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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
Key recommendations
PP Move from being largely a fossil-fuel-driven energy economy,
to one that is powered by energy from clean and renewable
energy forms.
PP Rapidly move to a high efficiency energy path, with relatively low
gestation period but high returns, by designing the appropriate
regulatory and incentive structures.
PP Make solar energy the mainstay for satisfying national energy
needs—both as a large-scale generator as well as a small-scale
distributed provider of energy.
PP Invest liberally in developing a bio-based economy in rural
areas, supplemented with other locally available energy forms
as appropriate (wind, solar, and small hydro).
PP Rapidly, but optimally, deplete own coal resources so as to buy
time for effective switchover to an alternate energy economy
and avoid the risk of future stranded assets, while limiting the
dependence on coal imports to a bare minimum.
PP Aggressively pursue the development of nuclear energy while
providing the essential emphasis on safety and addressing
public perception issues.
PP Develop a long-term integrated mobility and freight movement
strategy that is aligned with the overall objective of driving
India’s energy economy through clean energy forms.
PP Move to a completely market-driven pricing mechanism for all
energy forms under the regulatory oversight of, preferably a
single, energy regulatory commission.
PP Roll all energy subsidies (LPG, kerosene, electricity, and so
on), differentiated by select income classes, into a single energy
subsidy delivered directly to the beneficiary through a system
of biometric cards.
PP Create a pool of technically qualified human resources to serve
the domestic and international clean energy markets.
PP Position India as a leader in clean energy policies, technologies,
manufacturing, and services.
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
5
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
for India: Technology Vision 2030’, which is supported by the Office of the Principal Scientific
Adviser, Government of India. See Annex 1 for a more detailed description of the MARKAL model.
6
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
7
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
PP In this path, it is possible for India to drastically reduce its non-coking coal
It is possible for
import needs (from a high of 1300 MT in the Reference Energy Scenario
(RES) to a peak of 200 MT), while reducing its crude oil import level from India to drastically
660 MT to 260 MT— a little higher than today’s import levels! reduce its non-
PP The key transformations that define the GES scenario with respect to electricity coking coal import
are as follows.
• Substitution of fossil-fuel-based thermal energy with renewable-energy- needs while reducing
based electrical energy to the extent technologically possible across all its crude oil import
sectors of the economy, not including renewable-energy-based thermal level from 660 MT
energy demand (for example, moving to solar-charged-battery-driven
to 260 MT
vehicles instead of petroleum-based vehicles).
• Generation of this electricity from renewable energy sources (solar thermal
[255000 MW] and solar PV [32000 MW] by 2031/32). Wind and hydro
energy resources must be exploited to their potential using the most efficient Freezing coal-based
technologies. capacity additions
• Freezing coal-based capacity additions to currently committed levels, and
to currently
thereafter phasing out obsolete plants to end up with a coal thermal capacity
of ~150000 MW in 2031/32. committed levels
• Move to decentralized electricity generation on a large scale for rural is one of the key
electrification. transformations
• Maximize production from nuclear energy, which presently, due to physical
constraints, has been limited to a capacity of 63000 MW by 2031/32.
that define the
PP The key transformations that define the GES scenario with respect to the oil GES scenario with
sector are as follows. respect to electricity
• Containing the demand for petroleum products in the transportation sector
through significantly enhanced capacities in the railways, mass transit, and
public transport systems. Substituting petrol-
• Substituting petrol- and diesel-driven vehicles with hybrid and
and diesel-driven
battery-operated vehicles.
• Maximizing the substitution of petro-fuels with biofuels. vehicles with
PP The key transformations that define the GES scenario with respect to the coal hybrid and battery-
sector are as follows.4 operated vehicles
• Accelerating utilization of India’s domestic coal resources.
• Rejection of additional thermal power generation capacity based on
is one of the key
imported coal. transformations
PP To realize such long-term gains, India would need to make some hard choices, that define the
particularly in opting for high capital investment routes in the renewable GES scenario with
energy sector, transport sector, and other high energy-use intensive sectors.
Additionally, by virtue of their infrastructure quality, such capital formation respect to the oil
may require larger participation by the government in the form of budgetary sector
support! On the flip side, potentially infructuous investments in setting up
huge energy import and related transport infrastructure could be avoided, and
the threat of stranded coal-based power generation facilities due to climate Potentially
change considerations averted! infructuous
PP While some technological choices provided in the GES scenario may not be investments in
techno-economically viable today, a focused research and development (R&D)
effort combined with the requisite market creation support can have the desired setting up huge
results. The major focus here should be on renewable energy technologies, for energy import and
example, solar, wind, and biomass resources. related transport
infrastructure could
4
Coal or gas-derived liquids are not an attractive long-term strategy for the country. be avoided
8
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
9
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
Similarly, with the traded price of electricity touching nearly Rs 10 per unit under
At Rs 18–20 per
a deregulated scenario, solar thermal electricity (with storage), at Rs 8–10 per
unit, becomes quite attractive. Large-scale implementation of such a programme unit, solar PV
could accelerate commercialization of newer technologies, and also bring down energy can easily
costs by another 25%–50%. compete with diesel-
There are three distinct market segments that can make a shift to decentralized
distributed generation (DDG) by using solar PV. based electricity
generation in the
Households using kerosene for lighting country
About 67.5 million rural households and 3.7 million urban households in
India rely on kerosene as fuel for lighting. On an average, a household that uses
kerosene as fuel burns about 2–3 litres of it per month. A solar lantern is a cleaner
and brighter alternative to kerosene-based lighting, and all rural as well as peri-
urban households could immediately make a shift to solar lanterns. In terms of
an immediate market, even if 70% of the households switch to solar lanterns, this
would translate into about 50 million solar lanterns.
A solar lantern using state-of-the-art light emitting diodes (giving illumination
equivalent to 5–7 W [watt] compact-fluorescent-lamp-based solar lantern)
requires, on an average, 3 Wp (watt-peak) of solar PV panel. Fifty million solar
lanterns would, therefore, lead to a market of 150 MWp (megawatt-peak) of
solar PV modules.
10
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
In total
With the right kinds of financial and fiscal incentives, supported by a conducive
regulatory framework, an additional 10000 MWp market could be economically
created for solar PV by 2012, if not earlier. The PV manufacturing capacity in
Using a mere 0.5% the country has already reached 700 MW, and an aggressive programme of this
nature could give it the fillip to create not only a domestic market but also access
of the wasteland to the international market.
of four districts of While several of the above examples have focused on solar PV technology for
the solar rich states providing access to currently deprived populations or for replacing diesel, the
of Rajasthan and solar thermal technology (with storage) in a grid-connected mode, even at a price
of ~Rs 8 per unit, can effectively contribute to reducing the large energy shortages
Gujarat, it was that the country is facing. Using a mere 0.5% of the wasteland of four districts
possible to create of solar-rich states of Rajasthan and Gujarat (Jaisalmer, Jodhpur, Barmer, and
a potential to Kutch), it was possible to create a potential to install about 2000 MW capacity of
concentrating solar thermal power.
install about 2000
The economies of scale achievable with this aggressive short-term programme
MW capacity of supported by projected medium-term targets for 2020 that could be placed at,
concentrating solar say, 10% of required electricity generation in that year would ensure that this
thermal power industry, like the wind industry, reaches the ‘take-off ’ stage. The Solar Mission
must, therefore, target an installed solar PV capacity of at least 10000 MW and
a concentrated solar power capacity of at least 2000 MW by 2012—and this is a
conservative target. The target for 2020 should be set at a more ambitious level
of at least 40000 MW.
A programme of this scale would require a coordinated approach across several
ministries of the Government of India, the promotion of a range of technological
Sources <http://www.climatechange.gov.au/renewabletarget/publications/pubs/fs-ret-solar-credits.pdf>
<http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-GreenBusiness/idUSTRE54G0C820090517>
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
13
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
efficiency goals for each cluster, this programme should first carry out competitive
Financial incentives
bids for demonstrating efficiency improvement interventions (including any
technology development/adaptation costs) with appropriate weightage being in the form of
provided to more ambitious and early-impact programmes. Involving the key reductions in sales
stakeholders of such a consortium in facilitating the widespread dissemination tax, abolishment of
of successful interventions would be a useful ‘carrot’ to increase the success
rate of such a programme. Such demonstration projects should also be required octroi on energy-
to address the key institutional and capacity barriers that might exist to rapid efficient products,
implementation of efficiency improvements. and reduction in
Agricultural sector The initial high cost of energy-efficient motors, poor
customs and excise
pricing regimes, and lack of knowledge about the long-term gains are the major
factors responsible for sub-optimum efficiencies. Motors used by the farmers are duty on imported
generally of poor quality and efficiency. Energy-efficient motors account for a energy-efficient
very small percentage of motor sales in India. The cost of energy-efficient motors equipment must be
is ~20%–30% higher than standard motors in India. Higher prices of these and
subsidies on power consumed lead to low demand, creating a vicious cycle and
provided
making it difficult for prices to reflect economies of scale. Financial incentives
in the form of reductions in sales tax, abolishment of octroi on energy-efficient
products, and reduction in customs and excise duty on imported energy-efficient
equipment must be provided. Retrofitting of even 10% of the existing inefficient
pump sets (~15.35 million as of March 2007) annually, would translate into a
The National
savings of ~4 billion kWh (kilowatt-hour) per year at the user’s end and ~900
MW of equivalent generation capacity. The Mission on Energy Efficiency must Mission on Energy
intervene with relevant stakeholders to achieve the desired outcome. The avoided Efficiency must
capacity requirements would amount to an avoided infructuous investment set quantitative
of over Rs 4000 crore annually. Setting aside this amount for such a retrofit
programme could almost fully cover its cost. goals for bringing
The National Mission on Energy Efficiency must set quantitative goals for about efficiency
bringing about efficiency improvements. Such goals must be bold enough improvements
to specify an energy intensity goal for the economy as a whole and must be
supported by well-defined sector and subsector goals and requisite budgets as
illustrated above. As a reasonable illustration, India could aspire to bring down
its overall energy intensity of the economy by about 30% of 2001/02 levels by
2021/22, which would still translate into a higher total energy consumption but a
rate of growth of energy demand that could be significantly lower. This reduction This Mission must
in demand can be achieved by setting efficiency targets for specific sectors, work through a
such as:
PP Reducing technical losses on the transmission and distribution (T&D) network system of task
from the current 16%–19% to a level of 8%–12%. forces comprising
PP Achieving an energy saving of around 20% by 2020 in the industry sector. experts from
PP improving the average efficiency of vehicles by 15%.
relevant sectors,
PP Maintaining the share of public transport in total motorized, road-based
passenger movement at 70%. representatives of
PP Accelerating the efficiency performance of the stock of household appliances relevant ministries
as follows: (at least at the joint
• Refrigerators By 7% over the autonomous efficiency improvements assumed
in the business as usual (BAU) secretary level),
• Air conditioners By about 25% over the efficiency improvement in the BAU. and representatives
from industry
This Mission must have a high powered governance structure, along the lines
and financial
of the Telecom Commission chaired in the past by Mr Sam Pitroda, and must
work through a system of task forces comprising experts from relevant sectors, institutions
14
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
representatives of relevant ministries (at least at the joint secretary level), and
representatives from industry and financial institutions. The chairman of this
Mission must report to the Prime Minister of India.
5
Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Government of India, 2006.
15
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
not been successful primarily due to lack of an appropriate financial model. The
The magnitude of
minimum structural interventions that can be undertaken on existing buildings
would be better insulation, energy-efficient windows, and roof protection. The the current and
government must encourage loans for such interventions with either a subsidized future potential
interest cost or in the form of recognition as an expense for income tax purposes. for energy demand
The Mission on Sustainable Urban Habitats under the NAPCC covers the
issue of green buildings. However, the magnitude of the current and future reductions through
potential for energy demand reductions through proper designing of buildings proper designing of
is such that it warrants independent treatment. The lack of regulatory pressure buildings is such
on energy performance of buildings, combined with a lack of awareness/skills in
that it warrants
the architectural and building professions, further compounds the challenges of
developing green buildings. independent
treatment
Accelerated Hydropower Development
India has a large hydropower capacity that has till date been exploited to a mere
33%. Apart from rapidly exploiting its own hydropower resources, India would
also need to capitalize on the opportunities that exist in Nepal and Bhutan.
However, the domestic hydropower development programme has been stymied An R&R expert
by inadequate attention to managing the ecological impacts and to addressing committee should
the resettlement and rehabilitation (R&R) issues relating to project-affected
be set up to review,
populations. The ability to exploit the regional resources has been limited by
vulnerabilities felt by Nepal and Bhutan in being so completely tied into the revise, and monitor
Indian market. Any strategy to accelerate the development of this energy source the R&R plan for
would necessarily have to frontally address both these issues. each major project
Since the R&R issues are quite context specific, and, apart from, a good design
for each context, require adequate monitoring of implementation it is proposed
(both hydro and
that an R&R expert committee be set up to review, revise, and monitor the other large energy
R&R plan for each major project (both hydro and other large energy projects). projects)
This committee must be chaired by an eminent social expert and must include
members from financial institutions, energy economists, and representatives
of the concerned Energy Ministry as well as the Ministry of Social Justice and
Empowerment. Since the federal and state roles are different and land acquisition
and R&R are primarily a state subject, the committee needs to co-opt an eminent This minimum
person from the state where the project is being implemented. amount of financial
The committee must a priori estimate the budget required to ensure not only
the compensation of the market value of land or homestead but also the sums support for the
needed to create long-term human capacities and opportunities for engagement project affected
of displaced populations in economically productive activities. populations should
This minimum amount of financial support for the project-affected populations
be non-negotiable,
should be non-negotiable, charged to the project developer, and added on to the
price bid of the winning bidder. The fund so generated should be administered charged to the
by a credible local NGO and guided by a steering committee with representatives project developer,
from the local government, project developers, and community representatives. and added on to
An annual review of performance and fund utilization must be undertaken by the
R&R expert committee. the price bid of the
In seeking to exploit the hydropower resources at the lowest cost, extreme winning bidder
care should be taken to ensure that environmental and ecological consequences
are not underplayed. Undoubtedly, any hydropower project, despite receiving
an environmental clearance, will have some negative consequences. The
Environmental Management Plan (EMP) drawn up to address these impacts
should be credible and sincerely implemented with emphasis on transparency
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
17
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
While significant R&D efforts have already been invested in several of the above
Placing even 40
technologies, a final major push on refinements and commercialization can
greatly enhance the contribution of biomass resources to India’s energy security. million hectares
Such an R&D programme should also be combined with commensurate efforts of wasteland or
on enhancing the productivity of land in an ecologically sensible manner. degraded forest
India has nearly 140 mha (million hectares) of land that today are not used
very productively. Placing even 40 mha of such wasteland or degraded forest land under energy
land under energy plantation can yield enough firewood to generate about 280 plantation can yield
million units of electricity annually from 17000 biomass gasifiers of 10 KW each. enough firewood
Providing this amount of electricity through the centralized electricity provision
to generate about
route to rural areas (assuming a T&D loss of 40%) would require about 70 MW
of generation capacity to be allocated/setup thereby entailing an investment of 280 million units of
nearly Rs 560 crore in generation capacity and T&D investments. The avoided electricity annually
investments in centralized capacity would be sufficient to provide a subsidy of
nearly Rs 2 lakh per gasifier to the 17000 villages that can be serviced via this
option. The productivity of the above land resources can be enhanced through a
focused R&D programme for managed Jatropha plantations.
India has about 140 mha of land presently under cultivation. This land has Biofertilizers offer
almost reached its saturation point with respect to productivity, and farmers in sustainable and
several states like Punjab and Haryana are overusing nitrogenous fertilizers leading environment-
to high costs, lower efficiency in fertilizer usage, and increasing water pollution
friendly solutions to
with the run-off. On the other hand, the fertilizer subsidy cost the exchequer
Rs 95000 crores in 2008/09. Biofertilizers offer sustainable and environment- almost all cultivated
friendly solutions to almost all cultivated plants and crops by enhancing nutrition plants and crops by
and yields up to 5%–25%, and curtailing chemical fertilizer inputs by 50%. On enhancing nutrition
an average, the farmers could save about Rs 660 per hectare (for wheat), but the
savings to the country could be as high as Rs 4000 per hectare in the form of
and yields up to
avoided fertilizer subsidy. 5%–25%, and
curtailing chemical
Incidental benefits of biofertilizer use: experience from TERI fertilizer inputs
The application of biofertilizers developed at TERI to the wheat crop resulted in a marked improvement in
the mean grain yield, which increased by 41%. It also significantly increased (from 6% to 53%) the protein
by 50%
and mineral nutrient contents of crop grains, including all measured macro-elements (phosphorus and
potassium) and micro-elements (iron, copper, zinc, and manganese). The total mineral content (ash) was
enhanced by 13% - 29%. There is also recorded evidence that the positive influence of the biofertilizer on
grain quality is due to a synergistic effect of the mineral-mobilization capabilities of microbes. Biofertilizers A mission on
also significantly increase (between 51% and 98%) enzyme activities.
moving towards a
bio-based energy
A mission on moving towards a bio-based energy economy must be established economy must be
that would focus on an integrated approach to exploiting India’s bio-energy
potential though appropriately designed policies and incentives. established that
would focus on an
Integrated Urban Transport Strategy integrated approach
In the absence of efficient public transport, urban India is increasingly relying on to exploiting
personal transport. The number of personal vehicles has grown exponentially—
from 3 million in 1980 to about 72 million in 2005—and is expected to grow to
India’s bio-energy
about 708 million by 2030 with a GDP growth of 6%, while the share of public potential though
transport is projected to decline from the current level of 60% to 45%. appropriately
The current level of ownership of personal vehicles in India is around 37 designed policies
per thousand as compared to a little over 500 per thousand in the developed
and incentives
18
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
world. The Auto Policy Vision of the Government of India that seeks to promote
Policy must aim to
India as the hub for small cars, notes that this can happen only if there is a
make the purchase growth in volume, and recommends measures to promote and increase the sale
price reflect the of small cars in the country. At the same time, it recognizes that an increase in
full cost of vehicle personal automobiles can have an adverse impact on energy usage and on the
environment, and suggests certain measures to mitigate these impacts. While it
ownership and use, may not be possible to discourage the purchase of personal vehicles, policy must
and also discourage aim to make the purchase price reflect the full cost of vehicle ownership and use,
the use of personal and also discourage the use of personal vehicles for routine use.
Appropriate interventions to reduce reliance on personal vehicles, making
vehicles for routine
them more fuel efficient, and increasing the share of public transport and non-
use motorized transport will lead to a significant reduction in energy consumption.
Although urban transport is largely a state function, there are several interventions
that the Government of India can make to promote energy efficiency in urban
transport in addition to encouraging states to follow appropriate policies. The key
interventions are as follows.
PP Introduction of energy efficiency standards Studies have shown that the
introduction of fuel economy standards will result in a significant reduction
in energy consumption. The US Europe, Japan, China, and Mexico have
States and city mandated fuel economy standards, while India is yet to do so. A study carried
governments also out by TERI in 2005 established that an improvement in fuel efficiency by 50%
lack the capacity to of all existing motorized modes would result in a reduction of 125 MTOE in
commercial energy consumption by 2031. These standards are achievable and
plan and implement need to be introduced immediately.
projects to provide/ PP Encouraging public transport The National Urban Transport Policy (NUTP)
augment public encourages state governments to adopt transport policies in consonance with
it. It also calls upon state governments to discourage the use of personal
transport vehicles and increase the share of public transport. The Jawaharlal Nehru
National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM) has made funding for transport
projects in cities conditional upon the proposals being in conformity with the
NUTP. There is, however, a continuing tendency to seek funding for more
transport- related physical infrastructure projects like widening of roads,
building flyovers, and parking spaces, and not for funding the provision of
buses and para-transit facilities. States and city governments also lack the
capacity to plan and implement projects to provide/augment public transport.
If the share of public transport is to be maintained at a level of about 70%–
75% till 2031, the Government of India must provide financial support and
technical assistance to cities with a population of 500000 or more in a ‘mission
mode’ to establish/augment public transport facilities. It is estimated that if
by 2031, the public transport share is increased to 75%, the fuel demand
will get reduced by about 100 MTOE (42%) of the total fuel demand for
Institutional passenger transportation in 2031 (~Rs 200000 crore in current prices). As per
arrangements Ministry of Urban Development (MoUD) estimates, to improve the status of
urban transport sector and promote the usage of public transport in 87 cities
for dealing with (currently with above 0.5 million population) would require an investment of
urban transport in around Rs 435 380 crore, which includes investment on mass transport system
the Government (54%); intermediate public transport (IPT); terminals (1%); non-motorized
of India are transport (NMT) (4%); urban roads (33%); traffic improvements and road
safety (6%); and urban transport planning and operation data (2%).
fragmented between
ministries Institutional arrangements for dealing with urban transport in the Government
of India are fragmented between ministries. The Ministry of Road Transport and
19
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
20
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
insurance and freight (CIF) price of crude that India imports, but the free on
The pricing of
board (FOB) price of any crude quality that it exports.
secondary energy PP When a resource is not tradeable, either due to global surpluses or due to quality
forms, along the considerations, then a rational and rigorous process for domestic discovery of
supply chain, must prices should be facilitated. If this requires a restructuring of energy markets
(for example, coal), then an expeditious action plan needs to be drawn up for
be left to the market the purpose with necessary amendments to laws and regulatory frameworks.
PP Pricing of secondary energy forms, along the supply chain, must be left to the
market, under effective regulatory oversight, and must allow players to benefit
from any competitive advantage arising from efficiency investments as they
deem fit.
PP India’s energy infrastructure—be it the transmission and distribution networks
Infrastructure or the natural gas pipelines or even the energy production/generation/import
expansion is driven infrastructure—needs major expansion and upgrading. Infrastructure
expansion is driven by several factors including projected long-term energy
by several factors demand and considerations of regional growth—it cannot be responding
including projected merely to current needs! As such, and in order for a planned development of
long-term energy such infrastructure, the government must pursue its strategy of competitive
bidding for both infrastructure expansion and upgrading projects. As we move
demand and down the supply chain, the cost of energy would be the sum of the energy
considerations of infrastructure service cost and the energy resource cost.
regional growth— PP Where infrastructure needed for energy transport is shared with other
it cannot be beneficiaries (as in the case of railways), the tariff determined for the transport
service provided must recognize the implications that it may have for the
responding merely competitiveness of the energy resource concerned. It is necessary that such
to current needs tariffs are established in consultation with the institution responsible for energy
price oversight, and in accordance with the principle of proportionality.
PP Congestion pricing (time-of-day pricing in case of electricity supply) must
be resorted to in order to signal capacity constraints and avoid high-cost
infrastructure expansion needs.
PP Energy subsidies to targeted consumers must be provided as far down the
Congestion pricing supply chain as possible so as to encourage efficiencies and prevent subsidy
(time-of-day leakages in the system.
pricing in case of Finally, the treatment of by products and ‘waste’ products should be consistent
electricity supply) and supportive of the energy sector. Under the Ministry of Environment and
must be resorted to Forests (MoEF) notification, all coal- and lignite-fired power stations have to
in order to signal dispatch fly ash free of cost to anybody desirous of having it, including cement
manufacturers, traders, and exporters who can, in turn, sell it at any price they
capacity constraints desire. Under this regime, wherein the value of fly ash is largely being derived
and avoid high- by middlemen, neither is the electricity sector benefiting from the potential
cost infrastructure revenues nor are the government or the common man benefiting from the lower
raw material costs od cement manufacture. In sum, the loss to electricity and
expansion needs cement consumers is providing windfall profits to the traders, exporters, and
cement manufacturers. Properly priced, fly ash used by cement producers could
result in electricity price reduction of nearly 10 p/unit.
Fiscal regime The taxes and subsidies on energy resources and on energy-
using appliances/equipment must be designed to support energy efficiency in
the economy and reflect externality costs. While coordinated action in this area
at the central level is feasible, the challenge of ensuring this at the state level
would be significantly bigger. The central government must clearly specify the
fiscal responsibility of states with regard to state-level taxes and subsidies. At the
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
state level, the coordinating committee of the state finance ministers needs to
incorporate this prioritization of energy-efficient appliances while determining At the state level,
the common taxation framework across different states. the coordinating
Regulation for efficiency One of the biggest dilemmas for service providers is committee of the
what is referred to as the ‘rebound’ effect—if service providers were to get involved
state finance
in encouraging energy efficiency amongst their consumers, it would reduce the
size of their market! This is a typical challenge faced by most distribution utilities ministers needs to
across sectors and countries. The energy regulators need to be constantly reviewing incorporate this
and implementing innovative pricing and regulatory mechanisms for overcoming prioritization of
this challenge and rewarding (reducing the pain) service providers for this effort.
This would require high level expertise among regulatory bodies on regulatory energy-efficient
economics, price elasticity concepts and estimation (both in the short and long appliances while
runs), and associated welfare effects. Regular training of regulators by professional determining the
institutions on the technical, regulatory, economic, and environmental aspects of
common taxation
the energy business should be made a requirement of service.
framework across
Securing energy resources different states
Securing India’s energy supplies, after ensuring its most efficient utilization, is
a function of domestic resource exploitation, tying up international resources—
either directly or through equity investments—creating the necessary import/
transport infrastructure and developing/accessing technologies for harnessing We need to
energy resources efficiently. As seen from the scenarios defined above, there exists reevaluate the
significant potential for reducing our demand for energy resources by ensuring relative economics
energy-efficient development paths and maximizing the use of renewable energy.
Energy imports Even with the aggressive push towards efficiency and renewable
of entering into long
energy, India would still need to have to import coal at a peak level of ~200 MT term contracts vis-
and crude oil of ~300 MT between now and 2030. At these significantly higher à-vis making equity
manageable levels of imports, we need to reevaluate the relative economics of investments abroad
entering into long-term contracts vis-à-vis making equity investments abroad.
Assuming that other major international consumers of fossil fuels would also
be moving along similar paths as being defined by India, the global demand
for these energy forms could soften substantially. While evaluating this option, The failure of
the experience of allowing the corporate sector to make such investments as the coal ministry
part of competitively bid projects (for example, coal mines acquired by private
to bring about
companies for power-generation purposes) should be borne in mind.
Coal After decades of make believe that we had enough coal resources to reforms in the
last us for another 200 years, the Government of India has finally accepted that sector—including
the life of the resource may be limited to about 45 years. However, recognizing productivity
that any country’s ability to rely heavily on this highly polluting energy form
would be short lived, India must restrategize its coal development to exhaust its improvements,
reserves in the next 30 years or so. The new coal-based thermal power generating private
capacity should be limited at a level that is sustainable with available domestic participation, and
resources without having to invest in new import infrastructures. The failure of
competition—and
the coal ministry to bring about reforms in the sector—including productivity
improvements, private participation, and competition—and the vulnerabilities the vulnerabilities
this creates in the power sector, indicate the need to set up a joint commission, this creates in
comprising government, industry, and representatives of the power sector and the power sector,
the coal sector. The commission would be empowered to revise policy, establish
and implement competition policies, and provide the necessary environment for indicate the need
private-sector participation. to set up a joint
The Government of India’s strategy to link coal mines to private power plants commission
would ensure a more efficient production profile from coal mines, which would
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
wind resources.
PP SME sector Designing, developing, and demonstrating energy-efficient
technologies to suit specific conditions of SME clusters.
PP Smart grids The increasing share of renewable energy in India’s energy mix
and the greater emphasis on energy efficiency could have serious implications
on—and be limited by—the nature of electricity grids. India needs to implement
pilot projects on the concept of ‘smart’ grids that would prepare us for such
large-scale integration of non-firm and distributed energy sources into our
energy systems and their management.
In line with the general call for an integrated approach to this sector, it may
be worthwhile creating an integrated energy R&D fund administered under the
guidance of a research advisory committee at the highest level.
An efficient public
transport system Altering structural development paths
can redirect the The choices offered to India’s population for meeting its mobility needs would
savings effected determine the demand this sector would place on energy resources. Adequate
investments are needed in efficient public and intermediate transport systems
from avoided energy early enough to avoid entirely new generations of Indians becoming addicted to
subsidies towards private transport modes.
subsidizing public An efficient public transport system can redirect the savings effected from
avoided energy subsidies towards subsidizing public modes of transport—this
modes of transport
translates to as much as 30% of the current ticket value of buses and ~20% (Rs
3–4/passenger trip) in the case of Metro systems!
Regulating efficiency in road transport sector
Availability of adequate and more convenient public transportation services is a prerequisite to encouraging
a larger shift away from the use of personalized modes. In practical terms, this would translate into having
well-equipped, modern buses, dedicated bus corridors, rider information systems, inter-modal (bus and
intra-city rail) connectivity, and integrated ticketing.
While these measures are already contained in the National Urban Transport Policy (NUTP), it is
A special fund essential to accelerate its implementation and have proper institutional mechanisms at the city level to
may be created for facilitate better coordination amongst various operators and urban public transport system service providers.
Appropriate public–private partnership (PPP) mechanism, on an international competitive bidding basis,
promotion of public may be needed to be put in place for provision of the transport infrastructure and services, with government
transport providing the basic infrastructure and specifying the quality of supply and service norms and the private
agencies investing in rolling stock, operating and maintaining services, and running the business.
A special fund may be created for promotion of public transport. Revenue for this fund may be
generated through increased rates for road tax on personalized vehicles, specifically cars. Congestion taxes
on personalized vehicles and tax incentives for efficient engines could also be considered at a later stage,
only when an efficient and sustainable public transport is in place.
While the laying down of consistent and progressive norms on efficiency and emission levels would be
important to encourage manufacturers to move towards more efficient vehicles, complementary policies at
The government the consumers’ end should also be mandated to allow/disallow the use of inefficient vehicles.
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
Regulatory institutions
Several challenges face the institution of independent regulatory commissions
The regulator
today, which need to be addressed urgently for an effective functioning of energy
markets. In line with the arguments made in earlier sections, the following items should be
need urgent consideration. given complete
PP Move to a single energy regulator at the central level over the next three responsibility
years.
PP Give the regulator complete responsibility for regulating energy prices in a for regulating
coordinated manner. energy prices in a
PP Review the process of selecting members of the regulatory commissions for coordinated manner
greater effectiveness and credibility of the institution.
PP Make the regulator accountable to the Parliament for regulating the sector
towards a predefined direction. This would require the regulator to define, in
an open consultative manner, the overall direction in which the sector should
move, and ensure that regulations are defined in support of the same. Given
the fact that the regulator is to safeguard all stakeholders in the sector, and
indeed has to balance their diverse interests, this exercise would need to be Any obligations on
undertaken with great care.
the public sector
Unshackling the public sector organizations to shoulder social
While private sector investments are a necessity, and a level playing field for the responsibilities must
private sector is often called for, the challenges of being a public sector organization be transparent and
are often unseen. If the public sector organizations have to compete with the
private sector they must be provided full autonomy and power to function as costed separately
a corporate organization subject to the same governance regime as the private
sector. Any obligation on the public sector to shoulder social responsibilities
must be transparent and costed separately.
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
27
India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
A number of questions arise from the above analysis which force us to re-
consider or reiterate our current approach to energy planning.
PP The increasing concern over the apparent unsustainable mining of our coal
resources is set aside. However, a question about the desirability of large-scale Pursuing equity
investments in coal import infrastructure is raised.
PP The magnitude of impact that investments in efficiency along the supply chain investments for coal
can bring about is quite astounding. acquisition and
PP A number of technological and strategic options have fallen by the way side in tying the same in
this analysis.
with the integrated
• For example, it would be short-sighted for India to pursue the coal-to-
liquids (CTL) or gas-to-liquids (GTL) technology path. gasification
• In a similar manner, pursuing equity investments for coal acquisition and combined cycle
tying the same in with the integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) power generating
power generating technology would be futile if India phases out large-scale
additions to power generating capacity.
technology would be
• Even the challenge of oil and gas assets can be minimized quite substantially futile
by aggressively pursuing efficiency, smart transport infrastructure
investments, and alternative technologies.
What we have seen in these results is the need for a rapid electrification of the The need for a rapid
Indian economy with electricity needs being largely met by solar, wind, biomass, electrification of the
and hydro electric forms. What we have also seen is the need to have more Indian economy
decentralized energy options with the efficiency loss of smaller scale being more
with the electricity
than offset by the efficiency gains of lower transport/T&D losses. The summary
recommendations here are as follows. needs is largely
PP India’s energy policy, which should necessarily provide long-term, non-partisan met by solar, wind,
guidance to decision making in the sector, has to explicitly biomass, and hydro
• Recognize the guiding principles, within which this sector would develop,
as those based on maximizing efficiency along the value chain—therefore electric forms
recognizing the importance of rational pricing and competition; securing
resources through their development and acquisition in accordance
with long-term integrated energy demand forecasting; attracting private
investments aggressively; providing a level playing field to renewable energy,
clearly recognizing its relative advantage on environmental performance;
and focussing R&D activities to desired outcomes,
• Recognize the fact that the choice of structural development paths would
have a major implication on energy demand. As such, it must be possible
to signal a desirable energy path by specifying a sustainability premium on
different energy forms that would reflect their scarcity value, environmental
performance, import-related vulnerabilities, and so on. Long-term energy
policy would rest not only on initiatives on the supply side, but through
its considered application on sectors which determine demand. Building
energy-efficient homes and commercial establishments, and creating
extensive and energy-efficient public transport infrastructure would have
greater benefits for India than the discovery of a oilfield!
PP The institutional framework governing the energy sector should be strengthened
through
• A clear and consistent role definition of the various actors associated with this
sector (governments, regulators, judiciary, and public sector organizations)
and between the central and state governments.
• Energizing the mechanism for ensuring integrated and coordinated
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India’s energy security: new opportunities for a sustainable future
The set of policies and measures and technology support options identified above
would go a long way in addressing India’s development needs, energy security,
and climate contribution!
29
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