Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2011-12
Introduction:
An attempt has been made to analyze Hindustan Unilever Ltd.’s overall performance and
assess its current financial standing. The purpose of this analysis is to assess company’s
financial health and performance. Effective decision making requires evaluation of the
past performance of the companies and assessment of the future prospects. The starting
point in analysis is to look at the past record. Information about past performance is
useful in judging future performance. An assessment of the current status will show
where the company stands at present. To a large extent, the expectations of investors and
creditors about future performance are shaped by their evaluation of past performance
and current position. Investors and creditors use information about past to assess the
prospects of a company. Investors expect an adequate return from the company in the
form of the dividends and market price appreciation. Creditors expect the company to pay
interest and repay the principal in accordance with the terms of lending. Therefore they
are interested in predicting the earning power and debt paying ability of the company.
Investors and creditors try to balance expected risks and return.
Needless to mention comparisons are essentially intended to throw light on how well a
company is achieving its objectives. In order to decide the types of comparisons that are
useful, we need first to consider what a business is all about? What its objectives are. A
generalization that the overall objective of a business is to create value for its
shareholders while maintaining a sound financial position; implicit to this statement is the
assumption is that value creation can be measured. Our approach to financial analysis
followed a comprehensive framework of looking at various parameters of company
performance and use different ratio’s to substantiate the analysis.
Here ratios and other qualitative aspects have been considered in a sequence intended to
facilitate an understanding of the total business. First as an analysis one has to look at the
firm’s performance in the broadest terms and then worked down through various levels of
detail in order to identify the significant factors that accounted for the overall results. If
the values of the ratios used in this analysis are compared with their values for other time
periods, the comparison is called a longitudinal, or trend analysis.
Dozens of ratios can be computed from a single set of financial statements. Each analyst
tend to have a set of favorite ratios selected from those described below and probably
from some which has not been described. Although here many frequently used ratios
have been described, the best analytical procedure is not to compare all of them
mechanically but rather to describe first which ratios might be relevant in the particular
type of investigation to expertise the trend and its significance.
From the Profit and Loss Account we observe that HUL has registered a topline growth
of 12.06 per cent in 2011-2 compared to 2010-11. In absolute terms it has achieved a
topline of Rs 21329.96 crores in 2011-12 compared to Rs 19103.96 crores in the previous
period. Top line of HUL comprises of Sales and Other Operating Income and Other
Income. Both the components have grown at different rates as could be seen from the
Table below.
2010-11 2011-12 %
growth
A. Income (D+E) 19103.96 21329.96 12.06
Sales and Other Operating Income comprise of Sale of Soaps , Synthetic detergents,
personal products tea, and other various products and Other operating income. Table -2
below shows how all these components of sales and other operating income has increased
or decreased compared to last year.
Table -2 reveals that the sales revenue of almost all the items have increased in 2011-12
compared to 2010-2011except Tea and Specialty chemicals. The sales revenue from Tea
has dropped down by 5.49% in 2011-12 compared to 2010-2011. Care should be taken in
this regard. Soaps, detergents, personal products, desserts and ice creams, processed
items, processed fruits, branded staples and others have reported a sales growth of 9.23,
29.17, 9.85, 30.29, 27.10, 12.54 and 5.47 percent respectively in the year 2011-12 in
comparison to its previous year.
2010-
11 2011-12
A Profit Before Taxes(PBT) 2937.03 3469.03
B Net Finance Charges 0.24 1.24
C Depreciation 220.83 218.25
D EBDITA (A+B+C) 3158.1 3688.52
E Less Depreciation 220.83 218.25
F EBIT (D-E) 2937.27 3470.27
G Interest 0.24 1.24
H PBT (F-G) 2937.03 3469.03
I Tax 631.04 777.63
J PAT(H-I) 2305.99 2691.4
Return on Investment
ROA EBIT Average total assets
Return on capital Employed EBIT Short and long-term
(ROCE) debt and equity
ROE PAT Average total equity
EBDITA Margin
EBIT Margin
This is calculated EBDITA minus operating costs in this case is only depreciation. So,
EBIT margin increasing faster than the EBDITA margin can indicate improvements in
controlling operating costs. In contrast, a declining/ EBIT margin could be an indicator of
deteriorating control over operating costs.
PAT Margin
Net profit, or net income, is calculated as revenue minus all expenses. Net profit includes
both recurring and nonrecurring components. Generally, the net profit margin adjusted for
nonrecurring items offers a better view of a company's potential future profitability.
Net income
Average total assets
The problem with this computation is net income is the return to equity-holders,
whereas assets are financed by both equity-holders and creditors. Interest expense
(the return to creditors) has already been subtracted in the numerator. Some ana-
lysts, therefore, prefer to add back interest expense in the numerator.' In such cases,
interest must be adjusted for income taxes because net income is determined after
taxes. With this adjustment, the ratio would be computed as:
As noted, returns are measured prior to deducting interest on debt capital (i.e., as
operating income or EBlT). This measure reflects the return on all assets invested
in the company, whether financed with liabilities, debt, or equity. Whichever form
of ROA that is chosen, the analyst must use it consistently in comparisons to other
companies or time periods.
ROE
ROE measures the return earned by a company on its equity capital, including minority
shares, preference shares, and ordinary shares. As noted, return is measured as PAT or net
profit (i.e., interest on debt capital is not included in the return on equity capital). A
variation of ROE is return on ordinary shares, which measures, the return earned by a
company only on its common equity.
Both ROA and ROE are important measures of profitability and will be explored in
more detail below. As with other ratios, profitability ratios should be evaluated
individually and as a group to gain an understanding of what is driving profitability
(operating versus non-operating activities).
2010-11 2011-12
ROE (%) 22.63 24.49
The return on assets (ROA) of HUL has increased to 31.67% in 2011-12 compared to
28.90% in 2010-11. The ROE of the company has also enhanced from 22.63% in 22.63 to
24.49% in 2011-12. These indicate an improvement of profitability of the company from
the angle of investment of total assets as well as from equity shareholders’ perspective.
As noted earlier, ROE measures the return a company generates on its equity capital.
To understand what drives a company's ROE, a useful technique is to decompose
ROE into its component parts. (Decomposition of ROE is sometimes referred to as
DuPont analysis because it was developed originally at that company.) Decomposing
ROE involves expressing the basic ratio (i.e., net income divided by average
shareholders' equity) as the product of component ratios. Because each of these
component ratios is an indicator of a distinct aspect of a company's performance that
affects ROE, the decomposition allows us to evaluate how these different aspects of
performance affected the company's profitability as measured by ROE.
Decomposing ROE is useful in determining the reasons for changes in ROE over
The decomposition of ROE makes use of simple algebra and illustrates the
relationship between ROE and ROA. Expressing ROE as a product of only two of
its components, we can write:
Net income
ROE
Average shareholde rs ' equity
In other words, ROE is a function of a company's ROA and its use of financial
leverage ("leverage" for short, in this discussion). A company can improve its ROE
by improving ROA or making more effective use of leverage. Consistent with the
definition given earlier, leverage is measured as average total assets divided by
Just as ROE can be decomposed, the individual components such as ROA can be
decomposed. Further decomposing ROA, we can express ROE as a product of three
component ratios:
The first term on the right-hand side of this equation is the net profit margin, an
indicator of profitability: how much income a company derives per one money unit
(e.g., euro or dollar) of sales. The second term on the right is the asset turnover ratio,
an indicator of efficiency: how much revenue a company generates per one money
unit of assets. 'Note that ROA is decomposed into these two components: net profit
margin and asset turnover. A company's ROA is a function of profitability (net profit
margin) and efficiency (asset turnover). The third term on the right-hand side of is a
measure of financial leverage, an indicator of solvency: the total amount of a
company's assets relative to its equity capital. This decomposition illustrates that a
company's ROE is a function of its net profit margin, its efficiency, and its leverage.
Again, using the data from Example 12 for Anson Industries, the analyst can evaluate
in more detail the reasons behind the trend in ROE:
The second term on the right-hand side captures the effect of interest on ROE.
Higher borrowing costs reduce ROE. Some analysts prefer to use operating income
instead of EBIT for this factor and the following one (consistency is required), In
such a case, the second factor would measure both the effect of interest expense and
non-operating income.
The third term on the right-hand side captures the effect of operating margin (if
The fourth term on the right-hand side is again the asset turnover ratio, an indicator
of the overall efficiency of the company (i.e., how much revenue it generates per
unit of assets), The fifth term on the right-hand side is the financial leverage ratio
described above-the total amount of a company's assets relative to its equity capital.
This decomposition expresses a company's ROE as a function of its tax rate, interest
burden, operating profitability, efficiency, and leverage. An analyst can use this
framework to determine what factors are driving a company's ROE. The
decomposition of ROE can also be useful in forecasting ROE based upon expected
efficiency, profitability, financing activities, and tax rates. The relationship of the
individual factors, such as ROA to the overall ROE, can also be expressed in the
form of an ROE tree to study the contribution of each of the five factors, as shown in
below for HUL .
Returnon
Return onAssets:
Assets: Leverage:
Leverage:
PAT
PAT Averagetotal
Average totalassets
assets
Averagetotal
Average totalassets
assets Averageshareholder’s
Average shareholder’sequity
equity
= 31.67%
= 31.67% = 0.9971
= 0.9971
TotalAsset
Total AssetTurnover
Turnover
NetProfit
Net ProfitMargin
Margin
Revenues/
Revenues/
PAT
PAT Averagetotal
Average totalassets
assets
Revenues
Revenues =2.08
=2.08
=11.80%
=11.80%
TaxBurden:
Tax Burden:
InterestBurden:
Interest Burden: EBITMargin:
EBIT Margin:
PAT
PAT PBT
PBT EBIT
EBIT
PBT
PBT EBIT
EBIT Income
Income
=0.776
=0.776 =0.9996
=0. 9996 =17.344%
=17.344%
The most detailed decomposition of ROE that we have presented is a five way
decomposition. Nevertheless, an analyst could further decompose individual
components of a five-way analysis. For example, EBIT margin (EBIT /Revenue)
could be further decomposed into a non-operating component (EBIT/Operating
income) and an operating component (Operating income/Revenues). The analyst can
also examine which other factors contributed to these five components. For
example, an improvement in efficiency (total asset turnover) may have resulted from
better management of inventory or better collection of receivables .
These two factors can be further decomposed into elements that can be looked at
individually. The point of this decomposition is that no one manager can significantly
influence the overall ROI measure, simply because an overall measure reflects the
combined effects of a number of factors. For example the manager who is responsible for
the firm’s credit policies and procedures influences the level of accounts receivable.
Thus, the outside analyst, as well as the firm’s management can use the ROI chart to
identify the potential problem areas in the business.
ROE is obtained as: ROA ×Leverage. For HUL the leverage position has remained
almost unaltered in 2011-12 compared to 2010-11. Hence the increase in ROE is mainly
attributable to increase in ROA. Further ROA is given by Profit margin × Assets
Turnover. The profit margin of HUL has increased from 11.37% in 2010-11 to 11.80% in
2011-12. Moreover, the Assets Turnover of the company has gone up from 2 times in
2010-11 to 2.08 times in2011-12 and both have positively contributed towards the
improvement in ROA. In addition to these, it has also been observed that the interest
burden of the company has remained low consistently in both the financial years.
However, the EBIT margin of HUL as significantly increased from 13.116 2010-11 to
17.344% in 2011-12 implying thereby that the earning ability of the company has gone
up in 2011-12 compared to 2010-11.
Liquidity refers to the company’s ability to meet its current obligations. Thus liquidity
tests focus on the size of, and relationships between current liabilities and current assets.
(Current assets presumably will be converted into cash in order to pay the current
liabilities.) The importance of adequate liquidity in the sense of the ability of a firm to
meet current/short-term obligations when they become due for payment can hardly be
overstressed. In fact, liquidity is a prerequisite for the very survival of a firm. The short-
term creditors of the firm are interested in the short-term solvency or liquidity of a firm.
But illiquidity implies, from the viewpoint of utilization of the funds of the firm, that
funds are idle or they earn very little. A proper balance between the two contradictory
requirements, that is, liquidity and profitability is required for efficient financial
management. The liquidity ratios measure the ability of a firm to meet its short-term
obligations and reflect the short-term financial strength/solvency of a firm. The ratios
which indicate the liquidity of a firm are: (i) Net working capital, (i) Current ratios, (iii)
Acid test/quick ratios, (iv) Turnover ratios.
Let’s look at operating cycle of a firm which indicates the pattern of liquidity and its
management which gets extended from working capital management. Working capital is
an operational necessity. A firm needs to invest in short term current asset such as
inventory (raw materials, work in progress and finished product) and also needs debtors
to allow it to perform its day to day operations. This investment in current assets is for the
short term, as raw materials will be bought, converted into finished product and sold to
customers who ultimately will pay. For many businesses this cycle will be completed
within a short time frame and will be repeated many times over during the year; for some
other this cycle may become considerably extended. Liquidity, or solvency, means being
able to satisfy financial obligations, without difficulty, as and when they become due.
A firm is considered technically insolvent if it is unable to settle its debts when they
become due for payment. Liquidity is a measure of how easily or speedily an asset can be
converted into cash without any significant loss of value. In liquidity management the
Profitability measures focus on assessing the firm’s return, actual or potential, in contrast
liquidity measures focus more on risk assessment. Profitability ratios tell us something
about a firm’s financial performance, what it has actually achieved. Liquidity ratios are
indicative of a firm’s financial condition, the financial state it is in. Like an athlete,
performance and condition are closely related: an athlete in poor physical condition is
unlikely to achieve an outstanding performance. Effective liquidity management is of
paramount importance for the survival and future development of any organization,
profit-making or not-for-profit. While profitability is clearly extremely important for a
commercial enterprise, it is more often a lack of liquidity rather than a lack of
profitability which causes a business to fail.
For example, even though a company may be generating profitable sales, it can run into
liquidity problems if credit control is weak and the cash is not being collected from
customers and/or if too much money is tied up in stocks (raw materials, work-in-progress
and finished goods.).
Working capital can similarly be found by subtracting current liabilities from current
assets:
CA – CL = WC
Technically the difference between the current assets and current liabilities is a firm’s net
working capital, or net current assets, assuming current assets exceed current
liabilities. However, in practice, the difference between current assets and current
liabilities is often simply referred to as working capital.
Working capital, also known as circulating capital, is the amount of money which a
business needs to survive on a day-to-day basis. It should be sufficient to cover:
The key questions are: is the level of working capital positive? Is it sufficient in relation
to current liabilities? Sufficient working capital is needed, not only to be able to pay bills
on time (e.g. wages and suppliers) but also to be able to carry sufficient stocks and also to
allow debtors a period of credit to pay what they owe. Working capital is the kind of
short-term capital required to finance a firm on a day-to-day basis. It is a key measure of
business liquidity. The more working capital a firm has, the less risk there is of the firm
not being able to pay its creditors when the bills become due. Conversely the less
working capital a firm has, the greater the risk of the firm not being able to pay its
creditors when the bills are due.
For HUL the Current Ratio has increased to 1.21:1 in 2011-12 compared to 1.05:1 in
2010-11. It is difficult to say what the ‘ideal’ current ratio should be. Current ratios tend
to be sector-specific, that is, different business sectors are likely to have different ‘typical’
current ratios. For example, what is considered a normal or typical current ratio for a steel
company is likely to be different from a FMCG Company. Therefore care needs to be
taken to ensure that like is being compared with like and that individual ratios are not
being considered in isolation.
It is also possible that an apparently healthy current ratio could actually indicate
inefficient management of stocks and debtors as these may have been allowed to
A more stringent test of liquidity than the current ratio is ‘the acid test ratio or quick
ratio’. In this case, by subtracting the stock figures from CAs, it is suggested that this
ratio gives a more immediate indication of the firm’s ability to settle its current debts.
This is because stock is less liquid compared to other liquid assets like cash or
receivables. Usually a quick ratio of 1:1 is considered satisfactory. However, here also it
may vary industry wise. For HUL the quick ratio has increased to 0.82:1 in 2011-12
compared to 0.63:1 in 2010-11. This is an indication of the improvement in short term
liquidity of the company in 2011-12 compared to its previous year but still the level of
this ratio is not very high.
However, the quality of current asset also needs to be examined while commenting on the
current assets. Sometimes in the companies’ balance sheet one observes huge amount of
loans and advances. These loans advances in a shorter time span cannot be converted to
liquidity. This point has to be kept in mind while assessing the liquidity of any company.
For HUL it has been observed that the net working capital of the company has increased
to 1349.92crores in 2011-12 from 354.18 crores in 2010-11. This increase is mainly due
to the increase in current investments in 2011-12 (2251.90 crores) compared to its
previous year 2010-11(1140.09 crores). Within these current investments the company
has invested in Mutual Fund units an amount of Rs. 1400 crores in 2011-12 compared to
Rs.750 crores in 2010-11.
2010-11 2011-12
Debt Equity Ratio (Debt 0.95% 4.67%
capital /Eq. sh. Cap)
Interest Coverage Ratio 12238.625 times 2798.60 times
(EBIT/Interest)
The analysis of capital structure of HUL reveals that the company has used very
insignificant amount of borrowed capital in comparison to equity capital in both the
financial years 2010-11 and 2011-12. This simply indicates that the company has
financed its capital structure mainly with equity capital. Hence the financial risk of the
company is very negligible. However, the debt equity ratio of the company has increased
to 4.67% in 2011-12 from just 0.95% in the previous year. In fact, debt equity ratios vary
from industry to industry. Firms that have relatively stable demand for their products
(e.g., electricity) tend to have high leverage. In contrast firms that face wide fluctuation in
demand (e.g., consumer goods) prefer to maintain low debt equity ratio. Needless to
mention that HUL falls under the second category.
The above table reveals that the investment in fixed assets has been reduced by 3.86% in
2011-12 compared to its previous period. This reduction is mainly due to reduction in
intangible assets under development. The investment in tangible fixed assets has
remained almost unchanged. Non-current Investments of the company has significantly
increased (54.51%) in 2011-12 compared to 2010-11. Due to increase in current assets
and reduction in current liabilities, the net working capital of HUL has reported a major
enhancement in 2011-12 compared to 2010-11. This aspect has already been discussed
under the liquidity analysis.
Asset utilization ratios indicate how efficiently assets have been used to generate
revenues and thereby profits and is concerned with measuring the efficiency in asset
management. These ratios are also called efficiency ratios or turnover ratios. The
efficiency or productivity measures outputs of a system in relation to inputs; the greater
the volume outputs produced from a given level of inputs the more efficient the system
and the company. This also reflects the speed with which the assets are used to convert
into sales. The greater is the rate of turnover or conversion, the more efficient is the
utilization/management, other things being equal. For this reason, such ratios are also
designated as turnover ratios. Turnover is the primary mode for measuring the extent of
efficient employment of assets by relating the assets to sales. An activity ratio may,
therefore, be defined as a test of the relationship between sales (more appropriately with
cost of sales) and the various assets of a firm. Depending upon the various types of assets,
there are various types of activity ratios.
Receivable (Debtors) Turnover Ratio and Average Collection Period. The second
major activity ratio is the receivables or debtors turnover ratio. Allied and closely related
to this is the average collection period. It shows how quickly receivables or debtors are
converted into cash. In other words, the debtors’ turnover ratio is a test of the liquidity of
the debtors of a firm. The liquidity of a firm’s receivables can be examined in two ways:
(i) Debtors or receivables turnover; (ii) Average collection period. The debtors’ turnover
shows the relationship between the sales and debtors of a firm. Average Collection
period for HUL were 17.21 days in 2010-11 and in 2011-12 it has reduced to 11.05 days.
This ratio also measures the liquidity of a firm’s debtors and here this HUL has reported a
major improvement over the last year.
7. Market Perception
Certain problems exist when the earnings per share ratio is computed. Often earnings per
share can be increased simply by reducing the number of shares outstanding through buy
back of share by the company. In addition, the earnings per share figure fail to recognize
the probable increasing base of the stockholders’ investment. That is, earnings per share,
all other factors being equal, will probably increase year after year if the corporation
reinvests earnings in the business because a larger earnings figure is generated without a
corresponding increase in the number of shares outstanding. Because even-well informed
investors attach such importance to earnings per share, caution must be exercised, and it
should not be given more emphasis than it deserves. The common problem is that the per-
share figure draws the investor’s attention away from the enterprise as a whole – which
involves differing magnitudes of sales, costs volumes, and invested capital and
concentrates too much attention on the single share of stock.
P/E Ratio
The price earnings (P/E) ratio is an off-quoted statistic used by analysts in discussing the
investment possibility of a given enterprise. It is computed by dividing the market price
of the stock by its earnings per share. A steady drop in a company’s price earnings
ratio indicates that investors are wary of the firm’s growth potential. Some companies
have high P/E multiples, while others have low multiples. This measure involves an
estimation not directly controlled by the company: the market price of its ordinary
shares. Thus the P/E ratio is the best indicator of how investors judge the future
performance (We say future performance because, conceptually the market price
indicates shareholders’ expectations about future returns dividend and share price
increases-discounted to a present value at a rate reflecting the riskiness of these returns.)
Management is of course interested in this market appraisal, and a decline in the
company’s P/E ratio, if not explainable by a general decline in stock market prices is a
P/E ratios of industries vary, reflecting differing expectations about the relative rate of
growth in earnings in those industries. At times, the P/E ratios for virtually all companies
decline, predictions of general economic conditions suggest that corporate profits will
decrease and/or interest rates will rise.
Cash Flow Statement: Interpretation from the Cash Flow statement of the company.