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Significant decline in common stock price since our last update report
Common BUY Veolia Environnement S.A.’s (Veolia) common stock price has declined significantly since our last
Direct
update access
report to general
reflecting the full reportin free
weakness global of charge
equity marketsatand investor concerns over the
Stock http://www.iirgroup.com/researchoracle/viewreport/show/20179
company’s profit warning that was announced on 19 June 2008. However, as we maintain our
Ticker: VIE.PA fundamental outlook for the company, we reiterate our BUY rating the common stock until we revalue
the company following the announcement of its 1H 08 results.
Target price: €59.35
Current price: €34.65
We will reassess our common stock rating for Veolia after the company announces its 1H 08 results
Price change
(20.3%) on 07 August 2008.
since last report:
ADR BUY We expect to revert to a 6-24 month investment horizon in order to value the company in our next full
update report, as we no longer anticipate a significant currency impact in the medium term1. Given
current price levels, we reiterate our BUY rating for the ADR.
Ticker: VE
Target price: US$100.18
Current price: US$54.61 We will reassess the ADR rating for Veolia after the company announces its 1H 08 results.
Price change
(22.3%)
since last report:
However, we continue to believe that the company remains fundamentally strong and that the recent
decline in the common stock price primarily reflects temporary negative market sentiment. We expect
that the company will continue to benefit from a number of acquisitions and contracts renewals in FY
2007. Although we may revise our estimates slightly downwards after the company announces its
results on 07 August 2008, given current price levels, we maintain our BUY rating for the common
stock.
Footnote
1We now expect the US dollar to appreciate significantly against the Euro over the next 6-24 months and USD/Euro is expected to range
between 1.56 – 1.35 over the period. We are therefore likely to take a 6-24 month investment horizon for this stock to capture the
anticipated long term.
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