Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
Understanding the Business
2
How Does Mining Work?
• Two main types:
– Open pit mining
– Underground Mining
Revenue Sources
• License fees: one-time in nature
• Professional Services
• Update Service & Technical Support
(USTS): recurring in nature, renewed
semi-annually or annually
BREAKDOWN TO COME
3
Dec ’06 YTD Rev Mix
Dec '05 9-Month Rev Mix Dec '06 9-Month Revenue Mix
Other Other
9% 6%
Professional Fees
14%
Professional Fees
18%
License
44% License
51%
Maintenance
29%
Maintenance
29%
4
Surpac Minex Financials
Surpac Acquisition Purchase Price
5
Competitive Positioning
• Gemcom now has a dominant ~40% market
share
• MINE PLANNING
– Whittle
– Maximiser
6
Visuals
Minex
MineSched
$25B $17B
$14B $20B
$15B
7
Mining Industry Overview
Gold Pricing
8
Silver Pricing
Copper Pricing
9
Zinc Pricing
10
Copper Production
15,500
15,000
GR
14,500
CA
%
2.5
Metric Tons (1,000s)
14,000
13,500
13,000
12,500
12,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
1,600
C AGR
7. 6%
1,400
1,200
Metric Tons (1,000,000s)
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
11
Pricing/Production: Gold
Production Gold Price vs. Production 1970-2005
Price ($/t)
3,000 25,000,000
2,500
20,000,000
2,000
15,000,000
1,500
10,000,000
1,000
5,000,000
500
0 0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Pricing/Production: Copper
Production
Copper Price vs. Production 1970-2005
Price ($/t)
16,000,000 4000
14,000,000 3500
12,000,000 3000
10,000,000 2500
8,000,000 2000
6,000,000 1500
4,000,000 1000
2,000,000 500
0 0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
12
Pricing/Production: Iron Ore
Production
Price ($/t) Iron Ore Price vs. Production 1970-2005
1,800,000,000 50
1,600,000,000 45
40
1,400,000,000
35
1,200,000,000
30
1,000,000,000
25
800,000,000
20
600,000,000
15
400,000,000
10
200,000,000 5
0 0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Financial Metrics
13
Price of GCM
Price/share 2.00
Shares Outstanding 50,401,412
(+) Dilution 3,827,562
Total Shares Outstanding 54,228,974
Market Capitalization 108,457,948
Last Q Gangbuster
3 Months • Acquisition accounted for 62%
Dec-06 Dec-05 of growth
Revenue:
Products and services 11,055,990 4,575,348 • Organic growth accounted for
Third-party products 360,596 30,108 remaining 38% of increase in
Total revenue 11,416,586 4,605,456 revenue
% Growth 147.9%
• Implies 56.2% organic
Cost of revenue 2,273,780 739,315 growth rate!
Gross margin 9,142,806 3,866,141
% Margin 80.1% 83.9% • Annualized, Surpac revenue
totals C$16.9MM
Research and development 2,491,167 1,007,355 Breakdown
Sales and marketing 3,873,253 1,821,495 License 6.2 2.1
% Growth 195.2%
General and administration 416,672 327,382 Maintenance 3.1 1.3
EBITDA 2,549,758 860,052 % Growth 138.5%
Professional Fees 1.6 0.7
% Margin 22.3% 18.7% % Growth 128.6%
% Growth 196.5% Other 0.5 0.5
% Growth 0
Total 16.0 4.6
% Growth 248.3%
14
PF Combined Historical IS
ANNUALIZED
Dec-06 Jun-06 Jun-05
Undervalued?
Annualized Q3 Multiples
Sales 45,666,344 2.16x
EBITDA 10,199,032 9.66x
EBIT 7,450,680 13.22x
Net Income 4,842,942 20.34x
FCFE 6,314,918 15.60x
Not so sure on an absolute basis…
Thoughts on multiples:
• Annualizing a record quarter (aggressive) however…
• Must consider growth in 2007 and beyond and…
• Must consider operational leverage
15
Relative: EV/S
2006 2007E 2008E
EV EV/R EV/R EV/R
Slightly undervalued
Relative: EV/EBITDA
2006 2007E 2008E
EV TEV/EBITDA TEV/EBITDA TEV/EBITDA
Slightly undervalued
16
Relative: P/E
2006 2007E 2008E
EV P/E P/E P/E
In-line
Grossly undervalued
17
Application Software Comps
P/Diluted
TEV/LTM Total TEV/LTM EPS Before TEV/ NTM TEV/NTM
Rev EBITDA Extra Total Rev EBITDA P/NTM EPS
P/Diluted
TEV/LTM TEV/LTM EPS Before TEV/ NTM TEV/NTM
Total Rev EBITDA Extra Total Rev EBITDA P/NTM EPS
18
Internet Software & Services Comps
P/Diluted
TEV/LTM TEV/LTM EPS Before TEV/ NTM TEV/NTM
Total Rev EBITDA Extra Total Rev EBITDA P/NTM EPS
P/Diluted
TEV/LTM TEV/LTM EPS Before TEV/ NTM TEV/NTM
Total Rev EBITDA Extra Total Rev EBITDA P/NTM EPS
19
Security Software & Services Comps
P/Diluted
TEV/LTM TEV/LTM EPS Before TEV/ NTM TEV/NTM
Total Rev EBITDA Extra Total Rev EBITDA P/NTM EPS
P/Diluted
TEV/LTM TEV/LTM EPS Before TEV/ NTM TEV/NTM
Total Rev EBITDA Extra Total Rev EBITDA P/NTM EPS
20
Reasons to Hate the Stock
21
Missed the Boat?
GARP?
22