Autos buses camiones PORCENTAJES DE CAMIONES

años TPDA %A %B %C 2DA 3A 4C

2000 1686 63 10 27 23 53 13
2001 1864 72 9 19 23 53 13
2002 1830 63 9 28 23 53 13
2003 1656 61 11 28 23 53 13
2004 1716 63 11 26 23 53 13
2005 1905 65 10 25 24 50 13
2006 1864 64 11 25 26 45 14
2007 2100 65 9 26 20 53 14
2008 2268 63 11 26 20 53 14
2009 2390 66 9 25 29 43 14
2010 2554 67 6 27 20 52 14

VEHICULOS TPDA # DE EJES FDVC

Ton
2DA SRD 10 2.21

SRS 7 SRS
3A
TANDEM 20 4.43 BUS TANDEM

SRS 7
4C
TRIDEM 24 2.45

SRS 7 SRS
TANDEM 20 TANDEM
T3-S3 TRIDEM 24 5.61 T2-S2 TANDEM

TRANSITO EQUIVALENTE

# ANIOS TPDA buses camiones

TIPO 3A 2DA 3A 4C T3-S3
FACTOR DAÑO (F.D)
4.43 2.21 4.43 2.45 5.61
1 2000 1686 168.6 104.7 241.3 59.2 41.0
2 2001 1864 167.8 81.5 187.7 46.0 31.9
3 2002 1830 164.7 117.9 271.6 66.6 46.1
4 2003 1656 182.2 106.6 245.8 60.3 41.7
5 2004 1716 188.8 102.6 236.5 58.0 40.2
6 2005 1905 190.5 114.3 238.1 61.9 47.6
7 2006 1864 205.0 121.2 209.7 65.2 46.6
8 2007 2100 189.0 109.2 289.4 76.4 43.7
9 2008 2268 249.5 117.9 312.5 82.6 47.2
 10 2009 2390 215.1 173.3 256.9 83.7 41.8
11 2010 2554 153.2 137.9 358.6 96.5 48.3
12 2011
13 2012
14 2013
15 2014 LINEAL
16 2015
3900.00
17 2016
18 2017 3700.00
19 2018
20 2019 3500.00

21 2020 3300.00
f(x) = 118.2915862727x - 234351.762206271
R² = 0.7980863177
22 2021
3100.00

2900.00

2700.00

2500.00
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

POLINOMICO

3900.00

3700.00

3500.00 f(x) = 9.172639042x^2 - 36663.9909719914x + 36639794.776063

R² = 0.8355167949

3300.00

3100.00

2900.00

2700.00

2500.00
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

EXPONENCIAL

3900.00

3700.00
 EXPONENCIAL

3900.00

3700.00

3500.00
f(x) = 1.50065405500477E-33 exp( 0.0416528433 x )
3300.00 R² = 0.7902816758

3100.00

2900.00

2700.00

2500.00
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 203
AJES DE CAMIONES
T3-S3 T2-S2
9 2
9 2
9 2
9 2
9 2
10 3
10 5
8 6
8 6
7 7
7 8

7
20 4.43

7
20
20 7.59

a;os Ejes
1 2000 2491.0 2011
T. EJES
T2-S2 EQUIVALEN 2 2001 2100.1 2012
7.59 TES 3 2002 2692.8 2013
9.1 2491.03 4 2003 2583.5 2014
7.1 2100.11 5 2004 2545.6 2015
10.2 2692.83 6 2005 2678.7 2016
9.3 2583.51 7 2006 2703.2 2017
8.9 2545.62 8 2007 3041.5 2018
14.3 2678.72 9 2008 3485.8 2019
23.3 2703.17 10 2009 3231.0 2020
32.8 3041.53 11 2010 3498.2 2021
35.4 3485.79
 41.8 3231.04
55.2 3498.20 2005
3529.19
3647.48
3765.77 Error pronostico
3884.06
4002.35
4120.64
4238.93 (ANIO -ANIO PROMEDIO)2
4357.22 2000 25
4475.51 2001 16
4593.80 2002 9
4712.09 2003 4
2004 1
2005 0
2006 1
2007 4
2008 9
2025 2030
2009 16
2010 25

SUMA 110

transito
equivalente error
Anios diario pronostico
proyectado

2011 4291.0 370.9

2012 4432.8 382.3
2013 4573.8 393.4
2014 4714.3 404.2
2015 4854.1 414.7
2016 4993.4 424.9
2017 5132.3 434.9
2018 5270.6 444.7
2019 5408.6 454.3
2020 5546.1 463.6
2021 5683.2 472.8

2030
2020 2025 2030
 CORRECCION
Ejes. pr E. estandar
3529.19 1077780.53 2011 3529.19 761.834801 4291.0248
3647.48 2394368.08 2012 3647.48 785.281339 4432.76134
3765.77 1151199.47 2013 3765.77 808.047831 4573.81783
3884.06 1691424.18 2014 3884.06 830.190227 4714.25023
4002.35 2122049.99 2015 4002.35 851.757201 4854.1072
52

4120.64 2079145.54 2016 4120.64 872.791411 4993.43141

2.
97

4238.93 2358550.18 2017 4238.93 893.330489 5132.26049

4357.22 1731049.12 2018 4357.22 913.407839 5270.62784
4475.51 979538.695 2019 4475.51 933.053266 5408.56327
4593.8 1857112.09 2020 4593.8 952.293501 5546.0935
4712.09 1473526.43 2021 4712.09 971.152629 5683.24263
18915744.3
nostico

(ANIO -ANIO PROMEDIO)2 e.pronostico

2011 36 370.9
2012 49 382.3
2013 64 393.4
2014 81 404.2
2015 100 414.7
2016 121 424.9
2017 144 434.9
2018 169 444.7
2019 196 454.3
2020 225 463.6
2021 256 472.8

Limite
superios
Error
Zr transito
Proyectado equivalente
diario

2.054
2.054
2.054
2.054
2.054
2.054
2.054
2.054
2.054
2.054
2.054