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Market

 Timing  
To  Achieve  Short  Term  Income  and  Long  Term  Wealth  

Trading  Skills…  
Your  Most  Valuable  Form  of  Capital  
Educa&on  Mission  

We  reveal  the  truth  


about  profitable  trading  and  invesCng:  
You  can  learn  to  accurately  idenCfy  
market  moves  before  they  happen  

Only  by  learning  how  to  


Cme  the  market  with  
accuracy  can  consistent  
profits  be  possible  
Investor  Uncertainty  
USA Today
June 13, 2012

61% of investors realize


they need to improve
their understanding of
income investing.

Just a 3% inflation rate


over 25 years can reduce
their purchasing power by
half…

46% of investors are


considering a later
retirement, up 30% from
a year ago…
Why  brokers  are  leaving….  
Yahoo Finance
August 31, 2012

The transaction Wall Street


gets paid to facilitate – are
not in their clients best
interests.

When times are good and


people are making money,
the inherent conflicts in the
business are "masked," he
says. But when the tide goes
out, you find out who is
swimming naked, Brown
says, quoting Warren Buffett

He was hurting clients by


selling them stocks he didn’t
think they should buy
The  New  Normal  Markets  

Can  you  buy  and  hold  in  this  market?          


Do  you  need  to  be  educated  in  this  market?  
Do  you  need  to  acCvely  manage  this  market?  
5
The  Illusion  of  News…..  

The  ins&tu&ons  are  playing  a  game  to  


which  the  novices  don't  even  know  the  
rules;  and  most  don't  even  know  the  
game  exists  
How  Money  is  Really  Made  and  Lost  in  the  Markets  

The  financial  markets  consist  of  buying  and  selling  


among  and  between  two  groups…  
 
InsCtuCons/Banks  (very  profitable)  
   &      
Retail  Traders/Investors  (Struggle  for  Profits  or  Lose)  

 
Learn  To  Think  and  Act  
Like  an  Ins5tu5on  
InsCtuConal  10K  Filing  
Goldman Sachs own 10K filing for
2011, released in May of 2012

2011 Results
237 Profitable days
15 Losing days

54 days (21%) of
the time they
made over 100
Million Dollars

Goldman's Trading Losses only


reached close to their limit one
day in 2011 without breaking the
limit…
InsCtuConal  Trading  Profits  
Bloomberg
May 10, 2012

Goldman Sachs generated 57% of


revenue from trading in the first
quarter and had only one day of
loss in that quarter, down from 17
during the preceding 3 months.

Morgan Stanley said its traders lost


money 4 days in the period. Bank
of America reported that it had
trading profits every day of the
period

Goldman's Trading Losses never


exceeded its value at risk limit…
How  InsCtuCons  handle  risk  

2011 VaR
(Value at Risk)

Institutions take on
more risk in a down
market. Retail
trader panic and
take less risk
S&P  500  

Our Students
Learn to think like
an institution
Who  Really  Makes  Money  

Conven&onal  Thinking    OR    REAL  Profitable  Thinking  


Supply  (retail)  

Sold  

Bought  

Demand  (wholesale)  

Head  and  Shoulders  Top   RSI  


Double  BoYom   Pivot  Points  
Earnings  Report   Stochas&cs  
Trend  Lines   Broker  Upgrade  
Support  and  Resistance   MACD  
News   Bollinger  Bands   Profit:  $5,918.42  
Indicators   Dow  Theory   This  is  how  you  make  money  
Cup  and  Handle   Fibonacci   buying  and  selling  anything.  
Technical  Analysis  
Tradi&onal  
Breakout  
By   understanding  
traders  
technical   uSsing  
upply  
analysis  
tradi&onal  
and  sDays  
emand  
tTo  A  saell  
re  
ins&tu&ons  
aw
t  ai&ng  
resistance  
for  parice  
are   ble  tto  
o  atb
nd  
ake  
reak  
place  
advantage  
above  
a  stop  
resistance  
oaf  
bove  
the  srupport  
esistance.  
to  buy.  a  nd   They  
 
Once  
place  ptheir  
resistance  
rice  tcsrader  
top  
rosses  
below  
by  
above,  
se^ng  
old  trhe  
esistance  
traps  
stop  
for  
is  thbhem.  
it  
ecause  
and  
These  
those  
it  is  
traders  
now  naew  
traps   re  
that  
psupport  
rofit  
sold  for  
are  
pros  
now  and  
buying.  
ins&tu&ons.  

Support  

Old  support  becomes  new  resistance  


Why  Technical  Analysis  is  a  losing  strategy  

Support?  

Support and Resistance are too subjective


Why  Technical  Analysis  is  a  losing  strategy  

True Levels
of Supply
and Demand
are more
easily
qualified
objectively

The key to trading in any and all markets is to find


the markets turning points in advance
Why  Technical  Analysis  is  a  losing  strategy  

The Result
of buying in
a level
where
Demand
exceeds
Supply

An entry as close as possible to the point you are


proven wrong means that losing on a trade costs
less money.

You  can  Either  have  Confirma&on  or  the  Lowest  


Risk  Possible,  having  both  is  Impossible.  
The  Principals  of  Supply  and  Demand  

Market  Price  is  controlled  by  insCtuConal    


Supply  and  Demand.  
 
Where  they  have  buy  and  sell  orders  determines  
 where  price  will  turn  and  where  it  will  move  to.  
 
Our  core  strategy  shows  us  where  those  orders  are  
in  any  and  all  markets.    
 
This  is  KEY  informaCon  for  the  short  term  trader  
and  longer  term  investor…  
Buying  and  Selling  in  Markets  
Trading Market Samsung 55’’
How you make LED TV
money buying and
selling anything in
life is EXACTLY how
you make money
trading!
Demand  

Would You Buy Here? Would You Buy Here?

•  No, price is crashing •  Yes, the TV is on sale

•  No, this is a downtrend •  Yes, quickly before price


goes up
•  No, the news is bad Bought  
•  Yes, I would buy a few of
•  No, buying is too high risk them at these prices!
•  No, I am scared, nervous!
Market  Timing    

Two Most Important Components To Trading

Supply and Demand Human Emotion


1) Where do market prices turn?

Demand (support): A price level in a market where willing


demand exceeds willing supply.

Supply (resistance): A price level in a market where willing


supply exceeds willing demand.

2) Who is on the other side of your trade, a Pro or Novice trader?

Human Emotion: The emotions of fear and greed are clearly


seen on a price chart, if you know what your looking for.
Where  and  why  do  market  prices  change  direc&on?  
The  Logic:  
 
Supply  
The  origin  of  mo&on  /  change  
in  price  is  an  equa&on  where  
one  of  two  compe&ng  forces  
(buyers  and  sellers)  becomes  
Why  did  price   zero  at  a  specific  price.  
have  to  decline?    
The  origin  of  a  move  in  price  is  
Why  did  price   where  supply  and  demand  are  
have  to  rise?   “out  of  balance”.  This  is  where  
we  find  low  risk  /  high  reward  /  
high  probability  entry  points  
Demand   into  markets.  
Who  is  on  the  other  side  of  your  trade?  

Supply  
(retail)   Who  is  buying  
here?  

Who  is  selling  


here?  
     Demand  
(wholesale)  
 The  Logic:    
 The  amateur/novice  trader  buys  at  retail  prices  and  sells  at  wholesale  prices.  
   
 The  professional  trader  simply  trades  with  amateurs            Think  Like  A  Pro!  
The  Two  Master  Errors    
Mistake  #1  and  #2  when  buying  
1)  Buying  AFTER  a  rally  in  price  
2)  Buying  at  a  price  level  where  objecBvely  
             supply  EXCEEDS  demand.  

Buyers  are  buying  


       Supply   AFTER  a  rally  in  price  
and  at  a  price  level  
where  supply  
EXCEEDS  demand.  
 
The  Two  Master  Errors  
Mistake  #1  and  #2  when  buying  
1)  Selling  AFTER  a  decline  in  price  
2)  Selling  at  a  price  level  where  objecBvely    
demand  EXCEEDS  supply  

Sellers  are  selling  


AFTER  a  decline  in  
price  and  at  a  price  
level  where  demand  
Demand   EXCEEDS  supply.  
 
Market  Timing  –  25th  Oct  2012  
The  Result  
Market  Timing  –  8th  Nov  2012    
The  Result  
Trade  Confirma&on  
Market  Timing  –  14th  Nov  2012  
The  Result  
Student Success – 4/10/12

April  10,  2012      Create Your Own Income and Future

Earns at least $4,000 per week


Student  Success    10/1/2012  

Account  Size:  $721,521.50.  Gain:  24%  in  one  month    

Sep.  2012  
 Realized  Gain:  
 $173,000  
Sep.  2012  
 Unrealized  Gain:  
 $125,000  

Puang  OTA  Tools  To  


Work  

     OTA  Market  Timing  


+  OTA  OpCons  
Consistent  Short  Term  Income  and  Long  Term  Wealth  
March  2009  Performance  

Many  people  believe  that  picking  tops  and  


boYoms  in  markets  is  impossible…..  
March  2009  Performance  
S&P Monthly Chart – The Bottom
2009 Market Bottom Called Live by S&P Monthly Chart – The Rally
Sam Seiden

•  Foreclosures at all time highs


S&P Rallies over 600 points.
•  651,000 jobs lost in Feb 2009
•  Annual job losses worst since 1945
•  AIG disaster Rule Based Market Timing
March  2009  Performance  
Sam  Seiden  
Real  Market  Timing  

Real  Market  Timing  


   Special  3  Day  Class  with  Sam  Seiden  
     Dates:  3  -­‐  5th  December  2012  
   Time:  6  –  11pm  
 
Please  come  to  Stand  No.  39  or  visit  
www.tradingacademy.com/dubai    
for  RegistraCon