Professional Documents
Culture Documents
STUDY
ON
TRADE IN SERVICES
(Volume I)
STUDY
1
ON
TRADE IN SERVICES
List of contents:
1. Introduction
2. Summary of Recommendations
INTRODUCTION
This DFID- financed study has been prepared, inter alia,:
3
To analyze present policies of Pakistan relating to its Services Sector, and to
assist the Ministry of Commerce to participate more effectively in the current
round of negotiations under the GATS;
Bearing in mind the recent rapid technological advances in transport, computing
and telecommunications including the development of Internet and electronic
commerce, to lay the foundations for a longer term approach to the Services
Sector;
To recommend to the Government of Pakistan to adapt its statistical system to the
new framework evolved by the United Nations Statistical Division, in
collaboration with the OECD, the IMF, the UNCTAD and the WTO, for
compiling statistics of international trade in services; and
To recommend an institutional framework that should design, in consultation
with the private sector, short and long term policies to promote foreign
investment, technological development and export of services.
This study consists of two volumes: Volume I has addressed all issues, except two, listed
in its terms of reference. Volume II discusses the two issues excluded from Volume I,
namely requests Pakistan has received from its WTO trading partners and possible
responses of Pakistan to those requests. For the time being, Volume II remains a
classified document.
The terms of reference of the study are reproduced in Annex I to this Introduction. This
study has addressed every single issue recorded by the its terms of reference and followed
scrupulously the prescribed sequence of discussion.
With the approval of the Ministry of Commerce, the Consultant also met the following additional
agencies:
4
*The Institute of Chartered Accounts, Karachi;
*The Institute of Bankers;
The Ministry of IT and Telecommunications including PTA and PTCL;
The Ministry of Finance; and
The Ministry of Education.
*The NESPAK, Lahore
The Consultant visited Lahore from 16 to 17 January and Karachi from 20 to 22 January,
2003 to meet the entities marked above with an asterisk. The names of the officials met
are given in Annex II.
The Presentation required by the TORs was held on ……The following entities
participated in this discussion.
This consultant wishes to record his great appreciation of the support given to him by the
WTO Centre of the Ministry of Commerce in the preparation of this study. He is
particularly grateful to the Ministry of Commerce for the confidence placed by it in his
judgment and his sense of responsibility.
Annex 1
5
TERMS OF REFERENCE FOR A STUDY ON SERVICES (GATS)
The Pakistan Trade Policy Project (PTPP) provides for a series of trade policy studies to support
the Government of Pakistan’s (GOP) negotiations in the WTO. The principal objectives of the
studies are:
To enhance the analytical basis upon which GOP develops its national offers and positions in
multilateral trade negotiations; and
The topic coverage of the services study is described in Sections 2.1 to 2.4 below, under the
respective headings, Review of Domestic Services Provision and Exports from Pakistan; Review
of Uruguay Round (UR) and post-UR Commitments by Pakistan and its Trading Partners;
Formulation of Potential Requests by Pakistan and Formulation of Potential Offers by Pakistan.
6
i. The current structure of services provision and exports from
Pakistan;
ii. Service-specific and mode-specific trade data:
1
Increasing Participation of Developing Countries in International Trade in Services: Effective
Implementation of Article IV of GATS
7
2.4 Formulation of Potential Offers in the post-Doha
Environment
The Consultant will have responsibility for undertaking the analysis of Sections 2.1 to 2.4. The
topic coverage has been designed sequentially, in that analytical tasks will depend on results from
previous tasks in many instances. The Consultant will therefore need to co-ordinate the phasing
of the analysis and preparation of the study, in order to ensure a logical progression of the work
and integration of outputs.
Responsibility for the preparation of the comprehensive Final Report, structured as described
above, to the appropriate standard will lie with the Consultant. A Draft Final Report will be
prepared and submitted to the Ministry of Commerce (MOC) and the PMA. The MOC may
consult with other stakeholders before giving written comments to the Consultant before the
Consultant prepares the Final Report.
The analysis and preparation of the Final Report will be undertaken following:
2
See also Section 4: Further Information on Activities: the Studies Process.
8
In addition to producing inputs into specific WTO negotiations, the studies programme is
designed to institutionalize processes for policy formulation and preparatory work for
negotiations in the longer term. As an integral component of the work programme, the Consultant
is therefore required to undertake a number of activities associated with the study, that will
contribute to this longer term goal. These activities are as follows:
During the preparatory work for the study, the Consultant will consult with the following key
stakeholders as far as possible, in order to obtain quantitative and/or qualitative data and past
reports required for the analysis, and to draw upon their views. Potential stakeholders may
include:
Additional stakeholders may be nominated by the MOC and the PMA prior to and during the
study program. The PMA will provide the names of contact points in these organizations and, if
necessary assist with arranging consultations. The PMA will also make available to the
Consultant any related studies and documentation at its disposal that have been prepared
previously.
After completion of Sections 2.1 and 2.2 above, draft outputs will be disseminated to the MOC in
advance of the presentation. MOC may circulate the drafts to other government
departments/agencies and other stakeholders as it sees fit. The Consultant will receive feedback
from MOC on the analysis and results of Sections 2.1 and 2.2, prior to completing Section 2.3
and 2.4.
ANNEX II
9
LIST OF PERSONS INTERVIEWED.
10
SUMMARY OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE
STUDY
This study is essentially an agenda for action rather than a definitive evaluation of the
GATS or the possible outcome of the current round of negotiations under the GATS.
The provisional drafts of the four chapters required by the TORs were circulated to the
Ministry Commerce, the AAS and Mr. Harry Kendall of Maxwell Stamp & Co by
November 30, 2002. This version has been prepared in the light of the discussions held
with the stakeholders and in the Presentation prescribed by the TORs of the study in the
last two months. Its chapter-wise recommendations are given below.
Chapter- I:
11
1. The traditional definition of Services and the traditional methodologies of
collecting and compiling statistics on Services are both inadequate and
incomplete. At present data on Foreign Affiliates Trade in Services (FATS) is
simply not collected. The Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services
published in December 2002 jointly by the OECD, the IMF, the WTO and the
United Nations on data requirements of trade in services therefore needs to be
studied and a program established to adapt progressively local practices to the
recommendations of the Manual.
3. In the past Pakistan like most countries focused mainly on international trade in
‘commodities’. All over the world Services were regarded chiefly as non-
tradables. Lack of data and an appropriate analytical framework also made it
difficult for policy-makers to perceive Services as a coherent and an internally
interconnected sector. Consequently this sector as a whole did not receive much
attention in the context of international trade. Modern technology has however
changed this situation everywhere. This now this needs to be remedied: Pakistan
needs to make institutional arrangements for the promotion of trade in services.
An ordinance-based committee needs to be formed to deal with short-term policy
issues.
6. There is also need to establish dialogue with Pakistan-based local and donor-
financed NGOs. By and large, these days, these bodies are playing a rather
negative role. This needs to be discouraged through education and persuasion.
Chapter- II
This is largely a descriptive chapter. It discusses issues such as assessment of Pakistan’s
GATS Schedule of Commitments, Current policies of Pakistan relating to the services
and an analysis of commitments made by other members of the WTO. Among other
things, this analysis has brought forth the following important points:
1. First. Pakistan like a large majority of countries was rather cautious in its
approach to GATS commitments. This was only natural. But what was unique to
Pakistan was that while it had paid a great deal of attention to inward flow of
12
foreign investment and technology it did not view the GATS as a means of
expanding export of its services.
2. Second. Pakistan had embarked upon a program of liberalization much before the
WTO came into existence, and had opened up a large number of its services
sectors to foreign competition and foreign investment. In this sense the GATS was
not an entirely new phenomenon. For Pakistan what was new in the GATS was its
focus on services not only as a means of attracting foreign investment but also a
means of promoting its exports. The GATS also forced on the attention of the
most of the world the fact that, as a result of modern technological development,
the services sector was fast becoming increasing tradable and that for policy
making purposes it had to be viewed as one coherent whole.
3. This chapter has brought out forcefully that Pakistan has already liberalized
substantially at least 16 of its major services. Annex II below therefore needs to
be examined carefully. As a matter of fact it is this section (liberalized sectors)
together with a subsequent Section in Chapter III (export potential of Pakistan)
that has served as the most important base for the recommendations of this study
relating to the current round of the GATS negotiations.
4. The central lesson of this Study is that Pakistan should increase the range of its
objectives from inward investment and importation of foreign technology to the
expansion of its exports. In the future its objective should be attraction of foreign
investment, increase importation of modern technology, and promotion of exports
of services.
5. Pakistan should also extend its interest to all the four modes of supply instead
focusing on politically difficult one or two modes such as Mode 4, the movement
of natural persons. This mode (Mode 4) becomes more acceptable if it is
recognized that it implies temporary movement of persons, more often in relation
to Mode 1 and Mode 3 activities abroad. In the context of Mode 4, Pakistan
should also review its own policies and recognize better the constraints that
compel it and other countries to follow a restrictive policy.
6. Pakistan should also seek outlets for outward investment (Mode 3) bearing in
mind that the State Bank has removed a number of restrictions on investment
abroad by Pakistanis.
Chapter -III
This chapter has discussed the following issues of considerable operational importance:
Export Strategies: The GOP institutions concerned with the 12 sub-sectors of the
Services should make arrangements for preparing strategies aimed at the
promotion of their exports. The WTO Centre should be given at least an officer of
the rank of a deputy secretary to coordinate these strategies.
Enquiry and Contact Points. Pakistan should notify to the WTO Secretariat its
own Enquiry and Contact point. The WTO Centre as constituted at present is
13
barely able to perform even its normal functions effectively: it is virtually
impossible for it to act also as a useful enquiry and contact point.
Modes of Supply: For facility of reference, the range of each of the four modes
of supply is discussed in Annex I. This should help in formulating Pakistan’s
requests and offers.
List of potential Exporters: This list is reproduced in Annex II. This should help
in developing Pakistan’s requests. It needs to be kept in view, first, that exports
either act a ‘vent for surplus’ or emerge as a response to existing demand abroad,
or they are a consequence of creation of demand for one’s ‘products’. Vent for
surplus approach does not exhaust the possibilities for export. Second,
development of exports is a medium and a long term process. A country has to
work steadily and patiently to build an expanding niche for its goods and services.
It can not be done overnight.
Why commit? This study recommends that Pakistan may undertake partial or full
commitment at least in respect of those liberalization policies that have remained
in force for five to seven years. A period of five to seven years should be
sufficient for the remarkably well-educated and skilful bureaucracy of a country
like Pakistan to make a definitive evaluation of its policies.
Chapter -IV
The chapter has discussed the following issues:
Need for a policy framework: Taking into account the preceding discussion,
Pakistan should evolve an analytical framework and a set of incentives to promote
growth and export of its Services Sector in a systematic manner.
14
been developed in this Chapter in the hope that it would help in the formulation of
Pakistan’s responses to WTO member’s requests.
The WTO Centre in the Ministry of Commerce is responsible for handling all issues
relating to the WTO Agreements and Understandings, participation in various Rounds of
Negotiations, coordination of the WTO related activities dispersed over several Ministries
and Autonomous bodies in Pakistan, but it has only six officers at its disposal. The Centre
also suffers acutely from the high turnover of its staff which makes it difficult for it to
develop its institutional memory or to pursue consistent policies.
It is worth remembering that the Results of the Uruguayan Round of Trade Negotiations
include 14 Agreements, 27 Decisions and Declarations, 8 Understandings and a Trade
Policy Review Mechanism. It hardly needs to be said that it is simply not possible for the
for the small team at the WTO Centre to follow developments in international trade, the
evolving policies of even the major trading countries like the US, the EU, Japan and
China or to keep pace with the enormous amount of WTO case law being developed by
the WTO Dispute Settlement Mechanism. It is obvious that the size of the Centre is
woefully inadequate for the task facing it. It strongly recommended that the staff situation
of the Centre be reviewed and improved.
Concluding Remark
This study has emphasized that economic policies rarely affect all members of a society
equally. More often than not, some sections of a society, some industries, and some firms
and individuals gain as a result of a particular policy and some lose. Furthermore, some
gain in the short and some in the longer term. The point in economic policy-making is
therefore not that a particular course of action must benefit all equally and immediately,
but that it should serve the more enduring public interest of the country. The
participation of Pakistan in the current round of negotiations under the GATS needs to be
seen in this perspective.
ANNEX-I
MODES OF SUPPLY
15
The broad domain of each of the four modes of supply as spelled out by the Extended
Balance of Payments Services Classification is3 as spelled out by the Extended Balance
of Payments Services Classification (EBOPS) discussed more fully in Chapter I is given
below:
Mode 3 (Commercial Presence) is primarily concerned with FATS and not balance of
payments. Commercial presence should however include construction services. The
Manual suggests that the one-year statistical rule should be ignored in this context.
Mode 4 (Presence of Natural Persons) needs to be read with Mode 1. Services like
computer and information services, other business services, and personal, cultural, and
recreational services involve significant elements of both Mode1 and Mode 4
To complete the picture, it might be highlighted here that, among other things, the GATS
also contain three important exclusions:
Services supplied in the exercise of governmental authority. The GATS does not
require any government to privatize any enterprise, and the GATS allow
governments to continue to provide preferential assistance to public providers
such as educational institutions. The GATS applies only to the private sector in
education.
Most Air Transport services.
Governmental purchases (procurement) of services.
ANNEX-II
3
This discussion is based on Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services
(Manual)
16
LIST OF POTENTIAL EXPORTERS
This list of potential exporters with some explanatory comments is based on the WTO
Classification of Service Sectors. A copy of this classification can be seen in Chapter II of
this study. It may also be reiterated that Pakistan has removed most of its restrictions on
Pakistan residents establishing commercial presence abroad.
I. BUSINESS SERVICES
A. Professional Services
Accounting, auditing and bookkeeping services:
It has been estimated by the US4 Trade Representative’s Office that International
revenues of accounting firms amount to tens of billions of dollars and are growing
annually. Two million accounts are employed worldwide. Pakistan has a strong and a
forward-looking body of accountants working in the country. They can organize
themselves to join the burgeoning international market. It is a great advantage for
Pakistani accounts that British and American accounting systems are now being adopted
by most of the emerging markets including China.
Pakistani engineers already posses a great of international experience in the US, the UK
and the Gulf States. They have also worked with several foreign engineering companies
on mega projects in Pakistan. This experience should be put to good through by exporting
their services under Mode 1 and Mode 3.
4
USTR Press Release: www.ustr.govt
17
Pakistan is rapidly building its capacity to export software implementation services, Data
processing services, and Database services. Even at present Pakistan is exporting (Cross-
border) supply of these services to the industrialized world though on a rather modest
scale. This activity needs to be enlarged substantially. For this purpose Pakistan would
need to negotiate easier business and professional visas under Mode 4 to take fuller
advantage of the vast market in computer services. Last year for the first time, worldwide
spending on IT services ($426 billion) exceeded worldwide spending on IT hardware
($376 billion).
r. Printing, Publishing:
Pakistan can take advantage of its emerging computer related capacity and establish printing and
publishing services as Singapore and Hong Kong have done so successfully. This will be an
important example of cross-border supply.
2. TRANSPORT SERVICES
Despite present international difficulties, the role of Pakistan as transit country is bound
to increase in the fairly near future. Pakistan is already in the process of preparing itself
as transit country by building new motorways. Work on the development of infrastructure
for cross-country pipelines will also begin as negotiations on gas pipelines mature.
3. COMMUNICATION SERVICES
B. Courier Services:
Along with physical infrastructure, labor is the primary component engaged in delivering
courier services. On the basis of the experience it has gained by working with large
foreign courier services, Pakistan can make a beginning in countries of the Central Asia.
C. Telecommunication services:
The following services help promote export interests of Pakistan.
4. FINANCIAL SERVICES:
Since 1970s Pakistan has developed a strong cadre of professional bankers who have
served with distinction both at home and abroad. This group of professionals, if given
appropriate policy framework and incentives, can exploit fully the opportunities inherent
18
in Mode 1 and Mode 4.The Banker’s Institute should be consulted on how best the
government can mobilize their export potential.
6. DISTRIBUTION SERVICES
This is another relatively labor-intensive service, and Pakistani companies can join
foreign enterprises in establishing chains from manufacturers to wholesalers, retailers,
and direct sellers.
8. TOURISM:
Pakistan has steadily though somewhat slowly developed the infrastructure required by a
thriving tourist industry. Statistics regarding the arrival and departure of tourist and their
expenditure on goods and services in Pakistan are however rather weak and to need to be
improved.
September 11 was a set back for Pakistan’s tourist industry as it was for many big players
in this sub-sector. One hopes that the industry will revive as the international situation
stabilizes.
It has been estimated that international hotel industry alone earns revenue of $253 billion
annually. A market of this size can not be ignored by any country.
The above discussion has brought out quite clearly that Pakistan is already producing and
exporting a wide range of services, and that it has opened an equally wide range of
sectors to foreign investment and foreign competition. It is also well known that Pakistan
regularly exports highly skilled as well as low skilled workers to both industrialized and
Oil-based economies. It will be difficult for Pakistan to claim a strong comparative
advantage in highly skilled occupations, yet it places no obstacles in the way of a large
19
number of Pakistani professionals like bankers, accountants, engineers, IT specialists,
medical doctors and business administrators to work abroad. Pakistan also encourages
low-skilled workers to go abroad, and this is a group in which Pakistan does have a
distinct comparative advantage.
However, if it is considered that modes of supply need to be prioritized, this study would
recommend that while Pakistan delegation in Geneva should continue to participate
actively in the great North-South debate on ‘movement of persons’, the other three modes
should receive more systematic attention at home. In particular, Mode 1 (Cross-border
supply) along with Mode 3 (Commercial Presence) should be the central focus of
attention of all the Ministries. Pakistan should not remain just an importer in these
modes; it should build a place for itself as an exporter as well. It should also link its
interest in the ‘movement of persons’ with these modes of supply to achieve useful results
for Pakistani service suppliers. This is where the material interest of Pakistan lies.
To sum up, this study maintains that Pakistan has a strong interest in all four modes of
supply because, among other things, modes I, 2 and 3 are deeply interconnected, and that
Mode 3 is also connected with modes 1, 2 and 4 together. It also needs to be recognized
that Mode 3, commercial presence, has now become fully integrated with the chain
constituted by modes 1, 2 and 4. It will be recalled that the State Bank of Pakistan has
recently lifted many restrictions on foreign investment by Pakistanis5.
5
IMF Country Report N0. 02/246.
November 2002
20
CHAPTER- I
This chapter, prepared in pursuance of Article 2.1 of the terms of reference (TORs) of this
study, deals with the current structure of service provision and exports from Pakistan,
service-specific and mode-specific trade data of Pakistan, and makes recommendations
on an optimal data and analysis framework for the General Agreement on Trade in
Services (GATS). The survey of domestic policies and regulations governing transactions
relating to services required by paragraph 2.1.iii has been discussed in the next chapter.
The Services Sector world-wide is now the most important source of economic growth,
employment, exports and imports and technological development. The Services Sector in
any country is also crucial to the development, efficiency and competitiveness of the rest
of the economy. In the decade of the 1990s, world trade in Services grew at a high rate of
6% per annum, a rate well above the growth rate of world output. Consequently
international trade in services, despite the non-tradability of some of them, is already
about 19% of the total international trades. It was therefore only appropriate that the
21
Uruguay Round of Trade Negotiations (UR) should have brought this large component of
international trade under a multilaterally agreed framework of rules and disciplines.
It is well known that this was the first time when a multilateral, legally enforceable
agreement covering trade and investment in services came into being, and today an
overwhelming majority of the UN membership subscribes to it. The GATS, inter alia,
6
This annual was published on 2 December 2002.
22
1.1 NATIONAL ACCOUNTS PERSPECTIVE
Table -1
REAL GROWTH RATES: SERVICES
Source: FBS
23
The structural change under which the Services Sector is becoming larger than the
Commodity Producing Sector in Pakistan corresponds fully with the experience of most
other countries. As a matter of fact, like the Services Sectors of other fast growing
countries, Pakistan’s Services Sector would have gained an even greater weight had it not
suffered in the Nineties the shocks that broke the momentum of its traditional relatively
high growth rates. It is noteworthy that the share of services in the US is 80% of its GDP,
in France 71%, in Egypt 53% and in India it is only 43%. In contrast the share of services
in Pakistan is around 51%7of its GDP. This share should however rise as the economy as
a whole shifts to a faster track.
Table 2:
1990-91 1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-19999 1999-2000 2000-2001 2
Sector
2. Services Sectors 48.7 48.3 49.5 49.4 49.3 48.5 49.5 48.6 49.0 49.1 50.2 5
a. Wholesale & Retail 16.5 16.5 16.6 16.4 16.3 16.2 16.1 15.4 15.2 14.9 15.3 1
Trade
b. Transport, Storage 9.6 9.9 10.3 10.3 10.2 9.6 9.8 10.2 10.3 10.2 10.5 1
& Communication
c. Finance & Insurance 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.3 2
d. Ownership of 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.1 6
Dwellings
e. Public Admn. & 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.5 6.4 7
Defense
f. Services 7.7 7.6 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.6 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.7 9
7
Selected World Bank Indicators: 1997.
24
I.1.ii Structure of Services
Though during the last twelve years the share of the Services Sector as a whole did
increase slightly, its internal structure did not experience any major changes. It can be
seen from Table 2 that between 1990-91 and 2000-01 Wholesale and Retail Trade, the
largest sector among the service sectors, and Public Administration and Defence lost
some of their weight, while the other four sectors, namely Transport, Storage and
Communications, Finance and Insurance, Ownership of Dwellings and Communal and
Social services gained slightly. The only change that can be regarded as significant is the
increase in the share of the Community, Social and Personal Services sector from 7.68 in
1990-91 to 9.64 percent in 2000-01. (Income arising in this sector consists of income of
persons engaged in private education, medical and health and other household and
community services). Finance and Insurance also did show an improvement but their rise
was rather small: the share of this sector just crawled up from 2.23% to 2.56%.
The above discussion is a rather broad review of the structure of the services sector, and
unfortunately it can not be deepened very much because the Federal Bureau of Statistics
(FBS), the agency responsible for national accounts in Pakistan, does not publish
disaggregated data. However, the following largely qualitative comments may be of
some use. It may be noted that these sectors conform to the classification of the GATS.
Transport:
Pipeline Transport comprising Asia petroleum Limited, PARCO, NRL, and FOTCO.
Communication:
This sector covers:
a. Post Office and Courier Services
b. PTCL and Private Telephone Companies
c. Radio (Public)
d. Television (public and private)
These sectors include both traditional and new activities. Pipeline Transport, Courier
services, Telephones and private sector media represent relatively new and more dynamic
segments of this sector. Pipeline and Road Transport which do not receive much attention
these days are bound to become more important as Pakistan’s role as a transit country
expands. Transit traffic to Afghanistan will also become more significant as
reconstruction of Afghanistan proceeds and agreements with Afghanistan on cross-
25
country road transport and gas pipelines mature8. These developments are also important
from the point of view of GATS Modes of supply 1 (cross-border supply), 3 (commercial
presence) and 4(presence of natural persons)9.
Table 3
8
A framework agreement on a gas pipeline was signed by Afghanistan, Turkmenistan and
Pakistan in the last week of December 2002.
9
The four modes of supply are:
1. Cross-border supply
2. Consumption abroad
3. Commercial presence
4. Presence of natural persons
26
Foreign Direct Investment (Net) – FY02
million US$
USA UK UAE Germany Others Total
Food Group 3.5 0.7 2.0 0.0 -11.34 -5.1
Textiles 6.7 1.1 3.8 0.4 6.44 18.4
Chemicals 5.7 0.3 0.2 0.5 3.92 10.6
Petroleum refining & petro
chemicals 3.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.0
Oil-gas mining &
quarrying 249.8 14.9 0.1 0.0 10.0 274.8
Pharmaceutical group 3.7 0.3 0.1 1.5 1.6 7.2
Machinery 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 10.5
Electronics 3.5 0.0 9.1 0.0 3.3 15.9
Transport & storage
facilities 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.0 21.3 22.5
Communications 8.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 3.5 12.8
Construction 1.9 3.3 1.4 0.0 6.2 12.8
Trade 14.9 1.0 1.4 0.1 16.8 34.2
Power 11.5 2.5 0.0 5.4 17.0 36.4
Financial business 1.6 0.4 1.8 0.1 -0.3 3.6
Others 10.6 4.4 0.9 3.1 6.4 25.0
Total 326.4 30.4 21.5 11.2 95.3 484.7
Note: Totals may not tally due to separate rounding
off.
Source: State Bank of Pakistan Annual Report FY02
I.1.v Foreign Direct Investment:
Foreign Direct Investment after several years of continuous decline picked up in FY 02.
Oil and Gas sector was the major beneficiary of this rather mild revival. Service sectors
like Transport, Storage and Communications, Financial business and IT industry also
attracted some of this investment. The volume of investment recorded in FY 02 ($484.7
million) is only one fourth to one third of the levels achieved in the mid-90s.
27
For several years until 1994-95 Pakistan use to have a positive entry under this category
of its national accounts. But from 1995-96 to 2001-02 these receipts became negative and
their growth rates turned heavily negative. This was partly due to an increase in payments
to foreign residents of investment income, payments on account of royalties and trade
marks, and a sharp decline in inward worker’s remittances. The negative balance on
account of royalties and trade marks should, however, not be a matter for undue worry
because this imbalance implies that, despite current general sluggishness in economic
activity, private sector is continuing to import modern technology to keep its plant and
machinery up-to-date. Fortunately in 2001-02, net factor income at market prices once
again turned positive. Data on net factor income is available in Table 4.
Table 4
VALUE ADDED IN NET FACTOR INCOME FROM
ABROAD
(Million RS.)
Investment income, Royalties/Trade Marks and Worker’s Remittances are the three
elements that constitute this entry in the national accounts. These categories do not,
however, correspond strictly to the GATS four modes of supply though they do provide
some general information relating to cross-border supply, commercial presence and
presence of natural persons.
Table 5 also shows that the deficit on account of Services is substantially higher than the
imbalance between the annual values of exports and imports of commodities. However, if
the definition of Services is brought closer to WTO classification of Services, the picture
changes noticeably. For instance, if interest payments including IMF charges are
deducted from Services (net) and outright purchases listed in the Summary Table below
are added, the imbalance between credits and debits reduces to a manageable level. It
therefore seems that, for purposes of analysis and policy making in the context of the
GATS, definition of Services needs to be clarified and brought in line with the definition
being used in the Manual.
Table 5
Current Account of the Balance of Payments
Million US$
It may be noted that according to the State Bank of Pakistan’s definition of “Other
transportation” listed in the above Table, includes income and expenditure on account of
passenger services, passage collections, ship repairs, as also earnings and expenditures of
Pakistani air/shipping companies10. The entry “Travel” includes tourism, hajj, and travel
for business, health and educational purposes. The credit entries under item “Other”
under the heading “Investment Income”, covers, among other things, foreign securities,
profits and dividends. On the debit side, this item includes remittances abroad of profit
and dividend earned by foreign investors. The entry “6.2 Other” under the heading “other
goods, services & income” means royalties and trade marks, technical/legal fees,
communication services, and other miscellaneous services as well as insurance premiums
and claims on life, fire, accidents, etc. More often than not this entry has a positive
though a shrinking balance.
10
Pakistan’s Balance of Payments, 1997
State Bank of Pakistan
Statistics Department
30
These definitions make it clear that though data relating to “Commercial Services” as
understood by the BPM5 and the WTO is being collected by the State Bank, the
presentation of this data needs to be re-designed to facilitate better understanding of the
current GATS negotiations and to enable the Government to frame appropriate policy for
the promotion of Services. This data, when reorganized, will also serve the informational
requirements of the GATS four modes of supply.
The WTO publication International Trade Statistics 2002 has reported that in 2001 the
value of world merchandise exports was $ 5990 billion and the value of world
commercial services exports stood at stood at $1440 billion. This was the result of a 4%
decline in merchandise exports and 1.5% decline in the export of commercial services.
The year 2001 also saw a fall in the rate of growth of world GDP from 4% in 2000 to
1.5%. During 1990-2000, however, both merchandise and commercial service grew at an
average rate of 6.5%. In the year 2000, Pakistan’s share in world export of commercial
services was only 0.09 percent.
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Pakistan 1266 1294 1330 1444 1432 1546 1446 1299 1428 -- --
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
31
Pakistan 2084 2423 2377 2182 2431 2913 2424 1944 2060 --
The data for Pakistan relating to its trade in commercial services for the year 2001 has not
yet been collected by the WTO Secretariat. But the data that the WTO Secretariat has
issued for the ten years beginning from 1991 shows that export of commercial services of
Pakistan rose mildly for a few years. The import side presents an almost similar picture;
the decade began with imports worth $2084 million, experienced a gentle increase until
1997 and a decline to $2060 million. Pakistan is not only a deficit country, its
performance both on export and import side is very weak even in the regional context. In
this decade, Chinese exports of commercial services rose from $5748 million in 1990 to
$30146 million in 2000, a more than five-fold increase, and India increased its exports of
commercial exports $4609million in 1990 to $17569 million in 2000, a little less than
four-fold increase. Data on world-wide exports and imports of commercial services is
published regularly by the WTO secretariat.
A second and a rather important point: The Box (Box 1) given below, which reproduces
the WTO definition of the commercial services, confirms the view expressed earlier that
the public statistical system of Pakistan most probably collects all the information
required by the WTO definition, but nowhere is that information published in a manner
that would enable the Government to review the functioning of the Services as a whole. It
should therefore be reiterated that this situation needs to be remedied fairly soon, among
other things, to take fuller advantage of the export opportunities being opened by the
GATS.
BOX 1
32
In the fifth edition of the Balanced of payments Manual , the current account is
subdivided into goods, services (including government services, n.i.e.), income
(investment income and compensation of employees), and current transfers. The
commercial services category in this report is defined as being services minus
government services n.i.e. Commercial Services is further sub-divided into transport,
travel, and other commercial services.
Transport covers all transportation services (sea, air and other –including land, internal
waterway, space and pipeline) that are performed by residents of one economy for those
of another, and that involve the carriage of passengers, the movement of goods
(freight), rentals (charters) of carries with crew, and related supporting and auxiliary
services.
Travel includes goods and services acquired by personal travellers, for health, education
or other purpose, and by business travellers. Unlike other service, travel is not a specific
type of service, but an assortment of goods and services consumed by travellers. The
most common goods and services covered are lodging, food and beverages, entertainment
and transportation (within the economy visited), gifts and transportation (within the
economy visited), gifts and souvenirs.
Insurance services.
Financial services
Royalties and license fees cover payments and receipts for the use of intangible non-
financial assets and proprietary rights, such as patents, copyrights, trademarks, industrial
processes, and franchises,
33
market research and development services , agricultural, mining and on site
processing: and
Statistics describing the overall operations of affiliates are termed “foreign affiliate trade
in services” or FATS statistics. Foreign Affiliates are those affiliates in which the foreign
investor holds a majority of ordinary shares or voting power. For purposes of trade
statistics affiliates and direct investment enterprises are synonymous. The categories for
Foreign Affiliates has been established by the International Standard Industrial
Classification of All Economic Activities—Revision 3. These can be seen in the Manual
on Statistics of International Trade in Services11.
FATS statistics are required by the GATS for assessing the effects of ‘commercial
presence’ and ‘presence of natural persons’ as modes of supply. The importance of FATS
can be judged from the fact that, for instance, Canadian-controlled firms account for 69%
of Canada’s commercial services exports, and that, on the import side, foreign-controlled
firms account for 51% of Canada’s commercial services imports. In the year 2000, the
share of services turnover of foreign Affiliates in national total in the case of Netherlands
was 15% and in France about 10%. The WTO Secretariat has estimated that in the year
2000 world-wide sales by Commercial Presence mode of supply (FATS Statistics) was
high as $2000 billion. In the same year Cross-border sales were $1000 billion,
Consumption abroad on the other hand generated $500 billion and Movement of natural
persons $50 billion12.
11
These have not been reproduced in this study.
12
Commitments Under GATS: Overview of Current Schedules
Trade in Services Division
34
It hardly needs to be emphasized that Pakistan already has a number of foreign
affiliates/subsidies like ICI, Nestles, Glaxo doing business in its territory, and it is
reasonable to expect that the number of these affiliates will increase in the future as
current investment promotion programs take root. It is therefore important that, as soon
as possible, Pakistan develops an efficient information system relating to this sector. As
pointed out before, FATS statistics are essential for a more beneficial participation in
GATS negotiations and the promotion of the Services sector.
A list of the relatively more important foreign companies doing business in Pakistan is
given below:
Table 6:
LIST OF MORE IMPORTANT FOREIGN COMPANIES IN
PAKISTAN
Bearing in mind the foregoing, the following recommendations relating to optimal data
collection, carrying out systematic economic and political analysis and developing
institutions for policy-making on WTO issues are submitted for the consideration of the
Ministry of Commerce. This discussion consists of two parts: the first deals with
statistics, and the second with decision making processes.
This statistical system of Pakistan has been in place for a long time, and over the years it
has acquired a great deal of expertise. Its most important problems always have been the
lack of professional leadership, the lack of adequate opportunities for the development of
the skills of its staff, and weak public and private demand for timely, accurate and
adequate information. Consequently the statistical system does not receive the resources
that it must have in order to serve the informational needs of a modern economy, namely
the collection of data, secondly, the compilation of data in usable forms and, thirdly, the
timely publication of the collected data.
These are, however, problems of a general nature and they apply more or else equally
virtually to all spheres of Pakistan’s economic life. The specific difficulties that beset
GATS statistics are two-fold.
First, the GATS is a relatively new and a recent international legal phenomenon. The
public and the private sectors in Pakistan are therefore not entirely clear about its
statistical requirements. As a matter of fact, the international community itself has yet to
bring into being a system that meets fully the needs of the services sector. It will be
recalled that the Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services has just been
agreed among the OECD, the IMF, the WTO and the UN. However now that an agreed
international model is ready, authorities in Pakistan can brace themselves to take
advantage of the costly research carried out by eminent international organizations
relating to the GATS informational requirements and to evolve a system of statistics
appropriate to the traditions of Pakistan.
Secondly, users of GATS data in Pakistan are handicapped not because the FBS or the
State Bank or other concerned governmental entities do not collect the required statistics,
but because of the limited amount they publish. Moreover, what they do make accessible
to the government or private bodies is so aggregated that it loses a great deal of its utility
for deep analysis or effective policy-making. As has been suggested above, both the FBS
and the State Bank need to publish not just the great statistical categories like Value-
added in net factor income from abroad in the context of national accounts or “Other
transportation’, ‘other in investment income’ or ‘other in other goods, services &
services’ in the context of the balance of the payments, but to make public the data
collected that build these aggregates. It hardly needs to be said that these opaque
categories of national accounts or of the balance of payments are not very illuminating. It
can be said confidently that a number of data problems of the GATS will disappear when
the elements that constitute these categories are published.
36
In the light of these considerations, it is recommended that the Ministry of Commerce, in
consultation with the FBS and the State Bank of Pakistan, establish a program of
publication of GATS statistics that progressively conforms to the model set out Box 2.
This model, called the Extended Balance of Payments Classification (EBOPS), has been
designed by the IMF and included in the Manual on Statistics of International Trade in
Services. It may be explained here that as a first step these organizations just need to
reveal the data they presently collect in the ordinary course of their work; they need not
undertake new surveys or collect new data, they The gaps that show up between their
routine data collection exercises and the Extended Balance of Payment Classification can
be filled progressively as larger resources become available.
BOX 2
Transportation
38
9.3.1.2 Accounting, auditing, bookkeeping and public relations
services
9.3.1.3 Business and management consulting and public relations
services
9.3.2. Advertising, market research, and public opinion polling
9.3.3. Research and development
9.3.4. Architectural, engineering, and other technical services
9.3.5. Agricultural, mining, and other on –site processing services
9.3.5.1. Waste treatment and de-pollution
9.3.5.2. Agriculture, mining, and other on-site processing
services
9.3.6 Other Business services
9.3.7 Services between related enterprises, n.i.e
10. Personal, cultural, and recreational services
10.1 Audiovisual and related services
10.2 Other personal, cultural, and recreational services
102.1. Education services
102.2. Health services
102.3. Other
11. Government services, n.i.e.
11.1. Embassies and consulates
11.2. Military units and agencies
11.3. Other governments services
Memorandum Items
39
3.1 Gross premiums—life insurance
3.2 Gross premiums—freight insurance
3.3 Gross premiums—other direct insurance
The GATS GNS/W/120 list explicitly excludes some services that are supplied by
governments—those that are supplied on a non-commercial basis and not in competition
with one or more service suppliers. These services are included in government services,
not included elsewhere, within BPMS and EBOPS.
Included in the GNS/W/120 are the distribution services of wholesale trade and retailing.
Following BPM5, these services are not identified in the EBOPS classification. In the
1993 SNA, wholesalers and retailers are entities that purchase and resell goods with no or
only minimal processing ( in the form of cleaning, packaging, and delivering a selection
of goods in convenient locations, and thus making them easy to buy . Such services, with
the exception of merchanting services (which are discussed further in section III.H.), are
not part of the international services transactions described in BPMS because the margins
that represent these distribution services are included in the free on board (f.o.b.) values
of the goods to which they relate.
40
1. Cross-border supply (Mode 1) includes Commercial services such as
a. Communication Services,
b. Construction Services,
c. Insurance Services,
d. Financial Services,
e. Computer and Information Services,
f. Royal and License Fees,
g. Other Business Services,
h. Personal, Cultural and Recreational Services.
Consumption abroad (Mode 2) includes Travel. Travel is not a specific product; rather
it is range of goods and services consumed by travelers during their visit to an economy
for less than one year. Broadly it approximates to Tourism including Hajj. The Manual
includes expenditure on health and education also in its definition of consumption
abroad.
Commercial Presence (Mode 3) covers FATS Statistics which record the economic
activities of affiliates, subsidiaries and branches of foreign-owned enterprises.
The WTO Secretariat has reported that in the year 2000, the share of Other Services
(Modes 1, 2 and 4) in world export of services rose to 45%, the share of Travel (Mode 2)
fell to 32 % and the share Transport 23%.
Furthermore, the Government can not continue to rely for too long on foreign financial
assistance for meeting its research and training needs. The Government has to establish
arrangements of its own that serve its own specific needs. It is recommended that the
Ministry of Commerce may consider enlarging its institute for the training of a handful of
Trade Service officers into a centre of excellence for research and training in international
41
trade and the political economy of the World Trade Organization. Among other things,
this institute will have to develop a highly sophisticated multi-disciplinary approach
covering at least economics, international commercial law, and international relations to
understand and analyze WTO agreements and the fast developing case law being
generated by the WTO Dispute Settlement Mechanism, to implement these agreements
efficiently and to participate effectively in their future development.
There is no gainsaying that this is not a novel idea. In fact several member countries of
the WTO felt the need for an Institute of Foreign Trade quite some time ago and have
devoted substantial amounts of resources to research and training in the political
economy of international trade. The Ministry of Commerce may therefore consider the
experience of the following bodies in designing an institution of its own.
Most of the Federal Ministries, in cooperation with the Ministry of Commerce, have
already set up small cells to deal with WTO issues in their domain. As a first step these
cells need to be strengthened substantially in order that the Government of Pakistan can
deal with on-going WTO negotiating rounds effectively. It also seems necessary that
Government establishes a WTO Policy-making Committee of Federal Secretaries to
provide guidance to these individual, ministerial cells to oversee their agenda and
programs of work and to co-ordinate their output. It is strongly recommended that this
Committee may be established through an Ordinance to ensure adequate legal status and
continuity for it. The Committee will need to be based in the Ministry of Commerce
under the chairmanship of the Secretary, Ministry of Commerce, and the WTO Wing of
the Ministry of Commerce would need to serve as its Secretariat. This formalization of
the current more or less ad-hoc arrangements will not only enable Pakistan to improve the
quality of its participation in crucial international negotiations, it will also greatly
facilitate the task of the Economic Coordination Committee of the Cabinet.
42
It is important that this Committee should dedicate all its attention to issues relating to
services, and that it is not be merged with the arrangements in place for dealing with trade
in goods. The economic importance and tradability of services as well as the provisions
of the GATS require that the specificity of services is acknowledged institutionally.
It is fortunate that Pakistan has now a country-wide network of district level chambers of
commerce and industry that rise hierarchically into an all-Pakistan Federation of
Chambers of Commerce and Industry. This system is further strengthened by an even
larger network of business and occupational associations that help the vast private sector,
among other things, to articulate its interests and to negotiate with the Government in an
organized fashion.
As part of its program of increasing awareness of the WTO among civil servants, private
business and the academia, the Ministry of Commerce, assisted by the DFID, has already
held a number of workshops all over the country, and it is expected that this program will
continue for some more time. This has been an important step forward but it is fairly
obvious that much more needs to be done to prepare the concerned institutions and
persons to cope with ever rising demands of the WTO.
The Ministry of Commerce has also established a number of working groups consisting
of civil servants, private sector and the academic people to review the working of major
WTO agreements and to help the Government evolve its negotiating position for the
current Post-Doha WTO Rounds. It is gratifying to see that preliminary comments of
these working groups are already available to the authorities.
All this is valuable and well-timed and well-organized. However, the need for a more
formal and permanent mechanism for holding regular consultations with the private
sector remains. It is therefore recommended that the Ministry of Commerce may consider
setting up a standing committee of concerned Ministries like Agriculture,
Communications, Education, The Higher Education Commission, Health and
representative of the Federation of Commerce and Industry capable of speaking on behalf
of the major divisions of the Services Sector. The Higher Education Commission has
been included in this Committee because of the crucial importance of mutual recognition
of educational and professional certificates (degrees) in the application of the GATS
mode of supply.
This body should meet periodically, at least once every quarter, to review the current
situation and to formulate its recommendations. It is important that this entity has a
permanent secretariat of it own, and that its work is overseen by the Secretary, Ministry
of Commerce personally. It is further suggested that the functions, composition, and
governance of this body should be notified through a formal resolution of the
Government. A Government resolution will give this body the visibility, the credibility
and the status it requires to perform its functions reasonably well.
43
c. Research and training to back-up decision making at administrative level:
Most conscientious civil servants are well aware that, unlike civil servants in other
progressive countries, decision making processes in Pakistan suffer from a lack of well
researched background material and the unavailability of coherent quantitative and
qualitative information. In the last two decades Pakistan has tried to remedy this situation
by engaging donor-financed foreign and local consultants, but for a number of reasons
the results of this experience have not always been entirely satisfactory. The fact of the
matter is that while donor technical assistance does fill the gaps in the knowledge
available to the administration, it can not always stand for in-house, indigenous research
institutions. Government therefore need to developed a system in which foreign technical
assistance and local research institutes can work together not to just meet emergencies
but to contribute to the building of long term intellectual and administrative capacity
necessary to the functioning a modern state.
NGOs all over the world are playing an important role in policy-making and their
influence on social, political and economic developments is increasing. Pakistan also
has a number of sophisticated NGOs who take a keen interest in WTO related issues.
It is time the Government of Pakistan formally recognized the relevance of the NGO
perspectives on democracy, human rights, labour standards and environmental
protection to public policy-making and established a mechanism for periodic
consultation with them at least on WTO agenda. The Ministry of Commerce can play
a leading role in promoting a constructive dialogue between the government and the
NGOs.
The need for reforming the statistical system of services has already been discussed in
considerable detail. It is recommended that a Committee consisting of Ministries of
Commerce, Industry, Finance, the Statistics Division and the State Bank of Pakistan may
be formed to consider how best to adapt the recommendations of Manual on Statistics of
International Trade in Services to needs of Pakistan, and to make arrangements for
collecting Foreign Affiliates Trade in Services statistics (FATS). This Committee may
well have to establish sub-committees to deal with specific detailed issues, but the main
Committee itself should be presided over by the Secretary, Commerce to maintain
standards and speed.
44
Annexure-1
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
AT CONSTANT FACTOR COST OF 1980-81
(Rs. In Million)
Sector 1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-1999 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02
R P
1. Agriculture 125.425 118.8 125.005 133.22 148.83 149.02 155.748 158.783 168.459 164.012 166.29
Major Crops 63.213 53,354 54,018 58,714 62,211 59,518 64,439 64,426 74,359 67,080 66,722
Minor Crops 20,290 21,092 23,754 25,395 26,636 26,886 29,071 30,300 27,544 27,575 27,847
Livestock 36,133 38,308 40,599 42,848 54,172 56,469 56,024 57,809 58,906 61,768 63,880
Fishing 4,650 4,909 5,442 5,047 4,904 5,139 5,443 5,477 6,008 5,785 6,017
Forestry 1,139 1,132 1,192 1,211 909 1,004 771 771 1,642 1,804 1,823
2. Mining &
Quarrying 2,565 2,642 2,765 2,646 2,833 2,886 2,744 2,831 3,006 3,136 3,254
3. Manufacturing 82,672 86,346 90,272 92,561 96,016 95,945 102,593 106,767 108,405 116,623 121,738
Large Scale 61,051 63,577 66,294 67,310 69,424 67,941 73,102 75,710 75,699 82,180 85,466
Small Scale 21,621 22,769 23,978 25,251 26,592 28,004 29,491 31,057 32,706 34,443 36,272
4. Construction 19,566 20,701 21,040 21,253 21,944 22,183 22,462 21,356 22,456 22,374 22,581
5.Electricity & Gas 16,823 17,897 18,464 21,572 23,759 23,068 25,094 29,463 28,590 25,434 24,735
Distribution
6. Transport, Storage 47,189 50,333 52,183 54,342 54,798 56,859 60,959 64,085 66,364 69,692 69,782
&
Communication
7. Wholesale & Retail 78,760 81,061 83,377 82,245 92,542 93,208 92,157 94,891 96,713 101,784 104,064
Trade
8. Finance and
Insurance 10,343 11,065 12,629 13,426 15,283 17,039 12,958 15,403 14,711 15,177 15,749
9. Ownership of 25,588 26,938 28,361 29,858 31,435 33,095 34,842 36,682 38,618 40,657 42,804
45
Dwellings
10. Public Admn &
Defense 32,495 33,295 33,759 34,814 35,917 36,712 37,459 38,395 42,003 42,486 50,217
11.Services 36,335 38,708 41,236 43,929 46,798 48,854 53,109 56,577 60,271 64,207 68,400
12.GDP(fc) 477,761 487,782 509,091 534,861 570,157 579,865 600,125 625,233 649,656 665,582 689,613
13. Indirect Taxes 63,722 62,156 60,458 61,584 56,818 52,870 48,617 47,971 54,864 57,983 65,126
14. Subsidies 5,004 4,026 3,234 2,026 3,747 3,185 3,137 3,969 6,775 6,845 6,409
15. GDP (mp) 536,479 545,912 566,315 594,419 623,228 629,550 645,605 669,235 697,745 716,720 748,330
16. Net Factor 4,949 3,734 1,319 4,031 -1,856 -4,362 -5,571 -5,202 -7,883 -7,745 3,777
Income
from abroad
17. GNP(fc) 482,710 491,516 510,410 538,892 568,301 575,503 594,554 620,031 641,773 657,837 693,390
18. GNP (mp) 541,428 549,646 567,634 598,450 621,372 625,188 640,034 664,033 689,862 708,975 752,107
19. Population 112.00 115.04 117.93 120.88 123.87 126.90 129.97 133.01 136.00 139.08 142.07
(in Million)
20. Per Capita 4,310 4,273 4,327 4,458 4,588 4,535 4,575 4,662 4,719 4,730 4,881
Income
(fc-Rc)
21. Per Capita 4,826 4,778 4,813 4,951 5,016 4,927 4,924 4,992 5,073 5,098 52,294
Income (mp-Rc)
R: Revised
P: Provisional Source: Federal Bureau of Statistics
46
Annexure-II
SECTORAL SHARES IN GDP (Real)
(In Percent)
1990- 1991- 1992- 1993-
Sector 91 92 93 94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-1999 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02
1. Commodity 51.3 51.7 50.5 50.6 50.7 51.5 50.6 51.4 51.1 50.9 49.8 49.1
producing
Sector
a. Agriculture 25.8 26.3 24.4 24.6 24.9 26.1 25.7 26.0 25.4 25.9 24.6 24.1
b. 17.4 17.3 17.7 17.7 17.3 16.8 16.6 17.1 17.1 16.7 17.5 17.7
Manufacturing
c. Mining and 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Quarrying
d. Construction 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.3
e. Electricity & 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.0 4.2 4.7 4.4 3.8 3.6
Gas
Distribution
2.Services 48.7 48.3 49.5 49.4 49.3 48.5 49.5 48.6 49.0 49.1 50.2 50.9
Sectors
a. Wholesale & 16.5 16.5 16.6 16.4 16.3 16.2 16.1 15.4 15.2 14.9 15.3 15.1
Retail Trade
b. Transport, 9.6 9.9 10.3 10.3 10.2 9.6 9.8 10.2 10.3 10.2 10.5 10.1
Storage
&
Communication
47
48
c. Finance & 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3
Insurance
d. Ownership 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.1 6.2
of Dwellings
e. Public Admn. 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.5 6.4 7.3
& Defense
f. Services 7.7 7.6 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.6 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.7 9.9
R: Revised
P: Provisional Source: Federal Bureau of Statistics
49
Annexure-III
GROSS FIXED FORMATION (GFCF) IN PRIVATE, PUBLIC
AND GENERAL GOVERNMENT SECTORS BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
AT CONSTANT MARKET PRICES OF 1980-81
(Rs. In Million)
Sector 1990-91 1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01
R
GFCF (A+B+C) 82,223 92,436 96,323 95,423 99,522 104,729 100,693 96,961 92,599 97,268 98,161
A. Private Sector 39,536 44,827 46,454 47,414 48,554 52,833 57,009 61,396 52,222 55.022 54,585
B. Public Sector 23,599 27,679 29,471 28,398 31,097 32,405 28,942 19,754 24,402 26,139 27,388
C. General Govt. & 19,088 19,930 20,398 19,611 19,871 19,491 14,742 15,811 15,975 16,107 16,188
Private & Public
(A+B) 63,135 72,506 75,925 75,812 79,651 85,238 85,951 81,150 76,624 81,161 81,973
Sector Wise
1.Agriculture 8,712 7,911 8,279 8,723 9,614 9,227 6,167 6,251 7,799 7,845 6,904
2.Mining & Quarrying 1,309 1,714 1,447 1,854 2,916 2,691 4,379 2,852 2,650 2,100 2,386
3.Munfacturing 13,030 17,859 17,685 18,114 12,071 14,070 14,551 13,110 15,106 14,939 18,141
Large Scale 10,652 15,292 14,917 15,133 9,163 10,621 10,847 9,132 10,459 10,349 13,212
Small Scale 2,378 2,567 2,768 2,981 2,908 3,449 3,704 3,978 4,647 4,590 4,929
4. Construction 1,126 2,621 1,939 2,323 2,176 2,541 2,154 1,998 1,229 1,200 1,409
5. Electricity & Gas 12,458 14,036 14,266 14,919 23,006 22,638 16,758 17,360 10,523 12,641 10,994
6. Transportation & 9,865 11,140 14,265 10,816 9,624 12,897 18,270 15,603 14,212 17,473 16,167
Communication
7. Whole sale & 880 905 866 959 1,370 1,577 1,280 1,498 1,467 1,639 1,856
Retail Trade
8.Finance & 460 496 759 811 1,662 1,769 2,977 1,965 2,554 2,179 1,375
Insurance
9. Ownerships of 10,979 11,266 11,575 11,969 11,838 12,198 12,686 13,126 13,757 14,125 14,604
Dwellings
10. Services 4,316 4,471 4,751 5,245 5,358 5,630 6,729 7,387 7,329 7,022 8,137
R: Revised
P: Provisional
50
Annexure-I V
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
(Millions US $)
Fiscal Japan Saudi Canada Nether Korea Others Total
Arabia land
Year
1989- Direct 16.1 1.1 0.9 5.3 -- 38.3 216.2
90 Portfolio -4.2 0.6 0.1 0.7 -- 3.1 -4.7
Total 11.9 1.7 1 6 -- 41.4 211.5
1990- Direct 26.2 0.9 1.9 2.3 -- 16.1 246
91 Portfolio -5.3 -0.2 0.2 -- -- -12.4 -9.0
Total 20.9 0.7 2.1 2.3 -- 3.7 237.0
1991- Direct 17.7 0.1 3.0 0.8 -- 36.9 335.1
92 Portfolio -- 1.1 -- 1.3 -- 34.3 218.5
Total 17.7 1.2 3.0 2.1 -- 71.2 553.6
1992- Direct 22 8.2 0.3 5.6 -- 43.3 306.4
93 Portfolio 6.3 0.4 4.0 5.3 -- 25.7 136.8
Total 28.3 8.6 4.3 10.9 -- 69.0 443.2
1993- Direct 0.3 29.7 1.9 1.2 -0.1 53.1 354.1
94 Portfolio -- 0.8 -- 8.8 0.1 208.2 288.6
Total 0.3 30.5 1.9 10.0 0.0 261.3 642.7
1994- Direct 16.3 0.9 0.4 4.5 40.8 84.0 442.4
95 Portfolio 4.6 1.2 -17.2 11.5 -- 210.7 1089.9
Total 20.9 2.1 -16.8 16.0 40.8 294.7 1532.3
1995- Direct 82.1 26.9 0.8 11.9 31.5 169.8 1101.7
96 Portfolio 13.1 -1.1 -- -- -- 112.3 205.0
Total 95.2 25.8 0.8 11.9 31.5 282.1 1306.7
1996- Direct 36.6 -17.0 1.7 7.7 7.3 67.5 682.1
97 Portfolio 6.9 -- 0.8 3.5 -- 73.1 267.7
Total 43.5 -17.0 2.5 11.2 7.3 140.6 949.5
1997- Direct 17.8 1.2 0.5 26.9 5.9 106.0 601.3
98 Portfolio -1.2 1.3 -- -- -- 10.7 221.3
Total 16.6 2.5 0.5 26.9 5.9 116.7 822.6
1998- Direct 57.4 1.1 0.3 5.7 4.6 27 376.0
99 Portfolio 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 12.4 27.3
Total 57.4 1.1 0.3 6.3 4.6 39.4 403.3
1999- Direct 17.7 28.6 0.2 10.7 9.3 48.4 469.9
2000 Portfolio 0.2 -5.9 0.0 9.4 0 26.0 73.5
Total 17.9 22.7 0.2 20.1 9.3 74.4 543.4
2000- Direct 9.1 56.6 0.1 4.8 3.7 38.7 322.4
2001 Portfolio 0 -1.7 0.5 -1.3 0.0 -40.2 -140.4
Total 9.1 54.9 0.6 3.5 3.7 -1.5 182.0
Direct 4.1 2.1 3 -6.5 0.2 69.6 287.4
Portfolio 0.2 0.1 2.7 -0.8 0 7.1 -2.9
Total 4.3 2.2 5.7 -7.3 0.2 76.7 284.5
Stands for amount less than $ 0.05 million
Not Available Source: State Bank of Pakistan
51
Direct Investment consists of cash, capital equipment brought in and reinvested
earnings.
July, March
Annexure-v
PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF EMPLOYED PERSONS BY INDUSTRY DIVISIONS
OCCUPATION GROUPS, SEX AND AREA, 1998-99
MAJOR INDUSTRY Legislators Professio Technicians Service Skilled Craft & Related Plant & Elementary
DIVISONS Senior Officials nals & Associate Workers & Agriculture & Trade Workers Machine Occupations
and Managers Professionals Shop & Fishery orders Operator
Total Clerks
Market Sale s&
Workers Assembl
ers
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
PAKISTAN
100.0 0.82 3.46 2.89 2.25 14.12 36.16 11.48 5.29
Both Sexes 0
Agriculture, 43.68 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.12 35.55 0.05 0.22
Fishing
Mining and 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 -- 0.02 0.02
Quarrying
Manufacturing 12.73 0.20 0.15 0.16 0.33 0.46 0.05 7.07 1.47
Electricity, Gas, 0.67 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.15 0.9 0.01 0.14 0.11
Water
Construction 6.94 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.80 0.05
Trade, 12.18 0.16 0.05 0.07 0.12 8.29 0.28 0.36 0.06
Hotels/Restaura
nt
Transport & 5.52 0.06 0.05 0.14 0.22 0.24 0.03 0.39 2.77
Storage
Finance , Real 0.74 0.12 0.08 0.15 0.18 0.12 0.01 0.02 0.02
Estate etc
Community 16.97 0.22 2.96 2.24 1.11 4.68 0.12 2.60 0.56
services etc
Activities not 0.26 0.00 0.07 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00
defined
Male 77.46 0.69 2.38 2.32 2.20 12.33 26.50 7.16 5.18
Agriculture, 30.35 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.11 25.93 0.04 0.22
Fishing
Mining & 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 -- 0.01 0.02
Quarrying
Manufacturing 8.84 0.19 0.15 0.15 0.32 0.42 0.05 3.9 1.37
Electricity, GAS 0.67 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.15 0.09 0.01 0.14 0.11
Water
Construction 6.79 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.78 0.05
Trade, 11.64 0.12 0.05 0.07 0.12 7.96 0.28 0.31 0.06
Hotels/Restaura
nt
Transport & 5.52 0.06 0.05 0.14 0.22 0.24 0.03 0.39 2.77
Storage
Finance , Real 0.73 0.12 0.08 0.14 0.18 0.11 0.01 0.02 0.02
Estate etc
Community 12.40 0.16 1.90 1.68 1.08 3.3 0.1 1.54 0.54
services etc
Activities not 0.23 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00
defined
FEMALE 22.54 0.013 1.08 0.58 0.05 1.79 9.66 4.32 0.12
Agriculture, 13.33 0.01 0.01 -- 0.01 0.01 9.62 0.00 --
Fishing
Mining & 0.02 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.00 --
Quarrying
Manufacturing 3.89 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.05 -- 3.17 0.10
52
Electricity, GAS -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.53
Water
Construction 0.15 -- -- -- -- 0.01 0.01 0.02 -- --
Trade, 0.53 0.04 0.00 -- -- 0.33 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.11
Hotels/Restaura
nt
Transport & 0.00 -- -- -- 0.00 -- -- 0.00 -- 0.10
Storage
Finance , Real 0.02 0.00 -- 0.00 -- 0.01 -- -- -- --
Estate etc
Community 4.57 0.06 1.06 0.56 0.03 1.39 0.02 1.07 0.01 --
services etc
Activities not 0.03 0.00 0.01 -- -- -- 0.00 -- 0.02 0.37
defined
53
Chapter II
In the last few years Pakistan has enacted a number of reforms in some of its major
services sectors. In February 1998 it issued two supplements to its April 1994 Schedules
of Specific Commitments that provided fresh commitments relating to
Telecommunications and Financial Services. Pakistan has also made serious efforts to
carry out the structural reforms it had agreed with the IMF and the World Bank. As a
result, Pakistan’s policies are now substantially more transparent and liberal than ever
before.
The central features of the reforms implemented since 1995 have been (i) to improve the
efficiency of the services sector by deregulation and by opening it to foreign competition (ii) to
increase Pakistan’s exports of services, and (iii) to attract foreign investment. It is now widely
13
This topic has been brought into this chapter to ensure continuity with
section 2.2.
14
This section draws heavily on material contained in recent annual
Economic Surveys, annual State Bank Reports, USTR: Foreign Trade
Barriers, the WTO Trade Policy Review of Pakistan, and BOI’s Pakistan:
Investment Policies, Incentives & facilities.
54
accepted in Pakistan that an efficient and more robust services sector is not only important for its
own sake, but more so for the competitiveness, efficiency and faster growth of the entire economy.
a. Computer software and Information Technology (Mode 1 and 3): This industry is fully
open to foreign investment. In fact, unlike several other industries it is free even from the
restriction of a minimum investment. The plant and machinery required by this industry
is subject to a nominal duty of 5 percent, and there is no restriction on repatriation of
profits and dividends and on the payment of royalty and technical fees.
b. Construction Industry (Modes 1 and 3): This industry covers a very large number of
activities ranging from road paving, offshore works, airports, sewage works, air-
conditioning, lifts and escalators, medical equipment, power generation and
telecommunication installation. The complete list of engineering activities that Pakistan
can handle is given in the Bye Laws of Pakistan Engineering Council, 22 November
1999.
The bye laws of the Council further provide that the share of a Pakistani company in the
equity of a joint venture shall ‘not be less than thirty percent’. “The foreign constructor or
foreign operator may be granted license only for specific projects which need expertise
and specialized technology of construction not available with a Pakistani constructor or
operator.”
55
Like Tourism this industry has also been declared a priority industry. It is therefore
entitled to all the incentives Government has agreed to provide to other priority
industries.
The Engineering Council which regulates engineering service in the country has already
decided that Pakistan should ask for commitments for Modes 1, 3 and 4 of supply. In
return Pakistan should offer at least partial commitments in the these three mode of
supply, namely 1, 3 and 4.
Pakistan is most fortunate in that its engineering degrees are recognized 15 over most of
the world. It can therefore enter into international negotiations without any serious
technical difficulty.
c. Legal Services (Mode1 and Mode3): Any person can provide legal consultancy, but a
foreign lawyer can not practice law and appear in courts or otherwise formally plead
cases unless he has been licensed to practice law in Pakistan. Foreign lawyers can form
law firms in Pakistan as long there is 40 percent Pakistani equity within five tears of
initial investment.
d. Courier Service (Mode 1, Mode 3 and Mode 4): Pakistan has not made any
commitment under the GATS with regard to courier services. However, subject to some
conditions, it does allow domestic and foreign companies to compete with national postal
services.
e. Medical and Dental Services (Mode1, Mode 2, Mode 3, and Mode 4): Pakistan did
make some commitments in 1994 in relation to Mode 2 and Mode 3. No further
liberalization has however been recorded since then.
f. Maritime Transport Services (Mode1, Mode 2, Mode 3 and Mode 4): Pakistan did not
participate in WTO negotiations on maritime transport services. This sector is open to
both public and private sectors. Recently Government issued 35 licenses but so far only
two private companies responded and started their business.
It is well known that foreign shipping lines dominate Pakistan’s shipping business. The
national fleet is presently carrying only 10 percent of the regular cargo and 25 percent of
the liquid cargo.
15
Pakistan Engineering Council letter to Secretary Commerce.(No.PEC/Cons/26-
a/WTO/2002 of 18 June 2002.)
56
g. Air Transport
At present, alongside PIA, the dominant public-sector airline, three private airlines,
namely AeroAsia, Bhoja Air and Shaheen Air International operate in Pakistan. Pakistan
has Air Service Agreements with 91 countries.
In accordance with its new aviation policy, Pakistan has granted access to a number of
airlines to its northern gateways, namely Lahore, Islamabad and Peshawar. The new
aviation policy also provides for foreign investment in the construction of new airports on
BOT basis.
Basic telephony remains the monopoly of the PTCL until 2005, but competition among
service providers is now allowed in cellular telephony.
Pakistan has also agreed to cross-border access for voice services as of 1 January, 2005,
and will allow cross-border provision of packet-switched data and Internet services on
competitive network by 2004.
57
In its Schedule of Specific Commitments, Supplement 2, Revision.1
(GATS/SC/67/Suppl.2/Rev.1) of 16 February attached a reference paper containing
important commitments relating to the following:
a. Transparency of Regulation,
b. Interconnection and Numbering,
c. Competition Safeguards and Standards, and
d. Tariff Regime
The financial statements of the PTCL16 show a continuation of positive results. The PTCL
has posted 9% year-on year growth in net profits after tax….The total revenue for the
year 2001-02 increased from Rs. 66.43 billion from Rs 62.04 billion in 2000-01…..The
growth was mostly driven by an upsurge in the domestic sector. The increase in the
international revenue was however marginal.
j. Banking Services (Mode 1 and Mode 3): In 2001 Pakistan had 43 banks operating in its
economic space. These consisted of 4 nationalized banks, 4 specialized banks, 16 private
banks (excluding Indus Bank) and 19 foreign banks. In March 2002, domestic banks had
6926 and foreign banks 83 branches.
Recognizing the need to improve the financial soundness of the banking system, in the
year 2001 Government embarked upon an accelerated program of privatization. In
September 2001, a 6.4% government stake in Muslim Commercial Bank was off-loaded.
Now only 10.2% shares remain to be divested. The process of privatization of the United
Bank Ltd through sale of a 51% stake was initiated in June 2002. That process is now in
its final phase. The process of divesting 26% stake in Habib Bank is also now underway.
At the same time Government offloaded 10% shares of National Bank of Pakistan
through initial public offering in the stock exchanges. Further sale are planned in the
coming months18.
58
Foreign brokers may join one of the country’s three stock exchanges only as part of a
joint venture with a Pakistan firm.
Government intervention in the operation of the financial system has been reduced by
expanding the autonomy of the State bank. “The thrust of the regulatory framework was
maintained towards the policies focusing on increasing the ability of the banking system
to weather financial shocks, strengthening their capacity to extend credit at lower cost,
reducing the direct role of the Government, and fostering good governance.”
k. Insurance: (Mode 1, Mode 3, and Mode 4): Of the 61 insurance companies operating in
Pakistan, four (two domestic and two foreign) underwrite life business; four foreign and
53 local companies transact general business19.
At present there are 55 private insurance companies of which 5 are foreign-owned. These
own about 3% of Pakistan’s life insurance and about 9% of the general insurance
business20.
Foreign investors are allowed to hold 51 percent shares of companies operating in the life
and general insurance sectors. They are however required to bring in the minimum
amount of $ 2.0 million in foreign exchange and raise an equal amount in equity in the
local market. There are no restrictions on the repatriation of profits but capital investment
made in these sectors can not be repatriated.
A new law entitled, Insurance Ordinance, 2000 was introduced to improve the working of
the insurance market and to offer better protection to policy holders.
Pakistan in its Specific Commitments of 26 February 1998 relating to its Financial Sector
has ‘bound’ market access conditions for its life and non-life insurance sub-sectors for the
existing insurance services providers as to their present scope of operations and equity
structure.
59
Education was always a multi-dimensional activity, but its trade-related aspect has into
fore only recently.
Education is now regarded all over the world as an internationally tradable service that
has an important place in the balance of payments of a country. However the GATS deals
only with the private sector part of education; public sector activities relating to
educational are outside the purview of the GATS..
A large, unregulated private sector exists in Pakistan to supplement the public sector
education system. The following Table taken from the Economic Survey 2001-02 gives
the approximate size of private activities in education.
Table
Private Institution by Type Regions
(Nos)
Region General Professional/Technical Professional/Technical Vocational Total
(Under Graduate) (Graduate & Post Graduate)
1 2 3 4 5 6
Pakistan 33,893 433 265 1,505 36,096
Islamabad 309 10 12 31 362
Punjab 22,855 263 157 688 23,963
Sindh 5,943 86 42 286 6,457
NWFP 3,995 73 48 335 4,451
Balochistan 465 01 6 53 525
FATA 326 -- -- 12 338
Source: Federal Bureau of Statistics
Though the Economic Survey does not differentiate between foreign and domestic private
sectors, it is well known that a number of foreign establishments operate in the area of
higher education. A great deal of cross-border activity can also be observed. Generally
speaking, these activities take the form of linkages with foreign universities, commercial
presence of foreign universities and long-distance cross-border learning and teaching.
The balance of payments data relating to education can not, however, be reported here
because the State Bank does not publish it separately.
Pakistan also spends a substantial amount of foreign exchange on education abroad. This
is particularly true in area of technical and higher education. On the other hand, a fairly
large number of foreign students, mainly from Muslim countries, visit Pakistan for
education even outside government-to-government cultural and technical assistance
agreements.
60
English is the primary medium of instruction in Pakistan. This gives an enormous
potential to Pakistan’s educational institutions to attract students from abroad, in
particular from the Central Asian Countries, and to attract investment in higher education
from Pakistani Diaspora.
It is noteworthy that this substantial though informal liberalization of the education sector
(in all four modes) has never been reflected in Pakistan’s Schedule of Commitments.
m. Health and Related Social Services (Mode 1, Mode 2 and Mode 3): In accordance
with its original Schedule of Commitments, Pakistan has no restrictions on Mode 2 in
respect of market access and no restrictions on Mode 2 and Mode 3 in relation to national
treatment.
n. Distribution Services (Mode 1, Mode 2, Mode 3 and Mode 4): Pakistan has no
restriction on foreign investment in this sector. There is therefore no restriction on Mode
3 transactions (commercial presence) except that the acquisition of real estate by non-
Pakistani entities and/or persons is subjects to authorization on a case-by-case basis
taking into account the purpose and location of the undertaking.
o. Business services
61
The export of these services is faced with national access and national treatment
barriers including onerous licensing requirements and problems associated with
mutual recognition of professional qualifications in industrialized countries. It
may however be less difficult to enter into mutually beneficial relations with
South Asian, African, Persian Gulf, and Central Asian countries. Pakistan could
take fuller advantage of its regional arrangement with ECO in promoting trade in
business services.
Businessmen from a list of 45 countries are granted multiple entry visas valid for
three years.
62
Pakistan began its program of liberalization of its economy in 1987/88. Among other
things, this program included liberalization of production and of international trade both
in goods and services. This section will focus on liberalization of Pakistan’s services
sector. In this discussion services include 12 sectors comprising 54 sub-sectors and 160
activities. These sectors and sub-sectors can be seen in Annex I. The 12 Service Sectors
are listed below:
1. Business;
2. Communication;
3. Construction and Engineering;
4. Distribution;
5. Education;
6. Environment;
7. Financial;
8. Health;
9. Tourism and Travel;
10. Recreation, Cultural, and Sporting;
11. Transport;
12. “Other”.
Generally speaking, liberalization of services included the following four sets of policies:
Given the stage of development of its services sectors, Pakistan began its program of
liberalization cautiously and moved rather slowly towards the dismantling of its well-
entrenched, highly complex and restrictive trade regime. However, with the passage of
time, as Government gained experience and confidence in the value of trade
liberalization, commitment and implementation gathered pace. Pakistan has also
liberalized to a substantial extent its financial sector, and that it has made considerable
progress in liberalizing its Telecommunications Sector. However, a number of measures
taken by Pakistan have relating to these sectors have not yet been translated into
internationally binding commitments.
63
tentative and limited. However the thinness of Pakistan’s initial schedules of
commitments was not due solely to the fear of liberalization. It needs to be acknowledged
that at that time incentives for making deeper and wider commitments relating to services
(in terms of greater export opportunities and larger investments) did not seem to be
compelling enough. However, as disillusionment with its import substitution policies
grew and the implications of the success stories of India and East Asian countries became
more visible, Pakistan began to open more and more of its sectors to foreign competition
and foreign investment. Trade in goods, Telecommunication, and Financial Services are
outstanding examples of the sectors that Pakistan has both deregulated and liberalized in
the recent past.
It is true that in Pakistan import substitution policies neither increased employment nor
did they prevent the slowing down of the economy in late 1990s. This, however, is not a
sufficient reason for Pakistan to make stronger GATS commitments: What matters for
Pakistan is not ideology but concrete opportunities for increasing its exports and
attracting greater foreign investment. Pakistan did open finance and telecommunication
sectors when opportunities for their faster development presented themselves.
The activity or industry- specific commitments have been made under Article XVI
(market access) and Article XVII (national treatment) of the GATS. MFN Exemptions on
the other hand originate from Article II of the GATS.
Article XVI (market access) lists six different types of limitations. These are:
21
Relevant documents: GATS/EL/67/ Supplement. 1 and GATS/EL/67/Supplement.2
64
1. Limitations on the number of service 4. Limitation on the total number of natural
suppliers persons employed in foreign owned entity
2. Limitations on the total value of service 5. Measures that specify the type of legal
transactions entity allowed to operate in the country
3. Limitations on the total number of 6. Limitation on equity participation
service operations or on the total quantity
service output
All specific commitments of Pakistan apply on an MFN basis except those listed in the
Article II Exemptions list i.e. telecommunications and financial services.
The horizontal commitments of Pakistan, that is, commitments that apply to all sectors,
relate to ‘commercial presence’ or the ‘presence of natural persons’. Pakistan’s
commitments regarding ‘commercial presence’ are subject to incorporation in Pakistan
with maximum foreign equity participation of fifty one percent unless a different
percentage is inscribed against a particular sector or sub-sector. All expenses of
representative offices have to be met by remittances from abroad. A foreign undertaking
is allowed to hire up to fifty percent of its total executives and specialists from abroad.
This reflects the more or less universal preference for “intra-corporate transferees and
other highly skilled personnel” in the context of Mode 4 commitments. Acquisition of
real estate by non-Pakistani entities and /or persons is subject to authorization on a case-
by-case basis taking into account the purposes and location of the undertaking.
1. Business Services
65
Modes of supply
Sector or subsector Cross- Consumption Commercial Presence of natural
border supply abroad presence persons
Market Access/National Treatment
A. Professional Services
(e) Engineering services for building infrastructures: U/U U*/U* P/N Uex/U
harbours, dams, hydal power, and airport, only
(f) Integrated engineering services U/U U*/U* P/N Uex/U
(h) Medical and dental services U*/U* N/N P/N Uex/Uex
B. Computer and Related Services
(a) Consultancy services related to the installation of U/U U/U N/N Uex/Uex
computer hardware
(b) Software implementation services U/U N/N N/N Uex/Uex
(c) Data processing services U/U N/N N/N Uex/Uex
(d) Data base services U/U N/N N/N Uex/Uex
C. Research and Development Services
(a) R&D services on natural sciences U/U N/N N/N Uex/Uex
F. Other Business Services
(e) Technical testing and analysis services U/U N/N N/N Uex/Uex
(f) Services incidental to agriculture, and forestry U/U U*/U* N/N Uex/Uex
(excluding fishing and hunting)
(h) Services incidental to mining U/U U*/U* N/N Uex/Uex
2. Communication Services
C. Telecommunication Services
(a) Voice telephone services P/U P/U U/U Uex/Uex
(b) Packet-switched data transmission services P/U N/N P/P Uex/Uex
(c) Circuit-switched data transmission services P/U N/N P/P Uex/Uex
(d) Telex services N/N N/N N/N Uex/Uex
(e) Telegraph services P/N N/N N/N Uex/Uex
(f) Facsimile services N/N N/N N/N Uex/Uex
(g) Private leased circuit services P/U N/N P/U Uex/Uex
(h) Electronic mail P/U N/N P/P Uex/Uex
(j) Online information and data base retrieval N/N U/U P/N Uex/Uex
(n) Online information and/or data processing (incl. U/U U/U P/N Uex/Uex
transaction processing)
(o) Other
VSAT for domestic data service P/N N/N N/N Uex/Uex
Video conferencing telemedicine and tele- P/N N/N N/N Uex/Uex
education terminal and service
Trunked radio service P/N N/N N/N Uex/Uex
Satellite based telephony services including value P/N N/N N/P Uex/Uex
added services operating over satellite
3. Construction And Related Engineering Services
B. Construction Work for Civil Engineering for bridges, U*/U* U*/U* P/N Uex/U
elevated highways, tunnels and subways
Construction Work for Civil Engineering for U*/U* U*/U* P/N Uex/U
waterways, harbours, dams and other waterworks
7. Financial Services
A. All Insurance and Insurance Related Services
(a) Life, accident and health insurance services U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
(b) Non life insurance services U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
(c) Reinsurance and retrocession N/U U/U U/U Uex/Uex
B. Banking and other Financial Services (excl. insurance)
(a) Acceptance of deposits and other repayable funds U/U U/U P/P U/U
from the public
66
Modes of supply
Sector or subsector Cross- Consumption Commercial Presence of natural
border supply abroad presence persons
Market Access/National Treatment
(b) Lending of all types, incl., inter alia, consumer U/U U/U P/P P/Uex
credit, mortgage credit, factoring and financing of
commercial transaction
(c) Financial leasing U/U U/U P/N Uex/Uex
(d) All payment and money transmission services U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
including traveller cheques and banker's draft (but
excluding credit, charge and debit cards)
(e) Guarantees and commitments U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
(f) Trading for own account only of:
Money market instruments (cheques, bills, U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
certificate of deposits, etc.)
Foreign exchange U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
Transferable securities U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
Other negotiable instruments U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
(g) Participation in issues of all kinds of securities, U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
incl. only public underwriting and placement as
agent & provision of service related to such issues
(i) Asset management only: cash or portfolio U/U U/U P/N Uex/Uex
management; all forms of collective investment
management; and custodial and depository services
(j) Settlement and clearing services for negotiable U/U U/U P/U Uex/Uex
instruments (cheques, bills and promissory notes
only)
(k) Financial and Investment advisory U/U U/U P/N Uex/Uex
(l) Provision and transfer of financial information, and U/U U/U U/U Uex/Uex
financial data
8. Health Related And Social Services
A. Hospital Services U*/U* F/F P/N Uex/Uex
9. Tourism And Travel Related Services
A. Hotels and Restaurants (including catering) U*/U* U/U N/N Uex/Uex
B. Travel Agencies and Tour Operators Services U/U U/U N/N Uex/Uex
Symbols:
N No limitations, i.e. Pakistan agreed to place no constraints on the item in question.
P Partially bound, i.e. subject to specified limitations under GATS Articles XVI and XVII.
U Unbound, i.e Pakistan undertook no commitments with respect to the item in question.
U* Unbound due to lack of technical feasibility (it was not possible to single out the item /activity under reference).
Uex Unbound except as provided by Pakistan's horizontal commitments.
Source: WTO documents GATS/SC/67, 15 April 1994, GATS/SC/67/Suppl.2/Rev.1, 16 February 1998 and
GATS/SC/67/Suppl.3, 26 February 1998.
It can be seen from this Table that except for some communication services, cross-border
supply (Mode 1) of services is ‘unbound’ for all sectors. For a number of activities e.g.
certain business, construction, health, and tourism services, no bindings have been made
ostensibly due to lack of technical feasibility. ‘Consumption abroad’ and ‘foreign
commercial presence’ however fare somewhat better than cross-border supply. There are
no limitations relating to ‘consumption abroad’ (Mode 2) in respect of several activities
included in Computer and Related Services, Research and Development, and
Communication services though no commitment has been made regarding the Financial
Services. At the same time, Mode 3 (commercial presence) has been given a fairly liberal
treatment in the country’s specific commitments, but no binding has been made regarding
67
Mode 4 (Presence of natural persons) except that provided in horizontal commitments.
Fifty percent of the executives and the specialists are allowed.
III. 2. Sector-Specific commitments are reviewed below in relation to the four modes
of supply:
a. Business Services:
The structure of commitments relating to this sector appears to be rather opaque. At this
distance in time, it is difficult to understand clearly why the authorities focused their
commitments only on Mode 2 (Consumption abroad) and on Mode 3 (Commercial
presence) and ignored the more relevant mode, namely Mode 1(Cross-border supply).
Despite this discrepancy, Pakistan has however succeeded in gaining a foothold in the
market for computer-related services though its success even this sub-sector has remained
limited. It seems that in the future Pakistan should develop a strong export capacity in
professional and business services to generate employment and income, and to enhance
its technological potential. It is well known that in the last three years the IT sector of
Pakistan has experienced an extraordinary growth. Time has therefore come for the
authorities not only to expand internal market for IT related activities, but also develop
export opportunities (Mode 1) for this dynamic sector.
The authorities in Pakistan are well aware that Pakistan’s needs to meet its huge unmet
demand in the telecommunication sector in the shortest possible time. It has therefore
already opened Cellular Mobile Phones, Card Pay Phones, Paging Service and Data
Communication and Internet Services to domestic and foreign investors. As a matter of
fact several other segments of this market such as Trunk Radio Service, Audiotex, Voice
Mail, and Wireless Local Loop are also available to the private sector though at present
activity in these areas is rather limited.
Progress is visible also in the field of manufacturing. Three major companies, namely,
Siemens, Alcatel, and LG, in collaboration with Pakistani companies are already working
actively. A number of small companies are engaged in manufacturing switchgears, PABX,
Cables, and UPS in the country.
22
These commitments are set out in GATS/SC/67/Suppl.2/Rev.1, 16 February 1998.
68
On the whole, it is evident that liberalization of the telecommunicating sub-sector has
been a bracing experience.
c. Financial Sector: The financial sector is another area where Pakistan has made
considerable headway. The current revised commitments are given in
GATS/SC/67/Suppl.3 of 26 February 1998. The bindings undertaken in this sector are
concentrated on ‘commercial presence’ (Mode 3). The revised schedule also makes it
clear that these Mode 3 commitments will apply on a reciprocal basis, and that provision
of all banking and financial services in Pakistan are subject to the injunctions regarding
Islamic banking. The horizontal commitments relating to executives and specialists
(Mode 4) are applicable to this sector.
In an assessment of the financial sector reform, the IMF has reported that Pakistan’s
reform program covered seven important areas: financial liberalization, institutional
strengthening, domestic debt, money management, banking law, foreign exchange and
capital market. Banking sector was liberalized by permitting private banks to operate and
compete with nationalized commercial banks. Competition was promoted by
privatization of MCB and ABL. Initially at the start of 1990, ten new banks were
permitted, of which eight started functioning. Later several new banks joined in the
private sector. Governance was strengthened, loan recovery process was streamlined,
public sector banks were restructured and prudential measures were reinforced.
It is well worth noting here that fears about possible adverse effects of financial sector
reform on the country’s balance of payments proved unreal. The reform process,
supported both by the IMF and the World Bank, has therefore moved forward briskly. In
fact current policies of Pakistan in this sector are even more liberal than what the country
promised in February 1998.
69
e. Construction and related engineering services:
Market Access: Subject to partnership and/or joint venture with Pakistani engineers or
engineering companies, horizontal commitments in relation to commercial presence
(Mode 3) apply.
On the whole commitments in this sub-sector merely confirmed the existing practices.
For reasons that are not difficult to understand, entrepreneurs in this sub-sector still want
to continue living in their traditional narrow but sheltered markets. These services need to
be encouraged to break out of the obsolete, protectionist mould and to look out to take
advantage of opportunities for profitable work.
Hospital, medical and dental services are free from all ‘market access’ restrictions
relating to Mode 2 i.e. Consumption abroad. Subject to Pakistan Medical and Dental
Council Regulations, Horizontal commitments are also applicable to these services.
At the same time there are no ‘national treatment restrictions’ applicable to these services
in their Modes 2 and 3 of supply.
g. Tourism and Travel Related Services (Hotels, restaurants, travel agencies and tour
operators):
These activities represent Mode 2 (Consumption abroad) in its purest form. Pakistan has
removed all limitations on ‘market access and ‘national treatment’ on foreign owned
entities operating in Pakistan.
Despite these facilities, tourism has not taken hold in the country. September 9 was also a
severe shock to tourist industry. However, it is expected that with the normalization of
social and political conditions in the country tourism will take its rightful place in the
economy of the country.
70
III. 3. MFN EXEMPTIONS
Under Article II of the GATS, Pakistan MFN exemptions for four financial
services/activities with a view to preserving reciprocity requirements, Islamic financing
transactions, and joint ventures among ECO countries. Pakistan also maintained
exemptions in two international telecommunication services in favour of countries
/operators signatories of bilateral agreements on rates with the PTCL.
Article II of the GATS provides that each member shall accord, immediately and
unconditionally, to services and services suppliers of any other member treatment no less
favourable than that it accords to like services and service suppliers of any other country.
However, a Member may maintain a measure inconsistent with MFN treatment provided
that such a measure is listed in, and meets the conditions of the Annex on Article II
Exemptions. In principle, such exemptions should not exceed a period of ten years
(beginning from 1995) In any event; they shall be subject to negotiation in subsequent
trade-liberalizing rounds.
The GATS, being a world-wide multilateral arrangement, is a novel phenomenon for all
countries. It is therefore not surprising that most countries have approached it in a rather
gingerly fashion. There is however no reason to doubt that, like its counterpart in the area
of goods, GATS would also become an integral part of the trade policies of WTO
members including the developing countries. It also seems reasonable to assume that this
process of integration would take less time in the case of GATS than it did in case of the
General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. It may be recalled that the developing countries
took almost eight rounds of GATT negotiations to accept fully the concept of reciprocity
in their trade negotiations.
It is indeed true that in 1994 authorities took a rather narrow view of the scope of the
services sector. Pakistan’s commitments (or lack of them) cover only 47 out of a total of
160 activities. At the same time most of these commitments are concentrated in Mode 3,
commercial presence in Pakistan, that is to say, most of the commitments were designed
to attract and accommodate inward foreign investment. In fact even Mode 4
71
commitments were fashioned to accommodate only 50% of the foreign executives and
specialists required by the incoming multinationals. It is no exaggeration to say that this
policy of opening the domestic market to inward investment and foreign competition,
particularly in the Telecommunications and Financial service sub-sectors did pay
handsome dividends. But Pakistan can not continue to ignore the possibilities inherent in
Modes1 and 2, particularly for its IT industry which by all accounts is now ready to take
off. It may be noted that Mode 2 includes visits for less than a year by foreigners for
education, health and sport. Pakistani entrepreneurs should also begin to pay more
attention to investment abroad to take fuller advantage of Mode 3 (commercial presence)
now that the State Bank has lifted most of the restrictions on Pakistani investment
abroad.
Notwithstanding all this, it remains true that Pakistan has yet to develop the full export
potential of its services sector, and to take fuller advantage of the GATS to secure assured
markets for its export-related services. There are no doubt many difficulties in way of
expanding export of services, but it is also clear that countries of the Central Asia, Africa
and Asia do offer valuable export opportunities for Pakistani business and professional
services. Pakistani educational and health institutions also can attract ‘consumers’ from
these countries on a large scale.
The commitments of the WTO members currently in force (i.e., undertaken in 1994,
recent accessions and extended negotiations on movement of natural persons, maritime
transport, basic telecommunications and financial services) can be assessed in at least two
ways: sectors covered and the modes of supply bound.
23
Board of Investment, September 2001
Pakistan Investment policies, incentives & facilities.
24
This issue autonomous liberalization will be discussed later as prescribed by the TOR
of this study.
72
Sectors Covered: The 11 broad sectors and 160 activities covered by them are listed in
Annex I of this chapter. It has been estimated that more than 90% of the WTO members
have made some commitment relating to tourism. On the other hand, distribution, health
and education are the least popular. A fuller picture can be had from the following Table
which reports the number of countries with commitments to various sectors.
It is interesting to note that 44 relatively less developed countries made less than 20
commitment, 47 more or less developing counties like Pakistan and India made 21 to 60
commitments, and that 45 countries including countries like the USA, South Korea,
Jordan, Thailand and China made more than 61 commitments.
Commitments by mode:
A recent survey made by the WTO Secretariat shows that bindings undertaken for Mode
2 (consumption abroad) are significantly more liberal than those for other modes and that
Mode 4 bindings are the least liberal. About 50% of the entries made under market access
for Mode 2 (consumption abroad, tourism etc) are without limitation, while the share of
unlimited commitments on Mode 4 is close to nil. Like Pakistan, most countries found it
inconvenient to liberalize Mode 4 except for intra-corporation transferee and specialist.
On the hand, unlike Pakistan, a number of countries have made strong commitments
relating to Mode 1 (cross-border supply) though technical infeasibility 25 held back many
countries. Another distinguishing mark of Pakistan’s schedule is its concentration on
Mode 3 (Inward Investment).
This brief review of the results of the Uruguay Round in relation to services leaves no in
any doubt that the impact of the GATS on world trade has been rather modest. A recent
study prepared by the Staffs of the IMF and the World Bank 26 has also confirmed the
view that, unlike trade in goods, the liberalization of trade in services is at an early stage.
…….Initial commitments under the Uruguay Round did not result in significant
25
Cross-border supply of hotel, restaurant, and hospital services are technically
infeasible.
26
Market Access for Developing Countries’ Exports: April 2001
73
liberalization as most countries bound their existing regimes (Stand-still arrangements),
although this enhanced the security of market access. Thus, in general, services trade is
subject to substantial barriers in industrial and especially developing countries. Areas of
particular interest to developing countries such as movement of natural persons (Mode 4)
saw the least amount of liberalization. This includes the labour component of
construction, distribution, transport services, health services and software services.
ANNEX I
WTO CLASSIFICATION OF SERVICE SECTORS
Sectors and sub-sectors Corresponding CPC
74
f. Services incidental to agriculture, hunting and 881
forestry
g. Services incidental to fishing 882
h. Services incidental to mining 883+5115
i. Services incidental to manufacturing 884+885
(except for 88442)
j. Services incidental to energy distribution 887
k. Placement and supply services of Personnel 872
l. Investigation and security 873
m. Related scientific and technical consulting 8675
services
n. Maintenance and repair of equipment
(not including maritime vessels, aircraft 633+
or other transport equipment) 8861-8866
o. Building-cleaning services 874
p. Photographic services 875
q. Packaging services 876
r. Printing, publishing 88442
s. Convention services 87909*
t. Other 8790
2. Communication services
A. Postal services 7511
B. Courier services 7512
C. Telecommunication services
a. Voice telephone services 7521
b. Packet-switched data transmission services 7523**
c. Circuit-switched data transmission services 7523**
d. Telex services 7523**
e. Telegraph services 7522
f. Facsimile services 7521**+7529**
g. Private leased circuit services 7522**+7523**
h. Electronic mail 7523**
i. Voice mail 7523**
j. On-line information and data base retrieva 7523**
k. Electronic data interchange (EDI) 7523**
l. Enhanced/value-added facsimile services, incl. 7523**
store and forward, store and retrieve
m. code and protocol conversion n.a.
n. on-line information and/or data
processing (incl.transaction processing) 843**
o. other
D. Audiovisual services
a. Motion picture and video tape production and 9611
distribution services
b. Motion picture projection service 9612
c. Radio and television services 9613
d. Radio and television transmission service 7524
e. Sound recording n.a.
f. Other
E. Other
75
component of CPC item 7523).
D. Building completion and finishing work 517
E. Other 511+515+518
4. Distribution services
A. Commission agents' services 621
B. Wholesale trade services 622
C. Retailing services 631+632
6111+6113+6121
D. Franchising 8929
E. Other
5. Educational services
A. Primary education services 921
B. Secondary education services 922
C. Higher education services 923
D. Adult education 924
E. Other education services 929
6. Environmental services
A. Sewage services 9401
B. Refuse disposal services 9402
C. Sanitation and similar services 9403
D. Other
7. Financial services
A. All insurance and insurance-related services 812**
a. Life, accident and health insurance services 8121
b. Non-life insurance services 8129
c. Reinsurance and retrocession 81299*
d. Services auxiliary to insurance (including
broking and agency services) 8140
B. Banking and other financial services
(excl. insurance)
a. Acceptance of deposits and other repayable funds 81115-81119
from the public
b. Lending of all types, incl., inter alia, consumer 8113
credit, mortgage credit, factoring and financing of
commercial transaction
*The (*) indicates that the service specified is a component of a more aggregated CPC item specified elsewhere in this
classification list.
**The (**) indicates that the service specified constitutes only a part of the total range of
activities covered by the CPC concordance (e.g. voice mail is only a
component of CPC item 7523).
c. Financial leasing 8112
d. All payment and money transmission services 81339**
e. Guarantees and commitments 81199**
f. Trading for own account or for account of customers,
whether on an exchange, in an over-the-counter
market or otherwise, the following:
- money market instruments (cheques, bills, 81339**
certificate of deposits, etc.)
76
- transferable securities 81321*
- other negotiable instruments and financial 81339**
assets, incl. bullion
g. Participation in issues of all kinds of 8132
securities, incl. under-writing and placement
as agent (whether publicly or privately) and
provision of service related to such issues
h. Money broking 81339**
i. Asset management, such as cash or portfolio 8119+**
management, all forms of collective 81323*
investment management, pension fund
management, custodial depository and
trust services
j. Settlement and clearing services for financia 81339**
assets, incl. securities, derivative products, or 81319**
and other negotiable instruments
k. Advisory and other auxiliary financial 8131
services on all the activities listed in or 8133
Article 1B of MTN.TNC/W/50, incl. credit
reference and analysis, investment and
**The (**) indicates that the service specified constitutes only a part of the total range of
activities covered by the CPC concordance (e.g. voice mail is only a
77
E. Other
78
Chapter III
This chapter addresses the topics listed in Article 2.3 of the terms of reference.. These
are:
It has already been discussed in some detail in Chapter I that the sectoral and modal
structure of commitments under GATS does not coincide with the existing structure of
trade statistics. It was pointed out, that in the first place the IMF Balance of Payments
classification currently in use is simply not comprehensive enough 27. In Pakistan this
problem is aggravated by the fact that the State Bank does not publish all of the data that
it collects. The second problem that analysts of services face is the difficulties caused by
lack of data (except in the US) relating to the activities of foreign owned companies in
their host country markets. This leaves the magnitude and impact of Mode 3 (commercial
presence) wholly unaccounted in conventional national and international statistics.
27
This is reason why Chapter I recommended the adoption of the new
Manual. This document will be published by the UN soon.
79
On the basis of the balance of payments classification, the WTO Secretariat has estimated
that in the decade of the 90s world trade both in goods and in services grew at almost
identical rates, that is, 6 percent per annum28. Consequently the share of commercial
services in total world exports and imports and services has remained virtually unchanged
since the mid-1990s: it has stood still around 19.6 percent in 1999. On the export side,
North America and Western Europe continued to record above-average share of services
in their total exports, while Latin America and Asia remained below the average.
The 2002 Annual Report of the Director- General, WTO has brought out that the above
figures are on balance of payment basis. Their coverage of is therefore confined largely to
two modes of supply falling under the GATS ‘cross border trade’ (Mode 1) and
‘consumption abroad’ (Mode 2). Commercial presence (mode 3), the largest and the most
dynamic form of services inflow of foreign investment, is simply not captured 29by these
data. At the same time the statistical requirements of ‘movement of natural persons’ also
remains unattended.
Another point that needs to be kept in view is that while some sectors, such as
international finance and maritime transport, were open largely as natural complements to
merchandise trade, other major sectors have undergone fundamental technical and
regulatory changes in recent decades. International trade in these services is now
distinctly easier than before. The emergence of the internet has also generated a number
of new, internationally ‘tradable’ products ranging from ‘e-bank’ to ‘tele-health’ and
‘distance learning’. There are now no physical barriers in the way of the suppliers and
users of services such as computer software, consultancy and many advisory services.
But these dynamic developments do not always show up in national and international
statistical data. The reality of these developments is however simply undeniable.
80
focused only on trade in commodities, and that it paid scant attention to the opportunities
for trade in services opening up as result of recent technological innovations.
It was against this rather unexciting background that Pakistan joined like-minded
countries and presented the following four communications to WTO Council for Trade in
Services:
The communication of 24 November 2000 has already served its purpose. The Council
for Trade in Services in its Special Session held on 28 March 2001 adopted the
Negotiating Guidelines and Procedures for the current round of negotiations under the
GATS. The guidelines are contained in document S/L/93. The sense of the latest
communication of Pakistan (assessment of trade) has already been discussed in the
previous chapter. The concepts put forward by Pakistan relating to the movement of
natural persons will be reviewed later in this Chapter. The present section will therefore
focus mainly on the communication concerned with ‘Increasing Participation of
Developing Countries in International Trade in Services’.
This communication (S/CSS/W/131, among other things, discusses the problems of the
developing countries in the perspective of three articles of the GATS, namely Article IV
(Participation of Developing Countries), Article VII (Recognition) and Article XIX
(Progressive liberalization). This document is therefore the centre of discussion in the
following paragraphs.
Article IV of the GATS provides that the increasing participation of developing countries
shall be facilitated through negotiated specific commitments relating to:
The strengthening of their domestic services capacity and its efficiency and
competitiveness, inter alia, through access to technology on a commercial basis;
The improvement of their access to distribution channels and information
networks; and
The liberalization of market access in sectors and modes of supply of export
interest to them.
81
This Article further provides that developed countries in particular shall establish
‘Contact Points’ to facilitate the access of developing countries service suppliers to
information, related to their respective markets, concerning:
The document S/CSS/W/131 of Pakistan has taken the view that to date Article IV has
not been effectively implemented. The developed counties have yet to establish a
mechanism to provide adequate assistance to developing countries to strengthen their
domestic capacity and to support them in their efforts to take fuller advantage of the
opportunities opened by the GATS. The developing countries like Pakistan do appreciate
the technical assistance being organized by bilateral donors (e.g. the United Kingdom) for
increasing awareness of the WTO, but they also urge transfer of larger resources to them
to help them exploit their potential fully. Steps required for promoting greater foreign
direct investment in developing countries and the policies aimed at easing restrictions on
the movement of natural persons travelling to the developed countries are also yet to be
devised.
Mutual Recognition Agreements: Article VII of the GATS allows members to enter into
mutual recognition agreements or arrangements of each others standards or criteria for
the authorization, licensing or certification of their service suppliers. Recognition may
also be accorded by the members autonomously. But this Article also provides that “a
member shall afford adequate opportunity for other interested members to negotiate their
accession to such an agreement or arrangement.” The Article further provides for prompt
notification to the General Council for Trade in Services by a member who wishes to
enter into a new arrangement or modify an old agreement to ensure “adequate
opportunity to any other member to indicate their interest in participating in the
negotiations before they enter a substantive phase.” This system of notifications has,
however, not been followed fully. The developing countries are therefore apprehensive
that mutual recognition arrangements among developed countries are perhaps being used
by them to discriminate against developing countries and to restrict their service
suppliers. It may be emphasized here that the question of mutual recognition agreements
is a matter of critical importance for easy movement of natural persons.
82
This brief review of the issues relating to assessment of trade in services brings out that
neither the WTO community as a whole nor individual countries singly have yet
succeeded in building a comprehensive statistical picture of international trade in services
or in creating an analytically acceptable indices of the restrictiveness (or openness) of
trade policies of individual countries. The UN has only a few days ago published its
agreed Manual on International Trade in Services, and it will be sometime before the
concerned authorities begin to take notice of the new system. It is also clear that 1994
specific commitments of member countries by and large reflected the then existing
regimes of individual member countries rather than new developments inspired by the
GATS. As a matter of fact it is the developing rather than the industrialized countries that
in the last seven years have made major policy changes in sectors like
telecommunications and Finance, but that was done by them more as a result of their
negotiations with multinationals and to meet the requirements of the IMF-World Bank
supported structural adjustment programs than under the influence of the GATS.
The implementation of some of the major Articles of the GATS is another area that shows
rather poor results. The implementation of Articles III (Transparency), Article IV
(Increasing Participation of Developing Countries), Article VI (Domestic Regulation),
and Article VII (Recognition) has been particularly slow. Pakistan and several other
countries are therefore right in asserting that the GATS has yet to make its mark on trade
in services.
The identification of Pakistan’s potential export sectors and modes of supply is a complex
matter. To approach this topic in an orderly fashion, this section will first list the services
included in the current round of negotiations in Geneva, allocate them to the four modes
of supply, and then, against that background, outline what appears to be the potential of
Pakistan and why.
Among the services included in the negotiation are professional services such as
accounting, engineering and legal services; computer and related services; advertising;
telecommunications services, audiovisual services, courier services, construction
services; distribution services including wholesale, retail, and commission agents
services; educational and training services; energy services; environmental services,
financial services, including insurance, banking, securities, and other services; and transport
and tourism services.
The four modes of supply of services include cross-border delivery of services from one
market to another by electronic or other means, establishment of a commercial presence
83
in another market, travel by individuals to foreign markets to supply services, and travel
by individuals from foreign markets to consume services.
The broad domain of each of the four modes supply 30 as spelled out by the Extended
Balance of Payments Services Classification (EBOPS) discussed in Chapter I is given
below:
Mode 3 (Commercial Presence) is primarily concerned with FATS and not balance of
payments. Commercial presence should however include construction services. The
Manual suggests that the one-year statistical rule should be ignored in this context.
Mode 4 (Presence of Natural Persons) needs to be read with Mode 1. Services like
computer and information services, other business services, and personal, cultural, and
recreational services involve significant elements of both Mode1 and Mode 4.
To complete the picture, it might be highlighted here that, among other things, the GATS
also contain three important exclusions:
Services supplied in the exercise of governmental authority. The GATS does not
require any government to privatize any enterprise, and the GATS allow
governments to continue to provide preferential assistance to public providers
30
This discussion is based on Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services
(Manual)
84
such as educational institutions. The GATS applies only to the private sector in
education.
Most Air Transport services.
Governmental purchases (procurement) of services.
85
This list of potential exporters with some explanatory comments is based on the WTO
Classification of Service Sectors. A copy of this classification can be seen in Chapter II of
this study. It may also be reiterated that Pakistan has removed most of its restrictions on
Pakistan residents establishing commercial presence abroad.
I. BUSINESS SERVICES
A. Professional Services
It has been estimated by the US31 Trade Representative’s Office that International
revenues of accounting firms amount to tens of billions of dollars and are growing
annually. Two million accounts are employed worldwide. Pakistan has a strong and a
forward-looking body of accountants working in the country. They can organize
themselves to join the burgeoning international market. It is a great advantage for
Pakistani accounts that British and American accounting systems are now being adopted
by most of the emerging markets including China.
Pakistani engineers already posses a great of international experience in the US, the UK
and the Gulf States. They have also worked with several foreign engineering companies
on mega projects in Pakistan. This experience should be put to good through by exporting
their services under Mode 1 and Mode 3.
31
USTR Press Release: www.ustr.govt
86
Pakistan has already demonstrated its capacity to export midwives, nurses,
physiotherapists and paramedical services to the Gulf States. The problem however is that
while a number of WTO members do import these services on a fairly large scale, most
of them have kept these services out of their specific commitments under the GATS.
Pakistan can take advantage of its emerging computer related capacity and establish
printing and publishing services as Singapore and Hong Kong have done so successfully.
This will be an important example of cross-border supply.
2. TRANSPORT SERVICES
Despite present international difficulties, the role of Pakistan as transit country is bound
to increase in the fairly near future. Pakistan is already in the process of preparing itself
as transit country by building new motorways. Work on the development of infrastructure
for cross-country pipelines will also begin as negotiations on gas pipelines mature.
3. COMMUNICATION SERVICES
B. Courier Services:
87
C. Telecommunication services:
The following services help promote export interests of Pakistan.
4. FINANCIAL SERVICES:
Since 1970s Pakistan has developed a strong cadre of professional bankers who have
served with distinction both at home and abroad. This group of professionals, if given
appropriate policy framework and incentives, can exploit fully the opportunities inherent
in Mode 1 and Mode 4.The Banker’s Institute should be consulted on how best the
government can mobilize their export potential.
6. DISTRIBUTION SERVICES
This is another relatively labour-intensive service, and Pakistani companies can join
foreign enterprises in establishing chains from manufacturers to wholesalers, retailers,
and direct sellers.
88
commercial basis. Pakistan can also take advantage of the fact that a large
part of its educational system uses English as its medium of instruction. If
the private sector engaged in education in Pakistan was encouraged, it could
take a large segment of the Chinese and Central Asian markets for learning
English as a second language.
8. TOURISM:
Pakistan has steadily though somewhat slowly developed the infrastructure required by a
thriving tourist industry. Statistics regarding the arrival and departure of tourist and their
expenditure on goods and services in Pakistan are however rather weak and to need to be
improved.
September 11 was a set back for Pakistan’s tourist industry as it was for many big players
in this sub-sector. One hopes that the industry will revive as the international situation
stabilizes.
It has been estimated that international hotel industry alone earns revenue of $253 billion
annually. A market of this size can not be ignored by any country.
Modes of Supply
The above discussion has brought out that Pakistan is already producing and exporting a
wide range of services, and that it has opened an equally wide range of sectors to foreign
investment and foreign competition. It is also well known that Pakistan regularly exports
highly skilled as well as low skilled workers to both industrialized and Oil-based
economies. It will be difficult for Pakistan to claim a strong comparative advantage in
highly skilled occupations, yet it places no obstacles in the way of a large number of
Pakistani professionals like academics, bankers, accountants, engineers, IT specialists,
medical doctors and business administrators to work abroad. Pakistan also encourages
low-skilled workers to go abroad, and this is a group in which Pakistan does have a
distinct comparative advantage.
89
However, if it is considered that modes of supply need to be prioritized, this study would
recommend that while Pakistan delegation in Geneva should continue to participate
actively in the great North-South debate on ‘movement of persons’, the other three modes
should receive more systematic attention at home. In particular, Mode 1 (Cross-border
supply) along with Mode 3 (Commercial Presence) should be the central focus of
attention of all the Ministries. Pakistan should not remain just an importer in these
modes; it should build a place for itself as an exporter as well. It should also link its
interest in the ‘movement of persons’ with these modes of supply to achieve useful results
for Pakistani service suppliers. This is where the material interest of Pakistan lies.
To sum up, this study maintains that Pakistan has a strong interest in all four modes of
supply because, among other things, modes I, 2 and 3 are deeply interconnected, and that
Mode 3 is also connected with modes 1, 2 and 4 together. It also needs to be recognized
that Mode 3, commercial presence, has now become fully integrated with the chain
constituted by modes 1, 2 and 4. It will be recalled that the State Bank of Pakistan has
recently lifted many restrictions on foreign investment by Pakistanis32.
The barriers to trade in services can be deemed to be of three types, first, horizontal
barriers that apply to all service sectors, second, sector specific barriers, and, third, cross-
sectoral barriers. These three types of barriers also apply to all four modes of supply
individually, to all four modes collectively, and to combinations of the one or two or three
modes.
In February 2001, the OECD commissioned a study entitled ‘Assessing Barriers to Trade
in Services’. This study (TD/TC/WP (99)58/FINAL) is an unclassified OECD document.
It can therefore be downloaded without any difficulty. It is recommended that this study
may be consulted to assess barriers to trade in services.
The OECD study is still fresh and to the point. There is however no need to reproduce it
here fully or partially. The Ministry of Commerce has already prepared an extensive
inventory of barriers which, among other things, takes full account of this OECD study.
The Ministry of Commerce document, entitled ‘Restrictions Facing Services Exports’ is
annexed to this Chapter.
Against the background of these studies, it does not appear necessary to go over this well
trodden field of barriers once again. Nevertheless this Chapter does discuss below some
32
IMF Country Report N0. 02/246.
November 2002
90
of the more salient, restrictive barriers to highlight how they operate and limit trade
opportunities for developing countries.
The first point that needs to be noted in a review of the barriers to trade is that they are
concentrated in Mode 4 (movement of natural persons) followed by convergence of
restrictions on Mode 3 (commercial presence). This combination then constitutes a most
formidable barrier to the expansion of trade of countries like Pakistan. Moreover, the
negative effects of this combination do not remain limited to these two modes
themselves; they go well beyond them and impact even Modes 1 and 2 (Consumption
abroad) activities.
Second, in the case of professional services nationality and residency requirements make
it very difficult for a foreign professional to compete with the professionals of the host
country even on a reasonably equal footing. Regulations governing these activities in
most countries are simply too heavily loaded against foreign suppliers of business and
professional services. The economic needs test has proved to be a most widely used
barrier to discourage entry of developing county professionals into developed countries.
The lack of implementation of Article VII (Recognition) by most members of the WTO
also makes its virtually impossible for a poor country’s professionals to enter the
international market. Mode 4 restrictions that allow temporary movement of intra-
corporate transferees of companies established in a Member’s country or of the
employees of contractual service suppliers (i.e. the service is supplied, on the basis of a
contract, by a foreign company not established in the Member’s territory) further
aggravate the difficulties for the professionals of a developing country. Over and above
these problems, MFN exemptions of most members simply rule out the participation of
countries like Pakistan in the provision of business and professional services to the
industrialized world.
Third, Immigration and labour market policies of many countries also act as major barrier
to the movement of natural persons. These policies are particularly burdensome for
travellers for business and professional reasons. The restrictions on entry and stay of
service providers range from strict eligibility conditions for applications and processing
of visa and work permits to limitations on the length of stay and transferability of
employment in the overseas markets. The quantitative limits on visas in some important
developed countries are another form of constraint on the movement of professionals.
More recently, Mode 4 has been severely affected by the backlash against Pakistanis and
Middle Easterners after the September 11 attacks. The CNN reported on 3 December,
2002 a statement by US Equal Employment Opportunity Commission that complaints of
discrimination based on national origin rose substantially. “Between September 11, 2001
and November of this year, 688 charges have been filed by these national origins and
91
other alleging backlash discriminations….. The EEOC officials said the number of
national origin bias charges likely represent only the tip of the iceberg----that a lot of
discrimination may be unreported because many fear retaliation or are not aware of the
laws.”
Fourth, the construction and related engineering services also suffers from a number of
substantial barriers. These barriers include restrictions on forms of establishment,
participation of foreign capital, economic needs tests, limitations on the value of
transactions, limitations on national treatment, request for nationality and residency
requirements. In other words local presence is generally necessary to operate in this
sector. This sector is also subject to many domestic regulations including building
regulations, and technical requirements, building permits and inspection, registration of
contractors and professionals, regulation of fees and remunerations etc.
Fifth, the barriers affecting the Distribution Services include product exclusions such as
pharmaceuticals and agricultural raw materials, citizenship and residency requirements,
unspecified economic needs test, unspecified approval requirements.
Sixth, it is well known that several countries have made considerable progress in
liberalizing their financial sector. However, many barriers still remain to be reduced.
Some horizontal commitments that continue to affect transactions in the financial sector
adversely are listed below:
Seventh, the Uruguay Round had limited implications for the transport sector. Land
transport is covered by few commitments of commercial presence of road transport and
some maintenance activities. MFN exemptions are related to cross-border provision
services.
The Secretariat has reported33 that, until June 2002, 55 WTO Members had tabled written
proposals, either individually or jointly (EU, Andean Community etc). Of the 55
governments who have submitted proposals, a majority (32) are governments
33
WTO NEWS: 2002 Press Release
Press/ 300, 28 June 002
92
representing developing countries. Among the sectors covered are professional services,
tourism, telecommunications, transport services, financial services, distribution and
education.
Of the proposals of the US and the E C, the EC proposal is more detailed and covers a
wider range of services. The proposals of the EC34 relating to ‘improving the structure of
commitments’ and ‘removing existing limitations’ are summarized below.
93
c. Removal of existing limitations
In this context, the following three proposals of the EC need to be considered.
(ii) The “issues relating to social security issues should be postponed in order to avoid
endless controversies”.
(iii) Work on the recognition of qualifications and diplomas is useful. But the experience
of the EC …proves that this approach is extremely time and resource consuming for a
very meagre result. So an alternative to sector-by-sector work may need to be found.
This issue has been on the agenda of the Council for Trade in Services for quite some
time but discussions so far have remained inconclusive.
The issue has arisen because as a result of their stabilization and structural adjustment
agreements with the IMF and the World Bank many developing countries have liberalized
a number of their services sectors, but they are not yet able or willing to ‘bind’ the full
extent of their liberalization in their schedules of commitments. The question now is
whether and how this out-of-WTO-negotiated liberalization can be reflected in the
current bilateral and multilateral negotiation. In other words, how the developing
countries can receive credit for their ‘autonomous liberalization’ in their bargaining with
the advanced countries.
94
discourage them from undertaking further unilateral liberalization in the future. At the
same time it is also true that ‘bound’ market liberalization is essential for assured and
credible market access. It is being argued that, given the safeguard mechanisms
embedded in the text of the GATS, the apprehensions of the developing countries about
the ‘irreversibility’ of a ‘commitment’ are not well founded.
Against this background, several proposals are now on the table on how to measure the
‘credit’ and how to incorporate it in the bargaining processes. Of these 35, Korean and
European Community proposals appear to have attracted the greatest amount of attention.
The Korean papers have recommended the construction of statistical indexes of
improvement. “In the absence of the exact weights of significance among market access,
national treatment and additional commitments, the improvement index would be
calculated for the three variables independently….For the purpose of calculating the
improvement index, horizontal measures are to be allocated in the parts of market access,
national treatment and additional commitment36.”
The European Community proposal on the other hand is more qualitative in nature. The
EC has proposed the following “criteria to be taken into account in determination of
credit.
The EC proposal goes on to say that “A Member wishing to seek credit for any or all of
its relevant measures should inform either the Council for Trade in Services, or the
specific member, from whom it expects credit, of its intention to seek appropriate credit
for such measures37”.
From the discussions held so far it is clear that this issue of ‘credit for autonomous
Liberalization’ is not an easy one. Apparently WTO members will have to wait for quite
some time before they reach an agreement on how to deal with unilateral liberalization
while maintaining the integrity of negotiations on the one hand, and ensuring on the other
that the developing countries are not discouraged from opening up their economies on an
experimental basis in the future.
d. Classification of Services:
35
Hong Kong proposal is given in its communication S/CSS/W/134 of 15 March 2002.
36
S/CSS/W/126: 30 November 2001
37
S/CSS/W/133: 22 February 2002 and
95
It may be noted that not only national and international statistical systems relating to
Services need to be improved, the classification of Services in terms of W/120 and CPC
(Central Product Classification) also need a great deal of refinement. For this reason, a
number of countries have proposed several refinements in the definitions of business
services, professional services, educational services etc. This is an issue of interest to all
WTO members including Pakistan. Pakistan therefore needs to develop it own
definitions, particularly in the areas of business and professional services, where the
currently applied definitions are not sensitive enough to its requirements.
d. Sector-Specific issues
In addition to the above major horizontal (across-the board) issues, additional proposals
of interest to Pakistan are discussed below:
“When a country has taken autonomous liberalization measures beyond its schedule of
specific commitments, credit should be given”.
“Since cross-border supply of services (Mode 1) is directly connected with e-commerce
issues, discussion on cross-border the supply of services should proceed alongside the
discussion on e-mail in the General Council.”
“Restriction on market access and national treatment such as requirements for minimum
amount of sales and capital, restrictions on foreign equity participation, and limitations
on the volume and variety of sale items should be removed.”
“Transparency in licensing procedures.
38
US proposal : S/CSS/W/26 of 18 December 2000.
96
Services Auxiliary to ALL Modes of Transport: In its communication S/CSS/W/78, 4
May 2001, Switzerland has pointed out “All countries stand to gain from the elimination
of market access and national treatment barriers currently facing suppliers of services
auxiliary to all modes of transport. Producers in exporting countries would waste fewer
resources on administrative matters, while consumers in the importing countries would
have more rapid access to a greater number of products.” This proposal needs to be
examined in Pakistan carefully.
Education Services: New Zealand in its document to S/CSS/W/93 (26 June 2001) has
argued that “Trade in education services is of increasing international significance, but
the sector remains one of the least committed under the GATS.” Short term training
courses, language training and practical/vocational courses in a range of subjects, for
example, computing, hospitality, driver education programs etc are areas where Pakistan
can do well.
It may be noted that not only national and international statistical systems relating to
Services need to be improved, the classification of Services in terms of W120 and CPC
(Central Product Classification) also need a great deal of refinement. For this reason, a
number of countries have proposed several improvements in the definitions of business
services, professional services, educational services etc. This is an issue of interest to all
WTO members including Pakistan.
The terms of reference of this study required this section to define potential requests to
Pakistan from WTO members for liberalization commitments. But this orientation of the
section underwent a radical change when the Ministry of Commerce decided to share
with this Consultant the actual requests Pakistan had received from its trading partners.
This section has therefore limited itself to suggesting the broad approach that Pakistan
should adopt towards the requests it has received. Pakistan’s specific response to the
requests in question is portrayed in a separate, confidential volume (i.e. Volume II) of this
report. This confidential volume will remain classified until the Ministry of Commerce
decides to ‘open’ it.
The names of the eleven WTO Members who have submitted requests to Pakistan are
listed below:
Requesting Countries
United States China South Korea Norway
97
European Community Switzerland Australia India
The above requests cover all sectors deemed to be part of ‘Services’. These requests seek
both horizontal and sector-specific commitments (full or partial) under one, two, three or
all modes of supply. The main sectors under negotiation are given in the following Table.
98
As stated above, the precise response that Pakistan might consider making to these
‘requests’ is set out in Volume II of this study. However, the following paragraphs have
attempted to discuss the broad considerations that should guide Pakistan in the
determination of its negotiating stance.
The recommendations of the study set out in Volume II are based on the view that
liberalization of services is likely to attract foreign investment, facilitate importation of
modern technology, and promote export of services from Pakistan. It is well known in
Pakistan that liberalization of the two major service sectors, namely Financial sector (i.e.
banking) and Telecommunications, has brought into the country both technology and
foreign investment, and at the same time it has enriched and enlarged markets for their
‘products’. It is evident that liberalization of these two sectors has neither jeopardized
Pakistan’s balance of payments nor has it stifled Pakistani entrepreneurship. This study
therefore strongly recommends that the experience of these two sectors should be
analyzed to draw appropriate lessons for future action.
The export potential of Pakistan has already been explored in section II of this chapter.
The study therefore recommends that Pakistan’s requests should encompass these sub-
sectors and activities. It goes without saying that the great centres of economic power like
the US, EU, Japan and China should be the main targets to whom Pakistan’s request are
to be addressed. But this study recommends that Pakistan must not neglect countries of
South East Asia, Africa south of Sahara and its neighbours in its north-west like
Afghanistan, Iran and other central Asian countries. These countries offer at least equal if
not greater opportunities to Pakistan’s non-traditional service exports such as education,
health related facilities, construction industry, engineering services, and computer related
services.
The study further recommends that Pakistan should consider making as many GATS
commitments as possible. De-regulation and liberalization are indeed important steps
forward, but these advances need to be consolidated (i.e. firmed up) by making
‘commitments’. The case of this study for ‘commitments’ rests on the following
economic and political considerations:
99
Commitments reduce the risks associated with investment and provide an assured
and a relatively stable environment both to domestic and foreign operators to plan
and execute their projects.
100
discussions and negotiate with the support of like-minded nations the amount of
flexibility it needs to cope with emergencies.
Decides as follows:
The first sentence of paragraph 1 of Article X shall continue to apply until 15 March
2004.
The results of such negotiations shall enter into effect on a date not later than the date of
entry into force of the results of the current round of services negotiations.
Notwithstanding paragraph 3 of Article X, until the entry into effect of the results of the
negotiations mandated under paragraph 1 of Article X, the provisions of paragraph 2 of
that Article shall continue to apply.
Article XII allows a member faced with serious balance of payments and external
financial difficulties to impose restrictions to safeguard its balance of payments.
For a developing country this process has been made easier by allowing it to use
restrictions in order to maintain a level of external reserves adequate for the
implementation of its program of economic development or economic transition.
A member applying restrictions on account of its balance of payments difficulties
has however to consult the Committee on Balance of Payments. Fifty years of
experience of Pakistan with the work of the Committee of Balance of Payments of
the GATT and now of WTO shows that these proceedings are no more onerous
than the routine consultations with the IMF.
Article XXI, the Article dealing with the modification of schedules provides that a
member may modify or withdraw any commitment after three years have elapsed
from the date on which that commitment entered into force. However a member
who wishes to modify or withdraw a commitment must notify the Council for
Trade in Services no later than three months before the intended date of
implementation of the modification or withdrawal. This may or may not lead to
negotiations and later arbitration between the modifying and the affected member.
At the end of the day, a modifying member has to make compensatory adjustment
to restore balance of advantage or the affected member may withdraw an
equivalent concession. The GATS is essentially an instrument of moral pressure
rather than a means of inflicting material damage on a deviant.
Finally, it may be added that a country of the size and political importance of
Pakistan has to act as a member of good standing. This country must be seen to be
101
participating actively in GATS negotiations by making worth while commitments
to promote and strengthen the multilateral trading system embodied in the WTO
Agreement. Pakistan does not have the protection and the benefits of an effective
regional arrangement. It therefore has to do everything it can to strengthen the
multilateral system.
At the same time Pakistan can not remain a ‘free rider’ any longer. Pakistan is not
expected to match the commitments of developed countries as Article XIX of the
GATS does give it appropriate flexibility to open fewer sectors, and liberalize
fewer types of transactions. Nevertheless, it has to play its full role as a
responsible member of the WTO. It now needs to be acknowledged that the days
when developing countries enjoyed the dubious advantages of ‘non-reciprocity’
sanctioned by the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, 1947 can not be
brought back into life in the 21st Century.
102
Market access limitations on number of service suppliers, their operations or
employees in a specific sector; the value of transactions or assets; the legal form
of the supplier (for instance, limiting to a branch or a joint venture); or
participation of foreign capital.
Economic Needs Test (ENT) – frequently used instrument against Mode 4. ENTs
are defined as barriers to market access under Article XVI. These frequently
appear as a qualification to commitments relating to movement of natural persons
including intra-corporate transferees and independent contracted professionals.
ENTs act as quota restrictions and may be qualitative or quantitative in terms of
their impact. Out of 145 WTO members, 67 use ENTs to regulate services trade
flows.
Discriminatory and stringent licensing requirements. In USA, for example,
licensing to practice medicine for qualification obtained from outside USA, which
varies from state to state.
Difficulties with recognition or accreditation of foreign professional qualifications
and standards.
Nationality and residency requirements that vary from State to State.
State and Provincial requirements at variance from that of national also serve as a
source of uncertainty and restriction.
Stringent immigration regulations.
Foreign Exchange Controls affecting repatriation of earnings.
Restricted access to examinations for completion of qualifications.
Discriminatory regulations of fees, expenses and subsidies.
The requirement of registration with, or membership of professional organizations
in host/recipient country..
Lack of wage parity tantamount But I wouldn’t even need changing in the
management of to negation of cost based advantage, social justice and workers
rights.
103
Licensing to foreign graduates subject to written examination like Educational
Commission for Foreign Medical Graduates (ECFMG) and then pursue education
in a hospital in USA.
Too many visa classes of temporary resident visas and entry permits. In Australia,
for example, out of 24 only 9 are relevant to temporary entry of personnel. EU has
a regulatory regime for non-EU nationals giving them work permits subject to
labour market needs test.
104
Stricter disclosure requirements on companies and banks.
Price-based measures like entry and exit taxes and visa fees; discriminatory
airline fees, port taxes and licensing fees are discouraging factors in temporary
movement of service providers.
Cross-border transfer of capital, payments and/or use of credit cards for such
transactions subject to authorisation.
Cross-border transfer of capital, payments and/or use of credit cards for such
transactions not permitted.
Transfer of capital, payments and/or use of credit cards for such transactions
subject to authorisation.
Automatic approval below certain value thresholds, but subject to review and
approval above fixed value thresholds.
105
No establishment of new businesses permitted, only minority shares in existing
businesses permitted.
Only one legal form permitted (e.g., joint-stock company, private limited liability
corporation, joint venture).
Requirement that more than 50% of directors are national of host country.
Prior residency required to obtain operating licence whilst residency not permitted
without licence.
Bound only for definitions of personnel permitted, with generally applicable time-
limits and/or conditions not specified, such that these may then be arbitrarily or
discriminatorily applied.
Permission subject to approval and labour market tests for specific categories of
personnel.
106
Requirements for local recognition of experience and/or qualifications for
professionals and specialists, for which the criteria are vague, non-transparently or
arbitrarily applied, or discriminatory.
Sources of Information:
i. Individual countries 'schedules of commitment lists under GATS.
ii. "GATS and Developing Countries: A case study for India". Rajesh Chadha, Reader
Deptt. Of Economics, Hindu College, Univ. of New Delhi. Revised Abstract Feb., 2000.
107
iii. A Positive Agenda for developing Countries. GATS Miscellaneous/V-Major Barriers
to Movement of Service Providers.htm. UN, Geneva and New York, 2000. Major
Barriers to Trade.
iv. OECD - Working Party on Trade Committee. Assessing Barriers to Trade in Services
by Julia Nelson. TD/TC/WP(99)/Final-unclassified.
108
CHAPTER IV
This study has already reported in some detail that over the last few years Pakistan
has opened up virtually its entire economy to foreign investment. According to the
Board of Investment “The essence of the policy is to strengthen Pakistan’s
competitiveness by improving the policy regime, offering fiscal and tariff relief and
providing comprehensive facilitation services39.” The sectors now open to foreign
investments are:
109
d. Services sectors
e. Infrastructure sector
f. Social sector
g. Corporate Agriculture Farming
h. Real estate development
In addition to these sectors, Pakistan has also opened courier services, construction
services and computer related services to foreign investment and foreign competition that
always accompanies foreign investment.
Pakistan has also provided powerful fiscal incentives in the form of substantially reduced
custom duties, and, subject to some conditions, zero sales tax on plant, machinery and
equipment (not manufactured locally) imported for the following service and social
sectors40.
In these circumstances, a fruitful way of looking at future policy is not to attempt to mark
of areas of protection and areas of liberalization but to determine which areas remain to
be liberalized and how much additional liberalization should be undertaken in this round
of negotiations under the GATS. And this can best be done by reviewing the requests
Pakistan has received from WTO members for liberalization and commitment and to
decide how far Pakistan can go in ‘binding’ its policies at this stage of its development.
These issues are discussed in Volume II of this report.
40
Notification (Customs)
S.R.O. 28(1)/98
110
IV. 2 Sectors of Autonomous Liberalization
This section attempts first, to identify sectors and modes of supply in which autonomous
liberalization by Pakistan has outpaced Pakistan’s GATS bindings and, second to
determine the existence of “negotiating space” for the country’s representatives in
Geneva.
A comparison of actual practices and Specific Commitments of Pakistan shows that its
policies relating to several sectors go well beyond its commitments under the GATS.
These sectors are discussed below:
Distribution Sector: In practice most of Pakistan’s wholesale and retail sectors are
open to foreign investment and foreign competition. These sectors include seed,
111
fertilizers, pharmaceuticals, beverages (coca-cola etc). Negotiations can therefore
take place in this sector as well.
Financial Sector: This is one of the major sectors where Pakistan’s practice exceeds
its commitments. Some examples are given below:
Pakistan has already increased the number branches each foreign bank can open
from 5 to 25. This decision offers some space for enhancing Pakistan’s
commitment. Present commitment stands at three branches per foreign owned
bank.
The sub-sectors that remain uncovered by ‘commitments’ include credit, charge
and debit cards, trading for own account of derivatives products and exchange
rate and interest rate instruments, trading for accounts of customers of all kinds of
negotiable instruments, money broking, settlement and clearing services for
certain assets etc.
Limits on foreign shareholding in new foreign banks. (49% in contrast to the legal
permission of 100%)
Telecommunication Sector: Pakistan has only partially committed this sector though
several additional activities have been liberalized in actual practice. Examples are given
below:
Computer and Related services: This sector also seems to have space for negotiation. For
example, Pakistan can in consultation with the profession take partial commitments in
respect of the following services:
These are salient examples of ‘autonomous liberalization’ in Pakistan. Pakistan need not
therefore feel any stress if pressures develop from its trading partners for fuller
commitments.
112
IV. 3 Definition of Potential Offers
It has already been reported in Chapter III that the issue of ‘Definition of Potential
Requests’ is being discussed in Volume II of this study. For the same reasons that
prompted the separation of the discussion of ‘Definition of Potential Requests’ into
Volume II, the issue of ‘ Definition of Potential Offers’ is also being handled in that
Volume. It may however be noted in this final paragraph of the present Volume of this
study that economic policies rarely affect all members of a society equally. More often
than not, some sections of a society, some industries, and some firms and individuals gain
as a result of a particular policy and some lose. Furthermore, some gain in the short and
some in the longer term. The point in economic policy-making is therefore not that a
particular course of action must benefit all immediately, but that it should serve the more
enduring public interest. The participation of Pakistan in the current round of
negotiations under the GATS should therefore be seen in this perspective.
113