Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Human Services Dashboard
and the Composite Financial Index
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HS|DASHBOARD
HS|Dashboard
What got us started over two years ago?
Demands for new and expanded risk assessment
Enormous pressure to perform
Inadequacies in financial reporting
Increased calls for transparency
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HS|DASHBOARD
HS|Dashboard – What it Does
Identifies stresses and risks
Formulates real ratios that are easy to understand
Helps identify and project ongoing financial health
Assists administrators and senior leadership with
communicating financial health
Generates scenarios and develop what‐if thinking
Develops new ways to view trends and predictive scenarios
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HS|DASHBOARD
What is the HS|Dashboard?
The tool forecasts five years of financial statements and ratio analysis
Applies publicly available data to build initial forecasts.
Forecasts are honed and customized through conversations with
management.
Conservative, Baseline and Optimistic cases are built to “bound the
problem”.
Some specific areas of insight:
Liquidity; Operations and Operational Sensitivities; Balance Sheet
Strengths and Weaknesses, Financial Resources.
The engine applies a standardized starting point for any not‐for‐profit*
Tool is customized and individualized subsequent to base build.
Additional module “plug‐ins” can provide granularity into specific balance
sheet and income statement line items.
* Not‐for‐Profit must have standard audited or unaudited GAAP financial statements
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HS|DASHBOARD
What can we learn from the HS|Dashboard
Enhanced, Simplified and Streamlined Think late nights in the office before a board
Board Preparation Materials meeting
Sensitivity Analysis Think performance based contracts
Communication with Financial Institutions
Think boards, banks & benefactors
and Other Stakeholders
Regulatory Initiatives and/or Accounting
Think government entities & regulation
Change Impacts
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HS|DASHBOARD
The HS|Dashboard
EQUATION MEASURES RATIO: ▪ ▪
Actual* Proforma** ▪▪▪Optimistic ▪▪▪ Pessimistic
400
Sum of Operating Revenues 183 189 196 203 210 217
TOTAL OPERATING 144
Does not include changes in 200 80 93
REVENUES Trend of Operations
pension funding nor temporarily
(in $Millions) ‐
restricted gifts
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
100.0%
54.9%
OPERATING REVENUE (Current Year Op. Revenues
50.0% 27.1%
GROWTH RATE ‐ Prior Year Op Revenues) Year‐over‐year changes in operating revenue 13.9% 15.6%
3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
(in %) Current Year Op Revenues 0.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
400
181 187 193 200 206 213
TOTAL OPERATING 141
200 78 89
EXPENSES Sum of Operating Expenses Trend of Operating Expenses
(in $Millions) ‐
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
100.0%
57.8%
OPERATING EXPENSE (Current Year Expenses 28.3%
Year‐over‐year changes in operating 50.0% 14.7%
GROWTH RATE ‐ Prior Year Expenses) 11.8% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
expenses
OPERATIONS
Sample data; for illustration purposes only.
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HS|DASHBOARD
The HS|Dashboard Continued
100 days
Number of effective days institution can 50 days
DAYS CASH ON HAND (Cash + Cash Equivalents )*365
cover its expenses using liquid assets 0 days 61 da ys
(Days Coverage) Operating Expenses ‐ Depreciation 41 da ys 44 da ys 36 da ys 37 da ys 35 da ys 35 da ys 34 da ys 34 da ys
available
LIQUIDITY
‐50 days
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Total Current Cash and Cash 5
TOTAL MONTHLY Eqivalents + Unused Operating
Amount of monthly cash available 0
LIQUIDITY Lines of Credit + Level 1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6
(Annual liquidty divided by 12) 1.0 0.8
(in $Millions) Investments)
‐5
12 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
2.0x
AVAILABLE RESOURCES TO (Cash + Investments 1.0x
Resources available to fund mortgages and
DEBT ‐ Perm Restricted Net Assets) 0.0x
debt outstanding 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x 0.5x 0.5x 0.5x 0.6x 0.7x
(in xCoverage) Total Debt 0.4x
‐1.0x
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
DEBT, LEVERAGE AND OTHER METRICS
40.0%
20.1% 22.3% 20.9% 20.9% 20.9% 20.9% 21.0%
15.7% 16.3%
COLLECTIONS EFFICIENCY Accounts Receivable Measures efficiency of converting accounts 20.0%
(in %) Total Operating Revenues receivable into operating revenues
0.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
10.0x 3.9x 3.3x 3.7x 4.2x 4.9x 5.6x
2.8x 1.1x 2.6x
ACTUAL DEBT SERVICE Net Operating Revenues The "margin of protection" for annual debt
0.0x
COVERAGE + Interest + Depreciation service payments (principal + interest) from
(in xCoverage) Actual Debt Service an institution's operations ‐10.0x
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Weighted Average of 10.0
Benchmarking and peer comparison tool 5.4 5.2
{Operating Margin, Days Cash, 4.3 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.9
3.6
HS | CFI
resulting in a composite score normalized to 5.0
Composite Financial Index Available Resources to Debt and
a scale of 1 to 10.
(Scale of 1‐10) Collections Efficiency }
(See appendix for detailed description of 0.0
Normalized Per Prager‐Webb
methodology) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Methodology
Sample data; for illustration purposes only.
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HS|DASHBOARD
Disruptive Change & Financial Analysis
The Human Services Industry has entered into a period of disruptive change.
Thriving requires deeper and refocused insight into financial health.
The Prager‐Webb team developed an innovative framework, the Composite
Financial Index, (or “HS|CFI”), to help measure institutional progress
against its own objectives.
The CFI consolidates key measurements quantified in the HS|Dashboard.
The HS|CFI framework presented is a starting point used to
measure an institution’s progress towards its financial objectives.
As leadership becomes more fluent with the framework, it is
encouraged to examine and/or expand other ratios to better
communicate progress towards specific objectives.
* Hypothetical example – not reflective of a specific institution.
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HS|DASHBOARD
The HS|CFI
HS|CFI
Human Services Composite Financial Index
What is it?
Composite score of an Institution's financial health on a scale from 1‐10.
Provides a peer comparison across the human services sector.
Why would I use it?
Helps communicate current financial strengths or weaknesses.
HS|CFI should be used in conjunction with analysis found within
HS|Dashboard.
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HS|DASHBOARD
HS|CFI Q&A
How was it developed?
Analytically, but in conjunction with human insight by experts with over 100
years of collective experience in the sector.
What value does it provide?
Benchmarking: a way to measure against realistic backdrop representing the
current environment of funding and the human services sector.
Peer comparison: Parameters were derived from peer data and thus provides a
measurement against other institutions.
* The ratios chosen represent our suggestions and may change as the industry continues to change.
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HS|DASHBOARD
Calculating the HS|CFI: Core Ratios
The HS|CFI uses four core ratios:
RATIO CALCULATION
Operating Margin Operating Surplus (Deficit)
(Measures Operating Efficiency) Total Unrestricted Operating Revenues
Spendable Resources to Total Cash & Investments
Debt and Due to – Permanently Restricted Net Assts
(Measures Viability) Total Debt + Total Gvt Payable Liabilities
Accounts Receivable
Total Accounts Receivable
Dependency
Total Operating Revenues
(Measures Conversion of Revenues)
All elements of the HS|CFI can be calculated from an institution’s existing
financial statements.
* Also includes dedicated lines of credit.
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HS|DASHBOARD
Peer Comparisons & Benchmarking
Operating Margin vs Accounts Receivable Dependency
Operating Margin
Accounts Receivable Dependency
0%
ON WATCH THRIVING
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
VULNERABLE BUILDING
35%
‐6.0% ‐4.0% ‐2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0%
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HS|DASHBOARD
Peer Comparisons & Benchmarking
Days Liquidity vs Spendable Resources
Spendable Resources to Debt and Due To
300
Days Liquidity
ON WATCH THRIVING
250
200
150
100
50
VULNERABLE BUILDING
‐
0.10 1.00 10.00
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HS|DASHBOARD
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HS|DASHBOARD
Scenario Planning
Helps agencies think about plausible future scenarios
Engages in a systematic process to identify various scenarios
Uses scenario planning as a tool to prepare definable What‐If
scenarios
Uses scenario planning to inform strategic thinking and
planning
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HS|DASHBOARD
Example of a What‐If Scenario
The Dashboard tells us that a “Thriving” agency is one that continues to grow and
efficiently manage its resources by generating cash for investments in growth and for
operational downturns.
It wants to continue to grow. Where should it grow?
Scenario:
Public Policy priority for housing for special populations
Expand housing options using debt and cash
Look at Dashboard for impact on operations and balance sheet
Build or Buy?
Strategy:
Build on expertise on housing
Position as “go to” housing provider
Target a 30% growth over three years
Establish a game plan
Build financial model
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HS|DASHBOARD
Legal Disclaimers
1. This presentation is for your internal use alone, for the limited purpose of assisting an evaluation of your
potential interest in the strategies described, and is confidential as to third parties (with the exception that there
is no limit on any disclosure of the US tax treatment or tax structure of any transaction). This material may not be
given to third parties without our prior written consent. Information regarding values should not be relied on for
maintaining books and records.
2. This presentation is not contractual, not a research report nor an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer
to buy or sell any security or interest. Contractual obligations will be created only by formal written agreement.
Information regarding pricing, interest rates, and transaction costs is preliminary and indicative only.
3. Except as compelled by applicable law we make no warranty, express or implied of any nature as to any
information or technique herein and do not guarantee satisfactory results. In no event may we be liable for any
special or consequential damages that may be incurred in using the data provided. Before entering into any
transaction, you must independently determine the economic risks, and your institution’s ability to assume the
risks. Senior management should be involved in or informed as to this process.
4. Risk assessment of derivative products is complex. One must also consider the implications of accounting and
financial disclosure rules such as the FASB requirements for mark‐to‐market procedures or the extensive GASB
reporting requirements.
5. We are not lawyers, accountants or tax specialists; you should seek and rely on independent advice as to such
matters from properly qualified firms or individuals.
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