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VOLUME 72, NUMBER 1 PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 3 JANUARY 1994

Measuring Cosmological Parameters with Cosmic Microwave


Background Experiments
J. Richard Bond, 1 Robert Crittenden, 2 Richard L. Davis,2 George Efstathiou, 3 and Paul J. Steinhardt 2
1
Canadian Institute for Theoretical Astrophysics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5S 1A7
2
Department of Physics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104
3
Department of Physics, Oxford University, Oxford, England 0X1 3RH
(Received 13 September 1993)

The cosmic microwave background anisotropy is sensitive to the slope and amplitude of primordial
energy density and gravitational wave fluctuations, the baryon density, the Hubble constant, the
cosmological constant, the ionization history, etc. In this Letter, we examine the degree to which
these factors can be separately resolved from combined small- and large-angular-scale anisotropy
observations. We isolate directions of degeneracy in this cosmic parameter space, but note that
other cosmic observations can break the degeneracy.
PACS numbers: 98.80.Cq, 98.70.Vc, 98.80.Es

The observation of large-angular-scale (~ 10°) fluctu- by * 3 <|(<Wp)(Mi)| 2 } oc kn*+3 and fc3(|/i+,x(Mi)|2} oc


ations in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) [1,2] knT, where Sp/p and /i+jX are the amplitudes of the en-
marks the beginning of a new age of precision measure- ergy density and gravitational wave metric fluctuations
ment in cosmology [3-10]. Dramatic improvements in (for two polarizations), respectively.
large- and small-angular-scale (< 1°) experiments [3-10] In this Letter, we restrict ourselves to subdomains of
are anticipated. In this Letter, we explore the degree this large space consistent with inflation models of fluc-
to which the CMB anisotropy observations can deter- tuation generation. Inflation produces a flat universe,
mine cosmological parameters such as the slope of the Ototai ^ 1- We also take OHDM = 0, but note that,
initial power spectrum, the age of the Universe, and the for angular scales > 10', the anisotropy for mixed dark
cosmological constant. We find that CMB anisotropy matter models with OCDM 4- ^HDM « 1 is quite simi-
measurements alone cannot fix the parameters individu- lar to the anisotropy if all of the dark matter is cold.
ally; however, a nontrivial combination of them can be Given n # , we impose the nucleosynthesis estimate [11,12]
determined. More concretely, for models based on the QBh2 = 0.0125, to determine ft; we also satisfy globu-
generation of Gaussian, adiabatic fluctuations by infla- lar cluster and other age bounds [13], and gravitational
tion, we have identified a new variable n s , a function of lens limits [14]: we range from h < 0.65 for Q\ — 0 to
the basic parameters that can be fixed to great preci- h < 0.88 for 0 \ < 0.6 [13,14].
sion by CMB anisotropy observations. Distinct models Inflation produces adiabatic scalar [15] and tensor [16]
with nearly the same value of ns cannot be discriminated Gaussian fluctuations. The quadrupole measured by the
by CMB data alone. In a likelihood analysis, this leads Cosmic Background Explorer (COBE) fixes C^T) +df\
to error contours centered around a highly elongated but the tensor-to-scalar quadrupole ratio r = C^ jC^
maximum-likelihood surface inside which ns is approx- is undetermined (e.g., see Fig. 1 in [17]). The indices
imately constant. However, combined with other cosmo- ns and nt are determined by power-law best fits to the
logical observations, determining n3 is a powerful tool for theoretical prediction over the scales probed by the CMB.
testing models and measuring fundamental parameters. For generic models of inflation, including new, chaotic,
We parametrize the space by and extended models, inflation gives [17-19]
(C 2 ' ' Si'" , ns,t,is,..., h, OB, ^ A ^ C D M , ^HDM,..-) , nt « n3 - 1 and r = dp fdf} « 7(1 - ns) . (1)
1 -1
where H0 = lOO/ikmsec" M p c is the Hubble param- Measuring r and ns to determine whether they respect
eter, and fis,A,cDM,HDM,... are the energy densities as- Eq. (1) is a critical test for inflation [20]. With this set
sociated with baryans, cosmological constant (A), cold of assumptions, we have reduced the parameter space to
and hot dark matter, etc., divided by the critical den- three dimensions, (r|ns,/i,f&A) (where Q B = 0.0125/i~2
sity. We use the CMB quadrupole moments c^s,T,Is'"'^ and ficDM = 1 — &B — OA)- We explicitly display both
to parametrize the overall amplitudes of energy den- r and ns but with a | as a reminder that r is determined
sity (scalar metric), gravitational wave (tensor metric), by Eq. (1) given n 5 ; we have also assumed nt = ns — 1.
isocurvature scalar, and other primordial fluctuations Our results are based on numerical integration of
predicted by the model. We parametrize the shape of the general relativistic Boltzmann, Einstein, and hy-
the initial (e.g., postinflation) fluctuation spectra in wave drodynamic equations for both scalar [21] and tensor
number k by power law indices nsj,iS,..., defined at time U metric fluctuations using methods reported elsewhere

0031-9007/93/72(0/13 (4)$06.00 13
© 1993 The American Physical Society
V O L U M E 72, N U M B E R 1 PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 3 JANUARY 1994

[19]. Included in t h e dynamical evolution are all t h e ity [19,22]. Errors arise from experimental noise and t h e
relevant components: baryons, photons, dark matter, theoretical cosmic variance. T h e error bars represent cos-
and massless neutrinos. T h e temperature anisotropy, mic variance alone assuming full-sky coverage, exemplify-
A T / T (#,</>) = YLtmaz™Ytm{9,4>)> is computed in terms ing t h e limiting resolution achievable with C M B experi-
of scalar and tensor multipole components, a ^ J and a\m;, ments. For more realistic error bars, consider a detection
respectively. For inflation, each multipole for t h e two obtained from measurements ( A T / T ) ^ ± ajj (where &£>
modes is predicted t o be statistically independent and represents detector noise) at i = 1 , . . . , N& experimental
Gaussian distributed, fully specified by angular power patches sufficiently isolated from each other t o be largely
spectra, Cf = <|o&>|2) and C{P = <|a<£| 2 ). uncorrelated. For large A/p, t h e likelihood function falls
Our results are presented in a series of two-panel fig- by e~v I2 from a maximum at ( A T / T ) m a x when
ures (e.g., see Fig. 1). T h e upper plots show t h e spec-
ATV
t r u m CYs normalized t o COBE, and the lower bar charts + °D
show t h e predicted ( A T / T ) r m s for idealized experiments \ T
\T A ND TL
spanning 10° t o 2'. T h e bar chart is constructed by (2)
computing < ( A T / T ) 2 ) = £ £ ( 2 ^ + l)C€We, where We 5
is a filter function t h a t quantifies experimental sensitiv- An experimental noise GD below 1 0 " is standard now,
and a few times 10~ 6 is soon achievable; hence if sys-
tematic errors and unwanted signals can be eliminated,
Multipole Moments - / the 1-sigma (y = 1) relative uncertainty in A T / T will
10 100 1000 be from cosmic variance alone, 1/\/2ND, falling below

4.0 r=0.0|n 8 =1.0


r=0.7 | n8=0.9 Multipole Moments - /
r=1.4|n 8 =0.8 10 100 1000
CJ3, 3 0 / l I / y I

4.0
———• r=0|n,=1, h:=0.5;ftA=0 / \ 1
VK / \ 1 QA -> 0.4
£ 2.0 . h->0.65
U
/ \ AA l / *
C 30
~+-^
~~* 1 . 0
»%»,
y
y
*''\
»
\
» «n J
b
^ 2.0
/A •
1 \\>'A'A'
v N
nn ".*.: . " :':v^vJ •i l
^ 1.0 'is' ' \v> J
30
I r=0.0|n 8 =1.0
r=0.7 | n,=0.9
r=1.4|n=0.8 nn \^ j
n•
r=0|n,=1;h=0.5;a A =0
O A ^0.4
h -> 0.65

^-10

DMR
(10°)
TEN
(4°)
SP91
(1.5°)
SK
(1.2°)

FIG. 1. Top: Power spectra as a function of multi-


PYTH
(1°)
MSAM2
(30')
MAX
(25')
hi
WD2
(8')
OVRO
(2.6')

pole moment I for ( r = 0 | n a = l ) , (r=0.7|n 5 =0.9), and (r


DMR TEN SP91 SK PYTH MSAM2 MAX WD2 OVRO
=1.4|n 5 =0.8) where h = 0.5 and HA = 0 for all mod-
(10°) (4°) (1.5°) (1.2°) (1°) (30') (25') (8') (2.6*)
els. The spectra in all figures are normalized by the
COBE <4(10°) = (47T)-1 £ ( 2 ^ + l)Ciexp[-*(* + 1)/158.4] FIG. 2. Power spectra as a function of t for scale-invariant
(a Gaussian filter with 10° FWHM), observed by DMR to be models, with r = Q\ns = 1. The middle curve shows h = 0.5
~ 1.2 x 10~ 10 , with about a 30% error. Bottom: ( A T / T ) r m s and £2A = 0. In the upper curve, QA is increased to 0.4 while
levels with 1-sigma cosmic variance error bars for nine ex- keeping h = 0.5. In the lower curve, Q\ = 0 but h is increased
periments assuming full-sky coverage; see also Eq. (2). The from 0.5 to 0.65 (hence O B drops from 0.5 to 0.3). The spectra
Gaussian coherence angle is indicated below each experiment; are insensitive to changes in h for fixed O B • Increasing QA or
see Refs. [1-11] for acronyms. QB increases the power at £ ~ 200.

14
VOLUME 72, NUMBER 1 PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 3 JANUARY 1994

10% for ND > 50. The optimal variances shown in the tra for models lying in a two-dimensional surface of
figures roughly correspond to filling the sky with patches (r|n 5 ,/i,fiA) which produce nearly identical spectra. In
separated by 20FWHM- one case, r\ns is fixed, and increasing QA is nearly com-
Figure 1 shows how the small-angular signal is increas- pensated by increasing h. In the second case, h is fixed,
ingly suppressed as r increases and ns decreases [17,19]- but increasing Q\ is nearly compensated by decreasing
For large maps, cosmic variance is significant for large- ns [25].
angle experiments [23], but shrinks to insignificant levels Further cosmic confusion arises if we also consider ion-
at smaller scales. It appears that r\ns could be resolved ization history [26]. Let ZR be the redshift at which
if A, ft, and ionization history were known. we suppose sudden, total reionization of the intergalac-
Figure 2 shows the effects of varying ft A or Ho com- tic medium. Figure 4 compares spectra with standard
pared to our baseline (solid line) spectrum (r = 0\ns = recombination (SR), no recombination (NR), and late
l,ft = 0.5, QA = 0). Increasing Q\ (or decreasing h) reionization (LR) at ZR = 50, where h = 0.5 and £l\ = 0.
enhances small-angular-scale anisotropy by reducing the NR represents the behavior if reionization occurs early
redshift zecL at which radiation-matter equality occurs. (ZR > 200). The spectrum is substantially suppressed
Increasing £l\ also changes slightly the spectral slope for for £ > 200 compared to any SR models. Experiments
£ < 10 due to A suppression of the growth of scalar fluctu- at < 0.5° scale can clearly identify NR or early reion-
ations [24]. The bar chart shows that either r\n81 OA? or ization (ZR > 150 gives qualitatively similar results to
h can be resolved if the other two parameters are known. NR). Reionization for 20 < ZR < 150 results in modest
A degree of "cosmic confusion" arises, though, if r|n 5 , suppression at £ « 200, which can be confused with a
£2A, and h vary simultaneously. Figure 3 shows spec-
Multipole Moments - /
Multipole Moments - / 10 100 1000
100
r=0 | n,=1 - SR I
4.0
r=0.35 | n,=0.95 - SR 1
. r=0 | n,=1 - LR at z=50 J
r=0 | n,=1 - NR A
3
C^,
° / \ I

Vt!
CI 2.0
/
/ //s^
/
\ /\ A
%> \ / \ /
1i
Si / /// / v* \ / v\ I
•*•* : / v
i

^ 1.0

-
^_^£>'''
N
^ i
Vc\
nn a ^^^^___^ .... * V 1

r=0 | n,=1 - SR
r=0.35|n,=0.95-SR
30
r=0 | n,=1 - LR at z=50
r=0 | n,=1 - NR

DMR TEN SP91 SK PYTH MSAM2 MAX WD2 OVRO

DMR TEN SP91 SK PYTH MSAM2 MAX WD2 OVRO (10°) (4°) (1.5°) d^°) (1°) (30') (25') (8') (2.6')

(10°) (4°) (1.2°) (30') (25') (2.6')


(1-5°) (1°) (8')
FIG. 4. Power spectra for models with standard recombi-
FIG. 3. Examples of different cosmologies with nearly iden- nation (SR), no recombination (NR), and "late" reionization
tical spectra of multipole moments and (AT/T) rmg . The solid (LR) at z = 50. In all models, h = 0.5 and CIA = 0. NR
curve is (r = 0\na = l,fc = 0.5, QA = 0). The other two or reionization at z > 150 results in substantial suppression
curves explore degeneracies in the (r = 0\na = 1 , / I ^ A ) and at £ > 100. Models with reionization at 20 < z < 150 give
(r\n3,h = 0.5,QA) planes. In the dashed curve, increasing moderate suppression that can mimic decreasing n8 or in-
QA is almost exactly compensated by increasing h. In the creasing h\ e.g., compare the na = 0.95 spectrum with SR
dot-dashed curve, the effect of changing to r = 0.42|ns = 0.94 (thin, dot-dashed) to the n9 = 1 spectrum with reionization
is nearly compensated by increasing QA to 0.6. at z — 50 (thick, dot-dashed).
15
V O L U M E 72, N U M B E R l PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 3 JANUARY 1994

decrease in ns (see figure). 1993 (to be published).


The results can be epitomized by some simple rules of [7] OVRO, A.C.S. Readhead et al, Astrophys. J. 346, 556
thumb: Over the 30' - 2° range, (AT/T)?ms is roughly (1989).
proportional to the maximum of £(£ + l)Ce (the first [8] MAX, P. Meinhold et al, Astrophys. J. Lett. 409, LI
Doppler peak). Since the maximum (corresponding to (1993); J. Gunderson et al, Astrophys. J. Lett. 413, LI
(1993).
~ 0.5° scales) is normalized to COBE differential mi-
[9] WD2 (White Dish), G.S. Tucker, G.S. Griffin, H.
crowave radiometer (DMR) measurements (at ~ 10°), Nguyen, and J.B. Peterson, Princeton University report.
its value is exponentially sensitive to ns. Since scalar 1993 (to be published).
fluctuations account for the maximum, the maximum de- [10] PYTHON, M. Dragovan et al. (private communication).
creases as r increases. T h e maximum is also sensitive to [11] T.P. Walker, G. Steigman, D.N. Schramm, K.A. Olive,
the redshift at matter-radiation equality [or, equivalently, and H.S. Kang, Astrophys. J. 376, 51 (1991).
(1 - Q^h2], and to the optical depth at last scattering [12] In a forthcoming paper, we show how increasing Qsh2 in-
for late-reionization models, ~ zj . These observations creases the Doppler peak and changes the spectral shape.
are the basis of an empirical formula (accurate to < 15%) [13] E.W. Kolb and M. S. Turner, The Early Universe
(Addison-Wesley, Redwood City, CA, 1990).
[14] D. Maoz and H.-W. Rix, Astrophys. J. (to be published).
2 * 4 ( 1 0 0 ) | m a x ~*e , (3) [15] J. Bardeen, P. J. Steinhardt, and M. S. Turner, Phys.
Rev. D 28, 679 (1983); A. H. Guth and S.-Y. Pi, Phys.
where A = 0.1, B = 3.56, and
Rev. Lett. 49, 1110 (1982); A. A. Starobinsky, Phys.
hs « ns - 0 . 2 8 1 n ( l + 0 . 8 r ) Lett. 117B, 175 (1982); S. W. Hawking, Phys. Lett.
115B, 295 (1982).
-0.52[(1 -QA)h2)i - 0.000 36 z%2 + 0.26 , (
'
[16] V. A. Rubakov, M. V. Sazhin, and A. V. Veryaskin,
where r and n3 are related by Eq. (1) for generic inflation Phys. Lett. 115B, 189 (1982); L.F. Abbott and M. Wise,
models, and ZR < 150 is needed to have a local maximum Nucl. Phys. B244, 541 (1984); A.A. Starobinsky, Pis'ma
(h8 has been defined such t h a t ns = ns for r — 0, h = Astron. Zh. 11, 323 (1985) [Sov. Astron. Lett. 11, 133
0.5, Q A = 0, and ZR = 0) [12]. Hence, the predicted (1985)].
anisotropy for any experiment in the range 10' and larger [17] R.L. Davis, H.M. Hodges, G.F. Smoot, P.J. Steinhardt.
and M.S. Turner, Phys. Rev. Lett. 69, 1856 (1992).
is not separately dependent on ns, r, O A , etc.; rather, it
[18] F. Lucchin, S. Matarrese, and S. Mollerach, Astrophys.
is a function of the combination ns.
J. Lett. 401, 49 (1992); D. Salopek, Phys. Rev. Lett. 69,
Our central result is t h a t CMB anisotropy experiments 3602 (1992); A. Liddle and D. Lyth, Phys. Lett. B 291,
can determine n 5 , but variations of parameters along the 391 (1992); V. Sahni and T. Souradeep, Mod. Phys. Lett.
surface of constant ns produce indistinguishable CMB A 7, 3541 (1992); J.E. Lidsey and P. Coles, Mon. Not. R.
anisotropy. Given present uncertainties in h, Q A , and ZR, Astron. Soc. 258, 57P (1992); F.C. Adams, J.R. Bond,
it will be possible to determine the true spectral index ns K. Freese, J.A. Frieman, and A.V. Olinto, Phys. Rev. D
(or r) to within 10% accuracy using the CMB anisotropy 47, 426 (1993).
alone. Quantitative improvement can be gained by in- [19] R. Crittenden, J.R. Bond, R.L. Davis, G. Efstathiou, and
voking constraints from large-scale structure, e.g., galaxy P.J. Steinhardt, Phys. Rev. Lett. 71, 324 (1993); numer-
velocity and cluster distributions, although the results ical methods are discussed in a forthcoming paper.
are model dependent. Ultimately, tighter limits on QA? [20] Exceptions to Eq. (1) require additional fine tuning of
parameters or initial conditions, beyond that which is
h, ionization history, and the dark matter density are
strictly necessary for inflation. Examples include cosine
needed before the CMB anisotropy can develop into a potentials ("natural inflation") or potentials in any infla-
high precision test of inflation. tionary model in which an extremum or discontinuity is
This research was supported by the DOE at Penn encountered near the end of inflation. Note that Eq. (4)
(DOE-EY-76-C-02-3071), NSERC at Toronto, the SERC shows dependence on r and ns separately, and is thus
at Oxford, and the Canadian Institute for Advanced Re- valid for the exceptional models as well.
search. [21] J.R. Bond and G. Efetathiou, Astrophys. J. 285, L45
(1984); Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 226, 655-687 (1987).
[22] J.R. Bond, G. Efstathiou, P.M. Lubin, and P. Meinhold,
[1] DMR, G.F. Smoot et al, Astrophys. J. Lett. 396, LI Phys. Rev. Lett. 66, 2179 (1991).
(1992). [23] M. White, L. Krauss, and J. Silk, Yale Report No.
[2] K. Ganga et al, Astrophys. J. 410, L57 (1993). YCTP-P44-92 (to be published).
[3] MS AM (2-beam), E. S. Cheng et al (to be published). [24] L. Kofrnan and A.A. Starobinsky, Pis'ma Astron. Zh. 11,
[4] TEN, R.A. Watson et al, Nature (London) 357, 660 643 (1985) [Sov. Astron. Lett. 11, 271 (1985)].
(1992). [25] L. Kofrnan, N. Gnedin, and N. Bahcall, Astrophys. J.
[5] SP91 (South Pole 1991), T. Gaier et al, Astrophys. J. 413, 1 (1993).
Lett. 398, LI (1992); J. Schuster et al, Astrophys. J. [26] Inflation-based models are likely to have negligibly small
Lett. 412, L47(1993). ZR [21]; the large ZR examples shown here suggest the
[6] SK, E.J. Wollack, N.C. Jarosik, C.B. Netterfield, L.A. small-angular-scale suppression characteristic of models
Page, and D. Wilkinson, Princeton University report, which require large ZR (e.g., cosmic strings and textures).
16
Multipole Moments - /
10 100 1000

4.0 - r=0.0|n8=1.0
-- r=0.7 | ns=0.9
- r=1.4|n.=0.8
3.0

2.0

1.0

0.0

r=0.0|n,=1.0
30 r=0.7 | n,=0.9
j r=1.4|n,=0.8

- 20

fc:

iu
— 10
ii:

DMR TEN SP91 SK PYTH MSAM2 MAX WD2 OVRO


(10") (4") (1.5°) (1.2°) (1°) (30') (25') (8') (2.6")

FIG. 1. Top: Power spectra as a function of multi-


pole moment I for (r=0|n s = l), (r=0.7|n 3 =0.9), and (r
= 1.4|n s =0.8) where h = 0.5 and ClA = 0 for all mod-
els. The spectra in all figures are normalized by the
COBE <4(10°) = ( 4 T T ) - 1 ^ ( 2 £ + l ) C i e x p [ - * ( * + 1)/158.4]
(a Gaussian filter with 10° FWHM), observed by DMR to be
~ 1.2 x 1CT10, with about a 30% error. Bottom: ( A T / T ) r m s
levels with 1-sigma cosmic variance error bars for nine ex-
periments assuming full-sky coverage; see also Eq. (2). The
Gaussian coherence angle is indicated below each experiment;
see Refs. [1-11] for acronyms.
Multipole Moments - /
10 100 1000
/•«
r=0 | n,=1 h =0.5;<2A=0 J \
4.0 ~ a A -> 0.4 i \
h-»0.65 i \

3.0
/TV A •
i//\\\j \ *,
2.0

1.0

r=0 | n,=1; h=0.5; iiA=0


30 flA -»0.4
h -> 0.65

20

I,o ill

DMR TEN SP91 SK PYTH MSAM2 MAX WD2 OVRO


(10°) (4°) (1.5°) (1.2°) (1°) (30') (25') (8') (2.6')

FIG. 2. Power spectra as a function of £ for scale-invariant


models, with r = 0|n s = 1. The middle curve shows h — 0.5
and Cl\ = 0. In the upper curve, J7A is increased to 0.4 while
keeping h = 0.5. In the lower curve, Q\ = 0 but h is increased
from 0.5 to 0.65 (hence QB drops from 0.5 to 0.3). The spectra
are insensitive to changes in h for fixed QB- Increasing J7A or
OB increases the power at t ~ 200.
Multipole Moments - /
10 100 1000

r=0 | n,=1; h=0.5; £2A=0


4.0
h-> 0.75; Q A -* 0.6
r -» 0.42 | n, -> 0.94; £2A -» 0.6

3.0
j! \
2.0 j! \ T\
$ \ J \\
/ '
1.0

r=0 | n,=1; h=0.5; QA=0


h -»0.75; ii A -» 0.6
30
" r -> 0.42 | n. -> 0.94; il. -> 0.6

- 20

•-^10

Ml
DMR
(10°)
TEN
(4°)
SP91
(1.5°)
SK
(1-2°)
PYTH MSAM2 MAX
(1°)

FIG. 3. Examples of different cosmologies with nearly iden-


(30') (25')
WD2
(8')
OVRO
(2.61)

tical spectra of multipole moments and ( A T / T ) r m s . The solid


curve is (r = 0\ns = l,h = 0.5, Q\ = 0). The other two
curves explore degeneracies in the (r = 0\na = l,/i, £2A) and
(r\n9,h = 0.5,QA) planes. In the dashed curve, increasing
QA is almost exactly compensated by increasing h. In the
dot-dashed curve, the effect of changing to r = 0.42|n s = 0.94
is nearly compensated by increasing J7A to 0.6.
Multipole Moments - /
10 100 1000

r=0 | n,=1 - SR
r=0.35 | n,=0.95 - SR
30
r=0 | n,=1 - LR at z=50
• r=0 I n.=1 - NR

n
I. m
DMR

(10°)
TEN

(4")
SP91
(1.5°)
SK
(1.2°)
PYTH
(1°)

FIG. 4. Power spectra for models with standard recombi-


MSAM2
(30')
it
MAX
(25')
WD2

(8')
OVRO
(2.6')

nation (SR), no recombination (NR), and "late" reionization


(LR) at z = 50. In all models, h = 0.5 and QA = 0. NR
or reionization at z > 150 results in substantial suppression
at I > 100. Models with reionization at 20 < z < 150 give
moderate suppression that can mimic decreasing na or in-
creasing h; e.g., compare the ns — 0.95 spectrum with SR
(thin, dot-dashed) to the n s = 1 spectrum with reionization
at z = 50 (thick, dot-dashed).

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