Climate Review

(SEPT. 2017 OCT. 18, 2017)

Presented By:
Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section (CLIMPS)
CLIMATOLOGY & AGROMETEOROLOGY DIVISION
 TOPIC OUTLINE
Recent ENSO Condition

Weather Systems

Climate Assessment Rainfall, TCs and

Temperature

Summary
RECENT ENSO CONDITION

TEMPERATURE ANOMALY

Sea Surface Temperature (Past 12 weeks)

ENSO UPDATES: RECENT CONDITIONS
Nio Region SST Departures (oC)
Recent Evolution
The latest weekly SST departures are:

Nio Aug Aug Sept Sept Sept Sept Oct Oct. Oct
Regions 21 28 4 11 18 25 2 9 16

Nio 4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.1

Nio 3.4 Nio

- 0.5 4- 0.1 - 0.2 -0.3C
- 0.6 - 0.6 - 0.4 -0.2 0.0 -0.5
Nio 3.4 -0.2C
Nio 3 - 0.5
Nio 3- 0.4 - 0.4 - 0.6 - 0.9
0.4C - 1.0 -0.5 -0.2 -0.5

Nio 1+2 2.1C

Nio 1+2 - 0.7 - 1.0 - 0.2 - 0.1 - 0.7 - 1.1 -1.0 -1.4 -1.3

4
Weekly Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly (SSTA) @ Nio 3.4 Region

EL NIO

NEUTRAL

LA NIA

Data Source: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/wksst8110.for

You are
here!
Atmospheric Indicator
Southern Oscillation Index
As of: 10 Oct. 2017
The 30-day Southern
Oscillation Index (SOI) to
10 October is +9.1 (90-
La Nia day value +6.6), having
passed into the La Nia
value range within the
Neutral last week.

Sustained positive values

of the SOI above +7
typically indicate La Nia
while sustained negative
values below 7
El Nio typically indicate El Nio.
Values between about +7
and 7 generally indicate
neutral conditions.

Source: BOM, Australia

2017/10/19
INACTIVE
 Weather Systems that Affected the Country
(September-October 18, 2017)
Southwest Monsoon and its termination (Oct 11)
Low pressure areas (LPAs)
Severe thunderstorms
Ridge of high pressure areas (HPAs)
Inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ)
Four (4) TCs ( September 2017)
1. TS Kiko (Sep 4-6)
2. TY Lannie (Sep 11-13)
3. TS Maring (Sep 11-13)
4. TD Nando (Sep 23)
Two (2) TCs in October
1. STS Odette (Oct 11-14)
2. TY Paolo
 Actual Rainfall September 2017
Normal RR(mm) Actual Rainfall
(1981-2010)
Observed (mm) % Normal

1 27 20 33
SEPTEMBER 2017 TCs and Associated Rainfall
 537.5

273.7

189.2

Normal RR
Stations Extremes Date
(81-10)
537.5 09-11-2017
Alabat 253.1
204.5 09-01-1960
273.7 09-11-2017
Ambulong 255.0
270.8 09-05-1962
189.2 09-11-2017
Infanta 270.7
187.5 09-25-1966
Impacts of TS Maring
 Temp. Anomaly (C)

0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0

-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
ITBAYAT

1.3
CALAYAN
BASCO

0.8
VIGAN

0.5
LAOAG

-0.6
APARRI

-0.8
TUGUEGARAO

0.4
IBA

0.7
DAGUPAN

1.0
CLARK
BAGUIO

0.3
MUNOZ
CABANATUAN

0.1
BALER

0.3
CASIGURAN

0.6
PORT AREA

1.2
CUBI POINT
TAYABAS

0.5
SANGLEY PT.

0.7
NAIA

1.3
SC.GARDEN

0.6
CALAPAN

0.0
AMBULONG

1.3
TANAY
INFANTA
ALABAT

0.9
DAET

-0.1
PILI
LEGASPI
VIRAC SYNOP
VIRAC RADAR
CORON

Station Name
SAN JOSE
0.9

ROMBLON

-0.5
ROXAS
0.7

MASBATE
-0.1
CATARMAN
CATBALOGAN
-0.1

TACLOBAN
BORONGAN
-0.2

GUIUAN
0.9

PAGASA ISLAND
PTO.PRINCESA
0.2

CUYO
-0.9

ILOILO
DUMAGUETE
0.4

TAGBILARAN
-1.5

MACTAN
MAASIN
-1.1

SURIGAO
0.7
Maximum Temperature Anomaly (SEPTEMBER 2017)

DIPOLOG
COTABATO
LUMBIA AIRPORT
0.3

CAG DE ORO
MALAYBALAY
0.8

BUTUAN
0.1

DAVAO
1.1

HINATUAN
-0.5

ZAMBOANGA
GEN SANTOS
0.5 0.5

Temp. Anomaly (C)

0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0

-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0

ITBAYAT
0.8

CALAYAN
1.1

BASCO
1.4

VIGAN
0.7

LAOAG
1.1

APARRI
2.1

TUGUEGARAO
1.9

IBA
1.7

DAGUPAN
1.0

CLARK
1.7

BAGUIO
0.7

MUNOZ
CABANATUAN
BALER
0.70.8

CASIGURAN
1.4

PORT AREA
0.0

CUBI POINT
0.4

TAYABAS
-3.2

SANGLEY PT.
1.9

NAIA
1.4

SC.GARDEN
1.2

CALAPAN
0.3

AMBULONG
0.0

TANAY
INFANTA
-1.4

ALABAT
1.1

DAET
-0.9

PILI
LEGASPI
VIRAC SYNOP
1.00.9

VIRAC RADAR
CORON
Station Name

SAN JOSE
-1.3

ROMBLON
-0.1

ROXAS
1.2

MASBATE
-1.1

CATARMAN
CATBALOGAN
0.20.3

TACLOBAN
-0.2

BORONGAN
1.2

GUIUAN
-0.4

PAGASA ISLAND
PTO.PRINCESA
1.5

CUYO
-0.4

ILOILO
DUMAGUETE
0.5
Minimum Temperature Anomaly (SEPTEMBER 2017)

TAGBILARAN
0.6

MACTAN
0.1

MAASIN
0.6

SURIGAO
0.2

DIPOLOG
1.4

COTABATO
0.2

LUMBIA AIRPORT
1.2

CAG DE ORO
MALAYBALAY
1.8

BUTUAN
0.6

DAVAO
1.1

HINATUAN
0.4

ZAMBOANGA
0.0

GEN SANTOS
0.1
 Actual Rainfall October 1-18, 2017
Normal RR(mm) Actual Rainfall
(1981-2010) Observed (mm) % Normal

8 47 23 4
 STS ODETTE (I.N. KHANUN)
Within PAR: Oct. 11-14, 2017
Landfall: Sta. Ana, Cagayan on Oct. 13,
2017

Situation overview

Affected families: 960 families (4,720 individuals), 1

casualty
Infra: 8 roads, 7 bridges, and 1 remain impassable
Transport: Several flights in NLuzon were cancelled
Power: 32 areas experienced power outage
NEW RECORD!

Dumaguete City on Oct. 18, 2017 recorded 177.2 mm

surpassing its historical record on Oct. 29, 1993 at 156.7 mm
 TROPICAL CYCLONE NAMES as of 2017
2017 2018 2019 2020
2021 2022 2023 2024
2025 2026 2027 2028
2029 2030 2031 2032
1 AURING AGATON AMANG AMBO
2 BISING BASYANG BETTY BUTCHOY
3 CRISING CALOY CHEDENG CARINA
4 DANTE DOMENG DODONG DINDO
5 EMONG ESTER EGAY ENTENG
6 FABIAN FLORITA FALCON FERDIE
7 GORIO GARDO GORING GENER
8 HUANING HENRY HANNA HELEN
9 ISANG INDAY INENG IGME
10 JOLINA JOSIE JENNY JULIAN
11 KIKO KARDING KABAYAN *KRISTINE
12 LANNIE LUIS LIWAYWAY *LEON
13 MARING MAYMAY MARILYN MARCE
13 NANDO NENENG NIMFA *NIKA
14 ODETTE OMPONG ONYOK OFEL
15 PAOLO PAENG PERLA PEPITO
QUEDAN QUEENIE QUIEL QUINTA
RAMIL ROSITA RAMON ROLLY
SALOME SAMUEL SARAH SIONY
TINO TOMAS TISOY TONYO
URDUJA USMAN URSULA ULYSSES
VINTA VENUS VIRING VICKY
WILMA WALDO WENG WARREN
YASMIN YAYANG YOYOY YOYONG
ZORAIDA ZENY ZIGZAG ZOSIMO
FORECAST Tropical Cyclone VERIFICATION
MONTH Forecast TC Actual TC
JAN 2017 0 or 1 1

FEB 2017 0 or 1 1

MAR 2017 0 or 1 0

APR 2017 0 or 1 2

MAY 2017 1 or 2 0

JUNE 2017 1 to 2 0

JULY 2017 2 to 3 4

AUGUST 2017 2 to 4 2

SEPTEMBER 2017 2 to 4 4
OCTOBER 2017 1 to 2 2
 Maximum Temperature Anomaly (OCTOBER 1-19, 2017)
5.0

4.0

Temp. Anomaly (C)

3.0

2.0
1.4
1.0
1.0 0.8 0.8
0.6 0.6 0.6
0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2
0.2
0.0
0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1
-0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3
-0.4-0.4 -0.5
-0.7 -0.6 -0.6
-1.0 -0.8
-1.1 -1.1 -1.1
-1.4
-2.0

-3.0

Station Name

Minimum Temperature Anomaly (OCTOBER 1-19, 2017)

5.0

4.0

3.0

Temp. Anomaly (C)

2.3 2.3 2.4
2.0
1.8 1.9
2.0 1.8 1.8
1.6
1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3
1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3
1.0 1.1
0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8
0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6
0.4 0.4 0.4
0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0
-0.3
-0.4
-0.6
-1.0 -0.9 -1.0
-1.1
-1.5
-2.0

-3.0

Station Name
SUMMARY
Cool ENSO-neutral conditions persist in the Tropical Pacific
ENSO Alert System Status INACTIVE
Six (6) tropical cyclones entered PAR : 4 TCs in September and 2 TCs in Oct. 1-19
Rainfall condition:
September most parts of Luzon experienced below to near normal rainfall conditions
except most parts of Region IV-A and Bicol Region, Marinduque, and Romblon. Most
areas in Visayas and Mindanao have received near to above normal rainfall except for
Zamboanga Provinces, North Cotabato, and Maguindanao
October 1-18, 2017 generally below to near normal rainfall with patches of above
normal and way below normal rainfall conditions
Temperature
September generally slightly warmer than average air temperature
October 1-19, 2017 generally slightly warmer than average air temperature
 The Weather and Climate Authority

MARAMING
SALAMAT!