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The Future of Broadcasting V

The Search for Fundamental Growth


UPDATED
The Search for Fundamental Growth
In last year’s issue, The Future of Broadcasting IV, we observed that market
expectations1 within the broadcasting sector had soared, and asked where growth
would come from to justify these lofty future values. This year, market expectations
have continued to climb despite a $171 billion plunge in the value of the wider
media market between August 2015 and February 2016.2 The widening gap
between future value and current value makes the search for fundamental growth
increasingly pressing for broadcasters.

1 In our analysis the terms “market expectations” and “market optimism” are used interchangeably.
They are represented by changes in the total future value of the broadcasters in our peer set.
See enterprise value call-out box for an explanation of our future value calculation
2 Between August 4, 2015, to February 10, 2016, the value of the Dow Jones Media Index fell
from $811 billion to $640 billion
2 | The Future of Broadcasting V
In this year’s edition we have identified four key industry themes.

1. Content strategies 3. Growth of direct to In response to these themes, we have


pay off—a number of broadcasters consumer offerings—increasing identified three opportunities for value
have made a strategic shift to content investments in direct to consumer creation: how to capitalize on service
production, generating revenue from propositions and supporting capabilities, as a point of differentiation; how data
international licensing deals and global/ such as data analytics and marketing. analytics can be used as a strategic tool
local syndication. This has provided for content decisions; and how incumbent
protection from slowing growth in 4. Diversification of broadcasters can exploit the “broadcast
advertising revenues and rising costs of advantage.” We believe these value-
premium content. This trend can be seen
business models—these are
emerging as broadcasters move past creation opportunities will help
globally with investment in content broadcasters in their search for new
their fears of cannibalizing existing linear
leading to the creation of new content sources of fundamental growth.
TV revenues and begin to develop OTT
kingdoms, beyond Hollywood.
services.
Many of these themes and trends are
2. Consolidation for scale
being discussed online. If you would like
drives M&A activity—as the to contribute to the discussion, please
benefits of vertical integration diminish
join us online at Pulse of Media.
and margins become increasingly under
pressure, we see continued M&A activity
as broadcasters look to achieve scale
through consolidation.

The Future of Broadcasting V | 3


Overview
Accenture’s The Future of Broadcasting series, now in its fifth year, is grounded in
our Shareholder Value Analysis of key players in the global broadcasting industry.
Our work around the world with broadcasters and other media, entertainment and
consumer-technology companies allows us to build on this value analysis, and to
draw a set of “moment in time” conclusions about this rapidly evolving sector.
Growth in the broadcasting industry INDUSTRY THEME 1 requires consideration of, and investment
has been slowing. Industry revenues in, B2C capabilities and skills such as
increased to $430 billion in 2015 but fell Content strategies pay off technology, marketing and data analytics.
short of the $448 billion analysts had To create value, some broadcasters have
forecast earlier that year. That shortfall invested in original content production/ INDUSTRY THEME 4
of $18 billion, although small in relative commissions and maximized revenues
terms, represents a 4 percent reduction from international rights deals and local/
Diversification of
in projected revenue growth. This slow- global syndication. These content-led business models
down in growth may not have registered broadcasters have achieved higher levels While broadcasters have traditionally
yet, but its impact is likely to be felt of capital efficiency and higher operating been wary of introducing OTT service
over the next few years, with industry margins than those peers who have relied propositions alongside traditional
revenues in 2018 ($486 billion) set to on advertising income alone. offerings the tide is beginning to change.
be $34 billion lower than analysts’ Faced with the option to cannibalize
projections last year3. INDUSTRY THEME 2 themselves through developing OTT
services that could eat into more
In spite of this slow-down, the findings Consolidation for scale
lucrative large bundles, or watch others
of our Shareholder Value Analysis drives M&A activity cannibalize them, they have chosen the
2015 indicate a continuation of Broadcasters have sought to create value former. Consequently, more and more
market optimism. The future value from M&A activity. We have seen two broadcasters are developing complemen-
of broadcasters has now reached an types of M&A activity. Firstly, consolida- tary and standalone OTT packages.
all-time high and, for the first time, tion has been taking place at both ends
accounts for almost half of enterprise of the value chain—in content creation Based on the insights of our proprietary
value. Despite shares in media companies and distribution—with broadcasters Shareholder Value Analysis and our
plunging by $130 billion in August 2015, looking to achieve scale. Secondly, we observations from our work with broad-
broadcasting future value has grown have observed broadcasting organizations casters worldwide, Accenture proposes
by 6 percent since last year4. The gap acquire multi-channel networks (MCNs) three value creation opportunities that
between expectations and performance to reach new audiences and advertising we believe will help broadcasters in
is widening, raising a crucial question. revenue pools. the search for fundamental growth.
How will current value rise? Firstly, we suggest that, thanks to the
INDUSTRY THEME 3 proliferation of new content platforms,
In the 2015 edition of The Future of service has become a key differentiator
Broadcasting we identify four industry Growth of direct to and broadcasters need to develop a
themes that are shaping developments in consumer offerings multitude of heavily tailored offerings
the broadcasting industry. We also assess to meet customers’ needs and their
Broadcasters traditionally relied on the
the implications of these themes and willingness to pay. Secondly, we look
services of TV platform operators to reach
share three value-creation opportunities at how broadcasting organizations can
audiences. However, in the last few years
that we believe broadcasters should act use data analytics as a strategic tool to
leading broadcasters and a range of
on to improve fundamental growth. inform content-commissioning decisions
content creators have adopted Direct to
and programming choices.
Consumer (D2C) offerings through OTT
(Over The Top) services and Multi Channel
And finally, we analyze how incumbent
Networks. These offer broadcasters
broadcasters can “exploit the broadcast
the opportunity to own the consumer
advantage” to compete against digital
relationship and access new markets.
natives entering the broadcasting
At the same time, being successful
ecosystem.
3 Forecasts were based on analysis of data from PWC
4 Before the correction in the media market, broadcasting future value had increased by 25% since
4 | The Future of Broadcasting V last year (May 2014 to May 2015)
The Future of Broadcasting peer set
The Future
Using our of Broadcasting
proprietary financial analysis methodology, wepeer set
conducted
in depth analysis of the three key factors to delivering high performance:
Using our proprietary financial analysis methodology, we conducted in depth
revenue growth, profitability and capital efficiency5.
analysis of the three key factors to delivering high performance:
revenue growth, profitability and capital efficiency5.

B R O A D C A S T E R S A N A LY Z E D I N O U R P O V CO M P O N E N T S O F O U R P R O P R I E TA R Y F I N A N C I A L A N A LY S I S

• ProSieben • RTL • Televisa Revenue growth


• Netflix • DirecTV • TF1
• CBS • Disney • Nippon Company analysis Profitability
• ITV • Atresmedia • CANAL+
• Comcast • BSkyB • Mediaset Capital efficiency

Value Performance

EV = CV
Value + FV
Performance
Enterprise Value = Current Value + Future Value
EV = CV + FV
Enterprise Value is the sum of Current Value is the value of Future Value represents the
Enterprise Value = Current
market capitalization plus net Value + Future
the firm, or groupValue
of firms, today. market’s expectation of a firm
debt—intuitively, it’s what you It is calculated by dividing profit- (or group of firms) to grow above
Enterprise
would pay ifValue is thetosum
you were of
purchase Current Value or
ability (NOPAT is the
Netvalue of
Operating Future
current Value represents the
operations.
market
a listed capitalization
company. It is plus net
comprised Profit After Tax) by cost of capital
debt—intuitively,
of two components: it’s what you (WACC or Weighted Average Cost -
would pay if you were to purchase ability (NOPAT
of Capital). or Net Operating current operations.
a listed company. It is comprised
of two components: (WACC or Weighted Average Cost
of Capital).

5 Our peer set has remained broadly the same over the last 5 years with the exception of changes that
were necessary due to M&A activity
The Future of Broadcasting V | 5
SECTION 1
SECTION 1 |
| Value
ValuePerformance—SVA
Performance—SVAInsight
Insight
The media industry has outperformed other industry sectors in terms of returns
The media industry
generated has outperformed
for shareholders over the other
past 5industry sectors
years (see in terms
Figure 1) withofbroadcasting
returns
generated for shareholders over the past 5 years (see Figure 1) with broadcasting
specifically seeing an increase in future value significantly above other industry
specifically seeing an increase in future value significantly above other industry
segments (see Figure 2).
segments (see Figure 2).

FIGURE 1 | Year Total Returns to Shareholders (TRS) 2010–2015

FIGURE 1 | Year Total Returns to Shareholders (TRS) 2010 – 2015


Media USA 2.97
Media USA 2.97
Media 2.82
MediaHealthCare
2.82 2.7
HealthCare 2.7
Retail 2.53
Retail 2.53
Cons. Discretionary 2.34
Cons. Discretionary 2.34
Technology 2.06
Technology 2.06
Cons. Staple 2.04
Cons. Staple 2.04
Telecom 1.95
Telecom 1.95

Banking
Banking 1.59 1.59

OilGasOilGas
1.39 1.39

1.0
1.0

2010
2010 2011
2011 2012
2012 2013
2013 20142014 2015 2015

FIGURE 22 || Future
FIGURE Futurevalue
valueasasaapercentage
percentageofofenterprise value
enterprise 2012
value vs 2015
2012 vs 2015

2012 2015 2012–2015 Media Rank


Airlines Superplatforms
74.9% 73.8% 12.0% 5
Superplatforms Airlines
61.8% 61.7% -13.2% 10
Comm Tech Pharma
43.7% 52.9% 30.1% 1
Cable Broadcasting
41.5% 52.6% 16.3% 4
Consumer Goods Cable
39.6% 51.5% 10.0% 6
Broadcasting Telecom
36.3% 43.0% 17.4% 3
Telecom Consumer Goods
25.6% 42.2% 2.60% 7
Pharma Comm Tech
22.8% 35.2% -8.50% 9
Utilities Retail
19.6% 34.2% 19.5% 2
Retail Utilities
14.7% 17.8% -1.70% 8

6 | The Future of Broadcasting V


6 | The Future of Broadcasting V
The result of this outperformance is a FIGURE 3 | Enterprise value / current value split 2012–2015, $bn
widening gap between the future value
and current value of the broadcasters 2012
tracked in our analysis with future value Current value: 267 (65%) Future value: 140 (35%)
growing 31.4 percent per year6 between 2012 407
Current value: 267 (65%) Future value: 140 (35%)
2012 and 2015 (see Figure 3), and now Enterprise value CAGR:
2013 407
accounting for 50 percent of enterprise 16.3%
Current value: 294 (57%) Future value: 220 (43%) Enterprise value CAGR:
value, up from 44 percent last year. 2013 514 16.3%
A closer look at the performance Current value: 294 (57%) Future value: 220 (43%)
of individual broadcasters reveals a 2014 514
divergence between those broadcasters Current value: 319 (56%) Future value: 254 (44%)
2014 573
where Future Value is high (typically Current value: 319 (56%) Future value: 254 (44%)
greater than 70%) as a percentage of 2015 573
Enterprise Value, including Netflix, BskyB, Current value: 322 (50%) Future value: 319 (50%)
2015
Liberty Global, Antenna3 and MediaSet 641
Current value: 322 (50%) Future value: 319 (50%)
vs. those where Future Value is much 641
lower (below 50%). This could be a signal Current value CAGR: 6.5% Future value CAGR: 31.4%
that the industry is becoming Darwinian
in nature with a small number of hugely Current value CAGR: 6.5% Future value CAGR: 31.4%
successful organizations, such as Netflix,
growing very fast and leaving a number FIGURE 4 | Implied market expectations of current value in 2025 and revenue
of casualities in their path. and margin growth required to meet expectations9
Current value (2015): 322
The Netflix case is particularly note-
worthy. In January 2016 shares surged Current value (2015): 322
Gap: future value (2015): 319
15 percent after the company announced
it would reach 200 global markets by Gap: future value (2015): 319
2016 and forecast material global profits. Implied current value (2025)
641
At the time of writing the Netflix share Implied current value (2025)
price 52-week high ($133.27) was 641
over double that of the 52-week low Current revenue growth Current margin growth
($58.46). While there will be infra- 5.0% 0.7%
Current revenue growth Current margin growth
structure, licensing and country specific 5.0%
Required revenue growth 0.7% margin growth
Required
challenges—Kenya has already voiced 5.7% 2.0%
Required revenue growth Required margin growth
concern around the appropriateness of 5.7% 2.0%
Netflix content—the expansion outlook
for Netlfix looks positive. Furthermore,
if Netflix is successful in expanding into As of the end of February 2016 the Meeting soaring future values will require
new territories it may open the door for market stood at $696.46 billion. However, broadcasting peers to perform well above
other technology companies. the impact on the global broadcasting historic trends in relation to growth of
market8 has been moderate. Over the revenue and margin. Broadcasters will
At the same time, the wider media same three weeks (when global markets need to significantly increase fundamen-
market has seen a substantial fall in were also affected by a significant crash tal performance in order to meet implied
value. In just three weeks, $130 billion of the Chinese market), the enterprise market expectations (see Figure 4).
was wiped off the Dow Jones Media value of the broadcasters we track
6 | The Future
Index—a fall of 16 percent—after Disneyof Broadcasting V
decreased by approximately 5% Strong expectations in the broadcasting
issued revised guidance6 in August
| The Future2015 (or ~$30
of Broadcasting V billion). Only three of these market raise one important question.
relating to subscriber losses at its sports broadcasters saw a decline in enterprise With broadcasting future value at an
cable network ESPN7. Since then market value greater or equal to 10 percent all-time high, how will current value rise?
performance has fluctuated greatly but (and, in one case, this was the result
been unable to reach pre-August levels. of a currency devaluation).

6 As measured by Compound Annual Growth (CAGR), which is used throughout this analysis to represent
annual growth rates
7 Over the past six months, the Pay TV industry has lost about 500,000 subscribers, according to analyst
Craig Moffett. While small in comparison to the total number of subscribers (100 million), this loss still
marks one of the worst periods in cable history. Until 2010 the industry had never experienced a quarter
of net subscriber losses
8 As represented by our broadcasting peer set.
9 Current revenue and margin growth is based on average year on year growth from 2012-2015

The Future of Broadcasting V | 7


INDUSTRY THEME 1 FIGURE 5 | Change in advertising revenue as a % of total revenue 2011–2104
Content strategies pay off Antenna3
+2.7%
For the majority of Pay TV broadcasters
MediaSet
tracked in this analysis, the slowing -3.3%
growth of advertising revenues has
TF1
become significant. The traditional linear +5.8%
TV window is losing its appeal with
Prosieben
advertisers and consumers preferring -10.6%
more targeted campaigns focused on
ITV
specific segments. -7.7%
RTL
Between 2011 and 2014 most
-0.9%
broadcasters in the peer set saw their
advertising revenues fall as a share CBS
-9.4%
of overall revenue, in one case by
as much as 10 percent (see Figure 5). Comcast
0.0%

A number of broadcasters have success- Disney


-2.1%
fully made up for this shortfall by
generating more revenue from content Canal+
+0.4%
(acquired from a combination of
international rights deals and local or BSkyB
-0.8%
global syndication). Our analysis found
that those broadcasters who earn 20
percent or more of revenue from content
production and licensing have out- FIGURE 6 | Changes in ROIC, 12/2012–TM 3/2015
performed their peers who rely on
Median
advertising income alone, achieving -15.8%
Capital efficiency (revenue/invested capital with goodwill)

higher levels of capital efficiency and


Sky
larger operating margins (see Figure 6).

Netflix
Advertising DirecTV Content-led
Peers Peers
TFI
ITV
RTL
Antenna3
Median
1.27x
Nippon ProSieben
Cable Televisa
MediaSet CBS
Disney
Comcast
Liberty Global

Operating margin
8 | The Future of Broadcasting V Accenture Video Solution 3
Fostering a culture of creative entrepreneurship is key—and success depends
on a careful cultural balance of creativity, with focused business skills to maintain
commercial viability.

Some broadcasters in the peer set have FIGURE 7 | ROIC for peers with growing content revenues
traditionally produced content, but others Peers with
(>20% of growing contentinrevenues
total revenue 2014) (>20% of total revenue in 2014)
have developed content strategies more
recently. ITV, for example, has made a ITV
substantial investment in original content,
creating a B2B “movie-studio” model CBS
2014
(see case study on page 10). This move
RTL
has helped increase the contribution
of ITV’s international business, as a Disney
proportion of total revenue, by 19 percent 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
over the last five years.
Peers adopting a content strategy — Group 3 outperformed others
Adopting a content strategy has been
popular in the US for many years, where GROUP 1 GROUP 2 GROUP 3
cable networks completely transformed FY 12/2012 FY 12/2012 FY 12/2012
their business by moving into content 13.3% 21.1% 16.4%
production and licensing. Recently, this FY 12/2013 FY 12/2013 FY 12/2013
approach has gained traction in Europe, 13.7% 21.0% 20.8%
where it is considered a less risky option TTM 03/2015 TTM 03/2015 TTM 03/2015
15.1% 19.3% 21.4%
than digital for generating revenue. A
broadcaster setting up a digital service, Notes: Group 1: TF1, Nippon TV, Televisia, Antenna 3, ProSieben; Group 2: Comcast, Canal+,
such as an OTT platform, has no guarantee BSkyB, DirecTV, Mediaset, Netflix. Source: Bloomberg, Accenture analysis.
that it will attract sufficient viewers to
pay off the sizeable up-front investment financial rewards, these rewards are not commercial subsidiary of the BBC, the
in technology that is needed. A broad- without significant investment. In-house division aims to produce content for
caster moving into content production, production capabilities require the very third party media companies (as well
however, will spread investment across DNA of an organization to change. A shift as continuing to serve the BBC itself),
different strands of content and have to content production requires companies and represents a strategic response
numerous options of broadcasters and to embrace risk taking, experimentation to significant shifts in the content
platforms as prospective buyers. As we and (some) failure. production market in recent years.
observed in our Pulse of Media 2015
report, broadcasters are enjoying a Fostering a culture of creative entrepre- Reinvigorated investment in content has
content “renaissance.” neurship is key—and success depends also led to the creation of new content
on a careful cultural balance of creativity, kingdoms beyond Hollywood. Increasingly
Our research shows that content revenues with focused business skills to maintain Brazil and India are becoming content
now account for more than 20% of commercial viability. Companies must hubs, with a wealth of content being
total revenues for those peers deploying establish an operating model which created for consumption locally and
content led strategies, and that content- develops this culture, and within it the around the world. Globo and Televisa are
led broadcasters10 achieved higher levels right talent, skills and processes to obtain good examples of broadcasters who are
of return on invested capital (ROIC) than a competitive edge in content-making. focused on original content production
those who relied on advertising revenues Although already established, the BBC and that have emerged as “export giants.”
alone (see Figure 7). is one such organization revisiting its These broadcasters are emerging as real
approach to in-house production, through challengers to the Netflix expansion
While our analysis has shown that a the creation of a new division, BBC strategy.
shift to content production can provide Studios. Operating as a wholly-owned

10 We define content-led broadcasters as those who earn 20% or more of their revenue from content
production and licensing The Future of Broadcasting V | 9
CASE STUDY | Content-led broadcasters

ITV

933
Five years ago ITV, a UK-based 857 68%
broadcaster, was heavily reliant
712
on advertising income, with 69 439
612 369
percent of its revenue coming 554 271
from advertising. This dependence
226
left it vulnerable to the 2008 183

financial crisis where a loss of


advertising revenues contributed 441 488 494
386
to a 7.3 percent fall in ITV’s 2009 371

revenue.
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Falling revenues accelerated a
International UK
change in strategy for ITV, which
sought to rebalance its revenues FIGURE 8 | ITV Studio revenues 2010-2014
and reduce its reliance on UK Source: ITV Annual reports 2014
advertising income. In the last
five years, the broadcaster has ITV’s content strategy is centered and geographies in order to achieve
made a considerable investment on the assembly of a large portfolio sustainable scale. Fox Studios, for
in its production arm, ITV Studios, of successful series and formats instance, has increased the number
acquiring eleven production with wide appeal. The broadcaster of TV series it produces from
companies as well as UTV’s generally showcases new programs 27 to 43 over the last five years.
television business, UTV Media and formats on local linear Consequently, these broadcasters
in October 201511. By investing channels before licensing them are likely to continue placing their
in content, ITV has been able across multiple platforms in the premium content on as many
to increase the contribution of UK and abroad. devices and platforms (including
its international business as streaming services such as Hulu,
a proportion of total revenue Thanks to the international success NOW TV and Sling TV) in as many
by 19 percent over the last of shows such as Hell’s Kitchen regions as possible.
five years. Boosted by these and I’m a Celebrity…, ITV sold
investments, revenue (UK and 36 formats around the world Other broadcasters have also been
international) from ITV Studios last year and has become the turning to content strategies to
has grown by 68 percent over the largest independent producer diversify their revenue streams
same period (see Figure 8). Today, of unscripted content in the US. away from advertising. RTL, a major
eight years on from ITV’s original European broadcaster, has invested
“content led recovery plan,” More examples in content by acquiring American
their Net Advertising revenue Content-led broadcasters are production company 495 and
vs. non-Net Advertising revenue making their shows and formats a 25 percent stake in Corona
stands at 51:49. widely available across devices Television, a new UK-based drama
producer.

11 As reported in The Guardian, October 2015


10 | The Future of Broadcasting V Accenture Video Solution 3
FIGURE 9 | Number and average value of media deals 2011-2015

Average Deal Size Total Value

2011 $240mn $17bn

2012 $370mn $34bn

2013 $650mn $61bn

2014 $500mn $29bn

INDUSTRY THEME 2
2015 $2,574mn $180bn
Consolidation for scale
drives M&A activity
The value of media-sector M&A deals FIGURE 10 | Number of media deals by segment
in 2015 hit $180bn, exceeding the
TARGET
combined value of transactions
Cable/
completed over the preceding four Satellite TV Broadcasting Publishing Radio TV Content Telecom
years (see Figure 9). This upswing Cable/
75.7(26) 17.0(7) 38.4(21)
in deal value was propelled by the Satellite TV
creation of two new broadcasting Broadcasting 6.8(6) -(11) 2.3(10)
behemoths—AT&T/DirecTV and Charter
ACQUIRER

Communications/Time Warner Cable— Publishing -(6) 9.1(130) 0.3(1) 6.1(4)


and by three significant trends in Radio -(8)
M&A activity. Firstly, consolidation
took place at both ends of the TV Content 2.0(8) 1(29)
value chain, in content creation and
Consolidation
distribution. Secondly, broadcasters Telecom 33.6(21) 0.1(1) 2.0(8) Content
acquired multi-channel networks
(MCNs), to reach new audiences
and advertising revenue pool (see
Figure 10). Thirdly, broadcasters acquired In this new environment it is less the acquisition of customer bases
technology companies specializing in rewarding to remain vertically integrated provides greater ROI through economies
areas such as OTT and programmatic at scale. Consequently broadcasters have of scale. This explains the increase in
advertising. sought to create value through obtaining deals between Telcos and Cable/Satellite
scale at either end of the value chain. Operators. (see Figure 10)
1. Consolidation to provide scale
Upstream, content companies are The AT&T/DirecTV deal has increased
Over recent years the broadcasting
acquiring other content companies. The AT&T’s market share of TV subscribers
industry has seen some major changes:
Fox/Time Warner deal in 2014, in spite from 6 percent to around 28 percent.
barriers to entry within broadcasting
of the bid ultimately being withdrawn If the deal between Charter Communications
have diminished, broadband has become
by Fox, looked to support Fox’s strategic and Time Warner Cable is approved,
mainstream and Digital Terrestrial
imperatives of investing more in quality the combined entity will have an
Television (DTT) and satellite networks
content, breaking out of traditional TV 18.2 percent share of US TV subscribers
(and their associated licenses) have lost
cycles and processes and innovating in and will achieve 3rd position in TV
significant value. This has led to the
development, marketing and distribution. subscriber market share. In the case
emergence of numerous new players,
from telcos to digital natives—with of Rupert Murdoch’s empire, razor thin
At the other end of the value chain it is margins (more prevalent in Pay TV than
significant cash reserves and market
access to growing audiences that is the Free to Air), have made consolidation
capitalization.
strategic imperative. Consolidation in within the B2C business, Sky Europe,
distribution, customer service and channel a necessity and enabled investment
ownership (for instance, Sky Europe and upstream in Fox.
AT&T/DirecTV) can be used to maximize
investment in content. More significantly,

The Future of Broadcasting V | 11


CASE STUDY | Traditional broadcasters and MCNs

ProSiebenSat.1 and Collective Digital Studios

German broadcaster ProSiebenSat.1 joins RTL (which What is a Multi-Channel


ProSiebenSat.1’s acquisition of a owns MCNs Broadband TV and Network?
majority stake in Collective Digital StyleHaul), Disney (which acquired
Multi-Channel Networks (MCNs)
Studios is a recent example of a Maker Studios in a deal valued at
are a new type of player in the
traditional broadcaster assuming $500 million) and DreamWorks
broadcasting industry, whose
control of a major MCN. With an (owner of AwesomenessTV after
innovative business model has
investment of $83 million in July a $95-million transaction) as the
sprung up in the wake of YouTube’s
2015, the broadcaster increased largest groups on YouTube.
explosive growth. MCNs team up
its interest in the MCN from
with digital talent to produce video
20 percent to 75 percent, enabling
content skewed towards younger
it to merge Collective Digital
viewers, which is then distributed,
Studios with its smaller in-house
promoted and monetized through
MCN, Studio 71. The combined
partnerships with YouTube or other
entity, known as CS71, is valued
video-streaming platforms.
at $240 million and set to attract
2 billion video views a month. MCNs vary in scale but the
biggest control thousands of
YouTube channels, have millions of
subscribers and attract billions of
views a month. One of the largest
MCNs, Maker Studios, has more
than 650 million subscribers
and its content is viewed over
10 billion times a month.

12 | The Future of Broadcasting V


2. Acquisition of content “technology media sector” where INDUSTRY THEME 3
technology as much as content is a
Although transactions involving MCNs
competitive advantage. This raises a Growth of Direct to
have been smaller in deal value (estimated
to be in the range of $1.6 billion in
challenge: How do you quickly acquire Consumer Offerings
technology skills and capabilities?
201412), the increased popularity of MCNs
Although digital natives such as Netflix
among content providers, traditional
In response to these challenges, multiple and Hulu have been distributing content
broadcasters and telecom companies is
broadcasters have acquired technology directly to audiences for a number of
likely to have a significant effect on the
companies specializing in areas such years now, more and more broadcasters
market. This impact is likely to be felt in
as OTT and programmatic advertising. are also beginning to offer Direct to
a number of ways, as MCNs:
In March 2014 Comcast acquired the Consumer (D2C) propositions alongside
• providedirect access (B2C) to new video advertising company FreeWheel traditional distribution routes. Premium
global audiences who are beyond the for $360mn. In July 2014 RTL Group content providers such as HBO, CBS,
reach of saturated domestic markets acquired the online video advertising Discovery and Shine have all developed
group SpotXchange. And in August 2015 D2C propositions, and there are plans
• allow broadcasters to take advantage Turner acquired a majority stake in underway by other broadcasters (for
of existing relationships with media technology provider iStreamPlanet, example ShowTime, ESPN and Starz)
buyers to increase advertising revenues to enable live event streaming and to develop D2C OTT services.
• enablebroadcasters to develop and OTT multiplatform solutions.
experiment with new formats The D2C model offers broadcasters
Acquisition to acquire technology skills multiple key strategic benefits. Firstly,
• support access to burgeoning and capabilities is a risky strategy. it allows broadcasters to own the end-
advertising revenue pools. Integration is likely to be tricky and the to-end customer relationship giving
perceived lack of independence may broadcasters access to valuable consumer
The last point has substantial significance quickly reduce revenues of the acquired data, from consumption patterns to
for future revenues. YouTube’s annual organization. More importantly the pace individual user preferences. Savvy
advertising revenue stands at approxi- of technology change will date tangible broadcasters mine this data and uncover
mately $4 billion, while Facebook, Twitter assets and current offerings. What is insights to support strategic business
and Snapchat have all underlined the needed is a fundamental organization- decisions: broadcasters are then better
importance of video to their strategies. wide shift to becoming a technology equipped to make decisions around
Moreover, mobile advertising still has media organization. This requires a content commissioning and product or
substantial room for growth, especially culture where employees are incentivized service optimization. With increased
relative to the amount of time that con- to take risks and experiment and where understanding of its consumers, and more
sumers spend using their mobile devices. failure is acceptable as long as you personalised interactions with individuals,
learn from your mistakes. It’s only when greater customer loyalty and brand
3. Acquisition of technology technology lives within the DNA of a stickiness can be achieved. Broadcasters
The emergence of technology-led media broadcasting organization will it be able can also better target cross- sell and up-
organizations has had a profound impact to successfully compete within this new sell opportunities. Furthermore, revenues
on the industry, prompting traditional technology media sector. derived from advertising can be boosted
broadcasters to quickly develop OTT (over when intelligently targeted advertising
the top services) to support on-demand commands premium rates from agencies.
services and improve customer experience. With the recent US Federal Communica-
The result has been the creation of a tions Commission (FCC) ruling allowing
broadcasters to go Direct to Consumers,
barriers to entry are lower than ever.

12 Enders analysis report: From MCN to next generation media company Part 1: Funding
The Future of Broadcasting V | 13
The Direct to Consumer model also provides INDUSTRY THEME 4 These services often referred to as “skinny
access to growing audience bases that may bundles” offer lower price entry points and
never have considered traditional models.
Diversification of are a timely bid by broadcasters to retain
MCNs are an example of the increasing business models the growing customer segments labelled
popularity of D2C model. MCNs provide TV viewing on traditional platforms is “cord cutters” or “cord shavers.” Specifically
direct access to growing markets at a declining at an accelerated pace. In the they permit consumers to pay lower
lower cost, enabling millions of previously UK average viewing per person per day subscriptions in exchange for a limited
unobtainable eyeballs to be reached. has fallen from 232 minutes in 2014, to selection of perceived high quality channels
Enabling access to audiences through the 220 minutes in 201513. Conversely, OTT that can be consumed on connected
use of a D2C platform (e.g. YouTube) means and IPTV are gaining traction driven by devices whenever and wherever the
niche content creators no longer need to increasing broadband penetration and consumer chooses.
negotiate with operators or distributors changing content consumption behaviors.
and can look for associated revenue While starting from a small base, OTT While margins associated to “skinny
streams (e.g. advertising). revenue growth is projected at 19% CAGR bundles” are significantly smaller than
to 2019, compared to 4% for Pay TV14. traditional cable packages, OTT services
In order to support D2C offerings, At IBC 2015, Time Warner Cable Media provide much richer audience data allowing
broadcasters must think about how to predicted that 50% of its revenue maybe better understanding of preferences and
manage new capabilities such as data generated by VOD in less than five years.15 more targeted advertising opportunities.
analytics and consumer marketing, and However, the major factor in determining
choose between building capabilities In the past, broadcasters have viewed the success of OTT services will be the
in-house versus outsourced solutions. In OTT as a threat to traditional revenues. extent to which cable companies are able
the new D2C world these new capabilities Despite changes in viewing patterns to access new audience bases and gain
are core. The ability to market content and a strong consumer demand for OTT scale, and of course, the extent to which
successfully is an increasingly key factor in services broadcasters have been slow to traditional revenues are impacted. One
determining success, especially with long offer these services themselves in fear of factor that may play to their favor is their
form content. This requires the knowledge cannibalizing core revenues. Where OTT broadband infrastructure. Comcast states
and skills to market in a way that ensures services are offered they have been limited that data used through accessing their new
visibility to, and connection with, target to full cable subscribers, for example stream service will not count against data
audiences. This is not a capability broad- Comcast and the Xfinity TV Go app. caps as it will be routed through bandwidth
casters have, and as with technology skills that is not being paid for. Comcast is also
(see page 12: Acquisition for technology), This trend looks set to change. Faced with testing what it calls usage-based pricing,
fostering a consumer-first marketing the option of cannibalizing their own or charging higher broadband prices to
organization necessitates a cultural shift. revenues or allowing others to cannabalize customers who go over a set monthly
their revenue streams, broadcasters have usage limit.
Likewise, the ability to analyze the data chosen the former. In the UK Sky has
being collected through D2C propositions launched the OTT service Now TV. AT&T and T-Mobile have trialed similar
can have a significant impact on revenue Similarly, Dish TV in the US has launched initiatives—T-Mobile’s “Binge On” offers free
and costs. The success of the Netflix House the pay light OTT service Sling TV, and data for some online video (also referred to
of Cards series through the use of analytics Comcast has recently announced the as zero-rated) that is not counted towards
to understand consumer preferences was launch of a new streaming cable TV a customer’s limited-data plan. While the
build upon Netflix’s technological prowess service, Stream. Stream will let Xfinity FCC has been quick to initiate discussions
and ability to analyze and process large internet customers pay $15 a month on with these carriers to ensure net neutrality
amounts of audience data. These skills are top of their internet bill to watch shows regulations are upheld, these offers could
widely sought after across industries globally. from around a dozen networks on tablet, pan out to be a key differentiator to com-
To fully take advantage of the D2C proposi- laptop and smartphone. peting services such as Netflix and Sling TV.
tions requires broadcasters to optimize scarce
resources and redefine operating models. 13 OFCOM
14 Accenture Research PwC’s Global M&E Outlook, 2015–2019; SNL Kagan’s Multichannel Database
15 http://www.ibcce.org/
14 | The Future of Broadcasting V
SECTION 2 | Value Themes—
Opportunities for value creation
Our value analysis has identified three important financial trends. The widening gap
between future value and performance makes the search for fundamental growth
ever-more pressing. Broadcasters have—with some success—turned to content
strategies to improve performance.

At the same time, broadcasting organizations have sought to create value through
increased M&A activity and consolidation in the industry. But it is unlikely that
these initiatives alone will be sufficient to close the gap between expectations and
performance. We have identified three opportunities for value creation, which we
believe will help broadcasters in their search for new sources of fundamental growth.

The Future of Broadcasting V | 15


VALUE THEME 1 The unbundling of packages and the based on deep insights. This enables
establishment of direct-to-consumer broadcasters to establish direct-to-
Service is king models (such as EROS’s and Lionsgate’s consumer models and offer low-cost
OTT streaming services) have contributed bundles, attracting “cord nevers”
Digital natives have redefined customer
to an increase in transactional video on and “cord shavers” while minimizing
experiences and expectations, not just in
demand. Despite this, transactions have cannibalization from cord cutting.
broadcasting but across every customer-
seen relatively slow growth, as subscrip- If successful, the net impact of these
facing industry worldwide. At the same
tions have remained the dominant form innovations would be to increase the
time, the proliferation of new content
of video on demand, both in transaction size of the broadcasting market by
platforms has meant that consumers
numbers and value. It has, however, attracting consumers who would never
now have far more choices in where to
accustomed consumers to being more have subscribed to a traditional broadcast
spend their entertainment dollars. (This
selective over the content they want, package.
is especially true for video-on-demand
which is affecting consumer attitudes
transactions, where the same content can
toward subscription services. More and Over the last few years, efforts to meet
be on multiple platforms.) This has meant
more, consumers want bundled services17 service expectations have centered on
that the service itself becomes an integral
but with the option of customizing these content discovery through mining insights
part of the customer experience, with
packages to provide what they consider to improve personalized recommendations.
the potential to make content more
to be best value for money. This has been a long-time differentiator
accessible, attractive and engaging.
for Netflix and other digital natives.
In this new world, high-quality content
Price, alongside content and service, Broadcasters now need to develop this
is indispensable, but “service is king.”
has become crucial in an increasingly concept further, not just to meet service
competitive market. As we noted earlier, expectations but to better understand
At the same time audiences will continue
broadcasters such as Verizon Fios–Custom their customer base. This knowledge can
to want what they want, when they
TV, Sky-NOW TV and Dish–Sling TV have then be used to drive advertising revenues
want it. A recent survey16 discovered that
created stand-alone OTT and direct-to- and inform a segment-driven approach to
consumers abandon video streaming if
consumer offerings: skinny bundles with pricing propositions. Again, the ability to
it is delayed by more than two seconds.
low price points. These bundles have succeed will require a deep understanding
Broadcasters, now more than ever, have
had some success to date: Sling TV, for of how technology has changed the
to be able to offer content anywhere (on
instance, has nearly 250,000 subscribers, provision of good customer service.
and off network), anytime (live or time-
and Now TV has attracted 1 million sub- Gone are days where better service means
shifted) and on any device (laptops, PCs,
scribers within two years of its launch. more call centers or onshore vs. offshore
tablets and smartphones), at a low latency
customer service. The look and feel of
and in an easy-to-use, intuitive format.
The key for broadcasters looking to create communications with a new generation
value is to develop a more fragmented of digitally enabled customer requires a
market with a mixture of propositions new way of interaction. In today’s world
tailored to customers’ needs and their customer interactions don’t start at sell
willingness to pay. The use of analytics, and end at churn, they are constant.
driven by the collection of accurate usage, Customer desires need to be predicted and
content-preference and subscription data, acted on and every customer interaction
provides an opportunity for broadcasters must be viewed as an opportunity to
to truly understand segment dynamics surprise and delight customers.
and offer segment-only propositions

16 State of the Internet, 2015, Akamai


17 In Accenture’s Annual Digital Consumer Survey, 2015, 79% of respondents stated they would prefer
a bundled solution from the same provider
16 | The Future of Broadcasting V
VALUE THEME 2 The use of analytics to inform content A siloed approach to analytics will not
strategies was pioneered by Netflix when lead to an improved return on content
Content decision-making determining whether to green light its investments. Only a tightly integrated
original production of House of Cards. analytics strategy, driven by coordinating
Uncertainty exists around many aspects
Today Netflix has over 76,000 micro content strategy, viewing recommendations
of the future of broadcasting, but we
genres of Movies and TV shows (including for users and audience measurement, will
can be confident that two trends will
witty movies directed by Woody Allen, boost the returns on content investments
continue. Firstly, audiences will continue
visually-striking dark dramas and sus- while also building customer satisfaction
to favor high-value content and, secondly,
penseful Japanese movies from the 1960s, and brand loyalty.
technological advances will enable better-
to name a few). This approach enables
quality access to content across a greater
the creation of multiple archetypes or
number of devices. Over the coming years
customer segments. Deep understanding
these trends are likely to fuel demand for
of customer segment preferences ensures
content, which, in turn, will boost its cost.
that insights derived are accurate and can
be relied upon for pricing and program-
Supporting content investments in these
matic decision making. Furthermore they
circumstances poses a challenge to
allow customer segment behavior to be
broadcasters. For those that have acquired
predicted based on the behavior of other
content capabilities of their own, the
customers within the same grouping.
increased cost of content signifies a
Netflix’s recent decision not to renew its
higher opportunity cost for failure, and
deal with Epix (which means popular films
for those that have not, it means the
like The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
stakes are raised when it comes to
and World War Z have disappeared from
making programming decisions.
Netflix) is likely to have been informed
by insights from predictive analytics of
To meet this challenge, broadcasters
its users’ content-consumption patterns.
need to become better at exploiting and
analyzing the data they collect. Analytics
are vital in meeting service expectations
and supporting pricing propositions, but
they also provide a strategic tool for
The use of analytics to inform content strategies was
content decision-making. Insights about pioneered by Netflix when determining whether to
how viewers engage with content can
help broadcasters with crucial decisions: green light its original production of House of Cards.
whether to build or buy in a new series Today Netflix has over 76,000 micro genres of Movies
or re-commission an existing show, what
talent to attach to projects, what genres and TV shows (including witty movies directed by
(scripted versus non-scripted, sports Woody Allen, visually-striking dark dramas and
versus drama) to build content strategies
around, and how best to format and suspenseful Japanese movies from the 1960s, to
distribute content (exclusive versus name a few).
exhaustive, binge-watching on OTT versus
Sunday evening network primetime).

The Future of Broadcasting V | 17


VALUE THEME 3 FIGURE 11 | Average market capitalization of the top industry players in the
broadcast, cable, telecom and super platform industries 12/2012–05/2015, $bn
Exploiting the
2012 2015 2012–2015
broadcast advantage
Broadcast Broadcast
16.7 29.3 +76%
The broadcasting ecosystem continues to
expand rapidly beyond traditional broad- Cable & Satellite Cable & Satellite
casters, as digital natives increasingly 28.1 47.3 +69%
use content to drive growth within their Telecom Telecom
wider business (as illustrated by Amazon’s 101.9 116.7 +15%
loss-leading Prime bundle, Rakuten’s Superplatforms Superplatforms
acquisition of Wukai.tv, and Alibaba’s 182.9 297 +62%
announcement of the launch of Tmall Box
Office). While growth in enterprise value
The first can be summed up in one word: In addition, consumers increasingly value
across the broadcasting industry has
trust. Most broadcasters have been at real-life experiences (as demonstrated by
increased, a typical broadcaster’s average
the heart of their national cultural life the enduring appeal of live concerts and
market capitalization still stands at just
for decades, and audiences have grown sports events in the age of digital and social
over 10 percent of an average super
up with them in their lives. Accenture’s media). Broadcasters can use their employees
platform’s (see Figure 11).
Digital Consumer Survey found that a to create shared real-life moments for
greater number of respondents (31 percent) viewers, which help forge deeper relation-
This is a significant disadvantage in an
trusted broadcasters to provide a ships and trust with audiences.
industry where cash for investments
high-quality service than internet-video
in high-quality content and the best
providers (15 percent) and social-media Broadcasters wishing to exploit the human
platforms or services to showcase it on,
service providers (5 percent) combined. advantage must reintegrate people into the
coupled with scale to access new and
interface, providing human interaction and
far-reaching audience bases, are major
Furthermore, consumers show a clear curation at the points that really matter. To
differentiators.
preference for obtaining digital services achieve this, they will need to strategically
from one provider, rather than several. consider which services are appropriate to
Moreover, as Accenture’s recent report
Broadcasters have a significant manage with machines and which with
Bringing TV to Life V highlighted, the
opportunity to use this customer trust humans. They need to ensure that human
uniquely digital heritage of these new
and preference for bundled services to interaction makes a fundamental difference
entrants to the broadcasting industry
increase their share of customer wallet. at the points along the customer journey
gives them an inherent understanding of
where it matters most, for example when
how digital consumers behave and what
The second advantage centers on a thing go wrong, when viewers need help
they want. Digital natives, such as super
broadcaster’s greatest asset: its people. deciding what to watch and when
platforms, also possess a mastery of the
Human curation is vital. Digital natives customers are considering leaving.
capabilities needed to target and serve
are likely to have the edge in deriving
consumers effectively on a global scale.
insights from analytics, but they may lack This will require a shift in organizational
the human input needed to make content culture and performance management.
At first sight, the picture looks bleak for
and services resonate emotionally with However, early adopters fusing analytics with
broadcasters who, having evolved from
audiences. For broadcasters this human human curation are seeing success. MUBI,
traditional terrestrial networks, tend to
element is second nature, as it has a curated online cinema streaming service,
lack the agile operations and digital skills
been at the heart of decisions about combines insights from analytics with those
of their new competitors. But broadcasters
content commissioning, scheduling and of their in-house film buffs to bring an ele-
have two significant advantages over
advertising inventory for many years. ment of human curation to their audiences.
other industry players.
Every day they introduce a new film curated
by their experts, which can be watched by
18 | The Future of Broadcasting V
users over the subsequent 30 days.
To succeed, broadcast employees will need to become more open to using data in
decision-making and become accustomed to combining art with science. To achieve
this, broadcasters need to value their people for that undefinable “human” element
and measure them on the quality, and not the quantity, of their interactions with
consumers.

The Future of Broadcasting V | 19


Authors About the series About Accenture
Gavin Mann The Future of Broadcasting series is now in Accenture is a leading global professional
Global managing director its fifth year. Since 2011 we have charted services company, providing a broad
Accenture Broadcasting the rapid evolution of the broadcasting range of services and solutions in strategy,
industry. consulting, digital, technology and
Francesco Venturini operations. Combining unmatched
In the first edition of The Future of
Global managing director experience and specialized skills across
Broadcasting we saw the market’s
Accenture Media & Entertainment more than 40 industries and all business
clear preference for pay broadcasters’
functions—underpinned by the world’s
subscription-based models over the
Ekta Malhotra largest delivery network—Accenture
advertiser-funded free to air (FTA) model.
Senior manager works at the intersection of business
By the second issue, enterprise value
Accenture Strategy and technology to help clients improve
across the sector had increased signifi-
Communications, Media & Technology their performance and create sustainable
cantly with all broadcasters enjoying
value for their stakeholders. With
a recovery in value. By 2012/13 the
approximately 373,000 people serving
distinction between FTA and pay business
clients in more than 120 countries,
models had become even less relevant,
Accenture drives innovation to improve
with investors looking for all broadcasters
the way the world works and lives.
to embrace more sophisticated strategies
Visit us at www.accenture.com.
adapted to an era of constant change.
Last year we saw the distinction between
business models continuing to disappear
and noted another large increase in
enterprise value (up 43 percent from
2012), fueled by future value, signifying
rising market optimism within
broadcasting.

This year we observe that the gap between


future value and current value is widening,
with future value at an all-time high.
We also assess the strategies that
broadcasters are implementing to create
value: investing in content production and
licensing, and achieving scale through
consolidation.

Copyright © 2016 Accenture.


All rights reserved.
This document is produced by consultants at Accenture as general guidance.
Accenture, its logo, and It is not intended to provide specific advice on your circumstances. If you
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are trademarks of Accenture. your Accenture representative.

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