Epistemología de la Economía

UBA
Manuel Calderón: manuel.ignacio.calderon@gmail.com

Programa de cursada 2017

(miércoles de 7 a 9 am.)

Clases 1 y 2. Modelos económicos, agentes representativos, hipótesis de optimización y equilibrio.

Predicciones condicionales y estática comparativa.
Lecturas:
Alchian, Armen. 1950. “Uncertainty, Evolution, and Economic Theory”, The Journal of
Political Economy, Volume 58, Issue 3 (Jun., 1950), 211-221.
Friedman, Milton. 1953. "The Methodology of Positive Economics", en Essays in Positive
Economics. University of Chicago Press
Popper, Karl. 1963. “Prediction and Prophecy in the Social Sciences” in Conjectures and
Refutations: The Growth of Scientific Knowledge. New York, Routledge.

Clases 2 y 3. Racionalidad y comportamiento económico de un mercado o industria

Lecturas:
Becker, Gary. 1962. “Irrational Behavior and Economic Theory”. The Journal of Political
Economy, Vol. 70, No. 1. (Feb., 1962), pp. 1—13.
Hayek, F. A. 1968. "Competition as a Discovery Procedure". The Quarterly Journal of
Austrian Economics 5, No. 3 (Fall 2002): 9–23.

Clase 4 y 5. La hipótesis de expectativas racionales

Lecturas:
Muth, John. 1961. “Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements”
Econometrica, Vol. 29, No. 3 (Jul., 1961), pp. 315-335.
Lucas, Robert E. 1986. “Adaptive Behavior and Economic Theory”. The Journal of
Business Vol. 59, No. 4, Part 2: The Behavioral Foundations of Economic Theory (Oct., 1986),
pp. S401-S426
Clase 6, 7 y 8. La crítica de Lucas y la predicción de los efectos de la política económica
Lecturas:
Lucas, Robert. 1976. “Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique”, en Brunner, K.;
Meltzer, A., The Phillips Curve and Labor Markets, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on
Public Policy 1, New York: American Elsevier, pp. 19-46. Reimpreso en Rational Expectations
and Econometric Practice, Robert Lucas y Thomas Sargent (eds.)
Sargent, Thomas & Wallace, Neil. 1976. "Rational Expectations and the Theory of
Economic Policy". Journal of Monetary Economics. 2 (2): 169–183

Clases 9, 10 y 11. La metodología de los modelos de ciclo real de negocios

Lecturas:
Lucas, Robert. 1980. “Methods and Problems in Business Cycle Theory”. Journal of
Money, Credit and Banking. Vol. 12, No. 4, Part 2: Rational Expectations (Nov., 1980), pp. 696-
715.
Lucas, Robert. 1987. Models of Business Cycles (Yrjö Jahnsson Lectures). Oxford, New
York 1987. Basil Blackwell
Hansen, Gary. 1985. "Indivisible Labor and the Business Cycle". Journal of Monetary
Economics 16, pp. 309-337, November 1985.
Kydland, Finn & Prescott, Edward. 1996. “The Computational Experiment: An
Econometric Tool”. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Volume 10, Issue 1 (Winter, 1996),
69-85.