FCM 2063: PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

January 2018 Semester

CREDIT HOURS: 3 units

Lecture: 3 hours/wk
Tutorial: 1 hour/wk

COURSE MANAGEMENT

Semester May 2018

Pre-requisite Engineering Math II
Schedule
i. Lectures As per time table
ii. Tutorials As per time table

Lecturer: AP Dr.Mahmod Othman (Coordinator)

Name mahmod.othman@utp.edu.my
e-mail Block I - 02-14
Room 05-3687658
Telephone

Consultation Hours As per scheduled by each lecturer

SYNOPSIS:

This course is an introduction to Probability and Statistics for engineering with four major
areas:

Part I: Descriptive Statistics

Part II : Inferential Statistics
Part III : Design of Experiment and Factorial Design
Part IV: Probability and Distributions

OBJECTIVES:
Upon the completion of the course, students are expected to be able to:
1. Analyze data from engineering and science.
2. Organize, summarize and present data by using graphical techniques (Part I).
3. Draw conclusions about characteristics of population based on sample data by
using suitable techniques (Part II).
4. Conduct engineering experiment involving two factors, analyze and interpret
effects (Part III)

Effective Date: 15/05/2018

 5. Develop the probability based tools that will be used in statistical inference
(Part IV).

GRADING

Coursework: 40%

Tests (2) 20%

Quizzes (5) 10%
Assignment (2) 10%

Final Examination 60%

Total 100%

F D D+ C C+ B B+ A- A
0.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.75 4.0
0- 40- 45- 50- 55- 65- 75- 80- 85-
39.9 44.9 49.9 54.9 64.9 74.9 79.9 84.9 100

TEXT

D. C. Montgomery, G.C. Runger and N.F. Hubele, Engineering Statistics (4th

edition). Wiley, 2007.

W. Navidi, Statistics for Engineers and Scientist (3th. Edition). Mc. Graw Hill,
2011.

REFERENCE BOOKS

1. D.C. Montgomery and G.C. Runger. Applied Statistics and Probability fro
Engineers (4th. Ed.), John Wiley, 2007
2. J.L. Devore. Probability and Statistics for Engineering and Science (6 th ed)
Thomson: Canada 2003.
3. J.S. Milton and J.C. Arnold. Introduction to Probability and Statistics (4 th ed)
Mc Graw Hill, 2004.
4. R.E. Walpole, S.L. Myers, R.H. Myers and K. Ye. Probability and Statistics
for Engineering and Scientists (8th ed) Pearson Education, 2007.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

Examination:
Final examination is scheduled on the 16 th week of the semester. Five (5)
questions representing the main topics for the course will be given and answer
ALL questions.

Effective Date: 15/05/2018

In order to pass the course, students must get marks at least 40% in
Final Exam.

Tests:
Two (2) tests with three questions each will be given on the 6 th and 12th week.
Students will be required to sit and answer all given questions. Any attempt to
copy or cheat will result in students being barred from completing the course.

Assignments:
One (1) assignment and one (1) case study will be given where the members of
each group need to discuss and give a written solution on the spot during the
tutorial class. Students will be assigned in group.

Quizzes:
Five (5) quizzes will be given during lecture or tutorial based on the
workbook.

Attendance:
Attendance to lectures and tutorials are compulsory. With less than 85%
attendance and absenteeism without valid reason will be barred from taking the
final exam.

E-learning:
All students are required to register and enroll in the course module. Failure to
register will result in student being barred from completing the course. Refer to e-
learning for update on course materials and announcements. All students are
required to down load the work book and have to bring it during lecture. Students
are also encouraged to purchase the textbook.

Enrollment Code: FCM2063

COURSE OUTLINE

Effective Date: 15/05/2018

 Week/Date Topics Tutorial Assessment
W1: Chapter 1: Probability:
14/5 - 18/5 Sample space,
probability of events,
Counting rule
W2: Chapter 1: Probability; Quiz 1
21/5 - 25/5 Conditional Probability,
Multiplication Rule,
Bayes Theorem
W3: Chapter 2: Descriptive Tutorial 1
28/5 - 1/6 Statistics - Numerical (Chap. 1)
31/1/18 – Thaipusam Summary of Data,
Graphical Display of
Data
W4: Chapter 3: Tutorial 2 Quiz 2
4/6 - 8/6 Discrete and Continuous (Chap. 2)
Random Variables
W5: Chapter 3: Tutorial 3
11/6 - 15/6 Discrete Probability (Chap. 3)
15/2 – Replacement Distribution Functions –
in-Lieu
16-17/2/18 – Chinese Binomial and Poisson
New Year Distributions

W6: Chapter 4: Continuous Tutorial 4 Quiz 3

18/6 - 22/6 Probability Distribution (Chap. 4)
Lecturer evaluation Functions – Exponential
by students I (Wk 6 -
Wk 8) and Normal Distributions

W7: Chapter 5: Tutorial 5 Test 1:

25/6- 29/6 Random Sample and JUNE 29,
Central Limit Theorem;
Friday
Normal approximation, R
and X control charts. 4:00 - 6:00PM
(Chap. 1- 4)
W8: Chapter 6: Tutorial 6 Assignment 1
02/7– 06/7 Point estimate; (Chap. 5)
Hypothesis testing

W9: Chapter 6: Hypothesis Tutorial 7 Quiz 4

09/7- 13/7 testing for single (Chap. 6)
population
W10: Chapter 7: Hypothesis Tutorial 8
16/7 – 20/7 testing for two (Chap. 7)
populations
W11: Chapter 8: Tutorial 9 Quiz 5

Effective Date: 15/05/2018

 23/7 - 27/7 Simple linear regression
model
W12: Chapter 9: Tutorial 10 Test 2:
30/7 - 03/8 Multiple linear (Chap. 8 & 9) AUGUST 03,
regression model
Friday
3.30 - 5:30PM
(Chap. 5 - 8)
W13: Chapter 10: Tutorial 11 Assignment 2
06/8 - 10/8 Design of Experiments, (Chap. 10)
Lecturer evaluation One-way ANOVA
by students II (Wk 13-
Wk 14)

W14: Chapter 10: Tutorial 12

13/8- 17/8 Two-way ANOVA and (Chap.10)
Course Outcome Regression Model
Survey (Wk 14 )

STUDY WEEK 21/4/18

W15: (5 days)
20/8 – 24/8 STUDY WEEK
20/8/18-24/8/2018

FINAL EXAMINATION
26/8/2018
W16 (11 days)
27/8 – 31/8 FINAL EXAMINATION
1/5/18 – Public 26/8/2016-6/9/2018
Holiday

Effective Date: 15/05/2018