Techniques Chapter 10 Capital Budgeting • Definition: The process of evaluating and selecting long-term investments that are consistent with the firm’s goal of maximizing owner’s wealth
• Types of Capital Investment Projects:
1. Revenue-enhancing investments (e.g. expansion) 2. Cost-reduction investments (e.g. new equipment) 3. Mandatory investments that are a result of government mandates (required specifications) Capital Budgeting • Preferred or ideal traits of a technique: 1. Easy application (simple calculations) 2. Considers cash flow 3. Recognizes time value of money 4. Fully accounts for expected risk and return; and 5. Leads to higher stock prices (maximization of shareholder’s wealth) Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback Period 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback Period 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) • Calculation of a hurdle rate by dividing contribution to net income by the book value of investment, either on a year-by-year basis or by taking an average over the project’s life.
• Contribution to net income are estimated by
subtracting annual depreciation from the annual operating cash inflows. • Decision rule: accept if equal or above the minimum ARR set ARR (cont’d) • Example: A piece of equipment costs P1.2M. The equipment has a useful life of 4 years. In each of the four years, the investment generates a cash inflow of P500,000. The impact of the investment project on net income is derived by subtracting depreciation from cash flow each year. 1. Assume the equipment is depreciated on a straight- line basis over 4 years, what is the annual contribution to net income? 2. Accounting rate of return for the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th year? 3. What is the average accounting rate of return? Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback Period 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) Payback Period (PP) • Number of years of future cash flows needed to recover the initial investment in a proposed project
• For mixed stream, use cumulative cash flow to
determine the no. of years to recover and the year of recovery
• Decision rule: accept if equal or less than maximum
acceptable payback period Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback Period 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) Payback Reciprocal Rate (PRR) • A variation of the payback period, stated in percentage, which gives a quick estimate of the internal rate of return on an investment
• Decision rule: accept if equal or greater than hurdle
rate or cost of capital
• Accurate only when (a) project life is more than twice
the payback period and (b) cash inflows are uniform Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback Period 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) Bailout Payback Period (BPP) • A variation of the payback period incorporating the salvage value of the asset in the calculation • Applicable salvage value is combined with cash inflow to determine the payback period • Use cumulative cash flow to determine no. of years to recover and the year of recovery
• Decision rule: accept if equal or less than maximum
acceptable payback period Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback Period 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) payback period (DPP) • The number of years required for a project’s discounted cash flows to recover the initial cash outlay for an investment • Use cumulative cash flow to determine no. of years to recover and the year of recovery
• Decision rule: accept if equal or less than
maximum acceptable payback period PP, Reciprocal, Bailout and Discounted • Example: UR Company has a new project with initial after tax cost is P5,000,000 and is expected to provide after-tax operating cash inflows of P1,800,000 in year 1, P1,900,000 in year 2, P700,000 in year 3 and P1,800,000 in year 4. The salvage value of the project for year 1-4 as a percentage of its cost are: 60%, 40%, 25%, 10%, respectively. Compute for: 1. Payback period 2. Payback reciprocal rate 3. Bailout payback period 4. Discounted payback period, using 10% cost of capital PP, Reciprocal, Bailout and Discounted Compute for the PP, PRR, BPP and DPP of the 10- year investment proposal below: Initial investment P8,000,000 Annual Cash inflow 1,800,000 Salvage value as % of initial 75% at year 1 then decreases investment (year 1-9) by 5% for succeeding years Cost of capital 10% Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback Period 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) Net Present Value • Difference in the present value of an investment proposal’s future cash flows and the initial cash outlay. This difference is the expected increase in value of the firm due to the acceptance of the project • Discounted at rate consistent with the project’s risk.
• Decision rule: accept if equal or greater than
P0 (nil) NPV Rule and Shareholder Wealth • If we apply NPV logic to our valuation topics previously, we can create a connection between stock prices and NPV Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback PerioD 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) Profitability Index (PI) • A variation of the NPV stated in percentage • The ratio of the present value of the expected future cash flows for an investment proposal (discounted using the required rate of return for the project) divided by the initial investment in the project
• Decision rule: accept if equal or greater than 1.0
Capital Budgeting Techniques • Non-discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Simple methods) 1. Accounting Rate of Return 2. Payback Period 3. Payback Reciprocal Rate 4. Bailout Payback Period • Discounted Cash Flow Techniques (Complex methods) 5. Discounted Payback Period 6. Net Present Value 7. Profitability/ Present Value Index 8. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 9. Modified IRR (MIRR) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) • The compound annual rate of return earned by an investment • Can be calculated using a financial calculator, spreadsheet, graph or trial and error approach
The rate wherein, Initial investment = PV of
cashflows
• Is the discount rate wherein NPV = 0
• Decision rule: accept if equal or greater than hurdle rate or cost of capital NPV-IRR relationship • NPV Profile- Graph that depicts a project’s NPVs for various discount rates. NPV, PI and IRR • NCF Semiconductors is evaluating a new etching tool. The equipment costs P1M and will generate after-tax cash inflows of P400,000 per year for six years. Assume the firm has a 15% cost of capital. What’s the NPV, PI and IRR (30-35%) of the investment?
• What is the NPV, PI and IRR (11-15%) for the
following project if its cost of capital is 0% and its initial after tax cost is P5M and it is expected to provide after-tax operating cash inflows of P1.8M in year 1, P1.9M in year 2, P1.7M in year 3 and P1.3M in year 4?