Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Middle East
Real Estate Forum 2017
Abu Dhabi | Jumeirah at Etihad Towers | 25 April
Dubai | Armani Hotel, Burj Khalifa | 26 April
In partnership with
In association with
MIDDLE EAST
MARKET
LEADERS
With a strong reputation built over forty years in the
region, Cluttons is the property adviser that is trusted
throughout the Middle East.
We make it easy.
cluttons.com
A note from
the editor
Damian Wild
Editor
3
EG | MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM 2017
Panel
Sir Edward Lister, UK Government Adviser / Chairman,
Homes & Communities Agency / Former Deputy Mayor of London
Pete Gladwell, Head of Public Sector Partnerships, Legal & General Investment Management
Jackie Sadek, Chief Executive/Chairwoman,
UK Regeneration/Northern Gateway Development Zone - Cheshire
Steve Morgan, Senior Partner, Cluttons
Simon Marshall, Joint Chief Executive, Scarborough International Properties
Cluttons is an international real estate services company that Al Marjan Island (AMI) is a collection of 4 reclaimed islands
operates in the UK, Europe and throughout the Middle East. covering an area of 2.7 square kilometres. Extending 4.5
Whether managing the portfolio of a global technology giant, kilometres into the Arabian Gulf, AMI offers a highly desirable
offering funding advice, advising on strategic development living and leisure experience, this ambitious venture
projects, valuing an unusual property or selling a home, we presents strategic partners with unprecedented investment
make it easy. opportunities and lucrative returns. Globally connected and
Founded in the UK in 1765, Cluttons is the oldest professional culturally authentic, this destination offers a stunning and unique
surveying business in the world and with more than 40 years landscape. AMI’s strategy is to work alongside its increasing
in the Middle East, Cluttons has become a trusted advisor to number of investors and development partners to ensure every
banks, developers and private investors across the region. milestone is reached on Al Marjan’s journey to success. Located
just 30 minutes from Ras Al Khaimah International Airport,
With a regional headquarters in Dubai, Cluttons services its
and 50 minutes from Dubai International Airport, AMI is easily
clients through its network of offices across the GCC, located
accessible and ideally positioned for success.
in Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Sharjah.
9.30am-9.40am Welcome from Damian Wild, Editor of EG and moderator of the event
Panel
Steven Morgan, Senior Partner, Cluttons
HE Marwan bin Jassim Al Sarkal, CEO, Sharjah Investment and Development Authority (Shurooq)
Abdur Rahim Ghulam Nabi, Senior Advisor, Finance and Commercial Division, Dubai Airport Free Zone (DAFZA)
Mark Moody, Regional Sales Director, Al Marjan Island
Rob Jackson, Director, RICS Middle East & North Africa
Magali Mouquet, CEO, Equitativa / Executive Director, Emirates REIT CEIC
• What does the global mega airport hub of tomorrow look like?
• Aerotropolis vs airport
• Are Middle East Airports competing with each other or other world cities?
• What are the lessons for the UK as it wrestles with its own airport expansion plans?
• Projected capacity issues and impact of expansions
• What infrastructure investment is essential to the success of airport expansion?
• How crucial is airport infrastructure to a city’s global reputation?
• Where is the best place to put an airport?
• Impact on commercial property values of airport development.
Chaired by
Damian Wild, Editor, EG
Panel
Presentation by Peter Morris, Chief Economist, Flight Ascend Consultancy
Dorian Reece, Head of Aviation - Middle East, Deloitte
Christopher Bradley, Middle East Joint Ventures & Aviation, Chevron
Speaker profiles
H.E Marwan bin Jassim Al Sarkal
CEO
Sharjah Investment and Development Authority (Shurooq)
H.E. Marwan bin Jassim Al Sarkal, has been integral to the success of Shurooq since its inception in 2009, with the
guidance of HH Sheikh Dr Sultan bin Muhammad Al Qasimi, member of the Supreme Council and ruler of Sharjah,
and Sheikha Bodour bint Sultan Al Qasimi, chairman of Shurooq.
An independent government entity, Shurooq facilitates partnerships and connects investors, corporations, and
entrepreneurs with the right opportunities, and since its creation, Sharjah’s GDP has grown from AED 61bn in 2009
to AED 114bn today.
Shurooq’s portfolio of unique mixed-use developments – combining retail, cultural attractions, and F&B – offer
premium investment opportunities in exceptional master-planned destinations.
Christopher Bradley
General Manager Middle East Joint Ventures & Aviation
Chevron, UAE
Christopher leads a team responsible for Chevron’s jet fuel sales, marketing and operations to airlines throughout
EMEA. He holds directorships in Chevron’s JVs in the UAE and Qatar, which include terminals, pipelines, aviation &
lubricants sales and marketing. Also as country chairman, he overseas Chevron’s downstream engagements in the
UAE, including relationships with UAE government departments, embassy staff and industry bodies.
His previous career was with British Airways in London where he held roles including brand management, and
strategic development.
Simon Clegg
Chief Operating Officer
Expo 2020 Dubai
Simon Clegg is one of the UK’s most experienced sports and major events leaders, having been involved in the
European Games in Baku, Azerbaijan in 2015 as well as having managed British athletes at 12 Olympic and Olympic
Winter Games. He was chief executive of the British Olympic Association (1997 to 2008) and Ipswich Town Football
Club (2008 to 2013), and he has been chairman of Great Britain Badminton and an Executive Board member of the
British Olympic Association.
From 1997 to 2002 he led the campaign to persuade the British Government and Mayor of London to bid for the
2012 Olympic Games.
Faisal Durrani
Head of Research
Cluttons
Faisal is one of the leading commentators on the performance of the Middle East’s property markets and appears
regularly on radio and television programmes across the region, while also fronting Cluttons’ press conferences and
client events in London, Nigeria and throughout the Middle East.
He has six years’ experience in the London residential market, during which time he has provided strategic advice
to key clients, while also managing and producing a range of residential and commercial research reports, covering
both the UK and other international markets.
Having grown up and worked in Dubai, Faisal has an intimate understanding of the market dynamics.
8 | If you are interested in contacting any of the speakers please email info@estatesgazette.com with attention to Rebecca Kent
Abdur Rahim Ghulam Nabi
Dubai Airport Free Zone (DAFZA)
Expo 2020 Dubai
Abdur Rahim has over 20 years’ assorted experience in the field of finance, accounting, banking, sales, marketing
and innovation. He has a proven track record of driving business growth through astute financial management
and delivers on multiple challenging strategic engagements across different functional verticals. He has also been
a key member of the scoping and deployment team for “The Big Conversation” initiative launched by DAFZA,
a “disruptive programme” challenging the way the Dubai government does business.
Rob Jackson
Director
RICS Middle East & North Africa
Rob joined the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) as a director in 2013. Prior to this he spent over 20
years working in senior management roles in the Middle East, including the management of 24 multi-disciplined
businesses throughout the GCC, Asia and Asia Pacific with a team of over 1000 staff.
Rob sits on the global operating group and is responsible for the RICS strategic growth plan and delivery in
the Middle East and North Africa markets. He is working with governments and regulators to create sustainable
property markets underpinned by appropriate processes, standards and regulation.
Sanjay Manchanda
Chief Executive Officer
Nakheel
Sanjay Manchanda is the chief executive officer of Nakheel PJSC, a world-leading developer and a key player in
realising the vision of Dubai for the 21st century.
Sanjay joined Nakheel as a consultant to advise the company through its USD 16bn debt restructuring programme,
which was successfully completed in August 2011. He assumed the role of CEO in 2012. He has been ranked in the
Forbes Middle East Top Executives listing and has featured in the Indian Super 100.
Prior to joining Nakheel, Sanjay spent 25 years working in the Middle East as a partner at leading global accounting
advisory firm - PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC).
Steven Morgan
Senior Partner
Cluttons
Steve Morgan is senior partner of Cluttons, and when appointed to the position in April 2016 he was the youngest
senior partner in the company’s 250 year history, at 39 years old.
Steve joined Cluttons in the Middle East in 2003, initially working in Bahrain and then moving to Dubai where he
built Cluttons’ new residential valuation business.
His success in building the residential valuation business led to his appointment as head of UAE in 2009, with a
promotion to Middle East CEO in 2013.
Steve is actively involved in client work, including major infrastructure projects like the Arabian Canal and advising
international clients like Pepsi, FCO and Amlak.
If you are interested in contacting any of the speakers please email info@estatesgazette.com with attention to Rebecca Kent | 9
Mark Moody
Regional Sales Director
Al Marjan Island
A UK national with a diverse 20-year career in property and finance sectors, Mark has been based in the UAE
for the past six years and is responsible for business development in the EMEA region on behalf of Al Marjan
Island, Ras Al Khaimah.
Peter Morris
Chief Economist
Flight Ascend Consultancy
Peter Morris is responsible for FlightAscend projects concerning airports, airlines, market demand analysis,
forecasting and new aircraft and product research.
Prior to joining Ascend’s consultancy team in 2003, Peter was IATA’s chief economist and headed the IATA research
consultancy department. Over the previous ten years he built up the Aviation Information & Research department
for IATA to be one of the Industry’s leading suppliers of market research, statistical and forecasting Information.
He has been responsible for the direction and management of more than fifty international studies ranging from
aviation strategy, to pricing research and performance benchmarking.
Magali Mouquet
CEO / Executive Director
Equitativa / Emirates REIT CEIC
Magali Mouquet is the co-founder and deputy chairwoman of the Equitativa Group. As well as holding the position
of CEO of Equitativa (AD) Limited, she is also executive director of the REIT.
In 2014, Magali managed the IPO of Emirates REIT on Nasdaq Dubai. She oversees the general operations and
investor relations.
Prior to her involvement in Equitativa Real Estate, she co-founded several companies including Freelanc.com
and Platre.com.
In 2005 she led the IPO of Freelance.com on the French Stock Market (Alternext of Euronext).
Richard Paul
Director Residential Valuations
Cluttons
Richard is a key member of the Cluttons team, providing consultancy and valuation experience in all asset classes
across the UK and the Middle East.
He is focused on overseeing and growing Cluttons’ residential valuation and consultancy business in the UAE, with
clients including local and international banks, local trading houses, developers, private investors, corporates and
owner occupiers.
Recent projects include a feasibility study on a residential villa development site in DuBiotech, Dubai, the ongoing
disposal strategy for multiple British Foreign and Commonwealth Office sites in Baghdad and Tunis, and the annual
valuation of the Amlak property portfolio throughout the GCC.
10 | If you are interested in contacting any of the speakers please email info@estatesgazette.com with attention to Rebecca Kent
Dorian Reece
Head of Aviation - Middle East
Deloitte
Dorian is a director in Deloitte’s real estate team in the Middle East and is also the company’s head of aviation
in the Middle East.
He has over 16 years of real estate strategy experience, predominately in the transport sector and has also held
positions in England and Australia.
Dorian has assisted organisations and consortiums purchase airports throughout Europe and has also supported
governments with their national aviation strategies.
Previously he was an asset manager for Gatwick Airport Limited and a consultant for British Airways advising on their
real estate assets at Heathrow. Dorian was also involved in the masterplanning of Perth Airport’s commercial zones.
Maysa Sabah
Managing Director MENA Region
Affordable Housing Institute
Maysa leads AHI’s consulting work in the region, working with housing authorities, private entities, and international
non-government organizations in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Algeria, Lebanon, and Morocco.
Maysa began her affordable housing work in the US with various developers and lenders including New York
City’s Phipps Houses Group, one of largest affordable housing developers in the US, Mass Housing, a government
resource allocator and issuer of tax exempt government bonds, and Fenway Community Development Corporation,
a community based affordable housing builder.
Neil Walmsley
Director Middle East Planning Leader
Arup
Neil is a chartered civil engineer with a broad experience of planning, design and project management across
several engineering and development disciplines. He has 11 years of experience in the Gulf region.
Neil’s technical roots are in the realm of integrated multimodal transport planning. He has extensive experience
of leading and working in multidisciplinary master planning teams at all project stages and at all scales. His project
experience covers a broad spectrum of planning projects including development planning and policy, urban
design/public realm, multi modal transport integration, environment, energy, waste and sustainability.
Dr Tommy Weir
Best-selling author
CEO coach and founder of Emerging Markets Leadership Center
CEOs around the world turn to Dr Tommy Weir for trusted leadership advice on how to become the best they can
be, and since founding the Emerging Markets Leadership Center (EMLC), he has helped over 3,000 executives from
more than 80 nationalities achieve peak performance.
Dr Weir is equipped with rare insights coming from decades of experience and success stories ranging from
Fortune 500 companies and governments, to family businesses and newly established corporations in Africa, Asia,
and the MENA region.
He has authored book including Leadership Dubai Style, 10 Tips for Leading in the Middle East, and Going Global,
among others.
If you are interested in contacting any of the speakers please email info@estatesgazette.com with attention to Rebecca Kent | 11
ANALYSIS I MIDDLE EAST
GULF STEAM
Complicated and volatile, the Middle Eastern real
estate market has not always been top of the list
for overseas investors. But three years out from
Expo 2020 in Dubai, and with a fresh focus on
tackling transparency across the emirates and
wider Gulf, fortune could favour the brave.
EG travelled to the region to find out more
ALAMY
22
CONTENTS
A clear future Bahrain buys British
As the emirates woo overseas cash, investors must Lured by a weaker pound, traditionally insular
understand the regulatory landscape page 24 investors are looking beyond the GCC page 36
Sharia compliance: five need-to-knows Middle East Real Estate Forum: Abu Dhabi
Anthony Pallet of Hogan Lovells Dubai explains Market insights from the UK trade mission page 46
sharia-compliant finance page 32
Middle East Real Estate Forum: Dubai
TMT drives Dubai office take-up page 48
23
ANALYSIS I MIDDLE EAST
REX/SHUTTERSTOCK
24
A CLEAR
FUTURE
With oil prices fluctuating, the emirates are
increasingly looking for cash injections from UK, EU
and US investors. But to help international investors
navigate a confusing market, experts say, states
must collaborate to create centralised regulations
Emily Wright was very badly hit in 2008 and of the region’s biggest and display of dedication to a
Global and features editor 2009. Since then the market best‑known developers and more open, transparent
“I
f you are really frank has recovered but investors the company behind Palm region will be the boost the
about how transparent and fund managers are still Jumeirah, to the chief executive Gulf needs to attract the
real estate in the Gulf nervous.” of the Sharjah Investment overseas institutional investors
region is, I think you would Part of the problem is that, and Development Authority, it is missing. Particularly off the
say a lot more needs to be recovery or not, concerns the GCC’s major property back of fluctuating oil prices
done.” around transparency that firms are actively addressing and renewed concerns that
Addressing a room full of pre-dated the crash are the issues. And solutions are petrochemicals can no longer
local developers, investors still a major blocker when it slowly but surely being put be relied upon as the main
and property players at EG’s comes to the GCC’s draw in place – from the creation funding source for swaths of
Middle East Real Estate Forum as an investment option – and promotion of real estate Middle Eastern development.
in Dubai in April, director of particularly for European and investment trusts (REITs) to a “There needs to be a
RICS Middle East & North Africa US institutions. And Jackson focus on tightening up laws concerted effort to move
Rob Jackson was not afraid to warns that significant changes and regulations. away from the hydrocarbon
tell it how it is. need to be made if the region But will it be enough? economy,” says Steve Morgan,
For years, overseas investors ever hopes to move past this Just three years out from senior partner at Cluttons.
have been dancing around hurdle. Expo 2020, a six-month long “There already has been in
the real estate opportunities “How transparent are exhibition of trade, innovation Dubai and Abu Dhabi to a
offered up by the Emirati states we? Sadly, not very at the and products from around degree. But it is very hard to
and their neighbouring GCC moment – and we can’t rely the world held in Dubai on do. Still, oil prices now are
cousins. But a significant flow on petrochemicals to fund a 1,193-acre site, the staging below what most companies
of capital from the West has development forever. We of the world fair and the in the region need to balance
never really got off the ground. need to create a much more preparations leading up to their books – around the high
The 2008 crash, which affected appropriate environment for it are expected to result in $60s and low $70s a barrel.
the entire region and Dubai in investors to work in this region.” 277,000 new jobs in the UAE, All GCC countries have that
particular, did nothing to help The good news is that the an injection of nearly $40bn looming issue to deal with –
matters. As Hussain Sajwani, locals not only agree, they (£31bn) into the economy, and weaning themselves off that
chairman of Dubai-based are taking steps to rectify an increase in visitors of up to hydrocarbon income.”
luxury developer Damac, the situation. From the chief 100m. This is where attracting
puts it: “Dubai’s reputation executive of Nakheel, one The hope is that a strong overseas investment comes
25
ANALYSIS I MIDDLE EAST
in. Once “nice to have”,
fluctuating oil prices mean
many Gulf countries are now
actively courting European and
American investors in the hope
of a buoying cash injection.
26
hotel, retail, leisure, healthcare,
and residential components.
Our social infrastructure
assets feature an emphasis on
educational infrastructure, with
Zayed University, UAE University
Ali Eid AlMheiri, executive director at and Paris-Sorbonne University
Mubadala Real Estate & Infrastructure Abu Dhabi all being part of our
portfolio. Zayed Sports City, a
Mubadala’s plans sports and entertainment hub,
for Abu Dhabi also sits within our portfolio,
alongside international
What is Mubadala’s overarching investments.
strategy and vision for
Zayed Sports City, Abu Dhabi
development in Abu Dhabi? How is the company adapting
Mubadala Investment Company to the market and navigating
– formed as a result of the challenging times?
merger between Mubadala We know that the real estate
Development Company industry is cyclical in nature,
and IPIC – is aligned with and we are accustomed to the
the government’s vision to periodic fluctuations caused by
diversify Abu Dhabi’s economy, macroeconomics.
accelerating growth and We continue to take a long-
creating long-term returns. term view with our investments,
Mubadala is active in 13 and we project a continued
sectors over 30 countries around rise in Abu Dhabi’s population.
SHUTTERSTOCK
27
ANALYSIS I MIDDLE EAST
nudging Dubai Mall into sixth As for investment
place globally in terms of net opportunities in the lesser-
leasable area.” known emirates, Sharjah could
In Abu Dhabi, Cluttons attract interest as it looks set to
research reports weak reposition itself as a tech hub
economic conditions, rising (see p32) and, beyond the
inflation, and the high cost UAE, Bahrain hopes its focus on
of living curbing demand, healthcare development could
resulting in high vacancy rates catch the attention of western
in both the residential and investors (see p40).
commercial markets. While the current state of
“Although market conditions the markets across the UAE and
look glum, rising vacancy rates the wider Gulf region might
GAVIN HELLIER/ROBERTHARDING/REX/SHUTTERSTOCK
than their developed-market the region. The Middle East through wider policy initiatives,
counterparts. As an example, the Investor Relations Association are trying to bridge the gap
inclusion of provisions such as promotes good investor relations to assist industry sectors such
the compulsory requirement to throughout its Middle East as real estate. The Smart Dubai
appoint a designated investor chapter network and certifies the initiative is designed to promote
relations officer who must be investor relations officers of the an efficient, seamless, safe and
Andrew Tarbuck, partner, able to speak and write in English future. impactful city experience for
Hogan Lovells Dubai and Arabic. This all bodes well for increased residents and visitors, and this
In the Middle East real estate transparency and disclosure, includes enhancing interaction
Improving market, the frequency, detail and certainly at the listed company with Dubai government real
transparency quality of information available to level. As a result, more information estate entities such as the Real
developers, suppliers, contractors is available to market participants Estate Regulatory Authority, the
You may have the cash and and investors is certainly on throughout the real estate chain, Dubai Land Department and
you may have found the value the increase. Several large real from construction companies Trakhees (planning).
proposition, but being able to estate companies in the UAE such as Arabtec through to This sort of easy-to-access
make an informed investment have taken the step to become interior design companies such information can only assist
decision is critical to getting a publicly listed – notably Emaar as Depa. transparency in the market and
real estate deal over the line. Malls, which listed on the Dubai But there are still areas for the ease of doing business
The level of disclosure and Financial Market in 2014, and improvement, notably around (Dubai now ranks 26th globally
transparency in Middle East Damac Properties, which listed on the provision of basic corporate in the World Bank Ease of Doing
jurisdictions varies from country the DFM in 2015. Most recently, information. There is no equivalent Business Index). There is also
to country, but it must be in March 2017, ENBD REIT (CEIC) to the UK’s Companies House scope for Middle East countries
remembered that these are all listed on Nasdaq Dubai. and so finding basic corporate to establish their own law and
classified as frontier or emerging The level of prospectus information on unlisted private regulations as their real estate
markets. There is no doubt that disclosure is particularly detailed. real estate market participants is markets develop. In 2017 Dubai
the Middle East, as a region, The ENBD REIT prospectus difficult. Progress is being made, introduced its standard form
comprehends the need to contains a 130-page real estate but it can be hard to get clarity on lease agreement to be used in
improve disclosure, transparency valuation report. planning processes and seeking all residential and commercial
and corporate governance. And On the development side of all of the necessary permits in a leases which, when combined
this is particularly relevant for real the real estate market, Orascom development scenario. with its Ejari lease-registration
estate companies that are publicly Construction listed on Nasdaq Generally, government land system, has created consistency
listed. Dubai in 2015, resulting in the departments across the Middle and transparency across the rental
Corporate governance codes provision of detailed information East do not provide public access market.
such as those in the United to prospective investors to information relating to title In emerging markets,
Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia regarding some of the busiest of real estate assets. But there opportunity always exists and
contain many provisions familiar construction and contracting is provision of highly detailed many countries are grasping that
to investors in developed operating subsidiaries in the market data, such as property opportunity to improve regulation
markets, and, in the case of the Middle East. price indexes and property and make the cultural shift
UAE corporate governance And industry bodies have transaction data. towards greater transparency and
code, actually go further gained significant traction in Certain countries though, disclosure.
28
MIDDLE EAST I DATA
Middle Eastern promise: home and away
UK-GCC TOTAL TRADING SURPLUS
Rebecca Kent
Special projects editor
£bn Oman Bahrain Qatar Kuwait Saudi Arabia United Arab Emirates
Total trade between GCC coun- 14
tries and the UK has soared by
185% over the past 15 years.
According to Real Capital 12
Analytics, Middle Eastern real
estate investors favour the
West End to splash their cash,
investing £344.5m in the sub- 10
market, compared with £80m
and £70.3m in the City and
Midtown, respectively. 8
In the GCC countries, Clut-
tons’ latest data shows that in
Abu Dhabi housing afforda- 6
bility has come into focus,
with high-end areas such as
Al Reem Island experiencing
4
rental weakness.
In Bahrain, a surge in residen-
tial development, expected
to be bought by Gulf inves- 2
tors and filtered through
to the rental market, is likely
to cause a correction in resi- 0
dential values. 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: Cluttons
RESIDENTIAL RENTS ON ABU DHABI’S AL REEM ISLAND INVESTMENT VOLUMES IN CENTRAL LONDON
000s Al Reem Island (Mid-range) Al Reem Island (High end) City West End Docklands
180 £M
1800
170 Midtown South Bank
1600
160
1400
150
1200
140
130 1000
120 800
110 600
100 400
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 200
Source: Cluttons
0
Domestic United Other Hong Canada China Middle Other
BAHRAIN RESIDENTIAL SUPPLY PIPELINE States Europe Kong East ex. Europe
Source: Cluttons
Units Forecast
2500
DUBAI SNAPSHOT
2000
1500
1000
£
5% VAT on Freehold resi Jumeirah Lake AED11bn of
500 rental payments values in Towers rents construction
could dampen Dubai fell by have fallen by contracts are
0 demand from 8.8% in 2016 AED10-AED40 expected to
2017 2018 2019 2020 international per sq ft over be awarded
occupiers the past year this year
Source: Cluttons
29
cluttons.com
MIDDLE EAST
MARKET
LEADERS
We make it easy.
ANALYSIS I SHARIA FINANCE
FIVE THINGS
YOU NEED TO
KNOW ABOUT
SHARIA
COMPLIANCE
IMAGEBROKER/REX/SHUTTERSTOCK
32
1 There is no standard for sharia commercial transactions. For example, Chelsea Barracks
compliance example, investments that and the Shard) have relied
Sharia, which literally means involve chance or on sharia-compliant
“the way” in Arabic, is a set of speculation, known in Arabic investment. Several non-Islamic
rules, principles and as maisir, or prohibited countries have issued
parameters derived from the products such as pork sovereign sukuk, including
primary sources of the Koran products, alcohol and Singapore, the UK and
and the practice of the Prophet conventional finance, are Hong Kong, and this trend is
Muhammad. unacceptable or haram. set to continue as other parts
Certain elements of This can obviously take some of the world, such as Africa,
sharia are fairly specific (such as real estate developments, such follow suit.
the prohibition on interest) but as casinos, out of the scope of
others are more akin to sharia-compliant investment 4 There are challenges integrating
principles or guidelines, and cause issues for other asset with local laws and customs
which are open to further classes, particularly in the In most countries, including
interpretation. hospitality, retail and banking some in the Muslim world, the
As a consequence, there are sectors. legislative and regulatory
no codified rules governing Of particular relevance to the frameworks do not expressly
sharia-compliance and the property industry is the fact that cater for sharia-compliant
structures and their conventional insurance products. In particular, the fact
implementation in practice vary products are haram and, as a that many Islamic finance
depending on the jurisdiction result, developers that are structures rely on the sale and
of parties and the approach of operating strictly in accordance leaseback of real property,
their sharia supervisory boards. with Islamic principles can be practitioners need to be careful
The Accounting and Auditing required to purchase sharia- to avoid additional stamp duty
Organisation for Islamic compliant insurance products, or other taxes that would not
Financial Institutions or takaful. arise in conventional finance.
publishes ºagreed standards A number of countries, such
for use in the context of Islamic 3 Relevance extends globally as the UK, France, Malaysia and
finance and these are Many of the sharia-compliant Singapore, have introduced
increasingly used by banks and structures used in business legislation to deal with these
financial institutions but sharia- have been developed in the issues, and this has helped the
compliant products continue to predominantly Muslim development of Islamic finance
evolve and adapt as the countries of the Middle East in those jurisdictions, as
industry grows. and south-east Asia. discussed above.
However, in recent years,
2 It is not just about the prohibition Islamic finance has become 5 Real estate is a natural fit for
of interest much more of a global sharia-compliant investment
The prohibition on the phenomenon as investors Sharia encourages
charging of interest (or riba) is from Islamic countries have investment in assets that are
probably the most well-known looked to put their money to for the benefit of society as
aspect of conducting business work overseas and whole. The combination of
in accordance with sharia governments and corporates this core principle, and the
principles. The Islamic finance from countries outside the fact that many Islamic finance
industry has grown Muslim world have issued structures need to be asset-
exponentially in recent sharia-compliant bonds (or based or asset-backed, means
decades to cater to the sukuk) to tap into alternative that the real estate sector is
increasing demand for sharia- sources of funding. ideally placed for sharia-
compliant finance. The UK is a prime example of compliant investment and that
But, sharia can have a this and a number of real estate growth in this area is set to
much wider effect on investments in London (for continue.
33
cluttons.com
ASSET
MANAGEMENT
We make it easy.
ANALYSIS I MIDDLE EAST
BAHRAIN BUYS
Emily Wright
Features and global editor
“N
ever before have I
seen more money
BRITISH
flowing from this
part of the Middle East to
the UK,” says Majed Al Khan,
looking out over the vast,
turquoise expanse of Bahrain’s
bay from the 28th floor of his
The Gulf state has had a close relationship with financial harbour district office.
the UK for hundreds of years but has traditionally And the chief executive of
investment bank GFH Financial
been a reserved investor outside of the GCC. Group’s property arm adds that
Now, lured by a weaker pound following the EU this sudden spike in interest is
far from business as usual.
referendum, the flood gates look set to open “Bahrainis are normally very
closed,” he says.
“We are not outgoing and
36
ALAMY
we don’t readily invest outside mean for UK plc and property In the same month, Qatar the UK will be a significant but
our local market. values once it becomes a revealed a £5bn UK play over short-lived phenomenon.
“But since Brexit, we have reality. the next three to five years It should come as little
been crazy about the UK. For now though, amid the targeting energy, healthcare, surprise that the time-specific
Everybody I know is buying concerns and uncertainty infrastructure and IT services. nature of the Bahraini interest
there now. – in May, Goldman Sachs in UK property comes down
“There is a lot of individual boss Lloyd Blankfein warned Bahraini investors to the weaker pound and the
interest but it is corporate too. London could stall because of But Al Khan warns that Bahraini attractive value proposition
Lots of banks and institutions Brexit risks – it looks as though investors are different from currently available.
are now looking – including the separation is not putting off others in the Gulf – and not just “Bahrainis are now fully
us. There is about to be a big overseas investors. because of their relative aware of the great window
rush.” If anything, the opposite is inactivity in the UK market thus of opportunity to invest in the
Given GHF holds assets true as they take advantage of far. He says they think UK while sterling is weak,” says
worth around $1.7bn (£1bn), the weaker pound. differently, invest differently Harry Goodson-Wickes, head
the players themselves look set Back in March, family-owned and are looking for different of Bahrain at Cluttons.
to be just as big. Saudi investment management assets. “There was little appetite 12
One year since the UK voted company Sidra Capital Here he reveals what those months ago.”
to leave the EU, still no one announced plans to invest assets are and explains why Al Khan confirms that
really knows what Brexit will £1bn in prime central London. he thinks the influx of cash to the currency benefits are
37
ANALYSIS I MIDDLE EAST
38
IMAGEBROKER/REX/SHUTTERSTOCK
UK links to Bahrain go back 300 years
39
ANALYSIS I MIDDLE EAST
THE DONALD
OF DUBAI
The man behind developer Damac has made his
name in the Middle East with 18,000 luxury homes
and twice that number in the pipeline. Now he is
ready to write a “big cheque” for London
Emily Wright of Dubai-based residential real managed by the Trump And those figures look set to
Features and global editor estate giant Damac Properties Organisation on home turf in grow exponentially: “Last year
H
ussain Sajwani wants – the man often referred to Dubai, to the Versace-branded we did about $1.9bn [£1.4bn]
to have a candid as the “Donald of Dubai” – is apartments at Aykon London worth of sales off plan,” says
discussion. A chat ready to talk about it all. One at Nine Elms in Battersea, Sajwani. “This year we are
about property, yes. But also Perhaps best known for SW8 – the group’s debut expecting something similar.
a frank conversation about aggressive growth through £300m foray into the UK back And we have a portfolio of
the reality of doing business high-profile, often celebrity- in 2015 – it is very much a case 44,000 units at various stages.”
transparently in the UAE, his endorsed schemes and of more is more. With figures The Damac way may have
concerns around the western a seemingly bottomless to match. delivered the goods for the
“misconception” of the Middle marketing budget, there is Founded by Sajwani in 2002, man at the top – with a 72%
East and his “aggressive” plans nothing understated about Damac has developed just stake in the company and a
to invest millions of pounds Damac’s development under 18,000 homes over the net worth of $3.8bn, Sajwani
into the UK capital over the strategy. From the Tiger past 15 years and now has a made it into the Forbes World
next 12 months. The chairman Woods-designed golf course market cap of around £3bn. Billionaires List for the first
40
Thinking big: Hussain Sajwani Damac Towers hotel and residential complex in Dubai
time in 2015 – but is such an Between £200m and £400m – opportunity to make the most competitive market. But there
aggressive growth strategy and we want to do more than of the weaker pound, Sajwani are three reasons it’s the right
sustainable? And are flats one. We are ready to write a says that Damac’s interest in place for us. First, the taxes are
endorsed by Italian designers big cheque in London. London will be long-term. He reasonable compared with
really what London buyers “We believe in the city and considers the Nine Elms project some other countries – 20%,
want? we believe in the future of the a success – “we have sold compared with 35% in the US
UK. We think the Brexit issue is nearly 50%” – and is ready to and even higher in France.
Big cheque temporary and we are focused build off the back of his initial Second, we find the courts,
“We invested £300m on our on acquiring a big parcel of investment. laws and regulations in the
first London project,” says land in London to do a big “I am looking at London as a UK very clear and transparent.
Sajwani, keen to address project.” very long-term investment,” he And finally, we feel like we
the future of Damac’s UK Unlike some other Middle says. “We look at a number of are in our second home – we
investment strategy as a Eastern investors who are markets globally and London understand the culture, there is
priority. “Our future projects eyeing the UK real estate still offers things other can’t. It no language barrier.”
will be in the same ballpark. market for a set window of is a very challenging and very But is the feeling mutual?
41
ANALYSIS I MIDDLE EAST
42
A Versace-themed apartment $100m piece of land, it takes
concept might fly in Dubai, but 24 hours. You don’t even need
is it compatible with the more lawyers. You just go to the Land
traditional London market? Department,” he explains.
Keeping up the “candid While there is no denying
discussion” side of the bargain, the relative ease and speed of
Sajwani says that the buyers on a transaction completed in this
the Nine Elms scheme have way, a legal-less transaction
been a mix: some from London over a 24-hour period is a
but many from the Middle East, world away from the markets
Hong King, Singapore and western investors are used
China. to. And it could make them
And while he won’t be nervous.
drawn on whether he would “Maybe that is the issue,”
repeat the designer-branded concedes Sajwani. “That lack
model with his upcoming of understanding. And maybe
investments, he has a set idea in Dubai we need to put
of what he is looking to deliver more emphasis on the overall
next. “We will stay high-end laws and court systems. They
but we are now looking at need to be more efficient and
around £1,500-£2,000 per sq ft maybe sometimes the big
and we are looking for big fund managers get concerned.
projects. They want to see better laws
“Our mandate is not to and regulations and better
go into Knightsbridge or execution of court judgments.
Mayfair looking for buildings I know these are more
with 20 5,000 sq ft units. The advanced in a country like the
price might be good but the UK or the US.”
Aykon London One, the debut London development at Battersea Nine Elms, SW8
number of apartments is too
small. So, for us, it needs to be Free trade
hundreds of units – a couple But he is quick to point out the
of hundred at least. This means Sajwani on global political unrest areas where he thinks the GCC,
we will have to look away from and Dubai in particular, retain
deep prime areas. But we are “I see change in some of the political landscape in Western Europe an edge.
happy to look at all of zone one from watching Macron’s success – a young guy, 39 years old, an He says: “In Dubai we have
and some of zone two.” investment banker. And the amazing part is that he doesn’t have the no unions, which I think is
As for setting his sights support of a big political party – or any party, as a matter of fact. It’s a good. In New York, you try to
further afield, beyond the UK major change, and I think this will lead to more changes in Europe. build something and you have
capital? “Honestly we don’t My view is that people are sick and tired of the old politicians, and a nightmare with the unions.
know much about the UK they get tired of getting promises and more taxes and more deficits Dubai is a very free-trade city.
outside London,” he says. “We and unemployment and all that. It’s new blood and, in my view, You can import from anywhere
haven’t looked and we aren’t more open-minded leaders. Hopefully they don’t come with a lot of in the world, any material you
planning to. I’m not closing the luggage, where the party tells them what to do.” want, with no restrictions. And
door on the idea completely, then there are no taxes.”
but it is not our area of focus.” But what happens when
attractive place for people to but I think, one day, they will Dubai and the GCC are no
Focus on Dubai invest,” he says. “I think Dubai come.” Any bets on when? longer able to operate in a tax-
Back on home turf, 85% of is different, but the big fund Sajwani pauses: “I don’t know. I free system?
Damac’s Middle East projects managers from the US, the UK really don’t know.” “I’m not sure it’s going to
are in Dubai: “Our focus and Europe still haven’t put any So does he think more last,” he says. “VAT is already
continues to be Dubai and we big investments here. I think needs to be done to attract coming in. But even if tax
will expand a bit into Qatar they still have an idea of Dubai western investors who might comes in at 5%, 7%, even 10%,
and Saudi Arabia,” says Sajwani. as the Middle East and I think find the UAE market tough we will still be in a very low
“We don’t foresee any growth they are watching the television to navigate – and who bracket. I remember in Oman
or new business in the rest of and reading the news and might have questions over when I did business there 30
the Middle East beyond the associating it with terrorism and transparency and issues over years ago there were zero-tax
GCC, though – politically we political unrest. corruption? Sajwani responds zones. And then they started
feel the risk is just too high. In “Some fund managers were by pointing to what the bringing them in – but even
the GCC currency is pegged looking here in 2007 and then government has already done. at 12% it is still very reasonable.
to the dollar and there is more came 2008 and everyone “I think great strides have Taxes will be much lower than
political stability.” shied away. Dubai’s reputation been made on the rules other countries.
On whether he thinks was very badly hit. Since then and regulations of the Land The real problem, he
such uncertainty and the it has recovered but people Department. If you want to buy concedes, is Dubai’s image.
continued view of the Middle are still nervous. But if they did a piece of property in London “I really do think there is a
Eastern region, including their homework they would or New York or Paris, it takes perception problem with
GCC countries, as emerging see you can buy an apartment between six and 12 weeks Dubai,” he says. “Particularly
markets is putting off overseas or a tower or a villa and make between lawyers and due among the US and European
investors, Sajwani is frank: “The a 6-7% yield. The investors are diligence. If you buy a billion- institutional investors. I hope
Middle East is definitely not an sitting on the sidelines for now dollar property in Dubai, or a that changes.”
43
MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM I ABU DHABI
Regional returns tempt
investors beyond London
Emily Wright adviser to the UK DIT, chairman He said: “Manchester is the
Features and global editor of the Homes & Communities obvious one. Birmingham is
London’s success as an invest- Agency and former deputy equally as important, but Manchester
ment hub for overseas money mayor of London, added that is at the forefront because of the
has been to the detriment of the overseas investors should con- links to the football club.”
rest of the UK, delegates heard sider the returns in regional cities Pete Gladwell, head of public
at the EG Middle East Real Estate compared to London. sector partnerships at Legal &
Forum in Abu Dhabi in April. “Now has never been a better General Investment Manage-
Jackie Sadek, chief execu- time to invest in the UK and we ment Real Assets, added that the
tive of UK Regeneration and are absolutely looking for over- UK is becoming increasingly
chairman of the Constellation seas investment,” he said. “multi-polar” and Simon Marshall,
Partnership, said overseas investors “We get that as a first foray you joint chief executive of Scarbor-
should look beyond the UK capi- will look to London as it’s an easy ough International Properties,
tal for investment opportunities. market to understand. But when made the point that Scarborough
She said: “London is a very you look at yield and price is the location of the biggest
compelling offer. It has been points, you are getting much spec office development out-
punching above its weight for better yields out of London.” side of London and funded by
30 or 40 years, arguably to the In terms of alternative cities Singaporean money – proof that
detriment of the rest of the UK. currently being targeted, Steve overseas investors are already
But it’s a problem other countries Morgan, senior partner at Clut- looking outside the UK capital
would kill for. It’s a great gateway tons, said that Manchester still for real estate opportunities.
to other cities.” topped the list among Middle WATCH THE DEBATE AT
Sir Edward Lister, special Eastern investors. HTTP://BIT.LY/2PCAUQY
46
UK cities need
more than a brand
UK cities’ power in attracting
overseas investors should “go
beyond the branding”,
according to Pete Gladwell,
head of public sector
partnerships at Legal &
General Real Assets.
Speaking to EG at the
Middle East Real Estate Forum
in Abu Dhabi, he said that
getting the word out to
foreign investors about what
cities such as Manchester,
Newcastle and Liverpool offer
on a cultural and human level
was just as important as
having a strong brand such as
the Northern Powerhouse or
Midlands Engine.
Gladwell added that
London remains a gateway
for investment – but that
other UK cities were starting
to draw interest in their own
right.
He said: “There is no doubt
in my mind, particularly when
you look at Legal & General’s
investments over the last few
years, that while we continue
to invest in London, a lot of
where we are breaking new
ground and pushing the boat
out in terms of the types of
properties we are investing in,
that’s happening in the
regions.”
LISTEN TO THE FULL INTERVIEW AT
HTTP://BIT.LY/2PQ4MOW
Portrait by Bahr Karim
47
MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM I DUBAI
Dubai needs transparency
to attract investment
Emily Wright environment for investors to a more transparent market in the
Features and global editor work in this region.” UAE. Magali Mouquet, exec-
Doing business in Dubai must Marwan bin Jason Al Sarkal, utive director of Emirates REIT,
become more transparent if chief executive of the Sharjah which was the first REIT in the
the region hopes to attract sig- Investment and Development region when it launched in 2010,
nificant overseas investment, Authority, added that more col- said the emergence of more
delegates heard at the EG laboration across the emirates REITs was a good sign of things
Middle East Real Estate Forum would be key to attracting over- to come.
in April. seas interest. She said: “What we discov-
Rob Jackson, director of RICS He said: “Many things still ered when we set up [the] REIT
Middle East & North Africa, said need to be fixed. We have was that everyone really appre-
that a transparent market will maturity as a market and yet we ciated the transparency and we
be key to driving growth. “If have policies and regulations hope to see many more REITs
everyone in the room is really that aren’t the same across all emerging in the region.”
frank about real estate here and seven emirates. They need to be Steve Morgan, senior partner
whether it’s connected globally, the same so we can be clear and at Cluttons, added: “Sometimes
a lot more needs to be done. attract investment. navigating the nuances
We need to ask, ‘Is the market “Every emirate has its own between the different regions
clear? Are standards clear?’ strategy but policies need to is quite a challenge. Huge steps
“How transparent are we? stay the same. Someone has to have been made but more
Sadly not very at the moment take the lead and at the moment transparency would really give
and we can’t rely on petro- there is no federal body doing confidence to international
chemicals to fund development that.” investors.”
forever. We need to create But the panel agreed that READ MORE FROM THE FORUM AT
a much more appropriate steps have been made towards HTTP://BIT.LY/2PQ4MOW
TMT drives Dubai system, and 3D printed have stalled their expansion plans,
office take-up skyscrapers. and consolidation activity has
In April it was reported that slowed, but the TMT, along with
The tech, media and telecoms Dubai’s largest publicly traded the pharmaceuticals sector, are
sectors are the “star performers” property developer, Emaar, made the star performers.
in Dubai’s offices sector, driving a $500m (£387m) bid against “Free-trade zones such as
take-up levels and showing no Amazon for online retailer Souq. TECOM’S Internet City and Media
sign of a slow-down in a market com, reflecting the investment in City are in high demand as rates
that is otherwise correcting itself. technology in the region. are minimal, and while rents are
According to the spring issue Dubai-based construction holding steady now, they will
of Cluttons’ Dubai property technologies firm Cazza creep up as occupier expansion
market outlook, the TMT sector announced plans in March to plans are brought forward.”
has seen high levels of activity, build the world’s first 3D-printed The Cluttons report also cites
while international corporate skyscraper. Dubai’s financial hub, the DIFC,
occupiers in other sectors have Faisal Durrani,head of research as a key area for the TMT sector,
delayed decisions to expand at Cluttons, said: “TMT is the only with occupier demand reflected
their office footprints. part of the office market still in its eight-storey Gate Village 11
Recent high profile deals in expanding, with stability in rents Building, The Exchange, which
Dubai reflect the surge of interest supported by a limited supply has been reportedly pre-leased,
in tech, driven by strategic pipeline. Global uncertainty, with with completion not expected
government initiatives such as Brexit and Donald Trump’s until late 2017 or early 2018.
the Dubai Future Foundation, the election, have meant that LISTEN TO THE DEBATE IN FULL AT
Hyperloop transportation international corporate occupiers HTTP://BIT.LY/2QWZMR2
48
UK and UAE show
REIT appetite
The UK and the UAE have
taken a leaf out of the same
book when it comes to the
safe, transparent provision of
housing.
Magali Mouquet, head of
investor relations at Emirates
REIT, which was launched in
2010 in the UAE, said:
“Recently we opened a resi
REIT and we have two more in
the pipeline. We are
incubating hospitality and
logistics REITs. We decided to
keep them all as separate
vehicles to ensure nice yields
for our shareholders as resi
yields are significantly lower
than commercial.”
LISTEN TO THE INTERVIEW AT
HTTP://BIT.LY/2QFG8YK
Portrait by Bahr Karim
49
EG | MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM 2017
Pete Gladwell
Partner
Charles Russel Speechleys
Pete leads L&G’s direct investments into partnerships with RIO/UKTI, Registered Providers, Universities, NHS Trusts,
Local Authorities, and central government. Pete was formally a Senior Analyst in DTZ Research and enjoyed an
erstwhile life as a youth worker for seven years.
Pete is a Member of Oxford University, holding an MA (Oxon) in Computation. He is also a Trustee for the Young
Foundation, which works to create a more equal and just society through social innovation.
Simon Green
Best-selling author
CEO coach and founder of Emerging Markets Leadership Center
Simon is the head of Charles Russell Speechlys’ Doha office and the head of Real Estate in the Middle East. Having
been based in the Middle East since 2008, Simon specialises in real estate and construction matters. His main areas
of expertise are large scale mixed use developments and infrastructure projects (particularly PPPs), city centre
redevelopments, real estate investment, real estate management, real estate finance and hotels and hospitality.
Simon advises a variety of corporates, financial institutions, government and quasi-government entities, high profile
individuals, contractors and consultants in Bahrain, Qatar and across the GCC. He has also advised on the financing
of acquisitions and developments using both conventional and Islamic finance structures.
Simon has co-authored a number of recent publications relating to real estate in the GCC, is a regular contributor
to one of Bahrain’s leading property journals and has spoken at a number of real estate events over the last several
years including the Bahrain Property Exhibition, Gulf Engineering Forum and The Hotel Technology Forum.
12
Duncan Sutherland
Chief Executive
Sigma Capital/HS2 board member
Duncan Sutherland is the Group Regeneration Director for Sigma Capital PLC and Chairman of Sigma Inpartnership
Ltd. Sigma works in partnership with local government and has just announced an innovative fund for a £1b new
private rented sector housing portfolio for 10,000 houses throughout the North and the Midlands.
Duncan is a Non- Executive Director on the Board of High Speed 2 and sits on Birmingham CC’s Curzon St
Regeneration Board; was a NED on the board of British Waterways; is a member of the RIO Advisory Board (part
of UKTI); and a Trustee of the South Bank Sinfonia. Previously, Duncan was Director of City Development for
Coventry City Council; Director at Inner City Enterprises PLC; and was also the Chief Executive of The EDI Group Ltd.
Foundation, which works to create a more equal and just society through social innovation.
Paul Marsh
CEO
Holistic Capital
Paul Marsh is a private sector specialist in major capital projects, most recently heading the team delivering a
€850 Million GDV mixed use development in the CEE Region. Having successfully led multi-national teams, on
highly demanding and technical projects, demonstrating communication skills of the highest standards, Paul has
developed a strong and clear focus on the strategic objectives required to deliver complex development projects.
With a strong background in both project Finance and Delivery, Paul brings extensive experience to lead the
Holistic Capital team, across all areas of major strategic development projects.
Paul has recently completed a very successful commission with the UK Government, assembling a UK- wide
portfolio of major real estate investment opportunities.
Since 2013, Paul has led the team to assemble a portfolio of £175BN of UK Real Estate investment assets, and
together with colleagues in the UK and Overseas, facilitated over £8.45BN of investment into these projects.
Paul also had responsibility for developing new strategic initiatives across Whitehall departments to accelerate
successful investment and development activity.
Paul brings this experience to Holistic Capital, combining the expertise in investment, commercial real estate with a
comprehensive understanding of Government relations.
Savannah de Savary
Founder & CEO
Built-ID
Savannah is hot property in Property tech. She founded Industry Hub, an online platform and professional
community that connects real estate developers with consultants. The platform is Built-ID, which enables members
to instantly identify the project teams behind properties and to showcase their work and collaborations to an
international audience of potential clients, investors and joint venture partners.
Savannah was working as a developer at a NYC-based development firm when she set up the tool in 2016 after
discovering the absence of a trusted shortcut for connecting to the right professionals.
She is now able to take the tool fully to market after securing £1.1m investment from a range of backers in the US and
UK including Nick Leslau, Nigel Wray and Sandy Gumm, and property technology venture capital group, Pi Labs.
Built-ID has signed up a number of firms from across the property spectrum, including CBRE, Capital & Counties, SOM,
FARRELLS and Lipton Rogers. To date, the site has amassed over 19,000 developments listed across 110 countries.
13
EG | MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM 2017
Simon Marshall
Joint Chief Executive
Scarborough International Properties
Simon works across all divisions of the Scarborough Group on major strategic and capitalraising projects and
currently heads up the China growth opportunities business. He is a senior investment professional with over 16
years’ experience across multiple disciplines, including private equity, corporate, project, real estate and leveraged
finance. Prior to joining Scarborough, Simon held roles as a senior executive at private equity firm, Beaubridge LLP
and as an investment director with US hedge fund, D.E. Shaw & Co. Simon is a graduate of Magdalene College,
Cambridge with a BA and MA in Modern Languages.
Eram Ayub
Director
Lansdowne Property Auctions
Eram Ayub is the founder of Lansdowne Auctions and Asset Management, one of the fastest growing property
company in the UK. Last year Lansdowne had 153% growth, providing the best service to their client’s. Lansdowne
has an 85% success rate ranked as one of the highest.
Before setting up Lansdowne, Eram worked as a property trader for 10 years selling over £200 million worth of
property predominantly in London While trading property, Eram realised the market is vastly changing and the
buyers did not have to be “cash buyers” to purchase property in an auction, they were able to be “first time buyers”
making the auction business the best platform to buy and sell. This encouraged Eram to set up the auction making
her the first woman in the UK to own and run a property auction company.
Ash Mohammad
Partner
Lansdowne Auctions and Asset Management
Ash has a strong background in property development and management internationally which is evident by his
extensive property portfolio.
Damian Wild
Editor
EG
Damian Wild became editor of Estates Gazette in September 2009. Before joining, he was group editor in chief of
Incisive Media’s business and finance titles, including Accountancy Age and Financial Director, as well as a number
of related websites. Prior to that, he spent five years as editor of Accountancy Age. During his time with the group,
the titles won several awards for their innovative use of online media.
Damian had previously written for a number of newspapers, magazines and online publications in the UK and
Hong Kong including CNN’s financial news website in London. He also worked on the South China Morning Post’s
business desk during the handover to China in 1997.
14
Dubai property market:
Outlook for 2017
Market showing signs of bottoming out
Dubai’s residential and office market appear to be nearing the While the short-term prospects appear relatively subdued,
bottom of the current property cycle. The shock collapse in oil our view is that the rental market’s fortunes remain tied
prices almost three years ago did not directly impact Dubai’s to the looming 2020 World Expo. At this stage, the mega
property market and the economy remained resilient in the event is one of the primary upside risks to our outlook. We
face of mounting pressure on other oil dependent economies know from experience that the lag between the take up of
around the Middle East. In the same way that London is office space and the subsequent impact on the residential
a gateway city for Europe, Dubai is a gateway city for the rental market is usually six to nine months.
Middle East and arguably Africa. However, with the region’s
Construction contracts worth AED 11 billion (£2.4 billion),
governments actively working to diversify income streams,
linked to the Expo, are expected to be announced
economic growth has been undoubtedly curtailed and this
throughout the course of 2017, driving up the rate of job
filtered through to some of Dubai’s critical economic sectors
creation in its wake. New jobs that follow are likely to be
such as banking and finance, which directly undermined
centred on low to middle income groups, which will likely
demand both for residential and commercial property.
drive up competition for more affordable stock.
Things do appear to have stabilised over the last quarter,
with indications that some residential submarkets may in fact
be bottoming out.
15
EG | MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM 2017
Office market
Office rents come under pressure,
but TMT sector shines
Rents across most of the 24 submarkets we monitor remained
relatively steady throughout 2016, following strong growth in the
preceding 12 to 18 months. However global economic anxiety and a
subsequent scaling back or delaying of short term expansion projects,
particularly amongst international corporate occupiers, has begun to
impact on the resilience of rents.
400,000
350,000
300,000
AED / annum
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Studio 1 Bed 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed Studio 1 Bed 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed Studio 1 Bed 2 Bed 3 Bed
High End Mid Range Low End
Low end – International City, IMPZ, Discovery Gardens, Jumeirah Village Circle, Jumeirah Village Triangle, Sports City, JLT, Dubai Land Apartments
Mid range – Business Bay, The Views, Greens, Dubai Marina, JLT, Green Community-DIP
High end – Downtown Dubai, Dubai Marina, Palm Jumeirah, DIFC Villas Apartments
Source: Cluttons
16
Dubai office market heat map (Q4 2016)
1 3 Central Dubai 9 11 14 15
2 4 5 8
6 7 10 Old Dubai
New Dubai 16
12 13 17
AED psf 19 20 23
300+
251-300
Fringe Dubai
201-250
151-200 18 21
101-150
50-100
22
Source: Cluttons *Free-zone. **Reflective of initial off-plan price offers at project launch
17 17
EG | MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM 2017
Expansion by the big Gulf carriers has been a dominant the three carriers transported almost 28 million passengers
theme in the airline industry over the past decade. in 2006. The same trio handled getting on for 100 million
passengers by 2015, and all three now rank among the top
Few airlines have not had to respond – whether by
20 biggest airlines by traffic – with Emirates now the fourth
embracing or by battling – to these new rivals as their reach
biggest in the world.
spread into every continent.
But a combination of the competitive environment, market
Dubai-based Emirates, Qatar Airways, and latterly Abu
climate and impact of a strong US dollar is threatening to
Dhabi’s Etihad Airways, with their mandates to develop
take the momentum out of this growth. Given the capacity
transport and tourism in their key hubs, have placed huge
they have brought into the market – and will bring in over
aircraft orders and expanded at breakneck speed.
the next few years – this could have a significant impact
A decade ago, Emirates was still outside the 10 biggest on the wider market if it turns out to be a more prolonged
airlines by traffic, as measured in revenue passenger- slowing in Gulf carrier growth. Factoring in the separate
kilometres. Qatar was the 41st biggest and Etihad was just challenges in Istanbul that Turkish Airlines faces, that could
emerging among the 100 biggest airlines. Between them, mean that the region’s key emerging transit hubs face the
prospect of slowing growth.
18
Warning signs
Signs of a more challenging environment – both in cost and Air Arabia’s net profit for 2016 came in at Dh509 million, a
revenue terms – in the region have been emerging over the 4% slip on the previous year’s figure. The carrier similarly
past six months. highlighted “challenging” market conditions and the
Emirates was the first to signal a change in fortunes when “economic and political uncertainty” affecting the industry.
it disclosed in November that the airline’s profit had fallen
75%, to Dh786 million ($214 million), in the six months ended Emirates reaction
30 September. It linked the result to “the double impact of a Emirates Airline is undertaking what its president Tim Clark
strong US dollar and challenging operating environment”. terms a “major exercise” to adjust its business amid changing
Emirates Group chief executive Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al customer demand.
Maktoum cited increased competition as well as sustained Speaking at a media briefing during the ITB travel fair in
economic and political uncertainty in many parts of the Berlin on 9 March, Clark conceded that the full-year results
world as hitting yields and dampening travel demand. “The would be below those of 2014. He said adverse currency
bleak global economic outlook appears to be the new effects had been a significant factor. An appreciation of the
norm, with no immediate resolution in sight,” he added. dollar has itself created pressure for the Dubai-based carrier,
At the end of 2016 it emerged that Emirates was to defer and also triggered secondary effects as weak currencies in
delivery of 12 Airbus A380s that had been due to arrive over other markets declined versus the US currency.
the next two years. While Emirates had previously disclosed Clark notes that markets in Emirates’ home region – such
temporary technical gripes centred on wear in the Rolls- as Iraq, Libya and Syria – have disappeared as a result of
Royce Trent 900 engine, to which it had newly switched, the conflicts. “The Middle East is a different place now to when
deferral came at a point when the Gulf region was having we started to fly in 1985,” he says.
to cope with reduced demand and a consequent need to
However, he argues that wider geopolitical, socioeconomic
rein-in capacity.
and industrial developments have made the business
Much of the focus on Etihad’s challenges have been with the environment less certain. Following the UK’s decision to exit
performance of its European equity partners. But carrier has the European Union, Emirates took an “18% whack in the
also announced likely job cuts of its own and conceded that summer” in that country, which Clark describes as a “high-
2017 will be “another challenging year”. production market”.
Group chief executive James Hogan said on 1 February When US President Donald Trump signed an executive
that despite 2016 having been “tough” for Etihad, the order in January temporarily banning citizens of seven
airline’s financial results for the year would be “positive”. majority-Muslim countries from entering the USA, Emirates’
But he acknowledged that in 2017 the airline would need rate of ticket sales growth fell by more than a third versus
to “navigate the challenges of competition, capacity – that previous years, Clark says.
means we have to tackle our cost base”.
He adds that efforts by European airlines to establish low-
In December Etihad confirmed it was planning to make cost long-haul subsidiaries are also having an effect on the
redundancies as part of “managed, controlled restructuring” industry and on Emirates’ business.
in light of what it calls the “increasingly competitive
“Airline communities are reacting to, basically, much lower
landscape” and “weakened global economic conditions”.
yield,” is how Clark sums up the overall development. “We
are trying to… understand better what has been going on
Wider region challenges [and] why it has been going on.
Nor are the challenging conditions restricted to the big Gulf “I honestly believe that the nature of demand… in regional,
carriers’ long-haul operations. Since the turn of the year, domestic and long-haul is going to change over time, and
the more challenging outlook has been evident in reports therefore we have to adapt and adjust our business model
from short-haul carriers in the region – including Emirates’ accordingly.”
sister carrier Flydubai, which disclosed a sharp fall in full-year
profits to Dh31.6 million and, citing downward pressure on
yields, is planning to keep capacity flat this year.
Operating profit was down a third at Kuwaiti budget carrier
Jazeera Airways last year. It says it has experienced yield
pressure from a “slowing” macroeconomic environment and
overcapacity on its network.
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EG | MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM 2017
But delays to the Airbus A350 and A320neo programmes FlightGlobal schedules data for 2017 illustrates the loss of
have held back Qatar Airways’ plans to expand its network pace. Data for the second quarter shows all three carriers
says chief executive Akbar Al Baker. increasing capacity at their slowest rate for five or more years
– albeit off larger base figures.
Also speaking at ITB, Al Baker said the delays meant his
airline was “nearly 10” aircraft behind in its fleet expansion Emirates is lifting its second-quarter capacity by just over 7% –
programme and had consequently been unable to open compared with an 11% increase in the same period last year.
“nearly eight” planned new routes, adding: “We hope that Qatar Airways is increasing capacity by 9.5% in the second
this will be resolved this year.” quarter – the fastest rate of the three carriers, though from a
The airline nonetheless continues to increase capacity at smaller base than Emirates. This still represents slower growth
“double-digit” rates, says Al Baker. But he insists: “Qatar than the double-digit levels seen in the previous four years.
Airways has been very prudent in the way we grow capacity. Etihad is meanwhile making the sharpest changes to
We don’t grow capacity that the market does not digest.” capacity. The airline’s second-quarter capacity growth has
Qatar Airways is scheduled to receive four or five Boeing been running at 15% or above in each of the previous four
777s and 10 A350s this year, says Al Baker. “Unfortunately, we years. But for the second quarter of 2017, Etihad is increasing
will not receive any narrowbodies due to the still-ongoing capacity by only 1%.
issues.” The carrier has 46 A320neo-family jets on order, with Similar trends in the growth rates also apply to capacity data
options for 30 more. for the full year 2017.
At ITB, Emirates’ Clark acknowledged that there was a
What is at stake “degree of flatlining” by Middle Eastern airlines in terms of
A 2015 report by Kristian Coates Ulrichsen for the Baker capacity, but noted that it is still being increased and sees no
Institute of Public Policy warned that capacity growth was danger of overcapacity in the long term.
vital for the region’s big three carriers. He reflects that airlines in the past had to respond to one or
“Questions nevertheless remain over whether three such two critical events per year, such as economic slowdowns in
aggressive and expansionary airlines can co-exist in such a individual markets or flying bans due to volcanic ash clouds.
concentrated region, no matter how global their activity,” his “[Now] the pace of change is accelerating and is quite
report says. “So long as Emirates, Etihad and Qatar Airways destabilising,” he says. “The world is in a high degree of
are taking market share from international rivals, they are volatility for all sorts of reasons. And the way people travel,
likely to continue to grow. their decision to be travelling, the amount of money they are
“However, should the aviation market ever reach saturation prepared to pay, new entrants coming to the market… this is
point or the host emirates begin to experience long-term all changing.”
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Fleeting the impact?
Potentially compounding weakening capacity growth for each
airline are fleet strategies geared towards aggressive expansion
in the near future. Emirates and Etihad are set to take 42 and 32
aircraft in 2017-18, respectively, Flight Fleets Analyzer shows – or
roughly a fifth of each airline’s respective total orders.
All of these aircraft are widebodies, meaning that Emirates and Etihad are essentially relying on
sustained capacity growth to make their fleet strategy work.
Qatar is taking 74 aircraft over the next two years, roughly a third of its total order. However, the
carrier is not pursuing the widebody-only strategy of Emirates and Etihad; Airbus A320neos will
complement the Oneworld carrier’s planned A350 intake.
Reporting by Jamie Bullen, Graham Dunn, Michael Gubisch and David Kaminski-Morrow
This article was published in FightGlobal’s Flight Airline Business publication on 15 March 2017
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EG online
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Coverage in the Middle East
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EG | MIDDLE EAST REAL ESTATE FORUM 2017
Delegates 2017
Karim Abdallah Andrew Barrowman Felicity Davey Faun Peter Gebara
Strategy& (Formerly Booz & Company) Aston Developments Ltd Knight Frank Realopedia
Marwan Abdulaziz Dominic Beales Riyadh Davids Alexis Georghiades
TECOM Foreign & Commonwealth Office Nasser Lootah Real Estate Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank
Dhanu Abhyankar Viren Bhatia Savannah de Savary Uday Ghelani
DMCC Neerav Investment Advisory services Built-ID Sharjah Cement and Industrial
Tayo Adeyinka Manzoor Bhatti Clint Dempsey Development Co PJSC
Amethyst Developers Premier Syndicate Investments LLC Eversheds Joseph Giblin
Hussameddin Adwan Darshan Bhinde Rob Devereux Consulate General of the
Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank House of Patels ICD Brookfield United States of America
Mayank Agarwal H.E. Marwan bin Jassim Al Sarkal Amit Diwan Marc Gilligan
Asteco Shurooq SinoGulf (DIFC) Limited Real Estate at Abu Dhabi
Financial Group
Abhishek Ahuja Dr. Hussain Binghatti Al Jbori Suliman Dockrat
Cluttons Binghatti Holding Urban Spectrum Property Management Pete Gladwell
L&G Investment Management
Ayo Ajayi Ahmed BinGhatti Aljbori Michael Dowds
Gardiner & Theobald LLP Binghatti Holding Deloitte & Touche Middle East Ian Gladwin
Cluttons
Naseer Aka Muhammad BinGhatti Marites Duca
Rasmala Investments Holdings Binghatti Holding Metropole Properties Harry Goodson Wickes
Cluttons
Ali Akbar Sanjib Biswas Malik Dulepa
Frank & Chimo Partners JBergue Consult Group Emirates Peter Greatrex
Trowers & Hamlins LLP
Yousuf Akbar Ali Charles Blaschke Faisal Durrani
Dubai Investments Taka Solutions Cluttons Simon Green
Charles Russell Speechlys
Walid Khalid Al Alami Kristina Bobs Rajiv Dutta
Al Madaien Group Svaja LTD Telematics Riyaz Gulamani
Madain Properties PJSC
Mohammad Al Baz Philippe Boue Michael Dyson
Al Hilal Bank Schindler Abu Dhabi Finance Samer H. Zabian
AFGRE
Abdul Salam Al Jassmi Christopher Bradley Mohamed El Tahan
LIMITLESS Chevron Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank Anas Halabi
Core Savills
Mohammad Al Kassim DIFC Shane Breen Sofie Elliceflint
Cluttons Dubai Holding Mitchell Ham
Ameen Al Mughrabi ADCB Meraas Holding
Mohammed Al Tahri Edd Brookes Mohamad Elsayed
DTZ MAZ Investment Co LLC Ms. Rana Hariz
Al Raya Investment Palma Holding
Zahed Albattarni Lucy Bush Ahmed Elsenbawy
Cluttons THOE John Harris
Racine Real Estate Transdev
Inam Ali Angus Campbell Panicos Euripides
Bahrain Financial Harbour Holding Al Jaber Group L.L.O Saeed Hashmi
Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank Hashmi Aston Developments Ltd
Company BSC Suzanne Eveleigh
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Invest In Sharjah Edward Carnegy Cluttons
Cluttons PRO Partner Group
Matt Allen Muhammad Faisal Iqbal
Hazem Chalhoub Emirates NBD Scott Hay-Roberts
Cluttons Cluttons
Al Falah El Fatih Said
Sultan Almusallam Sean Heckford
Naif Alrajhi Investment Co. Steven Charlton Abu Dhabi Business HUB
Perkins+Will Parsons
Mouza Alqumzi Richard Fenne
Laura Choueri Woods Bagot Rashpal Heer
TDIC DTZ
Realopedia Eamon Fitzpatrick
Shoaib Alrahimi Firas Hnoosh
Dubai South Beverley Churchill MAK Dubai
Capital & Counties Properties Perkins+Will
Ahmed Alsafadi Brant Fletcher
Michael Clark ICD Brookfield Ali Hossain
Dubai Holding - Jumeirah Central Select Group
EG Scott Flint
Alicia Alvarez Jack Hu
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Expo 2020 Farglory Group
Joice Ann Gomez Stephen Forbes
Charles Clifton Al Naboodah Real Estate Investment Keun Huh
Marya Group Midas International Asset
PwC LLC
Thomas Arnold Management Ltd.
Silverback Capital Group Ltd. Gwendal Cobert Jonathan Fothergill
Al Futtaim Cluttons Scott Hutton
Aftab Attari Squire Patton Boggs
Dubai Investments Park Development Co. Joshua Cohen Mark Fraser
Gowling WLG (UK) LLP Taylor Wessing Achraf Ibrahim
Farah Ayoub Marya Group
DIFC Emer Conneely Rob Garrett
ICD Brookfield Hezar Ventures Asha Jackson
Shaikha Azam Usafi Health Care Limited
Government of Dubai Kirsty Coventry Prateek Gautam
Norton Rose Fulbright LLP Century Financial Brokers Rob Jackson
Yasser Baher RICS Middle East & North Africa
MAZ Investment Co LLC Klarissa Crasto Adam Geal
Cluttons Meed Alex James
Roland Bakos Knight Frank LLP
EG Stephen Cutts Paul Gebara
Binghatti Holding paul.gebara@realopedia.com Dimple Jansari
Regus
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Michael Johnston-Smith Paul Marsh Naoufal Rahhouti Ammar Tahboub
Bin Drai Enterprises Holistic Capital Ltd DIFC Zaya Reality
Manal Jweiles Andrew Marshall Abdur Rahim Ghulam Nabi Mehdi Taher
Elia Bayt Dubai South DAFZA Foreign & Commonwealth Office
Saed Kamal Simon Marshall Shivam Rajgaria Ahmad Talaat
Bassel FZ Scarborough Group International Om Tower Metropole Properties
Pooja Kapur Ben McGregor Adam Ralph Kassem Tawil
Kaps International ICD Brookfield Turner & Townsend International Al Nowais Investments LLC
Aakarshan Kathuria Larry Mcguiness Rana Hariz Tarek Tessawak
EstateUp Ted Jacobs Engineering Group Palma Holding Al Futtaim Automotive Group
Mahasti Kavari Ross McKenzie Anuj Ranjan Gina Thomas
Omniyat Honeywell Brookfield DMCC
John Kemkers Will McKintosh Kashif Raza Andrew Thomson
Eversheds Jones Lang LaSalle (KS) West End Zain Avenue Reality Real Estate Gowling WLG (UK) LLP
Rebecca Kent Hesham Meawad Mohammed Raza Jamil Dr Tommy Weir
EG Heart Of Europe Meraas Holding Author & Entrepreneur
Lilly Kerawalla Ankush Mehta Matthew Reason Asif Usmani
Madain Properties PJSC Bespoke Connecions Knight Frank Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank
Prabhakar Kesavan Chung Min Lee Paul Rebeiro Ashwath Vikram
Voltas Limited Midas International Asset AMSAF Investment LLC- Private Office ICD Brookfield
Sarah Khalifa Management Ltd. of an Eminent Douglas Wade
Clyde & Co Jasvinder Moman Dorian Reece Duff & Phelps
Abdullah Khalil DWF (Middle East) LLP Deloitte Mohamed Waheed
Binghatti Holding Mark Moody Iseeb Rehman Maz Investments
Animesh Khandelwal Al Marjan Island SIP Properties Brokers LLC Simon Wallace
Al Nasser Properties L.L.C. Steve Morgan Alexis Reuben Georghiades The Whole Thing
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Emirates Property Investment Co Peter Morris Syed Rizvi Arup
Thomas Kimber FlightAscend Consultancy Silversun Invest Paula Walshe
Al Hilal Bank Magali Mouquet Alan Robertson Cluttons
Declan King Equitativa & Emirates REIT CEIC Jones Lang LaSalle Michael Waters
ValuStrat Abir Moussa Maysa Sabah Herriot Watt University
Aditya Kotibhaskar Regus Affordable Housing Institute Nichola West
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Nick Kramer Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) Northern Gateway Development Zone Damian Wild
Nabarro Faisal Mujeeb El Fatih Said EG
Chaitra Kumar KPMG Abu Dhabi Business HUB Paakow Winful
Al Naboodah Real Estate Dr. Nasir Khan Dr. Saiqa Khan Duff & Phelps
Investment LLC Pakistan Consulate Dubai Pakistan Consulate Dubai Emily Wright
Niraj Kumar Nejoud Nasr Ghulam Sarver EG
HSBC Meedar Real Estate DAMAC PROPOERTY Mark Wrong
Laudy Lahdo Pradeep Navre Naveed Sarwar PBP Capital Ltd
Servcorp LLC Utmost Properties Meraas Holding Mark Wrong
Bridgett Lau Joe Neilson Michael Selby Norman Asset Management
Project Partners Trowers & Hamlins LLP Duff & Phelps Dmitry Yakhlakov
Florence Le Fur David O’Hara Dildora Shah DVM Management, DMCC
Emirates Reit Cluttons U.N.FASHION INC. Melissa Younan
John Leavesley David Offord Mahmood Shah Gowling WLG (UK) LLP
Myrce REIT plc Buro Four Project Services Ltd U.N.Cargo & Logistics LLC Edwin Young
Elliot Lewis Hamdi Osman Parita Shah Urban Development & Estidama Sector
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Cluttons Theo Paradise Hirst Berwin Leighton Paisner LLP Ali Zerktouni
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James Lynch Sanco Global Properties Ltd Amit Shukla ADCB
Cluttons Jerry Parks Miral Mariana Zureikat
David M Benn Taylor Wessing (Middle East) LLP Holly Smith Alrajhi United
HH Sheikh Sultan Bin Khalifa Bin Philip Paul Cluttons
Sultan Al Neyahan Cluttons Shan Soni
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Scottish Development International Cluttons Kamal Soussi
Mahmoud Mahmoud David Pereira Arabtec Construction
The Heart Of Europe Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank Michelle St Clair
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Nabarro LLP Project Partners Murray Strang
Sanjay Manchanda Melisa Pezuk Cluttons
Nakheel Dubai International Financial Centre Duncan Sutherland
Sajith Manohar Wayne Pitman Sigma Capital Group
Fortune Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank Sean Swinburne
Alina Maria Andrew Powell Cushman and wakefield
Al Fajer Properties Economic Zones World
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