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M
uch has been written about the care, and buy and sell goods. E-commerce,
phenomenal speeds that fifth- social media, video communications and video
generation (5G) wireless networks streaming are taken for granted today. The IoT,
will support. Policymakers have speculated that smart-grid and smart-city applications, cloud
5G wireless will solve the rural broadband gap computing, distance learning and telemedicine
and make fiber to the home obsolete. are only in nascent stages of anticipated
In fact, though 5G may represent substantial exponential growth.
progress, particularly in the context of Many broadband drivers, including
mobile service, it is more evolutionary than distance learning, remote telemedicine, video
revolutionary. It is targeted primarily at, and conferencing and entertainment, involve the
is most effective in, densely populated areas. It delivery of video over the internet. Cisco believes
is also suitable for the very low-demand, very IP video traffic will account for 82 percent
occasional-use sensors and actuators that will of internet traffic by 2020. This is significant
proliferate with the forthcoming internet of because some network technologies are better
things (IoT). But because 5G depends on very suited than others for delivering continuous-
densely deployed small cells, it is highly unlikely bit-rate applications such as video. Networks
to replace 4G for coverage outside towns and
that dedicate capacity to each customer, as most
thus will not be a solution for the digital divide
landline copper and fiber technologies do, are
that affects those areas. Even within rural
better suited to deliver this type of traffic than
community centers, its requirement of “deep
networks that share capacity among many users,
fiber” renders it unlikely to be cost-effective for
such as wireless networks. Delivering video to
fixed broadband, and it potentially bottlenecks
a customer continuously for a two-hour movie
the service at the same time, compared with
fiber to the premises (FTTP). on a wireless network means that capacity is not
available during this time for another user.
THE FUTURE OF BROADBAND Broadband providers of all kinds continue to
DEMAND invest heavily in their networks to help ensure
The internet connects people and machines they are prepared to meet the customer demands
throughout the world and has changed the ways of the future. Tom Rutledge, chairman and
people communicate, educate, provide health CEO of Charter Communications, has said that
Better network.
XFINITY Gig speeds will be available everywhere. A game
changer for you and your community residents.
Better entertainment.
XFINITY X1 will change the way your residents
experience TV with advanced search, personalized
recommendations and more.
Better service.
Round-the-clock live support for you and your residents,
plus dedicated community account representatives.
Not available in all areas. Restrictions apply. ©2017 Comcast. All rights reserved. NPA191069
RURAL BROADBAND
mmW spectrum for true 5G can overlaps must be planned carefully to of around 15 percent, this falls to
be deployed. There are enormous minimize interference to neighboring around 1.5 Gbps of likely actual usable
complexities to interworking and cells so they can maintain capacity. throughput available per cell, shared
reconciling these dissimilar and Placing cells closer together requires among all users.
competing networks and standards, reducing signal power by lowering This bandwidth, even shared, might
which are anticipated to be pre-5G transmitter powers, lowering antenna seem like a lot compared with today’s
propositions. No one should stake elevations, and/or tilting antennas typical broadband speed of around
a long-term, publicly funded radically downward. Any of these 41 Mbps. But again, it is reasonable
commitment on them until after 2020, strategies forces the cells to be much to expect median wireline broadband
when mmW bands and devices that smaller, shrinking their capacity speed to approach 100–150 Mbps by
can handle them begin to become footprints correspondingly. 2020 and 1 Gbps by the 5G equipment
ubiquitously and globally standardized In a 5G network, the resulting end of life. In addition, wireline
and licensed, with channels auto- small cells indeed will need to be quite providers, particularly FTTP providers,
managed among users in the case of small. Moving cells closer together
typically do not have to limit monthly
shared-use spectrum and generally is especially difficult if a provider
usage to avoid oversubscribing their
available for genuine 5G. uses currently available sub-6 GHz
shared broadband resources.
Reducing the number of users spectrum that propagates too well for
Today, IP video drives wireless
per cell. The last means of increasing dense small-cell applications. Designs
that meet the 5G bandwidth targets providers to limit oversubscription
capacity for an entire system is by of shared broadband resources. IP
reducing the number of users per and accommodate future mmW ranges
have made their coverage areas typically video is critical for distance learning,
cell. This is accomplished by placing telemedicine, entertainment and
cells closer and closer together so the less than 1,000 feet in diameter – often
half of this – and placed antennas only other purposes. In days when bursty
same capacity once afforded to a large web-browsing traffic dominated the
coverage footprint of one cell utilizing about 20 feet off the ground, with
equipment deployed on streetlights internet, broadband capacity could be
a radio channel can be applied many
and utility poles. Some estimates put significantly oversubscribed. High-
times over with multiple, smaller cells
5G small-cell deployments at 10 times volume data streams (such as video),
in the same coverage footprint, all
the number of sites as their current 4G on the other hand, require constant bit
reusing that same channel.
macrocell counterparts. rates. This largely undermines or defeats
This is nothing new. Since first-
The hurdles to such a dense any ability to oversubscribe a resource
generation cellular networks, when
deployment include the vastly increased among active users.
cells were on 500-foot towers and
need for backhaul for so many cells so Increasingly, the only remaining
dozens of miles apart, cells have been
close together, particularly the dark basis for any oversubscription is the
placed lower and closer together to
fiber optic cable that most current likely percentage of active subscribers.
reuse available spectrum and increase
configuration designs require for Dimensioning system capacity based on
capacity. Today, 4G cells are typically
“fronthaul” (connections between base forecasts of the number of active users
no more than 100 feet off the ground,
stations and radio antennas). All these can be risky and easily lead to serious
except in sparsely populated rural areas,
sites will also need power. Both can be cell congestion if activity is heavier than
and they are placed every few blocks
exceedingly difficult to coordinate and normal.
in urban areas. 5G “small cells” are a
accomplish. Most of Vantage Point’s fixed
natural evolution of this cell-splitting In addition, user devices will have
technique. And the laws of physics will wireless clients have difficulty
to incorporate many bands and have oversubscribing access point capacity
indeed necessitate that they be small. vastly expanded MIMO capabilities.
One cannot improve a system’s by more than 5:1 today, and many have
This will require software-tunable,
overall capacity simply by moving had to resort to nondiscriminatory,
radio frequency (RF) components and
the same cells closer together and across-the-board measures to limit
antennas, which are just emerging
serving only customers within the cells’ video. This situation will only worsen
from labs, plus very capable device
close-in, high-throughput coverage as data demands, including but not
processors, none of which are expected
areas, however. Signal still propagates limited to IP video traffic, grow as
to be developed and generally available
from an access point to the edge of its until after 2020. projected by Cisco and others.
otherwise usable coverage, whether it If 1 Gbps is a reasonable household
is used or not. Attempts to place cells DOES 5G HAVE ENOUGH broadband service expectation within
closer together in this manner will CAPACITY? the 5G equipment’s service life,
raise the noise floor significantly for Let’s assume that 5G will one day be then the maximum 5G small-cell
neighboring cells and reduce the overall able to achieve its goal of 10 Gbps throughput expectation of about 1.5
efficiency of the multicell system as a peak data rate per small cell. Applying Gbps will be a mediocre, if not very
whole. Intersite distance and coverage the practical cell throughput factor poor, solution for tomorrow’s fixed
broadband, with very poor median- rural environments. Assuming a typical a complement to fiber or as part of a
to-advertised speed performance. 500-foot coverage radius for small cells, diverse network deployment strategy
If subscribers’ online versus offline this amounts to approximately 0.03 that leverages both fiber and wireless
behavior of tomorrow mirrors today’s, square miles of coverage for each. technologies to drive broadband deeper
and if an oversubscription rate of 5:1 In rural America, where the digital into rural areas. For mobile services in
can be maintained for 100–150 Mbps divide is most common today and particular, 5G promises a significant
median service in 2020, then it would requires the most effort to overcome, evolution. But to deliver the high
appear that a best-case 5G small cell 5G wireless will not be widely viable speeds and high capacity that many
may be able to serve 10–15 households. except possibly in densely populated hope for, 5G requires a deep fiber
However, if just two users are active towns. There may be cases in which network very similar to FTTP. When
with a video or another constant-bit- the cost of updating a macro site and one puts fiber so deep into a network,
rate application requiring 1 Gbps, customer premises equipment with why stop at the small cell rather than at
the small cell is already in danger of sophisticated, multiband 4.5G LTE the premises a few hundred feet away?
serious congestion and/or will require electronics and antennas to serve a few Fiber to the premises allows much
throughput limiting. households over a large geography is higher speeds and availability without
less than the cost of deploying fiber the same kinds of capacity limitations.
5G IN RURAL AREAS to those households. However, 5G
The extreme densification and short- small cells for any sort of “wireless to ASSESSING THE ECONOMICS
haul small-cell ranges necessary to the home” deployment offer limited Wireless carriers are already
achieve 5G generally will make it promise, at best, as a widespread minimizing the wireless portion of
usable only in dense urban scenarios. solution to rural broadband challenges. their networks by placing towers closer
Figure 1 depicts the real-world 5G will still have an important and closer to customers. Future 5G
geographic limitations for small cells in role in discrete cases or applications as wireless networks will probably use