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ABSTRACT
By
13.12.2653
This research using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) numeric
model to run the non assimilation model and model with assimilation radar,
satellite and synoptic data using system 3DVar. The analisys was done
quantitatively for performance test for model with observation data and the spatial
analisys using to search difference value with GSMaP data through overlay.
The result was prove the best performance prediction in spatial rainfall
distribution is the satellite assimilation model and then the radar assimilation
model and the last is synoptic assimilation model. Performance test taken by
contingency table to determine PC, TS, FAR and POD value. Satellite
assimilation model have the better performance than other assimilation model. For
prediction based on slight rain category, satellite assimilation model is the best
while for the very heavy rain category synoptic assimilation model was the most
superior.