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T
he Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX) balloon-borne GPS radiosondes from ground-based
was a field campaign conducted 15 May through mobile platforms, in ways meant to mimic airborne
15 June 2013 within the Great Plains region of dropsonde deployments. Documentation of our expe-
the United States. MPEX had two complementary riences is provided here for the benefit of future field
research foci: experiments that need, as we did, an alternative to drop-
sondes over land and in the vicinity of active convection.
• Focus 1: The effects of upstream, prestorm
mesoscale and subsynoptic-scale environmental A BRIEF BACKGROUND. Within unstable, unsatu-
features on regional-scale numerical weather rated layers, vertical circulations associated with the
prediction (NWP) of convective storms. resultant convection mix high (low) virtual potential
temperature air upward (downward), and thereby
• Focus 2: The upscaling effects of isolated deep- adjust the lapse rate of the convecting layer of air back
convective storms on their environment, and the toward a more statically stable state. Indeed, this idea
feedback of these effects to the convective-scale of convective adjustment forms the basis for convec-
dynamics and predictability. tive parameterization schemes in NWP models. But
other processes besides vertical mixing are also at play
An overview of these foci and the multiple facets of in deep cumulus convection. For example, deep con-
the MPEX operations can be found in Weisman et al. vective clouds diabatically heat the atmosphere when
(2015). The purpose of this brief but complementary water vapor condenses into cloud droplets, and diabati-
article is to highlight Focus 2 activities. In particular, we cally cool the atmosphere when subsequent precipita-
describe both the feasibility and limitations of launching tion falls out of the cloud and evaporates. Such diabatic
heating, especially when sustained through mesoscale
convective systems (MCSs), can lead to long-lasting
AFFILIATIONS: Trapp —University of Illinois at Urbana-
modifications of the larger-scale geopotential height
Champaign, Urbana, Illinois; Stensrud —The Pennsylvania State
University, University Park, Pennsylvania; Coniglio and Waugh —
and wind field in the middle- and upper-troposphere.
NOAA/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma; Diabatic cooling associated with precipitating down-
Schumacher—Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, Colorado; drafts can result in a pool of cool air at the ground that
Baldwin —Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana; Conlee — spreads laterally away from the precipitating cloud.
Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas Both are forms of upscale feedbacks that have local as
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Robert J. Trapp, Department of well as remote effects on the atmosphere and its ability
Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, to support subsequent cumulus convection. And, as
105 S. Gregory Street, Urbana, IL 61801 supported by previous work, these effects are realized
E-mail: jtrapp@illinois.edu as measurable perturbations to the vertical distribu-
DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00258.1 tions of atmospheric temperature, humidity, and wind.
© 2016 American Meteorological Society Misrepresentation of, for example, the depth or
areal extent of a surface cold pool in NWP models will
PU iMet 3050 (2) iMet-1-AB 403 MHz GPS radiosondes 200-g latex
NSSL iMet 3050, and iMet 3150 iMet-1-AB 403 MHz GPS radiosondes 200-g latex
variability) that could later be compared to samples launches were also coordinated in time with the Na-
of the convectively disturbed environment. tional Weather Service radiosonde launch at Norman,
The range of PCE deployments during the project Oklahoma (Fig. 3). Thereafter, PU redeployed to the
depended mostly on the expected CI mechanism and east-northeast of its initial position, to facilitate PCE
location, and surprisingly little on identification of sampling in the vicinity and east of the convergence
suitable observation sites. Indeed, the teams quickly zone at ~1815 UTC. Local CI occurred west of the
became adept at site identification and rapid deploy- array at approximately this same time, albeit in as-
ment. Guided by an experimental ensemble of con- sociation with the quasistationary boundary rather
vection-permitting NWP models and by operational than the more subtle convergence zone. By 2000 UTC,
meteorological information, an initial target domain one of the convective cells had matured into a torna-
was typically identified by 1500 UTC, with data col- dic supercell near Marlow, Oklahoma, and within
lection beginning between 1800 and 2000 UTC, but the next two hours would move through the region
was delayed to as late as 2100 UTC. Given a choice of that had been sampled previously (and also sampled
more than one domain, preference was often given to subsequently, using the CDE strategies).
the one that showed more uncertainty in storm occur- Although analysis of the upsonde data from this
rence within the model ensemble, to accommodate case is ongoing, the PCE (and CDE) samples have
later studies on the impact of the assimilation of the already revealed interesting contrasts in bound-
PCE soundings on model forecasts of the event. ary layer evolution that depend on storm-relative
The preconvective operations on 20 May 2013 launch locations. For example, the CSU soundings
exemplify the type of PCE sampling that was envi- at 1714 UTC (not shown), 1827 UTC, and 2030 UTC
sioned in the experimental plan. At ~1715 UTC, the (Fig. 4a), which were collected in the preconvective
PU, CSU, and NSSL teams sampled the preconvective environment and then inflow of the supercell, show a
environment west of a zone of enhanced mesoscale gradual deepening in the height of the capping inver-
convergence in central Oklahoma, and east of a sion and thus increase in the convective boundary
more extensive quasistationary boundary; these layer depth, presumably owing to large-scale ascent.
23 May Northwestern Texas, tornadic supercell, with wake/cold pool soundings, and some inflow soundings
into developing MCS
29 May Western Oklahoma/eastern Texas Panhandle, developing bow echo, with surround sampling
of the northern bookend vortex, and additional sampling of cold pool and inflow of QLCS
30 May South-central Oklahoma, nontornadic supercell (all teams), and some Purdue-only sampling
of wake of additional nontornadic supercell
3 June Oklahoma Panhandle, southwest Kansas, intense cells with some (HP) supercell characteristics,
surround strategy, then additional sampling of developing bow echo