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research covering the Asian CB universe. As there are few players providing this service we have been
able to capture significant market share as an organisation with sales/trading footprints in UK and
Singapore and research centre in India under our CBs specialist Mr. Rajinder Singh. We provide credit,
asset cover, liquidation, price point discovery analysis for the entire Asian CBs Universe. We are pretty
confident this market will continue to grow from $60bn and the CBs will become the instrument of
choice for new issuance. We attach the initiative coverage report of “Amtek India Limited”.
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Amtek India Limited
Equity: BUY Target Price Rs. 83, upside 25%
0.5% USD 100mn 2010 FCCBs: BUY ‐ Yield Play
Amtek India Ltd., (AIL) is one of the flagship companies of the Amtek Group. The company is primarily
engaged in the production and distribution of machined and casting components to original equipment
manufacturers (OEMs) manufacturing two/three wheelers, passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles and
engines. The company supplies auto components for both domestic and international. It has four
manufacturing facilities in India, out of which one facility is in Gurgaon, Haryana, two are based in
Bhiwadi, Rajasthan and another one is situated in Solan, Himachal Pradesh.
Investment Thesis
Equity Analysis:
• After witnessing a sharp decline in FY09, Amtek India’s top and bottom line have shown a
remarkable improvement in recent quarters led by a recovery in the auto and auto component
industry. The company’s initiatives to increase production capacity and placing greater emphasis
on products with higher margins also helped deliver better results. During 9M10, Amtek India’s
net sales increased by 20.5% to INR 7,061.2mn from INR 5,859mn same period a year earlier.
• Profit margins were also significantly increased driven by soft commodity prices prevailing in
major part of FY10E. Increasing production capacity further strengthened profit margins due to
economies of scale. During 9M10, EBITDA margin improved to 24.0% in 9M10 as compared to
20.8% in 9M09.
• A robust growth ahead for auto industry, which is having a domino effect on auto ancillary
industry ‐ According to Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMAI),
auto component turnover is anticipated to reach USD 40bn by 2016 from USD 18bn in FY08 and
an estimated USD 19.1bn in FY09.Webelieve, Amtek India is timely positioned to reap the
benefits of anticipated growth in auto and auto components industry through continued
increase in production capacity.
• On the margins front, as the cost of inputs like steel, aluminium, plastics etc., is set to go up in
coming years, we believe, the margins may stabilize or marginally decline post FY10E, while
increasing production capacity may save the company from any significant fall in profit margins.
• Looking at the valuations, the stock is trading at PE multiple of 10.0x and 9.3x for FY10E and
FY11E, which is well below the industry average of approximately 18.0x and 14.0x, respectively.
On the book value, the stock is trading at 0.50x and 0.46x for FY10E and FY11E, respectively.
Given the strong fundamentals of the company with a healthy balance sheet, the stock trading
at significant discount to book value is unwarranted. Considering the above factors, we
recommend a “BUY” on stock with a target price of Rs. 83, implying an upside of 25%.
GA CBs Analysis:
• Out of the total USD 100 2010 FCCBs issued, USD 57mn has already been converted into equities
during FY07, FY08 and in Feb‐10. Since, then parity has dropped to 50.9% and we don’t see
conversion taking place for the remaining USD 47mn FCCBs as our Target Equity Price of INR
82.58, although 24.6% higher than CMP, remains 45.5% below conversion price upto the Nov
2010 redemption date, so redemption broadly seems inevitable.
• However, it provides an opportunity for investors to participate in the strong liquidity position of
the company as it has ample liquidity to meet the redemption. Hence, we believe, by investing
in this bond, investors can earn a decent return on their investment as the bond has a YTM of
5.4%. We recommend “BUY”: Yield/Good Credit on USD 100 2010 FCCBs.
Please contact for the detail research report: research@globalabsolute.com