You are on page 1of 3

IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll

The IBD/TIPP poll a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market
Intelligence (TIPP) has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.

The latest results for the IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll will be released each morning by 6
a.m. ET.

Also look for daily videos with analysis of the latest results on our Facebook page and on Investors.com.
About IBD/TIPP Poll

Day 13 Results: Oct. 31


Clinton's Lead Shrinks To 1 Point As Voters React To The FBI's Email Bombshell IBD/TIPP Poll

Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not sure


OVERALL 44.7% 43.7% 4.2% 2.3% 1.6% 3.5%
Region
Northeast 41% 43% 6% 3% 1% 5%
Midwest 46% 44% 3% 2% 3% 2%
South 41% 47% 4% 2% 1% 5%
West 52% 38% 5% 2% 1% 2%
Age
18-44 47% 36% 8% 4% 2% 3%
45-64 43% 49% 3% 1% 1% 3%
65+ 45% 47% 1% 1% 2% 4%
Gender
Male 39% 50% 5% 1% 2% 3%
Female 50% 38% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Race
White 38% 52% 4% 1% 2% 3%
Black/Hispanic 70% 15% 4% 5% 1% 6%
Income
Under 30K 66% 28% 5% 1% - -
30K-50K 46% 39% 6% 2% 3% 4%
50-75K 40% 47% 3% 5% 1% 4%
75K+ 42% 49% 4% 2% 1% 2%
Education
High School 35% 54% 4% 1% 2% 4%
Some College 39% 50% 2% 3% 0% 5%
College Degree or more 50% 37% 5% 2% 2% 3%
Party
Democrats 87% 5% 1% 4% 0% 3%
Republicans 5% 88% 3% 0% 1% 2%
Ind./Other 32% 48% 9% 2% 4% 4%
Ideology
Conservative 21% 71% 3% 1% 2% 2%
Moderate 51% 35% 7% 1% 2% 3%
Liberal 82% 5% 2% 6% 1% 4%
Investor
Yes 45% 43% 5% 2% 2% 3%
No 46% 44% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Area Type
Urban 61% 31% 2% 2% 1% 3%
Suburban 42% 42% 6% 3% 2% 5%
Rural 36% 56% 3% 1% 2% 2%
Parental Status
Parents 39% 46% 6% 5% 1% 3%
Non-Parents 47% 43% 4% 1% 2% 4%
White
White men 32% 60% 5% 0% 1% 1%
White women 43% 45% 4% 2% 2% 4%
Black/Hispanic
Black 83% 5% 2% 3% 1% 6%
Hispanic 45% 34% 7% 9% - 5%
Women
Single women 63% 24% 3% 5% 1% 4%
Married women 40% 48% 4% 2% 2% 4%
Household
Description
Upper/Upper Middle 48% 43% 5% - 2% 2%
Middle 43% 44% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Working 43% 48% 5% 1% 2% 2%
Lower 66% 16% - 4% 6% 8%
Religion
Protestant 40% 49% 4% 3% 1% 3%
Catholic 37% 48% 7% 3% 2% 2%
Other 45% 45% 4% 1% 1% 4%
None 63% 25% 3% 2% 2% 4%
Union Household
Yes 57% 35% 4% - 1% 2%
No 43% 45% 4% 3% 2% 4%
Two-candidate question Clinton Trump Other Not sure
OVERALL 45.1% 43.4% 4.1% 7.4%
Intensity of Support Strong Moderate
Clinton 63% 36%
Trump 68% 32%
Zeitgeist (Likely To Win) Clinton Trump Too Close
Overall 49% 25% 21%
Democrats 78% 2% 16%
Republicans 19% 51% 23%
Independents 43% 26% 25%

Results based on survey of 993 likely voters conducted from 10/25 - 10/30. Margin of error: +/- 3.2
percentage points. Party identification breakdown:(Unweighted) 309 Democrats/357 Republicans/312
Independents; (Weighted) 390/319/268. Results in table above are based on weighted sample. IBD's polling
partner TechnoMetrica uses "traditional" telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection
for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a
Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.

PRIOR RESULTS (PDF): Oct. 30 | Oct. 29 | Oct. 28 | Oct. 27 | Oct. 26 | Oct. 25 | Oct. 24 |Oct. 23 | Oct.
22 | Oct. 21 | Oct. 20 | Oct. 19

About IBD/TIPP The IBD/TIPP poll is a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily and
TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Each month, the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is the earliest take
on consumer confidence and predicts with good reliability monthly changes in sentiment in well-known polls
by The Conference Board and the University of Michigan. Both the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index and
IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll are national surveys based on randomly selected live interviews
via cellphone and landlines.

For more information, go to www.tipponline.com. To license the IBD/TIPP Poll, please contact:
IBDlicensing@investors.com. For media inquiries, contact Terry Jones (terry.jones@investors.com) or
Matthew Galgani (matt.galgani@investors.com) or call (310) 448-6800.

You might also like