ONTARIO PARTISAN RATING BY RIDING (INCOMPLETE)

RIDING/PARTY PARTISAN RATING 2011 FED % 2 0 1 1 F E D + /-ON AVG 2 0 1 4 PR OV % 2 0 1 4 PRO V +/- AVG 2015 FED % 2 01 5 FE D + /-O N AVG 2018 PROV % 20 1 8 PROV + /- AVG PART ISAN RAT ING
(t ra nsp by A. F unk ) (.2 2 ) ( tr ans p. by K. Hut to n) ( .24 ) (. 26 5 ) (.2 7 5 ) PRE -2 0 1 8 PRO V.

1 Ajax/PC < -1.5 44.2 -0.2 28.5 -2.8 33.4 -1.6 39.1 -1.4 -1.7

Ajax/NDP -7.1 15 -10.6 16.3 -7.5 8.2 -8.4 31.0 -2.6 -8.7
Ajax/LIB 10.3 37.9 12.6 51.8 13.1 55.9 10.1 25.8 6.2 12.0

2 Algoma-Man/PC< -13.3 32.5 -11.9 17.3 -14.0 23.7 -11.3 24.6 -15.9 -12.5

Algoma-Man/NDP 25.4 49.9 24.3 53.4 29.6 39.9 23.3 58.3 24.7 26.0

Algoma-Man/LIB -11.7 14.5 -10.8 24.5 -14.2 34.1 -10.7 8.3 -11.3 -12.1

3 Aurora-OR-RH/PC< 10.7 51.5 7.1 38.1 6.8 47.3 12.3 56.0 15.5 8.7
Aurora-OR-RH/NDP -12.5 16 -9.6 10.5 -13.3 5.7 -10.9 18.0 -15.6 -11.5

Aurora-OR-RH/LIB 2.9 27.9 2.6 45.7 7.0 45.2 0.4 21.7 2.1 3.6

4 Barrie-Innisfil/PC< 11.2 61.3 16.9 38.9 7.6 46.4 11.4 50.0 9.5 11.5

Barrie-Innisfil/NDP -5.4 20.3 -5.3 17.0 -6.8 11.8 -4.8 28.6 -5.0 -5.7
Barrie-Innisfil/LIB -7.1 12.5 -12.8 37.5 -1.2 37.1 -7.7 12.5 -7.1 -6.6

5 Barrie-S-OM/PC< 6.9 54.4 10.0 38.5 7.2 41.7 6.7 44.8 4.3 7.8
Barrie-S-OM/NDP -6.5 20 -5.6 15.0 -8.8 10.3 -6.3 28.2 -5.4 -7.1

Barrie-S-OM/LIB -4.2 16.9 -8.4 39.3 0.6 41.6 -3.2 13.6 -6.0 -3.2
Barrie-S-OM/GRN 6.8 11.7

6 Bay of Quinte/PC< 5.4 51.8 7.4 39 7.7 34.4 -0.6 48.1 7.6 4.9
Bay of Quinte/NDP -3.9 23 -2.6 17.1 -6.7 12.1 -4.5 31.8 -1.8 -4.8

Bay of Quinte/LIB -0.8 20.9 -4.4 38.2 -0.5 50.7 5.9 14.9 -4.7 0.5

7 Beaches-EY/PC< -20.0 22.7 -21.7 13.9 -17.4 16.4 -18.6 18.4 -22.1 -19.0

Beaches-EY/NDP 14.9 41.6 16.0 39 15.2 30.8 14.2 48.2 14.6 15.1
Beaches-EY/LIB 4.8 30.8 5.5 40.1 1.4 49.5 4.7 27.0 7.4 3.6

8 Brampton Centre/PC< -1.9 46.4 2.0 25.8 -5.5 33.7 -1.3 38.1 -2.4 -2.0

Brampton Centre/NDP 1.7 23.2 -2.4 29.1 5.3 15.1 -1.5 38.4 4.8 0.9

Brampton Centre/LIB 0.3 25.4 0.1 38.3 -0.4 48.6 3.8 17.4 -2.2 1.1

9 Brampton East/PC< -12.4 29.5 -14.9 13.9 -17.4 23.5 -11.5 33.6 -6.9 -14.8
Brampton East/NDP 15.0 37.7 12.1 53.1 29.3 23.0 6.4 46.9 13.3 16.9

Brampton East/LIB 0.5 30.7 5.4 30.9 -7.8 52.3 7.5 16.6 -3.0 0.9

10 Brampton North/PC< -2.4 48.9 4.5 24.4 -6.9 33.0 -2.0 36.3 -4.2 -2.1

Brampton North/NDP 1.4 18.8 -6.8 31.3 7.5 16.5 -0.1 37.6 4.0 1.0
Brampton North/LIB 2.3 28.2 2.9 39.9 1.2 48.4 3.6 21.2 1.6 2.5

11 Brampton South/PC< -0.9 45.4 1.0 26.0 -5.3 35.0 0.0 41.0 0.5 -1.8
Brampton South/NDP -4.0 16.4 -9.2 21.9 -1.9 10.7 -5.9 33.9 0.3 -5.3

Brampton South/LIB 5.4 35.4 10.1 44.7 6.0 52.1 7.3 18.9 -0.7 7.6

12 Brampton West/PCx -4.4 42 -2.4 21.9 -9.4 30.1 -4.9 39.4 -1.1 -6.0

Brampton West/NDP -0.6 19.6 -6.0 26.1 2.3 12.4 -4.2 38.1 4.5 -2.2
Brampton West/LIB -0.1 36.1 10.8 46 7.3 30.1 -14.7 18.5 -1.1 1.0

13 Brantford-Brant/PCx 2.4 48.4 4.0 29.5 -1.8 40.9 5.9 42.0 1.5 2.4

Brantford-Brant/NDP 5.8 29 3.4 27.4 3.6 24.8 8.2 40.9 7.3 5.1

Brantford-Brant/LIB -8.1 18.9 -6.4 37.9 -0.8 30.7 -14.1 9.5 -10.1 -6.8

14 Bruce-Grey-OS/PC< 13.5 56.3 11.9 47.6 16.3 46.7 11.7 54.7 14.2 13.6
Bruce-Grey-OS/NDP -7.7 17.6 -8.0 15.9 -7.9 11.1 -5.5 24.1 -9.5 -7.1

Bruce-Grey-OS/LIB -8.4 16.1 -9.2 27.1 -11.6 38.8 -6.0 12.3 -7.3 -9.1

15 Burlington/PC< 5.4 54.1 9.7 36.9 5.6 42.5 7.5 40.4 -0.1 7.4

Burlington/NDP -7.1 18.9 -6.7 14.4 -9.4 9.1 -7.5 28.6 -5.0 -8.0
Burlington/LIB 2.4 23.2 -2.1 43.4 4.7 46.0 1.2 24.6 5.0 1.6

16 Cambridge/PC< 2.1 52.7 8.3 32.5 1.2 38.7 3.7 37.0 -3.5 4.0
Cambridge/NDP -1.0 27.9 2.3 21.7 -2.1 13.9 -2.7 32.5 -1.1 -1.1

Cambridge/LIB -1.5 15.4 -9.9 38.9 0.2 43.2 -1.6 23.3 3.7 -3.2

17 Carleton/PC< 15.2 61.7 17.3 53.1 21.8 46.9 11.9 51.3 10.8 17.3

Carleton/NDP -11.3 13.4 -12.2 12.3 -11.5 6.1 -10.5 22.5 -11.1 -11.4
Carleton/LIB -3.9 20.9 -4.4 28.0 -10.7 43.7 -1.1 19.4 -0.2 -5.8

18 Chatham-Kent-L/PC< 8.2 53.2 8.8 37.0 5.7 41.7 6.7 51.9 11.4 6.9

Chatham-Kent-L/NDP 3.5 27.2 1.6 32.7 8.9 18.4 1.8 35.7 2.1 4.5

Chatham-Kent-L/LIB -10.7 16.3 -9.0 23.8 -14.9 37.2 -7.6 8.1 -11.5 -10.8

19 Davenport/PC< -25.5 14.2 -30.2 7.5 -23.8 10.6 -24.4 16.1 -24.4 -25.8
Davenport/NDP 24.0 53.7 28.1 40.2 16.4 41.4 24.8 60.3 26.7 22.4

Davenport/LIB 1.8 27.9 2.6 45.6 6.9 44.3 -0.5 18.7 -0.9 3.3

20 Don Valley East/PC< -7.0 36.4 -8.0 24.3 -7.0 29.2 -5.8 33.2 -7.3 -6.9

Don Valley East/NDP -7.0 21.9 -3.7 12.0 -11.8 10.4 -6.2 27.4 -6.2 -7.7
Don Valley East/LIB 15.6 38.4 13.1 58.7 20.0 57.8 13.0 35.9 16.3 15.8

21 Don Valley North/PC< 1.2 40.3 -4.1 32.7 1.4 37.8 2.8 44.4 3.9 0.3
Don Valley North/NDP -9.8 20.7 -4.9 11.0 -12.8 8.5 -8.1 20.9 -12.7 -9.0

Don Valley North/LIB 10.8 37.3 12.0 52.6 13.9 51.4 6.6 30.9 11.3 11.0

22 Don Valley West/PCx 0.3 43.9 -0.5 32.5 1.2 37.6 2.6 38.5 -2.0 1.2

Don Valley West/NDP -14.2 10.8 -14.8 6.9 -16.9 6.0 -10.6 18.8 -14.8 -14.2
Don Valley West/LIB 15.5 41.5 16.2 56.3 17.6 53.8 9.0 38.9 19.3 14.4

23 Dufferin-Caledon/PC< 11.7 59 14.6 39.9 8.6 46.3 11.3 53.1 12.6 11.2
Dufferin-Caledon/NDP -11.8 13.2 -12.4 11.7 -12.1 7.3 -9.3 20.3 -13.3 -11.3

Dufferin-Caledon/LIB -8.1 13.1 -12.2 30.7 -8.0 39.1 -5.7 12.5 -7.1 -8.4
Dufferin-Caledon/GRN 14.7 16.9 7.3 12.5

24 Durham/PC< 7.1 55.2 10.8 32.6 1.3 45.1 10.1 46.7 6.2 6.9
Durham/NDP 0.0 23.8 -1.8 28.4 4.6 16.0 -0.6 31.7 -1.9 1.1

Durham/LIB -6.4 15.5 -9.8 34.2 -4.5 35.8 -9.0 16.8 -2.8 -7.5

25 Eglinton-Law/PC< 3.1 46.8 2.4 33.8 2.5 42.6 7.6 40.2 -0.3 4.2

Eglinton-Law/NDP -14.0 11.6 -14.0 7.3 -16.5 6.3 -10.3 18.1 -15.5 -13.8
Eglinton-Law/LIB 13.1 38.4 13.1 54.8 16.1 48.9 4.1 38.7 19.1 11.3

26 Elgin-Mid-London/PC< 14.7 58.1 13.7 47.1 15.8 49.2 14.2 55.4 14.9 14.7

Elgin-Mid-London/NDP -0.5 24.1 -1.5 26.2 2.4 15.4 -1.2 32.0 -1.6 0.1

Elgin-Mid-London/LIB -14.1 13.4 -11.9 20.0 -18.7 31.0 -13.8 7.3 -12.3 -15.2

27 Essex/PC< -0.7 48.3 3.9 21.8 -9.5 35.7 0.7 42.3 1.8 -2.4
Essex/NDP 21.5 34.9 9.3 60.3 36.5 41.4 24.8 48.5 14.9 25.0

Essex/LIB -18.4 14.3 -11.0 14.3 -24.4 20.9 -23.9 5.7 -13.9 -20.5

28 Etobicoke Centre/PC< -1.4 41.9 -2.5 22.5 -8.8 37.3 2.3 42.7 2.2 -3.4

Etobicoke Centre/NDP -12.0 14.6 -11.0 11.5 -12.3 7.9 -8.7 18 -15.6 -10.7
Etobicoke Centre/LIB 11.2 40.6 15.3 45.7 7.0 52.8 8.0 34.4 14.8 9.7

29 Etobicoke-Lake/PCx -1.5 40.2 -4.2 34.1 2.8 32.5 -2.5 38.4 -2.1 -0.9
Etobicoke-Lake/NDP -5.6 20.3 -5.3 12.5 -11.3 10.9 -5.7 32.8 -0.8 -7.8

Etobicoke-Lake/LIB 7.9 35.1 9.8 47.6 8.9 53.7 8.9 24.3 4.7 9.2

30 Etobicoke-North/PCx -4.7 32 -12.4 22.5 -8.8 23.0 -12.0 52.5 12.0 -10.9

Etobicoke-North/NDP -3.4 23.6 -2.0 25.7 1.9 12.4 -4.2 25.4 -8.2 -1.2
Etobicoke-North/LIB 9.8 42.6 17.3 45.7 7.0 62.4 17.6 18.2 -1.4 13.4

31 Flamborough-Glan/PC 6.5 55.4 11.0 35.5 4.2 43.5 8.5 43.5 3.0 7.5

Flamborough-Glan/NDP -1.4 22.8 -2.8 22.7 -1.1 14.0 -2.6 34.2 0.6 -2.1

Flamborough-Glan/LIB -5.3 16.9 -8.4 35.6 -3.1 39.1 -5.7 15.4 -4.2 -5.4

32 Glengarry-P-R/PC 1.8 48.8 4.4 32.6 1.3 36.4 1.4 41.0 0.5 2.2
Glengarry-P-R/NDP -10.2 16.7 -8.9 12.5 -11.3 7.9 -8.7 21.8 -11.8 -9.8

Glengarry-P-R/LIB 4.9 30.6 5.3 49.7 11.0 36.4 -8.4 31.7 12.1 3.0

33 Guelph/PC -12.5 32.9 -11.5 20.8 -10.5 26.4 -8.6 21.8 -18.7 -10.2

Guelph/NDP -7.9 16.7 -8.9 17.7 -6.1 12.0 -4.6 21.6 -12.0 -6.4
Guelph/LIB 3.2 43.3 18.0 41.5 2.8 49.1 4.3 10.1 -9.5 7.6

Guelph/GRN 6.1 19.3 11.3 45.0

34 Haldimand-Nor/PC 13.4 50.9 6.5 52.2 20.9 44.1 9.1 57.1 16.6 13.0

Haldimand-Nor/NDP -4.0 20 -5.6 23.2 -0.6 13.6 -3.0 26.9 -6.7 -2.8
Haldimand-Nor/LIB -9.7 24.9 -0.4 19.7 -19.0 36.6 -8.2 9.2 -10.4 -10.2

35 Haliburton-KL-B/PC 12.6 60 15.6 40.3 9.0 44.8 9.8 56.7 16.2 11.1
Haliburton-KL-B/NDP -2.9 22.1 -3.5 20.1 -3.7 19.4 2.8 26.5 -7.1 -1.5

Haliburton-KL-B/LIB -9.7 12.9 -12.4 35.3 -3.4 31.8 -13.0 9.9 -9.7 -9.1

36 Hamilton Centre/PC -21.3 23.5 -20.9 12.7 -18.6 14.7 -20.3 15.7 -24.8 -19.8

Hamilton Centre/NDP 31.4 60.3 34.7 54.6 30.8 45.6 29.0 65.3 31.7 31.3
Hamilton Centre/LIB -12.1 13.1 -12.2 21.9 -16.8 33.4 -11.4 10.9 -8.7 -13.7

37 Hamilton E-SC/PC -10.6 36.9 -7.5 18.1 -13.2 25.3 -9.7 28.7 -11.8 -10.4

Hamilton E-SC/NDP 18.5 44.3 18.7 45.9 22.1 32.7 16.1 51.2 17.6 19.2

Hamilton E-SC/LIB -8.3 13.6 -11.7 29.9 -8.8 39.0 -5.8 12.1 -7.5 -8.6

38 Hamilton Mtn/PC -11.6 32.3 -12.1 17.6 -13.7 25.7 -9.3 28.8 -11.7 -11.8
Hamilton Mtn/NDP 21.9 48.5 22.9 48.6 24.8 35.9 19.3 54.6 21.0 22.5

Hamilton Mtn/LIB -10.5 15.6 -9.7 28.1 -10.6 33.5 -11.3 9.2 -10.4 -10.6

39 Hamilton W-A-D/PC -5.2 42.4 -2.0 25.8 -5.5 31.8 -3.2 31.0 -9.5 -3.8

Hamilton W-A-D/NDP 3.4 28.2 2.6 24.9 1.1 16.3 -0.3 43.2 9.6 1.1
Hamilton W-A-D/LIB 1.8 24.9 -0.4 43.2 4.5 47.7 2.9 19.8 0.2 2.6

40 Hastings-L&A/PC 8.8 54.9 10.5 39.7 8.4 41.9 6.9 50.3 9.8 8.5
Hastings-L&A/NDP -2.0 24 -1.6 22.9 -0.9 12.8 -3.8 32.1 -1.5 -2.1

Hastings-L&A/LIB -6.5 17.1 -8.2 31.2 -7.5 42.4 -2.4 11.5 -8.1 -6.0

41 Humber River-BC/PC -16.5 22.1 -22.3 11.0 -20.3 20.2 -14.8 30.3 -10.2 -19.0

Humber River-BC/NDP 3.7 27.8 2.2 39.2 15.4 10.7 -5.9 37.4 3.8 4.7
Humber River-BC/LIB 14.8 47 21.7 46.7 8.0 66.9 22.1 27.9 8.3 16.5

42 Huron-Bruce/PC 10.1 55 10.6 39.0 7.7 44.9 9.9 52.4 11.9 9.2

Huron-Bruce/NDP -2.5 25.3 -0.3 22.9 -0.9 13.0 -3.6 29.0 -4.6 -1.6

Huron-Bruce/LIB -6.7 16.5 -8.8 30.9 -7.8 39.7 -5.1 13.9 -5.7 -7.2

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