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Overview of
Homes
PAVEL MARCEUX
Not to be distributed without permission.
2018 Global Overview of
Homes
Pavel Marceux
Households Specialist
CONNECT WITH US
Some of the primary indicators analysed in this report include households by location,
possession of household durables, household size, dwelling type, homes by tenure,
homes by construction year and house completions.
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INTRODUCTION
The 2018 Global Overview of Homes looks at trends related to physical characteristics
in homes and examines how households are rapidly changing in terms of size, location
and facilities.
Key Findings
Urbanisation
Urbanisation shifts the demographics and economics of consumption and lifestyles.
Almost every country globally continues to see urban growth with knock-on effects on
homes. This change is seen in the rising prices for real estate, smaller homes due to
congested and more expensive spaces and better home connectivity due to cheaper and
better access to telecoms and digital services.
Internet
The rapid globalisation of Internet access is digitalising households at an unprecedented
rate. By 2030, the majority of the world’s homes will have unlocked access to services
including online video, gaming, gambling, social media, e-commerce, banking, e-health
and e-education.
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i nt ro d uc t i o n
Population growth
Despite lower childbirths, the global population continues to grow in size, thereby
driving demand for new homes. The overall number of homes is expanding, with
new developments (primarily in apartments) stretching state resources in terms of
infrastructure like water and electricity.
Rising incomes
In many countries, particularly in the developing world, household incomes are
expanding due to economic growth and improved job opportunities. This is enhancing
demand for appliances, durables and general home goods and services.
Areas of opportunity
Rapidly urbanising households in emerging markets
Newly urbanised households are flourishing as they aspire to fulfil possibilities
unavailable to them previously in less advanced rural areas. Urbanised households are
especially relevant in emerging markets with a rapid pace of urbanisation. Urban hubs
in China have become springboards for a rising middle class, who have new tastes
and demands for a more westernized diet. This has fueled dairy and meat producers,
a non-traditional food segment in China, to develop major markets in Chinese cities.
Amazon’s internet retail operations in India is also taking advantage of the demand for
goods in highly urbanised areas. Delivery and logistics in these areas are much easier
than in rural regions. The digital readiness of consumers is higher in hyper-urban
zones, adding greater potential for using e-commerce platforms.
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GLOBAL OUTLOOK
Apartmentalisation as a consequence of
urbanisation
The onset of urbanisation is creating a boom in apartments. Countries such as China,
Brazil and the UK will see surging growth in apartments through 2030. However,
houses will remain the predominant household structure globally, outnumbering
apartments two to one.
Apartments are seeing faster growth because they can be made much smaller and
cheaper and provide a solution for housing large numbers of people in a limited urban
space. Apartments are also in high demand among the urban, singleton consumer; they
provide much easier access to utilities and digital services, requiring fewer skills from a
homeowner to look after their property.
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g lo ba l o ut lo o k
2030 will only lag behind houses developed before 1979. This housing construction
boom offers significant opportunities for developers, furniture brands and appliance
manufacturers, as well as companies involved in general household goods and services.
Households by rooms
Globally, all household sizes will increase, but households with four rooms will see the
largest rise over the 2017–2030 period. This size of household is aspirational enough
to attract large demand and is sufficiently affordable that home-seekers can plan to
purchase. The four-room household is also versatile and can be both an apartment and
a house. The smallest gain will be among two-room homes, as this size falls in-between
demand among singletons looking for one-room housing and couples and families that
want three rooms and more.
Households by tenure
Urbanisation will drive demand for home finance, as mortgage markets mature and
banks provide more attractive rates to homebuyers. The world will see surging growth
rates in mortgaged households, with over 100 million newly mortgaged homes to be
added over 2017–2030 globally.
Expanding cities are also driving rental markets, as a large number of newly-urbanised
citizens cannot afford to purchase a home outright. Online platforms are also making
the rental process smoother.
Household durables
Basic appliances such as TV sets and cookers will remain the most common possession
among households globally by 2030. The largest jumps in penetration over the review
period will be seen in so-called luxury durables, like video game consoles, video
cameras and freezers. Middle-class expansion in developing countries will drive
demand for these products, as rising incomes enable households to purchase added
extras they might not have afforded otherwise. Falling prices for many durables is
another factor.
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KEY TRENDS
Fashion brands developing appliances for the kitchen or the popularity of multi-use
products like juicers and microwaves are some examples of this. Premiumisation
has also been evident in the development of appliances and furniture for specific
household classes, such as smaller, single-serving appliances for single-person
households.
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k e y t re n d s
• Hue Philips: Hue is a smart LED lights product range from Philips.
The lights collect data on energy usage in the home and can be
controlled remotely via the smartphone.
• ADT Pulse: The traditional security systems company ADT has made
in-roads into the smart market via its Pulse service, which offers
homeowners security connectivity and visibility via the app.
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k e y t re nds
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k e y t re n d s
Millennials have had a considerable influence on bringing back retro durables into the
mainstream. A mixture of nostalgia, curiosity and fashion has led to a resurgence in
retro-cool electronics. Consumer electronics firm Nintendo was able to tap into this
by releasing retro video game console Nintendo Classic Edition. In 2017, Sony began
selling a portable CD radio-cassette player, while Hitachi Maxell replicated the design
of one of its throwback cassettes popular in the 1970s. Brands that are able to play on
this sentimentality can significantly enhance their status among Millennial consumers.
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CONCLUSION
The rapid pace of urbanisation, technology affordability and rising incomes are the
major factors that will continue to pioneer growth in urban and rural households
through 2030.
The global population continues to grow, despite lower childbirths, and households are
shifting from houses and mortgages to apartments and rentals. The rise of the middle
class in emerging economies is impacting the boom in apartments as they embrace
modern, urban lifestyles. Although, houses will remain the predominant dwelling
globally, outnumbering apartments two to one. In new megacities, such as China’s
Wuhan, households are evolving as they undergo rising standards of living and upgrade
their product portfolio.
The depletion of interest rates and better regulated financial systems enable more
home-seekers to finance a home, directly impacting the standard of living. The appeal
of premiumisation is increasing in popularity among consumers, which has influenced
homeowners to spend more money on household goods. Additionally, the younger
segment of the population is willing to spend more on rent and pay a premium for
trendy household goods.
The future of homes will increase in both size and connectivity as more households
are able to afford smart devices, driving home demand for greater digital features.
Companies looking to capitalise on households must embrace these global shifts and
find new ways to reach and appeal to these changing consumer preferences.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
PAVEL MARCEUX
Households Specialist
Euromonitor International
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