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Cardiopulmonar y Imaging • Original Research

Hutchinson et al.
Overdiagnosis of Pulmonary Embolism by CTA

Cardiopulmonary Imaging
Original Research
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Overdiagnosis of Pulmonary
Embolism by Pulmonary
CT Angiography
Barry Donald Hutchinson1 OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the rate of overdiagnosis of pulmo-
Patrick Navin1 nary embolism (PE) by pulmonary CT angiography (CTA) in a tertiary-care university hospital.
Edith M. Marom 2 MATERIALS AND METHODS. This study is a retrospective review of all pulmonary
Mylene T. Truong2 CTA examinations performed in a tertiary-care university hospital over a 12-month period. Stud-
John F. Bruzzi1 ies originally reported as positive for PE were retrospectively reinterpreted by three subspecialty
chest radiologists with more than 10 years’ experience. A pulmonary CTA was considered nega-
Hutchinson BD, Navin P, Marom EM, Truong MT, tive for PE when all three chest radiologists were in agreement that the pulmonary CTA study
Bruzzi JF was negative for PE. The location and potential causes for PE overdiagnosis were recorded.
RESULTS. A total of 937 pulmonary CTA studies were performed over the study period.
PE was diagnosed in the initial report in 174 of these cases (18.6%). There was discordance
between the chest radiologists and the original radiologist in 45 of 174 (25.9%) cases. Discor-
dance occurred more often where the original reported PE was solitary (46.2% of reported
solitary PEs were considered negative on retrospective review) and located in a segmental or
subsegmental pulmonary artery (26.8% of segmental and 59.4% of subsegmental PE diagno-
ses were considered negative on retrospective review). The most common cause of diagnostic
difficulty was breathing motion artifact, followed by beam-hardening artifact.
CONCLUSION. In routine clinical practice, PEs diagnosed by pulmonary CTA are fre-
quently overdiagnosed, when compared with the consensus opinion of a panel of expert chest
radiologists. Improvements in the quality of pulmonary CTA examination and increased fa-
miliarity with potential diagnostic pitfalls in pulmonary CTA are recommended to minimize
misdiagnosis of PE.

P
ulmonary embolism (PE) is a anticoagulation therapy on the basis of a posi-
common clinical diagnosis in pa- tive result, regardless of pretest probability
tients presenting to the emergen- [6], even in isolated subsegmental PE [7].
cy department and in hospitalized The risk of hemorrhage related to antico-
patients. It is normally treated with long-term agulation therapy is potentially significant.
Keywords: artifact, false-positive, misdiagnosis,
anticoagulation therapy to reduce the risks of A large meta-analysis in 2003 [8] found a
pulmonary CT angiography, pulmonary embolism death and the morbidity associated with 7% annual risk of major bleeding and a 0.4%
chronic pulmonary venous thromboembo- incidence of bleeding-related fatality in pa-
DOI:10.2214/AJR.14.13938 lism. Because the clinical presentation is of- tients treated with oral anticoagulation ther-
ten nonspecific and can be mimicked by a apy for venous thromboembolism for longer
Received October 10, 2014; accepted after revision
January 23, 2015. range of other conditions, in routine practice, than 3 months. The practical implications of
pulmonary CT angiography (CTA) is often long-term anticoagulation therapy for the pa-
1
Department of Radiology, University Hospital Galway, used as the imaging method of choice for fur- tient are also potentially significant, requir-
Newcastle Rd, Galway, Ireland. Address correspondence ther investigation [1]. Pulmonary CTA has ing frequent attendance to their medical
to B. D. Hutchinson (barryhutchinson82@gmail.com).
been shown to be highly sensitive and specific practitioners for blood tests, consequent time
2
Department of Chest Radiology, M. D. Anderson Cancer when pretest clinical diagnostic tools are used off from work, potential adverse drug inter-
Center, Houston, TX. [2] but surprisingly inaccurate in patients with actions with other medications, adjustments
low pretest probability, with false-positive to travel and lifestyle, implications for future
AJR 2015; 205:271–277 rates as high as 42% [3]. Unfortunately, ad- dental and medical procedures, and possible
0361–803X/15/2052–271
herence to referral guidelines for pulmonary negative effects on life insurance status.
CTA has repeatedly been shown to be low [4, With these considerations in mind, it is
© American Roentgen Ray Society 5]. Nonetheless, many clinicians will initiate important to minimize the misdiagnosis

AJR:205, August 2015 271


Hutchinson et al.

of PE. Common artifacts that can lead to a Fig. 1—75-year-old


false-positive diagnosis of PE have been well man with dyspnea.
Axial pulmonary CT
described in the published literature [9–11]. angiogram (mediastinal
Despite this, however, reported interobserver window) shows
agreement varies widely, especially in the di- density measurement
in pulmonary trunk and
agnosis of subsegmental PE [12]. Wide vari- main pulmonary arteries
ations in concordance between general and to calculate quality of
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subspecialist radiologists have been report- contrast enhancement.


ed (89–100%) [13, 14], as well as between Circles denote ROIs.
Avg = average, Dev =
residents, fellows, and attending radiologists deviation.
(87–93%) [15–17]. Although pulmonary
CTA examinations are frequently inter-
preted by general radiologists in most cen-
ters, limited data exist on the interobserver
agreement between general and subspecialist
chest radiologists. A small number of stud-
ies [13, 18] have directly compared pulmo-
nary CTA interpretation by general radiolo-
gists with that of a single subspecialist chest in the craniocaudal direction with a collimation of agnosis). After this initial interpretation, a second
radiologist. There is very limited analysis of 0.6 mm and gantry rotation of 500 milliseconds. analysis was then made of those studies in which
these discrepant cases in terms of PE loca- Automated dose control software was used with there was any disagreement among the three chest
tion within the pulmonary arterial system 120 kVp and 200 mA maximum; 80–120 mL of radiologists (to minimize the risk of overlooking
and potential causes of misdiagnosis. In ad- low-osmolar contrast medium (350 Omnipaque, PEs because of interpretation fatigue after read-
dition, the absence of a practical reference GE Healthcare) was injected through an 18-gauge ing a large number of pulmonary CTA studies in
standard examination makes it difficult to cannula sited in the antecubital fossa, at a rate succession). Where there was any persistent dis-
draw conclusions regarding the accuracy of of 4–5 mL/s, followed by a 20-mL saline bolus cordance among the three chest radiologists af-
pulmonary CTA in routine clinical practice. chaser injected at 4 mL/s. Optimal scan acquisi- ter this second review, the original report was ac-
The purpose of this study was to evaluate tion time was determined using a bolus-tracking cepted as being correct (i.e., positive for PE). Next,
the rate of overdiagnosis of PE by pulmonary technique with an ROI placed over the pulmonary a third and final analysis was performed of those
CTA in a tertiary-care university hospital by trunk. Images were reconstructed with a 512 × 512 studies for which there was a discrepancy between
assessing the degree of discordance between matrix and a smooth kernel, with 1-mm axial and the consensus opinion of the three chest radiolo-
the original reporting radiologists and an ex- 1.5-mm coronal slice thickness and 0.8-mm slice gists and the original report, guided by a partial
pert panel of subspecialty chest radiologists overlap. Images were reviewed using IMPAX unblinding of the original report to direct atten-
and to attempt to establish patterns of misdi- (version 6.5, AGFA Healthcare). tion to the original reported PE. Where there was
agnosis to try to understand the causes un- All studies in which a definite diagnosis of PE was unanimous agreement among the three chest radi-
derlying pulmonary CTA misinterpretation. reported were selected for further analysis. Studies ologists that a pulmonary CTA was negative, a fi-
reported as nondiagnostic or negative for the pres- nal outcome of negative for PE was recorded.
Materials and Methods ence of PE were excluded (because the purpose of In addition, the following final data were re-
This retrospective study was conducted at Uni- our study was to evaluate the potential rate of over- corded: patient demographics (age and sex); the
versity College Hospital Galway, which is a spe- diagnosed PEs, rather than the overall diagnostic ac- most proximal PE location according to the modi-
cialist oncology center and a university-affiliated curacy of pulmonary CTA). All studies were anony- fied Boyden classification [19] (pulmonary trunk,
tertiary-care medical center in Galway, Ireland. mized for independent interpretation on stand-alone main pulmonary artery, lobar pulmonary artery,
Approximately 130,000 imaging studies are per- workstations by a panel of three subspecialist chest segmental pulmonary artery, or subsegmental pul-
formed annually in the University College Hospi- radiologists, each with at least 10 years’ experience in monary artery); number of PEs (solitary vs mul-
tal Galway Radiology Department, which is staffed pulmonary CTA interpretation. One radiologist was tiple); quality of contrast enhancement, assessed
by 15 attending and nine resident radiologists. The among the 15 on-site attending radiologists. The oth- by calculating the average of the CT number mea-
Galway University institutional ethical review er two panel members were reviewers from another sured in the pulmonary trunk and the right and
board approved this retrospective study and waived tertiary referral center. The final consensus opinion left main pulmonary arteries with a circular ROI
the requirement for written informed consent. of these three chest radiologists was used as a surro- equal to the diameter of the vessel (Fig. 1); and
An electronic search was performed of the ap- gate reference standard for the diagnosis of PE. interobserver agreement (modified kappa index)
proved finalized reports of all consecutive pul- Each examiner was blinded to the index report, among the three chest radiologists and between
monary CTA examinations performed over a PE location, clinical history, and other diagnos- the final consensus opinion of the three chest ra-
12-month period between August 1, 2012, and tic test results. An initial interpretation was per- diologists and the original reporting radiologists.
July 31, 2013. Data were collected by both elec- formed by each of the three chest radiologists inde- Finally, the individual discordant cases (those
tronic query and manual review of the electronic pendently, in which they recorded the presence or that were considered to be negative for PE) were
medical record. absence of PE, the most proximal level of PE, the analyzed separately to attempt to establish a po-
All scans were acquired on a 64-MDCT scan- lobar location of PE, and the overall quality of the tential underlying cause for the misdiagnosis of
ner (Somatom Sensation 64, Siemens Healthcare) examination (satisfactory or unsatisfactory for di- PE on the original report, such as movement ar-

272 AJR:205, August 2015


Overdiagnosis of Pulmonary Embolism by CTA

TABLE 1: Comparison of Contrast Enhancement, Patient Age, and 59.2%) than in the more central and lobar
­Pulmonary Embolism (PE) Location in All and Discordant arteries (71 cases; 40.8%) (Table 1). Twen-
­Pulmonary CT Angiography Examinations Reported as Positive for ty-four patients (13.8%) had a reported soli-
PE by the Original Radiologist tary subsegmental PE. The average quality
Variable All Cases Discordant Cases of contrast enhancement was 327.0 ± 88 HU
(range, 127.1–625.2 HU).
Total 174 (100) 45 (25.9)
On final analysis, the panel of three chest
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Patient age (y), mean (range) 64 (17–99) 60 (23–91) radiologists were of the consensus opinion
Single-vessel PE 67 (38.5) 31 (46.2) that 45 (25.9%) of the original 174 index cases
Multiple-vessel PEs 107 (61.5) 14 (13.1)
were negative for the presence of PE. Interob-
server agreement between the panel members
Mean quality of contrast enhancement (HU) 327.0 291.3a
was almost perfect (weighted κ = 0.835).
Pulmonary trunk PE 6 (3.4) 0 (0) These discordant cases comprised 25 wom-
Main pulmonary artery PE 28 (16.1) 1 (4.0) en (none of whom were pregnant) and 20 men
Lobar pulmonary artery PE 37 (21.3) 6 (16.2)
(mean age, 60 years; range, 23–91 years).
Overall image quality was considered to be
Segmental pulmonary artery PE 71 (40.8) 19 (26.8) satisfactory for diagnosis in 170 examinations
Subsegmental pulmonary artery PE 32 (18.4) 19 (59.4) (98%) and inadequate for diagnosis in four
Note—Except where noted otherwise, data are number (%) of patients. examinations (2%). The average quality of
ap = 0.002.
contrast enhancement was 291.3 ± 60.9 HU,
versus a mean of 338.5 ± 91.8 HU in the group
TABLE 2: Comparison of Solitary Pulmonary Embolism (PE) in All and with a concordant diagnosis (p = 0.002).
­Discordant Pulmonary CT Angiography Examinations There was discordance between the chest
Location of PE All Cases Discordant Cases radiologists and the original radiologist in 31
of 67 (46.2%) cases of reported solitary PE,
Total 67 (38.5) 31 (46.2)
whereas discordance occurred in only 14 of
Pulmonary trunk PE 1 (0.6) 0 (0.0) 107 (13.1%) cases where multiple PEs were
Main pulmonary artery PE 5 (2.9) 1 (20.0) originally reported. Discordance was highest
Lobar pulmonary artery PE 6 (3.4) 4 (66.7) for cases of reported peripheral PEs (38/103
[36.9%] cases of segmental or subsegmental
Segmental pulmonary artery PE 31 (17.8) 10 (32.3)
PEs), with the highest rate for reported sol-
Subsegmental pulmonary artery PE 24 (13.8) 16 (66.7) itary subsegmental PEs (16/24 [66.7%] of
Note—Except where noted otherwise, data are number (%) of patients. such cases). Discordance occurred most
commonly in the lower lobes, with the most
tifact from breathing or cardiac pulsation; poor PE by the original radiologist (Table 1), commonly involved vessels being the lateral
contrast opacification of the pulmonary arteries and comprised 84 male and 90 female pa- basal and posterior basal segmental arteries
due to Valsalva maneuver, cardiac insufficien- tients with a mean age of 64 years (range, of the left lower lobe; these vessels accounted
cy, or other cause of mixing of opacified and un- 17–99 years). PEs were reported as solitary for 35.5% of all discordant cases diagnosed at
opacified blood; beam-hardening attenuation ar- in 67 cases (38.5%) and multiple in 107 cas- the segmental level. Interestingly, no discor-
tifact caused by adjacent high-density structures es (61.5%) (Table 2). PEs were more fre- dant diagnoses were seen in the right middle
such as opacified veins, contrast material pooling quently reported in the peripheral segmen- lobe (where diagnostic difficulty might have
in the inferior vena cava or right ventricle, or bony tal and subsegmental arteries (103 cases; been expected because of the more horizon-
structures; and the presence of airspace disease
obscuring the underlying pulmonary vasculature.
7
Descriptive numeric values were used for pa-
tient and PE demographics (actual values, per- 6
centages, mean [± SD], and ranges). Comparisons
No. of Discordant Cases

between groups were performed using the paired t 5


test and for ordinal categories using the chi-square
Fig. 2—Bar chart 4
test. A p value of 0.05 or less was considered sta- depicting number of
tistically significant. All statistics were performed discordant cases of 3
using SPSS (version 16, IBM). pulmonary embolism
diagnosis per attending 2
radiologist. Each letter
Results anonymously represents
1
There were 937 pulmonary CTA exami- each of 15 attending
nations performed over the course of the radiologists. Asterisk
denotes member of 0
12-month study period. Of these, 174 stud- panel of subspecialist
A B C D E F G H I J* K L M N O
ies (18.6%) were reported as positive for Attending Radiologist
chest radiologists.

AJR:205, August 2015 273


Hutchinson et al.

20 Fig. 3—Bar chart ment and either inconclusive or possibly er-


showing relative roneous pulmonary CTA results can cause
18 frequencies of artifact
thought to have difficulties in patient diagnosis and manage-
16
No. of Discordant Cases

been responsible ment, often leading to repeat imaging and


14 for misdiagnosis in unnecessary anticoagulation therapy.
12 discordant cases. PE =
pulmonary embolism.
The risks and disadvantages of anticoagula-
10 tion therapy include hemorrhage (occasionally
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8 devastating or fatal) [8], interactions with oth-


6 er medications, inconvenience in terms of at-
4 tendance for repeated blood tests (which may
2 require time off work), and cost (to both the
patient and society) [23]. Furthermore, a diag-
0
Breathing Cardiac Mixing Valsalva Beam Airspace nosis of PE carries with it implications for life
(42.2%) (11.1%) (11.1%) (6.7%) Hardening Disease insurance coverage, travel plans, and prepara-
(22.2%) (6.7%)
tion for other medical or surgical procedures.
Artifact Simulating PE
The diagnosis of PE also places the patient in
a higher risk category for future events, which
tal course of the pulmonary arteries and their adherence to referral guidelines, which has can influence investigations and management
greater susceptibility to partial volume aver- been shown to significantly affect positivi- if the patient again seeks medical attention for
aging effects). The distribution of instances ty rates, may explain some of this variation; similar symptoms. The significance of a false-
of discordance between the chest radiologists for example, 30% of all pulmonary CTA ex- positive pulmonary CTA examination should
and the original reporting radiologists was aminations were positive for PE in the mul- be considered in this context.
relatively even, varying from zero to six cas- ticenter Christopher Study [2], which used Previously published studies have shown
es per radiologist (median, three cases), indi- strict adherence to a basic pretest risk strati- differences between chest- and non-chest-
cating that this was a generalized rather than fication tool. The rate of index positive cas- trained radiologists in the diagnostic accu-
an individual phenomenon (Fig. 2). es in our center was 18.6% for the 12-month racy of pulmonary CTA interpretation. In a
Causes for the 45 cases of discordance in- period studied. After review by the panel of 2011 study of 70 isolated subsegmental PEs
cluded the following: 24 (53%) cases were chest radiologists, this was revised down- by Pena et al. [13], a reviewing thoracic radi-
due to motion artifact from breathing (19 ward to 13.8%. In our institution, there is no ologist reinterpreted 11% of these examina-
[42.2%]) or cardiac pulsation (5 [11.1%]), systematic use of pretest probability scor- tions as negative. In a separate abstract pub-
eight (18%) cases were due to poor con- ing (e.g., Well or Revised Geneva scores [21, lished by Miller et al. [18], a single thoracic
trast opacification from Valsalva maneuver 22]) and inconsistent use of d-dimer assays. radiologist found a false-positive or probable
(3 [6.7%]) or contrast material mixing (5 Furthermore, many pulmonary CTA exami- false-positive rate of 11% at all pulmonary
[11.1%]), 10 cases (22.2%) were due to atten- nations in our institution are ordered by the artery levels in 508 cases. Compared with
uation artifact secondary to beam hardening emergency department before assessment by these previous studies, the current study is
from adjacent high-density structures, and the admitting medical team. The combina- larger and uses a panel of three subspecial-
three cases (6.7%) were due to effects from tion of a lack of pretest probability assess- ty chest radiologists as a more robust surro-
adjacent airspace disease (Fig. 3).

Discussion
This study shows an unexpectedly high
rate of overdiagnosis of PE by pulmonary
CTA in a tertiary-care university hospital,
with an overall rate of 25.9% of all positive
pulmonary CTA examinations, increasing to
as high as 66.7% of cases where a solitary
subsegmental PE was originally reported.
Discordance was greatest for solitary PEs,
PEs located in segmental and subsegmental
pulmonary arteries, and in the lower zones
of the lungs. The positive predictive value of
pulmonary CTA for the diagnosis of PE was
only 74.1% in this study.
The published overall rate of positive diag- A B
nosis of PE on pulmonary CTA varies from Fig. 4—90-year-old woman with pulmonary embolism in left lower lobe pulmonary artery.
study to study (e.g., 15.4% [14], 16.4% [13], A, Coronal pulmonary CT angiography image (mediastinal window) shows apparent filling defect (arrow) within
left lower lobe pulmonary artery.
and 17.8% [6]) but usually ranges between B, Same image on lung window shows stair-step artifact (arrowhead) related to respiratory motion in right
14% [20] and 22% [7]. Differing levels of lower lobe artery and right major fissure (arrow) with rapid position movement.

274 AJR:205, August 2015


Overdiagnosis of Pulmonary Embolism by CTA

The second-most-common confounding ar-


tifact was beam-hardening attenuation artifact
(Fig. 5) from high-density structures, includ-
ing pooled contrast agent in the SVC or oth-
er adjacent vessels, metallic structures such as
pacemakers, or the patient’s arms if they can-
not be elevated above the chest. The use of a
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saline chaser helps clear pooled contrast agent


from the SVC [10]. Apart from their prox-
imity to a high-density structure, regions of
low attenuation related to streak artifact have
much higher densities (> 78 HU) than real
thrombus and form indistinct borders with
contrast agent in the vessels [10]. We also ob-
served that beam-hardening attenuation arti-
A B fact could often be tracked in a radial pattern
Fig. 5—24-year-old woman presenting with pleuritic chest pain and deep calf tenderness. from the source of the artifact and could also
A, Axial image from pulmonary CT angiography shows apparent filling defect (arrow) in segmental pulmonary be identified in other nearby structures.
artery in right lower lobe, which is due to streak artifact secondary to beam hardening from high-density
contrast material in right ventricle.
Other artifacts responsible for misinter-
B, Example of beam attenuation artifact from high-density contrast material in superior vena cava, creating pretation included cardiac pulsatility (Figs. 6
pseudoembolus (arrow) in truncus anterior pulmonary artery. and 7), which is most often seen in regions
of the lung adjacent to the heart, such as the
gate reference standard, rather than relying cause identified for the misdiagnosis of PE lingula and the paracardiac segments of the
on one single radiologist’s opinion. Although was motion artifact due to breathing, which lower lobes; reduced mixing of contrast agent
this was a single-center study, our depart- accounted for 42.2% of cases. Breathing arti- with unopacified blood, which can be due to
ment does not differ in any significant way fact has previously been shown to be the most excessive inflow of unopacified blood from
from any other university hospital imaging common mimic of PE [18] as well as the most the inferior vena cava or other veins, exces-
center, with the same mix of inpatients, out- common cause of equivocal pulmonary CTA sive breath-holding resulting in a Valsalva
patients, emergency department patients, findings in up to 74% of cases [9]. Breathing maneuver, or poor cardiac function and poor
and pregnant patients as might be found in artifact can most easily be identified on a lung mixing of contrast agent; and obscuration of
any equivalent tertiary referral center, and window by the presence of the seagull arti- the pulmonary arteries by adjacent paren-
with a modern radiology department us- fact, the stair-step artifact, and rapid chang- chymal disease. The latter is attributed to in-
ing conventional MDCT technology and a es in position of vessels on contiguous image creased local vascular resistance, which leads
PACS for the performance and interpretation slices [10] (Fig. 4). Ways to reduce the level of to reduced flow and flow artifacts [10]. Inter-
of pulmonary CTA examinations, staffed breathing artifact include administering sup- estingly, in our study, there were no discrep-
by a general mix of experienced subspecial- plemental oxygen and scanning in the caudo- ancies due to confusion between PEs and pul-
ty fellowship-trained radiologists. The high cranial direction [24]. monary veins or mucus-filled bronchi. This
rates of discrepant pulmonary CTA inter-
pretations found in this study raise concerns
about the diagnostic accuracy of radiologists
in the wider community. However, the gener-
alizability of our results should be confirmed
with a larger multicenter study.
Causes of diagnostic difficulty in the in-
terpretation of pulmonary CTA examinations
are well recognized [9–11]. A full description
of such interpretative pitfalls is beyond the
scope of this discussion, but potential false-
positive findings are known to occur because
of partial volume averaging effects secondary
to motion (breathing and cardiogenic), poor
contrast opacification from mixing of opaci-
fied and unopacified blood, beam-hardening
attenuation artifact from high-density struc- A B
tures (e.g., contrast agent in the superior vena Fig. 6—61-year-old man with suspected pulmonary embolism.
cava [SVC] and right atrium), and confusion A, Axial image from pulmonary CT angiography at level of left lower lobe shows effects of cardiac pulsation
artifact, which results in partial volume averaging effect between high density in left lower pulmonary arteries
with venous structures and mucus-filled bron- and low density of adjacent lung (arrows), which was confused with pulmonary emboli.
chi [9, 10, 24]. In our study, the most common B, On lung window, this artifact can be recognized by blurring of walls of affected arteries (arrows).

AJR:205, August 2015 275


Hutchinson et al.

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ticoagulation therapy would be taken within When compared with the consensus opin- slice multidetector computed tomography pulmo-
the clinical context of the patient’s presenta- ion of a panel of three chest radiologists, we nary angiography: evaluation of cardiogenic motion
tion, history of thromboembolic disease, car- found a high rate of overdiagnosis of PE by artifacts and influence of rotation time on image
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