Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1. Introduction
2. Time value of money
3. Comparison methods – Part 1
4. Comparison methods – Part 2
5. Depreciation
6. Taxes
7. Retirement and replacement
8. Inflation & Sensitivity
9. Cost estimation
10. Analysis of Project cash flows
1
Interest and interest rate
Cash flow refers to receipt or payment of an
amount of money.
Interest is the rent charged for the use of
borrowed money (monetary unit).
Interest rate is the ratio of the interest charged
during the interest period to the amount owed at
the start of the period.
i=
( A1 − A0 ) = A1 − 1
A0 A
0
2
Equivalent values of a single cash flow
Let P = amount of the original investment (Present value).
F = equivalent future amount at the end of N period
(Future value).
N = number of periods.
i = compound interest rate per period.
P
compounding
0 1 2 3 4 N
P=?
F=?
0 1 2 3 4 N
Discounting F
0 1 2 3 4 N
F = (1+i)N P
3
Equivalent values of a single cash flow (cont.)
For compounding process under compound
interest, we have
F = (1 + i ) P
N
F = P + NiP = P(1+iN)
F = (1 + i ) P P = F (1 + i )
N −N
4
Equivalent values of multiple cash flows
When a number of cash flows occur at different
periods, total equivalent present and future
values of the cash flow diagram are the
summation of equivalent present and future
values of every periods throughout the planning
horizon, respectively.
P=? F=?
A2
A1 AN
A0 A3
0 1 2 3 4 N
A4
P = ? discounting
N Aj N A2
P=∑ A j (1 + i )
(1 + i ) j ∑
−j AN
= A1
j =0 j =0 A0 A3
0 1 2 3 4 N
A4
compounding F=?
A2 N
F = ∑ (1 + i ) A j
j
A1 AN
A3 j =0
0 1 2 3 4 N
A4
0 1 2 3 4 N 0 1 2 3 4 N
P=? F=?
(1 + i )N − 1 (1 + i )N − 1
P = A N
= A( P / A, i, N ) F = A = A( F / A, i, N )
i(1 + i ) i
5
Equivalent values of a uniform series of cash flows
(cont.)
Uniform series (Annuity) from a present
amount or a future sum
A1 = A2 = A3 = A4 = . . . = AN = ?
i(1 + i )N
A = P = P ( A / P, i , N )
(1 + i ) − 1
N
0 1 2 3 4 N
i
A = F = F ( A / F , i, N )
(1 + i ) − 1
N
0 1 2 3 4 N
F
A
“Sinking fun factor”
6
Equivalent values of a uniform series of cash flows
(cont.)
Annuity with beginning-of-period cash flows –
a inform series of cash flows occur at the
beginning, rather than the end of each period.
A A
0 1 2 N-1 N
P
P = A[1 + ( P / A, i , N − 1)]
P = A(P / A, i, N − n + 1)(P / F , i, n − 1)
or
or = A[(P / A, i, N ) − (P / A, i, n − 1)]
7
Equivalent values of a gradient series
Arithmetic gradient is the condition in which
cash flows increase by uniform amount from
period to period, leading to arithmetic
progression.
(N-1)G
G = amount of cash
3G flows increasing
2G uniformly from one
G
period to the next.
G G G
0 G G G
0 1 2 3 4 N
0 1 2 3 4 N 0 1 2 3 4 N
8
Equivalent values of a gradient series/
arithmetic gradient (cont.)
Ex 2-13: positive arithmetic gradient
Consider a series of cash flows shown in picture (a) below,
determine the equivalent present value, if an interest rate is
10% per period.
Ex 2-14: negative arithmetic gradient
Consider a series of cash flows shown in picture (b) below,
determine the equivalent uniform series, if an interest rate
is 10% per period.
i = 10% i = 10%
0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5
$100
$300
$110
$400
$120 $500
(a) $130
$140
$600 (b)
$700
A3
A2
A1
0 1 2 3 N
P = A1 N (1 + i ) −1 for i = g
“Geometric series
present worth factor”
(P/A1,i,g,N)
(P/A1,i,g,N) can also be written as the functions of other factors
as:.
(P / A1 , i, g , N ) = 1 − (F / P, g , N )(P / F , i, N )
i−g
9
Equivalent values of a gradient series/
arithmetic gradient (cont.)
Ex 2-15:
Manufacturing costs are expected to be $100,000 in the
first year, increasing by 5% each year over 7-year period.
Find the equivalent present value of these cash flows
assuming a 10% discount rate and end-of-year cash flow.
1 period
10
Effective and nominal interest rate (cont.)
0 1 2 3 M
j
1 period
Let i = (effective) interest rate per period.
M = number of subperiods of equal length.
iM = effective interest rate per subperiod
(compounded at the end of each subperiod).
i = (1 + iM ) − 1 iM = (1 + i )
M 1
or M −1
11
Effective and nominal interest rate (cont.)
Ex 2-16:
A credit card company charges the interest compounded
monthly at rate 1.5% on the unpaid balanced. What is the
effective annual rate?
Ex 2-17:
Labor costs for a certain operation are $8,000 per week,
occurring at the end of each week over 3-year period. If the
effective discount rate is 15% per year, calculate the
equivalent present value of those costs.
i = er − 1
or
r = ln (1 + i )
Ex 2-19:
A bank advertises that it will pay interest on a $10,000
certificate of deposit at a rate of 7.2% with interest
compounded “continuously”. What is the corresponding
yield?
12
Cash flows within periods
For simplicity, cash flows are assumed to occur
at the end of the periods.
However, in the real world it is not always the
case since cash flows normally occur
within/during the periods.
There are four alternative approaches to
treat the cash flow occurs within the periods.
1. No interest compounding within a
subperiod
2. Period and subperiod (End of period )
3. Continuous compounding
4. Mid-period convention
A1,j$ A
x 2,j
per subperiod
A3,j AM,j
subperiod
0 1 2 3 M 0 1 2 3 M
1 period 1 period
j = M − jApprox. Mx
A1,j $Ax2,jperAsubperiod
3,j AM,j
subperiod
0 1 2 3 M 0 1 2 3 M
1 period 1 period
e.g. (2-17) Wages of $8,000/wk would be roughly
equivalent to $8,000*(F/A,iM,52) = $445,858/yr.
13
cash flows within periods (cont.)
3. Continuous compounding
In many cases, the subperiod cash flows occurs very
often (very large number of subperiods or M ∞) with
almost similar amount of cash flows for every
subperiod.
From F = P(1 + i ) N
and i = e −1r
F = Pe rN
14
cash flows within periods (cont.)
The uniform series of cash flows within
periods under continuous compounding
subperiod
0 1 2 3 M 0 1 2 3 M
1 period 1 period
with F = A( F / A, iM , M )
1 period 1 period
A (1 + iM ) − 1 er − 1 i
M
A= A = A = A
M→∞
M iM r ln(1 + i )
where iM = effective interest
rate per subperiod (= r/M) “fund flow conversion factor”
Ex 2-21:
It is expected that a total of $12,000 will be spent out of the
firm party cash fund over the course of a year. Actually,
expenditures occurs daily and are approximately the same
from day to day? The continuous cash flow assumption
would be appear to warranted here. If the firm’s discount
rate is 20% per year, determine the equivalent value at the
end of the year.
15
cash flows within periods (cont.)
The continuous cash flow can occur in a single
period, multiple periods or even every period through
N periods.
P=?
F i 1 N
P = F
ln (1 + i ) 1 + i
period
0 1 2 N-1 N (
= F P / F , i, N )
P=?
A i
P = A
(1 + i ) N − 1
N
ln(1 + i ) i (1 + i )
period
= A( P / A, i, N )
0 1 2 N-1 N
Ex 2-22:
A major overhaul is expected to cost $40,000 in the 30th
month of ownership. If the discount rate is 2% per month,
and assuming that these costs occur continuously and
uniformly during the 30th month, calculate the equivalent
present value.
Ex 2-23:
Repeat Ex 2-17 using the continuous cash flow, continuous
compounding approximation, calculate the equivalent
present value.
16
cash flows within periods (cont.)
Aj2
AjM
Aj1 Ajk
subperiod
(actual)
0 1 2 .... M/2 .......k ....... M
i = (1 + iS ) − 1
2
period j
M
∑A
k =1
jk or
iS = (1 + i ) − 1
subperiod 0.5
(assumed)
0 1 2
period j
M
Aj A j = ∑ A jk 1 + i
subperiod k =1
(assumed)
0 1 2
period j
Ex 2-24:
Cash flow of $1,000 per month are expected to occur at the
end of each month throughout year j. If the interest rate is
20% per year, determine the equivalent end-of-year cash
flow using the mid-period convention.
Ex 2-25:
Repeat Ex 2-17 using the mid-period convention.
17
Loans
Loans are the borrowing and lending of money.
Principle (P) of the loans is the total amount of
money advanced by the lender to the borrower.
All loans involves
The amount of timing of cash flows between the
lender and borrower.
The effective interest rate per period.
The interest accumulated in period j:
I j = iPj −1
where Pj-1 = amount of principle remaining at the end
of period j-1 (or the start of period j), for j =1,2,3,…,N.
Loans (cont.)
Two common types of repayment plan
1. Single repayment:
Principle of loan (P)
i
0 1 2 .... N
F = P0 ( F / P, i, N ) = P0 (1 + i )
N
Repayment (F)
Loans (cont.)
2. Uniform periodic repayment:
Principle of loan (Po)
-Repay the loan P0 with N
equal payments.
-e.g. home mortgages, car
0 1 2 j …. N or student loans.
I1 I2 Ij IN
∆Pj = A-Ij A = P0 ( A / P, i, N )
Equal payment (A)
I j = iPj −1
18
Loans (cont.)
∆Pj = A − I j
Pj = A( P / A, i, N − j )
or Pj = Pj −1 − (A − I j )
Loans (cont.)
Ex 2-26:
For single repayment, how much do we repay at the end of
24 months for the original loan of $1,000 with the interest
compound monthly at the rate of 1% per month.
Ex 2-27:
You loan $1,000 from a bank and agree to repay the bank
in uniform periodic repayment. How much do we repay
over 5 periods with interest rate of 10% per period. Also,
calculate the interest accumulated, principal portion and
principal remaining in each period.
Extra examples
Ex 2-28:
Assuming an effective interest rate of 10% per annum:
a) How much must be invested today in order to provide an
annuity of $20,000 per year for 4 years, with the first
payment occurring exactly 10 years from now?
b) How much must be invested today in order to provide an
annuity of $10,000 every 6 months for 4 years (8
payments) with the first payment occurring exactly 10 years
from now?
c) A sum of $2,000 will be deposited into a savings account at
the beginning of each year for 10 years. If the fund accrues
interest at the rate of 10% per year, how much will be in the
find after 10 years.
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