Professional Documents
Culture Documents
EXERCISES
Unit 1
The project returns are 15 with probability p and 0 otherwise. The actions of
the entrepreneur affect the probability of success. With the standard
productive technology the probability of success is 0.5 but the enterpreneur
can implement a new productive technology with probability of sucess 0.7.
Implementing the new technology requires a lot of work and effort for the
enterpreneur. The extra utility that the entrepreneur gets for not
implementing can be valued at 1 monetary unit.
a)Which is the minimum value of A for which the enterpreneur will get
financing?
Imagine now that once the project is implemented with a given technology
it is possible modify the production process to increase the probability of
success by an additional 0.1. This modification would however increase very
much the work load of the enterpreneur, generating a disutility for him
valued at 2.
The initial financial contract can specify who has the rigth to decide whether
to modify or not the production process.
b) Which is the minimum value of A for which the enterpreneur will get
financing if he retains control?
c)Which is the minimum value of A for which the enterpreneur will get
financing if he gives the control rigth to the investors?
Spain experienced strong economic growth and a real estate boom during
the first years of the century. Real GDP grew by 34.5% from 2000 to 2007,
with real estate prices increasing by 250% in real terms. The accompanying
loan increase was funded with bank debt. The debt of the Spanish banks, in
the form of covered bonds, senior unsecured debt and securitization deals,
was mainly owed to other Eurozone banks.
The first Cajas were founded in the early XIX century as non-for-profit
provincial credit institutions aimed at channelling the savings of the popular
classes towards profitable investments and helping the very poor, using
their profits for charity and social works. After the liberalization of the
banking system that took place during the 1980s Cajas were able to operate
like banks and to offer their depositors the same range of financial products.
Nevertheless, two important differences subsided.
The first difference was their legal status as foundations. This meant that
their growth opportunities were limited by their retained profits, because
Cajas were not corporations and were unable to issue shares. To soften this
restriction, the Ley del Entidades de Crédito of 1988 allowed Cajas to issue
a tradable security that could share in their profits: the “coutas
participativas”.
The second important difference was their corporate governance. The Cajas
were controlled by their boards of directors, where representatives of
depositors held between 15% and 45% of the votes, employees
represented between 5% and 15%, founders took between 10% and 35%
of the votes with the remaining (15% to 45%) going to public
administrations (including city halls, local and regional governments). In
practice, because many Cajas were public foundations, adding up the
percentage of founders and public administrations, politicians had total
control.
b) How are the investment (i.e. loan) decisions of the cajas going to be
different from those of a standard bank?
c) Cuotas participativas were never very popular and this compounded the
liquidity problems of cajas during the crisis. Why do you think investors
did not find them attractive?
Unit 2
a. Assume that the firm is financed 100% with equity and that the current
shareholders have enough funds to finance the project buying the new
shares. Would you recommend that the Board of Directors accepts the
project?
b. Assume now that previously to t=0 the firm had issued debt with a face
value of $1,6 that must be repaid at t=1. At t=0 the firm still considers
issuing equity to raise the funds needed to finance the new project.
Calculate the net gain or loss that this operation would represent for the
existing shareholders. ¿By how much would the value of debt increase if the
new equity is issued?
d. Compare the previous proposal with an alternative one under which the
shareholders would still contribute $800.000 to fund the project, but the
debt-holders would receive a 50% share in the equity of the restructured
company in exchange for their debt holdings.
2.3 Consider a three-date economy (t=0,1,2) in which investors are risk
neutral and the risk-free rate is zero. At t=0 a firm has cash for an amount
8 and it can choose between two different investments. The expected cash-
flows from each investment in each period depend on the state of the
economy during that period as follows:
t=0 t=1 t=2
Investment 1 -8 60 w.p.1/2 0
20 w.p.1/2
WHEN a handful of big Wall Street banks reluctantly funded part of a $26
billion takeover of First Data, a transaction-processing firm, in early autumn,
there was jubilation among those eager for any sign that the chaos in
financial markets was abating. It did not mean debt would flow freely again,
though. Indeed, it marked the first, feeble sign that creditors were regaining
the upper hand after years of bowing and scraping to borrowers.
At the end of weeks of wrangling over the terms of the loan, the banks
finally managed to squeeze from Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR), a private-
equity group buying First Data, a concession helping them make sure that
the debt would be repaid. Such “covenants” vary, but the important ones
are those that either prevent a company from borrowing too much (known
as leverage covenants), or force it to earn enough to pay interest (coverage
covenants). These girdles were fairly common until a few years ago.
Companies that broke them had to pay a penalty to their creditors or were
forced into bankruptcy.
But as the credit markets have slowed and institutional investment has
clammed up, banks have returned, keeping more loans on their books. And
they have also brought back covenants. It may be too late in some cases—
Moody's, a rating agency, expects the proportion of lowly rated companies
that default to rise from 1.3% to 3.5% globally in the next 12 months. But it
is welcome nonetheless.
If credit conditions deteriorate, banks and other creditors will be far less
patient with erring companies than they were. During the boom, borrowers
could often get covenants waived. Not any more. Whereas covenants exist
mainly to keep companies on the straight and narrow, they also earn banks
a handsome fee each time they are breached. That is an incentive to be
tough.
The new conditions that the banks finally imposed on First Data after long
negotiations with KKR are considered to have been quite lenient. “What we
are seeing even now is a mix of the older, more aggressive form of lending
coexisting with newer, more conservative types of loans,” says Kristi
Colburn, of GE Capital Markets. The liberal regime may not have been
toppled, but it is tottering.
a. Which types of covenants are mentioned in the article? Can you think
of other types?
c. Which are the benefits and the costs of the covenants for the
borrower?
2.5 A different class: Would giving long-term shareholders more clout
improve corporate governance?
THE spectacular collapse of so many big financial firms during the crisis of
2008 has provided new evidence for the belief that stockmarket capitalism
is dangerously short-termist. After all, shareholders in publicly traded
financial institutions cheered them on as they boosted their short-term
profits and share prices by taking risky bets with enormous amounts of
borrowed money. Those bets, it turns out, did terrible damage in the longer
term, to the firms and their shareholders as well as to the economy as a
whole. Shareholders can no longer with a straight face cite the efficient-
market hypothesis as evidence that rising share prices are always evidence
of better prospects, rather than of an unsustainable bubble.
If the stockmarket can get wildly out of whack in the short run, companies
and investors that base their decisions solely on passing movements in
share prices should not be surprised if they pay a penalty over the long
term. But what can be done to encourage a longer-term perspective? One
idea that is increasingly touted as a solution is to give those investors who
keep hold of their shares for a decent length of time more say over the
management of a company than mere interlopers hoping to make a quick
buck. Shareholders of longer tenure could get extra voting rights, say, or
new ones could be barred from voting for a spell.
In the early 1980s shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange changed
hands every three years on average. Nowadays the average tenure is down
to about ten months. That helps to explain the growing concern about
short-termism. Last year a task force of doughty American investors
(Warren Buffett, Felix Rohatyn and Pete Peterson, among others) convened
by the Aspen Institute, a think-tank, published a report called “Overcoming
Short-Termism”. It advocated various measures to encourage investors to
hold shares for longer, including withholding voting rights from new
shareholders for a year.
The theory behind these proposals is that those who hold shares longer are
more likely to behave like owners than those who trade frequently to bet on
short-term movements in prices. Disenfranchising the punters would not
only give investors an incentive to hang onto their shares for longer, the
argument runs, but would also encourage those with voting rights to use
them, as they would know their votes would be more likely to count in
board elections and so forth.
The real issue is not how to encourage investors to keep hold of their shares
for longer, but how to encourage more of them to take their duties as
owners seriously, irrespective of the length of their tenure. Instead of
creating multiple classes of shareholders, governments and regulators may
want to think about how they define fiduciary duties in the financial realm.
Better yet, the investing public, whose retirement savings have atrophied in
the financial crisis thanks in part to the short-term way in which they were
invested, may sort things out themselves, by demanding a longer-term
perspective from the pension and mutual funds that they have entrusted
with their money.
The article argues that many shareholders, as well as managers,
take a short-term perspective on firm value and that this destroys
long-term value.
a) Which is the first best monitoring strategy (i.e. the optimal x that
maximizes total wealth, including both private benefits B=2 and
private costs c(x))?
b) Which is the optimal monitoring level that the large shareholder will
choose considering only his benefits and costs?
c) Which is the value of that makes the large shareholder chose the
first best monitoring level?
d) For this is it possible to satisfy the large shareholders’ participation
constrain (i.e. does he get a positive NPV from his investment)?
3.2. You are considering the takeover of company T. The value of the equity
of company T as a stand along entity is 100 million euros and it has 1
million shares. You have estimated that if you are able to obtain full control
of company T (i.e. 51% of the shares of company T) you could implement
operational changes that would generate cost savings of 20 million.
You cannot expect the help of the managers of company T. Therefore you
will have to make a tender offer to the shareholders of T. Your underwriter
will charge you 3 million euros for helping you throughout the tender offer.
The fraction of tender offers that are successful in the economy is given by
p. Since the shareholders of T are small and uncoordinated, each one of
them will assume that the probability of success of this particular tender
offer is given by p and it will not be affected by his particular individual
decision on whether to sell or retain his shares. Moreover, since they are all
equal they will follow the same strategy.
Compute the maximum price that you would be willing to pay and
shareholders preferred strategy given that price, in the following alternative
situations:
1. You do not have any holdings of shares of company T and you make
a conditional offer.
2. You already have 10% of the shares of company T and you make a
conditional offer.
3. You already have 10% of the shares of company T and you make an
unconditional offer.
4. You have a 20% toehold in company T and you make a conditional
offer.
5. You do not have any holdings of shares of company T, but you can
make a conditional offer and threaten T shareholders announcing
that, if the takeover is successful, you will transfer assets worth 10
million from company T to your own company.
3.3. Read the “Vodafone Airtouch’s bid for Mannesmann” HBS case and
answer the following questions
4.1 Consider a two period economy (t=0,1) in which the riskfree rate of
return is zero. At time t=0 a group of risk neutral investors can set up a firm
to undertake a risky investment opportunity that requires an investment of
8 monetary units at t=0 and has a random return Z at t=1:
- Z=20 with probability p
- Z=0 with probability 1-p.
A manager must be hired to run the firm. The manager can exert high (H)
effort, or low effort (L), which is not observable to the investors. Exerting
low effort gives the manager private benefits with monetary value 2, but
exerting high effort increases the probability of success from pL=0,25 to
pH=0,75.
The manager, has no initial wealth, he is risk averse and his utility given a
total monetary payoff, a, is given by the utility function is U(a)=a1/2
His reservation utility is given by U=2.5. The investors offer him a fixed
salary S=3, plus a bonus X in case of sucess.
a) Show that the investment is has +NPV only if the manager is
induced to exert high effort:
b) Given S=3, which is the minimum bonus that the manager must
get so that he will have incentives to exert effort?
c) Given S=3, which is the minimum bonus that gives the
manager his reservation utility ?
d) Which is the minimum bonus X that satisfies both conditions ?
e) For that bonus, will the investors find the investment
interesting? What would happen if the required innitial investment
increased to 9?
RICH rewards for departing bosses are not popular. After Sir Fred Goodwin
led Royal Bank of Scotland into a ditch and dumped the bill on British
taxpayers, he left with a pension of over £700,000 ($980,000) a year. The
Sun, a tabloid, said he had “screwed the nation”.
Yet golden parachutes have their uses. If well-designed, they align the
boss’s interests more closely with those of shareholders. Suppose, for
example, a takeover is brewing. Takeovers are usually lucrative for
shareholders of the target firm: in America between 1990 and 2008, they
have received a median premium of 35%. But the boss’s interests are quite
different. If the firm is acquired, he is likely to be fired.
A golden parachute can persuade the boss not to obstruct a takeover. But
their notoriety dissuades firms from using them. Dirk Jenter of Stanford
University and Katharina Lewellen of Tuck Business School find that golden
parachutes are rarer and stingier than they should be.
To test whether bosses block takeovers, they looked at what happens when
they are nearing retirement, and therefore have no future career to
sacrifice. Using data on American public firms from 1992 to 2008, they
found that companies with a boss aged 65 or over were 50% more likely to
be taken over.
Another paper, by Eliezer Fich and Ralph Walkling of Drexel University and
Anh Tran of Cass Business School, found that when golden parachutes are
larger, proposed mergers are more likely to be completed, but buyers pay
less for the shares of the target firm. The data from Mr Jenter and Ms
Lewellen show that when the boss of the target firm is old, buyers pay an
average premium of 26%. For younger bosses, the premium is 33%. This
makes sense. If younger bosses are more reluctant to sell, it will cost more
to overcome their objections.
So boards must strike a balance. As with real parachutes, poor design can
have serious consequences.
Expected cash-flows :
Demand High (prob. Medium Low
1/4) (1/4) (1/2)
t=1 0.175 0.125 0.125
t=2(without upgrading) 0.1 0.075 0.05
t=2 (with upgrading) 0.3 0.2 0.1
Only the manager can observe demand at time t=1 and he has to make the
decision on wether to upgrade the productive process by reinvesting the
funds generated at time t=1. The investors suspect that the manager, who
is an engineer, will always like to upgrade the productive process, even
when it is not profitable.
Comment on (i) the reasons that could explain the proposed change
and (ii) the market’s reaction to the announcement
Given the current market value which do you think are the
expectations of the shareholders about the future actions
of the company? What do you think about the future
investment plans of Mr Takano?
5.1 Read the “IKEA’s Global Sourcing Challenge: Indian Rugs and Child
Labor” HBS case and answer the following questions
Pepsi is also pinning its hope on the launch across America on March 26th of
Pepsi Next, a new soda sweetened with both high-fructose syrup and
artificial sweeteners which has 60% less sugar than classic Pepsi. Angelique
Krembs of Pepsi says the new drink is aimed at consumers who are keen to
imbibe less sugar with their cola but dislike the taste of diet drinks. She
splits this mostly male group in two: “dualists”, who switch between regular
and diet (and sometimes mix the two), and “resistants”, who never touch
either.
Repeat performance
Will Pepsi’s reset be enough to win over investors? Pepsi Next is dividing
opinions. “We have seen this movie before,” says Mark Swartzberg, a drinks
analyst at Stifel Nicolaus, a bank. In 2004 Pepsi launched Pepsi Edge, a mid-
calorie soda, which Coca-Cola matched with a new mid-calorie brew called
C2. Both disappeared from the shelves after a few years.
Pepsi’s boss, Indra Nooyi, is seeking to revive the company’s core business
while continuing her ambitious drive to transform the company into a maker
of healthier drinks and snacks, and a better corporate citizen. In the past
few years Ms Nooyi has spent disproportionate time and effort on promoting
products that Pepsi calls “good for you” (oatmeal, fruit juices and sports
drinks), which make up about 20% of its sales. She is aiming nearly to triple
the revenue of nutritious products, to $30 billion, by 2020.
It will take time for the revised strategy to bear fruit, as it did for Coca-Cola
when it reset its course in the late 2000s after a series of management and
marketing mishaps. Coke’s bosses now feel they are on the right track with
its offering of fizzy drinks, vitamin water, juice, coffee and tea. They think
they are giving health-conscious customers sufficient choice. Of the 3,500
drinks Coke sells worldwide, more than 800 are zero- or low-calorie.
If Ms Nooyi’s relaunch does not work Pepsi may get a new chief executive.
The company seems to be preparing for a possible change at the top. On
March 12th it put John Compton, the current head of Americas Foods, in
charge of all the company’s global groups, making him an heir apparent in
the newly created role of president.
Ms Nooyi may leave before she is pushed out. She is one of the contenders
for the top job at the World Bank. Though she says she loves her job, she
has talked in the past of her desire to spend some of her career in public
service. And the World Bank may suit her zeal to do good on a global scale
rather more comfortably than the maker of popular but largely fatty, salty
and sugary foodstuffs.
Which are the policies that Pepsi has introduced in the corporate
social responsibility programm of the firm?
SOMETIMES you bend over backwards to please, but still get nowhere. That
is what appears to have happened to Chiquita Brands, an American firm
which is one of the world’s biggest suppliers of bananas and other fruit.
Despite accommodating eco-warriors, social activists and unions, it has
found little reward.
Chiquita traces its origins to the late 1890s and the United Fruit Company,
which treated some of the Central American countries it operated in as
banana republics. In recent years, however, the firm has made huge efforts
to promote social responsibility and sustainability, working with activist
groups such as the Rainforest Alliance. “We can do good and do well at the
same time,” Fernando Aguirre, the firm’s chief executive, wrote in the
company’s latest social responsibility report, issued in 2008.
Chiquita has signed and largely upheld a global agreement with local and
international food unions. It has embraced sustainable farming techniques
and allows products to be certified for environmental and other standards.
Last year it promised to promote more women and to ensure there is no
sexual harassment on the plantations it owns and buys from. But that has
not provided protection from big retailers buying bananas direct from
plantations and bypassing Chiquita and its main rivals, Dole and Fresh Del
Monte Produce.
Many firms in conflict zones face extortion. In 2003 Chiquita became the
only American company voluntarily to admit to the Department of Justice
that it had paid protection money to Colombian paramilitary forces
surrounding its plantations. Now it is facing a raft of American and
Colombian lawsuits.
Has Chiquita succedded in its policy of “doing good and doing well”
simultaneuosly?