGATION SYSTEM REHABLITATION PHASE I. CHASMA RIGHT BANK.
2018 *
2019
2020
....
-..J
1II
2021 TABLE SUBDEF(SA.CNL) SUB-AREA DEFINITION(PROPORTION OF CCA) BY CANALS
2022
2023 01-UD 02-CBD 03-RAY 04-UC 05-MR 06-SAD 01-FOR 08-PAK 09-LD 10-LBD ll-JHA
2024 S1 1 .5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .5 .32
2025 S2 .5 .5 .49
2026 S3 .19
2027
2028 + 12-GUG 13-UJ 14 -LJ 15-BAH 16-MAI 17-SID 18-HAV 19-RAN 20-PAN 21-ABB 22-USW
2029 S1 .26 1 .64 .8 .65 1 1 .1 1 1
2030 S2 .53 .36 .2 .35 .3
2031 S3 .21
2032
2033 + 23-LSW 24-WAR 25-KAB 26-THA 27-PAH 28-MUZ 29-DGK 31-P+D 32-BEG 33-GHO 34-NW
2034 Sl 1 1 1 .35 1 .25 1 1 .5 .5
2035 52 . 17 .75 .5 .5
2036 S3 .30
2037 S4 . 18
2038 + 35-RIC 36-DAD 37-KW 38-KE 39-ROH 41-NAR 42-KAL 43-LCH 44-FUL 45-PIN
2039 51 1 1 1 1 .39 .2 1 1 1 1
2040 S2 .20 .8
2041 53 . 16
2042 S4 .25
2043
INDU5 BA5IN MODEL REVI5ED (IBMR) FILENAME=W5I5D1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 44
CANAL COMMAND DATA GAM5 2.21 IBM CM5
SET ZSA1(CNL,SA,Z);
PARAMETER REP3
REP4
,
REP3(I5,CNL,SA) SUBDEF(SA,CNL)*COMDEF(IS,"CCA",CNL) ;
REP3(15,CNL,"CCA") COMDEF(IS,"CCA",CNL) ;
Z5A1(CNL,5A,Z)SZSA(Z,CNL,SA) = YES;
2099 *
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 45
CLIMATIC DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM eMS
2101
2102 TABLE EVAP(CNL,M) PAN EVAPORATION(FEET)
2103 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2104 01-UD .244 .314 .545 .786 .982 1.040 .913 .814 .729 .571 .357 .244
2105 02-CBD .200 .314 .529 .171 .968 .998 .829 .743 .686 .543 .329 .229
2106 03-RAY .200 .314 .514 .771 .951 .968 .812 .743 .671 .543 .326 .214
2107 04-UC .200 .283 .514 .171 .940 .998 .829 .743 .671 .543 .326 .214
2108 05-MR .200 .286 .529 .769 .942 .998 .829 .743 .671 .543 .326 .214
2109 06-SAD .286 .414 .648 .814 1.139 1.254 1.012 .940 .743 .629 .402 .286
2110 07-FOR .271 .400 .614 .786 1.083 1.196 .968 .893 .714 .564 .386 .286
2111 08-PAK .271 .343 .588 .829 1.012 1.056 .970 .885 .171 .614 .400 .288
2112 09-LD .243 .312 .586 .786 .969 1.056 .955 .871 .771 .586 .371 .286
2113 10-LBD .243 .314 .557 .786 .982 1.040 .925 .938 .745 .581 .360 .243
2114 11-JHA .229 .300 .514 .729 .990 1.012 .870 .757 .700 .486 .343 .217
2115 12-GUG .214 .312 .526 .769 .965 1.008 .826 .740 683 .555 .326 .226
2116 13-UJ .229 .300 .514 .729 .967 1.012 .870 .760 .700 .571 .343 .214
2117 14-LJ .257 .314 .557 .788 .982 1.026 .930 .843 .743 .600 .371 .260
2118 15-BAH .271 .360 .657 .860 1.069 1.098 1.011 .899 .171 .657 .400 .271
2119 16-MAI .271 .340 .629 .842 1.042 1.056 .940 .869 .757 .643 .400 .271
2120 17-SIO .257 .343 .588 .842 1.026 1.026 .940 .860 .757 .643 .414 .271
2121 18-HAV .271 .329 .571 .800 .982 1.025 .940 .857 .757 .600 .386 .271
2122 19-RAN .244 .314 .557 .786 .982 1.040 .913 .814 .729 .571 .357 .244
2123 20-PAN .200 .314 .529 .771 .968 1. 112 1.026 .913 .800 .543 .329 .457
2124 21-ABB .271 .338 .671 .858 1.085 1.098 1.026 .913 .788 .671 .400 .288
2125
2126
(22-USW.23-LSW.
24-WAR,25-KAB) .214 .257 .429 .643 .913 1.025 .969 .870 .657 .529 .329
........
.200 .....
2127 26-THA .260 .331 .517 .760 1.057 1.143 1.057 .899 .721 .631 .402 .245
2128 27-PAH .257 .329 .502 .729 1.094 1.225 1.154 .943 .829 .671 .357 .243
2129 28-MUZ .271 .340 .600 .870 1.056 1.039 .968 .885 .771 .657 .414 .271
2130 29-DGK .286 .357 .657 .885 1.082 1.098 1.011 .913 .798 .671 .414 .271
2131 31-P+D .371 .457 .758 .956 1.142 1. 126 1.026 .942 .830 .715 .486 .343
2132 (32-BEG.34-NW.
2133 35-RIC) .386 .474 .700 .870 1.068 .949 .943 .949 .757 .657 .457 .343
2134 33-GHO .429 .429 .700 .871 1.040 1.098 .998 .900 .800 .629 .457 .329
2135 36-DAD .357 .429 .700 .956 1.169 1.185 1.027 .940 .786 .700 .429 .357
2136 37-KW .386 .414 .674 .900 1.083 1 . 112 .998 .899 .786 .643 .429 .343
2137 38-KE .429 .443 .745 .926 1.152 1.154 1.025 .955 .829 .700 .486 .371
2138 39-ROH .371 .414 .700 .940 1.154 1.139 .982 .926 .757 .698 .457 .371
2139 41-NAR .457 .500 .843 1.054 1. 212 1.155 .999 .914 .829 .786 .557 .443
2140 42-KAL .529 .557 .857 .982 1.094 .970 .814 .757 .786 .800 .614 .529
2141 (43-LCH.44-FUL) .471 .529 .870 1.095 1.210 1. 111 .985 .886 .843 .814 .586 .471
2142 45-PIN .557 .586 .899 1.044 1.140 1.012 .843 .800 .829 .843 .643 .557
2143
2144 TABLE RAIN(CNL.M) RAIN (INCHES)
2145 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2146 01-UD .170 .520 .660 .470 450 1.180 4.480 4.070 1.530 .160 .220 .360
2147 02-CBD .878 .700 .712 .510 .506 1.364 4.868 4.502 1.798 .192 .172 .404
2148 03-RAY 1.180 1.120 1.040 .740 .710 1.820 5.610 6.450 2.460 .230 .140 .490
2149 04-UC 1. 141 1.089 1.013 .724 .693 1.779 5.444 6.278 2.396 .224 .138 .478
2150 05-MR 1.180 1.120 1.040 .740 .710 1.820 5.610 6.450 2.460 .230 .140 .490
2151 (06-SAD.07-FOR) .500 .520 .520 .360 .310 .720 3.500 3.000 .860 .090 .110 .240
2152 08-PAK .505 .520 .523 .362 .313 .729 3.520 3.021 .873 .091 112 .242
2153 09-LD .689 .520 .618 .437 .408 1.042 4.186 3.749 1.329 .139 187 .324
2154 lO-LBD .564 .522 .543 .380 .360 .778 3.545 3.130 1.018 . 111 .122 .278
2155 l1-JHA .627 .686 .662 509 .465 1.239 3.286 4.035 1.564 .139 112 .315
2156 12-GUG .548 .624 .608 .476 .430 1.156 2.954 3.690 1.436 .126 .108 .290
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FIlENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 46
CLIMATIC DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2157 13-UoJ 1.210 1.170 1.240 .850 .690 1.500 5.320 5.610 2.030 .230 .160 .480
2158 14-loJ .920 .889 .942 .646 .524 1. 140 4.043 4.264 1.543 .175 .122 .365
2159 15-BAH .230 .290 .380 .250 .170 .260 2.520 1.930 . 190 .020 .120 .130
2160 16-MAI .402 .434 .463 .316 .270 .553 3.020 2.530 .618 .068 .107 .208
2161 17-SIO .420 .435 .445 .305 .325 .495 2.570 2.265 .665 .085 .080 .245
2162 18-HAV .390 .500 .500 .410 .360 .990 2.290 3.000 1.180 .100 .100 .240
2163 19-RAN .370 .380 .400 .270 .330 .550 2.010 1.820 .540 .080 .060 .240
2164 20-PAN .220 .252 .296 .184 .140 .184 1.716 1.444 .152 .010 .108 .120
2165 21-ABB .221 .263 .326 .205 .143 .206 1.998 1.615 .163 .011 .102 . 121
2166 (22-USW,23 lSW.
2167 24-WAR.25-KAB) 1 440 1.530 2.440 1.760 .770 .310 1.260 2.030 .810 .230 .310 .670
2168 26-THA .610 .717 .882 .621 .448 .809 2.946 2.769 .944 .132 .130 .298
2169 27-PAH .450 .670 .960 .690 .390 .610 2.290 1.900 .630 .110 .150 .240
2170 28-MUZ .375 .400 .435 .298 .335 .555 2.028 1.825 .548 .083 .068 .240
2171 29-DGK .260 .330 .270 .220 .180 .380 .740 1.230 .310 .030 .070 .210
2172 (31-P+D,32-BEG) .199 .282 .204 .179 .100 .257 .447 .905 . 187 0.000 .097 .179
2173 33-GHO .210 .230 .250 .140 .120 .140 1.230 1.160 .130 0.000 .110 .110
2174 34-NW . 171 .336 .263 . 171 .100 .242 .612 .994 .330 0.000 .035 .173
2175 35-RIC 173 .341 .273 .173 .100 .251 .706 1.020 .346 0.000 .032 .163
2176 36-DAD .170 .335 .270 .170 .100 .275 1.330 1. 170 .400 0.000 .035 .130
2177 37-KW .190 .240 .200 .140 .100 .250 1.310 1. 210 .270 0.000 .090 .100
2178 38-KE .150 .200 .200 .100 .100 .250 1.350 1.450 .350 0.000 .050 .100
2179 39-ROH .138 .235 . 188 .143 .150 .368 2.297 1.876 .564 .034 .051 .095
2180 41-NAR .091 . 151 .119 .103 .159 .397 3.003 2.097 .658 .071 .056 .060
2181 (42-KAl.43-lCH, t->
2182 44-FUl,45-PIN) .140 .300 .120 .060 .140 .720 4.020 2.080 . 700 .060 .060
......
.120 (X)
2183
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 47
HISTORIC CANAL DIVERSIONS(MAF) GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2185
2186 TABLE DIVPOST(CNL,Ml) AVERAGE(1976-77 TO 1987-88) CANAL DIVERSIONS(MAF)
2187 * SOURCE : INDUS BASIN IRRIGATIDN SYSTEM
2188 * HISTORIC RIVERS AND CANALS DISCHARGE OATA,
2189 * WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT. DIRECTORATE. WAPDA LAHORE
2190
2191 APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR RABI KHARIF ANNUAL
2192 01-UD .0238 .1028 .1091 .1155 .1183 .1263 .0730 .0236 .0072 .0100 .0186 .0343 .1668 .5958 0.7626
2193 02-CBD .1102 .1339 .1372 .1278 .1151 .1202 .1284 .1294 .1113 .0500 .0958 .1010 .6159 .7443 1.3602
2194 03-RAY .0025 .0370 .0884 .0902 .0820 .0855 .0473 .0025 .0020 .0005 .0024 .0007 .0553 .3856 0.4409
2195 04-UC .0984 .1829 .2771 .3155 .2713 .2577 .1928 .0822 .0343 .0428 .0631 .0566 .4719 1.4029 1.8747
2196 05-MR .0163 .0964 .1218 .2160 .2366 .1665 .0402 .0122 .0107 .0111 .0176 .0103 .1020 .8536 0.9556
2197 06-SAD .2686 .2865 .2838 .2762 .2677 .2693 .2538 .2851 .2719 .1106 .2329 .2796 1.4339 1.6522 3.0861
2198 07-FOR .0340 .1224 .1481 .1433 .1415 .1481 .1044 .0102 .0091 .0061 .0137 .0137 . 1572 .7375 0.8946
2199 08-PAK .2183 .3408 .3542 .3536 .3881 .3739 .2978 .2190 .2399 .1134 .1833 .2470 1.3003 2.0289 3.3292
2200 09-LD .0479 .1923 .2140 .2295 .2320 .2278 .1535 .0451 .0258 .0256 .0479 .0295 .3273 1.1436 1.4709
2201 10-LBD .4055 .4822 .4717 .4564 .4611 .4590 .4244 .4269 .3860 .1539 .3521 .4069 2.1503 2.7360 4.8862
2202 ll-JHA .2838 .3425 .3423 .3177 .3010 .3391 .3284 .3025 .2970 .1279 .1941 .2728 1.5227 1.9265 3.4492
2203 12-GUG .3186 .3845 .3843 .3567 .3379 .3807 .3687 .3396 .3334 .1436 .2179 .3063 1.7094 2.1626 3.8720
2204 13-UJ .0791 .1180.1285 .1486 .1294 .1305 .1117 .0884 .0732 .0461 .0457 .0462 .4114 .7341 1 . 1454
2205 14-LJ .2421 .3128 .3155 .3099 .2902 .2901 .2987 .2509 .2151 .1084 .2138 .2118 1.2988 1.7607 3.0594
2206 15-BAH .1205 .2033 .2293 .2448 .2282 .2359 .2008 .1238 .1212 .0958 .0827 .1475 .7718 1.2619 2.0337
2207 16-MAl .1441 .2961 .3286 .3163 .3375 .3478 .2875 .1336 .1392 .1309 .0897 .1643 .9452 1.7704 2.7156
2208 17-SID .1469 .2226 .2334 .2216 .2264 .2332 .2203 .1631 .1593 .0975 .1124 .1632 .9159 1.2841 2.2000
2209 18-HAV .0314 .0455 .0474 .0447 .0464 .0513 .0472 .0252 .0282 .0224 .0255 .0318 .1803 .2666 0.4469 ....
.....
2210 19-RAN .0314 .0809 .0904 .0823 .0689 .0817 .0663 .0174 .0147 .0206 .0076 .0242 .1507 .4356 0.5863 tD
2211 20-PAN .2684 .4531 .5359 .5554 .5569 .5577 .5056 .2296 .1913 .1355 .1759 .2235 1.4613 2.9275 4.3888
2212 21-ABB .0408 .0529 .0602 .0599 .0604 .0602 .0567 .0375 .0328 .0202 .0280 .0357 .2109 .3343 0.5453
2213 22-USW . 1025 . 1131 . 1101 . 1094 . 1028 .1048 .1052 .0876 .0802 .0631 .0654 .0869 .4884 .6426 1.1310
2214 23-LSW .0413 .0518 .0514 .0461 .0401 .0455 .0487 .0388 .0372 .0051 .0239 .0308 .1845 .2762 0.4607
2215 24-WAR .0377 .0441 .0436 .0385 .0307 .0412 .0454 .0436 .0406 .0021 .0145 .0263 .1725 2358 0.4083
2216 25-KAB .0339 .0434 .0466 .0440 .0366 .0425 .0434 .0392 .0328 .0017 .0177 .0341 . 1688 .2470 0.4158
2217 26-THA .3777 .4206 .3864 .4027 .3991 .4096 .4016 .3934 .3680 .1064 .3175 .3615 1.9483 2.3962 4.3445
2218 27-PAH .0269 .0340 .0355 .0363 .0307 .0340 .0348 .0301 .0315 .0045 .0259 .0288 .1556 .1976 0.3532
2219 28-MUZ .1041 .3154 .3886 .3937 .3812 .3749 .2665 .1312 .0745 .0707 .0920 .1057 .7407 1.9578 2.6985
2220 29-DGK .1874 .3408 .4056 .4062 .3455 .3699 .2960 .1787 .1091 .0935 .1275 .1580 .9629 2.0555 3.0183
2221 31-P+D .0020 .0812 .5064 .5786 .4625 .4169 .2224 .0942 .0700 .1628 .0665 .0632 .6791 2.0475 2.7266
2222 32-BEG .0017 .0798 .7547 1.0590 .6712 .5522 .1528 .0023 .0122 .1344 .0059 .0038 .3115 3.1186 3.4300
2223 33-GHO .0134 .2218 .4264 .4093 .4541 .4266 .3847 .2007 . 1010 2016 .0720 .1217 1.0817 1.9517 3.0334
2224 34-NW .0917 .1070 .3522 .4994 .4373 .3499 .3011 .2055 .1948 .0973 2070 .1844 1.1900 1.8375 3.0275
2225 35-RIC .0000 .1199 .5937 .5945 .4428 .3722 .1454 .0000 .0000 .0000 .0000 .0000 .1454 2.1232 2.2686
2226 36-DAD .0775 .0820 .1964 .2978 .2643 .2269 .1894 .1350 .1378 .0620 .1494 .1400 .8137 1.1449 1.9587
2227 37-KW .0904 .1003 .1086 .1123 .1112 .1283 .1187 .1064 .1073 .0342 .0908 .0938 .5512 .6511 1.2024
2228 38-KE .1140 .1357 .1464 .1564 .1537 .1504 .1609 .1456 .1456 .0442 .1185 .1186 .7334 .8567 1.5901
2229 39-ROH .6860 .7981 .7821 .8123 .8474 .8517 .8026 .7187 .7404 .2608 .7123 .7525 3.9873 4.7776 8.7649
2230 41-NAR .6064 .6819 .6671 .6932 .6901 .6967 .6916 .6246 .6078 .2227 .5419 .5689 3.2576 4.0355 7.2931
2231 42-KAL .1342 .1644 .2888 .4046 .3561 .3739 .2843 .1374 .0777 .1522 .0963 .0861 .8340 1.7220 2.5559
2232 43-LCH .1155 .1476 .1645 .1671 .1421 . 1451 .1332 .0954 .0612 .0618 .0752 .0780 .5048 8819 1.3867
2233 44-FUL .1021 .3667 .6712 .6460 .4545 .4078 .2991 .1375 .0732 .1594 .1005 .0591 .8287 2.6483 3.4770
2234 45-PIN .0464 .1899 .4162 .5242 .4391 .3334 .2264 .1068 .0469 .1041 .0611 .0349 .5802 1.9493 2.5295
2235
INDUS BASIN MOOEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME;WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 48
GOVT. TUBEWELL PUMPAGE AND DEPTH TO WATER TABLE GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2331
2332 SET N NODES OF THE INDUS RIVER SYSTEM/
2333 ~~~~.-B SULEMANKI BARRAGE - SUTLEJ RIVER
2334 ISLAM-B ISLAM BARRAGE SUTLEJ RIVER
2335 PANJNAD-B PANJNAD BARRAGE PANJNAD RIVER
2336 RAVI-I RAVI INFLOW AT MADHOPUR RAVI RIVER
2337 BALLOKI-B BALLOKI BARRAGE RAVI RIVER
2338 SIDHNAI-B SIDHANI BARRAGE RAVI RIVER
2339 MARALA-B MARRA LA BARRAGE - CHENAB RIVER
2340 KHANKI-B KHANKI BARRAGE - CHENAB RIVER
2341 QADIRA-B QADIRABAD BARRAGE - CHENAB RIVER
2342 TRIMMU-B TRIMMU BARRAGE - CHENAB RIVER
2343 MANGLA-R MANGLA RESERVOIR - JEHLUM RIVER
2344 RASUL-B RASUL BARRAGE - JHELUM RIVER
2345 TARBELA-R TARBELA RESERVOIR INDUS RIVER
2346 AMANDA-H AMANDARA HEAD WORKS - SWAT RIVER
2347 MUNDA-H MUNDA HEAD WORKS - SWAT RIVER
2348 WARSAK-D WARSAK RESERVOIR - KABUL RIVER
2349 K-S-JCT KABUL AND SWAT RIVER JCT - KABUL RIVER
2350 KALABAGH-R KALABAGH RESERVOIR - INDUS RIVER
2351 CHASMA-R CHASMA RESERVOIR - INDUS RIVER
2352 TAUNSA-B TAUNSA BARRAGE - INDUS RIVER
2353 GUDU-B GUDU BARRAGE - INDUS RIVER
2354 SUKKUR-B SUKKUR BARRAGE - INDUS RIVER
I-'
2355 NARA-JCT NARA JUNCTION - NARA COMPLEX CO
2356 NARA-HEAD HEAD WORKS FOR IRRI. DIVERSION - NARA COMPLEX N
2357 CHOTIARI-R CHOTIARI RESERVOIR - NARA COMPLEX
2358 KOTRI-B KOTRI BARRAGE - INDUS RIVER
2359 A-SEA ARABIAN SEA
2360 A1 DIVERSION POINT FOR UJ UJ LINK AND R.P.C
2361 A2 DIV. FOR BRBD LINK UC LINK AND UC INT.
2362 A3 DIV. FOR MR CROSS LINK
2363 A4 MR CROSS TAIL AND BRBD LINK
2364 A5 DIV. FOR CBD AND UD CANALS
2365 A6 DIVERSION TO LCC FEEDER
2366 A7 DIV. FOR GUGERA AND JHANG CANALS
2367 A8 DIVESION POINT FOR MAILI+L PAKPATTAN CANALS
2368 A9 5MB LINK TO L-BAHAWL CANAL
2369 Al0 DIVERSION POINT FOR LJ
2370 /
2371 I SYSTEM INFLOWS /
2372 SWAT SWAT RIVER AT CHAKDARA
2373 KABUL KABUL RIVER AT WARSAK
2374 INDUS INDUS RIVER AT TARBELA
2375 HARO HARD RIVER AT GARIALL
2376 SOAN SOAN RIVER AT DHOK PATHAN
2377 JEHLUM JEHLUM.RIVER AT MANGLS
2378 CHENAB CHENAB RIVER AT MARRALA
2379 RAVI RAVI RIVER BELOW MADHOPUR
2380 SUTLEJ SUTLEJ RIVER BELOW FERDZPUR /
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 51
NETWORK NODES AND ARC DEFINITION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
....
CD
IJ.)
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 lG:27:23 PAGE 52
NETWORK NODES AND ARC DEFINITION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2440
2447
2495
SET CD jC,Dj
2496
TABLE RIVERCD(N,CD) COEFFICIENTS FOR RIVER ROUTING
2497
C D
2498
RASUl-B 02732 .93766
2499
TRIMMU-B .15348
2500
KHANKI -B 2.2113
2501
BAllOKI-B
2502
SIDHNAI-B .14063 1.0024
2503
ISlAM-B 12294
2504
PANJNAD-B .08077
2505
GUDU-B .10947
2506
KAlABAGH-R .04856
2507
CHASMA-R .04526
2508
TAUNSA-B .07205
2509
SUKKUR-B .02218
2510
KOTRI -B .17054
2511
2512
TABLE RIVERB(N,N1) COEFFICIENTS FOR RIVER ROUTING
2513
2514
MANGlA-R RASUl-B OADIRA-B MARAlA-B RAVI-I BAllOKI-B
2515
RASUl-B 1.01841
2516
TRIMMU-B .82803 9068
2517
KHANKI-B .93361
2518
BALlOKI-B 1.2181
2519
SIDHNAI -B 70555 I-'
2520
CO
2521
+ SUlEM-B TRIMMU-B SIDHNAI-B ISlAM-B TAUNSA-B PANJNAD-B 0'1
2522
ISLAM-B .9086
2523
PANJNAD-B .81033 1.13626 .80359
2524
GUDU-B .94003 1.0
2525
2526
+ K-S-JCT TARBElA-R KAlABAGH-R CHASMA-R GUDU-B SUKKUR-B
2527
2528
2529
KAlABAGH-R 1.04621 1.08686
2530
CHASMA-R .9849
2531
TAUNSA-B .9497
2532
SUKKUR-B .9908
2533
KOTRI-B .70625
2534
2535
2536
2537
RIVERB(N,N1)$(RIVERB(N,N1) EO 0 ) 1;
2538
RIVERCD(N,"D")$(RIVERCD(N."D") EO 0) 1;
2539
2540
2598 80. SOAN 0.012 0.010 0.009 0.010 0.019 0.031 0.091
2599 80.SWAT 0.103 0.070 0.061 0.064 0.085 0.212 0.597
2600 80.KABUL 0.273 0.420 0.354 0.331 0.429 0.359 2.167
2601
2602
2603 TABLE TRI(S58,Nl,N,Ml) TRIBUTARY INFLOWS (MAF)
2604 SOURCE: IRRIGATION DRAINAGE AND FLOOD MANAGEMENT SUPPORTING REPORT OF RAP. PLANNING DIVISION WAPDA.
2605 '" APR MAY vUN vUL AUG SEP KHARIF
2606 50.MARALA-B. KHANKI-B 0.004 0.006 0.023 0.120 0.240 0.056 0.449
2607 50.MANGLA-R. RASUL-B 0.120 0.180 0.lS0 0.170 0.320 0.210 1.lS0
2608 50.CHASMA-R. TAUNSA-B 0.051 0.013 0.021 0.048 0.021 0.012 0.166
2609 50.TARBELA-R.KALABAGH-R 0.041 0.087 0.182 o 350 0.602 0.180 1 442
2610 50.BALLOKI-B.SIDHNAI-B 0.000 0.001 0.009 0.096 0.206 0.041 0.353
2611 50. AMANDA-H. MUNDA-H 0.036 0.337 0.637 0.854 0.S44 0.062 2.470
2612 50.MUNDA-H. K-S-vCT 0.015 0.013 O.OOS 0.008 0.007 0.007 0.054
2613 50.WARSAK-D. K-S-JCT 0.126 0.102 0.059 0.070 0.056 0.056 0.469
2614
2615 80.MARALA-B. KHANKI-B 0.004 0.005 0.006 0.136 0.131 0.011 0.293
2616 80.MANGLA-R. RASUL-B 0.120 0.180 0.lS0 0.170 0.320 0.210 1.1S0
2617 80.CHASMA-R. TAUNSA-B 0.021 0.014 0.006 0.047 0.008 0.003 0.098
2618 80.TARBELA-R.KALABAGH-R 0.OS2 0.094 0.106 0.126 0.416 0.079 0.873
2619 80.BALLOKI-B.SIDHNAI-B 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.075 0.164 0.027 0.271
2620 80. AMANDA-H. MUNDA-H 0.121 0.410 0.161 0.132 0.000 0.019 0.844
2621 80.MUNDA-H. K-S-JCT 0.006 0.009 0.003 O.OOS O.OOS 0.004 0.031
2622
2623
80.WARSAK-D. K-S-JCT O.OSO 0.077 0.027 0.039 0.036 0.032 0.261 ....
00
2624 + OCT NOV DEC vAN FEB MAR RABI 00
262S 50.MARALA-B. KHANKI-B 0.017 0.007 0.008 0.007 0.006 0.007 0.052
2626 SO.MANGLA-R. RASUL-B 0.060 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.060
2627 50.CHASMA-R. TAUNSA-B 0.004 O.OOS 0.010 0.006 0.015 0.026 0.065
2628 SO.TARBELA-R.KALABAGH-R 0.100 0.064 0.038 0.055 0.OS2 0.130 0.439
2629 50.BALLOKI-B.SIDHNAI-B 0.002 0.003 0.008 O.OOS 0.007 0.006 0.030
2630 50. AMANDA-H. MUNDA-H 0.133 0.153 o 150 0.119 0.119 0.221 0.894
2631 50.MUNDA-H. K-S-vCT 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.009 0.028
2632 50.WARSAK-D. K-S-vCT 0.024 0.027 0.035 0.035 0.038 0.070 0.229
2633
2634 80.MARALA-B. KHANKI-B 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.003 0.011 0.006 0.039
2635 80.MANGLA-R. RASUL-B 0.060 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.060
2636 80.CHASMA-R. TAUNSA-B 0.009 0.006 0.010 0.006 0.008 0.011 O.OSO
2637 80.TARBELA-R.KALABAGH-R 0.088 0.039 0.041 0.040 0.042 0.04S 0.295
2638 80.BALLoKI-B.SIDHNAI-B 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002
2639 80.AMANDA-H. MUNDA-H 0.090 0.075 0.045 0.047 0.019 0.121 0.397
2640 80.MUNDA-H. K-S-vCT 0.005 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.000 O.OOS 0.022
2641 80.WARSAK-D. K-S-vCT 0.020 0.016 o 020 0.020 0.027 0.06S 0.169
2642 ,
2643 PARAMETER INFLOW(I,M) INFLOWS FOR THIS RUN (MAF)
2644 TRIB(Nl,N,M) TRIBUTARY INFLOWS FOR THIS RUN (MAF)
2645 INFLOW(I,M) = INFL5080("SO",I,M); TRIB(Nl,N,M) = TRI("SO,Nl,N,M);
2646
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 57
RESERVOIR CHARACTERISTICS GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2747 *
2748 REP8(N,Nl.M)=TRIB(N,Nl,M);
.....
10
.....
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME~WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 60
PRICES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2806
TABLE ECNSDWTPR(C,PS,*) PRICES OF SEED(RS PER KG) AND WATER(RS PER ACRE)
2807
2808
87-88.SEED 87-88.WATER 87-88.MISCC
2809
BASMATI 7. 16. 75.
2810
IRRI 3.7 16. 75.
2811
COTTON 6.7 14.4 500.
2812
RAB-FOD 36. 6.4
2813
GRAM 5. 1 8.
2814
MAIZE 7. 9.6
2815
MUS+RAP 5.9 12.
2816
KHA-FOD 2.25 6.4
2817
SC-GUR . 43 33 .
2818
SC-MILL .43 33.
2819
WHEAT 3.6 10.
2820
ORCHARD 64.
2821
POTATOES 2.6 12. 1650.
2822
ONIONS 2.9 12. 1020.
2823
CHILLI 10 32. 525.
2824
2825
* WAGES, FERTILIZER AND DTHER INPUT PRICES
2826
SET P1 1 NITROGEN, PHOSPHATE, PROTEIN, TWINVT. TRINVT,TWOPC,TROPCI
2827
P11 IFINANCIAL. ECONOMIC 1
2828
2829
TABLE PRI1(PS,Pl1,Pl) FERTILIZER TUBEWELL TRACTOR AND PROTEIN PRICES
2830
.....
2831
* FERTILIZER AND PROTEIN PRICES ARE IN RS/KG. TWINVT AND TRINVT ARE ID
I.
2832
* ANNUALIZED COST FOR A TUBEWELL AND TRACTOR (RUPEES)
2833
* TWOPC AND TROPC ARE COST OF TUBEWELL WATER(RS/ACRE FOOT) AND
2834
* COST OF TRACTOR (Rs/TRACTOR HOUR)
2835
2836
2840
TABLE WAGEPS(PS,P11,M) WAGE RATES RS PER MAN HOUR
2841
2842
.JAN FEB MAR APR MAY .JUN .JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2843
87-88.FINANCIAL 3. 3. 3. 6. 6. 3. 3. 3. 3. 6. 6. 3.
2844
87-88. ECONOMIC 2.75 2.75 2.75 5. 5. 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 5. 5. 2.75
2845
2846
2847
* MISCELLANEOUS PARAMETRES
2848
SCALARS LSTD STANDARD LABOR LIMIT ( HOURS PER MONTH ) 1 200 1
2849
TRCAP TRACTOR CAPACITY IN TRACTOR HOURS PER MONTH 1 250 1
2850
TWCAP NAMEPLATE CAPACITY OF THE PRIVATE TUBEWELL( AF PER MONTH) 1 59.50411
2851
NTWUCAP EFFECTIVE CAPACITY OF NEW TUBEWELLS(AF PER MONTH)
2852
TWEFAC FACTOR TO CONVERT WC LOSSES TO FROM PRIVATE TUBEWELL LOSSES 1 0.5 1
2853
LABFAC FACTOR TO CONVERT WAGE TO THE RESERVATION WAGE 1 0.5 1
2854
2855
PARAMETER TWUTIL(*) EFFECTIVE CAPACITY OF TUBEWELLS(PROPORTION OF NAME PLATE CAPACITY)
2856
1 EXISTING .60
2857
NEW .75 I;
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 62
DEMAND AND CONSUMPTION DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2895 WHEAT BASMATI IRRI MAIZE SC-MILL COTTON MUS+RAP GRAM CHILLI POTATOES ONIONS COW-MILK BUFF-MILK
2896
2897 NWFP 51.8 23. 1 2337.6 0.0 8.1 12.3 2.6 16.3 13.9 167 163
2898 PCW 1622.9 155.4 49.3 10286.5 3318.4 57.1 72.8 21.3 109.7 105.3 190 267
2899 PMW 261 5 1289.8 153.6 4.1 27.8 3.9 20.2 19.3 709 2298
2900 PRW 602.0 290.6 32.2 1007.1 9.1 23.7 8.3 43.2 41.2 260 1591
2901 PSW 814.5 120.2 15.0 6755.5 397.0 8.0 20.0 11.9 61.0 58.4 180 1142
2902 SCWN 132.8 6.3 2864.0 485.5 9.6 9.2 3.3 18.5 15.3 201 374
2903 SCWS 66.3 55.0 4675.8 437.4 3.8 3.4 3.8 22.0 17.8 110 216
2904 SRWN 18.03 171 2 273.5 15.3 12.7 3.9 22.7 18.5 187 469
2905 SRWS 28.0 27.1 1731.3 1.8 5.5 1.2 6.7 5.5 206 366
2906
2907
2908
2909 * ADUJUST THE DEMANDS FOR COW AND BUFFALO POPULATION IN THE IRRIGATED AREA
2910 .&&Z ZONE3XXXXX(Z,CQ, "DEMANO") = DEMAND(Z,CQ ) ;
2911 SCALAR
2912 COWF ADJUSTMENT FACTOR FOR COWS POPULATION IN THE IRRIGATED AREAS/.5/
2913 BUFF ADJUSTMENT FACTOR FOR BUFFLOES POP. IN THE IRRIGATED AREAS/.B/
2914
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 63
DEMAND AND CONSUMPTION OATA GAMS 2.2~ IBM CMS
2915
2916
2917 DEMAND(Z, "COW-MILK") DEMAND(Z, "COW-MILK" )*COWF;
2918 DEMAND(Z."BUFF-MILK") DEMAND( Z, "BUFF -MILK") *BUFF;
2919
2920
2921 PARAMETER ELAST(CQ ELASTICITY OF DEMAND FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES
2922 /
2923 (BASMATI. IRRI) -.4
2924 COTTON - .9
2925 GRAM -.22
2926 MAIZE -.4
2927 MUS+RAP -.35
2928 SC-MILL -.7
2929 WHEAT -.23
2930 (POTATOES,ONIONS,CHILLI) .7
2931 (COW-MILK,BUFF-MILK) -.44
2932 /
2933
2934 GROWTHRD(CQ ) GROWTH RATE OF REFERENCE DEMAND (PERCENT)/
2935 BASMATl 4.5, IRRI 4.0, COTTON 5.0,
2936 GRAM 4.7, WHEAT 4.1, MUS+RAP 3.4,
2937 SC-MILL 5.5,
2938 COW-MILK 6.3. BUFF-MILK 6.3, MEAT 6.6 /
2939
I-'
2940 10
2941 TABLE CONSRATIO(Z,G) PROPORTION OF CONSUMPTION BY GROWUNDWATER TYPE lJt
2942
2943 FRESH
2944 NWFP 1
2945 PMW .85
2946 PCW .9
2947 PSW .83
2948 PRW 1
2949 SCWN .55
2950 SRWN .33
2951 SCWS .34
2952 SRWS 0
2953
2954 PARAMETER NATEXP(CQ) NATIONAL EXPORTS (000 TONS)
2955 /BASMATI 250. IRRI 1100, COTTON 700, ONIONS 10 /
2956 EXPLIMIT(Z,CQ) EXPORT LIMITS BY ZONE
2957 SCALAR EXPLIMITGR GROWTH RATE OF EXPORT LIMITS(PERCENT) /5 /
2958 ,
2959 TABLE EXPPV(PV,CQ) PROVINCIAL EXPORTS AS PROPORTION OF NATIONAL
2960
2961 BASMATI IRRI COTTON ONIONS
2962 NWFP 0.14
2963 PUN-.lAB 1.00 0.29 0.84 0.33
2964 SIND 0.71 0.16 0.53
2965
2966 TABLE EXPZO(Z,CQ) ZONAL EXPORTS AS PROPORTION OF PROVINCIAL
2967
2968 BASMATI IRRI COTTON ONIONS
2969 NWFP 1
2970 PCW 0.33 1.00 0.52
INDUS
BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME~WSIS01 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 64
DEMAND
AND CONSUMPTION DATA GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3038
3039 DISPLAY WCEFF, TWEFF, GWTSA, GWT1
INDUS BASIN MOOEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 66
DATA TRANSFORMATION TO ZONES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
"TOTAL TOTAL WATER AVAILABLE FROM RAIN AND SUBIRR(INCHES) ", REP5 ;
DISPLAY "CNLDELEFF WEIGHTED CANAL DELIVERY EFFICIENCY FROM CANAL HEAD TO THE ROOT ZONE "
"WCDELEFF WEIGHTED WATERCOURSE COMMAND EFF. FROM CANAL HEAD TO THE ROOT ZONE ..
"TWDELEFF WEIGHTED PERIVATE TUBEWELL EFF. FROM CANAL HEAD TO THE ROOT ZONE" REP51
DISPLAY "CANAL CANAL WATER AVAILABLE AT THE CANAL HEAD (MAF)
"CANNAL-RT CANAL WATER AVAILABLE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
"GOVT-TW GOVERNMENT TUBEWELL PUMPAGE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD(MAF)"
"GWT-RT GOVERNMENT TUBEWELL PUMPAGE AT THE ROOT ZONE(MAF)", REP6 ;
DISPLAY EQEVAPZ ;
3079 *
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:21:23 PAGE 61
RESOURCE STOCKS GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3137 (1+GROWTHRES(FTT,Z)/100)**(ORD(IS)+1979-BASEYEAR) );
3138
3139 NTWUCAP = TWUTIL("NEW")*TWCAP ;
3140 RESOURCE(Z,"FRESH", "TUBEWELLS")$RESOURCE(Z, "FRESH","CCA")
3141 SUM(G, RESOURCE(Z,G,"TUBEWELLS";
3142 RESOURCE(Z,"SALINE","TUBEWELLS")= 0 ;
3143 RESOURCE(Z,"FRESH","TWC")$RESOURCE(Z,"FRESH","CCA")
3144 RESOURCE(Z, "FRESH", "TUBEWELLS")*TWCAP*
3145 TWUTI L( "EXISTING") /1000
3146
3147 PARAMETER SCMILLCAP(Z) SUGARCANE MILL CAPACITY (THOUSAND TONNS PER YEAR)
3148 /NWFP 6937,
3149 PMW 5750, PCW 8550, PSW 12000. PRW 3600
3150 SCWN 6000. SCWS 8370, SRWN 3800, SRWS 3730 /;
3151 OPTION TOTPROD:1, FARMCONS:1, DEMAND: 1, CONSRATIO:2 ;
3152 DISPLAY RESOURCE, TOTPROD, FARMCONS,CONSRATIO. OEMAND,EXPLIMIT
3153 SET CNL1(CNL) CANALS EXCLUDING NWFP CANALS ;
3154 CNL1(CNL) = YES; CNL1(CNL)$PVCNL("NWFP",CNL) = NO ;
3155 PARAMETER POSTT AVERAGE CANAL DIVERSIONS BY SEASON
3156 PROT ARB DIVERSIONS AS PROPORTION OF TOTAL(PUNJAB AND SIND) OST TARBELA
3157
3158 POSTT(CNL,SEA) = SUM(M$SEAM(SEA,M), DIVPOST(CNL,M;
3159 POSTT(PV2,SEA) = SUM(CNL$PVCNL(PV2,CNL), POSTT(CNL,SEA;
3160 PROTARB(CNL1,SEA) = 0.999 * POSTT(CNL1,SEA)/ ( POSTT("PUNJAB",SEA) + POSTT("SIND",SEA ;
3161 PROTARB(PV2,SEA) - 0.999 * POSTT(PV2,SEA) / ( POSTT("PUNJAB",SEA) + POSTT("SINO",SEA N
3162 OPTION POSTT:5, PROTARB:5 ; o
o
3163 DISPLAY CNL1. PDSTT, PROTARB ;
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 69
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
A SET DECLARED 120 DEF INED 120 REF 1780 1823 CONTROL 1823
AI SET DECLARED 121 DEFINED 121
BASEYEAR PARAM DECLARED 134 DEFINED 134 REF 1644 1756 1758 1823 2986 3133 3135
3137
BP PARAM DECLARED 1819 ASSIGNED 3*1821
BUFF PARAM DECLARED 2913 DEFINED 2913 REF 2918
BULLOCK PARAM DECLARED 272 DEF INED 272 ASSIGNED 635 REF 635
C SET DECLARED 47 DEFINED 47 REF 63 64 152 268 269 272 635
637 1051 1316 1495 1599 1632 1643 1644 1648 1666 1688 1707
1720 1730 1745 1746 3*1750 1752 2* 1753 1756 2*1757 1808 2786 2806
3100 CONTROL 136 269 635 1643 1749 1752 1755 1757
CANALWRTZ PARAM DECLARED 3012 ASSIGNED 3025
CANALWZ PARAM DECLARED 3011 ASSIGNED 3031
CARE A PARAM DECLARED 2073 ASSIGNED 2076 2077 REF 2077 2078 2*3027
CC SET DECLARED 42 DEFINED 42
CD SET DECLARED 2495 DEFINED 2495 REF 2496
CF SET DECLARED 63 DEFINED 63 CONTROL 136
CI SET DECLARED 118 DEFINED 118 REF 119 1495
CNEFF PARAM DECLARED 3004 ASSIGNED 3020
CNEFFZ PARAM DECLARED 3007 ASSIGNED 3023
CNF SET DECLARED 64 ASSIGNED 2*136
CNL SET DECLARED 1826 DEFINED 1826 REF 1870 1880 1883 2021 2045 2060 2071
2*2072 2073 3*2076 2077 2102 2144 2186 2237 2261 2296 2306 2307 N
0
2308 2309 2320 2*2321 2322 2323 2*2325 2326 2382 2999 3004 3005 I-'
3006 3013 4*3018 3*3019 3020 3021 3*3022 2*3023 2*3024 4*3025 2*3026 6*3027
4*3031 2*3032 2*3033 2*3034 2*3035 2*3036 3*3037 3153 3154 3158 2*3159
CONTROL 2071 2*2072 2076 2077 2320 2321 2322 2325 2326 3018 3019
3020 3021 3022 3023 3024 3025 3027 3031 3032 3033 3034 3035
3036 3037 2*3154 3158 3159
CNL1 SET DECLARED 3153 ASSIGNED 2*3154 REF 3160 3163 CONTROL 3160
COMDEF PARAM DECLARED 1883 DEFINED 1883 REF 2076 2322 3018 3019 3020 3021 2*3022
3023 3024 3026 3027
CONSRATIO PARAM DECLARED 2941 DEFINED 2941 ASSIGNED 2982 REF 2982 3151 3152
COWF PARAM DECLARED 2912 DEF INED 2912 REF 2917
CQ SET DECLARED 36 DEFINED 37 REF 42 47 122 2765 2859 2876 2890
2921 2934 2954 2956 2959 2966 2981 2983 2*2984 2986 3132 3133
CONTROL 2981 2983 2985 3132
CROPAREA PARAM DECLARED 3100 DEFINED 3100 REF 3134
DC SET DECLARED 95 DEFINED 95 REF 103 1883 2996
DEMAND PARAM DECLARED 2890 DEF INED 2890 ASSIGNED 2917 2918 3132 REF 2917 2918 3132
3151 3152
DEPTH PARAM DECLARED 2306 ASSIGNED 2320 2321 REF 2325 2*2328
DEP1 PARAM DECLARED 2261 DEF INED 2261 REF 2320
DEP2 PARAM DECLARED 2296 DEFINED 2296 REF 2*2321
DIVPOST PARAM DECLARED 2186 DEFINED 2186 REF 3025 3031 3158
DRC PARAM DECLARED 2315 DEF INED 2315 REF 2322
ECNSDWTPR PARAM DECLARED 2806 DEF INED 2806
EFR PARAM DECLARED 2307 ASSIGNED 2322 REF 3034
EFRZ PARAM DECLARED 3002 ASSIGNED 3034
ELAST PARAM DECLARED 2921 DEFINED 2922
EQEVAP PARAM DECLARED 2308 ASSIGNED 2325 REF 2326 3032
EQEVAPZ PARAM DECLARED 3000 ASSIGNED 3032
EVAP PARAM DECLARED 2102 DEF INED 2102 REF 2325
EXPLIMIT PARAM DECLARED 2956 ASSIGNED 2983 2985 REF 2986 3152
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 70
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
M1 SET DECLARED 104 DEFINED 104 REF 106 111 2186 2544 2603 2744
CONTROL 2744 2751
N SET DECLARED 2332 DEFINED 2332 REF 2382 2401 2402 2441 2448 2453 2474
2488 2*2490 2496 2512 2537 2538 2603 2644 2645 2648 2662 2672
2682 2695 2698 2728 2730 2748 2749 CONTROL 2448 2490 2537 2538
2645 2730 2748 2749 2751
NATEXP PARAM DECLARED 2954 DEFINED 2955 REF 2983
NATYIELD PARAM DECLARED 1648 DEFINED 1649 REF 1750
NB SET DECLARED 2448 ASSIGNED 2*2448
NC SET DECLARED 2382 DEFINED 2382
NCAP PARAM DECLARED 2453 DEFINED 2453
NI SET DECLARED 2441 DEFINED 2441
NN SET DECLARED 2402 DEFINED 2402
NT SET DECLARED 125 DEFINED 125 REF 1808
NTWUCAP PARAM DECLARED 2851 ASSIGNED 3139
Nl SET DECLARED 2401 REF 2402 2453 2474 2488 2*2490 2512 2537 2603 2644
2645 2748 2749 CONTROL 2490 2537 2645 2748 2749 2751
ORCHAREA PARAM DECLARED 3127 ASSIGNED 3134
ORCHGROWTH PARAM DECLARED 3128 DEFINED 3129 REF 3135
PN SET DECLARED 2695 DEFINED 2695 REF 2732 2*2733 2752 CONTROL 2732 2734 2752
POSTT PARAM DECLARED 3155 ASSIGNED 3158 3159 REF 3159 3*3160 3*3161 3162 3163
POW SET DECLARED 2691 DEFINED 2691 REF 2752 CONTROL 2752
POWERCHAR PARAM DECLARED 2698 DEFINED 2698 ASSIGNED 2732 2734 REF 2732 2733 2752 N
0
PRICES PARAM DECLARED 2765 DEFINED 2765 w
PRI1 PARAM DECLARED 2829 DEFINED 2829
PROT ARB PARAM DECLARED 3156 ASSIGNED 3160 3161 REF 3162 3163
PS SET DECLARED 128 DEFINED 128 REF 2765 2786 2806 2829 2840
PV SET DECLARED 30 DEFINED 30 REF 31 32 33 1666 1749 1750 1870
2959 2*2984 CONTROL 1749 2984
PVCNL SET DECLARED 1870 DEF INED 1870 REF 3154 3159
PVZ SET DECLARED 33 DEF INED 33 ASSIGNED 137 REF 1749 2984
PVl SET DECLARED 31 DEFINED 31
PV2 SET DECLARED 32 DEFINED 32 REF 3159 3161 CONTROL 3159 3161
Pl SET DECLARED 2826 DEFINED 2826 REF 2829
P 11 SET DECLARED 2827 DEF INED 2827 REF 2829 2840
P2 SET DECLARED 119 DEF INED 119 REF 1599 1643 CONTROL 1643
P3 SET DECLARED 2763 DEFINED 2763 REF 2765
Q SET DECLARED 122 DEF INED 122 REF 1823 CONTROL 1823
RAIN PARAM DECLARED 2144 DEFINED 2144 REF 2323
RATIOFS PARAM DECLARED 3015 ASSIGNED 3030 REF 3136
RCAP PARAM DECLARED 2728 ASSIGNED 2730 REF 2733 2754
REPCO PARAM DECLARED 1816 DEFINED 1816
REP7 PARAM DECLARED 2739 ASSIGNED 2742 2743 2744 REF 2744 2745
REP8 PARAM DECLARED 2740 ASSIGNED 2748 2749 2751 2752 REF 2750 2753 2758
RESOURCE PARAM DECLARED 3003 ASSIGNED 3018 3136 3140 3142 3143 REF 3019 2*3030 3140
3141 3143 3144 3152
RES88 PARAM DECLARED 3083 DEFINED 3083 REF 3136
REVAPL PARAM DECLARED 2682 DEFINED 2682
RIVERB PARAM DECLARED 2512 DEFINED 2512 ASSIGNED 2537 REF 2537
RIVERCD PARAM DECLARED 2496 DEF INED 2496 ASSIGNED 2538 REF 2538
RRCAP PARAM DECLARED 2648 DEF INED 2648 REF 2730
RULELO PARAM DECLARED 2662 DEF INED 2662
RULEUP PARAM DECLARED 2672 DEFINED 2672
R1 SET DECLARED 80 DEFINED 80 REF 95 3003 3081 3083 3115
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISDl 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 72
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
S SET DECLARED 67 DEFINED 67 REF 152 268 269 272 635 637 1051
1316 1495 1707 1745 1752 1753 1757 CONTROL 269 635 1752 1757
SA SET DECLARED 102 DEFINED 102 REF 1880 2021 2045 2060 2071 2*2072 2*2076
2999 3013 3*3018 2*3019 3023 3024 3*3025 2*3027 3*3031 3032 3033 3034
3035 3036 2*3037 CONTROL 2071 2*2072 2076 3018 3019 3023 3024 3025
3027 3031 3032 3033 3034 3035 3036 3037
SCMILLCAP PARAM DECLARED 3147 DEFINED 3148
SCONV PARAM DECLARED 1808 DEFINED 1808
SEA SET DECLARED 111 DEFINED 111 REF 112 1730 1737 1808 3158 3159 3*3160
3*3161 CONTROL 3158 3159 3160 3161
SEAM SET DECLARED 112 DEFINED 112 REF 3158
SEAl SET DECLARED 115 DEFINED 115 REF 116 2743 2749 CONTROL 2743 2749
SEA1M SET DECLARED 116 DEFINED 116 ASSIGNED 138 REF 2743 2749
SRl SET DECLARED 2996 DEFINED 2996 REF 3018 CONTROL 3018
SUBDEF PARAM DECLARED 2021 DEFINED 2021 REF 2071 2076 3018 3019 3025 3027 3031
SUBIRR PARAM DECLARED 2309 ASSIGNED 2326 REF 3033
SUBIRRFAC PARAM DECLARED 2310 DEFINED 2311
SUBIRRZ PARAM DECLARED 3001 ASSIGNED 3033
SYLDS PARAM DECLARED 1495 DEFINED 1495
S58 SET DECLARED 2542 DEFINED 2542 REF 2544 2603
T SET DECLARED 66 DEFINED 66 REF 152 268 269 272 635 637 1051
1316 1495 1745 1753 1757 CONTROL 269 635 1749 1752 1757
TECH SET DECLARED 268 ASSIGNED 269 N
0
THEl PARAM DECLARED 2316 DEFINED 2316 REF 2326 .t:
TOTPROD PARAM DECLARED 2859 DEFINED 2859 REF 3151 3152
TRACTOR PARAM DECLARED 1316 DEFINED 1316
TRCAP PARAM DECLARED 2849 DEFINED 2849
TRI PARAM DECLARED 2603 DEFINED 2603 REF 2645
TRIB PARAM DECLARED 2644 ASSIGNED 2645 REF 2748 2749
TWCAP PARAM DECLARED 2850 DEFINED 2850 REF 3139 3144
TWEFAC PARAM DECLARED 2852 DEFINED 2852 REF 3022
TWEFF PARAM DECLARED 3006 ASSIGNED 3022 REF 3035 3039
TWEFFZ PARAM DECLARED 3008 ASSIGNED 3035
TWUTIL PARAM DECLARED 2855 DEFINED 2856 REF 3139 3145
Tl SET DECLARED 79 DEFINED 79
V SET DECLARED 2696 DEFINED 2696 REF 2698 2732 2752 CONTROL 2732 2752
W SET DECLARED 71 DEFINED 71 REF 152 268 2G9 272 635 637 1051
1316 1495 1707 1745 1752 1753 1757 CONTROL 269 635 1752 1757
WAGEPS PARAM DECLARED 2840 DEFINED 2840
WATER PARAM DECLARED 1051 DEFINED 1051
WCE SET DECLARED 103 DEFINED 103 REF 108 2*3021 CONTROL 3021
WCEFF PARAM DECLARED 3005 ASSIGNED 3021 REF 3022 3026 3036 3037 3039
WCEFFZ PARAM DECLARED 3009 ASSIGNED 3036
WCEM SET DECLARED 108 DEFINED 108 REF 3021
WEEDY PARAM DECLARED 1730 DEFINED 1730
YIELD PARAM DECLARED 1745 ASSIGNED 1749 1752 1757 REF 1753 1757
YLDPRPV PARAM DECLARED 1666 DEFINED 1666 REF 1750
YLDPRZO PARAM DECLARED 1707 DEFINED 1708 REF 1752 1753
YLDPRZS PARAM DECLARED 1688 DEFINED 1688 REF 1750
Z SET DECLARED 20 DEFINED 20 REF 33 152 268 269 272 635 637
1051 1316 1495 1599 1643 1688 1720 1730 1737 1745 1746 1749
1750 1753 1756 2*1757 1780 1823 2045 2310 2859 2876 2917 2918
2941 2956 2966 2982 2*2984 2986 2999 3000 3001 3002 3003 3007
3008 3009 3010 3011 3012 3014 3015 3018 2*3019 3023 3024 3025
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 73
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2*3030 3031 3032 3033 3034 3035 3036 3037 3083 3100 3115 3127
3128 3132 3134 3135 2*3136 3137 3140 3141 3143 3144 3147
CONTROL 137 269 635 1643 1749 1752 1755 1757 1823 2917 2918
2982 2983 2985 3018 3019 3023 3024 3025 3030 3031 3032 3033
3034 3035 3036 3037 3132 3134 3136 3140 3142 3143
ZSA SET DECLARED 2045 DEFINED 2045 REF 3018 3019 3025 3031 3037
ZWT PARAM DECLARED 2999 ASSIGNED 3019 REF 3023 3024 3032 3033 3034 3035 3036
SETS
A ANIMAL TYPES
AI ANIMALS INPUT OUTPUT
C CROPS
CC CONSUMABLE COMODITIES
CD
CF FODDER CROPS
CI CROP INPUT OUTPUTS
CNF NON-FODDER CROPS
CNL IRRIGATION CANALS IN THE INDUS RIVER IRRIGATION SYSTEM
CNL1 CANALS EXCLUDING NWFP CANALS
CO CROP AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
DC CHARACTERISTICS OF CANAL COMMAND N
o
FTT I.JI
G GROUND WATER QUALITY TYPES
GF FRESH GROUND WATER SUB-ZONE
GS SALINE GROUND WATER SUB-ZONE
GWF SUBAREAS WITH FRESH GROUND WATER
GWFG SUBAREA IDENTIFICATION BY THE GROUNDWATER QUALITY
G1 ALIASED WITH G
I SYSTEM INFLOWS
IS IRRIGATION SYSTEM SCENARIOS
ISR IRRIGATION SYSTEM SCENARIO FOR THIS RUN
M MONTHS
M1 MONTHS AND SEASONS
N NODES OF THE INDUS RIVER SYSTEM
NB
NC NODE TO CANAL MAP
NI NODE TO RIM STATION INFLOW MAP
NN WATER FLOW SYSTEM NODE TO NODE
NT NUTRIENTS FOR ANIMALS
N1 ALIASED WITH N
PN NODES WITH POWER HOUSE
POW
PS PRICE SECENARIOS
PV PROVINCES AND COUNTRY
PVCNL PROVINCE TO CANALS MAP
PVZ PROVINCE TO ZONE MAP
PV1 PROVINCES
PV2 PUNJAB AND SIND
P1
P 11
P2
P3
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 74
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
SETS
Q LIVESTOCK COMODITIES
R1 RESOURCES
S SEQUENCE
SA SUBAREAS
SEA SEASONS
SEAM MAPPING FROM SEASONS TO MONTHS
SEAi
SEAiM
SRi
S58
T TECHNOLOGY
TECH TECHNOLOGY AVAILABILITY INDICATOR
Ti SUB ZONES BY GW QUALITY
V
W WATER STRESS LEVEL
WCE WATERCOURSE EFFECIENCIES
WCEM MAPPING FROM SEASON TO MONTHS FOR WATERCOURSE EFFICIENCES
Z AGROCLIMATIC ZONES
ZSA CANAL-SUBAREA TO AGROCLIMATIC ZONE MAPPING
PARAMETERS
N
BASEYEAR BASE YEAR FOR CROP YIELDS o
01
BP DRAFT POWER AVAILABLE PER BULLOCK(HOURS PER MONTH)
BUFF ADJUSTMENT FACTOR FOR BUFFLOES POP. IN THE IRRIGATED AREAS
BULLOCK BULLOCK POWER REQUIREMENTS(BULLOCK PAIR HOURS PER MONTH
CANALWRTZ CANAL WATER AVAILABLILITY AT THE ROOT ZONE(MAF)
CANALWZ CANAL WATER AVAILABLILITY AT THE CANAL HEAD(MAF)
CAREA CCA CLASSIFIED BY GROUNDWATER QUALITY FOR EACH CANAL
CNEFF CANAL EFFICIENCY FROM CANAL HEAD TO THE WATERCOURSE HEAD
CNEFFZ WEIGHTED CANAL DELIVERY EFFICIENCY FROM CANAL HEAO TO WATERCOURSE HEAD
COMDEF CANAL COMMAND CHARACTERISTICS
CONSRATIO PROPORTION OF CONSUMPTION BY GROWUNOWATER TYPE
COWF ADJUSTMENT FACTOR FOR COWS POPULATION IN THE IRRIGATED AREAS
CROP AREA CROPPED AREA 1988 (OOO'S ACRES)
DEMAND MARKET DEMAND BY ZONE (000 TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
DEPTH DEPTH TO GROUNDWATER (FEET)
DEP1 DEPTH TO WATER TABLE (FEET)
DEP2 DEPTH TO WATER TABLE (FEET)
DIVPOST AVERAGE(1976-77 TO 1987-88) CANAL DIVERSIONS(MAF)
DRC RUN-OFF PORTION OF RAINFALL
ECNSDWTPR PRICES OF SEED(RS PER KG) AND WATER(RS PER ACRE )
EFR EFFECTIVE RAINFALL IN FEET
EFRZ EFFECTIVE RAIN BY ACZ (FEET)
ELAST ELASTICITY OF DEMAND FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES
EQEVAP EVAPORATION FROM THE EQUAIFER (FEET)
EQEVAPZ EVAPORATION FROM THE EQUAIFER BY ACZ (FEET)
EVAP PAN EVAPORATION(FEET)
EXPLIMIT EXPORT LIMITS BY ZONE
EXPLIMITGR GROWTH RATE OF EXPORT LIMITS(PERCENT)
EXPPV PROVINCIAL EXPORTS AS PROPORTION OF NATIONAL
EXPZO ZONAL EXPORTS AS PROPORTION OF PROVINCIAL
FARMCONS ON-FARM CONSUMPTION 1988 (OOO'S TONS)
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISD1 01/23/90 16:27:23 PAGE 75
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
PARAMETERS
PARAMETERS
SYLDS STRAW YIELD AND SEED DATA
THE1 PORTION OF EQUAIFER EVAPORATION USED BY CROPS
TOT PROD TOTAL PRODUCTION 1988 (OOO'S TONS)
TRACTOR TRACTOR REQUIREMENTS (TRACTOR HOURS PER ACRE)
TRCAP TRACTOR CAPACITY IN TRACTOR HOURS PER MONTH
TRI TRIBUTARY INFLOWS (MAF)
TRIB TRIBUTARY INFLOWS FOR THIS RUN (MAF)
TWCAP NAMEPLATE CAPACITY OF THE PRIVATE TUBEWELL( AF PER MONTH)
TWEFAC FACTOR TO CONVERT WC LOSSES TO FROM PRIVATE TUBEWELL LOSSES
TWEFF DELIVERY EFFICIENCY FROM PRIVATE TUBEWELL TO THE ROOT ZONE
TWEFFZ WEIGHTED PRIVATE TUBEWELL DELIVERY EFFICIENCY BY ZONE
TWUTIL EFFECTIVE CAPACITY OF TUBEWELLS(PROPORTION OF NAME PLATE CAPACITY)
WAGEPS WAGE RATES RS PER MAN HOUR
WATER WATER REQUIREMENTS(ACRE FEET PER ACRE)
WCEFF WATERCOURSE COMMAND DELIVERY EFFICIENCY
WCEFFZ WEIGHTED WATER COURSE COMMAND DELIVERY EFFICIENCY BY ZONE
WEEDY WEED YIELDS BY CROP (TONNS PER ACER)
YIELD YIELD BY ZONE CROP TECHNOLOGY IN METRIC TONNS
YLDPRPV PROVINCE YIELDS PROPORTION OF NATIONAL 1987-88
YLDPRZO YIELDS AS PROPORTION OF STANDARD TECHNOLOGIES
YLDPRZS ZONES YIELDS AS PROPORTION OF PROVINCE-STANDARD TECHNOLOGIES
ZWT WEIGHTING FACTOR TO MAP RAIN EVAP AND EFFICIENCIES TO ZONES
N
o
00
**** FILE SUMMARY FOR USER KDAM
INPUT WSISD1 GAMS A
OUTPUT WSISD1 LISTING A
SAVE WSISD1 WORK* A
COMPILATION TIME 6.610 SECONDS VER: IBM-TB-003
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 77
MODEL SETUP GAMS 2.21 IBM eMS
This file contains the equation and model specification. Set PSR and
PSR1 contains the prices scenarios for the model.
This file is excuted after the data setup (WSISD* ) setup as GAMS RESTART.
N
.,,; o
10
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 78
MODEL SETUP GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3173 SETS
3174 PSR(PS) PRICE SCENARIO FOR THE MODEL(FINANCIAL PRICES) /87-88
3175 PSR1(PS) PRICE SCENARIO FOR REPORT(ECONOMIC PRICES) /87-88
3176 Zl(Z) ZONE SELECTION FOR THIS RUN
3177 / NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW,SCWN.SCWS,SRWN.SRWS /
3178 *
3179 * TOTAL COMODITIES ARE 18.
3180 WITH ENDOGENOUS PRICES= 13, FIXED PRICES=2, FODDER=2
3181
* CONSUMPTION ONLY = 1
3182
*
3183 CN(CO) COMODITIES ENDOGENOUS PRICES
3201
3204 ,
3208
3215
3216 SCALARS BIG BIG NUMBER USED FOR ARTIFICAL PRODUCTION /4000/
3219 PARAMETER
3224
3228 FSALEP(CO) FINANCIAL SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
3287
3288 * NOTE: INFLOWS FROM RAVI AND SUTLEJ RIVER ARE SET TO ZERO HERE.
3289 * INFLDW("RAVI",M) 0; INFLOW("SUTLEJ",M) = 0 ;
3290
3291 SCALARS
3292 TOLCNL ALLOWED DEVIATION FROM PROPORTIONAL ALLOCATION BY CANAL /0.0 /
3293 TOLPR ALLOWED DEVIATION FROM PROPORTIONAL ALLOCATION BY PROVINCE / 0.0 /
3294 TOLNWFP NWFP DIVERSION TOLERANCE / 0 /
3295
3296 *
3297 PARAMETER BETA(CQ,Z1) GRAOIENT COMOOITIES DEMAND CURVE
3298 ALPHA(CQ,ZI) DEMAND CURVE INTECEPT
3299 ,
3300 SCALAR BETAF BETA FACTOR /.5 / ;
3301 BETA(CN,ZI )$DEMAND(ZI ,CN) = FSALEP(CN) / DEMAND(ZI ,CN) / ELAST(CN) ;
3302 ALPHA(CN,Z1 ) = FSALEP(CN) - BETA(CN,ZI )*DEMAND(ZI ,CN)
3303
3304 *- LINEARIZATION OF THE DEMAND FUNCTION.
3305
3306 SET P GRID POINTS FOR LINEARIZATION / 1*20 /
3307 PARAMETER
3308 PMAX(CQ,Z1) MAXIMUM PRICE FOR SEGMENTS
3309 PMIN(CQ.Zl) MINIMUM PRICE FOR SEGMENTS
3310 QMAX(CQ.Zl) MAX NATIONAL CONSUMPTION
3311 QMIN(CQ,ZI) MIN NATIONAL CONSUMPTION
3312 INCR(CQ,ZI) INCREMENT ....
NI
NI
3313 WS(CQ,ZI,P) WELFARE SEGMENTS (MILLION RUPEES)
3314 RS(CQ,Z1,P) REVENUE DEFINITION (MILLION RUPEES)
3315 QS(CQ,ZI,P) QUANTITY OEFINITION(THOUSAND TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
3316
3317
3318
.
ENDPR(CQ,ZI,P) PRICE (RUPEES PER KGS OR LITER )
PMIN(CN,ZI) = 0.5*FSALEP(CN) ;
3319 PMAX(CN,ZI) = MIN(ALPHA(CN.Z1), 2*FSALEP(CN) ) ;
3320 * PMAX(CE,ZI) = MIN(ALPHA(CE,Z1 ).2*FSALEP(CE) ) ;
3321 * PMIN(CE.Zl) = FSALEP(CE); .
3322 QMIN(CN,Z1)$BETA(CN,Z1 ) = (PMAX(CN,Z1 )-ALPHA(CN,Z1 /BETA(CN,Z1 );
3323 QMAX(CN,ZI)$BETA(CN,Z1 ) = (PMIN(CN,Z1 )-ALPHA(CN,ZI /BETA(CN.Z1 );
3324 INCR(CN,ZI) (QMAX(CN,Z1 )-QMIN(CN,ZI /(CARD(P)-I);
3325
3326 QS(CN,ZI,P) = QMIN(CN,Z1) + INCR(CN,ZI)*(ORD(P)-I);
3327 WS(CN.Zl,P) = ALPHA(CN.Z1)*QS(CN,Z1,P) + BETAF*BETA(CN,Z1)*SQR(QS(CN,Z1,P
3328 RS(CN.Z1,P) = ALPHA(CN.Zl)*QS(CN,ZI,P) + BETA(CN,Z1)*SQR(QS(CN,Z1,P;
3329 ENDPR(CN.Zl,P)= ALPHA(CN,ZI) + BETA(CN,Z1)*QS(CN,Z1,P);
3330 DISPLAY PMAX. PMIN. QMAX, QMIN,INCR, QS, WS. RS, ENDPR ;
3331 *-
3332 DISPLAY ALPHA , BETA
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 81
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3360 ARTFOD(Zl,G,SEA) ARTIFICIAL FODDER SUPPLY EQUAl VALENT OF RAB-FOD (000 TONNS)
3361 ARTWATER(Z,G,M) WATER FROM IMAGINARY SOURCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
3365
3366 EQUATIONS
3367 OBJZ OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE ZONE MODEL LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
3368 OBJZN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE ZONE MODEL NON-LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
3369 OBJN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE INDUS MODEL LINEAR VERSION (MI LLION RUPEES)
3370 OBJNN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE INDUS MODEL NON-LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
3371 COST(Z,G) ANNUAL FARM COST (MILLION RUPEES)
3372 CONV(CQ,Z) CONVEX COMBINATION FOR AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
3373 DEMNAT(CQ,Z) PROVINCIAL DEMAND BALANCE LINEAR (000 TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
3374 DEMNATN(CQ,Z) ZONAL DEMAND BALANCE NON-LINEAR (000 TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
3375 CCOMBAL(Z,G,C) COMMODITY BALANCES FOR CROPS (000 TONS)
3376 QCOMBAL(Z,G.Q) LIVESTOCK COMODITY BALANCES (000 TONS OR M LITERS)
3377 CONSBAL(Z.G,CQ) CONSUMPTION BALANCE (000 TONS OR M LITERS)
3378 LABORC(Z,G,M) MONTHLY LABOR CONSTRAINT (MILLION MAN HOURS)
3379 FODDER(Z.G,SEA) SEASONAL MAINTENANCE OF FODDER SUPPLIES (000 METRIC TONS)
3380 PROTEIN(Z.G,SEA) PROTEIN REQUIREMENTS OF LIVESTOCK BY SEASON (000 METRIC TONS)
3381 GRNFDR(Z,G.SEA) GREEN FODDER REQUIREMENTS (000 METRIC TONS)
3382 BDRAFT(Z.G.M) BULLOCK DRAFT POWER CONSTRAINT (MILLION BULLOCK HOURS)
3383 BREPCO(Z,G) BULLOCK REPRODUCTION CONSTRAINT
3384 BULLOCKC(Zl) BULLOCK POPULATION CONSTRAINT (000 BULLOCKS)
3385 TDRAFT(Z.G,M) TRACTOR DRAFT POWER BALANCE (000 TRACTOR HOURS)
3386 TRCAPC(Z,M) TRACTOR CAPACITY CONSTRAINT (000 TRACTOR HOURS)
3387 TWCAPC(Z.M) TUBEWELL CAPACITY CONSTRAINT (KAF)
3388 LANDC(Z.G.M) LAND CONSTRAINT (000 ACRES)
3389 ORCHAREAC(Z) ORCHARD AREA CONSTRAINT (000 ACRES)
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISEO(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE
82
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3390 SCMILLC(Z)
SUGAR CANE TO MILL CONSTRAINT (000 ACRES)
3391 WATERBALN(Z,G,M)
WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
3392 WATALCZ(Z,G,M)
SURFACE WATER BY ZONE (KAF)
3393 SUBIRRC(Z,G,M)
SUBIRRIGATION CDNSTRAINT (KAF)
3394 NBAL(N,M)
WATER BALANCE AT A NODE (MAF)
3395 WATALCSEA(CNL,SEA)
WATER ALLOCATIDNS BY SEASON (MAF)
3396 DIVSEA(SEA)
TOTAL CANAL DIVERSIONS IN SIND AND PUNJAB (MAF)
3397 DIVCNLSEA(CNL,SEA)
CANAL DIVERSION BY SEASON (MAF)
3398 WATALCPRO(PV,SEA)
WATER ALLOCATION BY PROVINCE (MAF)
3399 PRSEAW(PV,SEA)
DIVERSIONS BY PROVINCE AND SEASON (MAF)
3400 NWFPALC(M)
WATER ALLOCATIONS TO THE NWFP ACZ (t<1AF)
3401
N
.....
~
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 83
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3403 OB~Z..
3404 cPS =E=
3405 SUM(Zl, SUM(G$EX(Zl,G), SUM(NCN. FSALEP(NCN)*PRODT(Zl.G,NCN) )
3460 SUM(G$EX(Z1.G).
3464
3466 SUM(G$EX(Zl.G).
3470
3472
3474
3475 CONSBAL(Zl.G,CC)$(EX(Zl.G)$TECHC(Zl.CC) ) ..
3477
3480
I-'
A SET REF 3339 2*3454 2*3473 2*3479 2*3481 2*3487 2*3493 CONTROL 3454 3473 3479
3481 3487 3493
ACOST VAR DECLARED 3336 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3406 3416 3427 3439 3450
ALPHA PARAM DECLARED 3298 ASSIGNED 3302 REF 3319 3322 3323 3327 3328 3329 3332
3421 3444
ANIMAL VAR DECLARED 3339 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3454 3473 3479 3481 3487 3493 3500
2*3502 3504
ARTFOD VAR DECLARED 3360 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3406 3416 3427 3439 3485 3491 3497
ARTWATER VAR DECLARED 3361 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3407 3417 3428 3440 3527
ARTWATERND VAR DECLARED 3362 ASSIGNED 3564 REF 3433 3446 3561
BDRAFT EQU DECLARED 3382 DEF INED 3499 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3579 3585 3590 3598
BETA PARAM DECLARED 3297 ASSIGNED 3301 REF 3302 2*3322 2*3323 3327 3328 3329 3332
3422 3445
BETAF PARAM DECLARED 3300 DEF INED 3300 REF 3327 3422 3445
BIG PARAM DECLARED 3216 DEFINED 3216 REF 3408 3418 3429 3441
BP PARAM REF 3500
BREPCO EQU DECLARED 3383 DEF INED 3502 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3580 3586 3591 3599
BULLOCK PARAM REF 3499
BULLOCKC EQU DECLARED 3384 DEFINED 3504
C SET REF 3209 3231 3233 3238 3240 3245 3253 2*3255 3264 2*3266 3277
3282 3283 3338 3375 2*3450 4*3451 5*3471 3*3478 3481 4*3482 3483 3*3488
3*3489 3495 2*3496 3*3499 3*3506 3*3515 3523 2*3524 3525 3*3550 CONTROL 3253
3255 3264 3266 3277 3282 3283 3450 3471 3478 3481 3488 3495 N
3499 3506 3515 3523 3550 I-'
CANALDIV VAR DECLARED 3353 IMPL-ASN 3624 ASSIGNED 3610 3611 REF 3530 3533 3546 3561 10
CC SET REF 3461 3467 3475 3*3476 CONTRDL 3475
CCN SET DECLARED 3189 DEFINED 3190 REF 3206
CCOMBAL EQU DECLARED 3375 DEFINED 3471 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3578 3584 3589 3597
CE SET DECLARED 3198 DEF INED 3199 REF 3206 3*3410 3*3420 3*3431 3*3443 3462 3468
3573 CONTROL 3410 3420 3431 3443 3573
CF SET REF 3493 3*3494 CONTROL 3284 3493
CM SET DECLARED 3200 DEFINED 3200 REF 3206 3*3409 3*3419 3*3430 3*3442 3462 3468
CONTROL 3409 3419 3430 3442
CN SET DECLARED 3183 DEF INED 3184 REF 3206 4*3301 3*3302 3318 2*3319 4*3322 4*3323
2*3324 2*3326 4*3327 4*3328 3*3329 3*3411 3*3421 2*3422 3*3432 3*3444 2*3445 2*3457
3463 3469 CONTROL 3301 3302 3318 3319 3322 3323 3324 3326 3327
3328 3329 3411 3421 3432 3444 3457
CNEFF PARAM REF 3530
CNF SET REF 3471
CNL SET REF 3353 3354 3395 3397 2*3529 4*3530 2*3533 2*3546 2*3561 3610 3611
CONTROL 3529 3532 3546 3561 3610 3611
CNLDIVSEA VAR DECLARED 3354 REF 3533 3536 3541
CNL1 SET REF 3535 3536 3540 3541 CONTROL 3535 3539
CONDEF PAR AM REF 3610
CONSBAL EQU DECLARED 3377 DEFINED 3475 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3579 3585 3590 3598
CONSRATIO PARAM REF 3572
CONSUNP VAR DECLARED 3344 IMPL-ASN 3624 ASSIGNED 3572 REF 3461 3467 3476
CONV EQU DECLARED 3372 DEFINED 3457 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3578 3589
COST EQU DECLARED 3371 DEFINED 3450 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3578 3584 3589 3597
CPS VAR DECLARED 3334 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3404 3414 3425 3437 3624
CQ SET REF 3183 3189 3194 3196 3198 3200 3203 3206 3228 3235 3242
3243 3249 3256 3257 3260 3297 3298 3308 3309 3310 3311 3312
3313 3314 3315 3316 3340 3341 3342 3343 3344 3363 3364 3372
3373 3374 3377 2*3408 2*3418 2*3429 2*3441 3459 4*3461 4*3462 3*3463 3465
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 88
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4*3467 4*3468 2*3469 3572 CONTROL 3249 3256 3257 3260 3408 3418 3429
3441 3459 3465 3572
DEMAND PARAM REF 2*3301 3302
DEMNAT EQU DECLARED 3373 DEFINED 3459 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3578 3589
DEMNATN EQU DECLARED 3374 DEFINED 3465 REF 3584 3597
DIVCNLSEA EQU DECLARED 3397 DEFINED 3532 REF 3593 3601
DIVNWFP PARAM DECLARED 3220 DEFINED 3221 REF 3547
DIVPOST PAR AM REF 3611
DIVSEA EQU DECLARED 3396 DEFINED 3537 REF 3593 3601
ECNSDWTPR PARAM REF 3264 2*3266
EFRZ PARAM REF 3277
ELAST PARAM REF 3301
EMISC PARAM DECLARED 3237 ASSIGNED 3263
EMISCCT PARAM DECLARED 3240 ASSIGNED 3266
ENDPR PARAM DECLARED 3316 ASSIGNED 3329 REF 3330
EPP PARAM DECLARED 3236 ASSIGNED 3261
ESALEP PARAM DECLARED 3235 ASSIGNED 3260
ESEEDP PARAM DECLARED 3238 ASSIGNED 3264
EWAGE PARAM DECLARED 3239 ASSIGNED 3265
EX SET DECLARED 3202 ASSIGNED 3205 REF 3206 3405 3415 3426 3438 3450 3460
3466 3471 3473 3475 3478 3481 3487 3493 3499 3502 3504 3506
2*3508 3511 3515 3517 3519 3522 3529 3549
EXPLlMIT PARAM REF 3573 N
EXPORT VAR DECLARED 3343 IMPL-ASN 3624 ASSIGNED 3573 REF 3410 3420 3431 3443 3462 N
3468 0
EXPORTP PARAM DECLARED 3243 ASSIGNED 3257 REF 3410 3420 3431 3443
F VAR DECLARED 3351 ASSIGNED 3565 3566 REF 3434 3447 3556 3557 3558 3560
FAMILVL VAR DECLARED 3345 IMPL-ASN 3624 ASSIGNED 3569 REF 3456 3479
FARMCONS PARAM REF 3572
FERT PARAM REF 3207 3450
FINSDWTPR PARAM REF 3253 2*3255
FODDER EQU DECLARED 3379 DEFINED 3481 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3579 3585 3590 3598
FSALEP PARAM DECLARED 3228 ASSIGNED 3249 REF 3301 3302 3318 3319 3405 3415 3426
3438
G SET REF 3202 3205 3336 3337 3338 3339 3340 3341 3344 3345 3346
3349 3350 3357 3358 3359 3360 3361 3371 3375 3376 3377 3378
3379 3380 3381 3382 3383 3385 3388 3391 3392 3393 2*3405 2*3406
3407 3408 2*3415 2*3416 3417 3418 2*3426 2*3427 3428 3429 2*3438 2*3439
3440 3441 2*3450 3451 2*3452 2*3453 3454 3455 2*3456 3460 3*3461 3466
3*3467 3*3471 3*3473 3475 3*3476 2*3478 3*3479 2*3481 3483 3484 3485 3*3487
3489 3490 3491 2*3493 3494 3496 3497 2*3499 3500 3*3502 2*3504 3*3506
3*3508 2*3509 3*3515 3516 2*3517 2*3519 3522 2*3525 2*3526 2*3527 3*3529 3*3549
3550 3569 3572 CONTROL 3205 3405 3415 3426 3438 3450 3460 3466
3471 3473 3475 3478 3481 3487 3493 3499 3502 3504 3506 2*3508
3515 3517 3519 3522 3529 3549 3569 3572 3574
GF SET REF 3452 3453 3526
GR PARAM REF 3493
GRAZ PARAM REF 3484 3490
GRNFDR EOU DECLARED 3381 DEFINED 3493 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3579 3585 3590 3598
GS SET REF 3549
GWFG SET REF 3529
GWT1 PAR AM REF 3526
HIREDL VAR DECLARED 3346 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3456 3479
I SET REF 2*3553 CONTROL 3553
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 89
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
IMPORT VAR DECLARED 3342 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3409 3419 3430 3442 3462 3468
IMPORTP PARAM DECLARED 3242 ASSIGNED 3256 REF 3409 3419 3430 3442
INCR PARAM DECLARED 3312 ASSIGNED 3324 REF 3326 3330
INFLOW PARAM ASSIGNED 2*3622 REF 3553
IOLIVE PARAM REF 3454 3473 3479 3481 3487 3493
ISR SET REF 3610 CONTROL 3610
ITR VAR DECLARED 3349 IMPL-ASN 3624 ASSIGNED 3574 REF 3453 3509
ITW VAR DECLARED 3347 IMPL-ASN 3624 ASSIGNED 3574 REF 3453 3513
LABFAC PARAM REF 3456
LABOR PARAM REF 3478
LABORC EQU DECLARED 3378 DEFINED 3478 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3579 3585 3590 3598
LAND PARAM REF 3515 3524
LANDC EQU DECLARED 3388 DEF INED 3515 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3580 3586 3591 3599
LCEFF PARAM REF 2*3556 3558
LSTD PARAM REF 3569
M SET REF 3220 3232 3239 3245 3254 3265 2*3277 3345 3346 3348 3350
3351 3352 3353 3357 3358 3359 3361 3362 3378 3382 3385 3386
3387 3388 3391 3392 3393 3394 3400 3407 3417 3428 2*3433 3434
3440 2*3446 3447 2*3452 3*3456 3478 2*3479 2*3484 2*3490 3499 3500 2*3506
3508 3513 2*3515 3*3524 3525 3*3526 2*3527 3529 2*3530 2*3533 3546 3547
3549 3550 3553 2*3554 3556 3557 3558 4*3560 2*3561 3611 3615 3616
CONTROL 3254 3265 3277 3407 3417 3428 3433 3440 3446 3452 3456
3478 3484 3490 3499 3506 3508 3511 3515 3522 3529 3533 3546 N
3549 3552 3564 3565 3566 3569 3610 3611 3615 3616 3620 3621 N
2*3622 .....
MAX FUNCT REF 3277 3524
MIN FUNCT REF 3319
MISC PARAM DECLARED 3230 ASSIGNED 3252 REF 3450 2*3452 2 .. 3453
MISCCT PARAM DECLARED 3233 ASSIGNED 3255 REF 3451
N SET REF 3225 3351 3352 3362 3394 4*3433 4"3446 3552 3553 4*3554 3555
3 .. 3556 2*3557 3 .. 3558 3559 5*3560 2*3561 2*3566 2*3615 2*3616 CONTROL 3433 3446
3552 3564 3565 3566 3615 3616
NAT VAR DECLARED 3363 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3411 3432 3457 3463
NATN VAR DECLARED 3364 REF 3421 3422 3444 3445 3469
NB SET REF 3552
NBAL EQU DECLARED 3394 DEFINED 3552 REF 3594 3602
NC SET REF 3561
NCAP PARAM REF 2*3566
NCN SET DECLARED 3196 DEFINED 3197 REF 3206 2*3405 2*3415 2*3426 2*3438 CONTROL 3405
3415 3426 3438
NI SET REF 3553
NN SET REF 3555 3559
NTWUCAP PARAM REF 3513
NWFPALC EQU DECLARED 3400 DEFINED 3546 REF 3593 3601
N1 SET REF 3351 2 .. 3554 3555 3"3556 2*3557 2*3558 3559 3560 2*3566 CONTROL 3554
3555 3559 3565 3566
OBJN EQU DECLARED 3369 DEFINED 3424 REF 3589
OBJNN EQU DECLARED 3370 DEFINED 3436 REF 3597
OBJZ EQU DECLARED 3367 DEFINED 3403 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3578
OBJZN EQU DECLARED 3368 DEFINED 3413 REF 3584
ORCHAREA PARAM REF 3517
ORCHAREAC EQU DECLARED 3389 DEF INED 3517 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3580 3586 3591 3599
P SET DECLARED 3306 DEFINED 3306 REF 3313 3314 3315 3316 3324 3326 2*3327
2*3328 3329 3363 2*3411 2*3432 3457 2*3463 CONTROL 3326 3327 3328 3329
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME;WSISMl 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 90
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2*3490 3491 3494 3496 3497 2*3533 3535 3536 2*3538 2*3540 3541 2*3543
3544 CONTROL 3406 3416 3427 3439 3455 3481 3487 3493 3532 3534
3537 3539 3542
SEAM SET REF 3484 3490 3533
SEEDP PARAM DECLARED 3231 ASSIGNED 3253 REF 3451
SLKLAND VAR DECLARED 3358 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3484 3490 3515
SLKWATER VAR DECLARED 3359 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3525
SQR FUNCT REF 3327 3328 3422 3445
SUBDEF PARAM REF 3530
SUBIRRC EQU DECLARED 3393 DEFINED 3549 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3581 3587 3592 3600
SUBIRRFAC PARAM REF 3550
SUBIRRZ PARAM REF 3524
SnDS PARAM REF 3451 3482 3488
T SET REF 3209 3245 3277 3282 3283 3338 3450 2*3451 3* 34 71 3*3478 3481
2*3482 3483 3*3488 3489 3493 2*3494 3495 3496 3*3499 3*3506 3*3515 2*3517
3523 2*3524 3525 3*3550 CONTROL 3277 3279 3280 3282 3283 3450 3471
3478 3481 3488 3493 3495 3499 3506 3515 3517 3523 3550
TCDIVSEA VAR DECLARED 3356 REF 3538 3540 3543
TORAFT EQU DECLARED 3385 DEFINED 3506 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3580 3586 3591 3599
TEC PARAM DECLARED 3209 DEFINED 3209 ASSIGNED 3279 3280 REF 3282
TECH SET ASSIGNED 3282 REF 3283 3450 3471 3478 3481 3488 3493 3495 3499
3506 3515 3517 3523 3550
TECHC SET DECLARED 3203 ASSIGNED 3283 2*3284 REF 3286 3408 3409 3410 3411 3418 N
3419 3420 3421 3429 3430 3431 3432 3441 3442 3443 3444 3457 N
3459 3465 3475 w
TOLCNL PARAM DECLARED 3292 DEFINED 3292 REF 3540
TOLNWFP PARAM DECLARED 3294 DEFINED 3294 ASSIGNED 3618 REF 3547
TOLPR PARAM DECLARED 3293 DEFINED 3293 REF 3543
TRACTOR PARAM REF 3506
TRCAP PARAM REF 3509
TRCAPC EQU DECLARED 3386 DEFINED 3508 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3580 3586 3591 3599
TRIB PARAM ASSIGNED 3620 3621 REF 2*3554
TS VAR DECLARED 3350 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3452 3506 3508
TW VAR DECLARED 3348 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3452 3513 3526
TWCAPC EQU DECLARED 3387 DEFINED 3511 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3580 3586 3591 3599
TWEFFZ PARAM REF 3526
W SET REF 3209 3245 3277 3282 3283 3338 3450 2*3451 3*3471 3*3478 3481
2*3482 3483 3*3488 3489 3493 2*3494 3495 3496 3*3499 3*3506 3*3515 2*3517
3523 2*3524 3525 3*3550 CONTROL 3277 3279 3280 3282 3283 3450 3471
3478 3481 3488 3493 3495 3499 3506 3515 3517 3523 3550
WAGE PARAM DECLARED 3232 ASSIGNED 3254 REF 3456
WAGEPS PARAM REF 3254 3265
WATALCPRO EQU DECLARED 3398 DEFINED 3542 REF 3593 3601
WATALCSEA EQU DECLARED 3395 DEFINED 3539 REF 3593 3601
WATALCZ EQU DECLARED 3392 DEFINED 3529 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3581 3587 3592 3600
WATER PARAM REF 3277
WATERBALN EQU DECLARED 3391 DEFINED 3522 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3581 3587 3592 3600
WCEFF PARAM REF 3530
WDIVRZ VAR DECLARED 3357 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3527 3529 3549
WEEDY PARAM REF 3482 3489 3496
WNR PARAM DECLARED 3245 ASSIGNED 3277 REF 3524 3550
WS PARAM DECLARED 3313 ASSIGNED 3327 REF 3330 3411 3432
WSISN MODEL DECLARED 3588 DEFINED 3588
WSISNN MODEL DECLARED 3596 DEFINED 3596
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27-46 PAGE 92
SYMBOL LI STING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
WSISZ MODEL DECLARED 3577 DEFINED 3577 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3624
WSISZN MODEL DECLARED 3583 DEFINED 3583
X VAR DECLARED 3338 IMPL-ASN 3624 REF 3451 3471 3478 3483 3489 3494 3496
3499 3506 3515 3517 3525 3550
YIELD PARAM REF 3471 3482 3488 3494
Z SET REF 3176 3202 3203 3209 3245 3336 3337 3338 3339 3340 3341
3342 3343 3344 3345 3346 3347 3348 3349 3350 3358 3359 3361
3363 3364 3371 3372 3373 3374 3375 3376 3377 3378 3379 3380
3381 3382 3383 3385 3386 3387 3388 3389 3390 3391 3392 3393
ZSA SET REF 3529
Z1 SET DECLARED 3176 DEFINED 3177 REF 3205 2*3277 3282 3283 3297 3298 2*3301
2*3302 3308 3309 3310 3311 3312 3313 3314 3315 3316 3319 4*3322
4*3323 2*3324 2*3326 4*3327 4*3328 3*3329 3357 3360 3384 2*3405 2*3406 3407
2*3408 2*3409 2*3410 3*3411 2*3415 2*3416 3417 2*3418 2*3419 2*3420 3*3421 2*3422
2*3426 2*3427 3428 2*3429 2*3430 2*3431 3*3432 2*3438 2*3439 3440 2*3441 2*3442
2*3443 3*3444 2*3445 4*3450 2*3451 2*3452 2*3453 2*3454 3455 2*3456 2*3457 3459
3460 3*3461 2*3462 2*3463 3465 3466 3*3467 2*3468 3469 5*3471 4*3473 2*3475
3*3476 4*3478 4*3479 4*3481 3*3482 3483 2*3484 3485 4*3487 3*3488 2*3489 2*3490
3491 4*3493 2*3494 3495 2*3496 3497 4*3499 3500 3*3502 3*3504 5*3506 3*3508
2*3509 3511 3*3513 5*3515 3516 4*3517 3*3519 3522 3523 3*3524 2*3525 3*3526
2*3527 3*3529 2*3549 4*3550 3569 2*3572 3573 CONTROL 3205 3277 3282 3283
2*3284 3301 3302 3318 3319 3322 3323 3324 3326 3327 3328 3329
3405 3409 3410 3411 3415 3419 3420 3421 3426 3430 3431 3432
N
3438 3442 3443 3444 3450 3457 3459 3465 3471 3473 3475 3478 N
3481 3487 3493 3499 3502 3504 3506 3508 3511 3515 3517 3519 .po
3522 3529 3549 3569 3572 3573 2*3574
SETS
A ANIMAL TYPES
C CROPS
CC CONSUMABLE COMODITIES
CCN CROP COMODITIES WITH ENDOGENOUS PRICES
CE EXPORTABLE COMODITIES
CF FODDER CROPS
CM COMODITIES WHICH COULD BE IMPORTED
CN COMODITIES ENDOGENOUS PRICES
CNF NON-FODDER CROPS
CNL IRRIGATION CANALS IN THE INDUS RIVER IRRIGATION SYSTEM
CNL1 CANALS EXCLUDING NWFP CANALS
CQ CROP AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
EX TO CHECK FRESH OR SALINE AREA WITHIN A ZONE
G GROUND WATER QUALITY TYPES
GF FRESH GROUND WATER SUB-ZONE
GS SALINE GROUND WATER SUB-ZONE
GWFG SUBAREA IDENTIFICATION BY THE GROUNDWATER QUALITY
I SYSTEM INFLOWS
ISR IRRIGATION SYSTEM SCENARIO FOR THIS RUN
M MONTHS
N NODES OF THE INDUS RIVER SYSTEM
NB
NC NOOE TO CANAL MAP
NCN CROPS WITH FIXED PRICES EXCLUDING FODDER
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 93
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
SETS
NI NODE TO RIM STATION INFLOW MAP
NN WATER FLOW SYSTEM NODE TO NODE
N1 ALIASED WITH N
P GRID POINTS FOR LINEARIZATION
PS PRICE SECENARIOS
PSR PRICE SCENARIO FOR THE MODEL(FINANCIAL PRICES)
PSR1 PRICE SCENARIO FOR REPORT(ECONOMIC PRICES)
PV PROVINCES AND COUNTRY
PVCNL PROVINCE TO CANALS MAP
PV2 PUNJAB AND SIND
P1
P2
Q LIVESTOCK COMODITIES
QN LIVESTOCK COMODITIES ENDOGENOUS PRICES
S SEQUENCE
SA SUBAREAS
SEA SEASONS
SEAM MAPPING FROM SEASONS TO MONTHS
T TECHNOLOGY
TECH TECHNOLOGY AVAILABILITY INDICATOR
TECHC COMODITIES BY ZONES
W WATER STRESS LEVEL
Z AGROCLIMATIC ZONES N
N
ZSA CANAL-SUBAREA TO AGROCLIMATIC ZONE MAPPING VI
Z1 ZONE SELECTION FOR THIS RUN
PARAMETERS
ALPHA DEMAND CURVE INTECEPT
ESALEP ECONOMIC SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMOOITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
PARAMETERS
FERT FERTILIZER APPLICATIONS. (KG PER ACRE)
FINSDWTPR PRICES OF SEED(RS PER KG) AND WATER(RS PER ACRE )
FSALEP FINANCIAL SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
GR REQUIRED PROPORTION OF GREEN FODDER IN TOTAL FODDER
GRAZ GRAZING FROM SLACK LAND (TONNS PER ACRE )
GWT1 PUBLIC TUBEWELL PUMPAGE AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
IMPORTP IMPORT PRICES FOR THE SCENARIO
INCR INCREMENT
INFLOW INFLOWS FOR THIS RUN (MAF)
IOLIVE LIVESTOCK INPUT OUTPUT COEFFICIENTS BY ZONES
LABFAC FACTOR TO CONVERT WAGE TO THE RESERVATION WAGE
LABOR LABOR REQUIREMENTS FOR CROPS(MAN HOURS)
LAND LAND OCCUPATION BY MONTH
LCEFF LINK CANAL EFFICIENCY FROM HEAD TO TAIL
LSTD STANDARD LABOR LIMIT ( HOURS PER MONTH )
MISC FINANCIAL MISCELLENIOUS PRICES
MISCCT FINANCIAL WATER CHARGES AND MISCILLENIOUS COSTS(RS PER ACRE)
NCAP NODE TO NODE TRANSFER CAPACITY (MAF)
NTWUCAP EFFECTIVE CAPACITY OF NEW TUBEWELLS(AF PER MONTH)
ORCHAREA AREA UNDER ORCHARDS BY ZONE (THOUSAND ACRES )
PAFOD BIG NUMBER FOR ARTIFICAL FODDER
PAWAT BIG NUMBER FOR ARTIFICIAL WATER fI.,)
PM AX MAXIMUM PRICE FOR SEGMENTS fI.,)
PMIN MINIMUM PRICE FOR SEGMENTS 0\
PP FINANCIAL PURCHASE PRICE OF PROTEIN (RS PER KGS)
PRICES 1988 PRICES
PRI1 FERTILIZER TUBEWELL TRACTOR AND PROTEIN PRICES
PROT ARB DIVERSIONS AS PROPORTION OF TOTAL(PUNJAB AND SIND) OST TARBELA
QMAX MAX NATIONAL CONSUMPTION
QMIN MIN NATIONAL CONSUMPTION
QS QUANTITY DEFINITION(THOUSAND TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
RCAP LIVE CAPACITY OF RESRVOIRS (MAF)
REPCO REPRODUCTIVE COEFFICIENT
RESOURCE ENDOWMENTS BY ACZ AND GROUNDWATER QUALITY
RES88 AVAILABLE RESOURCES 1988
REVAPL EVAPORATION LOSSES FROM RESERVOIRS (KAF)
RIVERB COEFFICIENTS FOR RIVER ROUTING
RIVERCD COEFFICIENTS FOR RIVER ROUTING
RS REVENUE DEFINITION (MILLION RUPEES)
RULELO LOWER RULE CURVE
RULEUP UPPER RULE CURVE
RVAL VALUE OF WATER STORED IN THE RESERVOIRS
SCMILLCAP SUGARCANE MILL CAPACITY (THOUSAND TONNS PER YEAR )
SCONV TON AND DP CONVERSION FACTOR FROM CROP STRAW
SEEDP FINANCIAL SEED PRICE (RS PER KGS)
SUSDEF SUB-AREA DEFINITION(PROPORTION OF CCA) BY CANALS
SUSIRRFAC MAXIMUM SUB-IRRIGATION IN SALINE AREAS AS PROPORTION OF CROP REQ.(NET OF RAIN)
SUBIRRZ SUBIRRIGATION BY ACZ (FEET)
SVLDS STRAW YIELD AND SEED DATA
TEC CROP TECHNOLOGY DISABLED FOR 1988 RUN
TOLCNL ALLOWED DEVIATION FROM PROPORTIONAL ALLOCATION BY CANAL
TOLNWFP NWFP DIVERSION TOLERANCE
TOLPR ALLOWED DEVIATION FROM PROPORTIONAL ALLOCATION BY PROVINCE
TRACTOR TRACTOR REQUIREMENTS (TRACTOR HOURS PER ACRE)
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM1 01/23/90 16:27:46 PAGE 95
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
PARAMETERS
VARIABLES
.....,
EXPORT EXPORT OF COMODITIES (000 METRIC TONNS)
F FLOW TO NODE N FROM NODE N1 (MAn
FAMILYL FAMILY LABOR USED (MILLION MAN HOURS)
HIREDL HIRED LABOR USED (MILLION MAN HOURS)
IMPORT IMPORT OF COMODITIES (CROP COMM. 000 M. TONS LIVESTOCK MILL. KGS OR LITERS)
ITR INVESTMENT IN INCREASED TRACTOR CAPACITY (000 TRACTOR-HRS PER MONTH)
ITW INVESTMENT IN INCREASED PRIVATE TUBEWELL CAPACITY (KAF PER MONTH)
NAT PROVINCIAL DEMAND LINEARIZED
NATN PROVINCIAL DEMAND NON-LINEAR
PPC PURCHASES OF PROTEIN CONCENTRATES (THOUSAND METRIC TONS)
PRODA ARTIFICIAL SUPPLY
PRODT PRODUCTION (CROP COMMOOITIES 000 METRIC TONS LIVESTOCK COMM MILL. KGS OR LITERS)
PRSEA CANAL DIVERSION BY PROVINCE (SIND AND PUNJAB) (MAF)
RCONT END OF THE MONTH RESRVOIR CONTENTS (MAF)
SLKLAND SLACK LAND (THOUSAND ACRES)
SLKWATER SLACK WATER AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
TCDIVSEA TOTAL CANAL DIVERSION IN SINO AND PUNJAB BY SEASON (MAF)
TS PRIVATE TRACTOR SERVICES USE BY MONTH (THOUSAND HRS)
TW PRIVATE TUBEWELL WATER USED BY MONTH M (KAF)
WDIVRZ SURFACE WATER DIVERSION AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
X CROPPED AREA BY TECHNOLOGY (THOUSAND ACRES)
EQUATIONS
EQUATIONS
OBJN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE INDUS MODEL LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
OBJNN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE INDUS MODEL NON-LINEAR VERSION (MI LLION RUPEES)
OBJZ OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE ZONE MODEL LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
OBJZN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE ZONE MODEL NON-LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
MODELS
WSISN IBMR MODEL WITH WATER NETWORK LINEAR
WSISNN IBMR MODEL WITH WATER NETWORK NON-LINEAR
WSISZ AGROCLIMATIC ZONES MODEL LINEAR OBJECTIVE
WSISZN AGROCLIMATIC ZONES MODEL NON-LINEAR OBJECTIVE
- 232
N
....,
....,
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 486
REPORT ON THE SOLUTION GAMS 2 21 IBM CMS
3702
3703 C3(CQ) = YES; C3(C2)" YES ;
3704 R24(R10) = YES; R24(R13)=YES; R24(R14)= YES; R24(R15)=YES;
3705 R26("NWFP",CNL) PVCNL("NWFP",CNL) ;
3706 R26("L-INDUS,CNL) PVCNL("SIND",CNL);
3707
3708 SCALAR
3709 SPFC PORTION OF CANAL LOSSES TO GROUNDWATER / 0.7 /
3710 SPFWF PORTION OF WATERCOURSE AND FIELD LOSSES TO GW / 0.8 /
3711 SPFRV PORTION OF RIVER SEEPAGE TO GROUND WATER / .25 /
3712
3713
3714 TABLE LNKSP(N1,N,Z) PROPORTION OF SEEPAGE FRDM LINK CANALS TO ACZ
3715
3716 PMW PCW PSW PRW
3717
3718 CHASMA-R. TRIMMU-B .6
3719 TAUNSA-B. PANJNAD-B
3720
3721 A1. KHANKI-B .6
3722 RASUL-B. QADIRA-B 1
3723
3724 MARALA-B. A3 .2
3725 A3. A4 1
3726 A2. BALLOKI -B 1 N
~
3727 A2. A4 1 1I1
3728 A4. A5
3729 KHANKI-B. A7
3730 QADIRA-B. A6
3731 A6. BALLOKI-B
3732 TRIMMU-B. SIDHNAI-B
3733
3734 BALLOKI-B. SULEM-B
3735 SIDHNAI-B. A8
3736 A8. A9
3737
3738 TABLE RIVSP(N1,N,Z) PROPORTION OF RIVER SEEPAGE TO GROUNDWATER IN ACZ
3739
3740 NWFP PMW PCW PSW PRW SCWN SRWN SCWS
3741
3742 SUKKUR-B.KOTRI-B .3 .2 . 1
3743 GUDU-B.SUKKUR-B .3 .3
3744 CHASMA-R.TAUNSA-B .4
3745 TAUNSA-B.GUDU-B .3
3746 PANJNAD-B.GUDU-B .2
3747 TRIMMU-B.PANJNAD-B .3 .3
3748 SIDHNAI-B.PANJNAO-B .3 .4
3749 ISLAM-B.PANJNAD-B 1
3750 SULEM-B.ISLAM-B 1
3751 BALLOKI-B.SIDHNAI-B .5 .5
3752 RAVI-I.BALLOKI-B
3753 QADIRA-B.TRIMMU-B .5
3754 KHANKI-B.QADIRA-B .4
3755 RASUL-B.TRIMMU-B .05 .5
3756 WARSAK-D.K-S-JCT .4
3757
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 488
REPORT ON THE SOLUTION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3758 PARAMETER
3759 CA TOTAL CROPPED AREA (FRESH + SALINE THOUSAND ACRES)
3760 CAG CROPPED AREA BY GROUND WATER QUALITY(OOO ACRES)
3761 CAT CROPPED AREA BY TECHNOLOGY (THOUSAND ACRES)
3762 CAC
3763 CADIFF CROPPED AREA DIFFERENCE MODEL - ACTUAL
3764 WYC WEIGTHED YIELD (METRIC TONS)
3765 REP45
3766 REP46 SLACK LAND BY MONTH (THOUSAND ACRES)
3767 REP47 LAND USED BY MONTH (THOUSAND ACRES)
3768 REP48 FERTLIZER NUTRIENTS USED (THOUSAND TONNS)
3769 REP49A REPORT ON PRODUCTION(THOUSAND TONNS MILK IN MILLION LITERS)
3770 REP49B PRODUCTION COMPARISON (UNITS AS IN REP49A)
3771 REP49C CONSUMPTION (UNITS AS IN REP49A)
3772 REP49D IMPORTS AND EXPORTS (UNITS AS IN REP49A)
3773 REP50(*.RR1.*) REPORT ON TOTAL INCOME AND COST (FINANCIAL PRICES) (MILLION RUPEES)
3774 REP52(*.R8.*) REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER ACRE OF CCA (RUPEES)
3775 REP54(*.R8.*) REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER FARM HOUSEHOLD (RUPEES)
3776 REP56(*.RR1.*) REPORT ON INCOME AND COST BASED ON INTERNATIONAL PRICES (MILLION RUPEES)
3777 REP57(*,R8,*) REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER ACRE OF CCA BASED ON INTERNATIONAL PRICES (RUPEES)
3778 REP58(*,R8,*) REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER HOUSEHOLD BASED ON INTERERNATIONAL PRICES (RUPEES)
3779 REP59 REPORT ON LABOR UTILIZATION (MILLION MAN HOURS )
3780 REP60(*.*,R3,*) REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
3781 REP70(*,*.R3,*) REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
3782 REP72 SURFACE WATER DIVERSIONS AT THE CANAL HEAD BY CANAL (MAF) N
w
3783 REP72A SURFACE WATER DIVERSIONS AT THE CANAL HEAO BY REGION(MAF) 01
3784 REP73 POST TARBELA DIVERSIONS AT THE CANAL HEAD BY CANAL (MAF)
3785 REP74 DIFFERENCE OF CANAL DIVERSIONS BY THE MODEL AND POST TARBELA (MAF)
3786 REP75 SURFACE WATER DIVERSION AT THE CANAL HEAD BY ZONE (MAF)
3787 REP77 SURFACE WATER FLOW TO NODE N FROM NODE Nl (MAF)
3788 REP80(*,*.R9) REPORT ON GROUNDWATER BALANCE (MAF)
3789 REP82 REPORT ON GROUNDWATER BALANCE (MAF)
3790 REP85 REPORT ON GROUNDWATER BALANCE PER ACRE OFF CCA (AF )
3791 REP90
3792 REP95
3793 CHILI(*.Tl,SEA)
3794 REP77A REPORT ON RIVER LOSSES AND GAINS
3795 LINKLOSS REPORT ON LOSSES IN THE LINK CANALS
3796 LOSSGAIN LOSSES AND GAINS BY RIVER REACH
3797 ENOPRICE
3798
3799
3800 DISPLAY PSR, Zl, ISR
3801 *
3802 REP45(G.Rl,Z) RESOURCE(Z,G,R1)
3803 REP45("TOTAL".Rl,Z) SUM(G, REP45(G,Rl,Z ;
3804 REP45(Tl,Rl,PV) SUM(Z$PVZ(PV,Z), REP45(Tl,Rl,Z)
3805
3806 REP46(Zl,G,M) SLKLAND.L(Zl,G,M) ; REP46(Zl,"TOTAL",M) = SUM(G, REP46(Zl,G,M) )
3807 REP46(PV,Tl,M) SUM(Zl$PVZ(PV,Zl). REP46(Zl,Tl,M) ) ;
3808 REP47(Zl, T1, M) REP45(Tl."CCA",Zl)*10oo - REP46(Zl.Tl.M)
3809 REP47(PV.T1,M) SUM(Zl$PVZ(PV.Zl), REP47(Zl,Tl,M) ) ;
3810
3811 REP48(G,P2,C,Zl) SUM( (T,S,W), X.L(Zl.G.C,T,S,W)*FERT(P2.C,Zl /1000
3812 REP48("TOTAL",P2,C,Zl) SUM(G. REP48(G,P2.C,Zl) );
3813 REP48(T1,P2,C,PV) SUM(Zl$PVZ(PV,Zl), REP48(Tl,P2,C,Zl;
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 489
REPORT ON THE SOLUTION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3816
3820
3830
3833
3834
INDUS
BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 492
REPORT
ON THE SOLUTION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4053 REP79(PN.M."ENERGY-S")
MAX(O, REP79(PN,M. "ENERGY-G") - REP79(PN,M, UP-CAP" )*24*365/12*10**( -6
4055 REP79(PN.SEA1,RPG1)
SUM(M$SEA1M(SEA1,M), REP79(PN,M,RPG1) ) ;
4056
4058 REP80(Z1.G, "SEEP-RAIN") "SUM( (CNL.SA,M), ZWT(Z1,CNL,SA)*RAIN(CNL.M /12*RESOURCE(Z1,G, OCCAM )*( 1-0RC)*
4059 (1-FLEFFZ(Z1*SPFWF
4060 REP80(Z1. "FRESH", "SEEP-PTW") "SUM(M.
4061 TW.L(Z1,r.O*( 1-TWEFFZ(Z1.M) ) )*SPFWF!1ooo :
REP82(T1,R9,PV)
4087
*
4088 REP85(T1.R9,Z1)$REP45(T1,"CCA",Z1) REP82(T1,R9,Z1) / REP45(T1,"CCA".Zl)
4089 REP85(Tl.R9.PV)$REP45(T1,"CCA",PV) REP82(T1,R9,PV)/ REP45(T1,"CCA".PV)
4090 *
4091 OPTION
4092 REP45: 3 : 2: 1 REP46: 1 : 2: 1 REP47: 1 : 2: 1. CAG: 1: 2: 1,
4093 CA: 1 : 1 : 1 REP48: 1 : 2: 1 , REP49A: 1 : 2: 1. REP49B: 1 : 1: 1,
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FIlENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 494
REPORT ON THE SOLUTION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4208
4209 REP95(G,A,R11) = SUM(Zl$R11Z(R11,Z1), ANIMAL.L(Zl,G,A) ) ;
4213
4214 REP95("TOTAL",A,Rl1) SUM(G, REP95(G,A,Rll) ;
4221
4222 OPTION REP90:3:2:1, REP95 3:2:1;
4224 OISPLAY " ANIMALS ARE IN THOUSAND, MEET IN MILLION KGS AND
4228
4229 PARAMETER REP100 ARTIFICIAL WATER USED AT THE NODES (MAFI
4230 REP110 COST OF ARTIFICIAL WATER AT NODES (MILLION RUPEES) N
4231 REP120 COST OF IMPORTS ARTIFICIAL WATER AND FODDER (MILLION RUPEES) ~
~
4232 ,
4233 REP100(N,M) ARTWATERND.L(N,M) ;
4246
4247 DISPLAY ENOPRICE ;
4248 * SYSTEM WATER BALANCE SUMMARY
4249
4250 SET R19/RIVER-INF, TRIB-INF, TOT INFLOW, RES-EVAP, LINK-LOSS,
4251 RIVER-LOSS, CANAL-DIV, TO-SEA, BALNCE /
4254
4255 PARAMETER REP130 REPORT ON SYSTEM INFLOWS AND OUTFLOWS(MAF)
4256
4257 REP130("RIVER-INF",M) SUM(I, INFLOW(I,M) );
4260
4261 REP130("RIVER-LOSS",M) REP77A("TOTAL",M)
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 497
REPORT ON THE SOLUTION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
N
~
VI
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 498
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
A SET REF 2*3909 4209 4214 4215 4216 4217 4218 4219 4220 CONTROL 3909
4209 4214 4215 4216 4217 4218 4219 4220
ANIMAL VAR REF 3909 4209
ARTFOD VAR REF 4241 4275
ARTWATER VAR REF 3972 4242 4275
ARTWATERND VAR REF 4233 4275
BUFF PARAM REF 4211
C SET REF 3652 2 * 3811 3812 3813 3814 3817 3818 3819 3821 3822 3824
3825 2*3828 3835 2*3836 4*3868 4*3869 3*3901 2*3903 2*3904 3*3929 2*3931 2*3932
2*3964 2*3965 2*3966 3967 CONTROL 3811 3812 3813 3814 3817 3818 3819
3821 3822 3824 3825 3828 3835 3836 3868 3869 3900 3902 3904
3928 3930 3932 3964 3965 3966
CA PARAM DECLARED 3759 ASSIGNED 3832 3835 3836 3837 3838 3839 3841 3842 3843
3844 3845 3846 3848 3850 3852 3853 3854 3856 3857 REF 3836
2*3837 2*3838 3839 3841 3842 3843 3844 3845 3846 3848 3850 3852
3853 3854 2*3856 3861 3862 2*3863 2*3864 2*3865 4093 4110
CAC PARAM DECLARED 3762 ASSIGNED 3821 3822 REF 3824 2*3868 3*3869 3904 3932
CADIFF PARAM DECLARED 3763 ASSIGNED 3861 3863 3864 3865 REF 4094 4111
CAG PARAM DECLARED 3760 ASSIGNED 3824 3825 3828 3829 REF 3825 3826 3827 3828
3829 3832 4092 4108
CANALDIV VAR REF 3969 3986 3987 4063 4065
CAT PARAM DECLARED 3761 ASSIGNED 3817 3818 3819 REF 3818 3819 3821 3822 4106
CHILI PARAM DECLARED 3793 ASSIGNED 3826 3827 REF 3828 N
.l>
CN SET REF 2*3896 CONTROL 3896 0\
CNEFF PARAM REF 3968 4064 4065
CNL SET REF 3697 3705 3706 4*3968 2*3969 3986 3987 2*3988 3989 2*3990 3992
3993 2*3994 3995 2*3996 4*3998 2*4058 3*4063 2*4064 4*4065 2*4066 2*4075
CONTROL 3705 3706 3968 3986 3987 3988 3989 3990 3992 3993 3994
3995 3996 3998 4058 4063 4065 4075
CONSUMP VAR REF 3888
COWF PARAM REF 4212
CQ SET REF 3871 3874 3875 3877 3878 3879 3880 3882 3883 3884 3885
3886 3888 3889 3891 3892 3893 3894 2*3915 2*3941 2*4240 CONTROL 3703
3871 3874 3875 3877 3878 3879 3880 3882 3883 3884 3885 3886
3888 3889 3891 3892 3893 3894 3915 3941 4239
CROPAREA PARAM REF 3835
C2 SET DECLARED 3650 DEFINED 3650 REF 3690 2*3848 2*3850 2*3852 2*3853 2*3854 2*3996
2*3997 CONTROL 3703 3848 3850 3852 3853 3854 3996 3997
C3 SET DECLARED 3651 ASSIGNED 2*3703 REF 3832 3841 3842 3843 3844 3845 3846
3861 3862 2*3863 2*3864 2*3865 CONTROL 3832 3841 3842 3843 3844 3845
3846 3861 3863 3864 3865
DIVPOST PARAM REF 3992
DRC PARAM REF 4058
EMISC PARAM REF 3931 3933 3934 3935 3936 4226
EMISCCT PARAM REF 3932
ENDPR PARAM REF 3896
ENDPRICE PARAM DECLARED 3797 ASSIGNED 3896 REF 4247
EPP PARAM REF 3938 4226
EQEVAPZ PARAM REF 4079
ESALEP PARAM REF 3941 4226
ESEEDP PARAM REF 3929 4226
EWAGE PARAM REF 3926 3927
EXPLIMIT PARAM REF 4227
EXPORT VAR REF 3893
INDUS BASIN MOOEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 499
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4065 4074 4075 4079 4233 4234 4242 4257 4258 4259 4261 4262
4263 4264 4265 4266 4268
MAX FUNCT REF 4053
MIN FUNCT REF 3966 4080
MISC PARAM REF 3903 3905 3906 3907 3908 3933 3934 3935 3936 4226
MISCCT PARAM REF 3904
M1 SET REF 3956 3961 3977 3978 3979 3984 3988 3989 3990 3994 3995
3998 3999 4000 4009 4017 4018 4019 4236 CONTROL 3956 3961 3977
3978 3979 3984 3988 3989 3990 3994 3995 3998 3999 4000 4009
4017 4018 4019 4236
N SET REF 3714 3738 4003 4004 2*4007 4008 4009 3*4011 2*4012 4*4013 2*4014
4015 4017 4018 4019 4031 2*4069 2*4072 4233 4234 4235 4236 4237
4258 2*4263 CONTROL 4003 4004 4007 4008 4009 4011 4015 4017 4018
4019 4031 4068 4071 4233 4234 4235 4236 4237 4258 4263
NAT VAR REF 3896
N1 SET REF 3714 3738 4003 4004 2*4007 4008 4009 3*4011 4012 3*4013 4014
4015 4017 2*4069 2*4072 4258 CONTROL 4003 4004 4007 4008 4009 4011
4015 4017 4068 4071 4258
P SET REF 2*3896 CONTROL 3896
PAFOD PARAM REF 4241
PAWAT PARAM REF 4237 4238 4242
PN SET REF 4027 2*4030 4031 2*4036 2*4037 4038 3*4039 2*4040 2*4041 4042 3*4043
2*4044 2*4045 4046 3*4047 2*4048 2*4049 2*4052 2*4053 2*4054 4055 CONTROL 4030 N
~
4031 4033 4052 4053 4054 4055 <Xl
POWERCHAR PARAM REF 4036 4037 2*4039 2*4040 2*4041 2*4043 2*4044 2*4045 2*4047 2*4048 2*4049
PP PARAM REF 3910 3938 4226
PPC VAR REF 3910
PRODA VAR REF 4273
PRODT VAR REF 3871 3915 3941 4205
PSR SET REF 3800
PV SET REF 3804 3807 3809 3813 3815 3819 3822 3*3869 3875 3889 3892
3894 3918 3*3921 3*3923 3944 3*3947 3*3949 3956 3961 3979 3984 3988
3994 2*3997 4000 4086 3*4089 4207 CONTROL 3804 3807 3809 3813 3815
3819 3822 3869 3875 3889 3892 3894 3918 3921 3923 3944 3947
3949 3956 3961 3979 3984 3988 3994 3997 4000 4086 4089 4207
PVCNL SET REF 3705 3706 3988 3994
PVZ SET REF 3804 3807 3809 3813 3815 3819 3841 3842 3843 3844 3869
3875 3883 3884 3885 3889 3892 3894 3918 3944 3956 3961 3979
3984 4000 4086 4207 4215 4216 4217 4218
P2 SET REF 3811 3812 3813 3814 3815 2*3903 2*3931 CONTROL 3811 3812 3813
3814 3815 3902 3930
Q SET REF 4205 4206 4207 CONTROL 4205 4206 4207
RAIN PARAM REF 4058
RATIOFS PARAM REF 4070 4073
RCAP PARAM REF 4263
RCONT VAR REF 2*4030 4174
REP100 PARAM DECLARED 4229 ASSIGNED 4233 4234 4235 4236 REF 4234 4235 4236 4237
4238 4243 4245
REP110 PARAM DECLARED 4230 ASSIGNED 4237 4238 REF 4243 4245
REP120 PARAM DECLAREO 4231 ASSIGNED 4239 4241 4242 REF 4245
REP130 PARAM DECLARED 4255 ASSIGNED 4257 4258 4259 4261 4262 4263 4264 4265 4266
4268 REF 4259 4266 4267 4268 4269 4272
REP45 PARAM DECLARED 3765 ASSIGNED 3802 3803 3804 REF 3803 3804 3808 3848 3849
3850 3851 3852 3853 3854 2*3920 2*3921 2*3922 2*3923 2*3946 2*3947 2*3948
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 501
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3899 2*3901 2*3903 3904 3905 3906 3907 3908 2*3909 3910 3911 3913
3915 2*3916 3917 2*3918 3*3920 3*3922 3926 3927 2*3929 2*3931 3932 3933
3934 3935 3936 3937 3938 3939 3941 2*3942 3943 2*3944 3*3946 3*3948
2*3952 3953 3954 3955 2*3956 3958 3959 3960 2*3961 2*3964 3*3965 3*3966
3967 3968 2*3970 3971 3972 3973 3974 3975 3976 3977 3978 2*3979
2*3981 3982 3983 2*3984 3998 3999 2*4000 2*4058 4059 2*4061 2*4062 4063
4065 4069 4070 4072 4073 4074 4075 4076 4077 2*4078 2*4079 2*4080
2*4081 2*4082 4083 4085 2*4086 3*4088 4205 4206 2*4207 2*4209 4241 4242
CONTROL 2*3806 3807 3808 3809 3811 3812 3813 3814 3815 3817 3818
3819 3821 3824 3868 3869 3871 3872 3874 3875 3877 3882 3883
3884 3885 3888 3889 3891 3892 3893 3894 3896 3898 3899 3900
3902 3904 3905 3906 3907 3908 3909 3910 3911 3913 3914 3916
3917 3918 3920 3922 3926 3927 3928 3930 3932 3933 3934 3935
3936 3937 3938 3939 3940 3942 3943 3944 3946 3948 2*3952 3953
3954 3955 3956 3958 3959 3960 3961 3964 3965 3966 3968 3970
3971 3972 3973 3974 3975 3976 3977 3978 3979 3981 3982 3983
3984 3998 3999 4000 4058 4060 4062 4063 4065 4068 4071 4074
4075 4076 4077 4078 4079 4080 4081 4082 4083 4085 4086 4088
4205 4206 4207 4209 4241 4242
SETS
N
A ANIMAL TYPES \JI
C CROPS N
CN COMODITIES ENDOGENOUS PRICES
CNl IRRIGATION CANALS IN THE INDUS RIVER IRRIGATION SYSTEM
CO CROP AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
C2
C3
G GROUND WATER QUALITY TYPES
GF FRESH GROUND WATER SUB-ZONE
GWFG SUBAREA IDENTIFICATION BY THE GROUNDWATER QUALITY
I SYSTEM INFLOWS
INT
INTC2
ISR IRRIGATION SYSTEM SCENARIO FOR THIS RUN
M MONTHS
M1 MONTHS AND SEASONS
N NODES OF THE INDUS RIVER SYSTEM
N1 AlIASED WITH N
P GRID POINTS FOR LINEARIZATION
PN NODES WITH POWER HOUSE
PSR PRICE SCENARIO FOR THE MOOEL(FINANCIAL PRICES)
PV PROVINCES AND COUNTRY
PVCNl PROVINCE TO CANALS MAP
PVZ PROVINCE TO ZONE MAP
P2
o lIVESTOCK COMODITIES
RPG
RPG1
RR1
R1 RESOURCES
RiO
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME:WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 505
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
SETS
R11
Rl1Z
R12
R12Z
R13
R14
R15
R16
R17
R18
R19
R2
R20
R21
R22
R22A
R23
R23A
R24
R25
R26
R3
t
R4 V1
R6 IP
R7
R8
R9
S SEQUENCE
SA SUBAREAS
SEA SEASONS
SEAC SEASON TO CROP MAP
SEAM MAPPING FROM SEASONS TO MONTHS
SEAl
SEA1M
T TECHNOLOGY
T1 SUB ZONES BY GW QUALITY
V
W WATER STRESS LEVEL
Z AGROCLIMATIC ZONES
ZSA CANAL-SUBAREA TO AGROCLIMATIC ZONE MAPPING
Zl ZONE SELECTION FOR THIS RUN
PARAMETERS
PARAMETERS
ENDPRICE
EPP ECONOMIC PRICE OF PROTEIN CONCENTRATE (RS PER KGS)
ESALEP ECONOMIC SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
FSALEP FINANCIAL SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
"'"
REP45
REP46 SLACK LAND BY MONTH (THOUSAND ACRES)
REP50 REPORT ON TOTAL INCOME AND COST (FINANCIAL PRICES) (MILLION RUPEES)
REP56 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST BASED ON INTERNATIONAL PRICES (MILLION RUPEES)
REP57 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER ACRE OF CCA BASED ON INTERNATIONAL PRICES (RUPEES)
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 507
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
PARAMETERS
REP58 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER HOUSEHOLD BASED ON INTERERNATIONAL PRICES (RUPEES)
REP74 DIFFERENCE OF CANAL DIVERSIONS BY THE MODEL AND POST TARBELA (MAF)
REP79
REP80 REPORT ON GROUNDWATER BALANCE (MAF)
REP90
REP95
RESOURCE ENDOWMENTS BY ACZ AND GROUNDWATER QUALITY
TEST
TOT PROD TOTAL PRODUCTION 1988 (OOO'S TONS)
VARIABLES
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 508
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
VARIABLES
FAMILYL FAMILY LABOR USED (MILLION MAN HOURS)
HIREDL HIRED LABOR USED (MILLION MAN HOURS)
IMPORT IMPORT OF COMOOITIES (CROP COMM. 000 M. TONS LIVESTOCK MILL. KGS OR LITERS)
ITR INVESTMENT IN INCREASED TRACTOR CAPACITY (000 TRACTOR-HRS PER MONTH)
ITW INVESTMENT IN INCREASED PRIVATE TUBEWELL CAPACITY (KAF PER MONTH)
NAT PROVINCIAL DEMAND LINEARIZED
PPC PURCHASES OF PROTEIN CONCENTRATES (THOUSANO METRIC TONS)
PRODA ARTIFICIAL SUPPLY
PRODT PRODUCTION (CROP COMMODITIES 000 METRIC TONS LIVESTOCK COMM MILL. KGS OR LITERS)
RCONT END OF THE MONTH RESRVOIR CONTENTS (MAF)
SLKLAND SLACK LAND (THOUSAND ACRES)
SLKWATER SLACK WATER AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
TS PRIVATE TRACTOR SERVICES USE BY MONTH (THOUSAND HRS)
TW PRIVATE TUBEWELL WATER USED BY MONTH M (KAF)
X CROPPED AREA BY TECHNOLOGY (THOUSANO ACRES)
I'J
U1
01
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 509
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
87-88
1988
N
I.JI
......
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 510
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
FRESH .CCA 0.628 1.839 8.795 3.065 2.782 1.845 1.576 0.410
FRESH .CCAP 0.333 0.829 4.031 1.072 1.223 0.864 1.376 0.157
FRESH .FARMPOP 371.000 364.237 2024.993 1004.324 1016.000 248.423 211.209 83.250
FRESH .FARMHH 174.000 172.212 878.357 408.420 513.000 108.300 90.723 40.377
FRESH .TRACTORS 7465.000 9177.545 67904.130 31904.885 44564.000 4197.009 1489.580 1297.784
FRESH .TUBEWELLS 2638.000 12265.000 109658.000 37952.000 49897.000 9573.000 4863.000 10348.000
FRESH .TWC 94.183 437.891 3915.060 1354.980 1781.446 341.780 173.621 369.449
FRESH .BULLOCKS 151.000 252.984 1547.098 663.509 368.000 204.795 174.274 65.190
FRESH .COWS 505.000 560.833 1993.707 735.296 590.000 226.865 204.396 92.500
FRESH .BUFFALOS 319.000 371. 095 3242.804 2028.860 2279.000 299.750 210.492 81.781
SALINE. CCA 0.574 2.450 1.333 1.749 2.819 2.381 2.775
SALINE. CCAP 0.202 1. 131 0.404 0.909 2.291 0.944 2.476
SALINE. FARMPOP 113.763 564.007 436.676 235.577 377.791 483.750 176.000
SALINE. FARMHH 53.788 244.643 177.580 102.700 162.277 234.623 88.000
N
SALINE. TRACTORS 2866.455 18912.870 13872.115 3979.991 2664.420 7541.216 2702.000 U1
SALINE. BULLOCKS 79.016 430.902 288.491 194.205 311.726 378.810 143.000 Q)
SALINE. COWS 175.167 555.293 319.704 215. 135 365.604 537.500 256.000
SALINE .BUFFALOS 115.905 903.196 882.140 284.250 376.508 475.219 249.000
TOTAL .CCA 0.628 2.413 11.245 4.398 2.782 3.594 4.395 2.791 2.775
TOTAL .CCAP 0.333 1.031 5.162 1.476 1.223 1.772 3.668 1. 101 2.476
TOTAL .FARMPOP 371.000 478.000 2589.000 1441.000 1016.000 484.000 589.000 567.000 176.000
TOTAL .FARMHH 174.000 226.000 1123.000 586.000 513.000 211.000 253.000 275.000 88.000
TOTAL .TRACTORS 7465.000 12044.000 86817.000 45777.000 44564.000 8177.000 4154.000 8839.000 2702.000
TOTAL .TUBEWELLS 2638.000 12265.000 109658.000 37952.000 49897.000 9573.000 4863.000 10348.000
TOTAL .TWC 94. 183 437.891 3915.060 1354.980 1781.446 341.780 173.621 369.449
TOTAL .BULLOCKS 151.000 332.000 1978.000 952.000 368.000 399.000 486.000 444.000 143.000
TOTAL .COWS 505.000 736.000 2549.000 1055.000 590.000 442.000 570.000 630.000 256.000
TOTAL .BUFFALOS 319.000 487.000 4146.000 2911.000 2279.000 584.000 587.000 557.000 249.000
INDEX FRESH
INDEX 1 = FRESH
+ SIND PAKISTAN
INDEX 1 = SALINE
INDEX 1 SALINE
+ PAKISTAN
INDEX 1 = TOTAL
NWFP .FRESH 32.9 32.9 81.1 315.0 252.6 127.8 127.8 116.3
NWFP .TOTAL 32.9 32.9 81.1 315.0 252.6 127.8 127.8 116.3
PMW .FRESH 214.8 214.8 202.0 674.4 980.1 980.1 980.1 1113.9
PMW SALINE 285.9 285.9 246.8 284.3 437.9 492.4 492.4 492.4 517.9
PMW .TOTAL 500.8 500.8 246.8 486.3 1112.4 1472.5 1472.5 1472.5 1631.8
PCW .FRESH 689.9 689.9 678.4 3522.5 2147.6 1836.6 1828.5 1828.5 1339.0
PCW SALINE 1710.6 1710.6 1668.3 1897.8 1581.2 1548.1 1547.1 1547.1 1525.8
PCW .TOTAL 2400.5 2400.5 2346.7 5420.3 3728.8 3384.7 3375.6 3375.6 2864.8
PSW .FRESH 83.5 83.5 203.9 1500.5 1044.3 906.4 979.4 971.7
PSW SALINE 654.1 654.1 633.2 656.2 1083.5 1061.2 1059.2 1080.4 1078.8
PSW .TOTAL 737.6 737.6 633.2 860.0 2584.0 2105.4 1965.7 2059.8 2050.5
PRW .FRESH 177.5 199.9 129.1 1996.3 756.6 756.6 756.6 922.1
PRW .TOTAL 177 .5 199.9 129.1 1996.3 756.6 756.6 756.6 922.1
SCWN .FRESH 570.7 572.3 597.6 1216.8 987.8 987.8 989.6 987.8 882.5
SCWN SALINE 1122.9 1129.8 1121. 8 1346.0 1245.3 1245.3 1267.3 1245.3 1156.7
SCWN .TOTAL 1693.6 1702.1 1719.4 2562.9 2233.1 2233.1 2256.9 2233.1 2039.2
SRWN .FRESH 507.1 508.5 503.9 1525.7 1348.4 1160.9 1160.9 1160.9 1123.9
SRWN -.SALINE 1989.9 2000.5 2175.3 2738.3 2386.2 2081.2 2081.2 2081.2 1858.0
SRWN .TOTAL 2497.1 2508.9 2679.2 4264.0 3734.6 3242.0 3242.0 3242.0 2981.9
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 515
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
sews .FRESH 1.2 2.9 106.4 75.1 76.7 76.7 76.7 68.7
sews SALINE 1355. 1 1363.6 1358.6 1625.5 1595.4 1607.8 1621. 4 1607.8 1558. 1
sews .TOTAL 1355. 1 1364.8 1361. 5 1732.0 1670.5 1684.4 1698.0 1684.4 1626.7
SRWS SALINE 1985.7 1989.3 2119.3 2590.4 2189.9 2189.9 2189.9 2189.9 2102.0
SRWS .TOTAL 1985.7 1989.3 2119.3 2590.4 2189.9 2189.9 2189.9 2189.9 2102.0
PUNJAB . FRESH 1165.7 1188. 1 678.4 4057.5 6318.8 4617.6 4471.6 4544.6 4346.8
PUNJAB SALINE 2650.7 2650.7 2548.4 2838.4 3102.6 3101.6 3098.8 3119.9 3122.5
PUNJAB .TOTAL 3816.4 3838.8 3226.7 6895.8 9421.5 7719.3 7570.4 7664.5 7469.3
SIND .FRESH 1077 .8 1082.0 1104.3 2849.0 2411.3 2225.3 2227.1 2225.3 2075.1
SIND SALINE 6453.7 6483.0 6775. 1 8300.3 7416.8 7124. 1 7159.8 7124. 1 6674.8
SIND .TOTAL 7531.4 7565.0 7879.4 11149.3 9828.0 9349.5 9386.9 9349.5 8749.9
PAKISTAN. FRESH 2276.4 2302.9 1782.7 6987.5 9045.1 7095.6 6826.5 6897.7 6538.2
PAKISTAN. SALINE 9104.3 9133.7 9323.4 11138.6 10519.4 10225.8 10258.5 10244.1 9797.3
PAKISTAN. TOTAL 11380.7 11436.6 11106.1 18126.2 19564.5 17321.3 17085.0 17141.8 16335.4
NWFP FRESH 595.1 595.1 628.0 546.9 313.0 375.4 500.2 500.2 511.7
NWFP .TOTAL 595.1 595.1 628.0 546.9 313.0 375.4 500.2 500.2 511.7
PMW .FRESH 1624.1 1624.1 1838.9 1636.9 1164.5 858.8 858.8 858.8 725.0
PMW SALINE 288.4 288.4 327.5 290.0 136.4 82.0 82.0 82.0 56.5
PMW .TOTAL 1912.5 1912.5 2166.4 1926.9 1300.9 940.7 940.7 940.7 781.4
pew .FRESH 8105.6 8105.6 8117.1 5273.0 6647.9 6958.9 6967.0 6967.0 7456.5
PCW SALINE 739.1 739.1 781.4 551.9 868.6 901.7 902.6 902.6 924.0
PCW .TOTAL 8844.7 8844.7 8898.6 5824.9 7516.4 7860.6 7869.7 7869.7 8380.5
PSW .FRESH 2981.8 2981.8 3065.3 2861.4 1564.8 2021.0 2158.9 2085.9 2093.6
PSW SALINE 678.7 678.7 699.6 676.6 249.3 271.6 273.6 252.4 254.0
PSW .TOTAL 3660.4 3660.4 3764.9 3538.0 1814.1 2292.6 2432.4 2338.2 2347.5
PRW .FRESH 2604.9 2582.6 2782.4 2653.3 786.1 2025.8 2025.8 2025.8 1860.3
PRW .TOTAL 2604.9 2582.6 2782.4 2653.3 786.1 2025.8 2025.8 2025.8 1860.3
seWN .FRESH 1274.1 1272.5 1247.2 628.0 857.0 857.0 855.2 857.0 962.3
seWN SALINE 626.5 619.6 627.6 403.4 504.1 504.1 482.1 504.1 592.7
seWN .TOTAL 1900.6 1892. 1 1874.8 1031. 3 1361. 1 1361. 1 1337.3 1361.1 1555.0
SRWN .FRESH 1068.9 1067.5 1072.1 50.3 227.6 415.1 415.1 415.1 452.1
SRWN SALINE 829.1 818.5 643.7 80.7 432.8 737.8 737.8 737.8 961.0
SRWN .TOTAL 1897.9 1886.1 1715.8 131.0 660.4 1153.0 1153.0 1153.0 1413.1
sews .FRESH 409.8 408.6 406.9 303.3 334.7 333.1 333.1 333.1 341. 1
SCWS SALINE 1025.9 1017.5 1022.4 755.5 785.6 773.3 759.7 773.3 823.0
N
sews .TOTAL 1435.7 1426.0 1429.3 1058.8 1120.3 1106.4 1092.8 1106.4 1164. 1 0
SRWS SALINE 789.3 785.7 655.7 184.6 585.1 585.1 585.1 585.1 673.0 ~
SRWS .TOTAL 789.3 785.7 655.7 184.6 585.1 585.1 585.1 585.1 673.0
PUNJAB .FRESH 15316.4 15294.0 15803.7 12424.7 10163.3 11864.5 12010.5 11937.5 12135.3
PUNJAB SALINE 1706.2 1706.2 1808.5 1518.5 1254.2 1255.3 1258. 1 1236.9 1234.4
PUNJAB TOTAL 17022.6 17000.2 17612.3 13943.2 11417.5 13119.7 13268.6 13174.5 13369.7
SIND .FRESH 2752.8 2748.6 2726.2 981.6 1419.3 1605.2 1603.4 1605.2 1755.4
SIND SALINE 3270.8 3241. 4 2949.4 1424.2 2307.7 2600.3 2564.7 2600.3 3049.7
SINO .TOTAL 6023.6 5990.0 5675.6 2405.7 3727.0 4205.5 4168.1 4205.5 4805.1
PAKISTAN. FRESH 18664.3 18637.7 19158.0 13953.2 11895.6 13845.1 14114.2 14043.0 14402.5
PAKISTAN. SALINE 4977.0 4947.6 4757.9 2942.7 3561 9 3855.6 3822.8 3837.3 4284.0
PAKISTAN.TOTAL 23641. 3 23585.4 23915.9 16895.8 15457.5 17700.7 17937.0 17880.2 18686.6
N
0\
VI
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME:WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 518
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
TOTAL .ONIONS 5.8 10.5 44.6 26.2 16.7 8.5 11.8 9.7 3.6
TOTAL .CHILLI 11.2 14.3 67.7 39.1 23.9 12.4 17.4 12.2 5.2
TOTAL .RABI 630.2 1912.5 8844.7 3660.4 2604.9 1900.6 1897.9 1435.7 789.3
TOTAL .KHARIF 465.2 940.7 7869.7 2432.4 2025.8 1361 . 1 1153.0 1106.4 585.1
TOTAL . ANNUAL 1095.4 2853.2 16714.4 6092.8 4630.7 3261.7 3050.9 2542. 1 1374.4
M-NWFP A-NWFP M-PMW A-PMW M-PCW A-PCW M-PSW A-PSW M-PRW A-PRW
+ M-SCWN A-SCWN M-SRWN A-SRWN M-SCWS A-SCWS M-SRWS A-SRWS M-PUNJAB A-PUNJAB
+ M-SCWN A-SCWN M-SRWN A-SRWN M-SCWS A-SCWS M-SRWS A-SRWS M-PUNJAB A-PUNJAB
RABI 1900.6 1500.0 1897.9 1002.0 1435.7 1477 .0 789.3 345.0 17022.6 19094.0
KHARIF 1361.1 1052.0 1153.0 999.0 1106.4 1354.0 585.1 525.0 13268.6 12446.0
ANNUAL 3261.7 2552.0 3050.9 2001.0 2542.1 2831.0 1374.4 870.0 30291.2 31540.0
R-INT 52.9 41.7 43.2 22.8 51.4 52.9 28.4 12.4 81.7 91.6
K-INT 37.9 29.3 26.2 22.7 39.6 48.5 21.1 18.9 63.7 59.7
A-INT 90.7 71.0 69.4 45.5 91.1 101. 4 49.5 31.4 145.4 151.4
NWFP PMW PCW PSW PRW SCWN SRWN SCWS SRWS PUNJAB
+ SIND PAKISTAN
BASMATI 187.7
IRRI 32.1 -172.1
COTTON 2.9 2247.8
RAB-FDD 151. 9 -627.9
GRAM 6.0 -466.3
MAIZE 317.8
MUS+RAP -7.4 -44.4
KHA-FOD 133.9 -1415.1
SC-MILL 106.6 102.0
WHEAT 1431.5 624.6
ORCHARD -1.0008E-11 1.0061E-11
POTATOES 0.2 11.9
ONIONS 4.6 13.3
CHILLI 6.1 30.3
RABI 1699.6 -380.6
KHARIF 275.5 1292.3
ANNUAL 1975.1 911 7
N
0'1
10
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 522
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
INDEX 1 = FRESH
INDEX 1 = FRESH
+ SIND PAKISTAN
INDEX 1 = SALINE
PMW PCW PSW SCWN SRWN SCWS SRWS PUNJAB SIND
PHOSPHATE. TOTAL 2.9 16.6 7.6 13.7 18.7 22.9 16.5 27.2 71.9
INDUS BASIN MDDEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 524
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
INDEX 1 SALINE
+ PAKISTAN
INDEX 1 = TOTAL
INDEX 1- = TOTAL
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 526
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
NWFP PMW PCW PSW PRW SCWN SRWN SCWS SRWS PUNJAB
+ SIND PAKISTAN
N
-..j
BASMATI 0.484
IRRI 0.910 0.900 """
COTTON 0.624 0.799
RAB-FOO 12.781 14.941
GRAM 0.258 0.183
MAIZE 0.536
MUS+RAP 0.246 0.319
KHA-FOD 13. 169 8.171
SC-MILL 18.242 16.163
SC-GUR 1.490 1.210
WHEAT 0.800 0.165
ORCHARD 3.400 3.513
POTATOES 3.433 3.731
ONIONS 3.848 4.118
CHILLI 0.532 0.618
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 527
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
SALINE. PAKI STAN 26.2 963.2 956.2 51.6 3. 1 41.0 11986.9 183.3 2231 .4
TOTAL .NWFP 14.4 106.9 6.7 2974.7 49.5 161. 2
TOTAL .PMW 179.1 22.8 3.4 327.6 27.3 602.3
TOTAL .PCW 199.2 72.5 5163.9 137.9 10.3 109.1 14225.3 217.7 4499.3
TOTAL .PSW 165.4 547.4 16.4 149.0 6.6 5235.1 143.0 2045.9
TOTAL .PRW 694.1 286.0 19.4 17.7 255.6 21.3 1523.2
TOTAL .SCWN 19.4 648.9 17.4 17.2 4435.3 60.6 1013.6
TOTAL .SRWN 954.5 24.5 27.5 378.4 5.8 986.9
TOTAL .SCWS 149. 1 323.4 5.5 5.6 4670.5 99.0 763.2
TOTAL .SRWS 262.7 10.5 3.3 2298.1 36.6 473.2
TOTAL . PUNJAB 1058.7 358.4 5890.4 196.5 159.3 136.7 20043.6 409.3 8670.7
TOTAL .SIND 1385.6 972.3 57.9 53.6 11782.3 202.0 3236.8
TOTAL .PAKISTAN 1058.7 1744.1 6862.7 268.8 266.2 197.0 34800.5 660.8 12068.7
M-NWFP A-NWFP M-PMW A-PMW M-PCW A-PCW M-PSW A-PSW M-PRW A-PRW
+ M-SCWN A-seWN M-SRWN A-SRWN M-SCWS A-SCWS M-SRWS A-SRWS M-PUNJAB A-PUNJAB
SC-MILL 4435.3 3030.7 378.4 289.5 4670.5 4947.9 2298.1 1832.0 20043.6 20464.3
SC-GUR 60.6 60.6 5.8 5.8 99.0 99.0 36.6 36.6 409.3 409.3
WHEAT 1013.6 830.1 986.9 414.2 763.2 847.7 473.2 112.7 8670.7 9431.3
ORCHARD 166.6 23.8 350.2 139.4 2513.9
POTATOES 37.1 33.7 41.2 41.2 38.0 39.9 15.0 12.3 471.1 425.6
ONIONS 35.3 27.8 40.1 33.6 39.8 32.4 13.9 10. 1 487.3 407.8
CHILLI 7.2 5.9 8.2 7.2 7.0 7.0 2.8 2 2 95.5 82.6
COW-MILK 122.6 114. 1 61.4 125.7 394.0
BUFF-MILK 365.0 457.7 210.8 357.2 2694.8
MEAT 16.1 27.8 11.2 15.3 137.5
TOTAL 6962.4 4526.5 3090.3 1768.8 6734.5 6581.6 3753.6 2295.6 43717.7 37012.8
BASMATI IRRI GRAM MAIZE MUS+RAP SC-GUR WHEAT POTATOES ONIONS CHI LLI
IMPORTS.PMW 672.054
IMPORTS.PSW 0.902
IMPORTS.PRW 524.752
IMPORTS.PUNJAB 1197.708
IMPORTS. PAKISTAN 1197.708
EXPORTS.NWFP 1.400
EXPORTS.PMW 0.297
EXPORTS.PCW 588.000 1.716
EXPORTS.PSW 0.561
EXPORTS.PRW 250.000 213.730 0.726
EXPORTS.SCWN 82.880 182.704 2.173
EXPORTS.SRWN 577.940 620.843 1.590
EXPORTS.SCWS 1.166
EXPORTS.SRWS 203.060 350.400 0.424
EXPORTS. PUNJAB 250.000 213.730 588.000 3.300
EXPORTS.SIND 781.000 82.880 1153.947 5.353
EXPORTS.PAKISTAN 250.000 994.730 670.880 1153.947 10.053
N
......
(Xl
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 531
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4121 GPV -
GROSS PRODUCTION VALUE (MILLION RUPEES)
VAL-ADDED -
VALUE ADDED (MILLION RUPEES)
FARM-INC -
FARM INCOME (MILLION RUPEES)
FL-COST -
COST OF FAMILY LABOR (MILLION RUPEES)
HL-COST -
COST OF HIRED LABOR (MILLION RUPEES)
SEED-COST -
COST OF SEED USED (MILLION RUPEES)
FERT-COST -
COST OF FERTILIZER(NITROGEN AND PHOSPHDROUS) USED (MILLION RUPEES)
MISCC-COST -
COST OF CANAL WATER (MILLION RUPEES)
TW-OPC -
OPERATING COST OF PRIVATE TUBEWELLS (MILLION RUPEES)
TW-INVT -
INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE TUBEWELLS (MILLION RUPEES)
TR-OPC OPERATING COST OF TRACTORS (MILLION RUPEES)
TR-INVT - INVESTMENT IN PRIVATE TUBEWELLS (MILLION RUPEES)
ANIML-COST - FIXED COST OF ANIMALS (MILLION RUPEES)
PROT-COST - COST OF PRTEIN CONCENTRATE PURCHASED FOR ANIMALS (MILLION RUPEES)
EQUATION TO AVOID INFEASABILITY
TOTAL-COST COST OFF ALL ACTIVITIES (MILLION RUPEES)
4121 PARAMETER REP50 REPORT ON TOTAL INCOME AND COST (FINANCIAL PRICES) (MILLION RUPEES)
FRESH .GPV 2796.2 6989.7 43251.3 17444.4 16225. 1 5805.5 3131.1 2259.7
FRESH .FARM-INC 1942.5 4900.4 26664.7 13375.8 12227.1 3651.4 2082.0 1334. 1
FRESH .FL-COST 660.9 1374.2 6193.8 2981.5 3394.7 865.1 624.4 307.6 N
....,
FRESH .HL-COST 172.4 1957.0 290.7 1.8 75.2 \0
FRESH .SEED-COST 178.0 210.5 1497.0 467.8 353.2 332.9 161.9 122.5
FRESH .FERT-COST 317 .0 487.3 4235.2 1059.7 1009.0 769.5 427 .5 262.2
FRESH .MISCC-COST 40946.3 218939.0 3061057.2 623284.9 230496.7 345255.7 56973.6 89000.7
FRESH .TW-OPC 34.2 365.5 3611 .2 893.5 1478.2 306.1 344.0 301.3
FRESH .TR-OPC 244.3 546.5 1904.9 837.1 503.7 54.5 14.9 52.0
FRESH .TW-INVT 1.3 45.6
FRESH .ANIML-COST 11.3 47.1 98.9 74.9 121.4 24.2 23.1 6.5
FRESH .PROT-COST 16.5 15.5 48.5 246.5 6.0
FRESH .TOTAL-COST 1515.9 3463.6 22780.4 7050.0 7392.7 3019.2 1719.1 1233.2
SALINE. GPV 854.4 5747.7 2265.0 4550.6 5809.5 6127.6 6024.4
SALINE. FARM- INC 625.0 4583.2 1773.8 3670.6 4938.2 4839.5 4978.0
SALINE. FL -COST 231. 3 1134.6 577.7 690.5 1065.6 935.9 791.2
SALINE. HL -COST 39.4 329.1
SALINE.SEED-COST 35.0 232.8 191.5 144.3 170.6 244.1 202.3
SALINE.FERT-COST 73.8 436.0 185.6 413.0 476.9 659.6 405.2
SALINE.MISCC-COST 5668.4 318731.9 19771.4 227247.7 97051.8 276232 8 57081.3
SALINE. TR-OPC 102.0 124.1 67.8 16.0 61.5 55.5 1.7
SALINE.ANIML-COST 9.6 28.1 14.0 24.8 46.0 27.6 33.9
SALINE. TOTAL-COST 460.6 2299.1 1068.9 1570.5 1936.9 2223.9 1837 6
TOTAL .GPV 2796.2 7844.1 48999.1 19709.4 16225. 1 10356.1 8940.6 8387.2 6024.4
TOTAL .FARM-INC 1942.5 5525.4 31247.9 15149.7 12227.1 7322. 1 7020.3 6173.6 4978.0
TOTAL .FL-COST 660.9 1605.5 7328.4 3559.2 3394.7 1555.6 1690.1 1243.5 791.2
TOTAL .HL-COST 172.4 1957.0 330.1 1.8 75.2 329.1
TOTAL .SEED-COST 178.0 245.5 1729.8 659.2 353.2 477 .2 332.5 366.6 202.3
TOTAL .FERT-COST 317.0 561. 1 4671.2 1245.3 1009.0 1182.5 904.4 921.8 405.2
TOTAL .MISCC-COST 52.4 253.5 3625.8 719.4 285.9 618.6 191. 9 401.1 74.3
TOTAL .TW-OPC 34.2 365.5 3611.2 893.5 1478.2 306.1 344.0 301.3
TOTAL .TR-OPC 244.3 648.5 2029.1 904.9 503.7 70.5 76.5 107.5 1.7
TOTAL .TW-INVT 1.3 45.6
TOTAL .ANIML-COST 11 .3 56.7 127.0 89.0 121.4 49.0 69.1 34.1 33.9
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 532
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4121 PARAMETER REP50 REPORT ON TOTAL INCOME AND COST (FINANCIAL PRICES) (MILLION RUPEES)
4144 PARAMETER REP54 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER FARM HOUSEHOLD (RUPEES)
FRESH .GPV 16070.3 40588.0 49241.2 42711.8 31627.9 53606.1 34512.6 55964.3
FRESH .FARM-INC 11163.6 28455.3 30357.5 32750.1 23834.6 33715.9 22949.4 33042.0
FRESH .FL-COST 3798.1 7979.9 7051.6 7300.0 6617.4 7987.8 6883.0 7619.3
FRESH .HL-COST 1001.3 2228. 1 2684.4 20.1 1861.9
FRESH .TOTAL-COST 8712.0 20112.6 25935.3 17261.7 14410.7 27877.9 18949.0 30541.6
SALINE.GPV 15884.5 23494.4 12754.8 44309.4 35799.7 26116.6 68459.5
SALINE.FARM-INC 11620.2 18734.3 9989.0 35741.3 30430.9 20626.7 56568.0
SALINE. FL-COST 4299.5 4637.8 3253.4 6723.7 6566.7 3988.8 8990.4
SALINE. HL -COST 383.9 3740.0
SALINE. TOTAL-COST 8563.8 9397.9 6019.2 15291.8 11935.6 9478.7 20881.9
TOTAL .GPV 16070.3 34708.6 43632.3 33633.8 31627.9 49081.1 35338.2 30499.0 68459.5
TOTAL .FARM-INC 11163.6 24448.6 27825.4 25852.7 23834.6 34701.7 27748.1 22449.5 56568.0
TOTAL .FL-COST 3798.1 7104.0 6525.7 6073.7 6617 4 7372.5 6680.1 4521.8 8990.4
TOTAL .HL-COST 763.0 1742.7 1564.7 7.2 273.4 3740.0 N
Q)
TOTAL .TOTAL-COST 8712.0 17364.0 22332.7 13854.8 14410.7 21751.9 14450.5 12571.3 20881.9 .....
+ PUNJAB SIND PAKISTAN
4150 PARAMETER REP56 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST BASED ON INTERNATIONAL PRICES (MILLION RUPEES)
FRESH .GPV 2168.2 6043.9 49087.2 16311.8 13921.2 5754.4 2896.8 2109.1
FRESH .VAL-ADDED 1053.7 3999.4 34084.0 12378.2 9967.3 3530.6 1769.0 1149. 1
FRESH .FL-COST 575.4 1194.2 5329.2 2580.0 2957.8 751.6 543.7 269.1
FRESH .HL-COST 143.7 1630.9 245.0 1.5 64.9
FRESH .SEED-COST 320.7 241.9 2227.9 650.4 424.5 538.2 199.0 213.8
FRESH .FERT-COST 468.6 712.8 6200.5 1554.6 1485.0 1124.6 627.7 383.4
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 534
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4150 PARAMETER REP56 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST BASEO ON INTERNATIONAL PRICES (MILLION RUPEES)
FRESH .TW-OPC 25.8 276.2 2728.5 675.1 1116.9 231.3 259.9 227.6
FRESH .TR-OPC 271.5 607.3 2116.6 930.1 559.7 60.6 16.6 57.8
FRESH .TW-INVT 1.3 45.6
FRESH .ANIML-COST 11.3 47.1 98.9 74.9 121.4 24.2 23.1 6.5
FRESH .PROT-COST 16.5 15.5 48.5 246.5 6.0
FRESH .TOTAL-COST 1691.1 3238.6 20332.4 6513.6 6911. 7 2975.4 1717.2 1229.1
SALINE. GPV 622.0 5651.1 1788.8 4204.0 4404.7 5721.3 4616.7
SALINE. VAL -AODED 350 6 4427.8 1065.8 3352.1 3384.9 4306.2 3378.6
SALINE. FL -COST 201.5 981.9 502.0 598.2 933.0 814.2 693.2
SALINE. HL -COST 32.9 287.2
SALINE. SEED-COST 40.3 418.7 361.3 173.3 206.3 361.7 320.7
SALINE. FERT-COST 108.1 638.7 272.3 603.2 699.0 964.0 594.5
SALINE TR-OPC 113.3 137.9 75.3 17.8 68.4 61.7 1.8
SALINE.ANIML-COST 9.6 28.1 14.0 24.8 46.0 27.6 33.9
SALINE. TOTAL-COST 472.8 2205.3 1225.0 1450.2 1952.8 2229.3 1931.2
TOTAL .GPV 2168.2 6665.9 54738.3 18100.6 13921 .2 9958.4 7301. 5 7830.4 4616.7
TOTAL .VAL-ADDED 1053.7 4350. 1 38511. 7 13444.0 9967 3 6882.7 5153.9 5455.3 3378.6
TOTAL . FL-COST 575.4 1395.7 6311.1 3082.0 2957.8 1349.8 1476.8 1083.3 693.2
TOTAL .HL-COST 143.7 1630.9 277 .8 1.5 64.9 287.2
TOTAL .SEED-COST 320.7 282.2 2646.6 1011.7 424.5 711.5 405.3 575.5 320.7
TOTAL .FERT-COST 468.6 821.0 6839.2 1826.9 1485.0 1727.8 1326.7 1347.4 594.5 N
(X)
TOTAL .TW-DPC 25.8 276.2 2728.5 675.1 1116.9 231.3 259.9 227.6 N
TOTAL .TR-OPC 271.5 720.5 2254.5 1005.5 559.7 78.4 85 0 119.5 1.8
TOTAL .TW-INVT 1.3 45.6
TOTAL .ANIML-COST 11.3 56.7 127.0 89.0 121.4 49.0 69.1 34.1 33.9
TOTAL .PROT-COST 16.5 15.5 48.5 246.5 6.0
TOTAL .TOTAL-COST 1691.1 3711.4 22537.7 7738.6 6911.7 4425.6 3669.9 3458.4 1931.2
4150 PARAMETER REP56 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST BASED ON INTERNATIONAL PRICES (MILLION RUPEES)
4150 PARAMETER REP57 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER ACRE OF CCA BASED ON INTERNATIONAL PRICES (RUPEES)
FRESH .GPV 3452.523 3286.673 5580.945 5321.440 5003.266 3119.269 1838.082 5147.240
FRESH .VAL-AODEO 1677.911 2174.913 3875.159 4038.162 3582.225 1913.798 1122.459 2804.315
FRESH .FL-COST 916.196 649.413 605.901 841.681 1063.027 407.419 344.991 656.676
FRESH .HL-COST 78. 144 185.420 132.787 0.962 158.467 N
00
FRESH .TOTAL-COST 2692.807 1761.173 2311.687 2124.959 2484.068 1612.890 1089.563 2999.601 w
SALINE.GPV 1082.952 2306.820 1342.143 2403.128 1562.494 2402.827 1663.683
SALINE.VAL-AOOED 610.513 1807.430 799.711 1916.142 1200.762 1808.524 1217.525
SALINE. FL-COST 350.752 400.826 376.668 341.970 330.985 341. 945 249.785
SALINE HL-COST 18.781 103.510
SALINE. TOTAL-COST 823.191 900.216 919.099 828.956 692.717 936.249 695.944
TOTAL .GPV 3452.523 2762.191 4867.685 4115.567 5003.266 2770.701 1661.317 2805.775 1663.683
TOTAL .VAL-ADDED 1677 911 1802.588 3424.710 3056.792 3582.225 1914.939 1172.683 1954.731 1217.525
TOTAL .FL-COST 916.196 578.332 561.226 700.765 1063.027 375.563 336.008 388.155 249.785
TOTAL .HL-COST 59.546 145.027 77.297 0.345 23.267 103.510
TOTAL .TOTAL-COST 2692.807 1537.935 2004.201 1759.539 2484.068 1231. 326 835.022 1239.200 695.944
4150 PARAMETER REP58 REPORT ON INCOME AND COST PER HOUSEHOLD BASED ON INTERERNATIONAl PRICES (RUPEES)
FRESH .GPV 12460.8 35095.4 55885.2 39938.8 27136.8 53133.9 31930.3 52236.3
FRESH .VAl-ADDED 6055.9 23223.9 38804.2 30307.4 19429.3 32599.8 19498.8 28459.3
FRESH .Fl-COST 3306.7 6934.5 6067.2 6317.0 5765.7 6940.0 5993.0 6664.2
FRESH .HL-COST 834.4 1856.7 2261.9 16.7 1608.2
FRESH .TOTAl-COST 9718.9 18806.0 23148.3 15948.4 13473.1 27474.1 18927.4 30441.2
SALINE. GPV 11563.9 23099.5 10073.1 40935.1 27142.9 24384.9 52462 7
SAlINE.VAL-ADDED 6519. 1 18098.8 6002.0 32639.7 20859.1 18353.6 38393.5
SALINE.FL-COST 3745.4 4013.7 2827.0 5825.1 5749.7 3470.2 7876.8
SALINE .Hl-COST 319.9 3264.1
SALINE. TOTAL-COST 8790.1 9014.4 6898.1 14120.5 12033.6 9501.4 21945.9
TOTAL .GPV 12460.8 29494.9 48743.0 30888.4 27136.8 47196.3 28859.6 28474.1 52462.7
TOTAL .VAL-ADDED 6055.9 19248.2 34293.6 22942.0 19429.3 32619.2 20371.3 19837.4 38393.5
TOTAL .Fl-COST 3306.7 6175.5 5619.9 5259.4 5765.7 6397.4 5837.0 3939.2 7876.8
TOTAL .HL-COST 635.8 1452.2 1316.7 6.0 236.1 3264.1
TOTAL . TOTAL-COST 9718.9 16422.2 20069.2 13205.8 13473.1 20974.5 14505.6 12575.9 21945.9
FRESH .JAN 37.1 57.0 181. 9 104.6 105.0 40.3 15.0 16.6
FRESH .FEB 34.5 56.8 157.0 90.2 96.9 37.9 14.7 16.6
FRESH .MAR 29.0 63.3 165.2 90.2 107.8 49.7 41.2 16.6
FRESH .APR 38.1 72.8 405.0 199.1 203.2 39.2 25.7 13.4
FRESH .MAY 16.5 57.6 230.7 111 .4 134.4 27.0 11.5 5.0
FRESH .JUN 14.5 40.2 144.4 77.1 143.5 18. 1 14.7 9.5
FRESH .JUL 17.9 33.9 122.6 97.2 191.6 20.5 42.2 8.3
FRESH .AUG 11.9 42.6 137.8 104.7 165.5 14.0 22.0 6.6
FRESH .SEP 14.8 39.2 139.9 78.7 89.8 24.9 15.9 10.7
FRESH .OCT 30.1 58.8 353.1 110.9 88.7 49.7 35.4 16.6
FRESH .NOV 37.0 72.8 405.0 190.6 189.8 49.7 42.2 16.6
FRESH .DEC 37.5 59.2 292.8 120.9 130.8 40.3 21.0 16.6
FRESH .RABI 205.2 367.8 1555.0 707.4 719.0 267.5 169.5 99.9
FRESH .KHARIF 113.6 286.3 1180.4 668.2 928.0 143.6 132.0 53.5
FRESH .ANNUAL 318.9 654.1 2735.4 1375.6 1647.0 411. 2 301.5 153.4
SALINE. JAN 10.2 42.4 31.7 26.2 38.3 39.4 35.2
SALINE .FEB 10.4 39.9 28.4 23.6 35.6 36.0 35.2
SALINE.MAR 11.7 47.3 31.1 31.6 45.1 50.7 35.2
SALINE .APR 16.2 69.2 40.9 25.7 34.9 38.0 28.3
SALINE.MAY 9.3 37.2 24.0 24.7 29.3 19.9 29.5 N
(II)
SALINE .JUN 7.2 28.4 10.8 18.2 34.2 27.6 35.2 VI
SALINE. JUL 6.5 25.3 10.2 16.3 75.6 22.3 31. 1
SALINE .AUG 7.3 26.5 11.0 16.7 46.3 22.2 34.2
SALINE. SEP 6.7 26.4 9.4 25.5 40.4 38.4 29.6
SALINE .OCT 7.2 45.5 11.5 41.5 46.9 67.8 35.2
SALINE.NOV 9.4 80.6 33.9 47.1 64.0 49.0 35.2
SALINE .DEC 9.8 55.2 32.0 24.4 44.8 37.8 35.2
SALINE. RABI 58.8 310.8 168.7 194.4 274.7 280.7 211. 2
SALINE.KHARIF 53.2 213.0 106.2 127.0 260.6 168.4 188.0
SALINE. ANNUAL 112.0 523.9 274.9 321.4 535.3 449.2 399.2
TOTAL .JAN 37.1 67.2 224.3 136.3 105.0 66.5 53.2 56.1 35.2
TOTAL .FEB 34.5 67.2 196.9 118.6 96.9 61.5 50.3 52.6 35.2
TOTAL .MAR 29.0 75.0 212.5 121. 3 107.8 81.3 86.3 67.4 35.2
TOTAL .APR 38.1 89.0 474.2 240.1 203.2 64.9 60.6 51.4 28.3
TOTAL .MAY 16.5 66.8 267.9 135.4 134.4 51.6 40.8 24.9 29.5
TOTAL .JUN 14.5 47.4 172.8 87.9 143.5 36.2 48.9 37.1 35.2
TOTAL .JUL 17.9 40.4 147.9 107.4 191.6 36.8 117.8 30.6 31.1
TOTAL .AUG 11.9 49.9 164.3 115.6 165.5 30.7 68.3 28.8 34.2
TOTAL .SEP 14.8 45.9 166.3 88.0 89.8 50.5 56.3 49.1 29.6
TOTAL .OCT 30.1 66.0 398.6 122.4 88.7 91.2 82.3 84.4 35.2
TOTAL .NOV 37.0 82.3 485.6 224.5 189.8 96.8 106.3 65.7 35.2
TOTAL .DEC 37.5 69.0 348.0 153.0 130.8 64.7 65.7 54.4 35.2
TOTAL .RABI 205.2 426.6 1865.9 876.1 719.0 461.9 444.1 380.6 211. 2
TOTAL .KHARIF 113.6 339.5 1393.4 774.4 928.0 270.6 392.6 221.9 188.0
TOTAL .ANNUAL 318.9 766.2 3259.2 1650.5 1647.0 732.6 836.8 602.6 399.2
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 538
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
+ FAMILY-LAB FAMILY-LAB FAMILY LAB HIRED LAB HIRED-LAB HIRED-LAB HIRED-LAB HIRED-LAB HIRED-LAB
PUNuAB SIND PAKISTAN PMW PCW SCWN SRWN SCWS SRWS
TOTAL .MAR
TOTAL .APR 167.0
33.6 33.6
167.0 '"
TOTAL .JUN 7.4 7.4
TOTAL .OCT 17.5 17.5
TOTAL .NOV 188.0 69.3 257.3
TOTAL .DEC 13. 1 13. 1
TOTAL .RABI 188.0 151. 3 339.2
TOTAL .KHARIF 167.0 7.4 174.3
TOTAL .ANNUAL 354.9 158.6 513.5
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 540
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 .. NWFP
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PMW
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PCW
FRESH .WATER-REO 1.618 2.437 3.108 0.552 1.524 2.138 2.695 3.047 3.800
FRESH .RAIN 0.217 0.214 0.199 0.025 O. 117 0.257 1.210 1.071 0.347
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.035 0.048 0.071 0.018 O. 115 0.129 0.113 0.103 0.094
FRESH .CANAL 0.423 0.483 0.983 0.722 1.253 1.550 1.346 1.250 1. 231
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 0.911 1.656 1.808 0.170 0.587 2.093
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.032 0.037 0.047 0.045 0.039 0.031 0.025 0.036 0.036
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.259
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 1. 618 2.437 3.108 0.811 1.524 2.138 2.695 3.047 3.800
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.132 0.203 0.281 0.129 0.237 0.288 0.349 0.395 0.454
SALINE. RAIN 0.020 0.020 0.022 0.007 0.016 0.033 0.157 0.139 0.043
SALINE.SUBIRR 0.003 0.004 0.007 0.005 0.015 0.017 0.015 0.013 0.012
SALINE. CANAL 0.109 0.180 0.252 0.265 0.346 0.405 0.375 0.345 0.400
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.147 0.140 0.167 0.198 0.102
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.132 0.203 0.281 0.277 0.377 0.455 0.547 0.497 0.454
TOTAL . WATER-REO 1.750 2.640 3.389 0.681 1.761 2.425 3.044 3.442 4.255
TOTAL .RAIN 0.237 0.233 0.221 0.033 0.133 0.290 1.367 1.209 0.390
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.038 0.052 0.078 0.022 0.130 0.145 0.128 0.117 0.105
TOTAL .CANAL 0.532 0.663 1.235 0.987 1.598 1.954 1.721 1.594 1.630
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 0.911 1.656 1.B08 0.170 0.587 2.093 N
10
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.032 0.037 0.047 0.045 0.039 0.031 0.025 0.036 0.036 0
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.406 0.140 0.167 0.198 0.102
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 1.750 2.640 3.389 1.087 1.901 2.592 3.241 3.544 4.255
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PSW
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
FRESH .WATER-REO 0.607 0.943 1.199 0.420 0.539 0.636 0.875 1.065 1.057
FRESH .RAIN 0.142 0.147 0.154 0.035 0.056 0.162 0.457 0.558 0.211
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.011 0.013 0.023 0.010 0.022 0.030 0.025 0.024 0.022
FRESH .CANAL 0.114 0.197 0.208 0.231 0.299 0.297 0.291 0.338 0.263
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 0.249 0.470 0.673 0.391
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.091 0.115 0.140 0.144 0.162 0.147 0.145 0.145 0.170
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.042
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 0.607 0.943 1.199 0.420 0.539 0.636 0.916 1.065 1.057
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.074 0.130 0.109 0.094 0.094 0.091 0.102 0.123 0.121
SALINE. RAIN 0.021 0.029 0.019 0.010 0.009 0.020 0.062 0.071 0.027
SALI NE . SUB I RR 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.003 0.003
SALINE. CANAL 0.051 0.099 0.087 0.101 0.141 0.138 O. 121 0.130 0.115
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.020 0.059 0.071 0.084 0.080 0.023
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.074 0.130 0_109 0.114 0.153 0.163 0.186 0.204 0.145
TOTAL .WATER-REO 0.681 1.073 1.308 0.514 0.633 0.727 0.977 1. 188 1. 178
TOTAL .RAIN 0.163 0.176 0.173 0.045 0.065 0.182 0.518 0.629 0.238
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.012 0.016 0.026 0.013 0.026 0.034 0.028 0.026 0.025
TOTAL .CANAL 0.165 0.296 0.295 0.331 0.439 0.435 0.411 0.469 0.378
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 0.249 0.470 0.673 0.391 N
\0
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL
TOTAL .SLKWATER
0.091 0.115 0.140 0.144
0.020
0.162
o 059
0.147
0.071
0.145
0.126
0.145
0.080
0.170
0.023
....
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY o 681 1.073 1.308 0.534 0.692 0.798 1.103 1.269 1.202
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 .. PRW
FRESH. WATER-REO 0.561 0.865 1.198 0.404 0.341 1.017 1.435 1.574 1.579
FRESH. RAIN 0.154 0.146 0.157 0.039 0.037 0.197 0.593 0.663 0.267
FRESH.SUBIRR 0.004 0.006 0.011 0.005 0.006 0.016 0.013 0.010 0.010
FRESH. CANAL 0.083 0.133 0.173 0.169 0.252 0.507 0.412 0.389 0.330
FRESH.P-TUBEWELL 0.271 0.514 0.775 0.116 0.213 0.342 0.441 0.880
FRESH.G-TUBEWELL 0.049 0.065 0.082 0.074 0.078 0.084 0.075 0.071 0.092
FRESH.SLKWATER 0.033
FRESH. TOT-SUPPLY 0.561 0.865 1.198 0.404 0.374 1.017 1.435 1.574 1.579
TOTAL.WATER-REQ 0.561 0.865 1.198 0.404 0.341 1.017 1.435 1.574 1.579
TOTAL.RAIN 0.154 0.146 0.157 0.039 0.037 0.197 0.593 0.663 0.267
TOTAL. SUBIRR 0.004 0.006 0.011 0.005 0.006 0.016 0.013 0.010 0.010
TOTAL.CANAL 0.083 0.133 0.173 0.169 0.252 0.507 0.412 0.389 0.330
TOTAL.P-TUBEWELL 0.271 0.514 0.775 0.116 0.213 0.342 0.441 0.880
TOTAL.G-TUBEWELL 0.049 0.065 0.082 0.074 0.078 0.084 0.075 0.071 0.092
TOTAL.SLKWATER 0.033
TOTAL. TOT-SUPPLY 0.561 0.865 1.198 0.404 0.374 1.017 1.435 1.574 1.579
INDEX 1 = SCWN
FRESH .WATER REO 0.266 0.462 0.478 0.210 0.217 0.315 0.392 0.393 0.398
FRESH .RAIN 0.012 0.016 0.014 0.007 0.007 0.015 0.096 0.081 0.024
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.023 0.024 0.037 0.026 0.042 0.043 0.037 0.035 0.033
FRESH .CANAL 0.123 0.188 0.207 0.166 0.186 0.247 0.249 0.255 0.305
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 0.099 0.223 0.207 0.016
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.010 0.011 0.013 0.010 0.009 0.011 0.010 0.024 0.021
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.027
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 0.266 0.462 0.478 0.210 0.244 0.315 0.392 0.393 0.398
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.125 0.218 0.205 0.146 0.117 0.164 0.216 0.220 0.245
SALINE-RAIN 0.006 0.008 0.006 0.005 0.004 0.009 0.056 0.047 0.016
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 545
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = SCWN
SALINE. SUBIRR 0.011 0.012 0.016 0.017 0.024 0.025 0.021 0.020 0.020
SALINE .CANAL 0.108 0.199 0.183 0.158 0.206 0.265 0.260 0.254 0.298
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.033 0.117 0.135 O. 121 0.102 0.089
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.125 0.218 0.205 0.179 0.234 0.299 0.337 0.322 0.334
TOTAL .WATER-REO 0.390 0.680 0.683 0.356 0.334 0.479 0.609 0.613 0.644
TOTAL .RAIN 0.017 0.024 0.020 0.012 0.010 0.023 0.152 0.128 0.040
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.034 0.036 0.053 0.042 0.066 0.068 0.058 0.055 0.053
TOTAL .CANAL 0.231 0.386 0.390 0.324 0.392 0.512 0.509 0.509 0.602
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 0.099 0.223 0.207 0.016
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.010 0.011 0.013 0.010 0.009 0.011 0.010 0.024 0.021
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.033 0.144 0.135 0.121 0.102 0.089
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 0.390 0.680 0.683 0.389 0.478 0.614 0.730 0.715 0.732
INDEX 1 SRWN
FRESH .WATER-REO 0.206 0.350 0.394 0.037 0.013 0.306 0.375 0.365 0.381
FRESH .RAIN 0.011 0.019 0.015 8.044644E-4 2.340537E-4 0.006 0.016 0.022 0.007
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.021 0.026 0.039 0.002 0.002 0.022 0.021 0.019 0.018
FRESH .CANAL 0.105 0.039 0.074 0.032 0.062 0.541 0.704 0.409 0.355
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 0.067 0.264 0.264
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 6.500000E-4 6.500000E-4 6.500000E-4
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.053 0.264 0.366 0.086
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 0.206 0.350 0.394 0.037 0.066 0.570 0.740 0.451 0.381
INDUS BASIN MOOEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 546
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = SRWN
INDEX 1 = SCWS
FRESH .WATER-REO 0.100 0.152 0.187 0.087 0.097 0.170 0.204 0.205 0.186
FRESH .RAIN 0.003 0.004 0.003 0.002 0.003 0.008 0.053 0.039 0.013
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.008 0.008 0.014 0.012 0.017 0.017 0.015 0.013 0.012
FRESH .CANAL 0.031 0.058 0.044 0.055 0.047 0.047 0.056 0.057 0.058
FRESH .P-TUBEWElL 0.058 0.080 0.124 0.017 0.029 0.098 0.080 0.089 0.098
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 7.959273E-4 9.285818E-4 0.001 7.959273E-4 6.632727E-4 9.285818E-4 7.959273E-4 0.006 0.006
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 547
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX SCWS
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 0.100 0.152 0.187 0.087 0.097 0.170 0.204 0.205 0.186
SALINE.WATER-REO 0.141 0.332 0.260 0.222 0.213 0.347 0.421 0.425 0.405
SALINE. RAIN 0.004 0.011 0.005 0.005 0.007 0.017 0.123 0.091 0.031
SALINE. SUBIRR 0.011 0.021 0.020 0.031 0.040 0.039 0.033 0.031 0.029
SALINE. CANAL 0.126 0.301 0.235 0.280 0.328 0.291 0.290 0.303 0.345
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.094 0.163 0.026
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.141 0.332 0.260 0.316 0.376 0.347 0.447 0.425 0.405
TOTAL .WATER-REO 0.241 0.484 0.447 0.309 0.309 0.517 0.625 0.630 0.591
TOTAL .RAIN 0.006 0.015 0.008 0.007 0.010 0.025 0.117 0.130 0.044
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.019 0.029 0.033 0.043 0.058 0.056 0.048 0.045 0.041
TOTAL .CANAL 0.158 0.358 0.280 0.335 0.375 0.337 0.347 0.360 0.403
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 0.058 0.080 0.124 0.017 0.029 0.098 0.080 0.089 0.098
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 7.959273E-4 9.285818E-4 0.001 7.959273E-4 6.632727E-4 9.285818E-4 7.959273E-4 0.006 0.006
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.094 0.163 0.026
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 0.241 0.484 0.447 0.403 0.472 0.517 0.652 0.630 0.591
INDEX 1 = SRWS
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.170 0.220 0.245 0.083 0.117 0.500 0.518 0.520 0.400
SALINE. RAIN 0.006 0.012 0.004 6.549810E-4 0.005 0.025 0.137 0.071 0.030
SALINE. SUBIRR 0.026 0.024 0.035 0.013 0.045 0.040 0.035 0.032 0.036
SALINE. CANAL 0.211 0.187 0.217 0.289 0.597 0.780 1.026 0.700 0.726
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.074 0.003 0.011 0.219 0.470 0.344 0.679 0.283 0.392
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.244 0.223 0.256 0.302 0.647 0.844 1.198 0.803 0.792
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 548
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER 8ALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = SRWS
TOTAL .WATER-REO 0.170 0.220 0.245 0.083 0.177 0.500 0.518 0.520 0.400
TOTAL .RAIN 0.006 0.012 0.004 6.549810E-4 0.005 0.025 0.137 0.071 0.030
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.026 0.024 0.035 0.013 0.045 0.040 0.035 0.032 0.036
TOTAL .CANAL 0.211 0.187 0.217 0.289 0.597 0.780 1.026 0.700 0.726
TOTAL . SLKWATER 0.074 0.003 0.011 0.219 0.470 0.344 0.679 0.283 0.392
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 0.244 0.223 0.256 0.302 0.647 0.844 1.198 0.803 0.792
INDEX 1 = PUNJAB
FRESH .WATER-REO 3.095 4.631 6.055 1.700 2.665 4.013 5.285 5.976 6.712
FRESH .RAIN 0.563 0.568 0.600 0.135 0.243 0.651 2.389 2.410 0.871
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.060 0.081 0.126 0.049 0.175 0.200 0.174 0.156 0.139
FRESH .CANAL 0.704 0.896 1.466 1.282 1.950 2.484 2.178 2.102 1.961
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 1.543 2.816 3.520 0.161 0.383 0.342 1.027 3.399
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.224 0.270 0.342 0.331 0.330 0.303 0.282 0.294 0.341
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.259 0.033 0.009 0.079 0.013
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 3.095 4.631 6.055 1.959 2.698 4.022 5.364 5.989 6.712
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.257 0.378 0.442 0.275 0.358 0.396 0.476 0.539 0.594
SALINE. RAIN 0.049 0.056 0.051 0.023 0.028 0.057 0.231 0.220 0.075
SALINE.SUBIRR 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.010 0.022 0.023 0.020 0.018 0.015
SALINE. CANAL 0.201 0.314 0.380 0.430 0.545 0.588 0.541 0.520 0.560
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.188 0.238 0.272 0.317 0.219 0.056
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.257 0.378 0.442 0.463 0.595 0.669 0.792 0.758 0.650
TOTAL .WATER-REO 3.352 5.009 6.498 1.976 3.023 4.409 5.760 6.516 7.306
TOTAL .RAIN 0.612 0.624 0.651 0.159 0.271 0.708 2.620 2.630 0.946
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.067 0.090 0.138 0.059 0.198 0.223 0.195 0.174 0.155
TOTAL .CANAL 0.905 1.210 1.846 1.712 2.495 3.072 2.719 2.622 2.522
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 1.543 2.816 3.520 0.161 0.383 0.342 1.027 3.399
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.224 0.270 0.342 0.331 0.330 0.303 0.282 0.294 0.341
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.447 0.271 0.281 0.396 0.232 0.056
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 3.352 5.009 6.498 2.422 3.294 4.690 6.156 6.748 7.362
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 549
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PUNJAB
FRESH .WATER-REO 0.572 0.964 1.059 0.333 0.327 0.791 0.972 0.964 0.966
FRESH .RAIN 0.026 0.040 0.032 0.010 0.010 0.028 0.164 0.142 0.044
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.051 0.058 0.090 0.040 0.062 0.081 0.073 0.067 0.063
FRESH .CANAL 0.259 0.284 0.325 0.253 0.295 0.834 1.009 0.721 0.717
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 0.224 0.567 0.596 0.017 0.029 0.098 0.080 0.089 O. 114
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.012 0.014 0.017 0.013 0.011 0.013 0.011 0.031 0.027
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.080 0.264 0.366 0.086
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 0.572 0.964 1.059 0.333 0.406 1.055 1.337 1.050 0.966
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.588 0.958 0.887 0.496 0.544 1.529 1.789 1.766 1.729
SALINE .RAIN 0.025 0.042 0.022 0.012 0.016 0.062 0.345 0.246 0.093
SALINE.SUBIRR 0.064 0.072 0.088 0.064 0.117 0.143 0.126 0.115 0.123
SALINE. CANAL 0.573 0.847 0.788 0.809 1.320 2.312 2.646 2.055 2.362
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.074 0.003 0.011 0.388 0.909 0.989 1 328 0.649 0.850
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.662 0.961 0.898 0.884 1.453 2.517 3.117 2.416 2.579
TOTAL .WATER-REO 1.160 1.922 1.947 0.830 0.870 2.319 2.761 2.731 2.695
TOTAL .RAIN 0.050 0.082 0.054 0.022 0.026 0.090 0.509 0.387 0.137
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.116 0.130 0.178 0.104 0.178 0.225 0.199 0.182 0.186
TOTAL .CANAL 0.832 1 . 131 1 . 113 1.062 1.615 3.147 3.655 2.776 3.080
TOTAL .P~TUBEWELL 0.224 0.567 0.596 0.017 0.029 0.098 0.080 0.089 0.114
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.012 0.014 0.017 0.013 0.011 0.013 0.011 0.031 0.027
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.074 0.003 0.011 0.388 0.989 1.253 1.693 0.735 0.850
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 1.234 1.925 1.958 1. 218 1.859 3.572 4.454 3.465 3.544
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 550
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = SIND
INDEX 1 = PAKISTAN
FRESH .WATER-REO 3.777 5.729 7.297 2.141 3.090 4.929 6.425 7.123 7.879
FRESH .RAIN 0.642 0.656 0.711 0.180 0.269 0.688 2.593 2.615 0.948
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.115 0.144 0.223 0.095 0.246 0.293 0.262 0.237 0.213
FRESH .CANAL 1.028 1.259 1.903 1.625 2.349 3.453 3.325 2.961 2.817
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 1.768 3.387 4. 116 0.178 0.029 0.481 0.421 1 . 117 3.533
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.236 0.284 0.359 0.344 0.340 0.316 0.292 0.324 0.368
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.012 0.015 0.280 0.143 0.303 0.469 0.131
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 3.789 5.729 7.312 2.421 3.233 5.232 6.894 7.254 7.879
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.845 1.336 1.330 0.772 0.902 1.925 2.265 2.306 2.323
SALlNE.RAIN 0.074 0.098 0.073 0.035 0.045 0.119 0.575 0.466 0.168
SALINE. SUBIRR 0.071 0.081 0.100 0.074 0.139 0.167 0.147 0.133 0.138
SALINE. CANAL 0.775 1.161 1.167 1.239 1.865 2.901 3.187 2.575 2.923
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.074 0.003 0.011 0.576 1.147 1.261 1.644 0.868 0.906
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.919 1.339 1.340 1.348 2.049 3.186 3.909 3.174 3.229
TOTAL .WATER-REO 4.623 7.066 8.627 2.912 3.992 6.854 8.690 9.429 10.202
TOTAL .RAIN 0.716 0.754 0.784 0.214 0.314 0.807 3.168 3.081 1.116
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.186 0.224 0.323 0.169 0.385 0.460 0.409 0.370 0.351
TOTAL .CANAL 1.802 2.420 3.070 2.863 4.214 6.354 6.512 5.536 5.739
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 1.768 3.387 4. 116 0.178 0.029 0.481 0.421 1. 117 3.533
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.236 0.284 0.359 0.344 0.340 0.316 0.292 0.324 0.368
TOTAL . SLKWATER 0.085 0.003 0.025 0.856 1.290 1.564 2.113 0.999 0.906
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 4.708 7.068 8.652 3.769 5.282 8.418 10.803 10.428 11.108
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 551
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4154 PARAMETER REP60 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PAKISTAN
4164 ALL FIGURES ARE REPRESENTED AT THE WATER COURSE HEAD USING
WEIGHTED DELIVERY EFFICIENCIES (MAF)
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 = NWFP
INDEX 1 = PMW
FRESH .WATER-REQ 0.638 0.795 1. 134 0.668 0.538 0.459 0.578 0.599 0.568
FRESH .RAIN 0.102 0.125 0.186 0.074 0.066 0.072 0.264 0.241 0.095
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.022 0.029 0.043 0.035 0.066 0.052 0.048 0.041 0.028
FRESH .CANAL 0.173 0.171 0.210 0.330 0.303 0.268 0.267 0.259 0.285
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 0.232 0.362 0.544 0.091 0.070
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.108 0.108 0.151 0.139 0.103 0.084 0.076 0.085 0.089
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.018 0.077 0.027
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 0.638 0.795 1. 134 0.668 0.538 0.477 0.655 0.627 0.568
SALINE.WATER-REQ 0.105 0.091 0.107 0.107 0.055 0.035 0.051 0.044 0.038
SALINE.RAIN 0.016 0.015 0.020 0.012 0.008 0.007 0.025 0.023 0.010
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 553
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PMW
SALINE. SUBIRR 0.004 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.008 0.005 0.005 0.004 0.002
SALINE .CANAL 0.085 0.073 0.083 0.132 0.120 0.094 0.092 0.092 0.094
SALINE. SLKWA TER 0.043 0.081 0.071 0.072 0.075 0.068
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.105 0.091 0.107 0.150 0.136 0.106 0.122 0.119 0.106
TOTAL .WATER-REO 0.743 0.886 1.240 0.775 0.593 0.494 0.628 0.643 0.607
TOTAL . RAIN 0.118 0.140 0.206 0.086 0.075 0.079 0.289 0.264 0.106
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.026 0.032 0.047 0.040 0.073 0.057 0.053 0.045 0.031
TOTAL .CANAL 0.259 0.244 0.293 0.462 0.423 0.362 0.359 0.350 0.379
TOTAL P-TUBEWELL 0.232 0.362 0.544 0.091 0.070
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.108 0.108 O. 151 0.139 0.103 0.084 0.076 0.085 0.089
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.043 0.081 0.089 0.149 0.102 0.068
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 0.743 0.886 1.240 0.818 0.674 0.583 0.777 0.745 0.675
INDEX 1 = PCW
FRESH .WATER-REO 2.914 4.390 5.599 0.994 2.746 3.851 4.854 5.489 6.847
FRESH .RAIN 0.392 0.385 0.358 0.046 0.211 0.463 2.181 1.929 0.625
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.062 0.086 0.128 0.032 0.208 0.232 0.203 0.186 0.168
FRESH .CANAL 0.763 0.870 1.771 1.301 2.257 2.792 2.425 2.251 2.217
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 1.641 2.983 3.257 0.307 1.057 3.770
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.057 0.066 0.085 0.081 0.071 0.057 0.046 0.066 0.066
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.466
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 2.914 4.390 5.599 1.460 2.746 3.851 4.854 5.489 6.847
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 554
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PCW
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.238 0.367 0.507 0.233 0.426 0.518 0.629 0.711 0.818
SALINE.RAIN 0.036 0.035 0.039 0.013 0.028 0.060 0.283 0.250 0.078
SALINE. SUBIRR 0.006 0.008 0.013 0.008 0.027 0.030 0.026 0.024 0.021
SALINE. CANAL 0.196 0.324 0.455 0.477 0.623 0.729 0.676 0.621 o 720
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.265 0.252 0.301 0.356 0.184
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.238 0.367 0.507 0.498 0.678 0.819 0.985 0.895 0.818
TOTAL .WATER-REO 3.152 4.757 6.106 1.227 3.173 4.369 5.483 6.200 7.665
TOTAL .RAIN 0.427 0.421 0.398 0.059 0.239 0.523 2.463 2.179 0.703
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.068 o 094 O. 141 0.040 0.235 0.262 0.230 0.210 0.189
TOTAL .CANAL 0.959 1. 194 2.225 1.779 2.880 3.521 3.101 2.872 2.937
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 1.641 2.983 3.257 0.307 1 057 3.770
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.057 0.066 0.085 0.081 0.071 0.057 0.046 0.066 0.066
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.731 0.252 0.301 0.356 0.184
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 3.152 4.757 6.106 1.959 3.425 4.670 5.839 6.384 7.665
INDEX 1 PSW
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PSW
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
FRESH .WATER-REO 0.587 1.020 1.055 0.463 0.479 0.696 0.866 0.868 0.879
FRESH .RAIN 0.026 0.036 0.030 0.016 0.015 0.032 0.211 0.178 0.053
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.050 0.053 0.082 0.057 0.093 0.094 0.083 0.076 0.073
FRESH .CANAl 0.271 0.414 0.457 0.367 0.411 0.545 0.550 0.562 0.673
FRESH .P-TUBEWElL 0.219 0.492 0.457 0.035
FRESH .G-TUBEWEll 0.022 0.025 0.030 0.023 0.019 0.025 0.022 0.052 0.046
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.059
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 0.587 1.020 1.055 0.463 0.538 0.696 0.866 0.868 0.879
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.275 0.482 0.452 0.323 0.258 0.362 0-477 0.485 0.541
SALINE.RAIN 0.012 0.017 0.013 0.011 0.008 0.019 0.124 0.105 0.035
INDUS BASIN MaDEL REVISED (IBMR) FIlENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 557
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 = SCWN
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUl AUG SEP
SALINE. SUBIRR 0.024 0.026 0.035 0.036 0.054 0.055 0.047 0.045 0.045
SALINE. CANAL 0.238 0.439 0.403 0.348 0.455 0.585 0.574 0.561 0.657
SALINE. SlKWATER 0.072 0.258 0.297 0.268 0.226 0.195
SAlINE.TOT-SUPPlY 0.275 0.482 0.452 0.395 0.517 0.659 0.745 0.711 0.737
TOTAL .WATER-REQ 0.862 1.501 1.507 0.786 0.737 1.058 1. 343 1.353 1.421
TOTAL .RAIN 0.038 0.053 0.043 0.027 0.023 0.051 0.336 0.282 0.088
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.074 0.079 0.117 0.093 0.146 0.149 0.129 0.121 0.118
TOTAL .CANAL 0.509 0.853 0.860 0.715 0.866 1.130 1. 124 1.123 1.330
TOTAL .P-TUBEWEll 0.219 0.492 0.457 0.035
TOTAL .G-TUBEWEll 0.022 0.025 0.030 0.023 0.019 0.025 0.022 0.052 0.046
TOTAL .SlKWATER 0.072 0.318 0.297 0.268 0.226 0.195
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPlY 0.862 1.501 1.507 0.858 1.055 1.355 1 .611 1. 579 1.616
INDEX 1 = SRWN
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 = SRWN
.JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
SALINE. WATER-REO 0.278 0.342 0.323 0.072 0.060 0.822 1.007 0.957 1.079
SALINE. RAIN 0.016 0.021 0.013 0.002 0.001 0.017 0.044 0.058 0.026
SALINE. SUBIRR 0.030 0.029 0.032 0.006 0.012 0.062 0.060 0.050 0.061
SALINE. CANAL 0.232 0.292 0.278 0.130 0.300 1.553 1.700 1.268 1.579
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.066 0.253 0.810 0.796 0.420 0.587
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.278 0.342 0.323 0.138 0.312 1.633 1.803 1.377 1.665
TOTAL .WATER-REO 0.652 0.978 1.040 0.130 0.080 1.308 1.603 1.538 1.684
TOTAL .RAIN 0.037 0.056 0.040 0.003 0.002 0.027 0.068 0.093 0.038
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.068 0.076 0.103 0.010 0.015 0.097 0.093 0.081 0.089
TOTAL .CANAL 0.423 0.362 0.413 0.181 0.398 2.413 2 819 1.919 2.143
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 0.123 0.480 0.480
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.066 0.336 1.230 1.377 0.556 0.587
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 0.652 0.978 1.040 0.196 0.417 2.538 2.980 2.093 2.271
INDEX 1 = SCWS
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY .JUN JUL AUG SEP
FRESH .WATER-REO 0.221 0.336 0.414 0.192 0.214 0.375 0.452 0.454 0.412
FRESH .RAIN 0.006 0.010 0.007 0.004 0.007 0.017 0.118 0.087 0.028
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.017 0.019 0.031 0.026 0.039 0.037 0.032 0.030 0.027
FRESH .CANAL 0.069 0.128 0.098 0.121 0.104 0.103 0.125 0.126 0.128
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 0.128 0.178 0.275 0.038 0.063 0.217 0.176 0.198 0.218
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.014 0.012
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 559
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 = SCWS
INDEX 1 = SRWS
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD O.4AF)
INDEX 1 = SRWS
TOTAL .WATER-REO 0.309 0.400 0.446 0.133 0.283 0.802 0.831 0.833 0.641
TOTAL .RAIN 0.012 0.021 0.008 0.001 0.008 0.039 0.220 0.114 0.047
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.047 0.043 0.063 0.020 0.071 0.064 0.056 0.051 0.057
TOTAL .CANAL 0.384 0.341 0.394 0.463 0.958 1.249 1.644 1.122 1.164
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.134 0.005 0.020 0.351 0.753 0.552 1.089 0.453 0.628
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 0.443 0.405 0.465 0.485 1.037 1.353 1.919 1.287 1.269
INDEX 1 = PUNJAB
FRESH .WATER-REQ 5.714 8.532 11.169 3.188 4.917 7.359 9.694 10.960 12.281
FRESH .RAIN 1.041 1.053 1.120 0.257 0.451 1.199 4.385 4.429 1.604
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.112 0.151 0.234 0.094 0.326 0.370 0.322 0.289 0.256
FRESH .CANAL 1.300 1.654 2.688 2.373 3.580 4.543 3.988 3.855 3.597
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 2.835 5.165 6.479 0.304 0.696 0.625 1.863 6.183
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.425 0.510 0.648 0.627 0.621 0.570 0.529 0.552 0.641
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.466 0.060 0.018 0.156 0.027
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 5.714 8.532 11.169 3.654 4.977 7.378 9.850 10.987 12.281
SALINE. WA TER-REO 0.481 0.702 0.818 0.516 0.658 0.725 0.871 0.986 1.084
SALINE. RAIN 0.092 0.104 0.095 0.044 0.053 0.105 0.424 0.405 0.138
SALINE.SUBIRR 0.012 0.016 0.022 0.019 0.041 0.043 0.038 0.033 0.028
SALINE. CANAL 0.377 0.581 0.700 0.798 1.006 1.081 0.995 0.957 1.029
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.345 0.443 0.504 0.585 0.409 0.112
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 0.481 0.702 0.818 0.861 1.101 1.229 1.456 1.395 1.196
TOTAL .WATER-REO 6.195 9.235 11.987 3.704 5.575 8.084 10.565 11.946 13.364
TOTAL .RAIN 1.133 1.157 1.215 0.301 0.504 1.304 4.809 4.834 1.742
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.125 0.167 0.257 0.113 0.367 0.412 0.360 0.322 0.284
TOTAL .CANAL 1.677 2.235 3.388 3.171 4.586 5.625 4.983 4.812 4.626
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 2.835 5.165 6.479 0.304 0.696 0.625 1.863 6.183
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.425 0.510 0.648 0.627 0.621 0.570 0.529 0.552 0.641
TOTAL . SLKWATER 0.811 0.503 0.523 0.741 0.437 0.112
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 6.195 9.235 11.987 4.516 6.078 8.607 11.306 12.382 13.476
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 561
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 = PUNJAB
INDEX 1 = SIND
FRESH .WATER-REO 1.183 1.991 2 186 0.714 0.713 1. 557 1.914 1.903 1.897
FRESH .RAIN 0.052 0.081 0.064 0.022 0.022 0.059 0.354 0.299 0.093
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.105 0.119 0.184 0.087 0.135 0.166 0.148 0.136 0.128
FRESH .CANAL 0.530 0.612 0.690 0.540 0.613 1.508 1.794 1.339 1.365
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 0.469 1. 149 1.213 0.038 0.063 0.217 0.176 0.198 0.253
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.026 0.030 0.036 0.027 0.023 0.028 0.024 0.067 0.059
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.143 0.420 0.581 0.136
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 1.183 1.991 2.186 0.714 0.856 1.977 2.495 2.039 1.897
SALINE. WATER-REO 1.174 1.957 1.795 1.018 1.071 2.753 3.245 3.215 3.157
SALINE. RAIN 0.048 0.084 0.045 0.025 0.033 0.114 0.661 0.477 0.177
SALINE. SUBI RR 0.125 0.143 0.174 0.131 0.226 0.268 0.235 0.215 0.227
SALINE. CANAL 1.134 1.736 1.596 1.561 2.438 4.030 4.560 3.621 4.163
SALINE. SLKWATER 0.134 0.005 0.020 0.699 1.625 1.659 2.211 1.099 1.410
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 1. 308 1.963 1.815 1.717 2.697 4.413 5.456 4.313 4.567
TOTAL .WATER-REO 2.357 3.949 3.981 1.732 1.784 4.311 5.160 5. 118 5.054
TOTAL .RAIN 0.101 0.164 0.109 0.046 0.054 0.173 1.015 0.776 0.270
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.231 0.262 0.357 0.218 0.361 0.434 0.383 0.352 0.355
TOTAL .CANAL 1.665 2.348 2 286 2.101 3.051 5.538 6.354 4.959 5.528
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 0.469 1.149 1.213 0.038 0.063 0.217 0.176 0.198 0.253
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.026 0.030 0.036 0.027 0.023 0.028 0.024 0.067 0.059
TOT AL . SLKWA TE R 0.134 0.005 0.020 0.699 1.768 2.079 2.792 1.235 1.410
TOTAL .TOT-SUPPLY 2.491 3.954 4.001 2.431 3.553 6.390 7.951 6.353 6.464
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 562
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
FRESH .WATER-REO 7.098 10.770 13.687 4.096 5.809 9.146 11.916 13.196 14.545
FRESH .RAIN 1 . 191 1.222 1.328 0.340 0.503 1.274 4.810 4.844 1.757
FRESH .SUBIRR 0.224 0.277 0.431 0.191 0.477 0.558 0.498 0.450 0.403
FRESH .CANAL 1.949 2.409 3.579 3.074 4.382 6.296 6.033 5.445 5.212
FRESH .P-TUBEWELL 3.304 6.322 7.692 0.342 0.063 0.913 0.801 2.061 6.472
FRESH .G-TUBEWELL 0.451 0.539 o 684 0.654 0.644 0.598 0.553 0.619 0.700
FRESH .SLKWATER 0.021 0.027 0.506 0.259 0.492 0.780 0.222
FRESH .TOT-SUPPLY 7.119 10 770 13.714 4.602 6.068 9.638 12.696 13.418 14.545
SALINE. WATER-REO 1.655 2.659 2.613 1.534 1.729 3.478 4. 116 4.200 4.240
SALI NE. RAIN 0.140 0.188 0.140 0.069 0.086 0.219 1.085 0.882 0.315
SALINE SUBIRR 0.138 0.160 0.196 0.151 0.267 0.311 0.273 0.249 0.255
SALINE.CANAL 1. 511 2.317 2.296 2.359 3.444 5. 112 5.555 4.578 5.193
SALI NE . SLKWA TER 0.134 0.005 0.020 1.044 2.068 2.164 2.796 1.508 1.522
SALINE. TOT-SUPPLY 1.789 2.665 2.632 2.578 3.797 5.642 6.912 5.709 5.763
TOTAL . WATER-REO 8.753 13.429 16.300 5.631 7.539 12.624 16.032 17.397 18.786
TOTAL .RAIN 1.331 1.410 1.468 0.409 0.588 1.493 5.895 5.726 2.072
TOTAL .SUBIRR 0.362 0.437 0.627 0.342 0.744 0.868 0.771 0.698 0.658
TOTAL . CANAL 3.460 4.727 5.876 5.433 7.826 11.408 11.588 10.023 10.405
TOTAL .P-TUBEWELL 3.304' 6.322 7.692 0.342 0.063 0.913 0.801 2.061 6.472
TOTAL .G-TUBEWELL 0.451 0.539 0.684 0.654 0.644 0.598 0.553 0.619 0.700
TOTAL .SLKWATER 0.155 0.005 0.046 1.550 2.327 2.656 3.576 1.730 1.522
TOTAL TOT-SUPPLY 8.908 13.435 16.347 7.180 9.865 15.280 19.608 19.127 20.308
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FIlENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 563
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4164 PARAMETER REP70 REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE WATERCOURSE HEAD (MAF)
INDEX 1 PAKISTAN
4167 PARAMETER REP72 SURFACE WATER DIVERSIONS AT THE CANAL HEAD BY CANAL (MAF)
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT
NWFP 0.158 0.187 0.270 0.215 0.252 0.325 0.333 0.333 0.332 0.243
PUNJAB 2.327 3.104 4.678 4.422 6.366 7.759 6.846 6.618 6.403 5.424
SIND 2.074 2.933 2.865 2.633 3.781 6.748 7.758 6.090 6.781 4.441
PAKISTAN 4.559 6.224 7.813 7.270 10.399 14.832 14.937 13.041 13.516 10.107
01-UD 0.010 0.019 0.057 0.027 0.131 0.131 0.131 0.131 0.126 0.073
02-CBD 0.072 0.096 0.163 0.110 0.134 0.163 0.163 0.155 0.120 0.128
03-RAY 5.000000E-4 0.002 0.008 0.033 0.037 0.110 0.090 0.082 0.085 0.047
04-UC 0.043 0.063 0.121 0.098 0.183 0.468 0.315 0.271 0.258 0.193
05-MR 0.011 0.018 0.024 0.016 0.096 0.282 0.244 0.237 0.166 0.040
06-SAD 0.118 0.297 0.328 0.332 0.332 0.328 0.285 0.268 0.332 0.307
07-FOR 0.006 0.014 0.035 0.034 0.167 0.204 0.143 0.141 0.148 0.104
08-PAK 0.113 0.183 0.423 0.218 0.341 0.630 0.354 0.388 0.374 0.298
09-LD 0.026 0.048 0.074 0.095 0.244 0.244 0.244 0.244 0.228 0.153
10-LBD 0.334 0.352 0.518 0.518 0.518 0.518 0.518 0.518 0.518 0.424
11-JHA 0.213 0.290 0.287 0.284 0.342 0.410 0.403 0.410 0.339 0.328
12-GUG 0.144 0.356 0.306 0.426 0.384 0.433 0.399 0.433 0.381 0.369
13-UJ 0.046 0.046 0.102 0.079 0.126 0.128 0.149 0.221 0.130 0.112
14-LJ 0.108 0.214 0.212 0.242 0.464 0.339 0.310 0.355 0.290 0.299
15-BAH 0.096 0.083 0.252 0.120 0.298 0.306 0.245 0.228 0.236 0.201
16-MAI 0.131 0.090 0.293 0.201 0.362 0.362 0.362 0.362 0.362 0.287
17-SIO 0.117 0.112 0.268 0.147 0.268 0.268 0.268 0.268 0.240 0.220
w
I-'
18-HAV ,0.022 0.048 0.032 0.031 0.061 0.068 0.045 0.046 0.051 0.047 N
19-RAN 0.021 0.008 0.045 0.031 0.081 0.150 0.082 0.069 0.082 0.066
20-PAN 0.135 0.176 0.261 0.268 0.453 0.773 0.707 0.557 0.567 0.614
21-ABB 0.020 0.028 0.064 0.041 0.058 0.080 0.080 0.060 0.060 0.057
22-USW 0.063 0.065 0.117 0.102 0.113 0.117 0.117 0.117 0.117 0.105
23-LSW 0.005 0.055 0.093 0.041 0.052 0.112 0.120 0.120 0.120 0.049
24-WAR 0.049 0.049 0.026 0.038 0.044 0.049 0.049 0.049 0.049 0.045
25-KAB 0.041 0.018 0.034 0.034 0.043 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.046 0.043
26-THA 0.371 0.317 0.361 0.577 0.523 0.410 0.403 0.399 0.410 0.402
27-PAH o 004 0.026 0.050 0.054 0.034 0.035 0.036 0.031 0.034 0.035
28-MUZ 0.071 0.092 0.106 0.250 0.315 0.389 0.394 0.381 0.495 0.324
29-DGK 0.093 0.127 0.289 0.187 0.411 0.529 0.476 0.362 0.370 0.296
31-P+D 0.163 0.082 0.140 0.064 0.081 0.506 0.795 0.462 0.417 0.222
32-BEG 0.134 0.006 0.046 0.002 0.080 1.083 1.155 0.671 0.552 0.153
33-GHO 0.202 0.072 0.268 0.013 0.222 0.470 0.409 0.454 0.648 0.385
34-NW 0.097 0.207 0.184 0.092 0.107 0.386 0.499 0.437 0.566 0.463
35-RIC 0.005 0.120 0.594 0.594 0.443 0.661 0.160
36-DAD 0.124 0.149 0.140 0.077 0.082 0.260 0.298 0.264 0.319 0.237
37-KW 0.034 0.102 0.157 0.090 0.100 0.157 0.124 O. 111 0.157 0.119
38-KE 0.044 0.184 0.119 0.114 0.136 0.214 0.205 0.154 0.150 0.195
39-ROH 0.533 0.981 0.752 0.932 0.798 0.790 0.957 0.970 0.981 0.803
41-NAR 0.265 0.720 0.569 0.667 0.873 0.747 0.693 0.732 0.873 0.762
42-KAL 0.152 0.188 0.108 0.196 0.164 0.289 0.405 0.356 0.546 0.284
43 LCH 0.062 0.075 0.146 0.115 0.205 0.164 0.205 0.142 0.170 0.133
44-FUL 0.159 0.100 0.122 0.102 0.479 0.671 0.894 0.454 0.408 0.299
45 PIN 0.104 0.061 0.114 0.168 0.333 0.416 0.524 0.439 0.333 0.226
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 565
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4167 PARAMETER REP72 SURFACE WATER DIVERSIONS AT THE CANAL HEAD BY CANAL (MAF)
4167 PARAMETER REP72A SURFACE WATER DIVERSIONS AT THE CANAL HEAD BY REGION(MAF)
IJ)
.....
"""
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 567
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4169 PARAMETER REP73 POST TARBELA DIVERSIONS AT THE CANAL HEAD BY CANAL (MAF)
.JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT
NWFP 0.072 0.121 0.178 0.215 0.252 0.252 0.238 0.210 0.234 0.243
PUN.JAB 1.748 2.784 3.461 3.629 5.600 6. 117 6.221 6.053 6. pl 5.206
SIND 1.697 2.297 2.305 2.081 3.276 6.075 6.955 5.926 5.432 4.113
PAKISTAN 3.517 5.202 5.944 5.925 9.129 12.444 13.413 12.190 11.797 9.562
01-UD 0.010 0.019 0.034 0.024 0.103 0.109 O. 115 0.118 0.126 0.073
02-CBD 0.050 0.096 0.101 0.110 0.134 0.137 0.128 0.115 0.120 0.128
03-RAY 5.000000E-4 0.002 7.000000E-4 0.002 0.037 0.088 0.090 0.082 0.085 0.047
04-UC 0.043 0.063 0.057 0.098 0.183 0.277 0.315 0.271 0.258 0.193
05-MR 0.011 0.018 0.010 0.016 0.096 0.122 0.216 0.237 0.166 0.040
OS-SAD 0.111 0.233 0.280 0.269 0.286 0.284 0.276 0.268 0.269 0.254
07-FOR 0.006 0.014 0.014 0.034 0.122 0.148 0.143 0.141 0.148 0.104
08-PAK O. 113 0.183 0.247 0.218 0.341 0.354 0.354 0.388 0.374 0.298
09-LD 0.026 0.048 0.029 0.048 0.192 0.214 0.229 0.232 0.228 0.153
10-LBD 0.154 0.352 0.407 0.405 0.482 0.472 0.456 0.461 0.459 0.424
1'-.JHA 0.128 0.194 0.273 0.284 0.342 0.342 0.318 0.301 0.339 0.328
12-GUG 0.144 0.218 0.306 0.319 0.384 0.384 0.357 0.338 0.381 0.369
13-U.J 0.046 0.046 0.046 0.079 O. 118 0.128 0.149 0.129 0.130 0.112
14-LJ 0.108 0.214 0.212 0.242 0.313 0.315 0.310 0.290 0.290 0.299
15-BAH 0.096 0.083 0.147 0.120 0.203 0.229 0.245 0.228 0.236 0.201
16-MAI O. 131 0.090 0.164 0.144 0.296 0.329 0.316 0.337 0.348 0.287
17-S10 0.097 0.112 0.163 0.147 0.223 0.233 0.222 0.226 0.233 0.220 \.f.)
18-HAV 0.022 0.025 0.032 0.031 0.045 0.047 0.045 0.046 0.051 0.047 ....
VI
19-RAN 0.021 0.008 0.024 0.031 0.081 0.090 0.082 0.069 0.082 0.066
20-PAN 0.135 0.176 0.223 0.268 0.453 0.536 0.555 0.557 0.558 0.506
21-ABB 0.020 0.02B 0.036 0.041 0.053 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.057
22-USW 0.063 0.065 0.087 0.102 O. 113 0.110 0.109 0.103 0.105 0.105
23-LSW 0.005 0.024 0.031 0.041 0.052 0.051 0.046 0.040 0.045 0.049
24-WAR 0.002 0.014 0.026 0.038 0.044 0.044 0.038 0.031 0.041 0.045
25-KAB 0.002 0.018 0.034 0.034 0.043 0.047 0.044 0.037 0.042 0.043
26-THA 0.106 0.317 0.361 0.378 0.421 0.386 0.403 0.399 0.410 0.402
27-PAH 0.004 0.026 0.029 0.027 0.034 0.035 0.036 0.031 0.034 0.035
28-MUZ 0.071 0.092 0.106 0.104 0.315 0.389 0.394 0.381 0.375 0.266
29-DGK 0.093 0.127 0.158 0.187 0.341 0.406 0.406 0.345 0.370 0.296
31-P+D 0.163 0.066 0.063 0.002 0.081 0.506 0.579 0.462 0.417 0.222
32-BEG 0.134 0.006 0.004 0.002 0.080 0.755 1.059 0.671 0.552 0.153
33-GHO 0.202 0.072 0.122 0.013 0.222 0.426 0.409 0.454 0.427 0.385
34-NW 0.097 0.207 0.184 0.092 0.107 0.352 0.499 0.437 0.350 0.301
35-RIC 0.120 0.594 0.594 0.443 0.372 0.145
36-DAD 0.062 0.149 0.140 0.077 0.082 0.196 0.298 0.264 0.227 0.189
37-KW 0.034 0.091 0.094 0.090 0.100 0.109 O. 112 O. 111 0.128 0.119
38-KE 0.044 0.118 0.119 O. 114 0.136 0.146 0.156 0.154 0.150 0.161
39-ROH 0.261 0.712 0.752 0.686 0.798 0.782 0.812 0.847 0.852 0.803
41-NAR 0.223 0.542 0.569 0.606 0.682 0.667 0.693 0.690 0.697 0.692
42-KAL 0.152 0.096 0.086 0.134 0.164 0.289 0.405 0.356 0.374 0.284
43-LCH 0.062 0.075 0.078 0.115 0.148 0.164 0.167 0.142 0.145 0.133
44-FUL 0.159 0.100 0.059 0.102 0.367 0.671 0.646 0.454 0.408 0.299
45-PIN 0.104 0.061 0.035 0.046 0.190 0.416 0.524 0.439 0.333 0.226
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 568
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4169 PARAMETER REP73 POST TARBELA DIVERSIONS AT THE CANAL HEAD BY CANAL (MAF)
+ NOV DEC RABI KHARIF ANNUAL
4169 PARAMETER REP74 DIFFERENCE OF CANAL DIVERSIONS BY THE MODEL AND POST TARBELA (MAF)
4170 PARAMETER REP77 SURFACE WATER FLOW TO NODE N FROM NODE Nl (MAF)
4170 PARAMETER REP77 SURFACE WATER FLOW TO NODE N FROM NODE Nl (MAF)
TOTAL -0.850 -0.862 -1.022 -0.982 1.087 -1. 824 2.978 -1.483 -8.963
ISLAM-B -0.008 -0.011 0.025 -0.025 0.017 -0.039 0.025 -0.014 0.006
PANJNAD-B -0.149 -0.149 -0.107 -0.080 0.137 0.034 0.277 -0.168 -0.642
BALLOKI-B -0.088 -0.108 -0.238 -0.249 -0.235 -0.204 -0.434 -0.576 -0.383
SIDHNAI-B -0.001 -7.20000E-4 -0.001 0.026 -0.013 -1.60000E-4 0.387 0.613 -0.007
KHANKI-B -0.008 -0.007 -0.008 2.000000E-4 0.006 0.090 0.057 -0.099 -0.017
TRIMMU-B 0.008 -0.014 0.033 0.120 0.185 -0. 171 0.128 -0.168 -0.507
RASUl-B -0.047 -0.038 -0.049 -0.063 -0.103 -0. 121 -0.084 -0.062 -0.046
KALABAGH-R -0.365 -0.394 -0.442 -0.346 -0.707 -0.959 - 1 .873 -2.387 1.491
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 573
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
CHASMA-R -0.090 -0.095 -0.097 -0.141 -0.014 -0.237 -0.135 -0.622 -0.B16
TAUNSA-B -0.045 0.022 -0.032 -0.103 0.241 -0.OB8 0.329 -0.408 -1.064
GUDU-B -0.156 -0.086 -0. 161 -0.192 0.143 -0.347 0.177 -1 195 -2.264
SUKKUR-B -0.033 -0.011 -0.040 -0.031 0.010 -0.100 0.022 -0.205 -0.453
KOTRI-B 0.132 0.029 0.094 0.101 1.419 0.319 4.102 3.809 - 1 .280
W
4175 PARAMETER REP79 N
N
INDEX 1 = MANGLA-R
INDEX 1 TARBELA-R
INDEX 1 TARBELA-R
w
N
w
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 516
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM eMS
4183 PARAMETER REP75 SURFACE WATER DIVERSION AT THE CANAL HEAD BY ZDNE (MAF)
4183 PARAMETER REP75 SURFACE WATER DIVERSION AT THE CANAL HEAD BY ZONE (MAF)
f..o)
N
l.n
INDUS BASIN MDDEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 578
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
TOTAL .SEEP-RIVER -1.1935E-16 -0.183 -0.384 -0.117 -0.681 0.469 0.284 0.185
TOTAL .P-TUBWELL 0.152 1.625 16.050 3.971 6.570 1.360 1.529 1.339
TOTAL .G-TUBWELL 1.239 0.865 3.130 1.525 0.305 0.022 0.042
TOTAL .TOT-INF 1.437 4.401 21.392 8.603 5.327 8. 141 6.457 5.962 4.623
TOTAL .TOT-OUTF 0.152 2.864 16.915 7. 101 8.094 1.665 1.551 1.382
TOTAL .INF-OUTF 1.285 1.537 4.477 1.502 -2.767 6.476 4.906 4.580 4.623
TOTAL .P-EVAP-GW 0.230 0.837 2.520 0.793 0.262 2.360 3.348 1.929 2.931
TOTAL .EVAP-GW 0.230 0.768 0.758 0.793 0.262 2.360 3.039 1.929 2.931
TOTAL .BALANCE 1.055 0.769 3.718 0.709 -3.029 4. 115 1.867 2.651 1.692
4185 PARAMETER REP85 REPORT ON GROUNDWATER BALANCE PER ACRE OFF CCA (AF
FRESH .SEEP-RAIN 0.077 0.111 0.064 0.085 0.104 0.045 0.029 0.057
FRESH .SEEP-PTW 0.053 0.248 0.416 0.294 0.522 0.206 0.233 0.912
FRESH .SEEP-GTW 0.263 0.030 0.373 0.194 0.072 0.005 0.046
FRESH .SEEP-CANAL 0.836 0.534 0.631 0.504 0.414 0.570 0.390 0.525
FRESH .SEEP-WCFLD 1.322 0.673 0.802 0.677 0.678 1.296 0.829 1.365
FRESH . SEEP-LINK 0.112 0.037 0.244 0.247
FRESH .SEEP-RIVER -1.9005E-16 -0.076 -0.034 -0.027 -0.245 0.130 0.065 0.066
FRESH .P-TUBWELL 0.242 0.883 1.825 1.295 2.361 0.737 0.970 3.268
FRESH .G-TUBWELL 0.674 0.098 1.021 0.548 0.165 0.014 0.104
FRESH .TOT-INF 2.288 1.866 1.947 2.150 1.915 2.319 1.550 2.971
FRESH .TOT-OUTF 0.242 1.557 1.923 2.317 2.909 0.903 0.984 3.372
FRESH.INF-OUTF 2.046 0.309 0.024 -0.167 -0.995 1.416 0.566 -0.400
FRESH .P-EVAP-GW 0.366 0.347 0.224 0.180 0.094 0.657 0.762 0.691
FRESH .EVAP-GW 0.366 0.309 0.024 0.180 0.094 0.657 0.566 0.691
FRESH .BALANCE 1.680 -0.347 -1.089 0.760 -1.092
SALINE. SEEP-RAIN 0.111 0.064 0.085 0.045 0.029 0.057 0.072
SALINE. SEEP-CANAL 0.709 0.669 0.537 0.633 0.464 0.509 0.556
SALINE.SEEP-WCFLD 0.829 1.005 0.672 1.400 0.866 1.360 1.038
SALINE.SEEP-LINK 0.112 0.037 0.244
SALINE.SEEP-RIVER -0.076 -0.034 -0.027 0.130 0.065 0.066 I.J)
SALINE.TOT-INF 1.687 1.742 1. 511 2.208 1.424 1.993 1.666 N
SALI NE. INF -OUTF 1.687 1.742 1 .511 2.208 1.424 1.993 1.666 (XI
4185 PARAMETER REP85 REPORT ON GROUNDWATER BALANCE PER ACRE OFF CCA (AF )
FRESH .COW-MILK 46.760 15.584 209.143 43.948 91.270 55.881 62. 180 12.009
FRESH .BUFF-MILK 73.024 514.931 29.755 712.859 978.046 131.398 25.768
FRESH .MEAT 4.792 16.339 34.715 26.248 42.190 7.808 8.223 2.110
SALINE .COW-MI LK 2.049 22.456 9.578 66.729 51.890 49.359 125.660
SALINE.BUFF-MILK 112.229 230.837 116.113 233.626 457.744 185.048 357.216
SALINE. MEAT 3.328 9.768 4.881 8.337 19.539 9.089 15.344
TOTAL .COW-MILK 46.760 17.633 231.599 53.526 91.270 122.610 114.070 61.368 125.660
TOTAL .BUFF-MILK 73.024 627.160 260.592 828.972 978.046 365.024 457.744 210.816 357.216
TOTAL .MEAT 4.792 19.667 44.482 31.129 42.190 16.145 27.762 11.199 15.344
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 583
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4226 PARAMETER FSALEP FINANCIAL SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
BASMATI 6.000, IRRI 2.900, COTTON 4.500, GRAM 3.900, MAIZE 1.600, MUS+RAP 3.750
SC-MILL 0.300, SC-GUR 3.000, WHEAT 2.000, ORCHARD 4.800, POTATOES 2.600, ONIONS 2.900
CHILLI 10.000, COW-MILK 5.400, BUFF-MILK 5.400, MEAT 13.800
4226 PARAMETER PP 9.000 FINANCIAL PURCHASE PRICE OF PROTEIN (RS PER KGS)
w
W
4226 PARAMETER SEEDP FINANCIAL SEED PRICE (RS PER KGS) I-'
BASMATI 5.000, IRRI 2.500, COTTON 5.500, RAB-FOD 40.000, GRAM 5.700, MAIZE 4.000
MUS+RAP 4.300, KHA FOD 2.500, SC-MILL 0.200, SC-GUR 0.200, WHEAT 2.900, POTATOES 2.600
ONIONS 2.900, CHILLI 10 000
NITROGEN 5.800, PHOSPHATE 7.000, PROTEIN 9.000, TWINVT 10000.000, TRINVT 25000.000
TWOPC 225.000, TROPC 45.000
4226 PARAMETER ESALEP ECONOMIC SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
BASMATI 6.000, IRRI 2.400. COTTON 6.000, GRAM 3.800, MAIZE 0.600, MUS+RAP 3.400
SC-MILL 0.210, SC-GUR 3.000, WHEAT 2.200, ORCHARD 4.300, POTATOES 2.600, ONIONS 2.900
CHILLI 10.000, COW-MILK 2.460, BUFF-MILK 3.240, MEAT 14.400
BASMATI 7.000, IRRI 3.700, COTTON 6.700, RAB-FOD 36.000, GRAM 5.100, MAIZE 7.000
MUS+RAP 5.900, KHA-FOD 2.250, SC-MILL 0.430, SC-GUR 0.430, WHEAT 3.600, POTATOES 2.600
ONIONS 2.900, CHILLI 10.000
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 584
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
NITROGEN 8.300, PHOSPHATE 10.900, PROTEIN 9.000, TWINVT 10000.000. TRINVT 25000.000
TWOPC 170.000, TROPC 50.000
4226 PARAMETER EPP 9.000 ECONOMIC PRICE OF PROTEIN CONCENTRATE (RS PER KGS)
SC-MILL 0.500
BASMATI 4.800, IRRI 2.300, COTTON 4.500, WHEAT 2.000, ONIONS 2.800
NWFP 1.400
PMW 0.297 U)
U)
PCW 105.270 588.000 1.716 N
PSW 0.561
PRW 250.000 213.730 0.126
SCWN 82.880 2.113
SRWN 511.940 1.590
SCWS 29.120 1. 166
SRWS 203.060 0.424
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 585
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
ALL ZERO
ALL ZERO
4245 PARAMETER REP120 COST OF IMPORTS ARTIFICIAL WATER AND FODDER (MILLION RUPEES)
IMP-COST
TOTAL 598.854
4271 THIS REPORT IS MEANINGFUL WITH THE COMPLETE INDUS MODEL ONLY
RIVER-INF 2.500 2.839 5.246 9.370 13.345 18.826 30.781 30.766 12.942
TRIB-INF 0.170 0.174 0.313 0.301 0.639 0.883 1.318 1.373 0.432
TOT-INFLOW 2.670 3.013 5.559 9.671 13.984 19.709 32.099 32.139 13.374
RES-EVAP 0.005 0.013 0.012 0.014 0.028 0.045 0.014 0.001 0.023
LINK-LOSS 0.298 0.429 0.466 0.358 0.459 0.465 0.362 0.290 0.292
RIVER-LOSS -0.850 -0.862 -1.022 -0.982 1.087 -1.824 2.978 -1.483 -8.963
CANAL-DIV 4.559 6.224 7.813 7.270 10.399 14.832 14.937 13.041 13.516
TO-SEA 2.627 2.261 10.226 17.262 8.507
BALNCE -1. 343 -2.792 1 .711 3.011 -0.615 3.931 3.582 3.027 3.856251E-6
ALL ZERO
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISR3 11/21/89 12:59:58 PAGE 587
E X E CUT I N G GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4275 VARIABLE ARTWATER.L WATER FROM IMAGINARY SOURCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
ALL ZERO)
ALL ZERO
4275 VARIABLE ARTFOO.L ARTIFICIAL FODDER SUPPLY EQUAl VALENT OF RAB-FOD (000 TONNS)
ALL ZERO
w
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VI
- 336
- 338
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W
10
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM5 01/23/90 16:29: 19 PAGE 102
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
w
~
o
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM6 01/23/90 16:29:35 PAGE 102
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
t.)
.c:
....
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM7 01/23/90 16:29:44 PAGE 102
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
U)
.l!
N
Appendix A.5
This file contains the equation and model specification. Set PSR and
PSR1 contains the prices scenarios for the model.
This file is excuted after the data setup (WSISD* ) setup as GAMS RESTART.
...,
"'"
V1
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 78
MODEL SETUP GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3173 SETS
3174 PSR(PS) PRICE SCENARIO FOR THE MODEL(FINANCIAL PRICES) /87-88 /
3175 PSR1(PS) PRICE SCENARIO FOR REPORT(ECONOMIC PRICES) /87-88 /
3176 Z1(Z) ZONE SELECTION FOR THIS RUN
3177 / NWFP,PMW,PCW,PSW,PRW,SCWN.SCWS,SRWN,SRWS /
3178 *
3179 * TOTAL COMODITIES ARE 18,
3180 * WITH ENDOGENOUS PRICES= 13, FIXED PRICES=2, FODDER=2
3181 * CONSUMPTION ONLY = 1
3182
3183 CN(CO) COMODITIES ENDOGENOUS PRICES
3184 /BASMATI, IRRI. COTTON.
3185 GRAM, MAIZE, MUS+RAP.
3186 SC-MILL, WHEAT. POTATOES.
3187 ONIONS, CHI LLI ,
3188 COW-MILK. BUFF-MILK /
3189 CCN(CO) CROP COMODITIES WITH ENDOGENOUS PRICES
3190 /BASMATI, IRRI, COTTON,
3191 GRAM, MAIZE. MUS+RAP,
3192 SC-MILL, WHEAT, POTATOES.
3193 ONIONS, CHILLI /
3194 ON(CO) LIVESTOCK COMODITIES ENDOGENOUS PRICES
3195 /COW-MILK, BUFF-MILK/
3196 NCN(CO) CROPS WITH FIXED PRICES EXCLUDING FODDER
3197 /ORCHARD, MEAT / Vol
.po.
3201
3204 ,
3208
3215 ,
3216 SCALARS BIG BIG NUMBER USED FOR ARTIFICAL PRODUCTION /4000/
3219 PARAMETER
3224
3228 FSALEP(CO) FINANCIAL SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
3287
3288 SCALARS
3289 TOLCNL ALLOWED DEVIATION FROM PROPORTIONAL ALLOCATION BY CANAL /0.0 /
3290 TOLPR ALLOWED DEVIATION FROM PROPORTIONAL ALLOCATION BY PROVINCE / 0.0 /
3291 TOLNWFP NWFP DIVERSION TOLERANCE / 0 /
3292
3293 *
3294 PARAMETER BETA(CQ,Zl) GRADIENT COMODITIES DEMAND CURVE
3295 ALPHA(CQ,Zl) DEMAND CURVE INTECEPT
3296 ,
3297 SCALAR BETAF BETA FACTOR /.5 / ;
3298 BETA(CN,Z1 )$DEMAND(Z1 ,CN) FSALEP(CN) / DEMAND(Z1 ,CN) / ELAST(CN) ;
3299 ALPHA(CN,Z1 ) = FSALEP(CN) - BETA(CN,Z1 )*DEMAND(Zl ,CN)
3300
3301 * LINEARIZATION OF THE DEMAND FUNCTION.
3302
3303 SET P GRID POINTS FOR LINEARIZATION / 1*20 /
3304 PARAMETER
3305 PMAX(CQ,Zl) MAXIMUM PRICE FOR SEGMENTS
3306 PMIN(CQ,Zl) MINIMUM PRICE FOR SEGMENTS
3307 QMAX(CQ.Z1) MAX NATIONAL CONSUMPTION
3308 QMIN(CQ.Z1) MIN NATIONAL CONSUMPTION
3309 INCR(CQ,Z1) INCREMENT
3310 WS( CQ. Z 1, P) WELFARE SEGMENTS (MILLION RUPEES)
3311 RS(CQ,Zl.P) REVENUE DEFINITION (MILLION RUPEES) w
.j:l
3312 QS(CQ,Zl,P) QUANTITY DEFINITION(THOUSAND TONS OR MILLION LITERS) Q)
3313 ENDPR(CQ.Z1,P) PRICE (RUPEES PER KGS OR LITER )
3314
3315 PMIN(CN,Zl) = 0.5*FSALEP(CN) ;
3316 PMAX(CN,Zl) = MIN(ALPHA(CN,Zl), 2*FSALEP(CN) ) ;
3317 * PMAX(CE,Zl) = MIN(ALPHA(CE.Z1 ),2*FSALEP(CE) ) ;
3318 * PMIN(CE.Z1) = FSALEP(CE);
3319 QMIN(CN,Zl)$BETA(CN.Z1 ) = (PMAX(CN,Zl )-ALPHA(CN,Z1 /BETA(CN,Zl );
3320 QMAX(CN,Zl)$BETA(CN.Z1 ) = (PMIN(CN,Zl )-ALPHA(CN,Z1 /BETA(CN.Z1 );
3321 INCR(CN,Zl) (QMAX(CN.Z1 )-QMIN(CN.Z1 /(CARD(P)-l);
3322
3323 QS(CN.Z1,P) = QMIN(CN,Zl) + INCR(CN.Z1)*(ORD(P)-1);
3324 WS(CN.Z1,P) = ALPHA(CN,Zl)*OS(CN.Z1.P) + BETAF*BETA(CN,Z1)*SQR(QS(CN.Z1,P
3325 RS(CN,Zl,P) = ALPHA(CN,Zl)*QS(CN.Z1,P) + BETA(CN,Zl)*SQR(QS(CN,Zl,P;
3326 ENDPR(CN,Zl,P)= ALPHA(CN,Z1) + BETA(CN.Z1)*QS(CN.Z1.P);
3327 *DISPLAY PMAX. PMIN. QMAX, QMIN,INCR, QS, WS. RS, ENDPR ;
3328 *-
3329 *DISPLAY ALPHA , BETA
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 81
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3357 ARTFOD(Zl,G, SEA) ARTIFICIAL FOOOER SUPPLY EQUAIVALENT OF RAB-FOD (000 TONNS)
3358 ARTWATER(Z.G.M) WATER FROM IMAGINARY SOURCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
3362
3363 EQUATIONS
3364 OB.JZ OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE ZONE MODEL LINEAR VERSION (MI LLION RUPEES)
3365 OBJZN OBJECT! VE FUNCTION FOR THE ZONE MODEL NON-LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
3366 OBJN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE INDUS MODEL LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
3367 OBJNN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE INDUS MODEL NON-LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
3368 COST(Z,G) ANNUAL FARM COST (MILLION RUPEES)
3369 CONV(CQ,Z) CONVEX COMBINATION FOR AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
3370 DEMNAT(CQ,Z) PROVINCIAL DEMAND BALANCE LINEAR (000 TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
3371 DEMNATN(CQ,Z) ZONAL DEMAND BALANCE NON-LINEAR (000 TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
3372 CCOMBAL(Z,G,C) COMMODITY BALANCES FOR CROPS (000 TONS)
3373 QCOMBAL(Z,G.Q) LIVESTOCK COMODITY BALANCES (000 TONS OR M LITERS)
3374 CONSBAL(Z.G.CQ) CONSUMPTION BALANCE (000 TONS OR M LITERS)
3375 LABORC(Z,G,M) MONTHLY LABOR CONSTRAINT (MILLION MAN HOURS)
3376 FODDER(Z,G,SEA) SEASONAL MAINTENANCE OF FODDER SUPPLIES (000 METRIC TONS)
3377 PROTEIN(Z,G,SEA) PROTEIN REQUIREMENTS OF LIVESTOCK BY SEASON (000 METRIC TONS)
3378 GRNFDR(Z.G,SEA) GREEN FODDER REQUIREMENTS (000 METRIC TONS)
3379 BDRAFT(Z.G,M) BULLOCK DRAFT POWER CONSTRAINT (MILLION BULLOCK HOURS)
3380 BREPCO(Z,G) BULLOCK REPRODUCTION CONSTRAINT
3381 BULLOCKC(Zl) BULLOCK POPULATION CONSTRAINT (000 BULLOCKS)
3382 TDRAFT(Z,G,M) TRACTOR DRAFT POWER BALANCE (000 TRACTOR HOURS)
3383 TRCAPC(Z,M) TRACTOR CAPACITY CONSTRAINT (000 TRACTOR HOURS)
3384 TWCAPC(Z,M) TUBEWELL CAPACITY CONSTRAINT (KAF)
3385 LANDC(Z,G,M) LAND CONSTRAINT (000 ACRES)
3386 ORCHAREAC(Z) ORCHARD AREA CONSTRAINT (000 ACRES)
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE B2
3387 SCMILLC( Z)
SUGAR CANE TO MILL CONSTRAINT (000 ACRES)
338B WATERBALN(Z,G,M)
WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE (KAF)
3389 WATALCZ(Z,G,M)
SURFACE WATER BY ZONE (KAF)
3390 SUBIRRC(Z.G,M)
SUBIRRIGATION CONSTRAINT (KAF)
3391 NBAL(N,M)
WATER BALANCE AT A NODE (MAF)
3392 WATALCSEA(CNL.SEA)
WATER ALLOCATIONS BY SEASON (MAF)
3393 DIVSEA(SEA)
TOTAL CANAL DIVERSIONS IN SIND AND PUNJAB (MAF)
3394 DIVCNLSEA(CNL,SEA)
CANAL DIVERSION BY SEASON (MAF)
3395 WATALCPRO(PV,SEA)
WATER ALLOCATION BY PROVINCE (MAF)
3396 PRSEAW(PV,SEA)
DIVERSIONS BY PROVINCE AND SEASON (MAF)
3397 NWFPALC(M)
WATER ALLOCATIONS TO THE NWFP ACZ (MAF)
3398
w
VI
o
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISMll 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 83
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
3400 OBJZ ..
3401 CPS =E=
3402 SUM(Z1, SUM(G$EX(Zl,G), SUM(NCN, FSALEP(NCN)*PRODT(Z1,G,NCN) )
3403 ACOST(Z1,G) SUM(SEA, ARTFOD(Z1,G,SEA*PAFOD
3451 SUM(G$EX(Zl.G).
3461
3463 SUM(G$EX(Zl.G),
3461
3469
3411
3412 CONSBAl(Zl,G,CC)$(EX(Zl,G)$TECHC(Zl,CC) ) ..
3414
3411
V\
3483
3488 ARTFOO(Zl,G.SEA)*SCONV("OP","RABI","RAB-FOO");
3489
3491 YIElO(CF,T,S,W,Z1)*SCONV("TON",SEA,CF)*X(Zl,G,CF,T,S,W) ) +
3493 WEEOY(ZI,SEA,C)*SCONV("TON","RABI","RAB-FOO")*X(ZI,G,C,T,S,W) ) +
3495
3498
3500
3502
3504
3501
3508 TWCAPC(Zl,M)$EX(ZI,"FRESH") ..
3509
3511
3579
3580 MODEL WSISZN AGROCLIMATIC ZONES MODEL NON-LINEAR OBJECTIVE /
3591 NBAL /
3592 w
VI
3593 MODEL WSISNN IBMR MODEL WITH WATER NETWORK NON-LINEAR / .t:
3594 OBJNN, COST, DEMNATN, CCOMBAL, QCOMBAL.
3595 CONSBAL. LABORC, FODDER, PROTEIN, GRNFDR, BDRAFT .
3596 BREPCO, TDRAFT , TRCAPC. TWCAPC, LANDC, ORCHAREAC,
3597 WATERBALN, WATALCZ, SUBIRRC,
3599 NBAL /
3600
3601 ,
3602 OPTION ITERLIM 25000; OPTION RESLIM 900
3605
3606 *- RIVER FLOW TESTS
3607 TRIB("CHASMA-R","TAUNSA-B",M) = 0 :
3608 TRIB("TARBELA-RM,"KALABAGH-R",M) = 0 :
3609 INFLOW("HARO,M) = 0; INFLOW("SOAN",M) 0
3610
3611
3612
*
* YEAR 2000 RUN
3613 * RESTART FROM WSISD2
3614 * DIVERSIONS PROPORTIONAL TO POST TARBELA AVERAGE (SHARES BY SEASON)
3615 * INVESTMENTS ARE ALLOWED
3616
3617 * NOTE: INFLOWS FROM RAVI AND SUTLEJ RIVER ARE SET TO ZERO HERE.
3618 INFLOW("RAVI",M) = 0; INFLOW("SUTLEJ,M) = 0 ;
3619
3620 *
3621 * IRRIGATION CANAL CAPICITY BOUNDS
3622 CANALDIV.UP(CNL,M) = SUM(ISR, COMDEF(ISR, "CCAP",CNL)
3623
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 87
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
I..IJ
VI
VI
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 88
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
A SET REF 3336 2*3451 2*3470 2*3476 2*3478 2*3484 2*3490 CONTROL 3451 3470 3476
3478 3484 3490
ACOST VAR DECLARED 3333 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3403 3413 3424 3436 3447
ALPHA PARAM DECLARED 3295 ASSIGNED 3299 REF 3316 3319 3320 3324 3325 3326 3418
3441
ANIMAL VAR DECLARED 3336 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3451 3470 3476 3478 3484 3490 3497
2*3499 3501
ARTFOD VAR DECLARED 3357 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3403 3413 3424 3436 3482 3488 3494
ARTWATER VAR DECLARED 3358 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3404 3414 3425 3437 3524
ARTWATERND VAR DECLARED 3359 IMPL-ASN 3640 ASSIGNED 3561 REF 3430 3443 3558
BDRAFT EQU DECLARED 3379 DEFINED 3496 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3576 3582 3587 3595
BETA PARAM DECLARED 3294 ASSIGNED 3298 REF 3299 2*3319 2*3320 3324 3325 3326 3419
3442
BETAF PARAM DECLARED 3297 DEFINED 3297 REF 3324 3419 3442
BIG PARAM DECLARED 3216 DEFINED 3216 REF 3405 3415 3426 3438
BP PARAM REF 3497
BREPCD EQU DECLARED 3380 DEFINED 3499 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3577 3583 3588 3596
BULLOCK PARAM REF 3496
BULLOCKC EQU DECLARED 3381 DEFINED 3501
C SET REF 3209 3231 3233 3238 3240 3245 3253 2*3255 3264 2*3266 3277
3282 3283 3335 3372 2*3447 4*3448 5*3468 3*3475 3478 4*3479 3480 3*3485
3*3486 3492 2*3493 3*3496 3*3503 3*3512 3520 2*3521 3522 3*3547 CONTROL 3253 I,,)
3255 3264 3266 3277 3282 3283 3447 3468 3475 3478 3485 3492 VI
3496 3503 3512 3520 3547 0\
CANALDIV VAR DECLARED 3350 IMPL-ASN 3640 ASSIGNED 3622 3634 REF 3527 3530 3543 3558
CC SET REF 3458 3464 3472 3*3473 CONTROL 3472
CCN SET DECLARED 3189 DEFINED 3190 REF 3206
CCOMBAL EQU DECLARED 3372 DEFINED 3468 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3575 3581 3586 3594
CE SET DECLARED 3198 DEFINED 3199 REF 3206 3*3407 3*3417 3*3428 3*3440 3459 3465
3570 3632 CONTROL 3407 3417 3428 3440 3570 3632
CF SET REF 3490 3*3491 CONTROL 3284 3490
CM SET DECLARED 3200 DEFINED 3200 REF 3206 3*3406 3*3416 3*3427 3*3439 3459 3465
CONTROL 3406 3416 3427 3439
CN SET DECLARED 3183 DEFINED 3184 REF 3206 4*3298 3*3299 3315 2*3316 4*3319 4*3320
2*3321 2*3323 4*3324 4*3325 3*3326 3*3408 3*3418 2*3419 3*3429 3*3441 2*3442 2*3454
3460 3466 CONTROL 3298 3299 3315 3316 3319 3320 3321 3323 3324
3325 3326 3408 3418 3429 3441 3454
CNEFF PARAM REF 3527
CNF SET REF 3468
CNL SET REF 3350 3351 3392 3394 2*3526 4*3527 2*3530 2*3543 2*3558 3622 3634
CONTROL 3526 3529 3543 3558 3622 3634
CNLDIVSEA VAR DECLARED 3351 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3530 3533 3538
CNLl SET REF 3532 3533 3537 3538 CONTROL 3532 3536
COMDEF PARAM REF 3622 3634
CONSBAL EQU DECLARED 3374 DEFINED 3472 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3576 3582 3587 3595
CONSRATIO PARAM REF 3569
CONSUMP VAR DECLARED 3341 IMPL-ASN 3640 ASSIGNED 3569 REF 3458 3464 3473
CONV EQU DECLARED 3369 DEFINED 3454 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3575 3586
COST EQU DECLARED 3368 DEFINED 3447 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3575 3581 3586 3594
CPS VAR DECLARED 3331 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3401 3411 3422 3434 3640
CO SET REF 3183 3189 3194 3196 3198 3200 3203 3206 3228 3235 3242
3243 3249 3256 3257 3260 3294 3295 3305 3306 3307 3308 3309
3310 3311 3312 3313 3337 3338 3339 3340 3341 3360 3361 3369
3370 3371 3374 2*3405 2*3415 2*3426 2*3438 3456 4*3458 4*3459 3*3460 3462
INDUS BASIN MOOEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 89
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
4*3464 4*3465 2*3466 3569 CONTROL 3249 3256 3257 3260 3405 3415 3426
3438 3456 3462 3569
DEMAND PARAM REF 2*3298 3299
DEMNAT EQU DECLARED 3370 DEFINED 3456 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3575 3586
DEMNATN EQU DECLARED 3371 DEFINED 3462 REF 3581 3594
DIVCNLSEA EQU DECLARED 3394 DEFINED 3529 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3590 3598
DIVNWFP PARAM DECLARED 3220 DEF INED 3221 REF 3544
DIVSEA EQU DECLARED 3393 DEFINED 3534 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3590 3598
ECNSDWTPR PARAM REF 3264 2*3266
EFRZ PARAM REF 3277
ELAST PARAM REF 3298
EMISC PARAM DECLARED 3237 ASSIGNED 3263
EMISCCT PARAM DECLARED 3240 ASSIGNED 3266
ENDPR PARAM DECLARED 3313 ASSIGNED 3326
EPP PARAM DECLARED 3236 ASSIGNED 3261
ESALEP PARAM DECLARED 3235 ASSIGNED 3260
ESEEDP PARAM DECLARED 3238 ASSIGNED 3264
EWAGE PARAM DECLARED 3239 ASSIGNED 3265
EX SET DECLARED 3202 ASSIGNED 3205 REF 3206 3402 3412 3423 3435 3447 3457
3463 3468 3470 3472 3475 3478 3484 3490 3496 3499 3501 3503
2*3505 3508 3512 3514 3516 3519 3526 3546
EXPLlMIT PARAM ASSIGNED 3631 REF 3570 3632 w
EXPORT VAR DECLARED 3340 IMPL-ASN 3640 ASSIGNED 3570 3632 REF 3407 3417 3428 3440 l/1
3459 3465 --..I
EXPORTP PARAM DECLARED 3243 ASSIGNED 3257 REF 3407 3417 3428 3440
F VAR DECLARED 3348 IMPL-ASN 3640 ASSIGNED 3562 3563 REF 3431 3444 3553 3554
3555 3557
FAMILYL VAR DECLARED 3342 IMPL-ASN 3640 ASSIGNED 3566 REF 3453 3476
FARMCONS PARAM REF 3569
FERT PARAM REF 3207 3447
FINSDWTPR PARAM REF 3253 2*3255
FODDER EQU DECLARED 3376 DEFINED 3478 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3576 3582 3587 3595
FSALEP PARAM DECLARED 3228 ASSIGNED 3249 REF 3298 3299 3315 3316 3402 3412 3423
3435
G SET REF 3202 3205 3333 3334 3335 3336 3337 3338 3341 3342 3343
3346 3347 3354 3355 3356 3357 3358 3368 3372 3373 3374 3375
3376 3377 3378 3379 3380 3382 3385 3388 3389 3390 2*3402 2*3403
3404 3405 2*3412 2*3413 3414 3415 2*3423 2*3424 3425 3426 2*3435 2*3436
3437 3438 2*3447 3448 2*3449 2*3450 3451 3452 2*3453 3457 3*3458 3463
3*3464 3*3468 3*3470 3472 3*3473 2*3475 3*3476 2*3478 3480 3481 3482 3*3484
3486 3487 3488 2*3490 3491 3493 3494 2*3496 3497 3*3499 2*3501 3*3503
3*3505 2*3506 3*3512 3513 2*3514 2*3516 3519 2*3522 2*3523 2*3524 3*3526 3*3546
3547 3566 3569 CONTRDL 3205 3402 3412 3423 3435 3447 3457 3463
3468 3470 3472 3475 3478 3484 3490 3496 3499 3501 3503 2*3505
3512 3514 3516 3519 3526 3546 3566 3569 3571 3629
GF SET REF 3449 3450 3523
GR PARAM REF 3490
GRAZ PARAM REF 3481 3487
GRNFDR EQU DECLARED 3378 DEFINED 3490 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3576 3582 3587 3595
GS SET REF 3546
GWFG SET REF 3526
GWT1 PARAM REF 3523
HIREDL VAR DECLARED 3343 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3453 3476
I SET REF 2*3550 CONTROL 3550
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 90
SYMBOL USTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
IMPORT VAR DECLAREO 3339 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3406 3416 3427 3439 3459 3465
IMPORTP PARAM DECLARED 3242 ASSIGNED 3256 REF 3406 3416 3427 3439
INCR PARAM DECLARED 3309 ASSIGNED 3321 REF 3323
INFLOW PARAM ASSIGNED 2*3609 2*3618 REF 3550
IOUVE PARAM REF 3451 3470 3476 3478 3484 3490
ISR SET REF 3622 3634 CONTROL 3622 3634
ITR VAR DECLARED 3346 IMPL-ASN 3640 ASSIGNED 3571 3629 REF 3450 3506
ITW VAR DECLARED 3344 IMPL-ASN 3640 ASSIGNED 3571 3630 REF 3450 3510
LABFAC PARAM REF 3453
LABOR PARAM REF 3475
LABORC EQU DECLARED 3375 DEFINED 3475 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3576 3582 3587 3595
LAND PARAM REF 3512 3521
LANDC EQU DECLARED 3385 DEFINED 3512 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3577 3583 3588 3596
LCEFF PARAM REF 2*3553 3555
LSTD PARAM REF 3566
M SET REF 3220 3232 3239 3245 3254 3265 2*3277 3342 3343 3345 3347
3348 3349 3350 3354 3355 3356 3358 3359 3375 3379 3382 3383
3384 3385 3388 3389 3390 3391 3397 3404 3414 3425 2*3430 3431
3437 2*3443 3444 2*3449 3*3453 3475 2*3476 2*3481 2*3487 3496 3497 2*3503
3505 3510 2*3512 3*3521 3522 3*3523 2*3524 3526 2*3527 2*3530 3543 3544
3546 3547 3550 2*3551 3553 3554 3555 4*3557 2*3558 3627 3628
CONTROL
3475
3254
3481
3265
3487
3277
3496
3404
3503
3414
3505
3425
3508
3430
3512
3437
3519
3443
3526
3449
3530
3453
3543
...,
VI
3546 3549 3561 3562 3563 3566 3607 3608 2*3609 2*3618 3622 3627 0)
3628 3634
MAX FUNCT REF 3277 3521
MIN FUNCT REF 3316
MISC PARAM DECLARED 3230 ASSIGNED 3252 REF 3447 2*3449 2*3450
MISCCT PARAM DECLARED 3233 ASSIGNED 3255 REF 3448
N SET REF 3225 3348 3349 3359 3391 4*3430 4*3443 3549 3550 4*3551 3552
3*3553 2*3554 3*3555 3556 5*3557 2*3558 2*3563 2*3627 2*3628 CONTROL 3430 3443
3549 3561 3562 3563 3627 3628
NAT VAR DECLARED 3360 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3408 3429 3454 3460
NUN VAR DECLARED 3361 REF 3418 3419 3441 3442 3466
NB SET REF 3549
NBAL EQU DECLARED 3391 DEFINED 3549 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3591 3599
NC SET REF 3558
NCAP PARAM REF 2*3563
NCN SET DECLARED 3196 DEFINED 3197 REF 3206 2*3402 2*3412 2*3423 2*3435 CDNTROL 3402
3412 3423 3435
NI SET REF 3550
NN SET REF 3552 3556
NTWUCAP PARAM REF 3510
NWFPALC EQU DECLARED 3397 DEF INED 3543 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3590 3598
Nl SET REF 3348 2*3551 3552 3*3553 2*3554 2*3555 3556 3557 2*3563 CONTROL 3551
3552 3556 3562 3563
OBJN EQU DECLARED 3366 DEFINED 3421 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3586
OBJNN EQU DECLARED 3367 DEFINED 3433 REF 3594
OBJZ EQU DECLARED 3364 DEFINED 3400 REF 3575
OBJZN EQU DECLARED 3365 DEFINED 3410 REF 3581
ORCHAREA PARAM REF 3514
ORCHAREAC EQU DECLARED 3386 DEFINED 3514 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3577 3583 3588 3596
P SET DECLARED 3303 DEFINED 3303 REF 3310 3311 3312 3313 3321 3323 2*3324
2*3325 3326 3360 2*3408 2*3429 3454 2*3460 CONTROL 3323 3324 3325 3326
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 91
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
2*3487 3488 3491 3493 3494 2*3530 3532 3533 2*3535 2*3537 3538 2*3540
3541 CONTROL 3403 3413 3424 3436 3452 3478 3484 3490 3529 3531
3534 3536 3539
SEAM SET REF 3481 3487 3530
SEEDP PARAM DECLARED 3231 ASSIGNED 3253 REF 3448
SLKLAND VAR DECLARED 3355 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3481 3487 3512
SLKWATER VAR DECLARED 3356 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3522
SQR FUNCT REF 3324 3325 3419 3442
SUBDEF PARAM REF 3527
SUBIRRC EQU DECLARED 3390 DEFINED 3546 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3578 3584 3589 3597
SUBIRRFAC PARAM REF 3547
SUBIRRZ PARAM REF 3521
SYLDS PARAM REF 3448 3479 3485
T SET REF 3209 3245 3277 3282 3283 3335 3447 2*3448 3*3468 3*3475 3478
2*3479 3480 3*3485 3486 3490 2*3491 3492 3493 3*3496 3*3503 3*3512 2*3514
3520 2*3521 3522 3*3547 CONTROL 3277 3279 3280 3282 3283 3447 3468
3475 3478 3485 3490 3492 3496 3503 3512 3514 3520 3547
TCDIVSEA VAR DECLARED 3353 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3535 3537 3540
TDRAFT EQU DECLARED 3382 DEFINED 3503 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3577 3583 3588 3596
TEC PARAM DECLARED 3209 DEFINED 3209 ASSIGNED 3279 3280 REF 3282
TECH SET ASSIGNED 3282 REF 3283 3447 3468 3475 3478 3485 3490 3492 3496
3503 3512 3514 3520 3547
U)
TECHC SET DECLARED 3203 ASSIGNED 3283 2*3284 REF 3286 3405 3406 3407 3408 3415 0\
3416 3417 3418 3426 3427 3428 3429 3438 3439 3440 3441 3454 0
3456 3462 3472
TOLCNL PARAM DECLARED 3289 DEFINED 3289 ASSIGNED 3637 REF 3537
TOLNWFP PARAM DECLARED 3291 DEFINED 3291 ASSIGNED 3636 REF 3544
TOLPR PARAM DECLARED 3290 DEFINED 3290 ASSIGNED 3638 REF 3540
TRACTOR PARAM REF 3503
TRCAP PARAM REF 3506
TRCAPC EQU DECLARED 3383 DEFINED 3505 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3577 3583 3588 3596
TRIB PARAM ASSIGNED 3607 3608 REF 2*3551
TS VAR DECLARED 3347 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3449 3503 3505
TW VAR DECLARED 3345 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3449 3510 3523
TWCAPC EQU DECLARED 3384 DEFINED 3508 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3577 3583 3588 3596
TWEFFZ PAR AM REF 3523
W SET REF 3209 3245 3277 3282 3283 3335 3447 2*3448 3*3468 3*3475 3478
2*3479 3480 3*3485 3486 3490 2*3491 3492 3493 3*3496 3*3503 3*3512 2*3514
3520 2*3521 3522 3*3547 CONTROL 3277 3279 3280 3282 3283 3447 3468
3475 3478 3485 3490 3492 3496 3503 3512 3514 3520 3547
WAGE PARAM DECLARED 3232 ASSIGNED 3254 REF 3453
WAGEPS PARAM REF 3254 3265
WATALCPRO EQU DECLARED 3395 DEFINED 3539 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3590 3598
WATALCSEA EQU DECLARED 3392 DEFINED 3536 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3590 3598
WATALCZ EQU DECLARED 3389 DEFINED 3526 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3578 3584 3589 3597
WATER PARAM REF 3277
WATERBALN EQU DECLARED 3388 DEFINED 3519 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3578 3584 3589 3597
WCEFF PARAM REF 3527
WDIVRZ VAR DECLARED 3354 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3524 3526 3546
WEEDY PARAM REF 3479 3486 3493
WNR PARAM DECLARED 3245 ASSIGNED 3277 REF 3521 3547
WS PARAM DECLARED 3310 ASSIGNED 3324 REF 3408 3429
WSISN MODEL DECLARED 3585 DEFINED 3585 IMPL-ASN 3640 REF 3640
WSISNN MODEL DECLARED 3593 DEFINED 3593
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 93
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
SETS
A ANIMAL TYPES
C CROPS
CC CONSUMABLE COMODITIES
CCN CROP COMODITIES WITH ENDOGENOUS PRICES
CE EXPORTABLE COMODITIES
CF FODDER CROPS
CM COMODITIES WHICH COULD BE IMPORTED
CN COMODITIES ENDOGENOUS PRICES
CNF NON-FODDER CROPS
CNL IRRIGATION CANALS IN THE INDUS RIVER IRRIGATION SYSTEM
CNL1 CANALS EXCLUDING NWFP CANALS
CQ CROP AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
EX TO CHECK FRESH OR SALINE AREA WITHIN A ZONE
G GROUND WATER QUALITY TYPES
GF FRESH GROUND WATER SUB-ZONE
GS SALINE GROUND WATER SUB-ZONE
GWFG SUBAREA IDENTIFICATION BY THE GROUNDWATER QUALITY
I SYSTEM INFLOWS
ISR IRRIGATION SYSTEM SCENARIO FOR THIS RUN
M MONTHS
N NODES OF THE INDUS RIVER SYSTEM
NB
NC NODE TO CANAL MAP
NCN CROPS WITH FIXED PRICES EXCLUDING FODDER
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED(IBMR) FILENAME~WSISM11 01/23/90 16:30:22 PAGE 94
SYMBOL LISTING GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
SETS
NI NODE TO RIM STATION INFLOW MAP
NN WATER FLOW SYSTEM NODE TO NODE
N1 ALIASED WITH N
P GRID PDINTS FOR LINEARIZATION
PS PRICE SECENARIOS
PSR PRICE SCENARIO FOR THE NODEL(FINANCIAL PRICES)
PSR1 PRICE SCENARIO FOR REPORT(ECONOMIC PRICES)
PV PROVINCES AND COUNTRY
PVCNL PROVINCE TO CANALS MAP
PV2 PUNJAB ANO SIND
P1
P2
Q LIVESTOCK COMODITIES
QN LIVESTOCK COMODITIES ENDOGENOUS PRICES
S SEQUENCE
SA SUBAREAS
SEA SEASONS
SEAM MAPPING FROM SEASONS TO MONTHS
T TECHNOLOGY
TECH TECHNOLOGY AVAILABILITY INDICATOR
TECHC COMODITIES BY ZONES
W WATER STRESS LEVEL
Z AGROCLIMATIC ZONES Vol
ZSA CANAL-SUBAREA TO AGROCLIMATIC ZDNE MAPPING 0\
N
Z1 ZONE SELECTION FOR THIS RUN
PARAMETERS
ALPHA DEMAND CURVE INTECEPT
ESALEP ECONOMIC SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
PARAMETERS
PARAMETERS
TRIB TRIBUTARY INFLOWS FOR THIS RUN (MAF)
VARIABLES
ACOST FARM COST IN (MILLION RUPEES)
W
EXPORT EXPORT OF COMODITIES (000 METRIC TONNS) 0'1
IMPORT IMPORT OF COMODITIES (CROP COMM. 000 M. TONS LIVESTOCK MILL. KGS OR LITERS)
PRODT PRODUCTION (CROP COMMODITIES 000 METRIC TONS LIVESTOCK COMM MILL. KGS OR LITERS)
EQUATIONS
BDRAFT BULLOCK DRAFT POWER CONSTRAINT (MILLION BULLOCK HOURS)
EQUATIONS
COST ANNUAL FARM COST (MILLION RUPEES)
DEMNAT PROVINCIAL DEMANO BALANCE LINEAR (000 TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
DEMNATN ZONAL DEMAND BALANCE NON-LINEAR (000 TONS OR MILLION LITERS)
DIVCNLSEA CANAL DIVERSION BY SEASON (MAF)
DIVSEA TOTAL CANAL DIVERSIONS IN SIND AND PUNJAB (MAF)
OBJN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE INDUS MODEL LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
OBJNN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE INDUS MODEL NON-LINEAR VERSION (MI LLION RUPEES)
DBJZ OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE ZONE MOOEL LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
OBJZN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION FOR THE ZONE MODEL NON-LINEAR VERSION (MILLION RUPEES)
MODELS
WSISN IBMR MODEL WITH WATER NETWORK LINEAR
WSISNN IBMR MODEL WITH WATER NETWORK NON-LINEAR
WSISZ AGROCLIMATIC ZONES MODEL LINEAR OBJECTIVE
WSISZN AGROCLIMATIC ZONES MODEL NON-LINEAR OBJECTIVE
U>
0\
0\
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM13 01/23/90 16:30:45 PAGE 98
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
W
01
..."
INDUS BASIN MODEL REVISED (IBMR) FILENAME=WSISM14 01/23/90 16:30:53 PAGE 98
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
- 370
3 * JAN 2 , 1990 *
4 SETS
5 CQ CROP AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
8 WHEAT
10 C(CQ) CROPS /
13 COTTON
15 GRAM
16 MAIZE
17 MUS+RAP
19 WHEAT /
23
42 BULLOCKS
43 COWS
44 BUFFALOS /
52 SA SUBAREAS /S1*S4/
55 JUL,AUG,SEP,OCT,NOV,DEC,RABI,KHARIF,ANNUAL/
57 JUL,AUG,SEP,OCT,NOV,DEC/
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALALi) 01/08/90 16:36:42 PAGE 2
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
59 WCE-R. (OCT,NOV,DEC,JAN,FEB,MAR)
60 WCE-K. (APR,MAY,JUN,JUL,AUG,SEP)/
61 SEA(M1) SEASONS /RABI, KHARIF /
62 SEAM(SEA,M) MAPPING FROM SEASONS TO MONTHS/
63 RABI. (OCT,NOV.DEC.JAN.FEB.MAR)
64 KHARIF.(APR.MAY,JUN.JUL,AUG,SEP)/
65 SEAl /RABI, KHARIF. ANNUAL/
66 SEA1M(SEA1,M) /RABI. (OCT,NOV.OEC.JAN,FEB.MAR)
67 KHARIF.(APR.MAY.JUN.JUL.AUG.SEP)/
68 CI CROP INPUT OUTPUTS / STRAW-YLO. SEED /
69 P2 / NITROGEN. PHOSPHATE /
70 A ANIMAL TYPES / COW. BULLOCK, BUFFALO /
71 AI ANIMALS INPUT OUTPUT /TON, OP. LABOR, COW-MILK, BUFF-MILK, MEAT /
72 Q(CQ) LIVESTDCK COMODITIES /COW-MILK MILK FROM CATTLE COW
79 *-
80 * CHANGE THE SET ISR TO SETUP DATA FOR DESIRED YEAR.
81 *
82 ISR(IS) IRRIGATION SYSTEM SCENARIO FOR THIS RUN /1988 /
89 SEA1M("ANNUAL-,M) = YES;
90
91
92 SET Z AGROCLIMATIC ZONE OF THE PROJECT AREA
93 /PSW PUNJAB SUGARCANE WHEAT /
94 CNL IRRIGATION CANAL NAME /JALALPUR/
95 GWFG(SA,G) GW TYPE FOR SUBAREAS / Sl.FRESH. S2.SALINE/
96
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:42 PAGE 3
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
154 KHA-FOD .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 18.5 1.8 2.5 25.5 4.5 27.5 2.5 1.2
155 KHA-FOD .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 5.5 1.2 1 7 7. 4.5 4. 2. 1.5
156 WHEAT . BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 4.4 2.7 2.4 62.9 26.9 18.3 23.1 4.
157 WHEAT .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 4.4 2.7 2.4 56.8 24.3 3.4 11.6 4.
158
159 TABLE WATER(C,T.S,W,M) WATER REQUIREMENTS(ACER FT PER ACRE)
160
161 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
162 BASMATI .BULLOCK .STANDARD.STANDARD 0.37 0.84 0.93 0.93 0.47
163 BASMATI .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 0.37 0.84 0.93 0.93 0.47
164 IRRI .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 0.33 0.79 0.89 0.89 0.47
165 IRRI .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 0.33 o 79 0.89 0.89 0.47
166 COTTON .BULLOCK .STANDARD.STANDARD 0.19 0.23 0.28 0.37 0.37 0.23 0.09
167 COTTON .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 0.19 0.23 0.28 0.37 0.37 0.23 0.09
168 RAB-FOD .BULLOCK .STANDARD.STANDARD 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.35 0.25 0.15 0.15
169 RAB-FOD .SEMI-MECH STANDARD. STANDARD 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.35 0.25 0.15 0.15
170 GRAM .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.15 0.1
171 GRAM .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.15 0.1
172 MAIZE .BULLDCK .STANDARD.STANDARD 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2
173 MAIZE SEMI-MECH. STANDARD. STANDARD 0.15 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.25
174 MUS+RAP .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
175 MUS+RAP .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
176 KHA-FOD .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 0.15 0.25 0.35 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2
177 KHA-FOD .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 0.15 0.25 0.35 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2
178 WHEAT .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 0.23 0.37 0.42 0.19 0.19 0.19 w
......
179 WHEAT .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 0.23 0.37 0.42 0.19 0.19 0.19 .j::
180
181 TABLE TRACTOR(C,T,S,W,M) TRACTOR REQUIREMENTS(HRS PER ACRE)
182
183 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
184 BASMATI .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 3.3 1.8 1.5 0.5
185 IRRI .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 2.3 1.9 1. 0.5
186 COTTON .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 1.66 1.98 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
187 RAB-FOD .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 3. 3. 3. 1.5 1.5 1. 91 1. 23 1.5
188 GRAM .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 3.75 1.25 0.7
189 MAIZE .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 1.68 1.4 2.5
190 MUS+RAP .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 1. 1. 1. 1.25 1. 11 1. 1
191 KHA-FOD .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 2. 0.5 1.5 1. 2. 1.2 0.8 0.5
192 WHEAT .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 0.7 0.7 3.4 3.
193
194 TABLE SYLDS(C,T,S,W.CI) STRAW YIELD (PROPORTION OF YLD) AND SEED INPUT(KG) PER ACRE
195
196 STRAW-YLD SEED
197 BASMATI .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 2.12 6.40
198 BASMATI .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 2.12 6.40
199 IRRI .BULLOCK .STANDARD.STANDARD 1.80 7.10
200 IRRI .SEMI-MECH. STANDARD. STANDARD 1.80 7.10
201 COTTON . BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 9.00
202 COTTON .SEMI-MECH. STANDARD. STANDARD 9.00
203 RAB-FOD .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 1.00 2.00
204 RAB-FOD .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 1.00 2.00
205 GRAM .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 1.52 14.00
206 GRAM .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 1. 52 14.00
207 MAIZE .BULLOCK . STANDARD. STANDARD 2.50 6.10
208 MAIZE .SEMI-MECH.STANDARD.STANDARD 2.50 6.10
209 MUS+RAP .BULLOCK .STANDARD.STANDARD 0.65 2.40
-
--. --,..
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALAL1)
-"---
01/08/90 16:36:42
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
PAGE 5
Ir ..
. ,.
'"
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:42 PAGE 1
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
378
* WAGES. FERTILIZER AND OTHER INPUT PRICES
379
SET P1 / NITROGEN. PHOSPHATE. PROTEIN. TWINVT. TRINVT,TWOPC.TROPC/
380
P11 /FINANCIAL. ECONOMIC /
381
382
TABLE PRI1(PS.P11.P1) FERTILIZER TUBEWELL TRACTOR AND PROTEIN PRICES
383
384
* FERTILIZER AND PROTEIN PRICES ARE IN RS/KG. TWINVT AND TRINVT ARE
385
* ANNUALIZED COST FOR A TUBEWELL AND TRACTOR (RUPEES)
386
* TWOPC AND TROPC ARE COST OF TUBEWELL WATER(RS/ACRE FOOT) AND
387
* COST OF TRACTOR (RS/TRACTOR HOUR)
388
*
389
NITROGEN PHOSPHATE PROTEIN TWINVT TRINVT TWOPC TROPC
390
87-88. FINANCIAL 5.8 7.0 9. 10000 25000 225 45.
391
87-88. ECONOMIC 8.3 10.9 9. 10000 25000 170 50.
392
393
TABLE WAGEPS(PS.P11,M) WAGE RATES RS PER MAN HOUR
394
395
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
396
87-88.FINANCIAL 3. 3. 3. 6. 6. 3. 3. 3. 3. 6. 6. 3.
397
87-88.ECONOMIC 2.75 2.75 2.75 5. 5. 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 5. 5. 2.75
398
399
* MISCELLANEOUS PARAMETRES
400
SCALARS
401
LSTD STANDARD LABOR LIMIT ( HOURS PER MONTH ) /200 /
402
TRCAP TRACTOR CAPACITY IN TRACTOR HOURS PER MONTH /250 / W
403
TWCAP NAMEPLATE CAPACITY OF THE PRIVATE TW(AF PER MONTH) /59.5041/ -..J
Q)
404
NTWUCAP EFFECTIVE CAPACITY OF NEW TUBEWELLS(AF PER MONTH)
405
ETWUCAP EFFECTIVE CAPACITY OF NEW TUBEWELLS(AF PER MONTH)
406
TWEFAC FACTOR TO CONVERT WC LOSSES TO FROM PRIVATE TW LOSSES / 0.5 /
407
LABFAC FACTOR TO CONVERT WAGE TO THE RESERVATION WAGE / 0.5 /
408
REPCO REPRODUCTIVE COEFFICIENT / 2.5 /
409
GR REQUIRED PROPORTION OF GREEN FODDER IN TOTAL FODDER / 0 /
410
GROWTHQ GROWTH (PERCENT) FOR LIESTOCK COMODITIES /2.5 /
411
COWF ADJUSTMENT FACTOR FOR COWS POPULATION IN THE IRRIGATED AREAS/.5/
412
BUFF ADJUSTMENT FACTOR FOR BUFFLOES POP. IN THE IRRIGATED AREAS/.8/
413
DRC RUN-OF PORTION OF RAINFALL /.15/
414
THE1 PORTION OF EQUAIFER EVAPORATION USED BY CROPS / .6 /
415
416
417
PARAMETER
418
BP(M) DRAFT POWER PER BULLOCK(HRS PER MONTH)
419
YIELD(C,T,S,W) CROP YIELDS
420
421
422
* CHANGE BULLOCK REQUIREMENTS FROM BULLOCK PAIR TO BULLOCKS
423
BP(M)=96; BP("MAY")=77; BP("JUN")=77;
424
BULLOCK(C.T,S,W,M) = 2*BULLOCK(C,T.S.W,M) ;
425
426
FERT(C.W.P2) = FERT(C,W.P2)*SUM(IS$ISR(IS),
427
( 1+GROWTH 1(C. "FERTGR" ) / 100) ** (ORD(I S)+ 1979 -BASEY EAR ) );
428
429
YIELD(C. T. "STANDARD". "STANDARD") = NATVIELD(C, "NATYIELD" )/1000
430
*NATYIELD(C, "YLDPRPV")*NATYIELD(C, "YLDPRZS");
431
432
YIELD(C,T,S,W) YIELD(C.T,S.W)* SUM(IS$ISR(IS).
433
( 1+GROWTH 1(C. "GROWTHCY" ) /100) ** (ORD(I S)+ 1979 -BASE YEAR ) )
II>
~ALALPUR CANAL PRO~ECT (WITHOUT PRO~ECT FILE= JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:42 PAGE 9
GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
435 (1+GROWTHQ/100)**(ORo(IS)+1979-BASEYEAR
);
436 SETS
437 FTT(R1) /FARMPOP,FARMHH,TRACTORS,TUBEWELLS,TWC,BULLOCKS,COWS,BUFFALOS/
438 SR1(oC) /CCA, CCAP /
439 ,
440 PARAMETER
441 RESOURCE(G,R1) ENDOWMENTS BY ACZ AND GROUNDWATER QUALITY
442 EQEVAPZ(M) EVAPORATION FROM THE EQUAIFER BY ACZ (FEET)
443 SUBIRRZ(M) SUBIRRIGATION BY ACZ (FEET)
444 EFRZ(M) EFFECTIVE RAIN BY ACZ (FEET)
445 CNEFF CANAL EFF. FROM CANAL HEAD TO THE W-C HEAD
446 WCEFF(M) WATERCOURSE COMMAND DELIVERY EFFICIENCY
447 TWEFFZ(M) WEIGHTED PRIVATE TUBEWELL DELIVERY EFFICIENCY BY ZONE
448 RATIOFS(G) FRESH AND SALINE CCA AS A PROPORTION OFF TOTAL
449 ,
450 LOOP(ISR,
451
452 RESOURCE(G,SR1) = SUM(SA$GWFG(SA,G), COMDEF(ISR,SR1)*SUBDEF(SA) );
453 EFRZ(M) = (1.0 - DRC - (1-COMDEF(ISR,"FLDP)*ER("RAIN",M)/12.0;
463 (RESOURCE("FRESH","CCA")+RESOURCE("SALINE","CCA";
464
465 RESOURCE(G,FTT) = RES88(FTT,"RES88")*RATIOFS(G)*
467 (ORO(IS)+1979-BASEYEAR;
469 RESOURCE("FRESH","TUBEWELLS")$RESOURCE("FRESH","CCA") =
471 RESOURCE("SALINE","TUBEWELLS") = 0 ;
485 DISPLAY RESOURCE, SUBIRRZ, EFRZ, CNEFF, WCEFF, TWEFFZ, RATIOFS, FERT, YIELD, SYLOS;
486
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALALi) 01/08/90 16:36:42 PAGE 10
MODEL SETUP GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
488 SETS
491
492
493 PARAMETER
494
495 FSALEP(CQ FINANCIAL SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
502
503 ESALEP(CQ ECONOMIC SALE PRICE FOR CROP AND LIVESTOCK COMODITIES (RS PER KG OR PER LITER)
510 ,
511 LOOP (PSR,
\.0)
512 FSALEP(CQ PRICES(PSR,CQ,"FINANCIAL") ; CD
513 PP PRI1(PSR,"FINANCIAL","PROTEIN"); o
514
515 MISC(P1) PRI1(PSR,"FINANCIAL",P1)
522 );
523 LOOP (PSR1,
526
527 EMISC(P1) PRI1(PSR1,"ECONOMIC",P1)
532 ECANALCOST(C,"RAINFEO") = 0 ;
534 ) ;
535
536 TECH(C,T,S,W)$SUM(M, LANO(C,T,S,W,M YES
540 *
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:42 PAGE 11
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
576
577
578
579 OBJF .. CPS =E= SUM(G, SUM(CQ, FSALEP(CQ)*PRODT(G,CQ ACOST(G;
580
581 COST(G).. ACOST(G) =E=
582 (SUMC,T,S.W)$TECH(C,T,S,W).
590
591 CCOMBAL(G,C)$CNF(C) ..
592 SUMT,S.W)$TECH(C,T.S,W),
594
595 QCOMBAL(G.Q).. PRODT(G,Q) =E=
597
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:42 PAGE 12
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
598 LABORC(G,M) ..
599 (SUM( (C,T,S,W)$TECH(C,T,S,W), LABOR(C,T,S.W.M)*X(G.C.T.S.W) ) +
600 SUM( A, IOLIVE (A, "LABOR" )*ANIMAL(G. A)/ 1000 =L=
601 FAMILYL(G.M)+HIREDL(G.M);
602
603 FODDER(G,SEA) .. SUM(A, IOLIVE(A,"TDN")*ANIMAL(G,A =L=
604 SUM( (C,T,S,W)$TECH(C,T,S,W), (
605 YIELD(C,T,S,W)*SYLDS(C,T,S,W,"STRAW-YLD")*SCONV(C,"TDN",SEA) + WEEDY(C,SEA)*
606 SCONV( .. RAB-FOD ..... TDN" ... RABI .. ) ) * X(G.C.T.S.W) ) +
607 SUM(M$SEAM(SEA.M). SLKLAND(G.M)*WEEDY("GRAZ".SEA*SCONV("RAB-FOD"."TDN"."RABI")
608
609 PROTEIN(G.SEA) .. SUM(A. IOLIVE(A,"DP")*ANIMAL(G.A =L=
610 PPC(G,SEA)+
611 SUM( (C,T,S.W)$TECH(C.T.S.W). (YIELD(C.T,S,W)*SYLDS(C,T,S,W,"STRAW-YLD")*
612 SCONV(C,"DP",SEA) + WEEDY(C,SEA)*SCONV("RAB-FOD","DP","RABI") )*X(G,C,T,S,W) )+
613 SUM(M$SEAM(SEA.M). SLKLAND(G.M)*WEEDY("GRAZ",SEA*SCONV("RAB-FOD","DP", " RABI")
614
615 GRNFDR(G,SEA) .. GR*SUM(A, IOLIVE(A,"TDN")*ANIMAL(G,A =L=
616 SUM( (CF,T,S,W)$TECH(CF,T,S,W),
617 YIELD(CF.T.S.W)*SCONV(CF."TDN".SEA)*X(G,CF.T,S,W) ) +
618 SUM( (C,T,S,W)$TECH(C,T,S,W),
619 WEEDY(C,SEA)*SCONV("RAB-FOD","TDN","RABI")*X(G,C,T,S,W) );
620
621 BDRAFT(G,M) ..
622 SUMC,T.S,W)$TECH(C,T,S,W), BULLOCK(C,T,S.W.M)*X(G,C,T.S,W) )/1000 lJ,)
CO
623 =L= BP(M)*ANIMAL(G, "BULLOCK" )/1000 ; N
624
625 BREPCO(G) .. ANIMAL(G,"BULLOCK") =L= REPCO*ANIMAL(G, "COW .. )
626
627 BULLOCKC .. SUM(G, ANIMAL(G,"BULLOCK") )=L= RES88("BULLOCKS","RES88");
628
629 TDRAFT(G,M) ..
630 SUMC,T.S,W)$TECH(C,T,S,W),
631 TRACTOR(C,T,S,W,M)*X(G,C,T,S,W) =E= TS(G,M) ;
632
633 TRCAPC(M).. SUM(G, TS(G,M =L= SUM(G,
634 (RESOURCE(G, "TRACTORS")/loo0 + ITR(G*TRCAP ) ;
635
636 TWCAPC(M)$GF("FRESH") .. TW(M) =L= RESOURCE("FRESH", "TWC")+NTWUCAP*ITW;
637
638 LANDC(G,M) ..
639 SUMC,T,S,W)$TECH(C,T,S,W),
640 LAND(C,T,S,W,M)*X(G,C,T,S,W + SLKLAND(G,M)=E=
641 RESOURCE (G, "CCA" ) * 1000
642
643 WATERBALN(G,M) ..
644 SUMC,T.S,W)$TECH(C,T,S,W).
645 MAX( (WATER(C,T.S.W,M)-EFRZ(M)-SUBIRRZ(M)*LAND(C,T,S,W,M) ),0.)
646 *X(G,C,T,S,W+SLKWATER(G,M) =E=
647 TWEFFZ(M)*TW(M)$GF(G) + WDIVR(G,M)*CNEFF*WCEFF(M)*1000
648
649 * BOUNDS ON FAMILY LABOR
650 FAMILYL.UP(G,M) = RESOURCE(G, "FARMPOP")*LSTD/l000
651
652 * WITHOUT PROJECT CASE - SET DIVERSIONS, WATER CHARGES AND
653 * INVESTMENTS TO ZERO
..
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:42 PAGE 13
EQUATIONS AND VARIABLES GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
654 WDIVR.FX(G,M) = 0 ;
655 CANALCOST(C,W) = 0 ;
656 ECANALCOST(C,W) = 0 ;
657 ITR.FX(G)= 0 ; ITW.FX 0
658 *
659 MODEL WSISF JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT - FIXED PRICE MODEL /
660 OBJF, COST, CCOMBAL, QCOMBAL,
661 LABORC. FODDER, PROTEIN, GRNFDR,
662 BDRAFT, BREPCO, TDRAFT, TRCAPC,
663 TWCAPC, LANDC, WATERBALN /
664
665 OPTION ITERLIM = 25000; OPTION RESLIM 900
666 OPTION LIMROW=O; OPTION LIMCOL=O
667 *
668 SOLVE WSISF MAXIMIZING CPS USING LP
669 * END OF SOURCE CODE
w
0)
w
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITH PROJECT FILE=JALAL2) 01/08/90 16:37:09 PAGE 30
GAMS 2.21 IBM eMS
w
(I)
.::
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE= JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:56 PAGE 30
COM P I L A T ION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
670
SETS
671
SEAC(SEA,C) SEASON TO CROP MAP I
672
RABI. (MUS+RAP, RAB-FOD, GRAM, WHEAT)
673
KHARIF.(BASMATI, IRRI, MAIZE, KHA-FOD, COTTON) I
674
RRl IGPV,VAL-ADDED,FARM-INC,FL-COST,HL-COST,SEED-COST,
675
FERT-COST,MISCC-COST,CNL-W-COST,TW-OPC,TR-OPC,TW-INVT,TR INVT
676
ANIML-COST,PROT-COST, TOTAL-COSTI
677
R9 ISEEP-RAIN, SEEP-PTW, SEEP-GTW, SEEP-CANAL,
678
SEEP-WCFLD,SEEP-LINK,SEEP-RIVER,P-TUBWELL,G-TUBWELL
679
TOT-INF, TOT-OUTF, INF-OUTF, P-EVAP-GW, EVAP-GW,BALANCE I
680
R2(RR1) IFL-COST,HL-COST,SEED-COST,FERT-COST,MISCC-COST,CNL-W-COST
681
TW-OPC,TR-OPC,TW-INVT,TR-INVT,ANIML-COST,PROT-COST,
682
TOTAL-COSTI
683
R17(RR1) IHL-COST,SEED-COST,FERT-COST,MISCC-COST,CNL-W-COST,TW-OPC,TR-OPC,
684
ANIML-COST,PROT-COST I
685
R18(RR1) IHL-COST,SEED-COST,FERT-COST,MISCC-COST,CNL-W-COST,TW-OPC,TR-OPC,
686
ANIML-COST,PROT-COST I
687
R3 IWATER-REQ, RAIN, SUBIRR, CANAL, P-TUBEWELL, G-TUBEWELL,
688
SLKWATER, TOT-SUPPLY I
689
R4(R3) ICANAL, RAIN, SUBIRR, P-TUBEWELL, G-TUBEWELL I
690
R6(R9) ISEEP-RAIN, SEEP-PTW, SEEP-GTW, SEEP-CANAL, SEEP-WCFLD,
691
SEEP-LINK,SEEP-RIVER I
692
R7(R9) Ip-TUBWELL, G-TUBWELL I
693
R8(RR1) IGPV, VAL-ADDED, FARM-INC, FL-COST, HL-COST, TOTAL-COST I
694
, w
Q)
695
SCALAR lJ1
696
SPFC PORTION OF CANAL LOSSES TO GROUNDWATER I 0.7 I
697
SPFWF PORTION OF WATERCOURSE AND FIELD LOSSES TO GW I 0.8 I
698
699
PARAMETER
700
CAT CROPPED AREA BY TECHNOLOGY(OOO ACRES)
701
CAC CROPPED AREA (000 ACRES)
702
REP45
703
REP48 FERTILIZER USE BY CROP (000 TONNS)
704
REP47
705
REP49
706
REP60
707
REP72, WYC
708
FLEFFZ WEIGHTED FIELD EFFICIENCY BY ZONE
709
710
FLEFFZ SUM(ISR, COMDEF (I SR, .. FLOE")
711
712
REP45(G,R1) RESOURCE(G,R1) ;
713
REP45("TOTAL",R1) SUM(G, REP45(G, Rl)
714
715
REP48(C.G ,P2) SUM( (T,S,W), X.L(G,C,T,S,W)*FERT(C,W,P2/1000
716
REP48(C, "TOTAL",P2) SUM(G, REP48(C,G,P2) );
717
REP48("TOTAL",T1,P2) SUM(C, REP48(C,Tl,P2) );
718
719
CAT(G,C,T,W) SUM (S, X.L(G.C,T,S,W) );
720
CAT("TOTAL",C,T,W) SUM (G. CAT(G,C.T,W ;
721
CAT(T1,C,"TOTAL","TOTAL") SUM ( (T,W), CAT(Tl,C,T,W
722
CAC(C,T1) CAT(Tl,C,"TOTAL","TOTAL") ;
723
CAC(SEA,T1) SUM(C$SEAC(SEA,C). CAC(C,Tl) );
724
CAC("ANNUAL",Tl) SUM(SEA, CAC(SEA,T1
725
REP47(M,G) SLKLAND.L(G,M);
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE~ JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:56 PAGE 31
COM P I L A T ION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
727
728 OPTION CAT:3:1:2.CAC:1, REP48:1:1:2, REP41:1;
729 DISPLAY Z ;
732
733 REP47(M,T1) = REP45(T1,"CCA")*1ooo REP47(M,T1)
735
736 WYC(C)$CAC(C,"TOTAL") = SUM ( (T,S,W), YIELD(C,T,S,W)*
737 SUM(G, X.L(G,C,T,S,W/CAC(C,"TOTAL")
738
'739 DISPLAY "WEIGHTED YIELD (METRIC TONNS)", WYC ;
741
742 REP47(M,T1) = 0.0 ;
745 REP41(A,T1)~0;
746
747 REP47(CO,G) = PRODT.L(G,CO) ;
748 REP47(CO,"TOTAL") = SUM(G, REP47(CO,G ;
749 DISPLAY "PRODUCTION; 000 TONS, MILK MILLION LITERS", REP47;
~
750 CO
751 * INCOME AND COST REPORT WITH FINACIAL PRICES 0\
752 * COST COMPONENTS
753 REP47(CQ,T1) = 0 ;
754 REP47("FL-COST" ,G) SUM(M, FAMILYL L(G,M)*WAGE(M) )*LABFAC*1000 ;
755 REP41("HL-COST" ,G) SUM(M, HIREDL.L(G,M) *WAGE(M*1ooo
756 REP47("SEED-COST" ,G) SUM( (C,T,S,W),
757 X.L(G,C,T,S,W)*SYLDS(C,T,S,W,"SEED")*SEEDP(C) );
758 REP47("FERT-COST" ,G) ~ SUM( (C,T,S,W,P2),X.L(G,C,T,S,W)*FERT(C,W,P2)*MISC(P2;
759 REP41("MISCC-COST",G) ~ SUM( (C,T,W), CAT(G,C,T,W)*MISCCT(C,W) );
760 REP47("CNL-W-COST",G) = SUMC,W), SUM(T, CAT(G,C,T,W*CANALCOST(C,W;
761 REP47("TW-OPC" ,"FRESH") = SUM(M, TW.L(M) *MISC("TWOPC"
762 REP47("TW-INVT u ,"FRESH") = ITW.L*MISC("TWINVT")
763 REP47("TR-OPC" ,G) SUM(M, TS.L(G,M)*MISC("TROPC"
764 REP47("TR-INVT" ,G) ITR.L(G)*MISC("TRINVT");
165 REP47C"ANIML-COST",G) = SUM(A, IOLIVE(A,"FIX-COST")*ANIMAL.L(G,A)
766 REP47C-PROT-COST" ,G) = SUM(SEA, PP*PPC.L(G,SEA*1000
767 REP47C"TOTAL-COST",G) = SUM(R2, REP47(R2,G) ) ;
768 * CONVERT ALL COSTS TO MILLIONS OF RUPEES
774
775 *- REPORT ON PER ACRE AND PER FARM HOUSEHOLD (RUPEES)
778 DISPLAY "INCOME AND COST PER ACRE OF CCA(FINACIAL PRICES RUPEES)",REP49;
779
780 REP49(R8,T1) = 0 ;
.
.. ..
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE: JALAL1) 01/08/90 16:36:56 PAGE 32
COM P I L A T ION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
782 DISPLAY "INCOME AND COST /FARM HOUSEHOLD(FlNACIAL PRICES RUPEES)" ,REP49;
783 REP49(R8,T1)" 0 ;
784
785 * INCOME AND COST REPORT WITH ECONOMIC PRICES
786 * COST COMPONENTS
787 REP47(CQ,Tt)" 0 ;
788 REP47( HFL-COST" ,G) SUM(M, FAMI LYL. L( G. M)*EWAGE (M) ) *LABFAC* 1000 ;
789 REP47( HHL-COST" ,G) SUM(M, HIREDL. L(G.M) *EWAGE(M) )*1000
790 REP47("SEED-COST" ,G) SUM( (C,T,S,W), X.L(G,C,T,S.W)*
791 SYLDS(C,T,S,W,"SEED")*ESEEDP(C) );
792 REP47("FERT-COST" ,G) SUMC,T,S,W,P2),X.L(G,C,T.S,W)*FERT(C,W,P2)*EMISC(P2;
793 REP47(HMISCC-COST",G) SUM( (C,T,W', CAT(G,C,T,W'*EMISCCT(C,W) );
794 REP47("CNL-W-COST",G) SUM( (C,T,W), CAT(G,C,T,W)*ECANALCOST(C,W;
795 REP47(uTW-OPC" ,"FRESH") = SUM(M, TW.L(M)*EMISC("TWOPC"
796 REP47("TW-INVT" ,"FRESH")" ITW.L*EMISC(uTWINVT")
797 REP47("TR-OPC" ,G) SUM(M. TS.L(G,M)*EMISC("TROPC"
798 REP47("TR-INVT" ,G) ITR.L(G)*EMISC("TRINVT");
799 REP47("ANIML-COST",G) = SUM(A, IOLIVE(A,"FIX-COST")*ANIMAL.L(G,A)
800 REP47("PROT-COST" ,G) " SUM(SEA, EPP*PPC.L(G,SEA*1000
801 REP47("TOTAL-COST" ,G) " SUM(R2. REP47(R2,Gi ) ;
802 * CONVERT ALL COSTS TO MILLIONS OF RUPEES
803 REP47(R2,G) REP47(R2,G)/1oo0;
804 REP47( "GPV" ,G) SUM(CO, ESALEP(CO'*PRODT. L(G,CO) ) ;
805 REP47("VAL-ADDED" ,G, = REP47("GPV",G) -SUM(R17, REP47(R17,G;
lo)
806 REP47(RR1,"TOTAL") SUM(G, REP47(RR1,G)'; Q>
807 DISPLAY "INCOME AND COST(ECONOMIC PRICES MILLION RUPEES)", REP47 .....,
808
809 * REPORT ON PER ACRE AND PER FARM HOUSEHOLD (RUPEES)
810 OPTION REP49:1;
811 REP49(R8,T1)$REP45(T1,"CCA") = REP47(R8,T1)/REP45(T1,"CCA") ,
812 OISPLAY "INCOME AND COST PER ACRE OF CCA(ECONOMIC PRICES RUPEES)",REP49;
813
814 REP49(R8,T1)" 0 ;
815 REP49(R8,T1)$REP45(T1,"FARMHH") = REP47(R8,T1)*1000/REP45(T1,"FARMHH");
816 DISPLAY "INCOME AND COST PER FARM HOUSEHOLD(ECONOMIC RUPEES)", REP49;
817 REP49(R8,T1) = 0 ;
818
819 REP49(M,G) = FAMILYL.L(G,M) ; REP49(M,"TOTAL") " SUM(G, REP49(M,G;
820 REP49(SEA1,T1)" SUM(M$SEA1M(SEA1,M), REP49(M,T1 ;
821 DISPLAY "FAMILY LABOR (MILLION HOURS)", REP49 ;
822
823 REP49(M,G)" HIREDL.L(G,M) ; REP49(M,"TOTAL", = SUM(G. REP49(M,G;
824 REP49(SEA1,T1, = SUM(M$SEA1M(SEA1,M). REP49(M,T1
825 DISPLAY "HIRED LABOR (MILLION HOURS)", REP49 ;
826
827 * REPORT ON WATER BALANCE AT THE ROOT ZONE
828 REP60(G,"WATER-REO",M) = SUM( (C,T,S,W), X.L(G,C,T,S,W)*WATER(C,T,S,W,M) );
829 REP60(G, "RAIN",M) - SUM( (C,T,S,W), MIN(WATER(C,T,S,W,M),EFRZ(M
830 *X.L(G,C,T,S,W) , ;
831 REP60(G,"SUBIRR",M, SUM( (C,T,S,W),
832 MIN( MAX( (WATER(C,T,S,W,M)-EFRZ(M ,0),
833 SUBIRRZ(M)*LAND(C,T,S,W,M) )* X.L(G,C,T,S,W) ) ;
834
835 REP60(G, "CANAL" ,M) " WDIVR.L(G,M)*CNEFF*WCEFF(M)*l000
836 REP60("FRESH","P-TUBEWELL",M," TW.L(M)*TWEFFZ(M)
837 REP60(G,"SLKWATER",M) "SLKWATER.L(G,M)
JALALPUR CANAL PROJECT (WITHOUT PROJECT FILE~ JALALi) 01/08/90 16:36:56 PAGE 33
COM P I L A T ION GAMS 2.21 IBM CMS
. "
MAP SECTION
11
Arohion
'OfQ' S e 0
\ . HUBDAM
HUB
KARACHI
.,
,I:...
"
,
;
A
,