Professional Documents
Culture Documents
WORK”
NAME-
TANIYA DUTTA
TOPIC -
“HAS THE
DEMONETIZATION
REALLY BENIFITTED
OUR COUNTRY?”
CONTENTS
1 Definition of demonetization
2 2016 Indian bank note demonetization
3 Background
4 Procedure
4.1 Televised address
4.2 Government ordinance
4.3 Exchange of old notes
5 Reactions
5.1 Support
5.2 Criticism
6 Effects
6.1 Banking
6.2 Human trafficking
6.3 Radical groups
6.4 Hawala
6.5 Railways
6.6 Cash shortage
6.7 Deaths
6.8 Stock market crash
6.9 Transportation disruption
6.10 Agriculture
6.11 Business
6.12 Digital transactions
6.13 Drop in GDP growth rate
6.13.1 Forecasts
6.13.2 Results
6.14 Drop in industrial output
6.15 Job losses
6.16 Municipal and local tax payments
6.17 People left with old notes
7 Evasion attempts
7.1 Gold purchases
7.2 Donations in temples
7.3 Multiple bank transactions
7.4 Railway bookings
7.5 Backdated accounting
7.6 Accepting deposits without PAN
8 Income tax raids and cash seizures
8.1 Seizures of ₹2000 notes
8 See also
9 References
10 External links
DEMONETIZATION
DEFINITION of 'Demonetization'
Demonetization is the act of stripping a currency unit of its
status as legal tender. It occurs whenever there is a change of
national currency: The current form or forms of money is pulled
from circulation and retired, often to be replaced with new
notes or coins. Sometimes, a country completely replaces the
old currency with new currency.
to combat inflation
to combat corruption and crime (counterfeiting, tax
evasion)
to discourage a cash-dependent economy
to facilitate trade
2016 Indian banknote demonetization
The BSE SENSEX and NIFTY 50 stock indices fell over 6 percent on the day after
the announcement. In the days following the demonetization, the country faced
severe cash shortages with severe detrimental effects across the economy.
People seeking to exchange their bank notes had to stand in lengthy queues, and
several deaths were linked due to the rush to exchange cash.
Initially, the move received support from several bankers as well as from some
international commentators. The move has also been criticized as poorly planned
and unfair, and was met with protests, litigation, and strikes against the
government in several places across India. Debates also took place concerning the
move in both houses of parliament. The move is considered to have reduced the
country's GDP and industrial production.
Queues outside a bank to exchange ₹500 and ₹1000 banknotes in Bidhannagar, Kolkata
Location India
Background
The Indian government had demonetized bank notes on two prior
occasions—once in 1946 and then in 1978—and in both cases, the goal
was to combat tax evasion by "black money" held outside the formal
economic system. In 1946, the pre-independence government hoped
demonetization would penalize Indian businesses that were concealing
the fortunes amassed supplying the Allies in World War II. In 1978, the
Janata Party coalition government demonetized banknotes of 1000,
5000 and 10,000 rupees, again in the hopes of curbing counterfeit
money and black money.
In 2012, the Central Board of Direct Taxes had recommended against
demonetization, saying in a report that "demonetization may not be a
solution for tackling black money or economy, which is largely held in
the form of benami properties, bullion and jewellery. "According to
data from income tax probes, black money holders kept only 6% or less
of their wealth as cash, suggesting that targeting this cash would not be
a successful strategy.
Televised address
On 8 November 2016, Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi
announced the demonetization in an unscheduled live televised
address to the nation at 20:15 IST. In the announcement, Modi
declared circulation of all ₹500 and ₹1,000 banknotes of the Mahatma
Gandhi Series as invalid effective from the midnight of the same day,
and announced the issuance of new ₹500 and ₹2,000 banknotes of the
Mahatma Gandhi New Series in exchange for the old banknotes.
Patel also informed that the decision had been made about six months
ago, and the printing of new banknotes of denomination ₹500 and
₹2,000 had already started. However, only the top members of the
government, security agencies and the central bank were aware of the
move. But media had reported in October 2016 about the introduction
of ₹2,000 denomination well before the official announcement by RBI.
This statement has led to much debate, because the Reserve Bank
governor six months before the announcement was Raghuram Rajan,
while the new banknotes have the signature of the newly appointed
governor, Urjit Patel.
Government ordinance
The Specified Bank Notes (Cessation of Liabilities) Ordinance, 2016 was
issued by the Government of India on 28 December 2016 ceasing the
liability of the government for the banned bank notes, and also
imposing a fine up to ₹10,000 or five times the amount of the face
value of the bank notes, whichever is higher, for people transacting
with them after 8 November 2016; or holding more than ten of them
after 30 December 2016. The ordinance also provided for the exchange
of the bank notes after December 30 for non-resident citizens and
others on a case by case basis.
People gathered at ATM of Axis Bank in Mehsana, Gujarat to withdraw cash following
deposit of demonetized currency notes in bank on 15 November 2016.
Reactions
Support
The decision met with mixed initial reactions. Several bankers like
Arundhati Bhattacharya (Chairperson of State Bank of India) and
Chanda Kochhar (MD & CEO of ICICI Bank) appreciated the
move in the sense that it would help curb black money.
Businessmen Anand Mahindra (Mahindra Group), Sajjan Jindal
(JSW Group), Kunal Bahl (Snapdeal and FreeCharge) also
supported the move adding that it would also accelerate e-
commerce. Infosys founder N. R. Narayana Murthy praised the
move.
Chinese state media Global Times praised the move and termed
it as "fierce fight against black money and corruption." Former
Prime Minister of Finland and Vice-President of European
Commission Jyrki Katainen welcomed the demonetization move
stressing that bringing transparency will strengthen Indian
economy. BBC's South Asia Correspondent Justin Rowlatt in his
article praised the move for its secrecy and success and
elaborated on reason behind demonetization. Tim Wortall termed
the demonetization as welcome macroeconomic effect in his
article in Forbes magazine. Swedish Minister of Enterprise Mikael
Damberg supported the move by calling it bold decision.
Human trafficking
Nobel laureate Kailash Satyarthi and others working to fight human
trafficking said that the note ban had led to a huge fall in sex trafficking.
Satyarthi said the demonetization would be effective in combating
exploitation of children as well as corruption and would be a great obstacle
to traffickers. However, 2 months later he expressed his disappointment on
₹ 2000 notes being pushed into human trafficking in absence of other
concrete steps.
Radical groups
The Demonetization has badly hit Maoist and Naxalites as well. The
surrender rate has reached its highest since the demonetization is
announced. It is said that the money these organizations have collected
over the years have left with no value and it has caused them to reach to
this decision.
The move also reportedly crippled Communist guerrilla groups (Naxalites)
financing through money laundering. On 10 November the police arrested a
petrol pump owner at Ranchi when he reportedly tried to deposit ₹2.5
billion, belonging to a person affiliated with the banned Communist Party of
India (Maoist). According to Chhattisgarh Police demonetization has
affected the Naxalite activities. It is reported that insurgents have stashed
more than ₹70 billion in the Bastar region.
While Manohar Parrikar claimed that the move has also helped in reducing
the incidents of stone-pelting in the Kashmir valley his claim has been
disputed.
Hawala
Mumbai Police reported a setback to Hawala operations. Hawala dealers in
Kerala were also affected. The Jammu and Kashmir Police reported the
effect of demonetization on hawala transactions of separatists.
Railways
As of November 2016, Indian Railways did not have the option to make
payment with cards at the counters. After the demonetization move, the
government announced to make card payment options available at railway
counters in the country. The railways placed an order for 10,000 card
reader machines in January 2017.
Cash shortage
The scarcity of cash due to demonetization led to chaos, and most people
holding old banknotes faced difficulties exchanging them due to endless
queues outside banks and ATMs across India, which became a daily
routine for millions of people waiting to deposit or exchange the ₹500 and
₹1000 banknotes since 9 November .ATMs were running out of cash after
a few hours of being functional, and around half the ATMs in the country
were non-functional. Sporadic violence was reported in New Delhi, but
there were no reports of any grievous injury, people attacked bank
premises and ATMs, and a ration shop was looted in Madhya Pradesh after
the shop owner refused to accept ₹500 banknotes.
As of 18 December 2016, there were still long queues at banks and ATMs.
Three months after the withdrawal of banknotes, a quarter of the ATMs
were still short of cash.
The cash shortage was still ongoing in the month of April 2017, five months
after the demonetization. According to a survey, the situation was as bad
as 83% of people being unable to withdraw money in Hyderabad, while in
Pune, the figure was 69%.
Deaths
Several people were reported to have died from standing in queues for
hours to exchange their old banknotes. Deaths were also attributed to lack
of medical help due to refusal of old banknotes by hospitals. As of 15
November 2016, the attributed death toll was 25 and 33 deaths as of 18
November. In an interview, Chief Minister of Delhi Arvind Kejriwal lashed
out at a BBC reporter who asked him to justify his 19 November claim that
55 deaths were linked to demonetization. By the end of the year, opposition
leaders claimed that over 100 people had died due to demonetization.
In March 2017, the government stated that they received no official report
on deaths connected to demonetization.
Stock market crash
As a combined effect of demonetization and US presidential election, the
stock market indices dropped to an around six-month low in the week
following the announcement. The day after the demonetization
announcement, BSE SENSEX crashed nearly 1,689 points and NIFTY 50
plunged by over 541 points. By the end of the intraday trading section on
15 November 2016, the BSE SENSEX index was lower by 565 points and
the NIFTY 50 index was below 8100 intraday.
Transportation disruption
After the demonetization was announced, about 800,000 truck drive ₹ were
affected with scarcity of cash, with around 400,000 trucks stranded at major
highways across India were reported. While major highway toll junctions on
the Gujarat and Delhi-Mumbai highways also saw long queues as toll plaza
operators refused the old banknotes.
Agriculture
Transactions in the Indian agriculture sector are heavily dependent on cash
and were adversely affected by the demonetization of ₹500 and ₹1,000
banknotes. Due to scarcity of the new banknotes, many farmers have
insufficient cash to purchase seeds, fertilize ₹ and pesticides needed for
the plantation of rabi crops usually sown around mid-November. Farmers
and their unions conducted protest rallies in Gujarat, Amritsar and
Muzaffarnagar against the demonetization as well as against restrictions
imposed by the Reserve Bank of India on district cooperative central banks
which were ordered not to accept or exchange the demonetized banknotes.
Business
By the second week after demonetization of ₹500 and ₹1,000 banknotes,
cigarette sales across India witnessed a fall of 30–40%, while E-commerce
companies saw up to a 30% decline in cash on delivery (COD) orders.
Digital transactions
Several e-commerce companies hailed the demonetization decision as an
impetus to an increase in digital payments, hoping that it would lead to a
decline in COD returns which could cut down their costs.
The demand for point of sales (POS) or card swipe machines increased. E-
payment options like PayTM and Instamojo Payment Gateway,
PayUMoney also saw a rise. According to data of Pine Labs, the demand
for its POS machines doubled after the decision. The company stated that
the debit card transactions rose by 108% and credit card transactions by
60% on 9 November 2016.
The growth in eight core sectors such as cement, steel and refinery
products, which constitute 38% of the Index of Industrial Production
(IIP), was only to 4.9 percent in November as compared with 6.6
percent in October.
Job losses
There was a loss of jobs due to demonetization, particularly in the
unorganized and informal sector and in small enterprises. Labour
union jobs were crashed.
Evasion attempts
o Gold purchases -
In Gujarat, Delhi and many other major cities, sales of gold increased on 9
November, with an increased 20 to 30% premium surging the price as
much as ₹45,000 (US$700) from the ruling price of ₹31,900 per 10 grams .
Income Tax officials raided multiple branches of Axis Bank and found bank
officials involved in money laundering acts, exchanging old notes for gold.
o Donations in temples -
In India, the cash deposited into hundis, or cash collection boxes in temples
and gurudwaras are exempted from inquiry by the tax department. This
exemption is sometimes misused to launder money. After the note ban,
there was a spike in donations in the form of the demonetized notes in
temples. Authorities of Sri Jalakanteswarar temple at Vellore discovered
cash worth ₹4.4 million from the temple hundi in the form of defunct notes.
o Railway bookings -
As soon as the demonetization was announced, it was observed by the
Indian Railways authorities that a large number of people started booking
tickets particularly in classes 1A and 2A for the longest distance possible,
to get rid of unaccounted cash. A senior official said, "On November 13,
42.7 million passengers were nationally booked across all classes. Of
these, only 1,209 were 1A and 16,999 for 2A. It is a sharp dip from the
number of passengers booked on November 9, when 27,237 passengers
had booked tickets in 1A and 69,950 in 2A."
The Railways Ministry and the Railway Board responded swiftly and
decided that cancellation and refund of tickets of value ₹10,000 and above
will not be allowed by any means involving cash. The payment can only be
through cheque/electronic payment. Tickets above ₹10,000 can be
refunded by filing ticket deposit receipt only on surrendering the original
ticket. A copy of the PAN card must be submitted for any cash transaction
above ₹50,000. The railway claimed that since the Railway Board on 10
November imposed a number of restrictions to book and cancel tickets, the
number of people booking 1A and 2A tickets came down.
o Backdated accounting -
The Enforcement Directorate raided several forex establishments making
back dated entries. Money laundering using backdated accounting was
carried out by co-operative banks, jewellery sellers, sellers of iPhones, and
several other businesses.
As of December 28, official sources said that the Income Tax department
detected over ₹41.72 billion of un-disclosed income and seized new notes
worth ₹1.05 billion as part of its country-wide operations. The department
carried out a total of 983 search, survey and enquiry operations under the
provisions of the Income Tax Act and has issued 5,027 notices to various
entities on charges of tax evasion and hawala-like dealings. The
department also seized cash and jewellery worth over ₹5.49 billion out of
which the new currency seized (majority of them ₹2000 notes) is valued at
about ₹1.05 billion. The department also referred a total of 477 cases to
other agencies like the CBI and the Enforcement Directorate (ED) to probe
other financial crimes like money laundering, disproportionate assets and
corruption.
It was announced by the government that the seized notes will be brought
into the mainstream as soon as possible to ease out the cash problem.
Earlier, agencies kept all seized material, including cash seizures, in their
strong rooms as evidence till the case was adjudicated by the courts. The
seized money was then deposited into the Consolidated Fund of India.
Sometimes, income tax cases took years to resolve, still all seized material
was kept in safe lockers of the tax department.
turning out to be more protracted than initially expected, a New York Times
And even from the point of view of promoting digital money, the
government need not have put 86 per cent of all currency out of circulation,
says Kaushik Basu, the C. Marks Professor of International Studies and
Nearly eight months after the government scrapped ₹ 500 and ₹ 1,000
notes, he said a lot of data was now available to help assess what
immediate disruption it caused was less severe than feared at first, the
Basu, who was Chief Economic Adviser to the Indian government in 2009-
12 and Chief Economist of the World Bank in 2012-16, pointed out that very
little black money was caught -- this was supposedly the prime reason why
note ban, "the immediate damage caused, though large, was not as large as
GDP growth in the last quarter of 2016 was 7 per cent and manufacturing
activity continued to grow. But "there may be greater long-term side effects
Already, India's growth in the first quarter of 2017 was 6.1 per cent, down
financial sector. Rural loans increased by only 2.5 per cent between October
2016 and April 2017, compared with 12.9 per cent a year before. The rate of
from 6.5 per cent the previous April. In the fi ₹t quarter of 2017, the
construction sector actually shrank, by 3.7 per cent, over the previous
quarter.
"All this augu ₹ poorly for the months to come: As the agriculture sector
slows down in response to low crop prices and the credit shortage begins to
Basu added: "India's economy has enormous strengths - such as high rates
"But just as sailors heading to sea disregard the winds and waves at their
peril, economic policy make ₹ cannot ignore the laws of economics, and
intervene in the market with a blunt and heavy hand, without risking
shipwreck."
“Demonetization A Despotic Act” Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen
“Demonetization A Despotic Act” -Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen
“Demonetization goes against trust... It undermines the entire economy of
trying to get their own money back .” Telling the public suddenly that the
crooked people, involve black money. At one stroke the move declares all
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Indian_banknote_demonet
isation
https://www.youthkiawaaz.com/2017/02/a-commoners-
viewpoint-of-demonetisation/
https://demonetizeormonetize.blogspot.in/2016/11/demonetiz
ation-effects.html
http://www.business-standard.com/article/news-
ians/demonetization-failed-to-achieve-what-it-was-
meant-to-expert-117063000825_1.html