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ADR HOLD We no longer expect to revert to a 6-12 month investment horizon. Therefore, in view of the significant
negative currency impact anticipated over our 6-24 month horizon, we downgrade the ADR from a BUY
to a HOLD.
Ticker: IRE
Target price: US$66.34
Current price: US$29.42
Price change since We will reassess our ADR (1 ADR = 4 common shares) rating for the Bank of Ireland in our next full
(52.6%) update report.
last report:
The common stock fell by 10.9% on 08 July 2008, closing at a 52-week low of €4.51. This decline
primarily reflects negative investor reaction to deterioration in the Irish economy, weakness in the
housing market and broad-based weakness and volatility in global markets. The bank has stated that
its earnings are being negatively impacted by a slowdown in overall lending activity and volume growth,
particularly in its retail business. Furthermore, although the bank’s corporate lending has supported
overall growth in 1H 08, this trend is expected to weaken in 2H 08. In addition, the bank’s financial
strength rating has been downgraded, given the difficulty its customers are having with high interest
rates prevailing in the country at present.
In view of these factors, we expect to lower our estimates and target price when we revalue the bank
in our next full update report. However, we believe that the recent significant decline in the common
stock price has created an attractive investment opportunity. Therefore, we maintain our BUY rating.
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