Prevention of Unnecessary

Storm Deaths
National Weather Service

Andrew Schlesinger

March 4th, 2018


Content
Content
Abstract
Deaths Associated with Storms
Where the deaths come from
Prediction Models & Warning systems
Citizen Preparation
Death Prevention Techniques
Death Mitigation
Prediction Models & Warning systems
Citizen Preparation
Predicted Effects of the techniques
Where the deaths come from
Prediction Models & Warning systems
Citizen Preparation
Conclusion
References
Content
Abstract
The Problem
Where the deaths come from
Prediction Models & Warning systems
Citizen Preparation
The Solutions
Where the deaths come from
Prediction Models & Warning systems
Citizen Preparation
The Results
Where the deaths come from
Prediction Models & Warning systems
Citizen Preparation
Conclusion
References
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Abstract
The following research and analysis has been compiled to determine ways
and areas of improvement to death tolls that are incurred with storms. This being
hurricanes, cyclones, thunder, and winter storms (NWS Analyze). We as an
organization want to hold accountable the issues at hand instead of masking their
true cause. Along with eradicating deaths that happen from theses natural
phenomenon that are so prevalent in every corner of our country. We aim to
inform the general public along with state and local government entities to the
best practices on preparing their communities for extreme weather conditions,
responding to those citizens that are in need of help, and informing their citizens
on the best practices that should be used in preparing for these sever weather
events. In the end, we hope that people take our warningss and advice to a true
and practical meaning that eventually will make storm deaths a thing of the past.

The ProblemDeaths Associated with Storms

Where the deaths come from
According to recent studies done, we have found that a lot of deaths
due to sever natural weather are from other things other thaexternal causes
other thann a storm event like a hurricane or thunderstorm mother nature
coming in full effect. Many deaths are attributed to storms days after the actual
storm rolling throughpassing and even in cases of hurricanes days before land fall.
These causes are obscure to many because peoplethey do not account for these
thingsanticipate carbon monoxide poisoning, falling limbs, flood waters, and
electrocution when shielding themselves and family members away from these
harmful effects of storms . These effects include carbon monoxide poisoning,
falling limbs, flood waters, and electrocution to list a few causes of death that a
storm can leave behind in the leading days (Chronicle).

Prediction Models & Warning systems

As weather services like ours try our best in accurately predicting the
way and server weather events that might happen, we do not always know
exactly what will happen. The problem lies within our tools that we use to predict
and processes to justify our estimations in the days ahead of a storm and minutes
ahead of tornados. We have come a very long way from where we used to be but
the technology still needs to quickly advance from far surpass where it currently
resides. These systems continue to grow and every year we have more and more
data flowing into the current production models that will allow for better
prediction. The reason there is a need to improve these system is so we can
provide a more advanced notice for the citizens in the path of a hurricane,
tornado, or flood waters. If we could tell citizens in the path of a tornado to
evacuate the area within the next thirty minutes and go to a predetermined
location, this would get people completely out of harm’s way instead of allowing
people to shelter in place. The could remove them from the path of while
something that is capable of could ripping athe building from around them apart
is coming their way. The more time we can give people to plan their evacuation
would allow them to find a place for them to stay, find the funding, and as find
accommodations for pets and animals that can have been left behind during
storm situationsare sadly left behind in many situations. These problems are a
pivotal part in stopping many storm related deaths.

Citizen Preparation
Another area of concernproblem when it comes to storm related
deaths teare nd to be because of the populist is not be adequately prepared.
Most citizens find themselves prepared for small inconveniences of living in a first
world country like the power being out for a couple hours. Most forget to prepare
for the possibility of evacuating, flooding, multiple days without water or
electricity, and complete dwelling loss. This leaves a major gaps and a lot of
people with the possibility to be stranded or even killed because they do not
leave during an evacuation or a flooding situation. Another thing that citizens are
unprepared for are with gathering the right supplies that could be needed to
survive and the disaster situations above. Also, citizen have not been properly
warned with the dangers of curtain activities in these situations with examples
being driving in flood waters, dealing with downed power lines, and dealing with
fallen trees. All of these concernsseem tend to be where our citizens are unaware
tend to slack off of and n or have issues problem s dealing with these types of
situations.

The SolutionsDeath Prevention Techniques

 Where the deaths come fromDeath Mitigation
One of the main ways to mitigate these issues we as an organization
is to havesay thatthe all weather stations and radio stations when informing their
audiencetalking about an upcoming storm system they should also advise their
viewers and listenerson about the ways they can protect themselves before,
during, and after during the event and before the event. We believe these media
outlets should also be responsible to inform the people that it is still possible to
have damage to trees and other objects that could fall days before as the storm
cells are moving in along with options for shelters if needed and how people can
get access to them.

Prediction Models & Warning systems

The national weather service will be implementing tri-platform attack
to completing our goals in providing more advanced models for the nation and it
citizens. The first step that we as an organization will be doing is upgrading all our
current systems to the state of the art with the most advance computational
power, data collection, and weather sensing equipment. The organization will also
be having the board approve a yearly spending budget that will keep our
computer systems in tip topexcellent shape. The second step in our attack to
improve technology faster is by providing a fund every year to extraordinary
research that could lead to a breakthrough in data gathering and algorithm
optimization. Donating this money yearly will allow more breakthroughsbreak
troughs within the prediction model and warning system that we currently have.
The final stage of improving our prediction technology is the weorganization will
be are going to be creating a college level competition on advancing computer
based prediction algorithms. Also the competition will have another category
along with other competitions that will allow teams of college students to
compete at the same event a national level with the main goal ofis having these
students invent, design, and build theirr own systems that will deal with
imprimprove oving our weather prediction systems and processes.

Citizen Preparation
The main solution for citizen preparation would be to educate them
on each different topic. We want to start an initiative to have science teachers
talk about the dangers of storms along with other issues that can be caused by
them. We want the students to be prepared for every possible issue they could
come across. This would allow things to slowly change overtime withand the
younger generationkids leading the charge to make sure their parents are
following the correct ways of staying safe. One example would be to have the
students fill out a disaster preparedness worksheet that they would take home to
their parents. This worksheet would ask about evacuation plans, home loss plans,
and food and medical supplies that are stored. Another thing that we want to
initiate is an educational adadvertisementd that will be shown during peak storm
seasons that way repetitive information coming from several different a
commercial outlet will be able to drill home the safety measures that should be
put into place.

The ResultsPredicted Effects of the

techniques
Where the deaths come from
The solution that was chosen is aimedamid at informing the public
about how they should be acting and preparing for these weather events days
before it is expected to happen. This is in hopes that the public become more
aware of the impending storms that could cause issues and that they themselves
and family are prepared for the storm. The goal is to get the warnings out
multiple days in advance so that people can preplan their weeks around severe
storms and staying in a safe place would allow emergency crews to get where
they are needed without hindrance.

Prediction Models & Warning systems

The three-stage method that has been discussed in earlier parts of
this document will allow for us as an organization to lead the charge in the
advancement of our prediction technology. It will give us a short-term side effect
of getting new equipment in our main offices to complete our jobs and better
serve our get nation that we have been tasked with protecting. The second will
allow us to be a parta part of the cutting-edge research that is happening to
being done to advance the wayour way the national weather serviceof does ing
things as an agency is sole purpose is with respects toto predicting mother nature
and the storms she creates. The third and fafinal il stage will also allow us to be on
the cutting-edge of research, but it will also give us access to some of the
brightest minds currently on the job market that we will be able to higher directly
out of college after competing within this competition. Along with the
allowingobvious of seeing students to think and engineer think outside of the box
when it comes to improving our technology with our goals in mind. These three
brand new initiatives will allow for a thrust into the future and allow for better
possibilities at stopping casualties from storms that ultimately can be avoided.

Citizen Preparation
The way our chosen solution of aWith the two-phase educational
approach in mind it will improve the general and overall knowledge of the
populous on how to be prepared for the multiple types and possible storm
situations that could arise in their region of habitation. This will Will help people
become more aware of the possibilities that a disaster or bad weather has more
affects then the prudent one r bad weather can happened and make them plan
ahead of time. Also, it will give allow people to fix issues around their home with
more caution and a more informed way of handling curtain situations like flood
waters and along with downed powerlines. This will greatly reduce people from
ddyeyinging from drowning after their cars have been swept away by the current
and from electrocution for the power lines.

Conclusion
In conclusion, weWith the hope that completing this research and implementing
these multiple solutions and strategies. We as an organization and country can
limit or exterminate the possibility of an external storm deaths before, during,
and after in relation to cause of life loss when dealing with severe storms or
hurricanes. As an advanced society that has the capabilities, technology, and
resources ful we should be able to achieve these goals.
References
 Chronicle, Houston. “Six Easily Avoidable Ways People Die After
Hurricanes.” Business Insider, Business Insider, 30 Oct. 2012,
www.businessinsider.com/avoidable-ways-people-die-in-hurricanes-2012-
10.
 NWS Analyze, Forecast and Support Office. “NWS Analyze, Forecast and
Support Office.” National Weather Service, 1 Jan. 2001,
www.nws.noaa.gov/om/hazstats.shtml.
 Withington, John. Storm. Reaktion Books, 2016.