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Article history: Existing studies of on-line process control are concerned with economic aspects, and the parameters of
Received 27 November 2011 the processes are optimized with respect to the average cost per item produced. However, an equally
Accepted 18 April 2012 important dimension is the adoption of an efficient maintenance policy. In most cases, only the frequency
Available online 11 May 2012
of the corrective adjustment is evaluated because it is assumed that the equipment becomes ‘‘as good as
new’’ after corrective maintenance. For this condition to be met, a sophisticated and detailed corrective
Keywords: adjustment system needs to be employed. The aim of this paper is to propose an integrated economic
Applied probability
model incorporating the following two dimensions: on-line process control and a corrective maintenance
Markov process
Imperfect corrective maintenance
program. Both performances are objects of an average cost per item minimization. Adjustments are based
On-line process control by variables on the location of the measurement of a quality characteristic of interest in a three decision zone. Numer-
Economical models ical examples are illustrated in the proposal.
Variable sampling interval Ó 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction (1993), Nandi and Sreehari (1999), Borges et al. (2001), Trindade
et al. (2007), Zhang et al. (2008), and Quinino et al. (2010). How-
Since the publication of the book ‘‘Quality Engineering in Pro- ever, all of these papers rely on a fixed sampling interval. Recently,
duction in Systems’’, by Taguchi et al. (1989), which introduced Ho and Quinino (in press) proposed a variable sampling interval
on-line process control designs applied to a production line, there (VSI) with two sampling intervals, a shorter interval and a longer
have been many developments related to on-line process control. interval, for the on-line process control of variables.
The first contributions related to on-line process control originated Most previous papers investigating on-line process control have
from Taguchi (1985) and Taguchi et al. (1989). In these papers, pro- been concerned only with the quality control dimension. Quality
cedures for on-line process control, which quality characteristic is control and maintenance models have been proposed separately,
a continuous random variable, are presented to introduce an although these two dimensions have many characteristics in com-
inspection scheme that minimizes the cost function associated mon and are equally important.
with changes in the process quality. The process is initiated in an Contributions involving integrated models for the joint optimi-
in-control state (i.e., the process mean is l = l0), and within a ran- zation of process control and maintenance can be found in the lit-
dom time t, the process operates in an out-of-control state (the erature. Several authors consider a specific distribution function to
process mean changes to l = l1, l1 – l0). The process monitoring describe failure mechanisms. For example, Tagaras (1988) and
consists of examining a single item for every m items that are pro- Panagiotidou and Nenes (2009) used an exponential distribution,
duced. If the examined item satisfies the control limits, then the and Linderman et al. (2005) and Zhou and Zhu (2008) used a Wei-
production continues; otherwise, the production is terminated bull distribution. Authors including Makis and Fung (1995), Ben-
for adjustment. After the adjustment, the process resumes and is Daya (1999), Ben-Daya and Rahim (2000), Lam and Rahim
in control. This type of monitoring has been the subject of many (2002), Wang and Sheu (2003), Wang (2006), and Panagiotidou
studies, including those by Adams and Woodall (1989), Srivastava and Tagaras (2010) have presented models that consider a general
and Wu (1991, 1995), Wang and Yue (2001), Ho et al. (2007), and probability function with an increasing hazard rate. A Weibull
Chou and Wang (2007). Similar procedures involving on-line pro- shock model was used by Ben-Daya (1999) and Ben-Daya and Ra-
cess, which quality characteristic is an attribute, have also been him (2000) to illustrate their examples. Partially observable Mar-
proposed by contributors such as Nayebpour and Woodall kov decision processes (POMDPs) have also been used as a
framework for many authors, such as Ivy and Nembhard (2005),
⇑ Corresponding author. Tel.: + 55 11 3091 5363x404; fax: + 55 11 3091 5399. Kuo (2006), and Yeung et al. (2007), to develop their models. Most
E-mail addresses: lindalee@usp.br (L.L. Ho), roberto@est.ufmg.br (R.C. Quinino). of the above-mentioned papers include the variable quality charac-
0377-2217/$ - see front matter Ó 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2012.04.019
254 L.L. Ho, R.C. Quinino / European Journal of Operational Research 222 (2012) 253–262
the process is recovered, it may wait a long time for an inspection. Cost parameters
Therefore, a longer sampling interval may be used. Points falling CI The cost to inspect one unit.
inside the inner limits may indicate that the process operates ade- Cn The cost to send a non-conforming
quately. Therefore, a longer sampling interval for the next inspec- unit to the customer or to the next
production stage.
tion can also be applied. In other cases, a shorter sampling interval
Ca The cost of perfect maintenance.
is used. However, a long sequence of h points falling between the Cai The cost of 50% effective
warning limits and the control limits may indicate that the process maintenance.
is not operating properly. Therefore, an additional rule (inspired by Cf The fixed cost for maintenance.
the rules in the Western Electric Handbook (1956)), which is Cd The cost to discard the inspected
item.
known as the m-of-m runs rule and is based on the results of the
last h inspections, is included to stop the process and search for Decision variables
an assignable cause. l0 ± C The upper and lower control limits.
The aim of this paper is to propose a model that integrates on- l0 ± W The upper and lower inner limits,
W 6 C.
line process control and corrective maintenance. Following the
m The sampling interval (in the number
method proposed by Ho and Quinino (in press), a variable sam- of produced units) if the value of the
pling interval is considered for the on-line process control of a var- quality characteristic of the current
iable. In this paper, two longer sampling intervals are proposed: LA inspection is in the yellow zone.
and LB. The sampling interval LA is applied if the process is termi- LA The sampling interval to be used after
a type A corrective maintenance.
nated for adjustment (and the process is recovered) after an obser- LB The sampling interval to be used after
vation falls outside the control limits, and the sampling interval LB a type B corrective maintenance.
is applied if the process is terminated due to a long sequence of h h The quantity of inspected units
observations falling between the warning limits and the control sequentially observed in the yellow
zone used to decide whether a type B
limits or if the observation falls inside the inner limits. For other
corrective maintenance is required.
situations, a sampling interval of m is used. cca The effectiveness of a type A
All of the above-mentioned papers assume that the corrective corrective maintenance.
maintenance of the equipment (adjustment) is perfect. In the pres- ccb The effectiveness of a type B
ent paper, a single item is sampled, and two different corrective corrective maintenance.
in the yellow zone when the process of-control states, including Dasgupta (2003), Ho et al. (2007),
is in control. Trindade et al. (2007), Dasgupta and Mandal (2008), and Ding
y1 The probability that the observed
and Gong (2008). Such a distribution not only facilitates the devel-
value of the quality characteristic is
in the yellow zone when the process
opment of a mathematical model but also enables the application
is out of control. of mathematical models to real problems, as described in the cited
r0 The probability that the observed papers. Once the process begins to operate in an out-of-control
value of the quality characteristic is state, it can return to an in-control state only after an intervention
in the red zone when the process is in
(after a corrective maintenance of type A or B).
control.
r1 The probability that the observed Three horizontal lines are used to draw standard (Shewhart)
value of the quality characteristic is control charts, one at l0 and two others at l0 ± C (the upper and
in the red zone when the process is lower control limits (CL)). However, additional limits may be in-
out of control. cluded. The outer limits are the usual action limits (l0 ± C), and
(s, k) Denotes a Markov chain state (s, k).
The first element, s, indicates
the inner limits are drawn at l0 ± W, W 6 C. To memorize the re-
whether the process is in control gions, different colors may be assigned. For example, points plotted
(s = 0) or out of control (s > 0). The outside of the control limits (that is,]1, l0 C] [ [l0 + C, + 1[)
second element, k, indicates whether lead to a stoppage for an assignable cause. The color red is used
the value of some quality
for this region; therefore, it is called the red zone (RZ). Points falling
characteristic of an inspected item is
in the red zone (k = 1), the green between the warning limits and the control limits (that
zone (k = 0) or the yellow zone (k > 0). is,]l0 C,l0 W] [ [l0 + W, l0 + C[) may indicate that the process
a(s, k) The cost of maintenance related to is not operating adequately. The color yellow is used for this region;
the state (s, k). therefore, this region is called the yellow zone (YZ). Otherwise, the
n(s, k) The cost of either sending non-
conforming items to the customer or
process must operate adequately if points fall between the warning
allowing non-conforming items to limits (that is,]l0 W, l0 + W[). The color green is used for this re-
proceed to later stages of the process gion; therefore, this region is called the green zone (GZ).
related to the state (s, k). Before we present the description of the probabilistic model, let
ðs;kÞ
pj The probability that the sampling
us first introduce several notations: let Xi, i = 1, 2, 3, . . . , 1 be an
interval of length j is in state (s, k)
j = m, LA, LB. observed value of some characteristic of interest at the ith inspec-
d(s,k) The proportion of inspections in state tion and
(s, k),s = 0, 1, 2; k = 1, 0, . . . , h in a
g 0 ¼ Pðl0 W < X i < l0 þ Wjl ¼ l0 Þ
large number of inspections.
pðs;kÞðs ;k Þ ; s; s ¼ 0; 1; 2; k; Denotes the transitory probabilities g 1 ¼ Pðl0 W < X i < l0 þ Wjl ¼ l1 Þ
from state (s, k) to (s⁄, k⁄).
k ¼ 1; 0; . . . ; h y0 ¼ Pðl0 þ W 6 X i < l0 þ Cjl ¼ l0 Þ þ Pðl0 C < X i 6 l0 Wjl ¼ l0 Þ
TðW; C; m; LA ; LB ; h; cca ; ccb Þ The average cost per item. :
E(V) The expected cost per inspection
y1 ¼ Pðl0 þ W 6 X i < l0 þ Cjl ¼ l1 Þ þ Pðl0 C < X i 6 l0 Wjl ¼ l1 Þ
cycle. r0 ¼ PðX i P l0 þ Cjl ¼ l0 Þ þ PðX i 6 l0 Cjl ¼ l0 Þ
E(Q) The average quantity of items sent to
r1 ¼ PðX i P l0 þ Cjl ¼ l1 Þ þ PðX i 6 l0 Cjl ¼ l1 Þ
the customer per inspection cycle.
In this paper, it is assumed that items are produced and that the If k = 1, the observed value of the current inspection is in the
quality characteristic of interest follows a normal distribution red zone, [(Xi P l0 + C) or (Xi 6 l0 C)], and the process is ter-
N (l, r2). minated for a type A corrective maintenance. Then, an inspec-
The process initiates in an in-control state (l = l0, state I), and, tion occurs after the production of LA items.
within a random time t, the process operates in an out-of-control If k = 0, the observed value is in the green zone, (l0 W < Xi
state (l = l1, l1 – l0, state II). This change is described by a geo- < l0 + W). The production continues, the next inspection occurs
metric distribution of parameter (p), where 0 < p < 1. The geomet- after the production of LB items, and no maintenance is
ric distribution is typically used for the discrete case in which the executed.
duration is measured by the number of units produced before the If k = 1, the observed value is in the yellow zone, (l0 + W 6 Xi
shift. The geometric distribution is memoryless, which facilitates a < l0 + C) or (l0 C < Xi 6 l0 W), and the previous observation
mathematical analysis, but it is useful for reasons other than its is not in the yellow zone. The production continues, the next
mathematical facilities. Several researchers have recently used inspection occurs after the production of m items, and mainte-
geometric distributions to describe shifts from in-control to out- nance does not occur.
256 L.L. Ho, R.C. Quinino / European Journal of Operational Research 222 (2012) 253–262
8
If k = 2, the observed value is in the yellow zone, > p ¼ pð0;hÞð0;1Þ ¼ qLB r 0
< ð0;0Þð0;1Þ
(l0 + W 6 Xi < l0 + C) or (l0 C < Xi 6 l0 W), as in the previ- pð0;0Þð0;0Þ ¼ pð0;hÞð0;0Þ ¼ qLB g 0 ð3Þ
ous case. The production continues, and the next inspection >
:
occurs only after the production of m items, and maintenance
pð0;0Þð0;1Þ ¼ pð0;hÞð0;1Þ ¼ qLB y0
does not occur. Additionally, if the observed value at the ith inspection is in the
if k = 3, the observed value is in the yellow zone, yellow zone, then the following equalities hold:
(l0 + W 6 Xi < l0 + C) or (l0 C < Xi 6 l0 W), as in the two 8 m
previous inspections, the next inspection occurs only after the < pð0;kÞð0;1Þ ¼ q r 0
>
m
production of m items, and maintenance does not occur. pð0;kÞð0;0Þ ¼ q g 0 ; ð4Þ
>
:p
If k = h, the observed value is in the yellow zone ¼ qm y
ð0;kÞð0;kþ1Þ 0
((l0 + W 6 Xi < l0 + C) or (l0 C < Xi 6 l0 W)), as in the
(h 1) previous cases. However, type B corrective maintenance where (1 p)m = qm for 1 6 k 6 h 1. Employing (2)–(4), we obtain
is executed, and the next inspection occurs only after the pro- the following matrix:
duction of LB items; therefore, k P 0, where the index k = t indi- 2 3
qLA r 0 qLA g 0 qLA y0 0 0 0
cates a sequence of t observed values in the yellow zone. 6 qLB r 7
6 0 qLB g 0 qLB y0 0 0 0
7
6 m 7
6 q r0 qm g 0 0 m
q y0 0 7
0
Fig. 1 represents the new proposal schematically. For example, 6 7
6 .. 7
if h = 2, k = 1 or 2 indicates a type A or type B corrective mainte- 6 7
A00 ¼ 6 qm r 0 qm g 0 0 0 . 0 0 7
nance, respectively. For other values of k, the production continues. 6 7
6 . 7
In this paper, the maintenance policy is integrated with on-line 6 .. 7
6 7
process control in a single model, and its design will be obtained 6 m 7
4 q r0 qm g 0 0 0 0 qm y0 5
through an economical approach that consists of the determination
qLB r 0 qLB g 0 qLB y0 0 0 0
of the following set of parameters:
The elements of A01 are the transitory probabilities of passing
The warning and control limits (l0 ± W and l0 ± C). from states (0, k) to (1, k⁄). The process is in control at the ith
Three sampling intervals: LA(to be applied after a type A correc- inspection, but the parameter l shifts from l0 to l1. Several items
tive maintenance), LB(to be applied after a type B corrective are produced at l = l0, but at least the inspected item is produced
maintenance) and m (after an observation in the yellow zone). at l = l1. The non-null elements of the matrix A01 are expressed in
The length h of a sequence of observations in the yellow zone to (5)–(7).
initiate type B corrective maintenance. If the observed value at the ith inspection is in the red zone,
The probabilities cca ; ccb that measure the effectiveness of the then
process recovery when the process is terminated for type A 8
and type B corrective maintenance, respectively. > p ¼ ð1 qLA Þr 1
< ð0;1Þð1;1Þ
pð0;1Þð1;0Þ ¼ ð1 qLA Þg 1 ð5Þ
>
:
The transition probabilities from state (s, k) at the time of pð0;1Þð1;1Þ ¼ ð1 qLA Þy1
inspection i to state (s⁄, k⁄) at the time of inspection (i + 1) are
the elements of the matrix P: However, if the observed value is in the yellow zone, as in the
0 1 (h 1) previous inspections, or if the observed value at ith inspec-
A00 A01 A02 tion is in the green zone, then
B C
P¼B A12 C 8
@ A10 A11 A; ð1Þ
> p ¼ pð0;hÞð1;1Þ ¼ ð1 qLB Þr1
< ð0;0Þð1;1Þ
A20 A21 A22 pð0;0Þð1;0Þ ¼ pð0;hÞð1;0Þ ¼ ð1 qLB Þg 1 ð6Þ
>
:
where A denotes the matrix of transitory probabilities pðs;kÞðs ;k Þ ,
ss pð0;0Þð1;1Þ ¼ pð0;hÞð1;1Þ ¼ ð1 qLB Þy1
s;s⁄ = 0, 1, 2; k, k⁄ = 1, 0, . . . , h. In the paragraph below, the ele-
Additionally, if the observed value at the ith inspection is in the yel-
ments of matrix A00 are detailed.
low zone, then
The elements of A00 are the transitory probabilities of passing 8 m
from states (0, k) to (0, k⁄). The process is in control at the ith < pð0;kÞð1;1Þ ¼ ð1 q Þr 1
>
inspection, and it also stays in control at the (i + 1) th inspection. m
pð0;kÞð1;0Þ ¼ ð1 q Þg 1 ð7Þ
If the observed value at the ith inspection is in the red zone (with >
:p ¼ ð1 qm Þy
ð0;kÞð1;kþ1Þ 1
the in-control process), a type A corrective maintenance is exe-
cuted. The next inspection occurs only after the production of LA for 1 6 k 6 h 1. Employing (5)–(7),
items (the probability of this event is ð1 pÞLA ¼ qLA Þ; then, 2
ð1 qLA Þr 1 ð1 qLA Þg 1 ð1 qLA Þy1 0 0 0
3
6 ð1 qLB Þr ð1 qLB Þg ð1 qLB Þy 7
8 6 1 1 1 0 0 0 7
>
> pð0;1Þð0;1Þ ¼ qLA r0 6
6 ð1 qm Þr 1 ð1 qm Þg 1
7
7
> 6 0 ð1 qm Þy1 0 0 7
< 6 7
pð0;1Þð0;0Þ ¼ qLA g 0 : ð2Þ 6 .. 7
> A01 ¼ 6 ð1 qm Þr 1 ð1 qm Þg 1 0 0 . 0 0 7
>
> 6
6
7
7
: .
pð0;1Þð0;1Þ ¼ qLA y0 6
6 . . 7
7
6 7
4 ð1 qm Þr 1 ð1 qm Þg 1 0 0 0 m
ð1 q Þy1 5
However, if the observed value is in the yellow zone, as in the ð1 qLB Þr 1 ð1 qLB Þg 1 ð1 qLB Þy1 0 0 0
(h 1) previous inspections, then a type B corrective maintenance
is executed. In this case, the next inspection occurs only after the The matrix A02 is a null matrix; A10 = A20, and their non-null ele-
production of LB items. Similarly, if the ith inspection is in the green ments are the transitory probabilities with k = 1 (a type A correc-
zone, then the next inspection occurs only after the production of tive maintenance is executed) or k = h (a type B corrective
LBitems (the probability of this event is ð1 pÞLB ¼ qLB Þ. Therefore, maintenance occurs). However, the process may not be completely
the following equalities hold: recovered (with a probability of cca ; 0:5 6 cca 6 1 being completely
L.L. Ho, R.C. Quinino / European Journal of Operational Research 222 (2012) 253–262 257
To obtain the cost function, additional assumptions are re- The costs of the corrective maintenances (types A and B) of the
quired. Once a decision is made regarding the maintenance, the process are for states (s, k), s = 0, 1, 2; k = 1, h. Therefore,
stoppage of the process is instantaneous. After the corrective main- aðs; kÞ ¼ Iðk¼hÞ C cb þ Iðk¼1Þ C Ca ; s ¼ 0; 1; 2; :
tenance, the process restarts at State I (l = l0 = 0); however, the
corrective actions may not recover the process at its initial condi- From the Taguchi quadratic loss function Taguchi et al. (2004), the
tions. Moreover, it is assumed that the inspected items are dis- costs Cca and Ccb are obtained independently and are expressed as
carded. In this paper, the costs follow a structure similar to that follows:
of typical economical designs: CI is the cost of a single inspection; C a C ai C a C ai
Cca is the cost of a type A corrective maintenance; and Ccb is the C ca ¼ C f þ c2ca þ C a
cost of a type B corrective maintenance. In this paper, one item is
ð1 0:52 Þ ð1 0:52 Þ
declared to be non-conforming if the observed value of the quality C a C ai C a C ai
C cb ¼ C f þ c2cb þ C a :
characteristic is not within the specification limits (l0 ± LE). There- ð1 0:52 Þ ð1 0:52 Þ
fore, the following costs, which are related to non-conforming and
The cost Cca (Ccb) is compounded by two parts: a fixed cost (Cf) and
discarded items, are also included in the model: Cn is the cost to
a variable cost according to a quadratic function. If the process is
produce a non-conforming item (this item may be sent to the cus-
completely recovered after the corrective maintenance (100% of
tomer or to the following production stages); and CD is the cost to
effectiveness), then Cca(Ccb) will be equal to Ca, and in the case of
discard the examined item. Therefore, after each cycle (inspection),
50% effectiveness, it will be Cai.
(LA 1), (LB 1) or (m 1), the items are sent to the customer or to
the following stages of production.
The cost to send non-conforming items to the customer or the
For a sufficiently large number of inspections, d = (d(0,1), . . . ,
cost during the later stages of the process;
d(0,h), d(1,1), . . . , d(1,h), d(2,1), . . . , d(2,h)) is the vector of the probabil-
ity of the states of the Markov chain. Let C be the random variables
For states (0, k), k = 1, 0, . . . , h, all of the items are produced at
related to the cost at each cycle of inspection, which assumes dis-
l = l0; therefore,
crete values related to the states of the Markov chain. The cost of h i
state (s, k), s = 0, 1, 2; k = 1, 0, . . . , h can be written as follows: nð0; kÞ ¼ C n p1 pð0;kÞ
ð0;kÞ ð0;kÞ
m ðm 1Þ þ pLA ðLA 1Þ þ pLB ðLB 1Þ ;
The current proposal is 11.8% cheaper than the approach pre- Table 2
sented in Ho et al. (2007), which has a single sampling interval Factors and levels of the factorial experiment.
of m0 ¼ L0A ¼ L0B ¼ 38; h ¼ 1; W ¼ C ¼ 1:46; cca ¼ ccb ¼ 1 and an Dummy Codes of dummy
average cost of $2.310. When compared with the proposal in Ho variables
and Quinino (in press), our proposal is 8.5% cheaper. The proposal Dj1 0 1 1
in Ho and Quinino (in press) has two sampling intervals, Dj2 1 0 1
mo ¼ 3; LoA ¼ LoB ¼ 55; h ¼ 3; W o ¼ 0:70; C o ¼ 1:64; cca ¼ ccb ¼ 1, and Values of the levels
an average cost of $2.242. Our approach includes the earlier ap- Factor 1st 2nd 3rd
proaches presented by Ho et al. (2007) and Ho and Quinino (in
D1 – Cost to inspect (CI) 0.2125 0.2500 0.2875
press). Both of the previous approaches can be viewed as special D2 – Cost to send a non-conforming 17 20 23
cases of our proposal. item (Cn)
The results presented in Table 1 are useful, but they do not D3 – Cost to scrap an inspected item 1.7 2.0 2.3
clearly indicate which input parameters have the greatest impact (CD)
D4 – Cost for a perfect corrective 1190 1400 1610
on the cost function. The identification of these parameters is par-
maintenance (Ca)
ticularly important once they are not free of errors, and the input D5 – Cost for a 50% effectiveness 425 500 575
parameters that produce a larger impact on the average cost re- corrective maintenance (Cai)
quire more attention. Our experience, which is based on real cases D6 – Fixed cost for a corrective 340 400 460
in economical control implantation, indicates that a maximum er- maintenance (Cf)
D7 – The (out-of-control) process 0.85 1.00 1.15
ror of 15% in the input parameters is reasonable if their evaluation mean (l1)
is carefully conducted. Clearly, other values might be used for the D8 – Probability of a shift in the 0.85 1.00 1.15
method discussed below. process mean p 103
Consider the structure of a 3k factorial experiment with k = 8
factors, i.e., input parameters. Such a design has 38 = 6561 combi-
of the nonlinear model TðW; C; m; LA ; LB ; h; cC a ; ccb Þ discussed in this
nations. For each factor (input parameter), the value described in
article. The error is assumed to follow a normal distribution with
the beginning of this section is set as the reference level, and the
a mean equal to zero and a constant variance.
other two levels are fixed at the reference level ±15%. Two dummy
The factors (input parameters), the levels and their respective
variables are defined as follows for each factor Dj:
dummy variables are summarized in Table 2.
8
The well-known least-squares method is used to obtain the param-
< ð0; 1Þ for 1st level
>
^ ¼ ðX0 XÞ1 X0 Y,
eter estimates of the multiple linear regression with b
ðDj1 ; Dj2 Þ ¼ ð1; 0Þ for 2nd level
>
: where Y is a vector (column) of dimension 6561x1 with the average
ð1; 1Þ for 3rd level cost per item of the 6561 treatments and X is a square matrix of
dimension 6561. The first element of the vector b ^ estimates the inter-
for j = 1, . . . , 8. The choice of which level will occur first, second or
cept. The next 16 coefficients are related to the main effects followed
third will not alter the results.
by 112 coefficients related to the effects of 2nd-order interactions, 448
A linear multiple regression model is employed to relate the
coefficients related to the effects of 3rd-order interactions, 1120 coef-
average cost per unit as the response variable and dummy variables
ficients related to the effects of 4th order interactions, 1792 coeffi-
as the explanatory variables. A linear model may be reasonably ana-
cients related to the effects of 5th-order interactions, 1792
lyzed in the region ±15% from the reference level. Such a model indi-
coefficients related to the effects of 6th-order interactions, 1024 coef-
cates the impact of each input parameter in a similar way to a
ficients related to the effects of 7th-order interactions and 256 coeffi-
screening experiment. Note that a replication of any treatment will
cients related to the effects of 8th-order interactions.
provide the same response because TðW; C; m; LA ; LB ; h; cC a ; ccb Þ is a
At a fixed level of significance of 5%, the main effects are signifi-
deterministic function. The error associated with the regression
cant at a p-value <0.001, whereas the interactions of any order are
model arises due to the use of a linear model as an approximation
not significant. The assumptions (normality and constant variance)
related to the random error are valid, and a coefficient of determina-
Table 1 tion R2 = 99% was observed. In the second round, a non-saturated
Plots of the average cost versus the decision parameters. model with only the main effects is adjusted, and estimates of
^0 ; b
b ^j1 ; b
^j2 ; j ¼ 1; . . . ; 8 are obtained. The coefficients are significant
Order Cost ($) m LB LA h W C cc a cc b
at a 5% level with a p-value < 0.001 and a coefficient of determina-
1 2.065548 2 68 5 8 0.45 1.60 0.850 0.680
2 2.065549 2 67 4 8 0.44 1.61 0.850 0.674
tion R2 = 96%. The assumptions of normality and constant variance
3 2.065549 2 67 5 8 0.44 1.62 0.850 0.674 related to the random error are also valid in this case. With these
4 2.065550 2 68 4 8 0.44 1.62 0.853 0.673 estimates, the importance of each factor is calculated in two ways:
5 2.065550 2 67 4 7 0.43 1.62 0.855 0.671
Table 3
19,950 2.083448 3 68 4 9 0.43 1.62 0.859 0.671 The relative impacts of the factors.
19,951 2.083448 4 65 6 10 0.43 1.62 0.859 0.645
19,952 2.083449 4 64 7 10 0.44 1.63 0.859 0.663 Factor Importance by
19,953 2.083449 4 65 6 10 0.44 1.63 0.850 0.671
Range (%) Sum of squares (%)
19,954 2.083449 5 66 6 6 0.43 1.63 0.859 0.645
p 31.27 50.18
l1 19.97 22.33
Cn 13.19 8.97
38,996 2.127396 6 64 4 7 0.43 1.64 0.873 0.663 Ca 12.66 8.96
38,997 2.127396 6 65 3 6 0.42 1.64 0.839 0.671 Cai 9.47 4.66
38,998 2.127397 6 65 4 6 0.42 1.63 0.884 0.680 Cf 7.67 4.01
38,999 2.127398 6 64 3 6 0.42 1.64 0.884 0.671 CD 2.88 0.44
39,000 2.127403 6 63 4 6 0.42 1.61 0.839 0.663 CI 2.88 0.45
L.L. Ho, R.C. Quinino / European Journal of Operational Research 222 (2012) 253–262 261
Fig. 2. The average cost by level of the factors CI, Cn, CD, Ca, Cai, Cf, l1 and p.
by the range of the estimates of the coefficients and by the propor- In this paper, we extend the system of control by implementing
tion of the sum of the squares. The range of the estimates of the coef- control zones. Three zones are defined as follows: the green zone
ficients for each factor was used to evaluate the impact of each (l0 W 6 Xi 6 l0 + W), the yellow zone (l0 + W 6 Xi < l0 + C) or
factor on the cost function (importance by range). For more details, (l0 C < Xi 6 l0 W), and the red zone, (Xi > l0 + C) or (Xi < l0 C).
see Green and Srinivasan (1990) and Malhotra (1999). For example, An observed value in the green zone indicates that the process is in
the estimate of the coefficient (utility) of the first level of the factor j control and that the production should continue. However, a decision
^j1 , that of the second level is b
is b ^j2 and that of the third level is in favor of an adjustment of the process is made if the observed value
ðb^j1 b^j2 Þ, in which b ^j1 and b
^j2 are obtained by the least-squares falls within the red zone. Moreover, a sequential verification occurs if
method. The impact of factor j is proportional to the range an observed value is within in the yellow zone. If a sequence of hvalues
½maxðb ^j1 ; b
^j2 ; b
^j1 b
^j2 Þ minðb
^j1 ; b
^j2 ; b
^j1 b
^j2 Þ when compared in the yellow zone is observed, then an adjustment is decided upon.
with the range of the estimates of the coefficients of the other fac- Moreover, adjustments may present performances in the range of
tors. Using this method, the impact of each factor is obtained, as 50% and 100%.
summarized in Table 3 (column 2). Note that factors D8, which is The aim is to find the values of m, LA, LB, h, W, C, cca and ccb that
the probability of a shift in the process mean (p), and D7, which is minimize the average cost. According to the results presented in
the process mean when the process is out of control (l1), yield high- Section 4, the inspection control and the policy presented in this
er impacts of 31.3% and 20%, respectively. Thus, these factors re- paper may yield at least equal or possibly more economical results
quire careful evaluation and estimation. Note that the costs than those obtained by Ho et al. (2007) and Ho and Quinino (in
related to the maintenance (Ca, Cai and Cf) add up to 29.8%. press).
Montgomery (2001) suggested finding the importance of each Future research can be proposed on the basis of this work. For
factor j as a percentage of the sum of the squares due to factor j example, the number of zones may increase. The tendency is to
of the total of the sum of the squares. Table 3 presents the impor- introduce more automation into the process control so that the
tance of the factors obtained in two ways. The ranks of the factors more complex alternatives do not become overly complex for the
using the two methods are identical. Both methods indicate that user. In addition, other distributions for the process failure mech-
the probability of a shift in the process mean (p) is the most impor- anism can be developed. A natural candidate is the Weibull distri-
tant. The second method ranked the shift in the process mean at bution because it can take on a variety of shapes and mimic the
50%, whereas the first method ranked the shift at 31%. Special care behavior of other distributions. Compared with the exponential/
must be taken in the definition of the factors D8, the probability of geometric distribution, the Weibull distribution is more flexible
a shift in the process mean (p), and D7, the process mean when the because it includes models with increasing or decreasing hazard
process is out of control (l1). rates.
Descriptive statistics may help to understand these results. In
Fig. 2, plots of the average cost by each level of the factor are pre- Acknowledgments
sented. An upward tendency of the average mean of the factors
that are considered more important is observed, whereas the aver- This research was supported by CNPq Universal 472636/2009-
age of the other factors is held constant when the levels are altered. 0. The authors would like to thank the anonymous referees for
their constructive comments on the early version of this work,
which led to substantial improvements.
5. Conclusions
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