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Abstract: The study investigated the relationship between liquidity and performance of Deposit Money Banks in
Nigeria. Specifically, the study investigated the effect of loan-to-deposit ratio and interest rate on return on equity of
DMBs in Nigeria. Loan-to-deposit ratio and interest rate served as the explanatory variables. On the other hand,
return on equity served as the dependent variable and served as a measure of performance in the DMBs. The study
covered the period 2005 to 2015 and data were collected from the Annual reports of First Bank Plc and Fidelity
Bank Plc. The study employed the Pooled (Panel) Least Squares (PLS) technique in order to investigate the
aggregate effect of liquidity on the selected Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) in Nigeria. Findings showed that
liquidity has a negative and insignificant relationship with DMBs performance in Nigeria while interest rate has a
positive and significant effect on DMBs performance in Nigeria. The study recommends that policy makers should
formulate and implement policies that would curb unnecessary risk taking in the banking industry so as to prevent
the banks from overshooting that threshold at which the loan-to-deposit ratio increases rather than decrease banks
performance.
Keywords: Loan-to-deposit ratio, Deposit Money Banks, Liquidity and Return on equity
I. Introduction
Most often than not, the influence of liquidity on the performance of banks is undermined. This stems from the
notion held by the traditional asset pricing models which asserts that the financial market is without frictions and
therefore liquidity is assumed not play any roles at all (Adler, 2012). In the context of the traditional asset pricing
model, the financial intermediaries were assumed to be stable because they had access to readily available funds and
they obtain these funds at low cost. This notion was popular among financial analysts prior to the outbreak of the
Global Financial Crisis (GFC). However, the importance of liquidity in the banking industry came to the fore with
the happenings since the outbreak of the global financial crisis of 2008/2009. The banks became endangered species
as they were faced with huge distress simply because they undermined the importance of liquidity to the system and
therefore did not manage it efficiently (Tarraf & Majeske, 2014). It cannot go without noticing that the rapid
downward trend in market conditions helped to explain how quickly liquidity can disappear. More shocking, as
evidenced by the Global Financial Crisis, is the fact that illiquidity can drain already earned profits. This is because
the financial institutions are either forced to sell accumulated assets below their market value or they are forced to
borrow at interest rates that are well above their return on assets (performance). By and large, what began as credit
challenges for the United States sub-prime market alone virally exploded into challenges in global credit markets
with huge losses (Shen, Chen, Kao and Yeh, 2009). As a result of volatility experienced in the global credit markets,
financial market players became increasingly risk-averse and became unwilling to invest in any market other than
the ones where their returns are guaranteed. Their actions led to reduced levels of liquidity in the global financial
markets and adversely affected the banks performances (SARB, 2009).
Back home in Nigeria, the then Nigerian Governor of Central Bank assured Nigerians that the Nigerian banks
would not be affected even as liquidity challenges ravage other world financial institutions. His assurances came on
the heels of the robustness of Nigerian banks which he hinged on the much touted bank consolidation
(recapitalization) exercise of year 2005. Is the performance of Nigerian banks actually not affected by liquidity
challenges? This is the pertinent question that motivated the study.
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Liquidity and Deposit Money Banks Performance in Nigeria
backdrop that at a certain threshold the higher the loan-to-deposit ratio the higher the performance of the banks but
beyond this threshold high loan-to-deposit ratio adversely affects liquidity thereby undermining bank performance.
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Liquidity and Deposit Money Banks Performance in Nigeria
Sujeewa (2015) investigated the impact of credit risk management on the performance of commercial banks in
Sri Lanka. The study employed both descriptive and empirical tools as analytical methodologies. Specifically, the
study employed the Panel data analysis making use of data from 2009 to 2013. Return on assets served as the
measure of performance as well as the dependent variable while non-performing loans to total loans ratio, loan
provision to non-performing loan ratio, loan provision to total assets ratio and loan provision to total loans ratio
served as the measures of credit risk as well as the independent variables. Findings revealed that non-performing
loans and provisions have an adverse effect on commercial banks performance in Sri Lanka. Dhanuskodi (2014)
analyzed the effect of loan deposit ratio on profitability of banks in Malaysia. The study adopted data from 2009 to
2013 and employed a Panel data approach to empirically investigate the effect of loan-to-deposit ratio on return on
assets. The study revealed that there exist a positive and insignificant relationship between loan-to-deposit ratio and
profitability of commercial banks in Malaysia. Olarewaju and Adeyemi investigated the relationship between
liquidity and profitability of Nigeria Deposit Money Banks. The study employed the causality test and findings
showed that there exists a unidirectional relationship between liquidity and profitability in the DMBs with the flow
of direction of influence going from liquidity to profitability. The implication of this finding is that liquidity is a
strong determinant of the profitability of the DMBs in Nigeria.
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Liquidity and Deposit Money Banks Performance in Nigeria
Interest rate (INTR); Interest rate is used as a measure for monetary policy effect. It is captured as monetary policy
rate as stipulated by the Central Bank of Nigeria and used merely as a control variable in the study. It is described in
the study as: INTR = Monetary Policy rate (MPR)
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Liquidity and Deposit Money Banks Performance in Nigeria
Critical values:
(a) t statistic, t0.05 = 1.721
(b) F-statistic, F0.05 (2, 19) = 3.47
Source: Authors computation using E-views 8.0 software
The result in table 2 above can be summarized as:
ROE = -0.51 0.06LDR + 1.49INTR
t-statistic (-0.05) (-0.47) (2.59)
R-squared = 0.57
F-statistic = 3.54
DW-statistic = 1.82
The result summarized above is analyzed in line with the economic, statistical and econometric criteria.
First, the result shows that there is a negative and insignificant relationship between loan-to-deposit (proxy for
liquidity) and return on equity (proxy for performance) in DMBs in Nigeria. This result conforms to economic a
priori expectation and shows that one unit increase in the loan-to-deposit ratio (liquidity risk) leads to 0.06 unit fall
in the return on equity of Deposit Money Banks in Nigeria. The computed t-statistic for loan-to-deposit ratio (0.45)
in absolute terms is less than the critical t-statistic (1.72) at five percent level of significance. As a confirmation, the
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Liquidity and Deposit Money Banks Performance in Nigeria
probability value of loan-to-deposit ratio (0.6421) is greater than the test significant level (i.e. P > 0.05). We
conclude that loan-to-deposit ratio (liquidity risk) does not have significant effect on the performance of DMBs in
Nigeria. This finding conforms to economic theoretical expectation to the extent that as banks increase their loan-to-
deposit ratio, the riskier their operations become and if the credit risk management is not effective their performance
would be affected. Perhaps, this result is attributed to the increasing appetite of the banks to take uncertain risks
which have resulted in rising incidence of non-performing loans in the Nigerian banking industry. As the non-
performing loans increase, the performance of the banks reduces. As non-performing loans rise, liquidity squeeze
increases and the banks become unable to obtain sufficient fund either by increasing liabilities or converting its
assets promptly at a reasonable cost. All these ultimately undermine the performance of the bank. Despite the fact
that an increasing loan-to-deposit to a certain threshold may enhance the performance of banks, but beyond that
threshold an increase in loan-to-deposit ratio reduces the performance of the banks. This finding corroborates
Naceur and Kandil (2009) which established a negative and insignificant relationship between liquidity and financial
performance of banks.
Second, the result reveals that there is a negative and significant relationship between interest rate and
return on equity of Deposit Money Banks in Nigeria. By sign, this result conforms to economic a priori expectation
because an increase in interest rate charged on loans leads to a discouragement among borrowers thereby reducing
the performance of the banks. From the result, one unit rise in interest rate leads to 1.49 unit fall in the return on
equity (performance) of the Deposit Money Banks in Nigeria. However, the computed t-statistic for interest rate
(2.59) is less than the critical (tabulated) t-statistic (1.72) at five percent level of significance. As a confirmation, the
probability value of interest rate (0.0181) is less than the test significant level (i.e. P < 0.05). Hence, we conclude
that interest rate has an insignificant effect on the performance of Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) in Nigeria. This
relationship is not in line with economic expectation because it is expected that as interest rate increases, the cost of
borrowing increases leading to many borrowers becoming discouraged from borrowing. With a reduction in the
number of borrowers, the returns those transactions would have brought to the banks are reduced thereby reducing
the performance of the banks. This finding concurs with the findings of Okoye and Eze (2013) which argued that a
positive and significant relationship exists between monetary policy rate and performance of DMBs in Nigeria.
Perhaps, this outcome may be attributed to dearth of borrowing alternatives in Nigeria which makes the borrowers to
still approach the banks irrespective of the unfavourable interest rate regimes of the banks. As this trend continues
despite the high interest rate, the banks rake in more profits and their level of performance increases.
The coefficient of determination (Rsquared) shows that 57 percent of the variations in Deposit Money
Banks performance in Nigeria are due to changes in loan-to-deposit ratio and interest rate. Therefore, the remaining
43 percent are caused by changes in other factors not included in the model. The computed F-statistic (3.54) exceeds
the tabulated F-statistic (3.47) and this shows that the model adopted for the study is significant as well as reliable.
The Durbin Watson statistic (1.82) lies within the permissible region and indicates that there is no autocorrelation.
Interestingly, the Durbin Watson statistic is greater than the R squared and this confirms that the regression
result is not spurious.
V. Summary of Findings
The findings of the study are summarized below:
(i) There exists a negative relationship between loan-to-deposit ratio and performance of Deposit Money
Banks in Nigeria.
(ii) Loan-to-deposit ratio has an insignificant effect on the performance of Deposit Money Banks in
Nigeria.
(iii) There exists a positive relationship between interest rate and performance of Deposit Money Banks in
Nigeria.
(iv) Interest rate has a significant effect on the performance of Deposit Money Banks in Nigeria.
5.2 Conclusion
The study undertook to examine the relationship between liquidity and Deposit Money Banks performance in
Nigeria. To break the broad objectives into manageable specific objectives, the study investigated the effect of loan-
to-deposit ratio and interest rate on the return on equity. Loan-to-deposit ratio was used as a proxy for liquidity and
interest rate was adopted merely as a control variable and both of them served as the independent variables. On the
other hand, return on equity was used to measure performance of the DMBs and served as the dependent variable.
Findings in the study showed that loan-to-deposit reduces the performance of DMBs in Nigeria but its effect on the
banks is insignificant. Surprisingly, the study revealed that interest rate increases the performance of DMBs in
Nigeria and has a significant effect on DMBs performance in Nigeria. In conclusion, the study asserts that although
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Liquidity and Deposit Money Banks Performance in Nigeria
liquidity reduces the performance of the DMBs but it does not have significant effect on their performance in
Nigeria.
5.3 Recommendations
The study recommends the following based on its findings:
(i) Policy makers in the banking industry should formulate and implement policies that would discourage
unnecessary risk-taking by the banks in order not to overshoot that threshold at which loan-to-deposit
ratio starts to have diminishing returns.
(ii) Deposit Money Banks in Nigeria should sustain programmes and packages that would further attract
borrowers such that even if the interest rate remains high it would not undermine their performance.
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