United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

May Crop Production

Southern Plains Regional Field Office · Post Office Box 70, Austin, Texas 78767 · 800-626-3142 · www.nass.usda.gov
Cooperating with the Oklahoma Department of Agriculture, Food and Forestry and Texas Department of Agriculture

May 10, 2018. Contact: Carol Pittman or Ricardo Lowe.

The May wheat yield and production forecast are based on two surveys conducted by the Southern Plains
Regional Field Office: a farm operator survey and an objective yield survey. The farm operator survey was
conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet and personal interviews. The objective yield
survey collects actual stalk counts and head weights from plots set up in producer fields across the states of
Oklahoma and Texas.

Data provided by Oklahoma and Texas operators are the foundation of the estimates for the Southern Plains
region. We would like to thank all farmers who responded to the Ag Yield survey and to those wheat producers
who permitted objective measurements to be taken in their fields.

Oklahoma Wheat Production and Yield

39
36 34
31 31
26 26
22 23
154.8 17
136.5
119.4
105.4 98.8 98.6
74.8 73.6
47.6 52.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Production (million bushels) Yield (bushels/acre)

Wheat production for Oklahoma is forecast at 52.0 million bushels, down 47 percent from last year. Yield per
acre is expected to average 26.0 bushels, down 8.0 bushels from the previous year. Acres expected to be
harvested for grain, at 2.00 million acres, are down 31 percent from 2017.

Oklahoma Wheat Planted and Harvested

5.6 5.4 5.6 5.3 5.3
5.2 5.1 5.0
4.5 4.3

4.3
3.9 3.8
3.4 3.4 3.5
3.2
2.8 2.9
2.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Planted (million acres) Harvested (million acres)

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 Texas Wheat Production and Yield
33 33 32
29 30 30 29
27
25 25

123.8
106.5
95.7 89.6
61.3 68.2 67.5 68.2
47.5 43.2

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Production (million bushels) Yield (bushels/acre)

Texas wheat production is forecast at 43.2 million bushels, down 37 percent from last year. Yield per acre is
expected to average 27.0 bushels, down 2.0 bushels from 2017. Harvested acreage for grain, at 1.60 million
acres, is down 32 percent from the previous year.

Texas Wheat Planted and Harvested

6.4 6.3 6.1
5.7 6.0
5.3 5.6
5.0 4.7 4.7

3.8 3.6
2.9 2.8
2.5 2.4 2.3 2.4
1.9 1.6

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Planted (million acres) Harvested (million acres)

Winter Wheat: Acreage, Yield, and Production

Selected States and Unites States, Final 2017 and May 1, 2018 Forecast
Planted Acres Harvested Acres Yield Per Acre Production
State
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
1,000 acres 1,000 acres bushels 1,000 bushels
Arkansas 200 180 125 110 52.0 60.0 6,500 6,600
Colorado 2,250 2,400 2,020 2,200 43.0 38.0 86,860 83,600
Kansas 7,600 7,700 6,950 7,300 48.0 37.0 333,600 270,100
Missouri 640 660 540 530 68.0 64.0 36,720 33,920
Oklahoma 4,500 4,300 2,900 2,000 34.0 26.0 98,600 52,000
Texas 4,700 4,700 2,350 1,600 29.0 27.0 68,150 43,200
United States 32,696 32,708 25,291 24,769 50.2 48.1 1,269,437 1,191,542

Crop Production (May 2018)

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Southern Plains Regional Field Office
US Highlights: Winter wheat production for 2018 is forecast at 1.19 billion bushels, down 6 percent from 2017.
Yield is expected to average 48.1, down 2.1 bushels from last year. Acreage to be harvested for grain is expected
to total 24.8 million, down 2 percent from last year.

Link to the US report: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=104

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Crop Production (May 2018)

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, Southern Plains Regional Field Office