PROCESO PARA EL MODELO

años población
x y
2006 1 1352
2007 2 1360
2008 3 1375
2009 4 1400
2010 5 1420
2011 6 1430
2012 7 1434
2013 8 1566
2014 9 1300
2015 10 1831
2016 11 1867
2017 12 2069
2018 13 1947
2019 14 2257
N= 2020 15 2409
Ʃ 120 25017
PROMEDIO X 8
PROMEDIO Y 1667.8

MODELO
y=b+mx
ecuaciones auxiliares
Ʃ(y)=N*b+mƩ(x)
Ʃ(x,y)=bƩ(x)+mƩ(x^2)

sutituyendo datos y ordenando

15 120 b 25017
120 1240 m 220462

0.295238095 -0.028571429 b 1087.1

-0.028571429 0.003571429 m #VALUE!

modelo matematico y=1087.1+72.6x

CALCULO DEL COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION

MODELO POTENCIAL(doble logaritmica)

PROCESO PARA EL MODELO

años poblacion
x y
2006 1 1352
2007 2 1360
2008 3 1375
2009 4 1400
2010 5 1420
2011 6 1430
2012 7 1434
2013 8 1566
2014 9 1300
2015 10 1831
2016 11 1867
2017 12 2069
2018 13 1947
2019 14 2257
N= 2020 15 2409
Ʃ 120 25017
PROMEDIO X 8
PROMEDIO Y 1667.8

MODELO
y=ax^b
ecuaciones auxiliares
Ʃlog(y)=N*log(a)+bƩlog(x)
Ʃlog(x,y)=log(a)*Ʃlog(x)+bƩ(logx)^2

sutituyendo datos y ordenando

15 12.116499611 log(a)
12.1164996111 11.40196021 b
 0.470769421 -0.500271655 log(a)
-0.500271655 0.619326957 b

a=
b=

TRABAJO
1 serie de 15 datos
2 ajustar los datos a un modelo polinomico
y=a+bx+cx^2
sumatoria(y)=N*a+b*sumatoria(x)+c*sumatoria(x)^2
sumatoria(x,y)=a*sumatoria(x)+b*sumatoria(x)^2+c*sumatoria(x)^3
sumatoria(x^2,y)=a*sumatoria(x)^2+b*sumatoria(x)^3+c*sumatoria(x)^4

MODELO POLINOMICO

PROCESO PARA EL MO
años poblacion
x y
2006 1 1352
2007 2 1360
2008 3 1375
2009 4 1400
2010 5 1420
2011 6 1430
2012 7 1434
2013 8 1566
2014 9 1300
2015 10 1831
2016 11 1867
2017 12 2069
2018 13 1947
2019 14 2257
N= 2020 15 2409
Ʃ 120 25017
PROMEDIO X 8
PROMEDIO Y 1667.8
 MODELO
y=a+bx+cx^2
ecuaciones auxiliares
Ʃ(y)=N*a+bƩ(x)+cƩ(x^2)
Ʃ(x,y)=aƩ(x)+bƩ(x^2)+cƩ(x^3)
Ʃ(x^2,y)=aƩ(x^2)+bƩ(x^3)+cƩ(x^4)

sutituyendo datos y ordenando

15 120 1240
120 1240 14400
1240 14400 178312

0.793406593 -0.204395604 0.010989011

-0.204395604 0.065627020 -0.003878474
0.010989011 -0.003878474 0.0002424047

modelo matematico y=1432.5-49.3x+7.6193x^2

R 1052354.3569
R^2 1.10745E+12
L MODELO
MODELO LINEAL CALCULO DEL COEFICIENTE DETERMINACION

x*y x^2 y=1152.5+118.3x (x-x') (y-y') (x-x')*(y-y')

1352 1 1271 -7 -315.8 2210.6
2720 4 1389 -6 -307.8 1846.8
4125 9 1507 -5 -292.8 1464
5600 16 1626 -4 -267.8 1071.2
7100 25 1744 -3 -247.8 743.4
8580 36 1862 -2 -237.8 475.6
10038 49 1981 -1 -233.8 233.8
12528 64 2099 0 -101.8 0
11700 81 2217 1 -367.8 -367.8
18310 100 2336 2 163.2 326.4
20537 121 2454 3 199.2 597.6
24828 144 2572 4 401.2 1604.8
25311 169 2690 5 279.2 1396
31598 196 2809 6 589.2 3535.2
36135 225 2927 7 741.2 5188.4
220462 1240 0 0 20326

R 0.8878245071
R^2 0.7882323554

0.2952380952 -0.02857143
-0.0285714286 0.003571429
PROCESO PARA EL MODELO MODELO CALCULO DEL COEFICIEN
POTENCIAL
log(x) log(y) log(x)*log(y) log(x)*log(x) y = ax^b (x-x')
0 3.130976692 0 0 1130.97079 -7
0.3010299957 3.133538908 1 0.090619058 1296.99908 -6
0.4771212547 3.138302698 1 0.227644692 1405.1998 -5
0.6020599913 3.146128036 2 0.362476233 1487.40058 -4
0.6989700043 3.152288344 2 0.488559067 1554.45766 -3
0.7781512504 3.155336037 2 0.605519368 1611.48535 -2
0.84509804 3.156549151 3 0.714190697 1661.33075 -1
0.903089987 3.194791758 3 0.815571525 1705.75333 0
0.9542425094 3.113943352 3 0.910578767 1745.92174 1
1 3.262688344 3 1 1782.65449 2
1.0413926852 3.271144318 3 1.084498725 1816.54861 3
1.079181246 3.315760491 4 1.164632162 1848.05393 4
1.1139433523 3.289365952 4 1.240869792 1877.51831 5
1.1461280357 3.353531559 4 1.313609474 1905.21672 6
1.1760912591 3.3818368 4 1.38319065 1931.37048 7
12.1164996111 48.19618244 39 11.40196021 0

ODELO
=ax^b
es auxiliares
log(a)+bƩlog(x)
*Ʃlog(x)+bƩ(logx)^2

48.1961824405
39
 3.0535
0.1976 R 0.420175607
R^2 0.176547541
1130.97078654777
0.1976

PROCESO PARA EL MODELO

MODELO POLINOMICO

X^2 X^3 X^4 X*Y x^2*y y=1432.5-49.3x+7.6193x^2

1 1 1 1352 1352 1390.8193
4 8 16 2720 5440 1364.3772
9 27 81 4125 12375 1353.1737
16 64 256 5600 22400 1357.2088
25 125 625 7100 35500 1376.4825
36 216 1296 8580 51480 1410.9948
49 343 2401 10038 70266 1460.7457
64 512 4096 12528 100224 1525.7352
81 729 6561 11700 105300 1605.9633
100 1000 10000 18310 183100 1701.43
121 1331 14641 20537 225907 1812.1353
144 1728 20736 24828 297936 1938.0792
169 2197 28561 25311 329043 2079.2617
196 2744 38416 31598 442372 2235.6828
225 3375 50625 36135 542025 2407.3425
1240 14400 178312 220462 2424720
ODELO
bx+cx^2
es auxiliares
bƩ(x)+cƩ(x^2)
bƩ(x^2)+cƩ(x^3)
2)+bƩ(x^3)+cƩ(x^4)

c 25017
b 220462
a 2424720

a 1432.5
b -49.3
c 7.61926309

x+7.6193x^2
E DETERMINACION

(x-x')^2 (y-y')^2 3000

49 99729.64
36 94740.84
2500
25 85731.84
f(x) = 7.619263
16 71716.84 R² = 0.9161685
f(x) = 72.59285
9 61404.84 2000 R² = 0.7882323
f(x)
f(x) == 341.4081
1130.970
4 56548.84 R²
R² == 0.5330496
0.5534538
1 54662.44
1500
0 10363.24
1 135276.84
4 26634.24 1000
9 39680.64
16 160961.44
500
25 77952.64
36 347156.64
49 549377.44 0
280 1871938.4 0 2
CALCULO DEL COEFICIENTE DETERMINACION

(y-y') (x-x')*(y-y') (x-x')^2 (y-y')^2

-315.8 0 0 99729.64
-307.8 -27.892546 0.00821181 94740.84
-292.8 -66.654366 0.05182211 85731.84
y
3000
-267.8 -97.071135 0.13138902 71716.84
-247.8 -121.06494 0.23868996 61404.84
2500
-237.8 -143.99251 0.36665371 56548.84 f(x) = 7.6192630899x^2 - 49.3153522948x
-233.8 -166.97779 0.51006835 54662.44 R²
f(x)==0.9161685511
1172.5246642495+ exp(
72.5928571429x 0.04143410
1087.057142857
2000
0.795794265
R² = 0.7882323554
-101.8 -83.025181 0.66515691 10363.24 f(x) = 1130.9707865478 x^0.1976157893
R² = 0.5534538623
-367.8 -334.91087 0.82915369 135276.84 1500
163.2 163.2 1 26634.24
199.2 216.032146 1.17613748 39680.64 1000

401.2 467.250423 1.35636807 160961.44

500
279.2 346.450846 1.53975784 77952.64
589.2 773.978702 1.72556985 347156.64 0
0 2 4 6 8
741.2 1025.22091 1.91321637 549377.44
0 1950.5437 11.5121952 1871938.4
 CALCULO DEL COEFICIENTE DETERMINACION

(x-x') (y-y') (x-x')*(y-y') (x-x')^2 (y-y')^2

-7 -315.8 -426961.6 1827904 99729.64
-6 -307.8 -837216 7398400 94740.84
-5 -292.8 -1207800 17015625 85731.84
-4 -267.8 -1499680 31360000 71716.84
-3 -247.8 -1759380 50410000 61404.84
-2 -237.8 -2040324 73616400 56548.84
-1 -233.8 -2346884.4 100761444 54662.44
0 -101.8 -1275350.4 156950784 10363.24
1 -367.8 -4303260 136890000 135276.84
2 163.2 2988192 335256100 26634.24
3 199.2 4090970.4 421768369 39680.64
4 401.2 9960993.6 616429584 160961.44
5 279.2 7066831.2 640646721 77952.64
6 589.2 18617541.6 998433604 347156.64
7 741.2 26783262 1305738225 549377.44
0 0 53810934.4 4894503160 1871938.4
 y
3000

2500
f(x) = 7.6192630899x^2 - 49.3153522948x + 1432.4637362637
R² = 0.9161685511
f(x) = 72.5928571429x + 1087.0571428572
2000 R² = 0.7882323554
f(x)
f(x) == 341.4081692013
1130.9707865478l n(x) + 1032.7973889861
x^0.1976157893
R²
R² == 0.5330496444
0.5534538623

1500

1000

500

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
 y

(x) = 7.6192630899x^2 - 49.3153522948x + 1432.4637362637

² ==0.9161685511
(x) 1172.5246642495+ exp(
72.5928571429x 0.0414341099 x )
1087.0571428572
0.795794265
² = 0.7882323554
(x) = 1130.9707865478 x^0.1976157893
² = 0.5534538623

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
 OPTIMIZACION RESTRIN
METODO GRAFICO

restricciones
2x+2y≤160
x+2y≤120
4x+2y≤280
x,y≥0
Zmax=30x+50y

X Y=(160-2X)/2 Y=(120-X)/2 Y=(280-4X)/2

0 80 60 140
10 70 55 120
20 60 50 100
30 50 45 80
40 40 40 60
50 30 35 40
60 20 30 20
70 10 25 0
80 0 20
90 15
100 10
110 5
120 0
130
140

PUNTOS INTERIORES
X Y Z
10 10 800
20 30 2100
0 0 0
40 40 3200
60 20 2800
70 0 2100

OPTIMIZACION RESTRINGIGA (METODO SO

 PRODUCTO X PRODUCTO Y DISPONIBILIDAD H-H
DPT A 2 2 160
DPTB 1 2 120
DPTC 4 280
ganancias 30 50

PRODUCTO X PRODUCTO Y DISPONIBILIDAD H-H

40 40
DPT A 2 2 160 160
DPTB 1 2 120 120
DPTC 4 2 240 280
ganancias 30 50
1200 2000 3200
TIMIZACION RESTRINGIDA

Chart Title
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Y=(160-2X)/2 Y=(120-X)/2 Y=(280-4X)/2

NGIGA (METODO SOLVER)