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Source: Bloomberg, THEAM. From January 2007 to April 2017 Source: Economic Policy Uncertainty. From January 1970 to April 2017
Source: Bloomberg, THEAM. From January 1970 to April 2017 Source: THEAM. Proprietary advanced economic indicators. From January 2006 to April 2017
It can become a leading indicator of financial instability. A long spell of low volatility, on the other hand,
may be an indicator of the undervaluation of risks and, as such, of a likely increase in financial fragility.
60 70
50 60
50
40
40
30
30
20
20
10 10
0 0
Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16
VIX equity volatility Index (LHS) T-bond yield volatility index (RHS)
One dedicated
investment
Senior Investment specialist, former
Andrea Mossetto 10 10 6 Paris investment team
Specialist
member
1 A global multi-asset flexibly managed portfolio targeting 7.5% portfolio volatility at any time (‘Isovol’
mechanism*)
Fixed risk budget asset allocation to provide a stable risk profile without sacrificing potential returns
2 Volatility drives portfolio exposure, thus the asset allocation of the fund
Over the past five years, consistent performance by the Cross Asset team managing EUR 4 billion (EUR
3
2.6 billion using an Isovol approach) out of a total EUR 38.21 billion in assets managed by THEAM
RATINGS PERFORMANCE
* Commonly called target volatility funds. Source: THEAM, as of end of April 2017. Past performance is not a guide to future performance
* Hedged against currency risk for European investors ** The sub-fund does not directly hold commodities or real estate. Portfolio holdings are subject to change at any
time without notice and should not be construed as investment recommendations. Some of the above guidelines are internal guidelines mentioned for information
purposes only and may be subject to change without notice. Please refer to the prospectus and KIID guidelines for further information.
140% 1.
To hold each asset’s risk
120% budget stable over time:
100% weights continuously
change
80%
2. 1. 2011 EU DEBT CRISIS:
60% up to 30% of the
40% portfolio allocated to
cash
20%
0%
2. REBALANCING THE
EQUITY EXPOSURE:
60%/20%/40%
EQUITY FIXED INCOME DIVERSIFICATION
A fund with a non-traditional weighting approach putting risk budgets at the core
Source: THEAM, as of end of April 2017. Some of the above guidelines are internal guidelines mentioned for information purposes only and may be subject to change
without notice. Please refer to the prospectus and KIID guidelines for further information.
130
110
105
100
*The Isovol diversified strategy has been applied to the portfolio since
95 31 December 2009
Lipper Global Mixed Asset EUR Flex - Global Parvest Diversified Dynamic I Cap EUR
Morningstar Europe OE EUR Flexible Allocation - Global
Source: Lipper as of end of April 2017, I-share, performance net of fees in EUR. Past performance or achievement is not indicative of current or future performance.
• The Lipper Global Mixed Asset EUR Flex category is composed of funds with flexible allocations between variable income and fixed income securities. The objective of
the fund manager is to achieve the highest possible returns by freely changing risk degrees according to current market conditions. It may be possible that, dependent on
market conditions, the portfolio of a mixed asset flexible fund is fully invested in only one of the asset classes above. Reference currency exposed securities are
overweighted. Investments are limited to country/region and reference currency.
• Morningstar Europe OE EUR Flexible Allocation - Global: EUR Flexible Allocation – Global funds have a largely unconstrained mandate to invest globally in a range of
asset types for an EUR-based investor. Morningstar Category Index: 50% Barclays Euro Agg Bond TR & 50% FTSE World TR.
The use of these indicators is sustainable over time
160.00
Net Return Cumulated Annualized
150.00 Performance since revamping* 40.55% 4.75%
5 years performance 32.48% 5.79%
140.00 3 years performance 15.52% 4.93%
YTD performance 3.59%
130.00
Risk profile
120.00 5Y Volatility 6.28%
5Y Sharpe Ratio 0.93
110.00
Current strategy* (Isovol inside)
100.00 *The Isovol diversified strategy has been applied to the portfolio since 31
previous
strategy*
December 2009
90.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
2010 -0.38% 0.25% 3.30% 0.56% -3.15% -0.44% 2.49% -0.07% 2.07% 1.06% -1.38% 2.42% 6.75%
2011 0.01% 1.62% -1.22% 1.32% 0.07% -1.04% -0.11% -3.55% -3.04% 2.74% -1.57% 0.79% -4.09%
2012 2.25% 2.18% -0.14% -0.69% -4.46% 1.88% 2.68% 0.74% 1.06% -0.02% 1.46% 1.67% 8.75%
2013 1.01% 0.52% 1.17% 2.36% -0.63% -4.08% 1.83% -1.41% 2.21% 2.30% 0.44% 0.19% 5.88%
2014 -1.96% 3.98% 0.41% 0.82% 2.13% 1.16% -0.67% 1.69% -0.86% 0.28% 1.72% -0.57% 8.29%
2015 2.27% 2.81% 0.10% 0.14% -0.37% -3.12% 1.74% -2.36% -1.36% 3.35% 0.53% -1.59% 1.93%
2016 -1.41% 0.38% 2.18% 0.10% 0.88% 0.19% 2.26% 0.24% -0.05% -1.42% -1.00% 1.92% 4.26%
2017 -0.05% 2.15% 0.21% 1.25% 3.59%
Source: THEAM Model-Driven Cross Assets, as of end of April 2017, I-share in EUR. Performance net of fees. Past performance is not a guide to future performance
400
performance year on year
200
0
-200
-400
-600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: THEAM Model-Driven Cross Assets, as of end of April 2017, gross of fees. Past performance is not a guide to future performance
* The Isovol diversified strategy has been applied to the portfolio since 31 December 2009
European Bonds
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
US Bonds
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
IG EUR
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
HY EUR
15%
10%
5%
0%
European Equity
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
US Equity
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2%
0%
Japan Equity
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
16.00%
Isovol strategy*
1Yr rolling Volatiltiy (in %)
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
7.5%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00% volatility
2.00% target
0.00%
1.20%
-0.20%
Source: THEAM Model-Driven Cross Assets, as at end of April 2017, gross of fees. Past performance is not a guide to future performance
PnL_Cumulative
Premium
100
Risk_Budget_Limit
Current_Risk
By allocating part of the risk
50
budget to options, we can
provide better participation in
rising markets and limit the 0
One-year maximum
-150
drawdown is limited to 1.5%
-200
Source: THEAM Model-Driven Cross Assets, as at end of April 2017, gross of fees. Past performance is not a guide to future performance
Simple/intuitive
Flexible: exposure adapted according to market dynamics
Performing
I F Y O U H AV E A N Y Q U E S T I O N , R E C O M M E N D AT I O N O R
WA N T M O R E D E TA I L S O N O U R F U N D R A N G E …
Andrea MOSSETTO
Senior investment specialist
THEAM Model-Driven Cross Assets, Paris
: @Amossetto : andrea.mossetto@bnpparibas.com : Andrea Mossetto
As the aim of the Isovol mechanism is to keep the ex-ante risk budget constant
How does it work? over time, the key aspects are the following:
to monitor short-term volatility (for the last 42 days) of each asset daily
to monitor the ex-ante risk budget of each asset daily, i.e., monitoring the
difference between the current ex-ante risk budget and the previously allocated
target
to rebalance when the absolute difference monitored reaches a numerical
threshold
for each asset, a constraint is set to limit the leveraging signals in the event of
exceptionally good market conditions*
* A decrease of short-term volatility below a threshold of two thirds of medium-term volatility
Some of the above guidelines are internal guidelines mentioned for information purposes only and may be subject to change without notice. Please refer to the
prospectus and KIID guidelines for further information.
60% 30%
50% 25%
Exposure to equities in %
40% 20%
Volatility in %
30% 15%
20% 10%
Source: Bloomberg, July-Sept 2011 Source: Bloomberg, Jan-March 2012
10% 5%
0% 0%
140
NAV, basis 100
160%
140%
• Receptiveness during difficult conditions in 120%
the summer of 2011 when volatility spikes 100%
exposure 60%
40%
20%
0%
Source: THEAM Model-Driven Cross Assets, as at end of April 2016, C-share in EUR
Performance net of fees. Past performance or achievement is not indicative of current or future
EQUITY (LHS) FIXED INCOME (LHS) DIVERSIFICATION (LHS)
performance.
Global commodities*
1/3 Diversification
European REITS*
Alternative
1/3 Diversification
Portfolio manager’s leeway
1/3 Diversification
Opportunistic
1/3 diversification assets
25% of total risk budget
Inflexion point Since the model is based entirely on realised volatility signals, there is a lag
1/3 management
between the market event and the response of the model
The aim is to improve the product’s flexibility and take advantage of market
inflection points at an early stage
By allocating part of the risk budget to options we can provide better
participation in rising markets as well as limiting the effects of a falling
market
We only take long and rolling positions; one-year maximum, drawdown is
limited to 1.5%
any security of any entity in any jurisdiction. As a result, you should not make an investment decision on the basis of this information.
Rather, you should use Lipper Ratings for informational purposes only.
Lipper is not responsible for the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information that you obtain from Lipper. In addition, Lipper will
not be liable for any loss or damage resulting from information obtained from Lipper or any of its affiliates.
Lipper ratings range from 1 to 5, with 5 corresponding to ‘Leader’. All Lipper ratings shown in this document are for Classic capitalising
Data Source - © 2017 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its
content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor
its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Past performance is no guarantee
of future results.
Morningstar stars rank from 1 to 5, with the top ranking being 5 stars. All Morningstar ratings shown in this document are for Classic