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Meses Luvia (P) Escorrentia (R ) P x R P^2 R^2

1 1 5.00 0.50 2.50 25.00 0.25


2 2 35.00 10.00 350.00 1,225.00 100.00 Chart Title
3 3 40.00 13.80 552.00 1,600.00 190.44 18.00
4 4 30.00 8.20 246.00 900.00 67.24
16.00
5 5 15.00 3.10 46.50 225.00 9.61
6 14.00
6 10.00 3.20 32.00 100.00 10.24
f(x) = 0.3801971965x - 1.55603
7 7 5.00 0.10 0.50 25.00 0.01 12.00 R = 0.929972622

ESCORRENTIA
8 8 31.00 12.00 372.00 961.00 144.00 10.00
9 9 36.00 16.00 576.00 1,296.00 256.00 8.00
10 10 30.00 8.00 240.00 900.00 64.00
6.00
11 11 10.00 2.30 23.00 100.00 5.29
12 12 8.00 1.60 12.80 64.00 2.56 4.00

13 13 2.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 2.00


14 14 22.00 6.50 143.00 484.00 42.25 0.00
15 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 2
15 30.00 9.40 282.00 900.00 88.36
16 16 25.00 7.60 190.00 625.00 57.76 LLUVIA
17 17 8.00 1.50 12.00 64.00 2.25
18 18 6.00 0.50 3.00 36.00 0.25
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
348.00 104.30 3,083.30 9,534.00 1,040.51
N = 18
P = 35
CALCULO DE "k"

K = 19203
= 0.38
50508

CALCULO DE "a"

a = -27.94
= -1.55
18

CALCULO DE "r"
r = 19203
= 0.96
19912.8765004
396522650.52 19912.88 0.96
CALCULO DE "r^2"

r^2 = 0.92

CALCULO DE "R"

R = 11.75 mm
Chart Title

) = 0.3801971965x - 1.5560346876
= 0.929972622

10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00


LLUVIA
Meses Luvia (P) Escorrentia (R ) Ln(P) = P P^2 R^2 P*R
1 1 5.00 0.50 1.61 2.59 0.25 0.805
2 2 35.00 10.00 3.56 12.64 100.00 35.553
3 3 40.00 13.80 3.69 13.61 190.44 50.907
4 4 30.00 8.20 3.40 11.57 67.24 27.890
5 5 15.00 3.10 2.71 7.33 9.61 8.395
6 6 10.00 3.20 2.30 5.30 10.24 7.368
7 7 5.00 0.10 1.61 2.59 0.01 0.161
8 8 31.00 12.00 3.43 11.79 144.00 41.208
9 9 36.00 16.00 3.58 12.84 256.00 57.336
10 10 30.00 8.00 3.40 11.57 64.00 27.210
11 11 10.00 2.30 2.30 5.30 5.29 5.296
12 12 8.00 1.60 2.08 4.32 2.56 3.327
13 13 2.00 0.00 0.69 0.48 0.00 0.000
14 14 22.00 6.50 3.09 9.55 42.25 20.092
15 15 30.00 9.40 3.40 11.57 88.36 31.971
16 16 25.00 7.60 3.22 10.36 57.76 24.463
17 17 8.00 1.50 2.08 4.32 2.25 3.119
18 18 6.00 0.50 1.79 3.21 0.25 0.896
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25 0.000
348.00 104.30 47.95 140.94 1,040.51 345.997
19.33 5.79 2.66 7.83 57.81 19.22
N = 18
P = 35
CALCULO DE "k"

K = 1226.643797598
= 5.162
237.6091291468

CALCULO DE "a"

a = -143.223733199
= -7.96
18

CALCULO DE "r"
r = 1226.643797598
= 0.898
1365.794865308
1865395.61410152 1365.79487 0.8981
CALCULO DE "r^2"

r^2 = 0.81

CALCULO DE "R"

R = 172.71 mm
Chart Title
18.00

16.00

14.00

12.00
ESCORRENTIA

10.00 f(x) = 5.1549204814 l n(x) - 7.9380145713


R = 0.805438915
8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00

0.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00
LLUVIA
Meses Luvia (P) Escorrentia (R ) LN(R )=R P^2 R^2 P*R
1 1 5.00 0.50 -0.69 25.00 0.48 -3.47
2 2 35.00 10.00 2.30 1,225.00 5.30 80.59
3 3 40.00 13.80 2.62 1,600.00 6.89 104.99
4 4 30.00 8.20 2.10 900.00 4.43 63.12
5 5 15.00 3.10 1.13 225.00 1.28 16.97
6 6 10.00 3.20 1.16 100.00 1.35 11.63
7 7 5.00 0.10 -2.30 25.00 5.30 -11.51
8 8 31.00 12.00 2.48 961.00 6.17 77.03
9 9 36.00 16.00 2.77 1,296.00 7.69 99.81
10 10 30.00 8.00 2.08 900.00 4.32 62.38
11 11 10.00 2.30 0.83 100.00 0.69 8.33
12 12 8.00 1.60 0.47 64.00 0.22 3.76
13 13 2.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00
14 14 22.00 6.50 1.87 484.00 3.50 41.18
15 15 30.00 9.40 2.24 900.00 5.02 67.22
16 16 25.00 7.60 2.03 625.00 4.11 50.70
17 17 8.00 1.50 0.41 64.00 0.16 3.24
18 18 6.00 0.50 -0.69 36.00 0.48 -4.16
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
348.00 104.30 20.82 9,534.00 57.42 671.83
19.33 5.79 1.16 529.67 3.19 37.32
N = 18
P = 35
CALCULO DE "k"

K = 4846.56433941
= 0.028
171178.401164

CALCULO DE "a"

a = 11.0790361941
= 0.616
18

CALCULO DE "r"
r = 4846.56433941
= 0.88
5504.54511884

CALCULO DE "r^2"

r^2 = 0.77

CALCULO DE "R"

R = 1.596 mm
Chart Title
18.00

16.00

14.00

12.00
ESCORRENTIA

10.00

8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00

0.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00
LLUVIA
Meses Luvia (P) Escorrentia (R ) P=LOG(P) R=LOG(R ) P*R P^2 R^2
1 1 5.00 0.50 0.70 -0.30 -0.21 0.49 0.09
2 2 35.00 10.00 1.54 1.00 1.54 2.38 1.00
3 3 40.00 13.80 1.60 1.14 1.83 2.57 1.30 18.00
4 4 30.00 8.20 1.48 0.91 1.35 2.18 0.84 16.00
5 5 15.00 3.10 1.18 0.49 0.58 1.38 0.24
14.00
6 6 10.00 3.20 1.00 0.51 0.51 1.00 0.26 f(x) = 0.3801
7 7 5.00 0.10 0.70 -1.00 -0.70 0.49 1.00 12.00 R = 0.92997

ESCORRENTIA
8 8 31.00 12.00 1.49 1.08 1.61 2.22 1.16 10.00
9 9 36.00 16.00 1.56 1.20 1.87 2.42 1.45 8.00
10 10 30.00 8.00 1.48 0.90 1.33 2.18 0.82
6.00
11 11 10.00 2.30 1.00 0.36 0.36 1.00 0.13
4.00
12 12 8.00 1.60 0.90 0.20 0.18 0.82 0.04
13 13 2.00 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00 2.00
14 14 22.00 6.50 1.34 0.81 1.09 1.80 0.66 0.00
0.00 5.00 10.00
15 15 30.00 9.40 1.48 0.97 1.44 2.18 0.95
16 16 25.00 7.60 1.40 0.88 1.23 1.95 0.78
17 17 8.00 1.50 0.90 0.18 0.16 0.82 0.03
18 18 6.00 0.50 0.78 -0.30 -0.23 0.61 0.09
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
348.00 104.30 20.82 9.04 13.94 26.59 10.83
19.33 5.79 1.16 0.50 0.77 1.48 0.60
N = 18
P = 35
CALCULO DE "k"

K = 62.6287672108
= 1.395
44.8812681256

CALCULO DE "a"

a = -20.007421369
= -1.112
18

CALCULO DE "r"
r = 62.6287672108
= 0.879
71.2620351333
1285307012.26944 35851.179 0
CALCULO DE "r^2"

r^2 = 0.773

CALCULO DE "R"

R = 47.713 mm
Chart Title
18.00

16.00

14.00
f(x) = 0.3801971965x - 1.5560346876
12.00 R = 0.929972622
ESCORRENTIA

10.00

8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00

0.00
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00
LLUVIA
Luvia (P) Escorrentia (R )
Variable X 1 Curva de regresi
5.00 0.50 18.00
35.00 10.00 16.00
40.00 13.80 14.00
30.00 8.20 12.00
f(x) = 0.3801971965x - 1.5560346876
R = 0.929972622
15.00 3.10

ESCORRENTIA
10.00
10.00 3.20
8.00
5.00 0.10
31.00 12.00 6.00
36.00 16.00 4.00
30.00 8.00 2.00
10.00 2.30 0.00
8.00 1.60 -2.000.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
2.00 0.00
LLUVIA
22.00 6.50
30.00 9.40
25.00 7.60
8.00 1.50
6.00 0.50 Grfico de probabilida
18
16
14
Resumen 12
10
Estadsticas de la regresin 8
Y

6
Coeficiente de correlacin m 0.9643508812 4
Coeficiente de determinaci 0.929972622 2
R^2 ajustado 0.9255959109 0
0 20 40 60
Error tpico 1.3816295179
Observaciones 18 Muestra percen

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresin 1 405.6070424487 405.6070424487
Residuos 16 30.5424019957 1.9089001247
Total 17 436.1494444444

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t


Intercepcin -1.5560346876 0.6002733893 -2.5922100086
Variable X 1 0.3801971965 0.0260824131 14.5767645958

Anlisis de los residuales


Observacin Pronstico para Y Residuos
1 0.3449512948 0.1550487052
2 11.7508671894 -1.7508671894
3 13.6518531718 0.1481468282
4 9.8498812069 -1.6498812069
5 4.1469232597 -1.0469232597
6 2.2459372773 0.9540627227
7 0.3449512948 -0.2449512948
8 10.2300784034 1.7699215966
9 12.1310643858 3.8689356142
10 9.8498812069 -1.8498812069
11 2.2459372773 0.0540627227
12 1.4855428843 0.1144571157
13 -0.7956402946 0.7956402946
14 6.8083036351 -0.3083036351
15 9.8498812069 -0.4498812069
16 7.9488952245 -0.3488952245
17 1.4855428843 0.0144571157
18 0.7251484913 -0.2251484913
le X 1 Curva de regresin ajustada

0.3801971965x - 1.5560346876
.929972622

0 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00

LLUVIA

Grfico de probabilidad normal

20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil

F Valor crtico de F
212.4820660827 1.172751774E-10

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


0.0196491554 -2.8285574265 -0.2835119487 -2.8285574265 -0.2835119487
1.172751774E-10 0.3249049506 0.4354894423 0.3249049506 0.4354894423

Resultados de datos de probabilidad


Percentil Y
2.7777777778 0
8.3333333333 0.1
13.8888888889 0.5
19.4444444444 0.5
25 1.5
30.5555555556 1.6
36.1111111111 2.3
41.6666666667 3.1
47.2222222222 3.2
52.7777777778 6.5
58.3333333333 7.6
63.8888888889 8
69.4444444444 8.2
75 9.4
80.5555555556 10
86.1111111111 12
91.6666666667 13.8
97.2222222222 16
12

10

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
12 14 16 18

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