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automvil 3 puertas
automvil 3 puertas
Demanda
X X*Y X2
(Y)
1 70 70 1
2 75 150 4
3 73 219 9
4 77 308 16
5 75 375 25
6 78 468 36
21 448 1590 91
promedios 3,5 74,6666667 265 15,1666667
= =
2
2
= 1,25714286
= 70,27
Luego la ecuacin es
= 1.25714286 + 70.27
La proyeccin de la demanda para los 6 meses siguientes segn el modelo de regresin
lineal para el modelo es:
pronostico
mes
Y=x+
71,5238129 1
72,7809557 2
74,0380986 3
75,2952414 4
76,5523843 5
77,8095271 6
79,06667 7
80,3238129 8
81,5809557 9
82,8380986 10
84,0952414 11
85,3523843 12
GRAFICO
automvil 5 puertas
automvil 5 puertas
Demanda
X X*Y X2
(Y)
1 45 45 1
2 42 84 4
3 44 132 9
4 42 168 16
5 45 225 25
6 47 282 36
21 265 936 91
promedios 3,5 44,1666667 156 15,1666667
= =
2
2
= 0,48571429
= 42,4666667
pronostico
X
Y=x+
1 42,9524384
2 43,4382099
3 43,9239813
4 44,4097527
5 44,8955241
6 45,3812956
7 45,867067
8 46,3528384
9 46,8386099
10 47,3243813
11 47,8101527
12 48,2959241
GRAFICO
camioneta 4 puertas
camioneta 4 puertas
Demanda
X X*Y X2
(Y)
1 19 19 1
2 17 34 4
3 19 57 9
4 15 60 16
5 17 85 25
6 15 90 36
21 102 345 91
promedios 3,5 17 57,5 15,1666667
= =
2
2
= -0,68571429
= 19,4
Luego la ecuacin es = 0,68571429X + 19.4
pronostico
X
Y=x+
1 18,7142857
2 18,0285714
3 17,3428571
4 16,6571428
5 15,9714286
6 15,2857143
7 14,6
8 13,9142857
9 13,2285714
10 12,5428571
11 11,8571428
12 11,1714285
camin 2 toneladas
camin 2 toneladas
Demanda
X X*Y X2
(Y)
1 17 17 1
2 19 38 4
3 19 57 9
4 18 72 16
5 15 75 25
6 15 90 36
21 103 349 91
promedios 3,5 17,1666667 58,1666667 15,1666667
= =
2
2
-
=
0,65714286
= 19,4666667
Luego la ecuacin es = 0,6571429X + 19.46667
pronostico
X
Y=x+
1 18,8095271
2 18,1523842
3 17,4952413
4 16,8380984
5 16,1809555
6 15,5238126
7 14,8666697
8 14,2095268
9 13,5523839
10 12,895241
11 12,2380981
12 11,5809552