Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
The Enel Group at a glance
2
The Enel Group and Sustainability
3
The Economic and Energy Outlook
4
The Long term view and the Group Strategy
2
Outline
1
The Enel Group at a glance
2
The Enel Group and Sustainability
3
The Economic and Energy Outlook
4
The Long term view and the Group Strategy
3
Enel today1
Global diversified player in more than 30 countries
Romania
USA + Canada Rest of Europe
• Capacity: 0.5 GW
• Capacity: 2.1 GW • Presence in generation
• 2.7 mn customers
Italy • 0.7 GW (of which 0.3 GW)
• Presence in retail
Central America • Capacity: 30.8 GW
• Capacity: 1.0 GW (of which 3.1 GW)
• 30.8 mn customers power + gas Russia
Colombia • Upstream gas activities • Capacity: 8.9 GW
• Presence in retail
• Capacity: 3.0 GW
• 2.8 mn customers
Iberia
Slovakia
• Capacity: 23.5 GW
Peru • Capacity: 4.0 GW
(of which 2.2 GW)
Capacity: 1.9 GW • 12.4 mn customers power + gas
• 1.3 mn customers
Chile
Brazil India
• Capacity: 6.9 GW
• Capacity: 1.4 GW • ~ 0.2 GW
(of which 0.6 GW)
(of which 0.4 GW)
• 1.8 mn customers
• 6.6 mn customers Indonesia
• Trading activities
Uruguay Africa
Argentina = Enel presence
• 0.05 GW # = Market position • ~ 0.01 GW
• Capacity: 4.4 GW % = Market share • Upstream gas activities
02/03/2016 The Enel Group • 2.5 mn customers = Enel Green Power presence 4
1. As of 30th September 2015; %, as of 31/12/2014 GW = Enel Green Power Capacity
2. Among private operators
Enel today1
Leading network Leading retail Leading renewable Balanced generation
operator business operator portfolio
44% of Group EBITDA 12% of Group 11% of Group EBITDA 30% of Group EBITDA
EBITDA 10.5 GW installed 79.1 GW installed
61 mn end users
38.5 mn smart meters 56 mn power
customers
39 €bn RAB2
5 mn gas customers Hydro3 Renewables
32% 9%
Nuclear
6%
~89.6
GW CCGT
16% 18%
Oil &
Gas 19%
Coal
1
The Enel Group at a glance
2
The Enel Group and Sustainability
3
The Economic and Energy Outlook
4
The Long term view and the Group Strategy
6
Enel’s culture
Creating
disclosure and
Shared Value
storytelling to Stillwater Solar Geothermal Hybrid Project
Enel Green Power North America (EGP-NA) implemented its first solar project in 2011. The Stillwater Solar
Geothermal Hybrid Project is located in Fallon, Nevada and consists of over 89,000 polycrystalline
silicon PV panels built on 240 acres.
measuring the
Investor and
real impact
other Stakeholders
KiteGen Trinum
KiteGen è il primo prototipo di generatore eolico Realizzato dall’abruzzese Innova, è un sistema
che sfrutta lo srotolamento di cavi collegati a solare a concentrazione trigenerativo, in grado
una vela volante. La vela volante utilizzata nei cioè di svolgere contemporaneamente tre funzioni:
primi test è la stessa impiegata nel kitesurf produrre energia elettrica (1 kW), riscaldamento (
3 kW) e raffreddamento
8
The strategic plan embeds our commitments to
United Nations Sustainable Development Goals
28%
465
Carbon
Neutrality
TO
10
Our commitment on sustainability is recognized by
investors and internal community
12
Other environmental targets
PROJECTS
HECTARES OF
AROUND THE
PARKLAND COVERED
WORLD
BY BIODIVERSITY
PROJECTS
13
A growing commitment in the world creating shared
value for us and for the communities
30 SEPTEMBER 2015
PROJECTS 521
BENEFICIARIES 2,4 M
INVESTMENT 34,1 M
Project Focus
ACCESS TO
ELECTRICITY n.91
SUPPORT TO LOCAL
COMMUNITIES n.239
OPERATIONAL
EFFICIENCY n.64
14
Social and Economic Development - OLLAGUE (Chile)
17
Access to Electricity - BAREFOOT COLLEGE
PROJECT VALUE FOR ENEL
• Location: Peru, Ecuador, Colombia, Mexico, The partnership with the Indian NGO Barefoot
El Salvador, Guatemala, Brazil, Chile, Panama, Electrification of isolated areas that have no access to
Kenya
College is an example of sustaining and
the network promoting good relations with the territory
• Category: Access to electricity creating development in a concrete and and a sustainable development model.
• Beneficiaries: 19.680 measurable way since 2012. The project
• Status: 2012 - on going involved 39 illiterate women coming from
• Partners: Local NGO, UN Women, UNDP, National isolated and poor villages without access to
and Regional Govs, Rural Electrification Offices,
electricity in Peru, Chile, Guatemala, Mexico, VALUE FOR THE COMMUNITY
Barefoot College
Colombia, El Salvador, Brazil, Ecuador, Availability of electricity.
BUSINESS ISSUE Panama. These women have spent six months Creation of new occupations and socio-economic
in the North of India, at the Barefoot College, to development, predominantly female and
Need of installing off-grid solutions in
learn how to install and maintain small employment development. Energy cost savings.
isolated areas in countries where we photovoltaic systems. Following the trip to India
operate. Technical training and job they return to their homes as solar technicians
opportunities for women who need to install and lead their activity using photovoltaic kits
and maintain the equipment. provided by Enel Green Power, and bring light,
development and work to the areas. Since
2012, the project involved 41 communities in
cooperation with 10 local NGOs, impacting
more than 19thousand people who beneficiated
from the electrification promoted by the project.
This project in cooperation with the Barefoot
College is narrated through a documentary
"Bring the Sun Home“.
18
Creating shared value :
Our way to change the world
19
Outline
1
The Enel Group at a glance
2
The Enel Group and Sustainability
3
The Economic and Energy Outlook
4
The Long term view and the Group Strategy
20
Monetary policies divergences and Emerging Markets
capital flights
GDP & Real domestic demand US & ECB policy rates Effects on capital flows... ...and financial markets
EU ECB (Bln of USD)
4,5 Brazil Mexico
180 EU Internal Demand 3.400
US FED Chile Perù
US Internal Demand 4,0 Bonds 3.200 Colombia South Africa
GDP EU Bank loans 3.000 220 India
(Jan 2008=100)
3,5
160 GDP US 2.800 200
(China’s % of global commodity demand) 100 USA shale oil is showing a great 11,5 60
80 resilience– Total production from
Steel 45 50
9,5M bpd in Jul’15 to 9,1M in 11,0
Copper 46 60
Dec’15 (<5%) 40
Zinc 46 40
Coal 48 10,5
30
48
20 Russian oil output (10,7M bpd)
Aluminium
50 0 hits post-Soviet record high in 10,0 20
Nickel
2000 2005 2010 2015 Dec 2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
22
Earlier than expected Iranian exports and mild winter weather represent further low price factors
Source: Enel elaboration on Bloomberg, EIA, OPEC
The above mentioned factors have produced relevant
effects both on Latam countries…
MSCI Latam index1 Impact on growth of 1% point decline Impact on growth of 1% point decline
in Brazil’s growth2 in China’s growth 2
200
MS Latam Index
Reuters commodity Index
(Jan 2008=100)
150
100
50
’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15
Latam area shows the weakest growth rates among the emerging markets
23
1. The MSCI Latin America Index captures large and mid cap representation across 5 Emerging Markets (EM) countries in Latin America
2. World Bank source is GEP 2015
Source: Enel elaboration on BIS, IMF, Bloomberg and Reuters data
…and other emerging markets commodity producers
Commodity downdraft
Russia Brazil South Africa
hitting differently
(Jan Brent Iron ore Platinum
’14=!00) (% net exports of GDP)
RUB/USD BRL/USD ZAR/USD 14 Big exposure Big exposure to
100 -54% -41% -33% 12
to metals oil prices
100
80 80
10
60 80 Limited
40
-69% 8 exposure
40
-65% 60 -40%
0 6
’14 ’15 ‘16 ’14 ’15 ‘16 ’14 ’15 ‘16
4
Chile Colombia Peru
2
Copper Brent
Gold 0
CLP/USD COP/USD
PEN/USD
-2 Oil
105 -25% 100 -38%
100
-18% -4 Precious metals
90 80
Base metals
-6
75 60 Bulk commodities
40
-8
60
-39% -61% -20%
80 CLP ZAR PEN IDR BRL TWD MXN COP RUB NGN
’14 ’15 ‘16 ’14 ’15 ‘16 ’14 ’15 ‘16
-6 -5
2007 2010 2013 2014 2007 2010 2013 2014
6 Brazil Chile Colombia Peru 20 Brazil Chile Colombia Peru 5
4
4 15 4,5%
(+/-1%)
2 10
0 5
3% 3%
-2 0 (+/-1%) (+/-1%) 2%
(+/-1%)
-4 -5
Russia Turkey South Africa India Russia Turkey South Africa India Argentina* Brazil Chile Colombia Peru
0,9% 0,8%
+2% Brent (spot price) - rhs
Clean energy investments - lhs
92,4 93,2 93,8 95,6 95,2 95,9
350 329 150
318 316
26,5 26,0 297
25,8 300 274 272
OECD 45,7 OECD 46,3 OECD 46,6
250
206 207 100
200 175
36,3 Opec 37,4 Opec 39,2 Opec
150 128
100 88
Non OECD 46,7 Non OECD 47,5 Non OECD 48,6 62 50
31,1 RoW 31,7 RoW 30,7 RoW 50
World World World Oil World Oil World Oil World Oil -50 0
Oil Oil Demand Supply Demand Supply
Demand Supply 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Iran and Iraq renewed production will add pressure at the current market over-supply
Source: EIA and Reuters. Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Jan 2016,
26
Note: For green investment graph, figures include corporate and government R&D, investments in Smart Technologies as well as investments in all renewable technologies excluding large hydro.
The electricity demand decoupling according to the
economic development stage
Historical values Electricity Consumption pc GDP pc Forecasts
85 85 95
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1
The Enel Group at a glance
2
The Enel Group and Sustainability
3
The Economic and Energy Outlook
4
The Long term view and the Group Strategy
28
Enel GDP assumptions for selected emerging markets
of business interest Enel World Bank
(% yoy)
Colombia Mexico India South Africa
2,7
4,0 7,9 7,9
3,6
3,5 7,8 2,5
3,7 3,2 3,2 2,3
3,5 3,0
3,3 3,3 7,6
2,8 7,5
7,5
3,0
1,6 1,6
1,4
16 17 18 16 17 18 16 17 18 16 17 18
Scarce electrification access and an increasing middle class will sustain energy demand 30
Generation
+
Transmission &
Distribution
+
Retail +
Abroad 16,7 17
21% 21% 23%
15 21%
Italy
15
Italy Latam 2%
8%
Iberia East Europe 17
11% 16%
S&H Renewables
38% 36%
58% 62% 64%
7,9
4% 7,6
5% by business by business
46% 43%
Networks Generation2
96% 95% 42% 36%
38%
15 17
Renewables S&H
31% 16%
11% Regulated and quasi-regulated 28%
11% Retail 12% 1%
2002 2005 2012 2015 2019
40%
+3.6 mn end users +4.7 mn new customers in +9.2 GW3 additions +0.6 GW additions in Latam
+30 mn smart meters power & gas free market 0.4GW under construction at 2019
1. Incremental data refers to 2015-19 period 3. Including 0.9 GW additional capacity from optional capex 5. Net of disposals
2. In Italy 4. Including EGP Hydro operations 34
Source: Enel Capital Markets Day – London, November 18th 2015
Sweden
• Scouting Italy
Renewables • Conv. Gen.
Finland • Renewables
• Networks
Enel Business Development • Scouting
Renewables &
Spain
• Conv. Gen.
Networks
• Renewables
Germany RUSSIA
• Networks
• Renewables • Conv. Gen.
Turkey
Luxemburg
USA • Renewables
• Scouting • Networks
• Conv. Gen. Networks
• Renewables
INDIA.
• Renewables
Mexico • Networks
• Conv. Gen. VIETNAM
• Renewables • Scout. Renewables
Guatemala Egypt INDONESIA
• Renewables • Renewables • Conv. Gen.
• Networks • Conv. Gen • Scout. Renewables
Panama Tunisia
MYANMAR
• Scouting
• Renewabless Renewables • Scout. Conv. Gen.
Morocco
Colombia • Conv. Gen.
• Conv. Gen. • Renewables
• Renewables • Networks
• Networks
Peru Zambia Kenya UAE
• Conv. Gen. • Renewables
• Renewables • Scouting
• Renewables AUSTRALIA
Namibia Tanzania Renewables
• Networks • Scout. Conv. Gen.
Chile • Scout. Renewables • Scouting Conv. Oman
• Scout. Renewables
• Conv. Gen. Brazil Botswana Gen. & • Scouting Conv.
• Renewables Renewables Gen.
• Conv. Gen. • Scout. Renewables
• Networks Uganda Saudi Arabia
• Renewables South Africa
• Networks • Scouting • Scout. Con. Gen.
• Conv. Gen. Business Development activities ongoing
Renewables • Networks
As of February 2016 Uruguay • Renewables Country of presence
• Renewables
Global economic scenario evolution and industrial
takeaways
Macro Strategic Industrial
context considerations actions
Current volatility An increasing optionality based on Average size of 150MW
ECONOMICS project size and diversification across 7 countries
as new normality
Although in evolution, LatAm still From 40% of coal, gas and oil
Lower and lower dependence of energy mix in 2014
COMMODITY characterized by commodity
on fossil fuels
dependence to 23% in 2019
36
Contact us
Back up
Andrea Valcalda (andrea.valcalda@enel.com)
Claudio Dicembrino (claudio.dicembrino@enel.com)
Linda Lucinio (linda.lucinio@enel.com)
www.enel.com