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20 10,300 Among index stocks, Dr Reddy’s, Sun Pharma, Yes Bank and Hindustan Unilever
witnessed high rolls into the November series while Coal India, Gail, Vedanta and
15 10,250
Infosys witnessed relatively low rolls into the next series
10 10,200 The open interest in Nifty futures at 22.3 million shares is the highest seen in since
5 10,150 March 2017 amid subdued roll cost. The roll spread in the Nifty remained below
35 points throughout the settlement week and finally declined further to 17 points
0 10,100
in the last session. The relatively high open interest amid continued low roll
18-Oct
17-Oct
23-Oct
24-Oct
25-Oct
26-Oct
spread indicates continued short aggression despite Nifty moving to life high
levels. The current up move may extend towards 10500 on the back of short
covering. At the same time, Nifty Bank open interest has also increased marginally
going into October series and is at 1.7 million shares at the inception. The roll
Nifty & market wide rollovers (MoM) spread in the banking index has remained under continued pressure indicating
88 Marketwide v/s Nifty Rollover 90 consolidation in coming sessions. Roll spread in the banking index has declined to
86 85 just 54 points during the settlement suggesting continued short bias
Sectoral rollovers
Market wide rollover (%)
84 80
Nifty Rollover (%)
Oct'17
Jun'17
May'17
Jul'17
Aug'16
Aug'17
Nov'16
Mar'17
Sep'16
Sep'17
Apr'17
Dec'16
Feb'17
Stock rollovers
High Rollover Low Rollover
Market wide rollover (in %) Nifty Rollover (in %)
Stock Rollover % Stock Rollover %
IBREALEST 96.37 POWERGRID 61.30
JSWENERGY 95.83 BATAINDIA 64.98
The Nifty witnessed relatively high rollover activity due to FORTIS 95.28 BPCL 65.49
continued fresh additions in the November series. With the CASTROLIND COALINDIA
95.22 67.36
banking space taking the lead once again along with the
JSWSTEEL 94.32 GAIL 67.50
Infrastructure space, the Nifty is starting the new series with
the significantly high open interest. Index heavyweights from Source: NSE, Seediff, ICICIdirect.com Research
across sectors witnessed relatively high open interest moving Stock rollovers
into the new series 100 Sectoral Rollover
90
Stocks from the private sector banking and pharma space are 80
Rollover %
89.60
90.7
88.11
88.00
89.8
89.5
89.4
86.72
86.44
88.1
70
87.8
85.65
87.8
84.92
84.38
84.35
84.44
83.84
83.47
83.53
85.4
82.65
84.9
84.7
84.6
84.6
84.5
82.00
84.0
81.15
82.9
78.9
60
seems like fresh short positions were formed in this space. The
50
Nifty has no major Call base for November series while the Put
Realty
Oil_Gas
Media
Technology
Finance
Textile
Fertilisers
Power
Pharma
FMCG
Automobile
Cement
Capital_Goods
Metals
Telecom
Banking
Infrastructure
HDFC
0.70
Amit Gupta INDUSINDBK 0.60
amit.gup@icicisecurities.com TATAMOTORS 0.50
ZEEL
Azeem Ahmad EICHERMOT BHARTI
0.40
0.94
0.96
0.98
1.00
1.02
1.04
1.06
1.08
1.10
research@icicidirect.com
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