SoonerPoll.

com 820 NE 63 ST
FOR OFFICE USE ONLY:
NO. ______
O kl ah om a’ s Pu b l ic
Oklahoma City, OK 73105 7/24/2018 11:13 AM
O p in ion P o ll s te r
405.607.4664

News9/Newson6 – Republican Run-off Poll

July 18th – 20th, 2018

Sample: Likely Republican voters registered in the state of Oklahoma (n=483) Margin of Error: ± 4.46%
Weighted by; age, congressional district and gender, stratified to represent the Oklahoma Republican likely voter
population.

Introduction:
Hello, I’m ________, and I’m calling from SoonerPoll, Oklahoma’s public opinion pollster. Thank you for taking the
time to talk with me. Please be assured that we are not trying to sell you anything and your individual responses are
confidential.
1. With which political party are you registered?
1. Republican 483 100.0
2. Democrat 0 0.0
3. Independent 0 0.0
4. Libertarian 0 0.0
5. Not registered [DNR] [TERMINATE] 0 0.0
6. DK/Refused [DNR] [TERMINATE] 0 0.0

2. Do you consider yourself a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political

beliefs? [PROBE: VERY/SOMEWHAT]
1. Very liberal 14 3.0
2. Somewhat liberal 12 2.6
3. Moderate 73 15.1
4. Somewhat conservative 146 30.1
5. Very conservative 231 47.8
6. DK/Refused [DNR] 7 1.5

3. On August 28th, Oklahomans will go to the polls for a primary runoff election. How
confident are you that you will vote in this election?
1. I’m definitely voting 431 89.2
2. Planning on voting but may not if something else comes up 36 7.4
3. Going to try and vote if I have time 16 3.4
4. Don’t think I will be able make it

4.

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SoonerPoll, July 2018

Now, thinking about the Primary runoff elections in August.

5. If the Republican Primary runoff election for Governor was today and you were standing
in the voting booth right now, for whom would you vote?
1. Mick Cornett 181 37.5
2. Kevin Stitt 181 37.5
3. Undecided [DNR] 121 25.0

6. If the Republican Primary runoff election for Attorney General was today and you were
standing in the voting booth right now, for whom would you vote?
1. Mike Hunter 186 38.6
2. Gentner Drummond 141 29.1
3. Undecided [DNR] 156 32.3

7. If the Republican Primary runoff election for Superintendent of Public Instruction was
today and you were standing in the voting booth right now, for whom would you vote?
1. Joy Hofmeister 207 42.9
2. Linda Murphy 145 30.1
3. Undecided [DNR] 131 27.0

8. If the Republican Primary runoff election for Commissioner of Labor was today and you
were standing in the voting booth right now, for whom would you vote?
1. Cathy Costello 154 31.8
2. Leslie Osborn 107 22.1
3. Undecided [DNR] 223 46.1

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SoonerPoll, July 2018

Demographics
Now, I’m going to ask you questions about demographics; these are for classification purposes only.
14. Into which of the following age groups do you fall?
1. 18-24 11 2.2
2. 25-34 17 3.6
3. 35-44 65 13.4
4. 45-54 87 18.0
5. 55-64 123 25.5
6. 65 and over 180 37.3

15. How often do you attend religious services?

1. Several times a week 95 19.7
2. Weekly 208 43.0
3. Monthly or several times a month 59 12.2
4. Just major religious holidays throughout the year 54 11.2
5. Never 39 8.1
6. DK/Refused [DNR] 28 5.8

16. Do you consider yourself to be an Evangelical Christian?

1. Yes 333 68.9
2. No 150 31.1

17. [OBSERVED BY INTERVIEWER] Sex

1. Male 220 45.5
2. Female 263 54.5

18. MSA [PRE-CODE]

1. Tulsa 135 28.0
2. Oklahoma City 132 27.2
3. Rest of the state 217 44.8

19. Congressional District [PRE-CODE]

1. Bridenstine 103 21.3
2. Mullins 97 20.1
3. Lucas 97 20.1
4. Cole 95 19.6
5. Russell 92 19.0

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Label MSA

Liberal Conservative Moderate Tulsa Oklahoma City Rest of state

Voting in Run-off Definitly voting 23 86.3% 337 89.4% 67 91.9% 120 88.7% 123 93.5% 188 87.0%
Planning on voting 2 6.3% 26 6.9% 5 7.1% 10 7.6% 8 5.8% 18 8.2%
Going to try and vote 2 7.3% 14 3.6% 1 1.0% 5 3.7% 1 0.7% 10 4.8%
Probably not voting 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Right/Wrong direction Right direction 12 43.7% 117 31.0% 21 28.5% 57 41.8% 36 27.5% 58 26.9%
Wrong direction 12 44.9% 204 54.1% 36 49.9% 54 39.7% 76 57.5% 125 57.7%
Don't know 3 11.5% 56 14.9% 16 21.6% 25 18.5% 20 14.9% 33 15.4%
Rep. Governor Mick Cornett 12 43.8% 128 34.1% 38 52.3% 56 41.4% 60 45.5% 65 30.1%
Kevin Stitt 7 28.1% 149 39.5% 22 30.6% 46 34.1% 46 35.2% 89 41.1%
Unsure 7 28.1% 100 26.5% 12 17.0% 33 24.5% 25 19.3% 62 28.7%
Rep. Attorney General Mike Hunter 14 51.8% 141 37.5% 27 37.0% 55 40.9% 59 44.7% 72 33.4%
Gentner Drummond 5 17.2% 119 31.5% 17 22.9% 46 34.0% 34 25.5% 61 28.2%
Unsure 8 31.0% 117 31.0% 29 40.2% 34 25.1% 39 29.8% 83 38.4%
Rep. Superintendent Joy Hofmeister 14 51.8% 159 42.3% 30 41.4% 57 42.3% 65 49.7% 85 39.2%
Linda Murphy 3 12.8% 120 31.8% 21 29.3% 44 32.8% 45 33.9% 56 26.0%
Unsure 9 35.4% 97 25.9% 21 29.3% 34 24.9% 22 16.4% 75 34.8%
Rep. Commissioner of Labor Cathy Costello 9 32.3% 122 32.5% 23 31.7% 48 35.2% 44 33.6% 62 28.7%
Leslie Osborn 7 25.6% 81 21.5% 16 21.6% 27 19.6% 39 29.7% 41 18.9%
Unsure 11 42.1% 173 46.0% 34 46.7% 61 45.1% 48 36.6% 114 52.4%

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Age

18-24 35-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 and over

Voting in Run-off Definitly voting 6 58.8% 13 76.2% 54 82.9% 77 88.2% 112 90.9% 169 94.0%
Planning on voting 3 25.4% 3 19.0% 8 13.1% 7 8.4% 7 5.7% 7 3.8%
Going to try and vote 2 15.8% 1 4.8% 3 4.0% 3 3.4% 4 3.4% 4 2.3%
Probably not voting 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Right/Wrong direction Right direction 4 39.9% 7 39.7% 23 35.1% 29 33.5% 30 24.2% 58 32.3%
Wrong direction 5 47.1% 9 50.7% 36 55.1% 46 52.5% 76 61.6% 83 46.1%
Don't know 1 13.0% 2 9.6% 6 9.8% 12 14.0% 18 14.2% 39 21.6%
Rep. Governor Mick Cornett 3 28.7% 6 32.8% 17 25.6% 33 38.0% 44 35.7% 79 43.6%
Kevin Stitt 5 47.4% 7 43.2% 25 38.0% 33 37.6% 54 44.2% 57 31.7%
Unsure 3 23.9% 4 24.0% 24 36.4% 21 24.4% 25 20.2% 44 24.6%
Rep. Attorney General Mike Hunter 5 45.6% 8 43.8% 16 24.3% 40 45.8% 56 45.1% 63 34.8%
Gentner Drummond 3 32.5% 4 25.1% 22 34.4% 23 26.8% 30 24.7% 57 31.5%
Unsure 2 21.9% 5 31.2% 27 41.3% 24 27.5% 37 30.1% 61 33.7%
Rep. Superintendent Joy Hofmeister 4 41.2% 4 24.3% 26 39.7% 34 39.0% 47 38.5% 92 50.9%
Linda Murphy 5 46.2% 7 39.7% 15 23.1% 37 42.2% 42 34.4% 39 21.9%
Unsure 1 12.7% 6 36.0% 24 37.2% 16 18.8% 33 27.1% 49 27.2%
Rep. Commissioner of Labor Cathy Costello 5 47.9% 6 32.8% 24 37.0% 35 40.3% 32 26.3% 52 28.7%
Leslie Osborn 3 31.1% 6 33.5% 12 19.1% 15 16.8% 30 24.2% 41 22.6%
Unsure 2 21.0% 6 33.7% 28 43.9% 37 43.0% 61 49.5% 88 48.7%

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Religious Serv. Evangelical

Just major
religious
Monthly or holidays
Several times several times throughout
a week Weekly a month the year Never Yes No
Voting in Run- Definitly voting 90 94.3% 186 89.4% 55 92.3% 44 81.8% 33 85.0% 295 88.7% 136 90.4%
off
Planning on voting 4 4.1% 14 6.9% 3 5.4% 5 9.1% 5 13.2% 28 8.3% 8 5.3%
Going to try and vote 2 1.6% 8 3.8% 1 2.2% 5 9.1% 1 1.8% 10 2.9% 7 4.4%
Probably not voting 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Right/Wrong Right direction 27 28.3% 58 28.0% 19 32.4% 24 43.9% 12 29.5% 105 31.6% 46 30.5%
direction
Wrong direction 54 56.5% 112 53.8% 33 55.2% 21 38.4% 24 60.5% 176 52.8% 78 52.1%
Don't know 15 15.2% 38 18.2% 7 12.4% 10 17.7% 4 10.0% 52 15.6% 26 17.3%
Rep. Governor Mick Cornett 33 34.2% 73 35.2% 29 49.2% 25 47.1% 15 37.9% 120 35.9% 61 40.9%
Kevin Stitt 41 42.9% 83 40.1% 12 20.7% 20 37.3% 15 38.0% 128 38.4% 54 35.7%
Unsure 22 22.9% 51 24.7% 18 30.1% 8 15.6% 9 24.1% 86 25.7% 35 23.4%
Rep. Attorney Mike Hunter 34 35.7% 86 41.6% 21 35.1% 22 41.4% 14 35.8% 122 36.7% 64 42.7%
General
Gentner Drummond 29 30.9% 58 28.0% 17 28.7% 15 28.3% 15 38.7% 99 29.8% 41 27.6%
Unsure 32 33.4% 63 30.4% 21 36.2% 16 30.3% 10 25.5% 112 33.5% 45 29.7%
Rep. Joy Hofmeister 49 51.6% 83 40.2% 31 52.9% 13 24.9% 18 46.5% 133 40.0% 74 49.4%
Superintendent
Linda Murphy 30 31.8% 65 31.2% 14 24.5% 16 30.5% 12 30.7% 108 32.3% 38 25.1%
Unsure 16 16.7% 60 28.7% 13 22.7% 24 44.6% 9 22.8% 92 27.7% 38 25.5%

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Religious Serv. Evangelical

Just major
religious
Monthly or holidays
Several times several times throughout
a week Weekly a month the year Never Yes No
Rep. Cathy Costello 33 35.0% 73 35.2% 17 29.3% 15 27.1% 11 29.0% 108 32.5% 46 30.3%
Commissioner
Leslie Osborn 28 29.5% 43 20.6% 13 21.3% 10 18.2% 7 19.0% 75 22.6% 31 20.8%
of Labor
Unsure 34 35.5% 92 44.2% 29 49.4% 30 54.7% 20 52.0% 149 44.8% 73 48.9%

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Gender Congressional

Male Female Bridenstine Mullins Lucas Cole Russell

Voting in Run-off Definitly voting 193 88.0% 238 90.3% 88 85.8% 83 86.1% 91 93.3% 80 85.0% 88 96.5%
Planning on voting 20 9.2% 15 5.9% 8 8.1% 10 9.9% 2 2.0% 13 13.7% 3 3.0%
Going to try and vote 6 2.8% 10 3.8% 6 6.1% 4 3.9% 5 4.7% 1 1.3% 0 0.5%
Probably not voting 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
Right/Wrong Right direction 63 28.8% 88 33.3% 43 41.3% 27 27.4% 25 26.0% 26 27.9% 30 33.0%
direction
Wrong direction 117 53.1% 137 52.2% 43 42.2% 59 61.0% 54 55.3% 50 52.5% 48 52.7%
Don't know 40 18.1% 38 14.5% 17 16.5% 11 11.6% 18 18.7% 19 19.6% 13 14.3%
Rep. Governor Mick Cornett 89 40.4% 92 35.0% 39 37.9% 23 24.1% 33 34.3% 44 46.6% 41 45.0%
Kevin Stitt 85 38.8% 96 36.5% 40 39.2% 35 35.8% 45 45.9% 29 30.3% 33 36.1%
Unsure 46 20.8% 75 28.5% 24 23.0% 39 40.1% 19 19.7% 22 23.0% 17 18.9%
Rep. Attorney Mike Hunter 89 40.4% 97 37.0% 40 38.9% 27 27.6% 39 40.4% 31 33.1% 49 53.5%
General
Gentner Drummond 60 27.1% 81 30.8% 38 37.2% 32 33.4% 21 22.1% 27 28.5% 22 23.5%
Unsure 71 32.5% 85 32.2% 25 23.8% 38 39.1% 36 37.4% 36 38.4% 21 23.0%
Rep. Joy Hofmeister 90 40.8% 118 44.7% 43 42.1% 42 43.4% 38 39.0% 35 36.6% 49 53.9%
Superintendent
Linda Murphy 71 32.3% 74 28.2% 36 35.3% 18 18.5% 30 30.7% 32 33.7% 29 31.8%
Unsure 59 26.9% 71 27.1% 23 22.6% 37 38.0% 29 30.2% 28 29.7% 13 14.3%
Rep. Cathy Costello 75 34.1% 79 30.0% 38 36.8% 23 23.7% 33 33.6% 30 31.9% 30 32.9%
Commissioner of
Leslie Osborn 45 20.6% 61 23.3% 18 17.6% 15 15.0% 26 26.5% 22 23.0% 27 28.9%
Labor
Unsure 100 45.4% 123 46.7% 47 45.6% 59 61.3% 39 40.0% 43 45.1% 35 38.1%

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