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ARA
26,1 Why do firms appoint former
military personnel as directors?
Evidence of loan interest
2 rate in militarily connected
Received 28 July 2016
Revised 24 February 2017
firms in Indonesia
22 June 2017
28 August 2017
Accepted 12 September 2017
Iman Harymawan
Downloaded by Queensland University of Technology At 03:31 04 April 2018 (PT)
Abstract
Purpose – Anecdotal evidence shows that a number of military personnel have been appointed as board
members by listed firms in Indonesia. Taking advantage of the unique setting of the strong influence of
the military in Indonesian politics, the purpose of this paper is to provide direct empirical evidence on the
effect of military connections on interest rate for listed firms in Indonesia.
Design/methodology/approach – This study uses a sample of 1,818 firm-year observations of firms
listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2004 to 2012 and employs Heckman’s two-stage
regression and Coarsened Exact Matching methods to address endogeneity concerns on the firms’
establishment of military connections.
Findings – The finding reveals that connected firms significantly enjoy lower interest rates on debt than
non-connected ones. These findings are robust to several robustness checks.
Research limitations/implications – The results of this study should be treated with caution since the
proxy of military connections limited only based on board connections. Hence, this may underestimate
the results from this study. This research has implications for Indonesia’s regulators who are striving to
improve accounting information and transparency of militarily connected firms.
Originality/value – The results of this study add to the literature that connected firms enjoy preferential
benefits provided by the connections through lower interest charges from banks.
Keywords Developing country, Bank loan, Interest rate, Military connections
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
A retired army general holds down the top position of president director. Yet he has never chaired a
shareholders meeting. He claims that while he signed cheques, loan application, and other
documents, he had virtually no idea what was going on McBeth (1994).
Prior studies document that the presence of militarily connected directors as board members
is one of the important determinants for explaining firms’ decision making and outcomes
(Benmelech and Frydman, 2015; Lin et al., 2011). This study extends the literature by
providing direct evidence of the effect of military connections to the interest rates in
developing countries.
Investigating the effect of military connections to business in developing countries is
important for several reasons. First, some developing countries (i.e. South Africa,
Pakistan, Libya, etc.) have shown that the military plays an important role in the political
decision-making process (Funnell, 2005; Shah, 2014). Although prior research shows that
political connections add value to connected firms around the world (Adhikari et al., 2006;
Asian Review of Accounting Fisman, 2001), these findings may not be generalizable in regard to the influence of
Vol. 26 No. 1, 2018
pp. 2-18
military connections in business. The involvement of military personnel in political
© Emerald Publishing Limited
1321-7348
decision making provides an opportunity for the military to overuse their power.
DOI 10.1108/ARA-07-2016-0086 They could serve a third party by utilizing their political and military power to gain
private interests, especially in business. The lack of transparency and inefficient Militarily
government in most developing countries (Porta et al., 1997; Leuz et al., 2003) aid them in connected
establishing strong mutual business relationships. However, to my knowledge, there is no firms
empirical evidence of what the benefit is of being a militarily connected firm.
Second, examining the effect of military connections in business will further enhance our
understanding of what is the motivation of listed firms to appoint a board member with
military experience. In early 2016, the Indonesian Ministry of State Owned Enterprises 3
(SOEs) considered hiring former military personnel as board members in Indonesian SOEs.
However, it still remains an empirical question as to what is the motivation for listed firms to
appoint militarily connected directors. To fill the gap in this literature, this study aimed to
provide empirical evidence on this issue. Specifically, I investigated the firm debt interest
rate of militarily connected firms in Indonesia.
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I identified a unique setting of a country in which the military has played an important
role in politics. First, Indonesia is a country with enormous influence of the military over
the political decision-making process. Since its independence in 1945, Indonesia has been
ruled by presidents with a strong military background for 41 years[1]. Despite the military
reform that was enacted at the end of 2004, the military still dominates the political rivalry
in Indonesia. In the presidential election of 2004, two out of the five presidential candidates
were former military personnel[2]. Interestingly, all candidates in the presidential election
in 2009, either the president candidate or his (or her) running mate, were former military
personnel[3]. Therefore, up to now, Indonesia still has strong military involvements
in politics. Second, in the year 1957, the Indonesian Government issued a regulation
supporting and reinforcing the involvement of military personnel in economic activities in
Indonesia. Since that year, military business activities have emerged as one important
player in Indonesia’s economy.
Using this unique setting, this study aimed to provide empirical evidence on the
influence of military connections for listed firms in Indonesia. For the empirical analysis,
I constructed a sample of firms listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange from 2004 to 2012.
I then examined the relations between the interest rate on debt of militarily connected firms
and non-connected ones. More specifically, I investigated whether firms with military
connections are associated with lower interest rates.
According to a rent seeking theory (Krueger, 1974), firms can seek a rent from someone
(i.e. politician, government official, etc.) to get some benefits (i.e. licenses, forestry
concession, etc.) from their connections to support their business. One good example in
Indonesia is when Golden Key Group borrows $430 million from a state-owned enterprise
that later became one of the biggest corruption scandals in the mid of the 1990s[4].
With the dual function military roles in Indonesia, it is possible that the military personnel
are able to give some benefits using their political power to the connected firms. If this is
the case, it is expected that the militarily connected directors can provide benefits for the
firms. As a result, militarily connected firms will have significantly lower interest rates
than non-connected ones.
Based on their military experience, military personnel are known to their good
leadership, discipline, and good organizational skill. Hence, alternatively, it is possible that
firms appoint militarily connected directors to get their leadership experience from the
military that might help to govern the firms better. In this case, we can expect that there is
no (or indirect) association between military connections and interest rate.
The results show that military connections are negatively and significantly associated
with interest rates. This indicates that banks charge lower loan rates for militarily connected
firms than non-connected ones. In other words, this finding suggests that the militarily
connected firms in Indonesia enjoy preferential treatment in regard to credit from banks.
Next, to address the potential influence of unobserved variables on the findings, I employed
ARA Heckman’s two-stage regressions approach in this study. Similar to the findings in baseline
26,1 regression, I find that military connections are negatively associated with the interest rate.
Finally, due to another potential self-selection problem in regard to militarily connected
director appointments, it is also possible that the main findings were affected by the
observed variables included in the regression model. To address this potential problem,
I, therefore, re-examined the findings using the Coarsened Exact Matching (CEM) approach.
4 Under this approach, I found consistent results with the main findings which suggest that
the findings in this study are robust from self-selection problem.
As sensitivity checks, first I tested whether the results were affected by the crisis or
not. If the findings were not influenced by the crisis period, I expect to get similar results.
Second, I also conducted a test to examine the influence of the highest percentage of
militarily connected firms in the sample. Third, I also re-examined the regression models
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using an alternative proxy for the interest rate. In general, consistent with the main
results, the findings show that military connections are negatively associated with the
interest rate on debt.
This study adds to the literature in the following ways. First, the result of this study
sheds light on the benefits enjoyed by militarily connected firms in developing countries
(Crouch, 1978; Lowry, 1996; Mietzner and Misol, 2012). To my knowledge, this study is the
first empirical study to provide direct evidence that the presence of militarily connected
directors in listed firms is associated with lower interest rates on debt. Second, this study
also furthers our understanding of the motivation of listed firms in Indonesia when they
hire former military personnel as board members (Rieffel and Pramodhawardani, 2007;
Misol, 2006). Third, this study complements the prior studies in the bank loan literature
(e.g. Kim, Simunic, Stein and Yi, 2011; Kim, Tsui and Yi, 2011) by providing evidence on
the factors that might affect the level of bank interest rate in developing countries.
Finally, the findings in this study are also useful as a consideration for any institution
(private, public, or SOE firms) before they appoint militarily connected directors.
The remainder of this paper is structured as follows. Section 2 develops the research
hypotheses. Section 3 describes the sample and variables. Section 4 specifies the empirical
models and presents the main results and the results of the sensitivity tests. Section 5
summarizes the paper and presents concluding remarks.
legal business or when illegal activities[6] are involved. These types of relations can affect
firms’ decisions and outcomes in business.
The initial sample consisted of firm-year observations from the combination of OSIRIS
and the Indonesian Capital Market Data (ICMD) database for the period from 2004 to 2012.
The sample period started in 2004 because the initial data of interest rate spread (IRATE)
were available from 2003. I then deleted observations with missing data required for
regression analysis. I also deleted firm-year observations which have a different fiscal year.
Firms related to financial services were also excluded. Finally, I found 1,818 firm-year
observations as the main sample.
Table I presents firms’ distribution by the end of each year and industry. As shown in
Panel A, I found 86 firms (4.73 percent) to be militarily connected, suggesting that military
activism in business is less certain in public firms. This finding is consistent with prior
research that shows militarily connected firms are less transparent in order to avoid public
scrutiny (Misol, 2006). As shown in Panel B, I found most of the connected firms to be
involved in the construction industry. However, if we look at the percentage of connected
firms within the same industry, there is no big difference between industries. I found no
connected firms in service (seven) and health, legal, and educational service and consulting
(eight) industries. The highest percentage of connected firms is in the wholesale and retail
trade industry (five).
Indonesia is one of the countries which adopted two-tier board structure. In this type
of board structure, listed firms are required to have both a Board of Director and Board
of Commissioner (BoC). In China setting, BoC also called Supervisory Committee
(Firth et al., 2007; Cho and Rui, 2009). Based on data description in this study, all militarily
connected directors are serving as the BoC. All definition of variables used in this study is
provided in Table II.
presents the results from the correlation matrix of all variables used in this study. The result
shows that the proxy of military connections is negatively correlated with the interest
rate. From this univariate analysis, I found that the firms with military connections are
negatively associated with interest rate, have a negative return on assets, lower leverage,
and have a shorter distance from the headquarter to the military base in Indonesia. I also
found that militarily connected firms are associated with larger firm size, higher firm value,
and higher firm growth.
Table V presents the firms’ characteristics between connected firms and non-connected
firms. The table shows that connected firms have a significantly lower interest rate
(IRATE) than non-connected ones. With respect to SIZE, firms with military connections
are significantly larger than firms without military connections. For ROA, connected
firms have a significantly lower return on assets than non-connected ones. There is no
difference in firm leverage, market to book value ratio, and sales growth between
connected firms and non-connected ones. In addition, connected firms have a significantly
shorter distance between firms’ headquarters and Indonesian military bases than
non-connected ones.
4. Empirical results
In this section, I reported an empirical analysis which investigated the relation of military
connections to loan interest rate. In the first section, I presented the results from ordinary
ARA Data
26,1 Variable Definition source
Dependent variable
IRATE ¼ Interest expenses in year t divided by the average of short-term and long-term OSIRIS
debt at the beginning and end of year t
AB_IRATE ¼ The difference between the interest rate for firm j in year t and the median of OSIRIS
8 interest rate within industry in year t (abnormal interest rate)
Test variables
CONNECT ¼ 1 for a firm with one or more directors who held military positions before sitting ICMD
on the board and otherwise 0
Control variables
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least squares (OLS) regression for main sample and subsamples. Next, I described the
results to rule out self-selection bias issues both for problems driven by observed and
unobserved variables. Finally, I provided some additional analysis as robustness checks.
firms
Table IV.
9
Pearson correlations
ARA Connection (n ¼ 86) No connection (n ¼ 1,732) Mean test Wilcoxon
26,1 Variables (mean) (mean) (t-statistic) (z-statistic)
that are available from the Indonesia Capital Market Directory (ICMD) database and have financial data
available from OSIRIS. Military connections data were sourced from the ICMD database. Firm-level variables
Table V. are from OSIRIS. Models include robustness standard errors. Results of means t-tests and Wilcoxon (z-tests)
Firm characteristics are displayed. *,**,***Significant at the 10, 5, and 1 percent levels, respectively
IRATE
Variables [1] [2] [3] [4]
It is possible that the negative association between military connections and interest loan
rate persist only in a specific condition. I, therefore, divided the main sample into two
subsamples based on the financial performance (ROA) and the size of the firm (SIZE).
Table VII presents the OLS results for subsamples. Specifications 1 and 2 examine the
hypothesis for the sample with return on assets above and below the median, respectively.
The results show an interesting finding. I found that in the first specification, the coefficient
of IRATE is negative (−0.029) and significant at the 1 percent level (t ¼ −3.46). However,
in the second specification, I found that the coefficient of IRATE is still negative (−0.000)
and but insignificant (t ¼ −0.03).
Next, I constructed the second subsample based on the size of the firm. Specifications 3
and 4 present the results for the sample with size above and below the median, respectively.
In the third specification, I found that the coefficient of IRATE is negative (−0.031) and
IRATE
Militarily
[1] [2] [3] [4] connected
Variables High ROA Low ROA High SIZE Low SIZE firms
CONNECT −0.029*** (−3.46) −0.000 (−0.03) −0.031* (−1.71) −0.016** (−2.51)
SIZE 0.004*** (3.93) 0.006*** (4.12) 0.013*** (5.19) 0.001 (0.89)
ROA −0.001*** (−3.57) −0.002*** (−5.73) −0.002*** (−7.01) −0.002*** (−7.19)
LEVERAGE 0.002 (0.44) 0.038*** (3.28) 0.015** (2.45) 0.015 (1.48) 11
MKBV −0.000 (−0.17) 0.003*** (3.12) 0.001* (1.81) 0.002*** (3.13)
GROWTH −0.005 (−0.44) 0.01 (0.68) 0.006 (0.41) −0.007 (−0.68)
CONSTANT 0.028* (1.75) −0.044* (−1.77) −0.095*** (−3.11) 0.053** (2.4)
Industry dummies Included Included Included Included
Year dummies Included Included Included Included
2
Adjusted R 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.26
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significant at the 10 percent level (t ¼ −1.71). In the last specification, I found that the
coefficient of IRATE is still negative (−0.016) and significant at the 5 percent level
(t ¼ −2.51). Overall, the results in subsamples support the main findings that firms with
military connections are negatively associated with interest rate regardless the size of the
firms. Interestingly, these findings do not persist in a subsample of firms with return on
assets below the median. It indicates that connected firms cannot get the benefit of lower
interest rate from their connections when they have poor firm performance.
that theoretically are potential determinants of the relation between business and military
connections (Lennox et al., 2011). I followed prior research in political connections literature
(Kim and Zhang, 2016) to include two additional variables in the first-stage regression that
affect the dependent variable (loan interest rate) only through its effect on the variable of
interest (military connections).
Specifically, I included DISTANCE which was defined as the distance from a firm’s
headquarters to a military base in Indonesia and PROBMC representing the percentage of
connected firms in each industry. Similar to Kim and Zhang (2016), I argued that both Militarily
exclusion variables have no direct impact on the interest rate other than the indirect connected
impact through military connections. In other words, I expected that the closer the firms
distance between firms’ headquarters and Indonesian military bases the greater
the chance of a firm being militarily connected. However, there is no clear reason why this
distance will affect the loan interest rate. Similarly, I expected that the higher the
percentage of connected firms in a specific industry the higher the chance of the firms in 13
that industry being militarily connected. Nevertheless, there is no clear reason why this
variable will affect the loan interest rate.
The results of the first-stage probit regressions are reported in Table VIII.
Three specifications are presented in the table. In the first specification, I included
DISTANCE as the exclusion restriction variable. In the second specification, PROBMC is
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included as the exclusion restriction variable. The third specification includes both
DISTANCE and PROBMC as exclusion restriction variables. I found that, in all
specifications, firm size is an important determinant of the likelihood of establishing
military connections. It shows that larger firms are more likely to be militarily connected
firms. Interestingly, firms with military connections also have a lower return on assets and
firm leverage. Militarily connected firms also have higher market to book value than
non-connected firms. As expected, I found that militarily connected firms are more likely
to be concentrated in some specific industries. Finally, firms with headquarters closer to
Indonesian military bases are more likely to establish military connections. The pseudo
R2 ranges from 11.4 to 16.7 percent.
4.2.2 Second-stage regression. To investigate the relation between military connections
and interest rate, I estimated the following second-stage regression equation:
leverage and higher market to book value are significantly associated with a higher interest
rate on debt (Pittman and Fortin, 2004; Kim, Tsui and Yi, 2011). Firms with a lower return on
assets are significantly associated with a higher interest rate on debt. The coefficient of
inverse Mills ratio is only significant in Specification 2. Nevertheless, this study still found a
negative association between the interest rate on debt and military connections.
4.2.3 CEM. As an alternative approach to addressing the self-selection concern,
I employed a CEM approach. The difference between this approach and Heckman’s two-stage
regression is that CEM is focused on potential observed (rather than unobserved) variables
that might influence the results in ordinary regression. The popular approach that is used by
prior research in accounting research is Propensity Score Matching (PSM) (Cheng et al., 2012;
Kim and Shi, 2012; Lawrence et al., 2011). However, recent research found that this approach
has sensitivity problem (DeFond et al., 2016). They describe that the results of using PSM
depend on the PSM design choice, i.e. matching with or without replacement; the number of
additional variables in the model; the number of iterations; bootstrapping analysis. Another
important issue of PSM approach is “random matching” problem. Therefore, I employed CEM
that is not susceptible to the random matching problem.
Table X presents the result of regression of military connections on interest rate using
the CEM approach. The result shows that the coefficient of CONNECT is −0.022 and
belong to this industry. Thus, I found 1,644 firm-years as the final observation.
Supporting the findings of the main sample, I found that the coefficient of CONNECT is
negative and statistically significant.
Due to the impact and complexity of the financial crisis, it is possible that the findings
in the main result were affected by the crisis period. The second specification presents the
result after excluding the financial crisis period. I found that the coefficient of CONNECT
is continuously negative and significant even after excluding observations during the
crisis period. This finding indicates that the main results are robust to the effect of
the financial crisis.
Finally, I re-examined the relation of military connections with the interest rate on debt
using abnormal interest rate (AB_IRATE). As shown in Table XI in the third specification,
consistent with the main result, I found that the coefficient of CONNECT is −0.016 and
significant at the 5 percent level (t ¼ −2.21). In summary, the results in Table XI suggest
that the main results of this study are robust to a variety of sensitivity checks.
5. Concluding remarks
This study took advantage of the unique setting in Indonesia to assess the effect of the
presence of militarily connected directors on public firms regarding the loan interest rate.
Notes
1. General (retired) Soeharto (1967-1998); General (retired) Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (2004-2014).
2. General (retired) Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and General (retired) Wiranto.
3. General (retired) Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, General (retired) Prabowo Subianto, and General
(retired) Wiranto.
4. See McBeth (1994) for the detail.
5. Detailed examples can be found in McBeth (2002), Rieffel and Pramodhawardani (2007), and
Crouch (1978).
6. A detailed discussion can be found in Crouch (1975, pp. 533-537).
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Corresponding author
Iman Harymawan can be contacted at: harymawan.iman@feb.unair.ac.id
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