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The City of

Vancouver
Voting Intentions and Issue Importance
9th September 2018
METHODOLOGY ABOUT MAINSTREET
The analysis in this report is based on With 20 years of political experience in all
results of a survey was conducted between three levels of government, President and CEO
September 4th and 5th among a sample of Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on
862 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in international public affairs.
Vancouver. The survey was conducted using
automated telephone interviews (Smart Differentiated by its large sample sizes,
IVR). Respondents were interviewed on both Mainstreet Research has provided accurate
landlines and cellular phones. snapshots of public opinion, having predicted
a majority NDP government in Alberta, and
The sampling frame was derived from both was the only polling firm to correctly predict
a national telephone directory compiled a Liberal majority government in the 2015
by Mainstreet Research from various federal election. Mainstreet also accurately
commercially available sources and random predicted the Miami & New York City Mayoral
digit dialing. elections in November 2017, and the Alabama
special election in 2017. Mainstreet Research is
The survey was conducted by Mainstreet a member of the World Association for Public
Research and was not sponsored by a third Opinion Research and meets international and
party. Canadian publication standards.

The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.34% CONTACT INFORMATION
and is accurate 19 times out of 20. In Ottawa:
Quito Maggi, President
(full methodology appears at the end of this quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
report)
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
STEWART, BREMNER, AND SIM CURRENTLY IN TOP THREE

9 September 2018 (Ottawa, ON) – In the early stages of the mayoral campaign, former MP
Kennedy Stewart has a lead over closest rivals Hector Bremner and Ken Sim.

Those are the findings of Mainstreet Research’s Vancouver poll fielded September 4th and
5th. The polls surveyed 862 Vancouver residents and has a margin of error of +/- 3.34% and
is accurate 19 times out of 20.

“Stewart leads by just under ten points to his closest competitor”, said Quito Maggi, President
and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “While this is a good sign for Stewart’s campaign no doubt,
we are still very much in the early stages and a lot can still change”.

The current housing crisis dominates as the most important issue in this election campaign,
with nearly 38% of Vancouver residents citing it as their principal concern.

“The message here is clear: a viable mayoral candidate must have a well-thought-out
affordable housing plan,” continued Maggi. “Vancouver residents feel that it is a crisis and
thus expect leadership.”

The poll also found that 44% of residents are open to allowing foreign purchasing of homes,
so long as they are taxed more. They also strongly support building more housing (64%), an
empty homes tax (73%), and a provincial speculation tax (48% in favour compared to 27%
opposed).

Only among the municipal parties that will be fielding mayoral candidates, the Non Partisan
Association lead, with Vision Vancouver in second, and Yes Vancouver in third.

“We wanted to see what the relationship was between some of the mayoral candidates
and their parties, which is why this time we excluded parties like the Greens and COPE
Vancouver,” said Maggi. “In that regard, we found that the party brands in each case are
doing better than the individual candidates.” he added.

“These parties will be included in our next Vancouver poll”, concluded Maggi. “This might
be the most interesting municipal election in Canada right now and certainly warrants more
study.” Maggi concludes.

-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:


Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
If a Canadian federal election were held tomorrow, which party
All Voters
would you vote for?

Undecided 15.7%
Another Party 3.7%

Liberals 32.7%
Greens 7.9%

All Voters

Conservatives 22.3%
New Democratic Party 17.7%

If a provincial election were held tomorrow, which party would


All Voters
Liberals Conservatives
you vote for?
New Democratic Party Greens

Another Party Undecided

Undecided 14.9%
Another Party 4%
BC Conservatives 8.3%

NDP 41.8%

All Voters

Greens 9.6%

BC Liberals 21.4%
What is the most important issue for you in
this election?

Other 5.6% Bike lanes 1.8%


Downtown revitalization 1.9%
Traffic congestion 8.6% Homelessness 8.3%

Safe streets 4.6%

Property taxes 8.1%

Housing crisis 37.7%

Kinder Morgan 16.3%

Housing speculation tax 7.1%

wntown revitalization Homelessness Housing crisis Housing speculation tax Kinder Morga

Safe streets Traffic congestion Other


Which candidate for mayor would you be most likely to vote
for in this election?

All Voters All Voters


David Chen 3.7%

Hector Bremner 7.4%

Ian Campbell 5.3%

Ken Sim 7.5%

Kennedy Stewart 14.4%

Maya Richards 1.1%

Shauna Sylvester 4.5%

Wai Young 4.5%

Someone else 9.8%

Undecided 41.8%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Decided
Decided and Leaning and Leaning Voters
David Chen 7.6%

Hector Bremner 13.6%

Ian Campbell 9%

Ken Sim 12.4%

Kennedy Stewart 23.3%

Maya Richards 2.6%

Shauna Sylvester 8.2%

Wai Young 6.7%

Someone else 16.7%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Which of these two mayoral candidates would
you vote for?

9.4% 12.6%

10.7%

45.2%
24.5%
52.7%

9.4% 12.6%
27.2%

10.7%
17.6%

Hector Bremner Ken Sim Neither Not Sure 10.3%


Ken Sim Kennedy Stewart Neither Not Sure
45.2%
24.5%
52.7%

21.3%

48.3%

27.2%

20.1%
17.6%

Hector Bremner Kennedy Stewart Neither Not Sure


Hector Bremner Ken Sim Neither
Kennedy Stewart
Not Sure Neither Not Sure
The federal government has bought the
Transmountain pipeline from
Kinder Morgan. Do you agree or disagree the
city now has a role in
stopping the pipeline expansion?
13.5%

7.5% 13.5%

41.5%
7.5%

41.5%

37.5%
37.5%

AgreeAgree Disagree
Disagree Don't
Don'twant
wantexpansion stopped
expansion Not Sure
stopped Not Sure
What is the most important issue for you in
this election?

10.8% 11.
110

18.4% 17.3%
100
25.1%
16%
90 10.8% 30.1% 11.7%
14.6%
18.4% 17.3%
80 19%
25.1%
16%
70 30.1%
14.6%
19%
60 26.6%

46.
50 26.6%
34.7%
46.8%
40
34.7%
30

20

10

67.1%
0 67.1% 48.3%48.3% 73.2%
73.2% 63.7%
63.7% 35.2% 35.2% 41.5% 41.
odular housing
Modular housingProvincial
Provincial Empty
Emptyhomes tax Building
homes tax Building
moremore 50% speculation
50% speculation Kinder M
Kinder Morgan
for the
the homeless homeless government
government housing to lower tax on homes sold
housing to lower tax on homes sold Expansion Expan
speculation tax housing prices unimproved within
speculation tax housing prices 2unimproved
years within
2 years
Support Oppose Don't Know
Support Oppose Don't Know
Which one of the following options for planning
and zoning in Vancouver is closest to your opinion?

Duplexes and some high rises 19.1%

High rises in various city areas 12.6%

Less density 11.7%

More density 14.5%

More duplexes and townhomes 22.6%

No limits on density or height 4.5%

Not Sure 15%

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Which one of the following options for foreign
home buyers is closest to your opinion?

12%

12%

21.1% 43.9%

21.1% 43.9%

23% 23%

Allow, but tax and charge more Ban foreign home buyers Another option Not Sure
ow, but tax and charge more Ban foreign home buyers Another option Not
Apart from your vote for mayor, which municipal
party do you support?

All Voters All Voters

Coalition Vancouver 2.1%

NPA 15.8%

Pro Vancouver 2.5%

Vancouver First 2.1%

Vision Vancouver 11.9%

Yes Vancouver 7.8%

Undecided 57.8%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60

Decided andDecided
Leaning and Leaning Voters
Coalition Vancouver 4.9%

NPA 36.5%

Pro Vancouver 6.6%

Vancouver First 5.8%

Vision Vancouver 25.5%

Yes Vancouver 20.8%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60
Mayoral support compared with municipal party
support

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5
13.6%

20.8%

25.5%

12.4%

36.5%
7.6%

6.6%

6.7%

4.9%
9%

0
David Chen - Pro Hector Bremner - Ian Campbell - Ken Sim - NPA Wai Young -
Vancouver YES Vancouver Vision Vancouver Coalition
Vancouver

Candidate Party
How would you rate the performance of Gregor
Robertson as mayor over the past term?

9.6% 8.6%

9.6% 8.6%

20.2%
20.2%

36.4%
36.4%

25.2%
25.2%

Excellent Good Fair Poor Not Sure


Excellent Good Fair Poor Not Sure
If a Canadian federal election were held tomorrow, which party would
you vote for?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Liberals led by Justin Trudeau 32.7% 27.3% 38% 25.3% 32.4% 32.6% 28% 39.5%
Conservatives led by Andrew Scheer 22.3% 31.7% 15.4% 13.7% 21.3% 19.9% 25.5% 23.6%
NDP led by Jagmeet Singh 17.7% 16.3% 17.9% 26.5% 21.4% 19.3% 14.4% 12.6%
Green Party led by Elizabeth May 7.9% 7.2% 9.3% - 1.7% 12.3% 12% 7.7%
Another Party 3.7% 5.5% 1% 16.6% 6.9% 1.9% 2.8% 1.7%
Undecided 15.7% 12.1% 18.4% 17.9% 16.2% 13.9% 17.4% 14.9%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

If a British Columbia provincial election were held tomorrow, which


party would you vote for?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
BC NDP led by John Horgan 41.8% 40.4% 44.5% 26.5% 39.9% 46.1% 43.8% 36.7%
BC Liberal led by Andrew Wilkinson 21.4% 27.1% 16.5% 23.1% 15.6% 20.9% 23.2% 30.5%
BC Green Party led by Andrew Weaver 9.6% 9.4% 10.4% 3.4% 5.8% 11.8% 12.5% 9.8%
BC Conservatives led by Scott Anderson 8.3% 9.6% 7.7% 2.2% 13.3% 7.1% 3.6% 6.6%
Another Party 4% 4.4% 2.6% 15% 7.5% 1.3% 3.5% 2%
Undecided 14.9% 9.1% 18.3% 29.8% 17.9% 12.8% 13.4% 14.5%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 156

We’d like to know what is the most important issue for you in this election?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Bike lanes 1.8% 0.8% 2.5% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 0.5% 1%
Downtown revitalization 1.9% 3.4% 0.7% - 1.7% 2.2% 1.7% 1.8%
Homelessness 8.3% 5.9% 10% 10.9% 8.1% 8% 8.7% 8.6%
Housing crisis 37.7% 36.7% 39.4% 28.6% 41.6% 42.2% 31.8% 31.7%
Housing speculation tax 7.1% 9.9% 3.9% 15.3% 9.2% 6.4% 5.7% 5.8%
Kinder Morgan 16.3% 15.2% 18.1% 8% 15.6% 10.4% 18.8% 22.8%
Property taxes 8.1% 9.7% 5.9% 17.2% 7.5% 9.1% 7.6% 8.6%
Safe streets 4.6% 5.1% 4.7% - 5.8% 3.8% 5.4% 2.7%
Traffic congestion 8. 6% 9.9% 8.2% 1.3% 4.1% 11.2% 11.1% 9.9%
Other 5.6% 3.2% 6.6% 16.5% 4.1% 4% 8.7% 7%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155
Which candidate for mayor would you be most likely to vote for in this election?
(all voters)
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
David Chen 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.4% 4.1% 2.5% 4.2% 4.2%
Hector Bremner 7.4% 9.5% 6.2% 2.3% 11.6% 7% 3.6% 5.2%
Ian Campbell 5.3% 6.3% 4.8% 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 6.2% 6.2%
Ken Sim 7.5% 9.6% 6.4% - 5.8% 5.5% 10.4% 9.5%
Kennedy Stewart 14.4% 14.4% 14.1% 17.6% 11% 16.5% 16.7% 14.9%
Maya Richards 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% - - 2.5% 1.2% 0.7%
Shauna Sylvester 4.5% 4.9% 4.5% 0.6% 5.8% 4.4% 3.5% 3.4%
Wai Young 4.5% 4.1% 4.2% 10.9% 8.1% 2.1% 3.1% 3.2%
Someone else 9.8% 9.7% 9% 18.7% 13.3% 7% 9.4% 7.9%
Undecided 41.8% 36.7% 45.9% 43.5% 36.4% 46.8% 41.7% 44.6%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Which candidate for mayor would you be most likely to vote for in this election?
(decided and leaning voters)
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
David Chen 7.6% 8.5% 7.1% 4.9% 9.3% 4.5% 7.8% 8.7%
Hector Bremner 13.6% 15.7% 12.9% 3% 19.6% 15.4% 6.4% 9.4%
Ian Campbell 9% 8.9% 9.7% 3.9% 5.2% 10.9% 10.4% 11.6%
Ken Sim 12.4% 13.3% 12.9% - 7.2% 12.2% 17.5% 15.7%
Kennedy Stewart 23.3% 21.6% 24.7% 22.7% 13.4% 28.2% 29.3% 26.6%
Maya Richards 2.6% 2% 3.3% - - 5.4% 3.7% 1.8%
Shauna Sylvester 8.2% 7.1% 7.2% 27.5% 11.3% 8.3% 5.4% 5.9%
Wai Young 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 13.3% 10.3% 3.2% 5.4% 6.5%
Someone else 16.7% 16.7% 15.9% 24.6% 23.7% 11.8% 14.2% 13.7%
Unweighted Frequency 607 295 292 20 42 129 120 316
Weighted Frequency 607 263 313 31 202 156 141 109

Which of these two mayoral candidates would you vote for?


Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Hector Bremner 9.4% 11.3% 7.4% 13.2% 13.3% 11.1% 4.7% 5.8%
Ken Sim 10.7% 12% 10.5% 2.2% 9.8% 8.8% 12.3% 13%
Neither 27.2% 27.3% 25.3% 45.7% 26% 26.5% 29.3% 27.7%
Not Sure 52.7% 49.4% 56.8% 38.9% 50.9% 53.6% 53.7% 53.5%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155
Which of these two mayoral candidates would you vote for?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Ken Sim 12.6% 14.2% 10.1% 24.1% 13.3% 11.7% 13.2% 12%
Kennedy Stewart 24.5% 24.2% 25.1% 22% 21.4% 25.3% 29% 23.5%
Neither 17.6% 21.8% 12.9% 28.7% 21.9% 17.1% 13.2% 16.1%
Not Sure 45.2% 39.7% 51.9% 25.2% 43.4% 45.9% 44.7% 48.4%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Which of these two mayoral candidates would you vote for?


Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Hector Bremner 10.3% 10.4% 8.5% 26.3% 13.3% 12.9% 6.4% 5.9%
Kennedy Stewart 21.3% 21.5% 21.2% 20.5% 16.7% 22% 25.6% 23.1%
Neither 20.1% 23.5% 16.4% 28.8% 18.5% 16.3% 23.9% 23.7%
Not Sure 48.3% 44.6% 53.9% 24.4% 51.5% 48.8% 44.1% 47.3%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Do you support or oppose the expansion of the Kinder Morgan Transmountain


pipeline?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Support 41.5% 51.4% 34.4% 28.9% 33.5% 37% 49.1% 53%
Oppose 46.8% 39.8% 53.9% 34.1% 57.3% 48.6% 37.9% 36.3%
Not Sure 11.7% 8.7% 11.6% 37% 9.2% 14.4% 13% 10.8%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

The federal government has bought the Transmountain pipeline from Kinder
Morgan. Do you agree or disagree the city now has a role in stopping the
pipeline expansion?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Agree 41.5% 34.7% 47.1% 42.9% 51.5% 40.2% 35.1% 33.3%
Disagree 37.5% 47.4% 30.5% 23.8% 23.6% 43.4% 46.3% 43.1%
Don't want expansion stopped 7.5% 9.3% 5.2% 14.5% 11% 3.2% 5.2% 10.1%
Not Sure 13.5% 8.5% 17.3% 18.8% 13.9% 13.2% 13.4% 13.6%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155
Please tell me whether you support or oppose the provincial government
speculation tax
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Support 48.3% 52.5% 42.7% 68.6% 49.6% 50.4% 50.2% 40.3%
Oppose 26.6% 37.1% 20.1% 4.1% 21.9% 27.7% 28.3% 31.7%
Don't Know 25.1% 10.4% 37.2% 27.4% 28.5% 21.9% 21.6% 28%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Please tell me whether you support or oppose an empty homes tax


Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Support 73.2% 73.4% 72.9% 74.2% 73.9% 76.5% 71.7% 68.9%
Oppose 16% 19.9% 12.4% 19.4% 12.7% 15.6% 18.9% 19.1%
Don't Know 10.8% 6.7% 14.7% 6.4% 13.4% 7.9% 9.4% 11.9%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Please tell me whether you support or oppose building more housing to lower
housing prices
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Support 63.7% 71.7% 57.6% 57.5% 65.2% 63.9% 61.9% 62.7%
Oppose 19% 16.7% 19.5% 33.5% 21.4% 19% 17.6% 16.6%
Don't Know 17.3% 11.6% 22.9% 9.1% 13.4% 17.1% 20.5% 20.7%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Please tell me whether you support or oppose a 50% speculation tax on homes
sold unimproved within 2 years
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Support 35.2% 39.3% 31% 42.2% 28.8% 39.5% 38.5% 36.5%
Oppose 34.7% 41.9% 28.3% 39.1% 42.2% 30.8% 32.1% 30%
Don't Know 30.1% 18.9% 40.6% 18.7% 29% 29.7% 29.4% 33.5%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155
Do you agree or disagree the Mayor must have city hall experience?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Agree 34.8% 31.2% 39.2% 20.5% 37.6% 31.5% 33% 36.5%
Disagree 43.1% 48.3% 36.8% 63.3% 35.2% 51.1% 48.4% 39.8%
Don't Know 22.1% 20.6% 23.9% 16.2% 27.2% 17.4% 18.6% 23.7%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Which one of the following options for planning and zoning in Vancouver is
closest to your opinion?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Duplexes and some high rises 19.1% 24.1% 16.7% 2.8% 27.2% 19.3% 13.7% 11.1%
High rises in various city areas 12.6% 16.6% 10.2% 3.4% 13.3% 13% 11.6% 12%
Less density 11.7% 14.1% 9.2% 15.4% 11% 11.1% 13% 12.1%
More density 14.5% 13.4% 13.8% 29.7% 17.9% 13% 10.9% 14.6%
More duplexes and townhomes 22.6% 14.9% 29.7% 16.1% 13.3% 28.9% 29.1% 22.6%
No limits on density or height 4.5% 7.1% 2.8% - 5.2% 3.9% 5.6% 2.9%
Not Sure 15% 9.7% 17.6% 32.5% 12.2% 10.8% 16.2% 24. 8%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Which one of the following options for foreign home buyers is closest to your
opinion?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Allow, but tax and charge more 43.9% 43.5% 45.9% 27.5% 50.9% 42% 43.1% 34.6%
Ban foreign home buyers 23% 25.9% 18.1% 46.8% 23% 26.8% 23.4% 16.9%
Another option 21.1% 21.9% 20.7% 19.4% 11% 23.1% 25.5% 31.6%
Not Sure 12% 8.7% 15.3% 6.3% 15.1% 8.1% 8% 16.9%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155
Apart from your vote for mayor, which municipal party do you support? (all
voters)
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Coalition Vancouver 2.1% 2.5% 1.9% 0.6% - 3.6% 3.3% 2.4%
NPA 15.8% 21.5% 11.3% 14.4% 13.3% 10.5% 19.5% 23.4%
Pro Vancouver 2.5% 0.9% 3.9% 2.3% 2.3% 1.5% 4.5% 1.7%
Vancouver First 2.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.6% 1.7% 1.5% 3.5% 1.7%
Vision Vancouver 11.9% 14.4% 10.5% 4.6% 15% 11.1% 7.3% 13.1%
Yes Vancouver 7.8% 7.3% 6.2% 26.3% 13.3% 6% 4.5% 4.2%
Undecided 57.8% 50.1% 65% 51.3% 54.4% 65.9% 57.4% 53.4%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155

Apart from your vote for mayor, which municipal party do you support? (decided
and leaning voters)
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Coalition Vancouver 4.9% 5.4% 4.9% 0.9% - 9.7% 5.3% 6.5%
NPA 36.5% 40.8% 32.7% 37.5% 35.4% 30.6% 36.7% 46.7%
Pro Vancouver 6.6% 4.9% 8.4% 3.6% 8.0% 2.8% 11.9% 2.7%
Vancouver First 5.8% 5.7% 6.4% 0.9% 5.7% 4.1% 8.7% 4.5%
Vision Vancouver 25.5% 26.1% 26.8% 7.2% 20.4% 33.9% 21.5% 28.1%
Yes Vancouver 20.8% 17.1% 20.9% 49.9% 30.5% 19% 15.8% 11.6%
Unweighted Frequency 543 275 252 16 38 103 98 304
Weighted Frequency 543 235 280 28 180 139 126 97

How would you rate the performance of Gregor Robertson as mayor over the
past term?
Total Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Excellent 8.6% 10.2% 7.4% 7.5% 9.4% 10.8% 6.8% 6.5%
Good 20.2% 14.2% 25.0% 22.4% 19.5% 24.5% 17.3% 19.0%
Fair 25.2% 24.3% 26.6% 17.5% 24.7% 21.5% 26.8% 29.4%
Poor 36.4% 43.6% 30.6% 34.8% 30.6% 37.3% 42.5% 38.1%
Not Sure 9.6% 7.7% 10.4% 17.9% 15.9% 6.0% 6.6% 7.0%
Unweighted Frequency 862 395 439 28 52 193 164 453
Weighted Frequency 862 372 445 45 286 221 200 155
QUESTIONNAIRE
What is your age? BC Conservative Party led by Scott Anderson
Under 18 (respondents who selected this question had Another party
the survey ended) Undecided
18 to 34
35 to 49 What is the most important issue for you in this
50 to 64 election? (responses randomized)
65 or older The provincial housing speculation tax
The housing crisis
What is your gender? Kinder Morgan Transmountain pipeline expansion
Male Downtown revitalization
Female Property taxes
Trraffic congestion
If a Canadian federal election were held tomorrow, Safe streets
which party would you vote for? (first four responses Bike lanes
randomized) Homelessness
The Liberal Party of Canada led by Justin Trudeau Other
The Conservative Party of Canada led by Andrew
Scheer Which candidate for mayor would you be most likely
The New Democratic Party led by Jagmeet Singh to vote for in this election? (first eight responses
The Green Party of Canada led by Elizabeth May randomized)
Another party Hector Bremner
Undecided Ian Campbell
David Chen
Even if you are undecided at this point in time, which Ken Sim
party are you leaning towards? (first four responses Kennedy Stewart
randomized - only asked of respondents who said Shauna Sylvester
undecided in the previous question) Wai Young
The Liberal Party of Canada led by Justin Trudeau Maya Richards
The Conservative Party of Canada led by Andrew Someone else
Scheer Undecided
The New Democratic Party led by Jagmeet Singh
The Green Party of Canada led by Elizabeth May Even if you are undecided at this point in time, which
Another party candidate are you leaning towards? (first eight
Undecided responses randomized - only asked of respondents
who said undecided in the previous question)
If a British Columbia provincial election were held Hector Bremner
tomorrow, which party would you vote for? (first Ian Campbell
four responses randomized) David Chen
The BC New Democratic Party led by John Horgan Ken Sim
The BC Liberal Party led by Andrew Wilkinson Kennedy Stewart
BC Green Party led by Andrew Weaver Shauna Sylvester
BC Conservative Party led by Scott Anderson Wai Young
Another party Maya Richards
Undecided Someone else
Undecided
Even if you are undecided at this point in time, which
party are you leaning towards? (first four responses Which of these two mayoral candidates would you
randomized - only asked of respondents who said vote for? (first two responses randomized)
undecided in the previous question) Hector Bremner
The BC New Democratic Party led by John Horgan Ken Sim
The BC Liberal Party led by Andrew Wilkinson Neither
BC Green Party led by Andrew Weaver Don’t Know
QUESTIONNAIRE (continued)

Which of these two mayoral candidates would you Which one of the following options for planning and
vote for? (first two responses randomized) zoning in Vancouver is closest to your opinion?
Ken Sim Allow more duplexes and townhomes in all
Kennedy Stewart neighbourhoods.
Neither Allow duplexes everywhere and high rise buildings of
Don’t Know more than 12 storeys near frequent transit and major
thoroughfares.
Which of these two mayoral candidates would you Allow more density in all neighbourhoods.
vote for? (first two responses randomized) Allow 40 storey buildings downtown, 10 storey
Hector Bremner buildings near downtown, 4 storey buildings in an outer
Kennedy Stewart ring and leave 10% single family homes remaining.
Neither Reduce density in all neighbourhoods
Don’t Know No limits at all on density or height
None of these options matches your opinion
Do you support or oppose the expansion of the
Kinder Morgan Transmountain pipeline? Which one of the following options for foreign home
Support buyers is closest to your opinion?
Oppose Ban foreign home buyers
Don’t Know Allow foreign home buyers, but tax and charge them
more
Do you support or oppose the expansion of the None of these options matches your opinion
Kinder Morgan Transmountain pipeline? Don’t Know
Agree
Disagree Apart from your vote for mayor, which municipal party
Don’t want the pipeline expansion stopped do you support? (first six responses randomized)
Don’t Know Yes Vancouver
Vision Vancouver
Do you support or oppose each of the following: Non-Partisan Association or NPA
modular housing for the homeless Pro Vancouver
Support Vancouver First
Oppose Coalition Vancouver
Don’t Know Undecided

The provincial government speculation tax Even if you are undecided at this point in time, which
Support party are you leaning towards? (first six responses
Oppose randomized - only asked of respondents who said
Don’t Know undecided in the previous question)
Yes Vancouver
An empty homes tax Vision Vancouver
Support Non-Partisan Association or NPA
Oppose Pro Vancouver
Don’t Know Vancouver First
Coalition Vancouver
Building more housing to lower housing prices Undecided
Support
Oppose
Don’t Know

A 50% speculation tax on homes sold unimproved


within 2 years
Support
Oppose
Don’t Know

Do you agree or disagree the Mayor must have city


hall experience?
Agree
Disagree
Don’t Know
METHODOLOGY STATEMENT
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey was conducted between September
4th and 5th among a sample of 862 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Vancouver. The
survey was conducted using Interactive Voice Recording. Respondents were interviews on
both landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population
of Vancouver.

This survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and has not been sponsored by any
third-party organization.

The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by
Mainstreet Research from various sources and random digit dialing. In both cases, respondents
were dialed at random.

At least two attempts were made to complete an interview at every sampled telephone
number. The calls were staggered over times of day and two days to maximize the chances
of making contact with a potential respondent. Interviewing was also spread as evenly as
possible across the field period.

The questionnaire used in this survey is available in this report and online at www.
mainstreetresearch.ca. Questions are asked as they appear in the release document. If
a question is asked of a subset of the sample a descriptive note is added in parenthesis
preceding the question.

The sample was weighted by population parameters from the Canada 2016 Census for adults
18 years of age or older in Canada. The population parameters used for weighting are age
and gender.

The margin of error for this poll is +/- 3.34 % at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error
are higher in each subsample.

Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.

In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that the wording of questions and
practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of
opinion polls. Moreover, all sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of
error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

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