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12515
SUMMARY
1. Climate extremes and their physical impacts – including droughts, fires, floods, heat waves, storm
surges and tropical cyclones – are important structuring forces in riverine ecosystems. Climate
change is expected to increase the future occurrence of extremes, with potentially devastating effects
on rivers and streams. We synthesise knowledge of extremes and their impacts on riverine ecosys-
tems in Australia, a country for which projected changes in event characteristics reflect global trends.
2. Hydrologic extremes play a major structuring role in river ecology across Australia. Droughts alter
water quality and reduce habitat availability, driving organisms to refugia. Extreme floods increase
hydrological connectivity and trigger booms in productivity, but can also alter channel morphology
and cause disturbances such as hypoxic blackwater events.
3. Tropical cyclones and post-cyclonic floods damage riparian vegetation, erode stream banks and
alter water quality. Cyclone-induced delivery of large woody debris provides important instream
habitat, although the wider ecological consequences of tropical cyclones are uncertain.
4. Wildfires destroy catchment vegetation and expose soils, increasing inputs of fine sediment and
nutrients to streams, particularly when followed by heavy rains.
5. Research on the impacts of heat waves and storm surges is scarce, but data on temperature and
salinity tolerances, respectively, may provide some insight into ecological responses.
6. We identify research gaps and hypotheses to guide future research on the ecology of extreme
climate events in Australia and beyond. A range of phenomenological, experimental and modelling
approaches is needed to develop a mechanistic understanding of the ecological impact of extreme
events and inform prediction of responses to future change.
Correspondence: Catherine Leigh, Irstea, UR MALY, 5 rue de la Doua, CS70077, 69626 Villeurbanne Cedex, France.
E-mail: catherine.leigh@irstea.fr
Cairns
NT
Hobart, TAS
Grassland Arid and
Desert Semi-arid Subtropical
Temperate, Mediterranean Tropical and
and Subalpine Equatorial
(b)
2500 5th percenle
Annual rainfall (mm)
2000 Median
95th percenle
1500
(f)
1000
500
0
Brisbane
Hobart
Darwin
Sydney
Adelaide
Perth
Alice Springs
Melbourne
(c)
35 Daily minima
30 Daily maxima
temperature (°C)
(g)
Annual mean
25
20
15
10
5
0
Brisbane
Hobart
Darwin
Sydney
Adelaide
Perth
Alice Springs
Melbourne
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
Extreme events and riverine ecosystems 2623
Fig. 2 Effects of heat waves and hot days on rivers, as based on Droughts
links among drivers and responses identified in the Australian lit-
erature (see text for detail). Responses may be affected by the inten- Definitions, observations and projections
sity, duration and/or timing of heat waves and hot days. Solid
arrows show direct links, broken arrows where one event often Hydrological drought is a period of below-typical flow
coincides with or increases the likelihood or intensity of the linked that is unusual in its duration, extent or intensity
event. Ovals show where effects are hypothesised (event-specific
(Humphries & Baldwin, 2003). Drought is seasonal in
evidence scarce in the Australian literature). D, change in.
many systems, but here, we focus solely on ‘supra-sea-
sonal’ events: unpredictable droughts extending beyond
Vulnerability to heat waves can be influenced by seasonal periods, sometimes lasting >10 years (‘mega-
behavioural or physiological responses to warming. droughts’) (Lake, 2003; IPCC, 2012). Drought is a key
For example, high temperatures may influence the element of climatic and hydrological variability in Aus-
dispersal of some species (e.g. Hassall & Thompson, tralia. The Millennium Drought in south-eastern Austra-
2008), limiting escape of intolerable conditions. Sublethal lia was one of the most severe hydrological and
effects could also alter sex ratios in surviving populations. meteorological mega-droughts on record, lasting
For instance, temperature extremes forecast for the year between 1997 and 2009 (Gallant & Gergis, 2011; Timbal
2100 simulated in a mesocosm experiment increased & Fawcett, 2012; Fig. 1g). Mega-drought has also
emergence rates of male Ulmerophlebia pipinna mayflies affected the south-western region of Western Australia,
more so than females, implying a change in the sex ratio which has been in drought since the mid-1970s, with
that could have demographic and fitness consequences rainfall 10–20% below long-term averages (NCC, 2010).
and cause local extinctions (Thompson et al., 2013a). Climate projections indicate southern Australia will
Fig. 1 Australia has a range of climate zones (a), with regional variation in spatiotemporal patterns of temperature and rainfall (b, c).
Examples of extreme events include Cyclone Larry in March 2006 (d: aerial image of Upper North Johnstone River, post-event, showing
treefall and leaf denudation in the riparian zone; credit S. Turton), flood across much of south-east QLD in January 2011 (e: Gregors Creek,
post-event, during which flood waters reached the mature treeline above river banks; credit L. Luke), the 2003 wildfires in the ACT
(f: aerial image of Cotter River, post-event, showing burned vegetation across the catchment; credit T. Nelson), and the Millennium Drought
(g: a drying waterbody in the Ovens River catchment, 2009; credit S.S. Ho). Climate-zone mapping data and summary statistics sourced
from www.bom.gov.au, with statistics calculated for the reference period 1 January 1961 to 31 December 1990. ACT, Australian Capital
Territory; NSW, New South Wales; NT, Northern Territory; QLD, Queensland; SA, South Australia; TAS, Tasmania; VIC, Victoria; WA,
Western Australia.
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
2624 C. Leigh et al.
experience future droughts of increased duration and chemistry (e.g. Sheldon & Fellows, 2010). Pools recede,
intensity (Risbey, 2011; Steffen et al., 2013). Similar and surface water can disappear completely (Fig. 1g).
changes may also occur in parts of Europe, the Mediter- Declining groundwater levels and increasing salinity in
ranean, the Americas and Africa (IPCC, 2012, 2014). groundwater-dependent systems and floodplains can
lead to loss of riparian and floodplain vegetation (e.g.
Murray et al., 2003; Fig. 3). In floodplain forests of the
Ecological effects
Murray–Darling Basin (MDB), stands of drought-tolerant
Supra-seasonal river droughts are ‘ramp’ disturbances, Eucalyptus camaldulensis suffered increased mortality
increasing in strength and spatial extent over time (Lake, during the Millennium Drought (Horner et al., 2009).
2003). In the initial stages of drought, riparian habitats Similarly, drought-related low flows have increased
disconnect from channels and littoral habitat dries (Boul- salinity levels in the lower lakes of the MDB (Mosley
ton, 2003). Lateral and longitudinal hydrological connec- et al., 2012) and contributed to the loss of vulnerable fish
tivity is reduced or lost as flow declines, creating populations (Nannoperca obscura; Wedderburn, Hammer
isolated pools (Fig. 3). In downstream river sections and & Bice, 2012). Ultimately, there is a shift from aquatic to
estuaries, reduced flow can limit the delivery of nutri- terrestrial habitat as organisms from surrounding ripar-
ents from upstream, alter productivity and trophic struc- ian areas move into dry channels (Steward et al., 2012).
ture and increase sediment accumulation (Lake, 2011). Biotic responses to drought vary depending on many
Once surface flows cease, many rivers enter a lentic factors, but in general, organisms that inhabit non-peren-
phase associated with major changes in water physico- nial systems have adaptive traits of resistance or resil-
ience to dry periods and may be more likely to survive
supra-seasonal drought than those from perennial sys-
tems (Lake, 2003; Rolls, Leigh & Sheldon, 2012; Fig. 3).
Droughts
Fish species that tolerated the Millennium Drought in
↓Flow & flow Groundwater the MDB tended to have traits associated with adapta-
permanence decline tion to warm environments (e.g. high spawning temper-
atures), the ability to switch diets and life-history
↓ Connecvity ↑ Mortality of strategies including delayed maturation, short spawning
↓ Size &/or
of aquac riparian &
availability of
floodplain
seasons and high fecundity (Chessman, 2013). The Mil-
aquac habitats habitats
vegetaon lennium Drought also altered macroinvertebrate com-
& refugia
↑ Buildup of organic & munities in Victorian streams, with conditions favouring
non-organic material in
↓ Influx of taxa tolerant of low flow and poor water quality (Rose,
dry channels &
nutrients from disconnected pools Heavy rainfall Metzeling & Catzikiris, 2008; Thomson et al., 2012). Des-
upstream to & floods iccation-resistant life-history stages also enable some
downstream (post-drought)
reaches (see Fig. 5) taxa (e.g. zooplankton and aquatic plant species, Brock
et al., 2003) to survive drought, although survival can
depend on drought duration. Cladoceran egg banks
↓ or Δ water ↑ Risk of hypoxic
from Australian dry land rivers became depleted when
quality blackwater
events drought lasted more than 6 years, which likely slowed
recovery of microinvertebrate communities and altered
Δ Community composions ↑ Risk of fish post-drought food webs (Jenkins & Boulton, 2007).
(↓sensive & flow- kills & threat
dependent, ↑ tolerant biota to other Drought survival depends on the type, quality and
& terrestrial biota) aquac taxa quantity of refugia and the hydrological history and con-
nectivity of habitats (Robson, Chester & Austin, 2011;
Fig. 3 Effects of droughts on rivers, as based on links among driv- Bogan, Boersma & Lytle, 2014). The temporal availability
ers and responses identified in the Australian literature (see text for
detail). Responses may be affected by the duration, extent and/or
of refugia and their position in river networks influence
intensity of droughts. For example, build-up of material on dry macroinvertebrate community resistance and resilience
channels and in pools and the risk of hypoxic blackwater events to drought (Marshall et al., 2006; Sheldon et al., 2010;
increase with duration and extent; disconnection among habitats Chester & Robson, 2011; Fig. 3). The rate of water
increases and the size and availability of habitats decline with
increased duration, intensity and extent; survival of aquatic taxa
decline may also affect the ability of some organisms to
declines with increased duration. See Fig. 2, for explanation of find refugia and influence the availability of basal
arrows, shapes and symbols. resources for riverine food webs (Bunn et al., 2006).
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
Extreme events and riverine ecosystems 2625
particularly in the south-east, and projections indicate
Knowledge gaps
this trend will continue, with the annual fire season
Although the long-term (decadal) consequences of starting earlier and lasting longer (Lucas et al., 2007;
supra-seasonal drought are still poorly understood CSIRO & BOM, 2014). Projections are similar for New
(Bond, Lake & Arthington, 2008), recent research sug- Zealand and increased frequency of fire risk is projected
gests prolonged events can elicit novel community tra- for much of the Americas (IPCC, 2012).
jectories and extirpate sensitive species (Bogan & Lytle,
2011; Bogan et al., 2014). However, research is frequently
Ecological effects
opportunistic, sporadic and short term (e.g. <1–2 years),
and there is a pressing need for comprehensive monitor- One of the most significant and commonly reported
ing programmes to assess drought impacts and recovery effects of wildfire is the large-scale destruction of
processes systematically across regions and taxa (Rose terrestrial vegetation (Fig. 1f). In severely burned and
et al., 2008; Lake, 2011; Thomson et al., 2012). Research devegetated catchments, exposed soils become hydro-
typically focuses on macroinvertebrates, fish and ripar- phobic, increasing run-off and associated inputs of fine
ian vegetation, with less emphasis on other groups such sediment and nutrients (e.g. Lane, Sheridan & Noske,
as microbes and microinvertebrates. While drought 2006; Fig. 4). For instance, severe fires in Victoria sub-
impacts on the structure of some key assemblages are stantially elevated stream phosphorus concentrations
well described, consequences for ecosystem processes and conductivity (Chessman, 1986). Similarly, severe
and higher levels of biological organisation are less well burning in experimental forests in New South Wales
known (e.g. Ledger et al., 2013; Woodward et al., 2012). increased stream nitrate concentrations by an order of
Incorporating species resistance and resilience traits
into biomonitoring approaches will enhance mechanistic
and predictive understanding of drought impacts (e.g.
Fires Heat waves &
Sheldon, Marsh & Rolls, 2012; Chessman, 2013). In many Droughts hot days
cases, however, trait information is incomplete or held (see Fig. 3) (see Fig. 2)
in separate repositories and literatures (Crook et al., Destrucon of
2010). We also need to know how traits interact and bet- Heavy rainfall catchment & ↓ Habitat for
& floods riparian riparian terrestrial
ter understand relationships between traits and biotic
(post-fire) vegetaon fauna & Δ
interactions (Verberk, Van Noordwijk & Hildrew, 2013). (see Fig. 5) bioc community
For example, a trait such as air breathing that aids sur- composion
vival of anoxic conditions during drought may increase
predation risk where movement to the water surface Burned vegetaon
↑ Erosion ↓ Shading
increases encounter rates (Robson et al., 2011). Water- input
quality guidelines specific to drought periods are also
required to manage and protect surface and subsurface ↑ Fine sediment ↑ Nutrient
drought refugia, thereby supporting species persistence input input
(e.g. Sheldon & Fellows, 2010).
Δ Organic maer
↓ Water
Habitat smothered quality &/or
quality
input
Fires
↓ Periphyton
Definitions, observations and projections cover
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
2626 C. Leigh et al.
magnitude (Mackay & Robinson, 1987). Changes to fire, although there is also some uncertainty regarding
riparian zones may also affect incident light and alter short-term impacts, which may be underestimated when
temperature regimes. post-fire sampling is delayed (Verkaik et al., 2014).
The ecosystem consequences of fire can be exacer- Research on the influence of land use on post-fire recov-
bated by heavy rains (Cooper et al., 2014), with the com- ery is rare, even though this likely determines recovery
bined, interactive impacts of these two extremes creating rates. In the Lower Cotter River catchment, for example,
a compound event (sensu IPCC, 2012) characterised by stream turbidity recovered more quickly in naturally
intense sedimentation and turbidity (Fig. 4). In the Cot- regenerating, native forest than in plantation pine forest
ter River catchment of the Australian Capital Territory, a (Harrison et al., 2014). Research on interactions between
large storm 1 month after severe wildfire raised stream fire and other extreme events such as drought and flood
turbidity to an unprecedented level of 3000 NTU (White is also needed. The trajectory of community recovery
et al., 2006). By contrast, fires not followed by heavy rain from fire during drought periods may be altered by
tend to have less impact on rivers, as was the case in burning of dewatered benthic sediments (Cowell, Mat-
Australia’s wet–dry tropics, where fires occurring early thews & Lind, 2006) or ash physicochemistry (Verkaik
in the dry season had little effect on water quality et al., 2014), but our understanding of such interactions
(Townsend & Douglas, 2000). is incomplete.
Declines in abundances and richness of instream
fauna are often observed following wildfire (Fig. 4). For
instance, macroinvertebrate communities in the most Heavy rainfall and floods
severely burned areas of the Cotter River catchment
Definitions, observations and projections
were impoverished compared with those in unburned
areas (T. Nelson, unpubl. data). However, the scale of Heavy rainfall events are periods of prolonged and/or
the effects depends on the intensity of fire and post-fire intense rainfall within a specific location relative to
rainfall (Papas, 1998). A range of conditions in post-fire recorded averages and are often defined by expected
streams, including heavy sedimentation and poor water return intervals over decades or centuries (Steffen et al.,
quality (e.g. dissolved oxygen sags, chemicals from 2013). The events are often associated with inland flood-
burned material), has also been associated with reduced ing because surface water accumulations and run-off
survival and abundance of fish (Carey et al., 2003; Lyon can rapidly inundate dry lands and floodplains. Austra-
& O’Connor, 2008). lian indices used to describe these events include heavy
Fires also affect the availability and quality of trophic and very heavy precipitation days (≥10 and 30 mm,
resources. In south-eastern Australian streams, sodium respectively) and very wet and extremely wet days
concentrations increased in burned Eucalyptus viminalis (annual total precipitation when daily precipitation
leaves during post-fire decomposition, and changes in >95th and 99th percentiles, respectively) (BOM, 2014b).
microbial activity ultimately reduced the amount of bio- Several of these extremes occurred across eastern Aus-
available carbon (P. Love, unpubl. data). In turn, fire- tralia in 2010–2012, breaking the Millennium Drought.
induced changes in the quality and quantity of trophic Severe flooding occurred in central and southern
resources can alter the composition of functional feeding Queensland in 2010–2011, during a period including the
groups (Verkaik et al., 2014; Fig. 4). For example, sub- state’s wettest December on record (NCC BOM, 2011;
stantial inputs of fine suspended sediment after fire in Fig. 1e). Both central and northern Australia experienced
the Cotter River catchment scoured and smothered the wettest dry season on record in 2010 and record
periphyton, reducing the occurrence of herbivorous heavy rainfall and flooding occurred in most states and
scrapers (Peat, Chester & Norris, 2005; T. Nelson, un- territories in 2010, 2011 and 2012 (NCC BOM, 2011,
publ. data). 2012; BOM, 2012a). Heavy rainfall intensity is expected
to increase in Australia in the 21st century, whereas the
number of events may increase, decrease or remain
Knowledge gaps
unchanged depending on region (Alexander & Arblast-
The effects of fire can be immediate and also extend to er, 2009), matching projections elsewhere (IPCC, 2012;
the short term (<1 year), mid term (1–10 years) or long Donat et al., 2013). Such changes in rainfall patterns will
term (>10 years) (Minshall, Brock & Varley, 1989). Least likely affect flood regimes, altering the intensity, dura-
is known about the long-term ecological consequences of tion, frequency and timing of events.
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
Extreme events and riverine ecosystems 2627
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
2628 C. Leigh et al.
many natives found in flooded as unflooded areas found in the Australian region, projections for tropical
(Horner et al., 2012). zones in Australia and beyond suggest they may become
less frequent but more intense (CSIRO & BOM, 2012;
IPCC, 2012). The proportion of severe events is therefore
Knowledge gaps
likely to increase.
Floods that are aseasonal, recurrent or interact with
other extreme events (e.g. fire and drought) or land-use
Ecological effects
degradation, can markedly affect river biodiversity.
However, explicit studies of such phenomena are scarce. As with fire, one of the most commonly reported effects
The timing of heavy rainfall and extreme floods relative of tropical cyclones is vegetation damage, with riparian
to key stages of aquatic life cycles may influence recruit- zone vegetation being particularly susceptible (Fig. 6).
ment, dispersal and foraging opportunities (e.g. in fish, In the forests of Magela and Ngarradj Creek catch-
Humphries, King & Koehn, 1999), and shifts in flood fre- ments, Northern Territory, wind gusts during STC
quency and intensity may affect the persistence or Monica created significant treefall and riparian zones
spread of invasive species, for example by providing sustained greater damage than did other areas (Saynor
opportunities for passive or active dispersal within and & Erskine, 2008; Staben & Evans, 2008). In some parts
between river networks. However, more research is of the Ngarradj Creek catchment, the entire riparian
needed to determine the vulnerability and dispersibility rainforest was destroyed. STC Monica occurred at the
of invasive species during floods. Impacts of extreme end of the tropical wet season when riparian zone soils
floods on genetic diversity of threatened populations are were saturated and streams inundated, so these factors
also uncertain, although it has been proposed that more probably exacerbated the damage (Saynor & Erskine,
large-scale floods could increase gene flow, while more 2008; Fig. 6).
intense floods could create population bottlenecks (Wor- Riparian vegetation was also damaged during STC
thington Wilmer et al., 2011). Research on ecological out- Larry (Fig. 1d). Six months after that event, pioneer spe-
comes of environmental flows featuring managed cies in north-east Queensland rainforests were more
flooding may help us understand impacts of future flood severely damaged than other species. They suffered dis-
regimes, but existing data are biased towards particular proportionately more uprooting, particularly along
taxa (e.g. fish and floodplain vegetation) and systems stream edges (Pohlman, Goosem & Turton, 2008). This
(e.g. MDB rivers; Aldous et al., 2011). We require more was associated with sandy soils near streams, producing
rigorous, high-resolution hydrological models (Pittock loose root systems, and bank erosion during post-cyclo-
et al., 2006), and these must be better integrated with nic floods. However, while damage to riparian vegeta-
ecological models to better predict relationships between tion can be substantial, the associated delivery of large
changing rainfall, future flood regimes and ecological woody debris to rivers contributes important habitat
responses. and increases channel complexity (Erskine et al., 2012;
Fig. 6). After STC Monica in the Ngarradj Creek catch-
ment, the number of pieces of large wood per metre of
Tropical cyclones channel more than doubled (Erskine et al., 2012).
Tropical cyclones producing heavy rainfall change
Definitions, observations and projections
water quality in rivers (Fig. 6). Rainfall following Tropi-
Tropical cyclones are low-pressure systems that develop cal Cyclone Celeste in north-east Queensland (January
over warm, tropical marine-waters and are associated 1996) rapidly increased water level and discharge in the
with gale-force winds (sustained at ≥63 km h 1 or in Burdekin River (Alexander et al., 2001). River water
gusts >90 km h 1) (BOM, 2014c). Winds sustained at became highly turbid, with suspended solids concentra-
≥118 km h 1 (or gusts >165 km h 1) qualify events as tions >4000 mg L 1. Conductivity decreased rapidly but
severe tropical cyclones (STCs), also known as hurri- recovered to pre-event conditions within 1–2 weeks. In
canes or typhoons. Well-documented STCs of the last contrast, increased suspended solids concentrations were
50 years in Australia include Tracy, Larry (Fig. 1d), observed up to a year following STC Monica (Evans &
Monica and Yasi (BOM, 2014d). STC Monica was associ- Moliere, 2010). Differences in the effects of Celeste and
ated with maximum recorded winds of 130 km h 1 and Monica on water quality were likely influenced by dif-
rainfall of up to 340 mm in 24 h. Although no clear ferences in their timing relative to the first, flushing
trends in tropical cyclone characteristics have been flows of the wet season (Alexander et al., 2001), their
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
Extreme events and riverine ecosystems 2629
Storm surges & on event timing, frequency and intensity (Barron et al.,
Tropical 2011; McGrath et al., 2012; Fig. 6). Past long-term
coastal flooding
cyclones declines in tropical cyclone frequency are associated
(see Fig. 7)
with ‘water storage droughts’ and desertification (Nott,
2011; McGrath et al., 2012). Tropical cyclones in northern
Heavy rainfall & floods
↑ Intensity of Australia also deliver rains to more southerly regions as
(see Fig. 5)
winds &/or they degenerate to extropical lows during their overland
wind gusts trajectories. These rains supply water that produces
Groundwater flows and sustains biota in temporary wetlands of dry-
recharge land and semi-arid river systems (Roshier et al., 2001)
Sandy ↑ Saturaon ↑ Intensity & and in catchments that discharge into the Great Barrier
riparian of riparian extent of stream Reef lagoon (Boer, 2010).
soils soils & floodplain
inundaon
Knowledge gaps
↑ Damage to
Much of our knowledge of tropical cyclone effects is
catchment & Wetland
especially riparian drawn from vegetation studies. We know little about
replenishment how they affect instream biota (e.g. fish, invertebrates;
vegetaon
although see Mallin et al., 1999) and ecosystem pro-
↑ Erosion
cesses, either directly or via indirect effects on riparian
zones and water quality (Fig. 6). Although we have
some evidence suggesting cyclone (and flood) timing
↑ Delivery of ↓ Shading ↑ Fine sediment, affects ecological responses (e.g. Alexander et al., 2001;
large woody organic maer & Saynor & Erskine, 2008), our understanding of this
debris to streams nutrient input aspect and cyclone–flood interactions is quite limited.
Moreover, the lack of studies combining pre- and
↑ Instream habitat for post-event data limits understanding of impacts and
aquac biota & ↑ Δ Water quality recovery.
channel complexity
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
Loss or contraction in distributions of vulnerable taxa (including flow-dependant taxa) combination with other extreme event treatments
Communities Experiments on dry-stream organic matter
Changes in richness and community composition resulting from changes in habitat and/or local breakdown, pre-conditioning and consumption or
species extinctions, including loss of flow-dependent taxa from stream networks and changes in use by biota
vegetation type, and increased likelihood of novel community trajectories Modelling to predict changes in availability and
Functioning configuration of drought refugia and their
Accumulation of organic matter on dry streambeds; increased occurrence of hypoxic blackwater accessibility to vulnerable taxa
events; altered organic matter processing rates in streams; increased fuel load for and risk of fire;
potentially driving shifts in behaviour (e.g. foraging) and composition of terrestrial biota
Extended periods of reduced nutrient input into downstream (e.g. lowland) reaches
Changes in food-web structure and dynamics via loss of rare taxa and predators
Fires will increase in Habitat and events Experiments manipulating the quantity and quality
frequency, the risk of Accumulation of fine sediment on streambeds and reduction in stream habitat size and quality of organic matter in streams
fire will increase, and Increased exposure of stream channels to sun from decrease in canopy cover, increasing stream Experiments manipulating sediment and ash
annual fire seasons temperatures and exacerbating effects of heat waves and hot days inputs under both dry- and wet-stream conditions
will start earlier and Increased incidence of fire–flood interactions (compound events) Modelling to predict extent of sediment
last longer Species and populations accumulation and transport in streams, including
Loss or contraction in distributions of heat-sensitive taxa and those sensitive to fine sediment regions with vulnerable taxa, communities and/
accumulation or ecosystems
Communities
Changes in richness and community composition resulting from changes in habitat, local species
extinctions and/or responses to changes in organic matter quality and quality (see Functioning)
Changes in vegetation type and structure in riparian zones
Functioning
Extreme events and riverine ecosystems
Increased quantity of refractory carbon (charcoal) and reduced quality of organic matter in streams
and resultant changes to food webs
2631
Table 1 (Continued)
2632
Heavy rainfall (and Habitat and events Experiments applying ‘flood disturbances’
floods) will increase Increased frequency, intensity and inundation extent and novel timing of floods (hydrological successively and/or in combination with other
in number and connection events) extreme event treatments
intensity Increased occurrence of successive floods and floods occurring in combination with other extreme Experiments applying different hydrological
C. Leigh et al.
*Response variables in relation to these hypotheses and corresponding approaches may include but are not restricted to aerial and aquatic stages of aquatic macroinvertebrates; fish;
terrestrial and aquatic plants; microbial communities; food webs; leaf-litter breakdown rates and organic matter processing dynamics; water-quality parameters; availability, quality
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Freshwater Biology, 60, 2620–2638
and position of refugia.
Extreme events and riverine ecosystems 2633
ecosystem functioning (IPCC, 2014). Successive events of the combined effects of multiple stressors (e.g. Lunt, Jan-
the same type may alter the organisation of food webs sen & Binns, 2012) will help fill knowledge gaps and
and disrupt the successional development of biological better enable us to predict responses to the events and
communities (e.g. Ledger et al., 2012, 2013) or initiate novel regimes of the future.
novel development trajectories (Turner et al., 1998).
Understanding of compound events and long-term Acknowledgments
effects of extreme events could be enhanced by exploit-
ing long-term data collected by monitoring programs for We thank Pettina Love, Tom Nelson and Anthea Flo-
other purposes such as bioassessment but which capture rance for information on fires from their Honours
pre- and post-event information (e.g. Rose et al., 2008). research at the University of Canberra; Steve Turton,
Standardisation and maintenance of monitoring pro- Campbell Clarke and Tom Nelson for photographs; and
grams across regions, along with question-driven pro- Andrew Boulton, Sarah Boulter, Dave Strayer and two
grams and adaptive designs would also improve the anonymous reviewers for their comments and edits that
utility of long-term datasets to elucidate mechanisms improved the manuscript.
underlying ecological responses to and recovery from
extreme events (Lindenmayer & Likens, 2010). While References
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