LCCI L3 Certificate in Business Statistics Collation

L3
Pearson
LCCI Level 3 Certificate in
Business Statistics (VRQ)
(ASE20100)
SAMPLE ASSESSMENT MATERIALS

For first teaching from January 2015
Mark Scheme
Sample Assessment Materials
Pearson LCCI
Level 3 Certificate in
Business Statistics (ASE20100)
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Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics 1

Sample Assessment Materials – Issue 1 – April 2015 © Pearson Education Limited 2015
2 Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics
Write your name here
Surname Other names
Centre Number Candidate Number
Pearson LCCI
Certificate in Business Statistics

Level 3
Sample assessment material for first teaching Paper Reference
January 2015 ASE20100

Time: 3 hours
You must have: Total Marks

statistical formulae sheet (enclosed), HB pencil, eraser
Instructions
• Use black ink or ball-point pen
– use a pencil to draw diagrams/graphs.
• Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name,
centre number and candidate number.
• Answer allthequestions.
Answer
• – there may bequestions in the spaces provided
more space than you need.
• Answers should be given to an appropriate degree of accuracy.
Information
• The total mark for this paper is 100.
• The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
• Calculators
A formulae sheet is provided at the front of the question paper.
• may be used.
Advice
• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
• Try to answer every question.
• Checkareyour
You advised to show your workings.
• answers if you have time at the end.
Turn over
S48188A
©2014 Pearson Education Ltd.
*S48188A0125*
1/1
Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics Formula sheet
Median for grouped data lm + c m (n Fm (

1
fm 2
Where l m , cm and f m are the lower boundary, width and frequency respectively of
the median class, n is the total number of observations and Fm 1
is the cumulative
frequency corresponding to l m .
∑x
Mean for ungrouped data x n
∑ fx
Mean for grouped data x
∑f
∑ x2
Standard deviation for ungrouped data s n
( x)2
∑f x2
(∑∑ x (
2
Standard deviation for grouped data s ∑f
f
f
Pearson measure of skewness 3 x Median

s
s
Coefficient of variation x
100
Multiplication rule of probability P ( A B) P ( A) P ( B ) if A and B independent
Addition rule of probability P ( A B) P (A ) P (B ) P (A B)
Price Quantity
p1 q0 p0 q1
Laspeyres index 100 100
p0 q0 p0 q0
p1 q1 p1 q1
Paasche index 100 100
p0 q 1 p1 q0
WI
Weighted index
W
n xy x y
Product moment correlation coefficient r
n x 2
∑x 2
n y2 y 2
6 ∑d
2
Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient rs 1

n ( n2 1)
Least Squares regression line y a bx

n xy x y
b
n x 2
x 2
2
4
*S48188A0225* Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics
One sample z test
x µ p
Mean z Proportion
1
n
Two sample z test
x1 x2
Mean z Proportion
s 21 s 22
n1 n2
n 1 p1 n 2 p2
where p n1 n2
One Sample t test
x µ 2
t s where s n 1
n
Independent samples t test
2 2
where s
1 1 2
2
2
Chi squared test
2
Test for 1 2
3
*S48188A0325*
Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics
5
Turn over
Table 1: The Normal Distribution
A is the area to the left of the given value of z A
O z
z A z A z A z A z A
0.00 0.5000 0.50 0.6915 1.00 0.8413 1.50 0.9332 2.00 0.9772
0.01 0.5040 0.51 0.6950 1.01 0.8438 1.51 0.9345 2.02 0.9783
0.02 0.5080 0.52 0.6985 1.02 0.8461 1.52 0.9357 2.04 0.9793
0.03 0.5120 0.53 0.7019 1.03 0.8485 1.53 0.9370 2.06 0.9803
0.04 0.5160 0.54 0.7054 1.04 0.8508 1.54 0.9382 2.08 0.9812
0.05 0.5199 0.55 0.7088 1.05 0.8531 1.55 0.9394 2.10 0.9821
0.06 0.5239 0.56 0.7123 1.06 0.8554 1.56 0.9406 2.12 0.9830
0.07 0.5279 0.57 0.7157 1.07 0.8577 1.57 0.9418 2.14 0.9838
0.08 0.5319 0.58 0.7190 1.08 0.8599 1.58 0.9429 2.16 0.9846
0.09 0.5359 0.59 0.7224 1.09 0.8621 1.59 0.9441 2.18 0.9854
0.10 0.5398 0.60 0.7257 1.10 0.8643 1.60 0.9452 2.20 0.9861
0.11 0.5438 0.61 0.7291 1.11 0.8665 1.61 0.9463 2.22 0.9868
0.12 0.5478 0.62 0.7324 1.12 0.8686 1.62 0.9474 2.24 0.9875
0.13 0.5517 0.63 0.7357 1.13 0.8708 1.63 0.9484 2.26 0.9881
0.14 0.5557 0.64 0.7389 1.14 0.8729 1.64 0.9495 2.28 0.9887
0.15 0.5596 0.65 0.7422 1.15 0.8749 1.65 0.9505 2.30 0.9893
0.16 0.5636 0.66 0.7454 1.16 0.8770 1.66 0.9515 2.32 0.9898
0.17 0.5675 0.67 0.7486 1.17 0.8790 1.67 0.9525 2.34 0.9904
0.18 0.5714 0.68 0.7517 1.18 0.8810 1.68 0.9535 2.36 0.9909
0.19 0.5753 0.69 0.7549 1.19 0.8830 1.69 0.9545 2.38 0.9913
0.20 0.5793 0.70 0.7580 1.20 0.8849 1.70 0.9554 2.40 0.9918
0.21 0.5832 0.71 0.7611 1.21 0.8869 1.71 0.9564 2.42 0.9922
0.22 0.5871 0.72 0.7642 1.22 0.8888 1.72 0.9573 2.44 0.9927
0.23 0.5910 0.73 0.7673 1.23 0.8907 1.73 0.9582 2.46 0.9931
0.24 0.5948 0.74 0.7704 1.24 0.8925 1.74 0.9591 2.48 0.9934
0.25 0.5987 0.75 0.7734 1.25 0.8944 1.75 0.9599 2.50 0.9938
0.26 0.6026 0.76 0.7764 1.26 0.8962 1.76 0.9608 2.55 0.9946
0.27 0.6064 0.77 0.7794 1.27 0.8980 1.77 0.9616 2.60 0.9953
0.28 0.6103 0.78 0.7823 1.28 0.8997 1.78 0.9625 2.65 0.9960
0.29 0.6141 0.79 0.7852 1.29 0.9015 1.79 0.9633 2.70 0.9965
0.30 0.6179 0.80 0.7881 1.30 0.9032 1.80 0.9641 2.75 0.9970
0.31 0.6217 0.81 0.7910 1.31 0.9049 1.81 0.9649 2.80 0.9974
0.32 0.6255 0.82 0.7939 1.32 0.9066 1.82 0.9656 2.85 0.9978
0.33 0.6293 0.83 0.7967 1.33 0.9082 1.83 0.9664 2.90 0.9981
0.34 0.6331 0.84 0.7995 1.34 0.9099 1.84 0.9671 2.95 0.9984
0.35 0.6368 0.85 0.8023 1.35 0.9115 1.85 0.9678 3.00 0.9987
0.36 0.6406 0.86 0.8051 1.36 0.9131 1.86 0.9686 3.05 0.9989
0.37 0.6443 0.87 0.8078 1.37 0.9147 1.87 0.9693 3.10 0.9990
0.38 0.6480 0.88 0.8106 1.38 0.9162 1.88 0.9699 3.15 0.9992
0.39 0.6517 0.89 0.8133 1.39 0.9177 1.89 0.9706 3.20 0.9993
0.40 0.6554 0.90 0.8159 1.40 0.9192 1.90 0.9713 3.25 0.9994
0.41 0.6591 0.91 0.8186 1.41 0.9207 1.91 0.9719 3.30 0.9995
0.42 0.6628 0.92 0.8212 1.42 0.9222 1.92 0.9726 3.35 0.9996
0.43 0.6664 0.93 0.8238 1.43 0.9236 1.93 0.9732 3.40 0.9997
0.44 0.6700 0.94 0.8264 1.44 0.9251 1.94 0.9738 3.50 0.9998
0.45 0.6736 0.95 0.8289 1.45 0.9265 1.95 0.9744 3.60 0.9998
0.46 0.6772 0.96 0.8315 1.46 0.9279 1.96 0.9750 3.70 0.9999
0.47 0.6808 0.97 0.8340 1.47 0.9292 1.97 0.9756 3.80 0.9999
0.48 0.6844 0.98 0.8365 1.48 0.9306 1.98 0.9761 3.90 1.0000
0.49 0.6879 0.99 0.8389 1.49 0.9319 1.99 0.9767 4.00 1.0000
0.50 0.6915 1.00 0.8413 1.50 0.9332 2.00 0.9772
4
6
*S48188A0425* Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certiﬁcate in Business Statistics
Table 2: t Distribution
tA is the value of the t statistic with ν degrees of freedom with area A to the right of it
A
O tA
ν 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
t0.05 6.31 2.92 2.35 2.13 2.02 1.94 1.90 1.86
t0.025 12.71 4.30 3.18 2.78 2.57 2.45 2.37 2.31
t0.01 31.82 6.97 4.54 3.75 3.37 3.14 3.00 2.90
t0.005 63.66 9.93 5.84 4.60 4.03 3.71 3.50 3.36
ν 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
t0.05 1.83 1.81 1.80 1.78 1.77 1.76 1.75 1.75
t0.025 2.26 2.23 2.20 2.18 2.16 2.15 2.13 2.12
t0.01 2.82 2.76 2.72 2.68 2.65 2.62 2.60 2.58
t0.005 3.25 3.17 3.11 3.05 3.01 2.98 2.95 2.92
ν 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
t0.05 1.74 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.72 1.71 1.71
t0.025 2.11 2.10 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.08 2.07 2.06
t0.01 2.57 2.55 2.54 2.54 tA 2.53 2.52 2.50 2.49
t0.005 2.90 2.88 2.86 2.86 2.85 2.83 2.81 2.80
Table 3: Chi squared Distribution Table

χ2A is the value of the χ2 statistic with ν degrees of freedom with area A to the right of it
A
O χ 2
A
ν 1 2 3 4 5 6
2
χ 0.05 3.84 5.99 7.81 9.49 11.07 12.59
χ20.01 6.63 9.21 11.34 13.28 15.09 16.81
ν 7 8 9 10 11 12
2
χ 0.05 14.07 15.51 16.92 18.31 19.68 21.03
χ20.01 18.48 2.09 21.67 23.21 24.73 26.22
5
*S48188A0525*
Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certiﬁcate in Business Statistics
7
Turn over
Answer ALL questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided.
1 Town officials want residents to apply for home improvement grants.
They need to find out the most effective way to inform residents of the grants.
A random sample of 300 residents was contacted by letter, email or telephone,
informing them about the grants.
The table summarises the results obtained.
Outcome
Contact method Apply for a grant Do not apply for a grant
Telephone 35 110
Letter 12 42
Email 37 64
Analysis of these outcomes, using a software package, gave a calculated chi squared
(χ2) value = 5.701
(a) (i) Test whether there is a significant association between the method used to
contact residents and whether they proceeded to apply for a grant.
(3)
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(ii) State, in context, what the test in (a) (i) shows.

(1)
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6
8
(b) Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate for the overall percentage of
residents who did not apply for a grant.
(5)
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One of the town officials suggested that the accuracy of the estimate in (b) should be
improved to within 2% at the 95% confidence level.
(c) (i) Calculate the sample size that would be needed to achieve this level of
improvement:
(4)
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7
Sample Assessment Materials – Issue 1 – April 2015 © Pearson Education Limited 2015 *S48188A0725* Turn over
9
(ii) Give one non-statistical reason for rejecting this change in the sample size.
(1)
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The town official also claims that the average value of a grant application is £1250.
An analysis of a random sample of nine applications suggests that the average value
of a grant is £1272 with a variance of £441.
(d) (i) Test whether the town official’s claim regarding the average value of a grant
application is correct.
(5)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) State, in context, what the test in (d) (i) shows.

(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(Total for Question 1 = 20 marks)
8
10
2 A bus company is considering offering its drivers an annual bonus based on the
number of journeys they complete on time.
To budget for the cost of these bonus payments, management analysed a random
sample of arrival and departure times on one of their bus routes.
The route selected was the daily service between Towns X and Y.
On 80% of the journeys recorded, the buses departed Town X on time and on 20% of
the journeys, they departed Town X late.
Of the buses that departed Town X on time, 15% arrived in Town Y early, 65% arrived
on time and the remainder arrived late.
Of the buses that departed Town X late, 25% arrived in Town Y on time and 75%
arrived late.
(a) Draw a fully-labelled tree diagram to represent this information.
(4)
9
*S48188A0925*
11
Turn over
(b) Calculate the probability that a bus journey selected at random:
(i) did not arrive in Town Y late
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) departed Town X late, given that it did not arrive in Town Y late
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(iii) departed Town X on time, given that it did not arrive in Town Y on time.
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10
12
In an effort to increase passenger numbers and revenue, the bus company is
promoting the purchase of monthly discounted tickets.
One of the drivers suggested that more passengers use discounted tickets on
journeys from Town X to Town Y, than on the return journeys from Town Y to Town X.
To test this suggestion, she surveyed a random sample of 50 passengers who
travelled from Town X to Town Y last Friday and recorded 15 passengers using
discounted tickets.
Equivalent data based on a random sample of 45 passengers on the return journey
from Town Y to Town X recorded 12 passengers using discounted tickets.
(c) (i) Test whether the proportion of passengers using discounted tickets is
significantly different on journeys from Town X to Town Y than on journeys
from Town Y to Town X.
(9)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
11
13
(ii) State, in context, what the test in (c) (i) shows.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
12
14
BLANK PAGE
13
*S48188A01325*
15
Turn over
3 A large supermarket chain is planning to open a new store in one of nine English
regions.
The decision on which region is chosen will be based on the number of houses built,
median house prices and change in regional traffic flow over a 10 year period, for
each region.
The table shows a summary of statistics relating to housing and transport for the nine
English regions.
English Region Number of houses Median house price Percentage increase

built (000) in 2013 (X) (£000) in 2013 (Y) in traffic between
2003 and 2013
North East 3.9 120 9.1
North West 12.9 130 9.2
Yorkshire 10.6 130 8.4
East Midlands 9.0 135 7.3
West Midlands 9.1 142 7.8
East 13.5 175 6.8
London 12.2 250 –6.3
South East 22.0 203 4.2
South West 13.8 175 11.6
(Source: © Crown copyright 2014)
Initial analysis of the data above using an appropriate software package gave the
following summary results:
∑X = 107 ∑Y = 1460 ∑X² = 1463.32 ∑Y² =251548 ∑XY = 18323.7
14
16
(a) Calculate the product moment correlation coefficient for the data, using the
summary results provided.
(4)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(b) (i) Test whether the product moment correlation coefficient calculated in (a) is
significantly different from zero.
(5)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) State, in context, what the test in (b) (i) shows.

(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
15
17
The regression line for the X,Y data passes through the following pairs of coordinates
(11.889, 162.21) and (20, 203.19).
(c) Find the regression equation in the form y = a + bx.
(4)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
The data for median house price and percentage increase in traffic from 2003 to 2013
were ranked. A spreadsheet analysis of the ranked data gave a value for ∑d² of 197.
(d) (i) Calculate Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient for the two sets of data
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) State, in context, what the coefficient in (d) (i) shows.

(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
16
18
(e) Calculate the percentage difference of the median house price in the South East
region in 2013 compared to the London region in the same year.
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
17
19
4 The manager of a nationwide chain of coffee shops is concerned about the falling
profits across the business.
She suggests carrying out customer-satisfaction interviews to find likely reasons for
the decline in profits.
Customers are categorised into four groups: pensioners, adults, teenagers and
children. Based on earlier surveys the manager believes the four groups to be in
roughly equal proportions.
The proposal is to have face-to-face interviews with a sample of 70 pensioners,
70 adults, 70 teenagers and 70 children.
(a) (i) Name this type of sampling:
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) Give three reasons why simple random sampling from the company’s coffee
shops might be unsuitable.
(3)
1 . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . ................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2 . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . ................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
3 . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . ................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
As an alternative, the manager suggests that a quota sample of customers from

shops in one city should be selected.
(b) (i) Give one advantage of quota sampling.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) Give one reason why quota sampling may not be suitable.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
18
20
(c) Describe how a sample of customers could be selected using cluster sampling.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
The Financial Accountant prepares a statement of quarterly sales revenue for one
coffee shop from 2012 to 2014. Part of the spreadsheet summary is provided.
Year 2012 2013 2014
Quarter 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Sales
revenue 78 96 106 84 82 94 102 78 72 90 98 80
(£000)
The first centred moving average value for sales revenue is £91 500.
(d) Calculate the remaining moving averages for 2012 to 2014.
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(e) Describe the following patterns in the sales data:

(i) the trend
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
19
21
(ii) the quarterly variation.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(f ) Estimate the second quarter seasonal effect using the additive model.
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(g) Estimate the sales revenue for the second quarter of 2015.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
The coffee shop will close if the sales revenue for any quarter falls below £78 500.
(h) Calculate the quarter when this is likely to happen, using only your trend
estimate from part (g).
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
20
22
5 As part of the trainee selection process, the manager of a large engineering company
asks applicants to complete a short numeracy test.
The table shows the marks achieved (out of a maximum mark of 100) by the
applicants who completed the test:
Marks awarded Frequency

(x)
0 < x ≤ 10 20
10 < x ≤ 25 48
25 < x ≤ 40 60
40 < x ≤ 60 56
60 < x ≤ 88 42
88 < x ≤ 100 6
(a) (i) Draw a histogram to represent the data, on the graph paper provided.
(5)
21
*S48188A02125*
23
Turn over
22
24
(ii) Describe the shape of the distribution shown on the histogram in (a) (i).
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(iii) State the modal class of the data.

(1)
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. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
After the trainees had been selected, the company arranged a training course in basic
numeracy.
A random sample of 10 trainees was selected for this course. The marks achieved by
the sample before starting the training course were recorded together with the marks
achieved on an equivalent test after completing the training course.
The results are summarised.
Trainee A B C D E F G H I J
Marks before training

46 86 52 72 48 55 73 42 32 62
course (%)
Marks after training

62 72 60 75 44 66 71 63 43 74
course (%)
(b) (i) Test whether the marks achieved after the training course show a significant
improvement on the marks achieved before the training course.
(9)
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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23
25
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. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) State, in context, what the test in (b)(i) shows.

(1)
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(iii) Give one advantage of using a paired t test, rather than an independent t test,
in this case.
(1)
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24
26
(c) (i) Define a Type 1 error.
(1)
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(ii) State, with a reason, if a type 1 error has occured when carrying out the test in
(b)(i).
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(1)
TOTAL FOR PAPER = 100 MARKS
25
Sample Assessment Materials – Issue 1 – April 2015 © Pearson Education Limited 2015 *S48188A02525* 27
Abbreviations
M1 Method Mark
This is used to reward candidates where there is evidence of the
candidate having adopted the correct method for a calculation, but
where the accuracy of the answer is not necessarily being awarded a
mark.
A1 Accuracy Mark
This is used to reward candidates who have attained the answer to a
specific calculation representing a method in the question. If stated in
the mark scheme, the own figure rule can be used with the accuracy
mark.
of Own Figure rule

Accuracy marks can be awarded where the candidates’ answer does
not match the mark scheme, though is accurate based on their valid
method.
cao Correct Answer Only rule

Accuracy marks will only be awarded if the candidates’ answer is
correct, and in line with the mark scheme.
oe Or Equivalent rule
This rule is used when the value of an answer may be presented in a
variety of ways, such as fractions (simplified/non-simplified/mixed),
decimals, percentages. The candidates’ answer must be equivalent in
value to the mark scheme answer.
awrt ‘Anything Which Rounds To’ rule

This rule is used when the candidate supplies a figure which rounds
to the value determined by the mark scheme.

Question Answer (AO2) 1/ (AO3) 2 Mark
1(a)(i) Award 1 mark (AO3) for statement and explanation of
both the null and alternative hypotheses, e.g.
Null hypothesis/H0: there is no association between method (1)

of contact and grant application outcome.
Alternative hypothesis/HA/H1: there is an association
between method of contact and grant application outcome.
Award 1 mark (AO2) for either critical chi-squared

value (cao)
(Degrees of freedom (r-1)(c -1) = (3-1)(2-1) = 2)
Critical chi-squared (2) 5.99/9.21 (1)
Award 1 mark (AO3) for accepting the null hypothesis

at the relevant level, e.g.
Accept the Null hypothesis at the 0.05 level.

Accept the Null hypothesis at 0.05 and 0.01 levels. (1)
(3)
Question Answer (AO4) 1 Mark

1(a)(ii) Award 1 mark for interpreting a conclusion, in
context, at a given level.
There is no association between method of contact and

grant application outcome.
(1)

1(b)
216 (A1
p= = 0.72
300 cao)
(M1)
Standard error = 0 . 72 (1  0 . 72 )
300
=0.0259 (A1 of)
0.72 ± (1.96)(0.0259) (M1)
Award full marks for correct range, e.g. (A1

cao)
Between:
0.669 and 0.771
66.9% and 77.1%
67% and 77%
(5)
Question Answer (AO2)4 Mark

1(c)(i) Award 1 method mark for correct use of the formula (M1,A1
for the interval estimate. Award 1 accuracy mark for of)
substituting own figure value of p from (b) into the
correct formula.
1.96x 0 . 72 (1  0 . 72 ) < 0.02

n
(0.72)(1  0.72)
3.8416 x <n (M1)
0.0004
n=1937 (accept 1936 or 2016 based on either 1.96 or 2 SE)

(A1of)
(4)

1(c)(ii) Award 1 mark for any valid response, e.g.
Increased cost/time/resources
Not acceptable: doubling the sample size (1)
Question Answer (AO2) 3/(AO3) 2 Mark

1(d)(i) Award 1 mark (AO3) for statement and explanation of (1)
Null hypothesis/H0: there has been no significant change in

the average value of the grant request
Alternative hypothesis/HA/H1: there has been a significant
change in the average value of the grant request.
Award 1 mark(AO2) for either critical (t) value (cao) (A1)
(Degrees of freedom (n-1) = 8)

Critical (t) = 2.31/3.36
s= 441  21
x
t=
s/ n
1272  1250 (M1)

=
21/ 9
=3.143 (A1cao)
Award 1 mark (AO3) for rejecting and accepting the

null hypothesis at the relevant level, e.g. (1)
Reject the Null hypothesis at the 0.05 level but accept the
Null hypothesis at the 0.01 level.
(5)

Question Answer (AO4)1 Mark
1(d)(ii) Award 1 mark for interpreting a conclusion, in
context, at both levels.
There is some evidence to suggest that there has been a

significant change in the average value of the grant request.
Not acceptable: There is evidence there has been a

significant change in the average value of the grant request.
(1)

2(a) Award 1 mark for 1st pair of branches. Must show the (1)
correct label or correct probability on each branch.
Award 1 mark for 2nd set of branches following on (1)

from the on time branch. Must show the correct label
or correct probability on each branch.
Award 1 mark for 2nd pair of branches following on (1)

from the late branch. Must show the correct label or
correct probability on each branch.
Award 1 mark for fully labelled - description plus (1)

probability on each branch.
(4)

2(b)(i) Award 1 mark for selecting correct branches (of) and
applying multiplication and addition rules correctly.
(0.8 x 0.8) + (0.2 x 0.25) (M1)
= 0.69 (A1 of)
(2)
Question Answer(AO2) 2 Mark

2(b)(ii) Award 1 mark for selecting correct branches (of) and
applying conditional rules correctly.
(0.2 x 0.25) /0.69 (M1)
= 0.0724 (A1 of)
(2)

2(b)(iii) Award 1 mark for selecting correct branches (of) and
applying conditional rules correctly.
(0.8 x 0.65) / (0.8 x 0.65)+(0.2 x 0.25) (M1)
= 0.912 (A1 of)
(2)

Question Answer (AO2) 7 / (AO3) 2 Mark
2(c)(i) Award 1 mark (AO3) for statement and explanation of (1)
Null hypothesis/H0: there is no significant difference in the

proportions using the discounted ticket on the journeys
from Town X to those returning to Town X.
Alternative hypothesis/HA/H1: there is a significant
difference in the proportions using the discounted ticket on
the journeys from Town X to those returning to Town X.
Award 1 mark (AO2) for both (cao) (1)

p1 = 15/50= 0.3 p2 = 12/45 =0.267
Award 1 mark(AO2) for either critical z value (cao) (1)
critical z = 1.96/2.58
pooled p = (15+ 12)/(50 + 45) (M1)

=0.284 (A1 of)
p1  p2
z= =
1 1 
p(1  p)   
n m 
Award 1 method mark for correct use of the formula

for the test. Award 1 accuracy mark for substituting (M1)
own figure value of pooled p into the correct formula. (A1 of)
0.3  0.267
1 1
0.284(1  0.284)   
 50 45 
0 .0 3 3
0 .0 9 2 6
 0.356 (A1
cao)

at the relevant level, e.g. (1)

Accept the Null hypothesis at 0.05 and 0.01 levels.
(9)

2(c)(ii) Award 1 mark for interpreting a conclusion, in
context, at either level.
There is no significant difference in the proportions of

passengers using the discounted ticket on the journeys from
Town X compared to those returning to Town X.
Not acceptable: more people travel from Town X than

return to Town X (1)

3(a) Award 1 method mark for correct use of the formula.
Award 1 accuracy mark for substituting all correct
figures into the formula.
9x18323.7  107x1460 (M1)

(9x1463.32  11449)(9x251548  2131600) (A1cao)
Award 1 mark for either denominator or numerator

correct.
8693.3 (A1)

15090.6
r= 0.576 (A1cao)
(Accept 0.58)
(4)

Question Answer (AO2) 3/ (AO3) 2 Mark
3(b)(i) Award 1 mark (AO3) for statement and explanation of (1)
Null hypothesis H0: no significant correlation between houses

built and price.
Alternative hypothesis /HA/H1: there is significant correlation
between houses built and price.
Award 1 mark (AO2) for either critical t value (cao)
(Degrees of freedom (n-2) =7)

critical t = 2.37/3.5 (A1)
Calculated t = r√(n-2)
√(1-r² )
Award 1 method mark (AO2) for correct use of

formula. Award 1 accuracy mark (AO2) for substituting
own figures correctly into the formula.
(M1)
= (0.576)(√7)
√(1-0.3318)
= 0.576 x 2.646
0.817
(A1cao)
t = 1.865
(Accept 1.87)
(1)
at the relevant level, e.g.

Accept the Null hypothesis at 0.05 and 0.01 levels.
(5)

3(b)(ii) Award 1 mark for interpreting a conclusion, in context,
at either level.
There is no significant correlation between number of houses

built and median house prices.
Not acceptable: there is a connection between the number

of houses built and median house price. (1)

3(c) 162.21= a+11.889b (M1 cao)
203.19 = a+20b (M1 cao)
Subtraction giving a=102.14 b=5.052 (A1 cao

for both)
y=102.14+5.052x (A1of)
(4)

3(d)(i) Award 1 method mark for correct use of the formula. (M1,
Award 1 accuracy mark for substituting all correct A1)
figures into the formula.
Sp=1- [(6x197/(9x80)]
Sp= -0.642 (A1cao)
(3)

3(d)(ii) Award 1 mark for interpreting the value of the
Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient, in context,
e.g.
As house prices increase some evidence that the % increase

in traffic reduces/Some evidence that as the % increase of
traffic increases, house prices decrease.
(1)

3(e) (250-203/250)X100 (M1)
= 18.8% (lower in the SE region) (A1cao)
(2)

4 (a)(i) Award 1 mark for correct answer only.
Stratified sampling
(1)

4(a)(ii) Award 1 mark for any valid reasons up to a maximum
of 3 marks, e.g.
No sample frame
Cost
Geographical spread
Likely non response (fast-food)
Non-representative
(3)

4(b)(i) Award 1 mark for any valid advantage, e.g.
More convenient
Cheaper
Quicker
Not acceptable: more accurate (1)

4(b)(ii) Award 1 mark for any valid reason, e.g.
Non representative
Doesn’t allow for further statistical analysis
Not acceptable: too large a sample (1)

4(c) Award 1 mark for each element of description.
Random selection of a region (1)

Choose shop at random from within the region (1)
Select representative quota from shop (1)
(3)

4(d) Award 1 method mark either for a correct method
seen or for a correct moving average seen (not 91.5).
Award 1 accuracy mark for moving average figures all
correct.
Example of method mark: (M1)

(96 + 106 + 84 +82)/4 = 92
(106 + 84 + 82 + 94)/4 = 91.5
(92 + 91.5)/2 = 91.75
91.5 91.75 91 89.75 87.75 86 85 84.75 (A1)
(2)

4(e)(i) Award 1 mark for correct description.
Trend declining
(1)

4(e)(ii) Award 1 mark for any valid response, e.g.
Seasonal peaks in Q3
Seasonal troughs in Q1
(1)

4(f) Award 1 method mark for use of formula. Award 1
accuracy mark for correct estimate.
(Y-T) for Q2 4.25 5.25

mean seasonal effect 9.5/2 (M1)
= 4.75 (A1)
(Accept 4.8)
(2)

4(g)
t n  t1 84.75  91.5
Trend growth = =
n 1 8 1
= -0.964 (A1of)
Award 1 mark for the correct use of formula.
forecast 84.75 - (4)(0.964) + 4.75 (M1)

= £85 644 (A1 of)
(3)

4(h) Award 1 method mark for use of formula. Award 1
accuracy mark for correct quarter and year. (M1)
84.75 – n(0.964)
= 78.5
n= 6.487
Q1 2016 (A1 of)
(2)
Question Answer (AO2) 4 /(AO3) 1 Mark
5(a)(i) Award 1 method mark for calculating frequency (M1,
densities. Award 1 accuracy mark for correct A1)
frequency densities (cao).
Frequency densities 2 3.2 4 2.8 1.5 0.5
Award 1 mark (AO2) for correct horizontal plots (1)

(class interval).
Award 1 mark (AO2) for correct vertical plots. (1)
Award 1 mark (AO3) for correct scales/labels. (1)
Linear scale
Correct labelling of horizontal axis: marks/x
Correct labelling of vertical axis: frequency
density
Title not required

Frequency density
Marks awarded
(5)
5(a)(ii) Award 1 mark for any valid response based on own
figure histogram, e.g.
Skew to left
Positive skew
Symmetrical/normal
Not acceptable : bimodal (1)

5(a)(iii) Award 1 mark (AO2) for
25<x≤40 (of)
Not acceptable: the class with the largest frequency. (1)

Question Answer (AO2) 7 / (AO3) 2 Mark
5(b)(i) Award 1 mark (AO3) for statement and (A1)
explanation of both the null and alternative
hypotheses, e.g.
Null hypothesis: there is no significant difference in

the marks achieved after the training.
Alternative hypothesis: there is a significant
improvement in the marks achieved after the
training course.
Award 1 mark (AO2) for either critical t value (A1)

(cao)
(Degrees of freedom = (n-1) =9)
critical t value OTT = 1.83/2.82
d d² (d-d) ²
16 256 96.04
-14 196 408.04
8 64 3.24
3 9 10.24
-4 16 104.04
11 121 23.04
-2 4 67.24
21 441 219.04
11 121 23.04
12 144 33.64
d  6.2
∑d² = 1372 or (d  d )² = 987.6 (A1cao mean)
(A1caoƩd²)
s= (d  d ) 2 / n  1
= 987.6 / 9
= 10.475 (M1)
(A1 of)
d 0
t
s/ n
6.2  0

10.475 / 10 
(M1)
6.2

3.3126
 1.872
Award 1 mark (AO3) for rejecting and (A1 cao)
accepting the null hypothesis at the relevant (1)
level, e.g.
reject the Null hypothesis at the 0.05 level but
accept the Null hypothesis at the 0.01 level.
(9)
5(b)(ii) Award 1 mark for interpreting the value of t, in
context, e.g.
There is some evidence that training significantly improves

the marks achieved.
(1)

5(b)(iii) Award 1 mark for advantage of using paired t test,
e.g.
Concentrate on the effect of the training rather than

individual trainee differences.
Not acceptable: Independent t test uses 2 different

samples. (1)

5(c)(i) Award 1 mark for correct definition.
Type 1 error: incorrectly rejecting a true null hypothesis

(1)

5(c)(ii) Award 1 mark for indication of possible occurrence at
the relevant level with a valid reason, e.g.
Type 1 error may have occurred at 0.05 level as Null

hypothesis is rejected.
(1)
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LCCI L3 Certificate in Business Statistics Collation

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L3

SAMPLE ASSESSMENT MATERIALS

Sample Assessment Materials

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• Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates must be rewarded

• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on the mark scheme should be

• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will provide the

• If candidates fail to provide their workings when instructed in the paper, it

Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics 1

Centre Number Candidate Number

Certificate in Business Statistics

January 2015 ASE20100

You must have: Total Marks

Median for grouped data lm + c m (n Fm (

Pearson measure of skewness 3 x Median

Multiplication rule of probability P ( A B) P ( A) P ( B ) if A and B independent

Addition rule of probability P ( A B) P (A ) P (B ) P (A B)

Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient rs 1

Least Squares regression line y a bx

Two sample z test

One Sample t test

Independent samples t test

t0.025 12.71 4.30 3.18 2.78 2.57 2.45 2.37 2.31

t0.01 31.82 6.97 4.54 3.75 3.37 3.14 3.00 2.90

t0.005 63.66 9.93 5.84 4.60 4.03 3.71 3.50 3.36

t0.025 2.26 2.23 2.20 2.18 2.16 2.15 2.13 2.12

t0.01 2.82 2.76 2.72 2.68 2.65 2.62 2.60 2.58

t0.005 3.25 3.17 3.11 3.05 3.01 2.98 2.95 2.92

t0.025 2.11 2.10 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.08 2.07 2.06

t0.01 2.57 2.55 2.54 2.54 tA 2.53 2.52 2.50 2.49

t0.005 2.90 2.88 2.86 2.86 2.85 2.83 2.81 2.80

Table 3: Chi squared Distribution Table

χ20.01 6.63 9.21 11.34 13.28 15.09 16.81

χ20.01 18.48 2.09 21.67 23.21 24.73 26.22

Contact method Apply for a grant Do not apply for a grant

(ii) State, in context, what the test in (a) (i) shows.

(ii) State, in context, what the test in (d) (i) shows.

(Total for Question 1 = 20 marks)

(Total for Question 2 = 20 marks)

English Region Number of houses Median house price Percentage increase

North East 3.9 120 9.1

North West 12.9 130 9.2

Yorkshire 10.6 130 8.4

East Midlands 9.0 135 7.3

West Midlands 9.1 142 7.8

East 13.5 175 6.8

London 12.2 250 –6.3

South East 22.0 203 4.2

South West 13.8 175 11.6

(Source: © Crown copyright 2014)

(ii) State, in context, what the test in (b) (i) shows.

(ii) State, in context, what the coefficient in (d) (i) shows.

(Total for Question 3 = 20 marks)

As an alternative, the manager suggests that a quota sample of customers from

Year 2012 2013 2014

(e) Describe the following patterns in the sales data:

(Total for Question 4 = 20 marks)

Marks awarded Frequency

(iii) State the modal class of the data.

Marks before training

Marks after training