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The cosmic microwave background anisotropy is sensitive to the slope and amplitude of primordial
energy density and gravitational wave fluctuations, the baryon density, the Hubble constant, the
cosmological constant, the ionization history, etc. In this Letter, we examine the degree to which
these factors can be separately resolved from combined small- and large-angular-scale anisotropy
observations. We isolate directions of degeneracy in this cosmic parameter space, but note that
other cosmic observations can break the degeneracy.
PACS numbers: 98.80.Cq, 98.70.Vc, 98.80.Es
0031-9007/93/72(0/13 (4)$06.00 13
© 1993 The American Physical Society
V O L U M E 72, N U M B E R 1 PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 3 JANUARY 1994
[19]. Included in t h e dynamical evolution are all t h e ity [19,22]. Errors arise from experimental noise and t h e
relevant components: baryons, photons, dark matter, theoretical cosmic variance. T h e error bars represent cos-
and massless neutrinos. T h e temperature anisotropy, mic variance alone assuming full-sky coverage, exemplify-
A T / T (#,</>) = YLtmaz™Ytm{9,4>)> is computed in terms ing t h e limiting resolution achievable with C M B experi-
of scalar and tensor multipole components, a ^ J and a\m;, ments. For more realistic error bars, consider a detection
respectively. For inflation, each multipole for t h e two obtained from measurements ( A T / T ) ^ ± ajj (where &£>
modes is predicted t o be statistically independent and represents detector noise) at i = 1 , . . . , N& experimental
Gaussian distributed, fully specified by angular power patches sufficiently isolated from each other t o be largely
spectra, Cf = <|o&>|2) and C{P = <|a<£| 2 ). uncorrelated. For large A/p, t h e likelihood function falls
Our results are presented in a series of two-panel fig- by e~v I2 from a maximum at ( A T / T ) m a x when
ures (e.g., see Fig. 1). T h e upper plots show t h e spec-
ATV
t r u m CYs normalized t o COBE, and the lower bar charts + °D
show t h e predicted ( A T / T ) r m s for idealized experiments \ T
\T A ND TL
spanning 10° t o 2'. T h e bar chart is constructed by (2)
computing < ( A T / T ) 2 ) = £ £ ( 2 ^ + l)C€We, where We 5
is a filter function t h a t quantifies experimental sensitiv- An experimental noise GD below 1 0 " is standard now,
and a few times 10~ 6 is soon achievable; hence if sys-
tematic errors and unwanted signals can be eliminated,
Multipole Moments - / the 1-sigma (y = 1) relative uncertainty in A T / T will
10 100 1000 be from cosmic variance alone, 1/\/2ND, falling below
4.0
———• r=0|n,=1, h:=0.5;ftA=0 / \ 1
VK / \ 1 QA -> 0.4
£ 2.0 . h->0.65
U
/ \ AA l / *
C 30
~+-^
~~* 1 . 0
»%»,
y
y
*''\
»
\
» «n J
b
^ 2.0
/A •
1 \\>'A'A'
v N
nn ".*.: . " :':v^vJ •i l
^ 1.0 'is' ' \v> J
30
I r=0.0|n 8 =1.0
r=0.7 | n,=0.9
r=1.4|n=0.8 nn \^ j
n•
r=0|n,=1;h=0.5;a A =0
O A ^0.4
h -> 0.65
^-10
DMR
(10°)
TEN
(4°)
SP91
(1.5°)
SK
(1.2°)
14
VOLUME 72, NUMBER 1 PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 3 JANUARY 1994
10% for ND > 50. The optimal variances shown in the tra for models lying in a two-dimensional surface of
figures roughly correspond to filling the sky with patches (r|n 5 ,/i,fiA) which produce nearly identical spectra. In
separated by 20FWHM- one case, r\ns is fixed, and increasing QA is nearly com-
Figure 1 shows how the small-angular signal is increas- pensated by increasing h. In the second case, h is fixed,
ingly suppressed as r increases and ns decreases [17,19]- but increasing Q\ is nearly compensated by decreasing
For large maps, cosmic variance is significant for large- ns [25].
angle experiments [23], but shrinks to insignificant levels Further cosmic confusion arises if we also consider ion-
at smaller scales. It appears that r\ns could be resolved ization history [26]. Let ZR be the redshift at which
if A, ft, and ionization history were known. we suppose sudden, total reionization of the intergalac-
Figure 2 shows the effects of varying ft A or Ho com- tic medium. Figure 4 compares spectra with standard
pared to our baseline (solid line) spectrum (r = 0\ns = recombination (SR), no recombination (NR), and late
l,ft = 0.5, QA = 0). Increasing Q\ (or decreasing h) reionization (LR) at ZR = 50, where h = 0.5 and £l\ = 0.
enhances small-angular-scale anisotropy by reducing the NR represents the behavior if reionization occurs early
redshift zecL at which radiation-matter equality occurs. (ZR > 200). The spectrum is substantially suppressed
Increasing £l\ also changes slightly the spectral slope for for £ > 200 compared to any SR models. Experiments
£ < 10 due to A suppression of the growth of scalar fluctu- at < 0.5° scale can clearly identify NR or early reion-
ations [24]. The bar chart shows that either r\n81 OA? or ization (ZR > 150 gives qualitatively similar results to
h can be resolved if the other two parameters are known. NR). Reionization for 20 < ZR < 150 results in modest
A degree of "cosmic confusion" arises, though, if r|n 5 , suppression at £ « 200, which can be confused with a
£2A, and h vary simultaneously. Figure 3 shows spec-
Multipole Moments - /
Multipole Moments - / 10 100 1000
100
r=0 | n,=1 - SR I
4.0
r=0.35 | n,=0.95 - SR 1
. r=0 | n,=1 - LR at z=50 J
r=0 | n,=1 - NR A
3
C^,
° / \ I
Vt!
CI 2.0
/
/ //s^
/
\ /\ A
%> \ / \ /
1i
Si / /// / v* \ / v\ I
•*•* : / v
i
^ 1.0
-
^_^£>'''
N
^ i
Vc\
nn a ^^^^___^ .... * V 1
r=0 | n,=1 - SR
r=0.35|n,=0.95-SR
30
r=0 | n,=1 - LR at z=50
r=0 | n,=1 - NR
DMR TEN SP91 SK PYTH MSAM2 MAX WD2 OVRO (10°) (4°) (1.5°) d^°) (1°) (30') (25') (8') (2.6')
4.0 - r=0.0|n8=1.0
-- r=0.7 | ns=0.9
- r=1.4|n.=0.8
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
r=0.0|n,=1.0
30 r=0.7 | n,=0.9
j r=1.4|n,=0.8
- 20
fc:
iu
— 10
ii:
3.0
/TV A •
i//\\\j \ *,
2.0
1.0
20
I,o ill
3.0
j! \
2.0 j! \ T\
$ \ J \\
/ '
1.0
- 20
•-^10
Ml
DMR
(10°)
TEN
(4°)
SP91
(1.5°)
SK
(1-2°)
PYTH MSAM2 MAX
(1°)
r=0 | n,=1 - SR
r=0.35 | n,=0.95 - SR
30
r=0 | n,=1 - LR at z=50
• r=0 I n.=1 - NR
n
I. m
DMR
(10°)
TEN
(4")
SP91
(1.5°)
SK
(1.2°)
PYTH
(1°)
(8')
OVRO
(2.6')