Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.9835517387
Coeficiente 0.9673740228
R^2 ajustado 0.9612566521
Error tpico 21079.700069
Observacione 20

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 3 2.108E+11 7.0268E+10 158.135589 4.2234E-12
Residuos 16 7109660080 444353755
Total 19 2.1791E+11

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%
Intercepcin 152831.69449 9203.86591 16.6051631 1.6484E-11 133320.37 172343.019 133320.37
Variable X 1 -3.90375E-05 2.2909E-05 -1.7040112 0.10771848 -8.7603E-05 9.5278E-06 -8.7603E-05
Variable X 2 1.204076E-05 1.0268E-06 11.7266577 2.8707E-09 9.8641E-06 1.4217E-05 9.8641E-06
Variable X 3 3.340945E-05 8.9227E-06 3.74432098 0.00176884 1.4494E-05 5.2325E-05 1.4494E-05
Superior 95,0%
172343.019
9.5278E-06
1.4217E-05
5.2325E-05
 100
=

57792.2
PRECIO DE LMINAS DE CARTN PRECIO DE PAPEL KRAFT
[Bs2007/unid] [Bs2007/kg]
VENTAS DE
VENTAS DE
LMINAS DE
TIEMPO PAPEL KRAFT
CARTON PRECIO PRECIO PRECIO IPC
[kg/mes] IPC (Base =
[unid/mes] NOMINAL REAL NOMINAL (Base =
2007)
[Bs/unid] [Bs/unid] [Bs/unid] 2007)

1 Jan-16 14,305.00 108,180.00 4.04 161.10 2.51 4.76 161.10

2 Feb-16 15,915.00 163,999.00 4.00 162.04 2.47 4.71 162.04
3 Mar-16 20,370.00 133,821.00 4.21 162.25 2.59 4.71 162.25
4 Apr-16 15,750.00 29,325.00 3.96 162.88 2.43 3.95 162.88
5 May-16 13,266.00 66,601.00 4.00 164.88 2.43 4.88 164.88
6 Jun-16 7,390.00 63,528.90 4.04 164.09 2.46 4.78 164.09
7 Jul-16 27,079.00 94,909.00 4.15 164.14 2.53 4.33 164.14
8 Aug-16 9,735.00 103,892.50 4.10 164.35 2.49 4.68 164.35
9 Sep-16 3,885.00 147,401.00 4.27 165.09 2.59 4.94 165.09
10 Oct-16 16,792.00 102,500.50 4.01 165.69 2.42 4.32 165.69
11 Nov-16 32,785.00 14,001.00 4.53 166.38 2.72 4.81 166.38
12 Dec-16 29,673.00 126,006.00 4.66 166.86 2.79 4.86 166.86
13 Jan-17 14,468.00 70,700.50 4.30 167.02 2.57 5.05 167.02
14 Feb-17 6,675.00 101,457.40 4.29 167.65 2.56 4.83 167.65
15 Mar-17 2,850.00 68,572.00 4.33 167.67 2.58 5.09 167.67
16 Apr-17 13,817.00 75,600.00 4.44 166.97 2.66 4.94 166.97
17 May-17 13,619.00 73,426.00 4.47 166.94 2.68 4.97 166.94
18 Jun-17 13,422.00 71,252.00 4.50 167.10 2.69 4.99 167.10
19 Jul-17 13,224.00 69,078.00 4.53 168.36 2.69 5.02 168.36
20 Aug-17 13,027.00 66,904.00 4.56 169.69 2.69 5.05 169.69
 DE PAPEL KRAFT
kg] INGRESO
INGRESO
LAMINAS INGRESO
PAPEL
PRECIO DE KRAFT
TOTAL LC2 PK2 LC*PK
CARTON [Bs/mes]
REAL [Bs/mes]
[Bs/unid] [Bs/mes]

2.95 35,873.49 ### 355,511.48 204633025 11702912400 1547514900

2.91 39,286.60 ### 515,980.80 253287225 26895672001 2610044085
2.90 52,855.29 ### 441,327.96 414936900 17908060041 2725933770
2.43 38,291.99 71,116.01 109,408.00 248062500 859955625 461868750
2.96 32,183.41 ### 229,304.27 175986756 4435693201 883528866
2.91 18,194.65 ### 203,256.59 54612100 4035921135 469478571
2.64 68,464.63 ### 318,833.81 733272241 9007718281 2570040811
2.85 24,285.67 ### 320,128.02 94770225 10793651556 1011393488
2.99 10,048.43 ### 451,117.51 15093225 21727054801 572652885
2.61 40,639.70 ### 307,887.07 281971264 10506352500 1721188396
2.89 89,263.16 40,476.51 129,739.67 1074856225 196028001 459022785
2.91 82,869.58 ### 449,877.35 880486929 15877512036 3738976038
3.02 37,248.47 ### 251,017.80 209323024 4998560700 1022894834
2.88 17,080.67 ### 309,379.66 44555625 10293604015 677228145
3.04 7,359.99 ### 215,525.72 8122500 4702119184 195430200
2.96 36,744.77 ### 260,308.29 190909489 5715360000 1044565200
2.97 36,477.33 ### 254,884.04 185477161 5391377476 999988694
2.99 36,163.97 ### 249,096.61 180150084 5076847504 956344344
2.98 35,607.04 ### 241,648.14 174874176 4771770084 913487472
2.98 35,039.38 ### 234,137.31 169702729 4476145216 871558408
PRECIO DE PAPEL KRAFT
PRECIO DE LAMINAS DE CARTON

2.95

7.632084
 INGRESO LC2 PK2 LC*PK
TOTAL [Bs/mes]

### 204,633,025.00 ### ###

### 253,287,225.00 ### ###
### 414,936,900.00 ### ###
### 248,062,500.00 859,955,625.00 461,868,750.00
### 175,986,756.00 4,435,693,201.00 883,528,866.00
### 54,612,100.00 4,035,921,135.21 469,478,571.00
### 733,272,241.00 9,007,718,281.00 ###
### 94,770,225.00 ### ###
### 15,093,225.00 ### 572,652,885.00
### 281,971,264.00 ### ###
### ### 196,028,001.00 459,022,785.00
### 880,486,929.00 ### ###
### 209,323,024.00 4,998,560,700.25 ###
### 44,555,625.00 ### 677,228,145.00
### 8,122,500.00 4,702,119,184.00 195,430,200.00
### 190,909,489.00 5,715,360,000.00 ###
### 185,477,161.00 5,391,377,476.00 999,988,694.00
### 180,150,084.00 5,076,847,504.00 956,344,344.00
### 174,874,176.00 4,771,770,084.00 913,487,472.00
### 169,702,729.00 4,476,145,216.00 871,558,408.00
 Ventas Precio Ingreso
Ventas Salchicha Precio Salchicha Total de Periodo
Salchicha Super Salchicha Super todas las
Periodo Especial Especial Especial Especial salchichas
(mes) (Kg/mes) (Kg/mes) (Bs/Kg) (Bs/Kg) (Bs) (mes)
t SE SSE PSE PSSE I t
### 37,355.90 6,552.15 425,531.92 91,600.50 91231.00 25-Apr
### 37,681.75 6,543.60 414,561.43 88,351.85 91328.00 25-May
29-Jun 48,074.75 7,241.85 535,896.08 99,072.74 958299.00 25-Jun
29-Jul 37,701.70 6,575.90 422,492.56 90,438.72 91406.00 25-Jul
### 37,833.75 6,694.65 424,058.74 92,090.66 91253.00 25-Aug
### 38,031.35 6,685.15 421,591.10 90,949.84 91403.00 25-Sep
### 39,029.80 6,501.80 428,963.18 87,699.76 91497.00 25-Oct
### 37,487.00 6,555.00 408,395.56 87,642.37 91410.00 25-Nov
### 37,848.95 6,697.50 413,608.63 89,823.42 91563.00 25-Dec
29-Jan 39,069.70 6,496.10 428,054.48 87,347.96 91559.00 25-Jan
### 39,121.95 6,704.15 424,902.70 89,362.19 91489.00 25-Feb
### 39,192.25 6,733.60 426,023.77 89,830.13 91418.00 25-Mar
### 38,897.75 6,634.80 430,068.60 90,028.95 91380.00 25-Apr
### 38,528.20 6,674.70 429,066.26 91,225.97 91458.00 25-May
29-Jun 49,920.00 7,760.00 555,789.47 106,032.39 954311.74 25-Jun
29-Jul 39,280.00 6,800.00 431,002.49 91,571.07 720458.85 25-Jul
### 40,800.00 6,800.00 437,469.54 89,482.41 722982.46 25-Aug
### 41,680.00 7,120.00 446,905.16 93,693.34 750370.37 25-Sep
Ingreso
Total mejor ajuste

(Bs)
I SE2 SSE2 SE*SSE
734819.00 ### ### ###
731845.00 ### ### ###
953369.00 ### ### ###
721904.00 ### ### ###
726235.00 ### ### ###
749790.00 ### ### ###
731810.00 ### ### ###
727097.00 ### ### ###
742983.00 ### ### ###
745702.00 ### ### ###
723127.00 ### ### ###
720849.00 ### ### ###
747632.00 ### ### ###
727201.00 ### ### ###
954311.74 ### ### ###
720458.85 ### ### ###
722982.46 ### ### ###
750370.37 ### ### ###
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.09790279
Coeficiente 0.00958496
R^2 ajustado -0.0666008
Error tpico 9313.21161
Observacione 15

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 1 10912272.1 10912272.1 0.12581031 0.72850401
Residuos 13 1127566836 86735910.4
Total 14 1138479108

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%
Intercepcin 16975.181 5060.40957 3.35450732 0.00517566 6042.83073 27907.5312 6042.83073
x -197.41429 556.570848 -0.3546975 0.72850401 -1399.8125 1004.98393 -1399.8125
Superior 95,0%
27907.5312
1004.98393
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.23373572
Coeficiente 0.05463239
R^2 ajustado -0.0180882
Error tpico 41972.3848
Observacione 15

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 1 1323488332 1323488332 0.75126443 0.40179131
Residuos 13 2.2902E+10 1761681087
Total 14 2.4225E+10

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%
Intercepcin 110385.868 22806.038 4.84020366 0.00032275 61116.4188 159655.318 61116.4188
x -2174.1076 2508.32976 -0.8667551 0.40179131 -7593.0246 3244.80934 -7593.0246
Superior 95,0%
159655.318
3244.80934
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.67053117
Coeficiente 0.44961205
R^2 ajustado 0.40727451
Error tpico 0.15899516
Observacione 15

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 1 0.26846036 0.26846036 10.6197031 0.00622209
Residuos 13 0.32863298 0.02527946
Total 14 0.59709333

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%
Intercepcin 3.94495238 0.08639132 45.6637605 9.6928E-16 3.75831529 4.13158947 3.75831529
x 0.03096429 0.00950178 3.2587886 0.00622209 0.01043694 0.05149163 0.01043694
Superior 95,0%
4.13158947
0.05149163
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.41613022
Coeficiente 0.17316436
R^2 ajustado 0.10956162
Error tpico 0.28431469
Observacione 15

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 1 0.22008036 0.22008036 2.7225927 0.12287692
Residuos 13 1.05085298 0.08083484
Total 14 1.27093333

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%
Intercepcin 4.48904762 0.15448471 29.0582002 3.2697E-13 4.15530369 4.82279154 4.15530369
x 0.02803571 0.01699105 1.65002809 0.12287692 -0.0086712 0.06474265 -0.0086712
Superior 95,0%
4.82279154
0.06474265
 Intercepcin
x y y x
1 14,305.00 108,180.00 Intercepcin
2 15,915.00 163,999.00 x
3 20,370.00 133,821.00 Intercepcin
4 15,750.00 29,325.31 x
5 13,266.00 66,601.00 Intercepcin
6 7,390.00 63,528.90 x
7 27,079.00 94,909.00
8 9,735.00 103,892.50
9 3,885.00 147,401.00
10 16,792.00 102,500.50
11 32,785.00 14,001.00
12 29,673.00 126,006.00
13 14,468.00 70,700.50
14 6,675.00 101,457.40
15 2,850.00 68,572.00
16 13816.55 75600 75600.1462 75,600.00
17 13619.14 73426 73426.0385 73,426.00
18 13421.72 71252 71251.9309 71,252.00
19 13224.31 69078 69077.8233 69,078.00
20 13026.90 66904 66903.7156 66,904.00
 16975.181
-197.41429 y y
110385.868 4.04 4.76
-2174.1076 4 4.71
3.94495238 4.21 4.71 Char
0.03096429 3.96 3.95 4.8
4.48904762 4 4.88
0.02803571 4.04 4.78 4.6
4.15 4.33
4.1 4.68
4.4 f(x) = 0.0006504525x^2 + 0.0205570
4.27 4.94
4.01 4.32
4.53 4.81 4.2
4.66 4.86
4.3 5.05 4
4.29 4.83
4.33 5.09
3.8
4.44038095 4.94
4.47134524 4.97
4.50230952 4.99 3.6
0 2 4 6
4.53327381 5.02
4.5642381 5.05
 Chart Title

f(x) = 0.0006504525x^2 + 0.0205570459x + 3.9744395604

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16