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Renewable Energy Zones

for the Africa Clean Energy Corridor

GRACE WU TIJANA RADOJICIC


RANJIT DESHMUKH KUDAKWASHE NDHLUKULA
International Energy Studies Group International Renewable Energy Agency
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
Energy and Resources Group
University of California at Berkeley
SAIREC, CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA | OCT 4, 2015

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Multi-criteria Analysis for Planning
Renewable Energy (MapRE)
• Identify cost-effective, environmentally sustainable, and
socially-equitable RE zones.

•Inform long-term transmission planning and leverage existing


and planned electricity infrastructure.

•Apply consistent approach across Southern and Eastern


African Power Pools to promote power trade and greater
regional integration.

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RE zoning study in the larger context

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LBNL MapRE Methodology

Combine multi-criteria spatial decision-making with energy economics.


1. Potential wind, solar PV, and solar CSP RE technologies zoned;
planned and existing geothermal plants mapped.
2. Mapped existing and proposed transmission and substation
infrastructure.

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RESOURCE ASSESSMENT

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IDENTIFY PROJECT OPPORTUNITY AREAS &
ESTIMATE ATTRIBUTES

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CREATE ZONES & AGGREGATE ATTRIBUTES

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SCORE ZONES AND CREATE OUTPUTS

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SOLAR ZONES:

Zone attributes
Area of zone (km2)
Annual electricity generation potential (MWh)
Capacity factor
Capacity value for wind (correlation of
generation profile with demand)
WIND ZONES:
Human footprint score
Score for colocation with other RE
technologies
Slope
Population density

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Zone attributes
DISTANCE TO NEAREST MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE
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DISTANCE TO NEAREST
WIND PLANT

Zone attributes
DISTANCE TO NEAREST MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE
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DISTANCE TO NEAREST
GEOTHERMAL PLANT

DISTANCE TO NEAREST
WIND PLANT

Zone attributes
DISTANCE TO NEAREST MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE
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DISTANCE TO NEAREST LOAD CENTER DISTANCE TO NEAREST
GEOTHERMAL PLANT

DISTANCE TO NEAREST
WIND PLANT

Zone attributes
DISTANCE TO NEAREST MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE
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DISTANCE TO NEAREST TRANSMISSION LINE

DISTANCE TO NEAREST LOAD CENTER DISTANCE TO NEAREST


GEOTHERMAL PLANT

DISTANCE TO NEAREST
WIND PLANT

Zone attributes
DISTANCE TO NEAREST MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE
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Zone attributes:
Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE)
Wind Solar PV CSP
• Chosen Generic
turbine (Class Parabolic CSP
Generation I,II, or III) Crystalline • No storage
• Class II turbine • 6 hour
only storage

Transmission Distance to transmission line or substation

Road Distance to the nearest road

Total Generation + Transmission + Road

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KEY RESULTS – Spatial unevenness & interconnections
The abundant yet uneven high quality wind, solar PV, and CSP resources
demonstrate the importance of regional collaboration and grid interconnection.

Total LCOE of RE zones

Solar
Wind PV CSP

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KEY RESULTS – Wind capacity value
Consideration of wind capacity values substantially increases the geographic
distribution and abundance of favorable wind zones.

Adjusted capacity
Annual average
factor in the top
capacity factor
10% of annual
demand hours

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KEY RESULTS – Siting for multiple objectives
Many countries with sufficient renewable energy potential can develop zones that are
cost-effective and have low environmental impact.
This is also true for proximity to load centers and transmission considerations.

Average human
Total LCOE footprint score
(USD/MWh) (100 – most
impact, 0 – least
impacted)

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KEY RESULTS – CSP water availability
Considering access to surface water, for
cooling or cleaning, considerably reduces
the number of suitable zones.

CSP projects
within 10
km of
surface
water

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KEY RESULTS – Co-location opportunities
Many zones are suitable for the
development of multiple RE
technologies, which may improve
transmission capacity utility, minimize
land use, and increase return on
investment.

Mean Co-
location
score

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PRODUCTS & OUTPUTS
1 2 3 4 5
Anyone

Anyone

Anyone with Microsoft Office

GIS experts
Anyone and GIS experts
FULL INTER- ZONE INPUT & • GIS
•REPORT
DRAFT ACTIVE PDF RANKING OUTPUT TOOLS
• Detailed
REPORT MAPS TOOL DATA • Proprietary
assumptions • Proprietary • Data • Richer data GIS software
• Detailed
and (ArcGIS)
assumptions GIS software interaction visualization
methods (ArcGIS) and and basic required or
and methods
required or stakeholder analysis proficiency
proficiency inputs using freely in another
in another available GIS GIS software
GIS software software

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PRODUCTS & OUTPUTS
1 2 3 4 5
Anyone

Anyone

Anyone with Microsoft Office

GIS experts
Anyone and GIS experts
FULL INTER- ZONE INPUT & • GIS
•REPORT
DRAFT ACTIVE PDF RANKING OUTPUT TOOLS
• Detailed
REPORT MAPS TOOL DATA • Proprietary
assumptions • Proprietary • Data • Richer data GIS software
• Detailed
and (ArcGIS)
assumptions GIS software interaction visualization
methods (ArcGIS) and and basic required or
and methods
required or stakeholder analysis proficiency
proficiency inputs using freely in another
in another available GIS GIS software
GIS software software

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PRODUCTS & OUTPUTS
1 2 3 4 5
Anyone

Anyone

Anyone with Microsoft Office

GIS experts
Anyone and GIS experts
FULL INTER- ZONE • GIS
•REPORT
DRAFT ACTIVE PDF RANKING TOOLS
• Detailed
REPORT MAPS TOOL • Proprietary
assumptions • Proprietary • Data GIS software
• Detailed
and (ArcGIS)
assumptions GIS software interaction
methods (ArcGIS) and required or
and methods
required or stakeholder proficiency
proficiency inputs in another
in another GIS software
GIS software

INPUT &
OUTPUT
DATA
• Richer data
visualization
and basic
analysis
using freely
available GIS
software

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PRODUCTS & OUTPUTS
1 2 3 4 5
Anyone

Anyone

Anyone with Microsoft Office

GIS experts
Anyone and GIS experts
FULL INTER- ZONE INPUT & • GIS
•REPORT
DRAFT ACTIVE PDF RANKING OUTPUT TOOLS
• Detailed
REPORT MAPS TOOL DATA • Proprietary
assumptions • Proprietary • Data • Richer data GIS software
• Detailed
and (ArcGIS)
assumptions GIS software interaction visualization
methods (ArcGIS) and and basic required or
and methods
required or stakeholder analysis proficiency
proficiency inputs using freely in another
in another available GIS GIS software
GIS software software

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PRODUCTS & OUTPUTS
1 2 3 4 5
Anyone

Anyone

Anyone with Microsoft Office

GIS experts
Anyone and GIS experts
FULL INTER- ZONE INPUT & GIS TOOLS
•REPORT
DRAFT ACTIVE PDF RANKING OUTPUT • Proprietary
• Detailed MAPS TOOL DATA GIS software
REPORT (ArcGIS)
assumptions • Proprietary • Data • Richer data
• Detailed
and required or
assumptions GIS software interaction visualization
methods proficiency
and methods (ArcGIS) and and basic
in another
required or stakeholder analysis
GIS software
proficiency inputs using freely
in another available GIS
GIS software software

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PRODUCTS & OUTPUTS
1 2 3 4 5
Anyone

Anyone

Anyone with Microsoft Office

GIS experts
Anyone and GIS experts
FULL INTER- ZONE INPUT & • GIS
•REPORT
DRAFT ACTIVE PDF RANKING OUTPUT TOOLS
• Detailed
REPORT MAPS TOOL DATA • Proprietary
assumptions • Proprietary • Data • Richer data GIS software
• Detailed
and (ArcGIS)
assumptions GIS software interaction visualization
methods (ArcGIS) and and basic required or
and methods
required or stakeholder analysis proficiency
proficiency inputs using freely in another
in another available GIS GIS software
GIS software software

Products are available on:


mapre.lbl.gov
globalatlas.irena.org
irena.org/Publications
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MORE INFO
WEBSITES FOR DOWNLOADING AND VIEWING DATA:

http://mapre.lbl.gov/
http://globalatlas.irena.org/

Grace Wu: grace.cc.wu@berkeley.edu


Ranjit Deshmukh: rdeshmukh@lbl.gov
Tijana Radojicic: TRadojicic@irena.org
Kuda Ndhlukula: kndhlukula@gmail.com

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